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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 17, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Jazz39%104118
9SuperSonics61%108109
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 25.0
36.8
34.3
14
57%
13
4
1
1
0
3
4
9
4-5
80%
5-10
8-14
50%
54%
0-0
-
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.4
34.8
36.9
27
68%
3
8
2
1
0
2
0
3
7-9
78%
7-13
5-11
54%
48%
2-3
67%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 27.5
33.4
35.4
15
64%
11
4
0
1
0
2
4
7
3-4
75%
3-6
5-10
50%
50%
2-4
50%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 21.7
23.8
13.3
11
56%
5
1
2
0
0
3
4
1
1-2
50%
5-8
2-4
63%
50%
0-1
0%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 19.7
10.5
19.6
4
33%
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
48%
0-1
0%
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 30.5
36.1
25.9
21
64%
3
2
1
1
0
1
0
3
2-3
67%
8-14
4-8
57%
50%
1-1
100%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 21.8
20.6
19.6
11
63%
6
0
1
1
1
0
3
3
3-4
75%
4-7
2-5
57%
50%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 32.3
17.9
20.7
7
34%
1
6
2
1
0
1
1
0
0-1
0%
2-8
2-5
25%
43%
1-2
50%
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 28.0
14.6
7.2
8
75%
5
1
1
0
0
0
3
2
2-3
67%
3-4
1-1
75%
47%
0-0
-
Dee Brown
G · 6'0" 185 · 22.3
11.6
3.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Rafael Araujo
C · 6'11" 270 · 26.3
3.3
0
0-1
42%
Roger Powell
F · 6'6" 220 · 23.8
2.2
0
0-0
48%
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 29.4
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 27.3
39.7
39.2
24
66%
2
3
2
1
3
3
0
2
5-5
100%
5-10
5-10
50%
50%
3-6
50%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 24.2
39.5
32.0
8
62%
11
0
0
1
1
0
2
9
0-1
0%
4-6
5-9
67%
54%
0-0
-
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 31.3
39.1
39.9
32
69%
5
3
1
1
0
6
0
5
13-14
93%
8-11
6-12
73%
48%
1-6
17%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.8
35.0
36.7
15
69%
0
7
2
2
0
5
0
0
2-2
100%
5-8
4-10
63%
46%
1-2
50%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 20.8
19.6
17.3
6
44%
3
0
0
0
1
1
0
3
2-2
100%
2-6
2-4
33%
51%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 26.9
20.4
20.2
7
64%
1
3
0
1
3
1
0
1
1-1
100%
3-5
3-6
60%
47%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 27.4
19.0
15.3
6
53%
0
6
0
1
0
2
0
0
3-6
50%
0-1
1-3
0%
45%
1-2
50%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 26.1
15.3
25.5
11
76%
2
0
0
0
0
2
2
0
3-5
60%
4-5
4-7
80%
50%
0-0
-
Mickael Gelabale
F · 6'7" 215 · 23.5
9.0
1.3
0
0%
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-1
0%
Mouhamed Sene
C · 6'11" 230 · 20.5
3.5
2.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 27.5
1.9
0
0-0
40%
Andreas Glyniadakis
C · 7'1" 280 · 25.2
1.8
0
0-0
50%
Danny Fortson
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 30.6
Desmon Farmer
G · 6'5" 220 · 25.1
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 21.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.