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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
November 16, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Bulls31%88100
2Rockets69%94101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.9
43.8
38.3
13
55%
7
6
1
1
0
1
0
7
1-2
50%
3-8
4-10
38%
43%
2-3
67%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.6
37.9
35.9
15
61%
5
5
1
1
0
1
3
2
3-3
100%
6-11
6-13
55%
48%
0-0
-
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 32.2
34.8
35.4
1
27%
5
0
5
2
1
2
1
4
1-2
50%
0-1
2-5
0%
46%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 27.0
21.2
25.6
13
43%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-8
3-7
25%
47%
3-7
43%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 24.2
15.4
21.4
4
41%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
0-0
1-3
-
41%
1-4
25%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.6
36.8
29.7
37
64%
6
2
1
1
1
2
0
6
14-16
88%
10-17
4-10
59%
41%
1-5
20%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 20.2
14.1
4.7
4
41%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-4
1-1
25%
45%
0-0
-
P.J. Brown
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 37.1
13.1
18.7
2
33%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
43%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 28.4
12.1
8.8
6
75%
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
45%
0-0
-
Viktor Khryapa
· 6'9" 210 · 24.3
8.2
3.5
4
67%
2
0
1
0
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
45%
0-1
0%
Michael Sweetney
F · 6'8" 270 · 24.1
2.7
9.1
1
27%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
1-3
0%
45%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 22.5
10.5
0
1-3
43%
Martynas Andriuskevicius
C · 7'2" 240 · 20.7
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 32.4
Andre Barrett
G · 5'10" 173 · 24.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 26.2
38.0
34.9
20
46%
12
2
0
1
1
2
2
10
6-6
100%
7-19
9-17
37%
53%
0-0
-
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 27.5
37.7
36.6
21
56%
11
7
1
1
1
4
1
10
3-4
75%
6-10
6-13
60%
46%
2-7
29%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 30.3
35.9
36.5
19
76%
2
4
2
1
0
2
0
2
6-8
75%
2-3
2-6
67%
43%
3-6
50%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 28.2
32.5
35.4
6
52%
2
0
0
1
0
2
1
1
3-4
75%
0-0
2-4
-
51%
1-4
25%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 33.8
19.3
20.3
6
43%
6
2
0
0
0
1
3
3
0-0
-
3-7
3-7
43%
45%
0-0
-
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 24.0
24.9
22.9
13
66%
3
4
1
1
0
3
0
3
2-2
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
45%
3-6
50%
Kirk Snyder
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 23.4
23.6
14.8
5
46%
3
2
1
0
1
0
1
2
1-1
100%
2-2
2-3
100%
47%
0-3
0%
Scott Padgett
F · 6'9" 240 · 30.6
21.1
9.9
11
59%
6
0
0
0
0
1
2
4
2-3
67%
3-4
0-1
75%
40%
1-4
25%
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 40.4
7.0
9.6
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
0-0
-
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 24.0
2.9
0
0-1
41%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 23.4
2.3
0
0-0
49%
Vassilis Spanoulis
G · 6'4" 195 · 24.3
1.5
0
0-0
44%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 23.4
Bob Sura
G · 6'5" 200 · 33.6
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 30.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.