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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 17, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Bulls24%8883
1Spurs76%97100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.9
35.5
40.2
12
48%
2
6
0
1
0
5
1
1
6-10
60%
3-8
4-10
38%
43%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 24.2
31.0
18.8
11
80%
1
4
0
1
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
2-3
1-2
67%
41%
2-3
67%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 32.2
29.5
34.6
6
39%
10
1
3
2
4
3
3
7
2-6
33%
2-5
2-5
40%
46%
0-0
-
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.6
26.9
36.4
14
78%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
7-9
6-13
78%
47%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 27.0
25.2
23.7
2
10%
5
0
4
0
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
1-8
3-7
13%
46%
0-2
0%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.6
24.8
32.7
21
62%
3
2
0
1
0
7
0
3
2-2
100%
5-12
5-11
42%
41%
3-4
75%
Viktor Khryapa
· 6'9" 210 · 24.3
20.8
6.1
2
25%
4
3
1
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-4
1-1
25%
45%
0-0
-
P.J. Brown
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 37.1
19.6
16.1
9
70%
5
0
1
0
0
0
1
4
1-1
100%
4-6
2-5
67%
43%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 28.4
18.5
10.7
4
33%
6
0
0
0
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
45%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 22.5
5.1
7.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-0
-
Michael Sweetney
F · 6'8" 270 · 24.1
3.2
4.9
2
50%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
44%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 20.3
9.4
0
1-3
44%
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 32.4
Andre Barrett
G · 5'10" 173 · 24.7
Martynas Andriuskevicius
C · 7'2" 240 · 20.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 30.6
32.2
35.4
21
66%
11
0
1
1
3
5
1
10
1-2
50%
10-15
8-15
67%
50%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.5
25.2
33.6
13
72%
2
8
0
1
0
4
0
2
7-7
100%
3-6
8-15
50%
52%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 29.3
23.4
32.5
5
34%
3
5
4
2
0
0
0
3
3-3
100%
1-3
4-8
33%
50%
0-3
0%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 35.4
22.9
33.7
11
70%
2
1
2
1
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
2-3
1-3
67%
43%
2-4
50%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 31.7
12.4
14.1
2
50%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
50%
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 33.7
23.9
23.4
8
67%
4
1
2
0
1
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
44%
2-4
50%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.4
23.9
14.9
6
50%
0
9
2
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
47%
0-1
0%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 34.9
21.5
11.4
14
74%
4
2
0
0
0
1
0
4
1-1
100%
2-3
1-1
67%
52%
3-6
50%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 36.2
19.4
17.4
3
38%
3
2
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
1-3
33%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 30.7
19.1
19.1
6
75%
7
0
0
1
2
2
3
4
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
51%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 26.6
12.9
4.7
10
63%
3
0
0
0
0
2
2
1
1-2
50%
0-3
0-1
0%
50%
3-4
75%
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 31.8
3.2
0.8
1
57%
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Jackie Butler
C · 6'10" 260 · 21.7
Eric Williams
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 34.3
James White
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.