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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
November 20, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Magic54%9486
29Grizzlies46%9395
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 20.9
40.9
33.1
24
77%
23
1
1
1
1
3
8
15
6-8
75%
9-12
5-9
75%
53%
0-0
-
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 34.1
38.2
28.3
16
66%
6
7
0
1
2
3
2
4
4-5
80%
6-10
5-10
60%
50%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 27.7
34.6
27.1
12
36%
3
5
0
1
0
4
1
2
2-2
100%
2-10
3-6
20%
45%
2-6
33%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 24.8
33.5
27.0
12
47%
2
4
2
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
5-9
4-8
56%
51%
0-3
0%
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 30.8
29.1
21.5
10
71%
5
1
2
0
1
2
0
5
0-0
-
5-7
2-4
71%
49%
0-0
-
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 21.4
17.8
20.5
0
0%
5
1
0
0
3
1
0
5
0-0
-
0-5
3-7
0%
47%
0-0
-
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 27.3
14.5
20.5
3
25%
0
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-4
3-6
0%
45%
1-2
50%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 26.5
12.8
22.1
3
34%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
1-1
100%
1-2
3-6
50%
45%
0-2
0%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 26.5
12.8
9.2
4
40%
2
0
0
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-1
50%
42%
0-1
0%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 21.4
5.8
23.9
2
100%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
3-6
100%
45%
0-0
-
Pat Garrity
F · 6'9" 238 · 30.2
6.9
0
0-1
44%
Bo Outlaw
F · 6'8" 220 · 35.6
2.3
0
0-0
49%
James Augustine
F · 6'10" 235 · 22.7
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 22.4
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 24.4
32.8
30.4
26
61%
10
1
0
1
0
3
4
6
4-5
80%
11-19
5-10
58%
47%
0-0
-
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 32.3
29.6
27.8
6
34%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
1-6
4-8
17%
47%
1-2
50%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 26.8
27.4
33.8
11
92%
1
4
2
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
51%
3-4
75%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 20.3
23.5
24.1
4
17%
3
1
2
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
2-11
4-8
18%
47%
0-1
0%
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 27.0
14.0
24.6
5
36%
3
0
0
1
0
2
1
2
1-2
50%
2-6
4-9
33%
48%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 20.7
30.3
17.3
16
66%
5
6
5
1
0
0
0
5
3-5
60%
5-8
1-3
63%
43%
1-2
50%
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 33.2
24.7
26.1
4
25%
2
5
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-6
3-6
17%
43%
0-1
0%
Jake Tsakalidis
C · 7'2" 290 · 27.4
23.6
5.2
11
87%
9
0
1
0
1
0
2
7
3-3
100%
4-5
1-1
80%
51%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 25.9
23.2
18.7
9
70%
1
1
0
1
1
1
0
1
1-1
100%
4-6
2-4
67%
45%
0-0
-
Lawrence Roberts
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.1
10.8
22.5
3
44%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
1-3
2-5
33%
48%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 29.6
7.1
0
1-1
42%
Alexander Johnson
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.8
0.8
0
0-0
47%
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 35.1
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.4
Tarence Kinsey
G · 6'6" 189 · 22.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.