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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
November 20, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Rockets67%10097
28Knicks33%9490
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 26.2
40.6
35.7
26
62%
9
1
1
1
3
4
3
6
14-16
88%
6-14
9-18
43%
53%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 28.2
38.8
33.9
6
61%
7
2
1
1
3
4
2
5
1-2
50%
1-1
2-4
100%
52%
1-3
33%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 27.5
37.4
34.1
24
60%
4
5
2
1
3
4
0
4
9-11
82%
3-7
6-12
43%
47%
3-8
38%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 30.3
35.3
33.4
17
67%
1
3
2
1
0
3
0
1
3-4
75%
4-4
2-5
100%
44%
2-7
29%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 33.8
21.2
21.0
6
60%
8
0
1
0
0
2
1
7
0-0
-
3-5
3-7
60%
46%
0-0
-
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 24.0
26.2
24.3
10
63%
5
2
0
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
45%
2-3
67%
Scott Padgett
F · 6'9" 240 · 30.6
19.5
15.4
6
75%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
2-3
67%
Vassilis Spanoulis
G · 6'4" 195 · 24.3
12.5
1.2
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
48%
0-0
-
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 40.4
5.1
9.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Kirk Snyder
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 23.5
3.5
21.8
2
53%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
1-1
2-4
100%
48%
0-0
-
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 24.0
2.3
0
0-1
43%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 23.4
2.2
0
0-0
50%
Bob Sura
G · 6'5" 200 · 33.7
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 23.4
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 30.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 23.5
42.4
20.1
22
53%
9
0
1
0
2
1
2
7
6-6
100%
8-17
3-7
47%
46%
0-1
0%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 26.6
39.5
28.1
6
28%
8
3
0
1
0
1
1
7
1-2
50%
1-5
2-6
20%
42%
1-5
20%
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 24.0
21.1
26.0
8
34%
2
0
1
0
0
4
1
1
2-4
50%
3-10
4-8
30%
53%
0-0
-
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 29.7
19.6
34.5
3
75%
0
3
0
1
1
4
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
4-8
-
47%
1-2
50%
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 29.7
19.4
22.5
7
60%
4
3
3
1
0
2
2
2
2-2
100%
1-4
2-5
25%
44%
1-1
100%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 26.7
35.2
30.0
25
51%
4
3
2
1
0
1
3
1
8-8
100%
7-14
4-9
50%
44%
1-7
14%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 22.5
26.8
21.5
0
0%
2
4
0
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-6
0%
45%
0-0
-
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 23.6
25.1
23.7
15
66%
12
0
4
1
0
0
8
4
3-3
100%
6-10
3-6
60%
56%
0-0
-
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.4
4.9
14.2
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
Kelvin Cato
C · 6'11" 275 · 32.2
3.1
1.5
4
67%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
0-0
67%
48%
0-0
-
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 31.0
2.9
9.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 32.0
6.3
0
1-1
41%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 25.0
Mardy Collins
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.