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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 17, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Knicks23%93100
5Heat77%10376
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 26.6
29.2
32.0
9
35%
11
6
1
1
0
0
1
10
1-2
50%
1-5
3-7
20%
42%
2-7
29%
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 24.0
28.6
29.2
13
77%
5
0
0
0
0
4
1
4
1-1
100%
6-8
5-9
75%
53%
0-0
-
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 23.5
25.6
23.2
10
71%
5
0
0
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
5-7
4-9
71%
46%
0-0
-
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 29.7
24.9
34.1
8
67%
3
5
1
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
4-6
4-8
67%
46%
0-0
-
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 29.7
21.6
17.3
14
65%
1
3
0
1
0
2
0
1
4-4
100%
2-7
2-4
29%
44%
2-2
100%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 26.7
23.2
30.6
19
73%
1
3
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
5-8
4-8
63%
44%
3-5
60%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 23.6
20.0
24.5
12
77%
8
0
1
1
0
2
5
3
4-4
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
55%
0-0
-
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.3
19.4
12.5
2
50%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
46%
0-0
-
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 22.5
18.9
20.2
4
41%
5
3
2
1
0
2
0
5
2-2
100%
1-2
2-6
50%
45%
0-2
0%
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 31.0
14.3
4.2
9
92%
3
0
1
0
1
1
1
2
1-2
50%
4-4
1-1
100%
46%
0-0
-
Mardy Collins
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.3
7.4
1.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 32.0
6.9
9.8
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-2
0%
0-3
1-2
0%
41%
0-0
-
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 25.0
Kelvin Cato
C · 6'11" 275 · 32.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 24.8
35.5
41.4
20
51%
3
6
2
2
1
2
0
3
4-4
100%
8-16
9-18
50%
52%
0-2
0%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.4
32.4
37.1
13
49%
8
1
1
1
1
1
4
4
3-5
60%
5-11
5-10
45%
52%
0-0
-
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 38.3
23.8
28.4
12
76%
5
0
0
1
0
1
0
5
2-2
100%
5-6
1-3
83%
50%
0-1
0%
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 36.8
23.7
19.8
7
42%
7
2
0
0
4
1
2
5
1-3
33%
3-7
2-4
43%
57%
0-0
-
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.3
23.4
36.5
3
15%
4
1
0
1
0
1
1
3
1-2
50%
1-5
3-6
20%
50%
0-4
0%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 21.0
21.1
23.5
2
13%
5
0
1
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
1-7
3-5
14%
50%
0-1
0%
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 29.4
20.3
2.8
5
53%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
3-4
75%
1-3
0-1
33%
45%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 31.0
18.0
26.4
8
50%
1
3
2
1
0
4
1
0
0-0
-
1-4
2-3
25%
50%
2-4
50%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 29.8
14.2
26.6
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-1
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Wayne Simien
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.7
13.3
3.4
4
67%
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
50%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.8
8.9
5.8
2
53%
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
0-0
1-1
-
44%
0-1
0%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.1
5.3
1.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
46%
0-0
-
Robert Hite
G · 6'2" 184 · 22.8
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 25.3
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 34.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.