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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 15, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Grizzlies23%89111
11Kings77%98115
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 26.7
39.8
36.6
17
72%
8
4
1
1
1
4
1
7
2-2
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
49%
3-5
60%
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 27.0
31.4
25.2
15
73%
4
1
0
1
0
3
2
2
3-3
100%
6-9
5-10
67%
46%
0-0
-
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 32.3
24.3
21.0
27
96%
2
1
0
1
0
2
1
1
6-7
86%
9-9
2-6
100%
44%
1-2
50%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 20.2
23.7
22.8
6
34%
5
1
0
1
1
1
1
4
2-4
50%
2-6
3-7
33%
43%
0-1
0%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 24.4
17.4
30.6
4
43%
2
0
0
1
1
1
0
2
4-6
67%
0-2
4-10
0%
45%
0-0
-
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 33.2
34.1
20.9
19
63%
1
4
2
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
5-9
2-5
56%
40%
3-6
50%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 25.9
29.9
14.3
8
45%
6
0
0
0
0
0
1
5
1-2
50%
2-5
1-3
40%
42%
1-3
33%
Lawrence Roberts
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.1
20.5
19.3
8
48%
8
1
1
1
1
0
3
5
2-3
67%
3-7
2-4
43%
45%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 20.6
19.0
10.9
7
61%
3
8
2
0
0
2
1
2
4-4
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
39%
1-3
33%
Jake Tsakalidis
C · 7'2" 290 · 27.4
14.3
0
2-4
49%
Tarence Kinsey
G · 6'6" 189 · 22.7
4.0
0
0-1
42%
Alexander Johnson
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.8
1.2
0
0-0
45%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.4
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 29.5
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 35.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 28.5
42.2
36.4
32
64%
3
10
2
1
0
3
0
3
7-7
100%
8-17
4-8
47%
47%
3-5
60%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 23.8
37.9
36.4
24
72%
3
6
1
1
0
1
0
3
5-6
83%
2-5
5-9
40%
54%
5-9
56%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 29.3
35.9
31.8
4
25%
10
2
2
1
0
2
3
7
0-0
-
2-8
3-5
25%
50%
0-0
-
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.9
33.5
31.4
21
54%
13
1
0
1
0
3
6
7
1-1
100%
10-19
5-10
53%
51%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.9
23.8
8.0
4
41%
3
1
0
0
1
1
2
1
1-2
50%
0-2
0-1
0%
47%
1-2
50%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 27.0
39.6
37.7
19
69%
4
3
1
2
1
3
1
3
1-4
25%
6-10
5-10
60%
46%
2-2
100%
Corliss Williamson
F · 6'7" 245 · 32.9
18.0
10.8
9
54%
1
1
0
0
1
2
1
0
1-3
33%
4-6
2-3
67%
46%
0-1
0%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.4
9.2
9.9
2
50%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
0-1
0%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 26.9
25.7
1
2-4
45%
Quincy Douby
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.5
7.8
0
1-2
45%
Maurice Taylor
F-C · 6'9" 265 · 30.0
2.6
0
0-1
46%
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 28.5
2.6
0
0-1
44%
Vitaly Potapenko
C-F · 6'10" 285 · 31.7
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 30.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.