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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 15, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Bobcats15%8795
1Spurs85%10092
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 22.3
48.3
32.3
27
57%
4
2
0
1
0
4
0
4
1-2
50%
10-20
3-8
50%
41%
2-3
67%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 24.1
45.6
38.8
19
48%
9
1
5
1
5
0
3
6
1-4
25%
9-18
6-14
50%
44%
0-0
-
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 31.0
45.5
32.3
10
44%
3
9
2
2
0
3
0
3
2-3
67%
4-9
4-9
44%
40%
0-1
0%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 24.3
42.3
29.4
9
42%
3
1
2
2
1
1
1
2
3-4
75%
3-8
4-8
38%
50%
0-1
0%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 22.4
41.0
30.7
17
62%
8
3
2
1
0
2
1
7
3-4
75%
4-8
3-8
50%
40%
2-4
50%
Bernard Robinson
G-F · 6'6" 210 · 25.9
17.8
16.9
4
40%
8
1
1
1
0
0
1
7
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
43%
0-0
-
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 22.6
13.0
23.4
8
31%
5
0
0
1
0
1
3
2
0-0
-
4-13
4-9
31%
43%
0-0
-
Jake Voskuhl
C · 6'11" 255 · 29.0
7.4
7.2
1
27%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 24.1
4.2
12.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
40%
0-0
-
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 28.5
7.5
0
1-2
46%
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 26.2
7.4
0
1-1
40%
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 32.8
6.6
0
1-2
47%
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 27.1
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 22.1
Walter Herrmann
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 30.6
40.6
35.4
24
53%
13
2
0
1
0
2
5
8
4-6
67%
10-20
8-16
50%
51%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.5
40.3
32.2
25
55%
5
3
2
1
0
6
2
3
2-2
100%
10-21
8-14
48%
54%
1-1
100%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 29.3
39.5
31.1
12
36%
12
7
1
2
1
1
5
7
6-6
100%
3-11
4-8
27%
51%
0-3
0%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 35.4
39.5
33.3
6
32%
1
1
0
1
1
3
0
1
2-3
67%
2-5
1-3
40%
44%
0-3
0%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 31.7
17.3
13.1
0
0%
10
3
0
0
1
2
5
5
0-0
-
0-4
1-3
0%
52%
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 33.7
32.1
20.2
17
59%
7
1
0
0
1
1
1
6
3-3
100%
7-10
2-4
70%
45%
0-3
0%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 36.2
18.3
18.3
6
51%
8
0
1
1
2
1
2
6
1-2
50%
1-1
1-2
100%
43%
1-4
25%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 30.7
16.0
22.5
2
20%
6
2
1
1
0
1
4
2
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
53%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.4
12.7
17.2
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
48%
0-2
0%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 34.9
8.7
13.7
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
53%
0-1
0%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 26.6
5.4
0
0-1
51%
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 31.8
1.2
0
0-0
46%
Eric Williams
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 34.3
Jackie Butler
C · 6'10" 260 · 21.7
James White
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.