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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
November 20, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Mavericks65%9993
26Bobcats35%9485
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 28.4
40.6
36.5
24
62%
14
4
0
1
2
1
2
12
10-12
83%
7-13
7-13
54%
49%
0-1
0%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.7
35.7
25.7
17
55%
6
6
0
1
1
4
1
5
7-8
88%
5-12
3-7
42%
49%
0-0
-
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 31.4
34.8
28.9
8
31%
15
2
1
0
2
3
8
7
2-9
22%
3-9
3-6
33%
53%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 29.2
32.9
37.6
15
54%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-9
5-9
33%
50%
3-5
60%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 32.0
31.0
29.5
15
48%
3
1
1
1
0
0
0
3
2-4
50%
5-13
4-9
38%
44%
1-1
100%
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 30.2
25.7
20.3
7
88%
5
1
2
1
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
52%
1-2
50%
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 32.1
12.8
20.7
2
20%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
47%
0-0
-
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 24.8
12.6
16.6
1
27%
1
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 31.6
7.4
7.1
2
17%
1
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
0-3
0-1
0%
44%
0-2
0%
Maurice Ager
F-G · 6'5" 202 · 22.8
6.5
5.2
2
25%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
1-1
25%
44%
0-0
-
Pops Mensah-Bonsu
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.2
2.2
0
0-1
46%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 22.4
0.9
0
0-0
40%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 26.6
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 25.9
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 22.3
42.7
35.8
7
25%
2
2
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-8
5-10
25%
47%
1-6
17%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 24.1
41.0
35.3
22
61%
13
3
1
1
8
3
2
11
6-9
67%
8-14
6-13
57%
47%
0-0
-
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 24.3
40.9
34.7
21
67%
6
5
0
2
0
3
1
5
3-4
75%
9-13
4-8
69%
52%
0-1
0%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 22.4
34.4
35.9
12
38%
2
2
1
1
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
6-12
4-8
50%
43%
0-4
0%
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 31.0
21.0
34.9
5
44%
3
5
1
2
0
2
0
3
5-6
83%
0-3
4-9
0%
43%
0-0
-
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 22.6
20.8
21.3
10
68%
3
3
0
1
0
0
0
3
2-3
67%
4-6
4-9
67%
48%
0-0
-
Jake Voskuhl
C · 6'11" 255 · 29.1
11.3
7.1
6
100%
5
0
1
0
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
3-3
1-2
100%
47%
0-0
-
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 24.1
9.8
9.1
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
Bernard Robinson
G-F · 6'6" 210 · 25.9
8.7
18.3
2
53%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
46%
0-0
-
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 28.6
7.9
5.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 27.1
1.4
15.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
3-6
-
51%
0-0
-
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 32.8
3.8
0
1-1
50%
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 26.2
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 22.1
Walter Herrmann
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.