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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 17, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Raptors30%100100
13Lakers70%107107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jorge Garbajosa
F · 6'9" 245 · 28.9
40.4
16.6
10
56%
8
2
4
1
0
1
0
8
0-0
-
5-6
1-3
83%
45%
0-3
0%
Fred Jones
G · 6'2" 225 · 27.7
38.5
31.3
12
45%
6
6
3
1
0
0
1
5
3-3
100%
3-7
2-5
43%
45%
1-5
20%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 22.7
34.5
40.5
20
72%
10
2
0
1
2
4
2
8
7-9
78%
5-9
8-16
56%
49%
1-1
100%
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 23.7
31.7
31.4
13
47%
2
6
1
1
1
4
1
1
1-2
50%
6-13
5-10
46%
44%
0-0
-
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 31.4
17.6
31.3
2
17%
2
4
0
1
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
1-4
4-8
25%
47%
0-2
0%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 29.2
33.0
26.4
20
57%
5
3
1
1
0
2
0
5
5-6
83%
6-9
2-5
67%
45%
1-6
17%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.1
16.6
16.1
10
56%
0
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
4-7
2-4
57%
47%
0-1
0%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 30.5
14.7
11.8
9
77%
3
0
1
0
0
0
3
0
1-2
50%
4-5
1-3
80%
47%
0-0
-
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.4
6.6
10.4
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
48%
0-0
-
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 21.1
6.4
11.9
2
21%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-4
50%
0-2
2-4
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Darrick Martin
G · 5'11" 170 · 35.7
3.3
0
0-1
35%
PJ Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 21.5
2.6
0
0-1
44%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.8
Pape Sow
F · 6'10" 250 · 25.0
Uros Slokar
F · 6'10" 238 · 23.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 28.2
40.3
35.8
31
64%
11
7
0
2
0
6
1
10
11-12
92%
10-17
6-12
59%
50%
0-2
0%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 27.0
36.0
40.4
10
56%
5
1
2
1
1
1
0
5
2-2
100%
4-5
5-9
80%
52%
0-3
0%
Smush Parker
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.5
33.8
29.6
11
50%
3
3
1
1
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
4-8
3-5
50%
50%
1-3
33%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.6
31.4
32.2
12
60%
3
4
1
1
0
2
0
3
4-7
57%
4-7
4-9
57%
49%
0-0
-
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 19.1
22.2
24.2
7
45%
5
1
0
0
0
1
0
5
3-4
75%
2-6
3-6
33%
54%
0-0
-
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 24.7
19.5
20.2
8
52%
7
1
0
0
1
1
3
4
2-6
33%
3-5
3-5
60%
50%
0-0
-
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 28.0
18.4
16.8
4
50%
1
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
50%
0-0
-
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 20.0
14.2
16.4
7
117%
2
4
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
49%
1-1
100%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 26.0
11.0
12.4
8
93%
2
1
1
0
0
1
2
0
2-3
67%
3-3
1-2
100%
46%
0-0
-
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 26.0
10.5
8.7
6
50%
4
1
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
3-5
2-3
60%
51%
0-1
0%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 22.7
2.6
6.4
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
38%
1-1
100%
Shammond Williams
G · 6'1" 201 · 31.6
3.6
0
0-1
42%
Aaron McKie
G · 6'5" 209 · 34.1
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 23.8
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 27.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.