Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, November 20, 2006

Final			Win Prob.	pScore
	1	Spurs	71%	96	107
	30	Trail Blazers	29%	89	98

	ORTG	#Poss	Pace
SAS	123.0	87	83.6
POR	114.0	86	90.8

Scoring Opportunities

SAS

-11

POR

+18

-18

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.26 62.9%

POR

1.11 55.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / WinProb
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	POR
Q4 - 0:00.0	SAS		107 100%	98 0%
Q4 - 0:18.0	POR	Jack Driving Layup (12 PTS)	107 99.9%	98 0.1%
Q4 - 0:23.0	SAS	Udrih Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	107 99.9%	96 0.1%
Q4 - 0:23.0	SAS	Udrih Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)	106 99.9%	96 0.1%
Q4 - 0:24.0	POR	Webster Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Randolph 2 AST)	105 99.9%	96 0.1%
Q4 - 0:30.0	POR	Randolph REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)	105 99.9%	94 0.1%
Q4 - 0:32.0	POR	MISS Jack 26' 3PT Jump Shot	105 99.9%	94 0.1%
Q4 - 0:37.0	SAS	Barry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)	105 99.9%	94 0.1%
Q4 - 0:53.0	SAS	Ginobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	105 99.9%	94 0.1%
Q4 - 0:57.0	SAS	MISS Barry 25' 3PT Jump Shot	105 99.9%	94 0.1%
Q4 - 1:19	SAS	Barry Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)	105 99.9%	94 0.1%
Q4 - 1:19	SAS	Spurs Rebound	104 99.8%	94 0.2%
Q4 - 1:19	POR	MISS Randolph Layup	104 99.8%	94 0.2%
Q4 - 1:29	POR	Webster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	104 99.6%	94 0.4%
Q4 - 1:31	SAS	MISS Parker 17' Jump Shot	104 99.7%	94 0.3%
Q4 - 1:54	POR	Dixon 6' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Webster 1 AST)	104 99.7%	94 0.3%
Q4 - 2:01	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Rebound	104 99.8%	92 0.2%
Q4 - 2:02	POR	MISS Aldridge 7' Jump Shot	104 99.9%	92 0.1%
Q4 - 2:27	SAS	Ginobili Driving Layup (25 PTS)	104 99.8%	92 0.2%
Q4 - 2:40	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#19)	102 99.7%	92 0.3%
Q4 - 2:41	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Rebound	102 99.4%	92 0.6%
Q4 - 2:41	POR	MISS Dixon 14' Jump Shot	102 99.6%	92 0.4%
Q4 - 3:04	SAS	Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)	102 99.1%	92 0.9%
Q4 - 3:04	SAS	MISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 2	101 99.0%	92 1.0%
Q4 - 3:08	POR	Magloire Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T18)	101 99.2%	92 0.8%
Q4 - 3:29	SAS	Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Duncan 5 AST)	101 98.6%	92 1.4%
Q4 - 3:48	SAS	Ginobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	98 95.8%	92 4.2%
Q4 - 3:49	POR	MISS Randolph 6' Hook Shot	98 95.3%	92 4.7%
Q4 - 4:03	SAS	Barry Layup (9 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)	98 94.1%	92 5.9%
Q4 - 4:08	POR	Jack Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T17)	96 91.8%	92 8.2%
Q4 - 4:24	SAS	Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)	96 88.3%	92 11.7%
Q4 - 4:42	POR	Jack Driving Layup (10 PTS)	93 78.3%	92 21.7%
Q4 - 4:58	POR	Jump Ball Magloire vs. Duncan: Tip to Randolph	93 83.8%	90 16.2%
Q4 - 4:59	SAS	Magloire BLOCK (1 BLK)	93 85.4%	90 14.6%
Q4 - 5:15	POR	Jack Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	93 87.4%	90 12.6%
Q4 - 5:15	POR	Jack Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)	93 87.9%	89 12.1%
Q4 - 5:29	POR	Magloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	93 90.5%	88 9.5%
Q4 - 5:31	SAS	MISS Duncan 10' Turnaround Jump Shot	93 91.4%	88 8.6%
Q4 - 5:57	POR	Randolph 5' Running Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Magloire 1 AST)	93 93.2%	88 6.8%
Q4 - 6:15	SAS	Parker Layup (14 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)	93 94.0%	86 6.0%
Q4 - 6:28	POR	Dixon Traveling Turnover (P3.T16)	91 92.4%	86 7.6%
Q4 - 6:40	SAS	Graham STEAL (1 STL)	91 89.6%	86 10.4%
Q4 - 6:53	POR	Graham Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)	91 92.4%	86 7.6%
Q4 - 6:53	POR	Graham Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)	91 92.8%	85 7.2%
Q4 - 7:14	SAS	Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Finley 2 AST)	91 93.3%	84 6.7%
Q4 - 7:27	SAS	Spurs Rebound	88 89.3%	84 10.7%
Q4 - 7:27	POR	Graham REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	88 85.9%	84 14.1%
Q4 - 7:27	POR	MISS Graham Tip Shot	88 88.4%	84 11.6%
Q4 - 7:28	POR	MISS Outlaw 22' Jump Shot	88 88.4%	84 11.6%
Q4 - 7:50	SAS	Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)	88 86.0%	84 14.0%
Q4 - 8:10	POR	Graham 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS)	85 77.5%	84 22.5%
Q4 - 8:23	POR	Graham REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	85 81.6%	82 18.4%
Q4 - 8:25	SAS	MISS Udrih 25' 3PT Jump Shot	85 82.8%	82 17.2%
Q4 - 8:44	POR	Dixon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)	85 85.3%	82 14.7%
Q4 - 9:10	SAS	Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)	85 90.1%	79 9.9%
Q4 - 9:26	POR	Dickau 5' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)	82 85.0%	79 15.0%
Q4 - 9:48	POR	Dickau REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	82 87.7%	77 12.3%
Q4 - 9:50	SAS	MISS Barry 27' 3PT Jump Shot	82 88.5%	77 11.5%
Q4 - 10:04	POR	Graham 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dixon 2 AST)	82 89.5%	77 10.5%
Q4 - 10:31	SAS	Barry Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)	82 91.3%	75 8.7%
Q4 - 10:31	SAS	Barry Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)	81 91.0%	75 9.0%
Q4 - 10:44	POR	Magloire Foul Turnover (P1.T15)	80 89.5%	75 10.5%
Q4 - 10:55	POR	Graham REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	80 87.0%	75 13.0%
Q4 - 10:58	SAS	MISS Udrih 25' 3PT Jump Shot	80 87.8%	75 12.2%
Q4 - 11:10	SAS	Finley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	80 88.6%	75 11.4%
Q4 - 11:12	POR	MISS Magloire Free Throw 2 of 2	80 88.3%	75 11.7%
Q4 - 11:12	POR	Magloire Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)	80 87.0%	75 13.0%
Q4 - 11:30	SAS	Finley 4' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS)	80 88.5%	74 11.5%
Q4 - 11:43	POR	Dickau Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)	78 86.3%	74 13.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0	POR		78 83.3%	74 16.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0	SAS	Udrih 8' Jump Shot (6 PTS)	78 83.3%	74 16.7%
Q3 - 0:11.0	POR	Dixon Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)	76 80.3%	74 19.7%
Q3 - 0:11.0	POR	Dixon Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)	76 80.8%	73 19.2%
Q3 - 0:31.0	SAS	Udrih Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	76 83.3%	72 16.7%
Q3 - 0:31.0	SAS	Udrih Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	75 82.8%	72 17.2%
Q3 - 0:38.0	SAS	Bowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	74 80.2%	72 19.8%
Q3 - 0:40.0	POR	MISS Dixon 16' Jump Shot	74 79.2%	72 20.8%
Q3 - 0:42.0	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Rebound	74 76.8%	72 23.2%
Q3 - 0:42.0	POR	MISS Randolph 4' Jump Shot	74 79.2%	72 20.8%
Q3 - 1:06	SAS	Duncan Layup (25 PTS) (Horry 4 AST)	74 77.0%	72 23.0%
Q3 - 1:14	SAS	Barry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	72 73.5%	72 26.5%
Q3 - 1:17	POR	MISS Dixon 25' 3PT Jump Shot	72 72.2%	72 27.8%
Q3 - 1:37	POR	Randolph REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)	72 69.3%	72 30.7%
Q3 - 1:39	SAS	MISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 2	72 69.9%	72 30.1%
Q3 - 1:39	SAS	MISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 2	72 72.2%	72 27.8%
Q3 - 1:58	POR	Webster Traveling Turnover (P3.T13)	72 73.4%	72 26.6%
Q3 - 2:15	SAS	Bowen 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Horry 3 AST)	72 69.2%	72 30.8%
Q3 - 2:22	SAS	Udrih REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	69 61.2%	72 38.8%
Q3 - 2:25	SAS	MISS Horry 24' 3PT Jump Shot	69 57.8%	72 42.2%
Q3 - 2:44	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	69 61.2%	72 38.8%
Q3 - 2:46	POR	MISS Webster 16' Jump Shot	69 59.7%	72 40.3%
Q3 - 3:06	SAS	Duncan 7' Jump Shot (23 PTS)	69 57.3%	72 42.7%
Q3 - 3:19	POR	Jack Traveling Turnover (P2.T12)	67 53.1%	72 46.9%
Q3 - 3:33	POR	Randolph REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)	67 48.3%	72 51.7%
Q3 - 3:34	SAS	MISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 2	67 48.9%	72 51.1%
Q3 - 3:34	SAS	MISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 2	67 51.5%	72 48.5%
Q3 - 3:55	POR	Outlaw Layup (5 PTS)	67 53.0%	72 47.0%
Q3 - 3:56	POR	Outlaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	67 57.2%	70 42.8%
Q3 - 3:58	POR	MISS Jack 13' Jump Shot	67 60.4%	70 39.6%
Q3 - 4:20	SAS	Duncan 12' Jump Bank Shot (21 PTS)	67 58.0%	70 42.0%
Q3 - 4:34	POR	Aldridge Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)	65 54.4%	70 45.6%
Q3 - 4:53	SAS	Duncan Turnaround Jump Shot (19 PTS)	65 49.4%	70 50.6%
Q3 - 5:12	POR	Udoka Palming Turnover (P3.T10)	63 46.9%	70 53.1%
Q3 - 5:31	SAS	Bowen 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)	63 42.4%	70 57.6%
Q3 - 5:39	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	60 34.8%	70 65.2%
Q3 - 5:40	POR	MISS Randolph Layup	60 33.6%	70 66.4%
Q3 - 5:48	POR	Aldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	60 30.8%	70 69.2%
Q3 - 5:53	SAS	MISS Parker 3PT Jump Shot	60 32.0%	70 68.0%
Q3 - 6:20	POR	Udoka 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)	60 36.6%	70 63.4%
Q3 - 6:36	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Rebound	60 40.0%	68 60.0%
Q3 - 6:37	SAS	MISS Parker Reverse Layup	60 41.3%	68 58.7%
Q3 - 6:45	SAS	Parker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	60 44.2%	68 55.8%
Q3 - 6:46	POR	MISS Aldridge Layup	60 42.9%	68 57.1%
Q3 - 6:52	SAS	Udoka STEAL (2 STL)	60 40.0%	68 60.0%
Q3 - 7:10	POR	Udoka Palming Turnover (P2.T9)	60 45.0%	68 55.0%
Q3 - 7:18	POR	Aldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	60 40.6%	68 59.4%
Q3 - 7:20	SAS	MISS Parker 18' Jump Shot	60 42.0%	68 58.0%
Q3 - 7:33	POR	Aldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	60 45.0%	68 55.0%
Q3 - 7:33	POR	Aldridge Follow Up Dunk (8 PTS)	60 45.0%	68 55.0%
Q3 - 7:34	POR	MISS Randolph Layup	60 51.4%	66 48.6%
Q3 - 7:36	POR	Randolph REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)	60 48.3%	66 51.7%
Q3 - 7:38	POR	MISS Webster 24' 3PT Jump Shot	60 51.4%	66 48.6%
Q3 - 8:01	POR	Randolph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	60 49.6%	66 50.4%
Q3 - 8:02	SAS	MISS Ginobili Layup	60 50.9%	66 49.1%
Q3 - 8:24	POR	Webster 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Udoka 5 AST)	60 53.8%	66 46.2%
Q3 - 8:37	SAS	Duncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)	60 60.6%	63 39.4%
Q3 - 8:50	SAS	Spurs Rebound	57 53.7%	63 46.3%
Q3 - 8:51	POR	MISS Udoka 3PT Jump Shot	57 52.4%	63 47.6%
Q3 - 9:04	SAS	Duncan 5' Jump Hook Shot (14 PTS)	57 51.0%	63 49.0%
Q3 - 9:25	POR	Webster Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)	55 47.4%	63 52.6%
Q3 - 9:44	SAS	Parker 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS)	55 43.6%	63 56.4%
Q3 - 10:02	POR	Randolph 4' Hook Shot (21 PTS) (Udoka 4 AST)	53 42.3%	63 57.7%
Q3 - 10:14	SAS	Bowen 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)	53 45.3%	61 54.7%
Q3 - 10:32	POR	Webster 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jack 5 AST)	51 42.1%	61 57.9%
Q3 - 10:50	SAS	Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)	51 48.7%	58 51.3%
Q3 - 10:58	SAS	Ginobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	48 42.1%	58 57.9%
Q3 - 11:00	POR	MISS Aldridge 19' Jump Shot	48 40.9%	58 59.1%
Q3 - 11:22	POR	Udoka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	48 40.4%	58 59.6%
Q3 - 11:23	SAS	MISS Duncan 4' Jump Shot	48 41.5%	58 58.5%
Q3 - 11:44	POR	Udoka Layup (4 PTS) (Jack 4 AST)	48 43.9%	58 56.1%
Q3 - 11:49	SAS	Udoka STEAL (1 STL)	48 47.1%	56 52.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0	SAS		48 50.7%	56 49.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0	SAS	Spurs Rebound	48 50.7%	56 49.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0	SAS	MISS Duncan 46' 3PT Jump Shot	48 48.2%	56 51.8%
Q2 - 0:01.0	POR	Dixon Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)	48 51.6%	56 48.4%
Q2 - 0:01.0	POR	Dixon Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)	48 52.1%	55 47.9%
Q2 - 0:21.0	POR	Randolph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	48 55.8%	54 44.2%
Q2 - 0:23.0	POR	MISS Dickau Driving Layup	48 57.4%	54 42.6%
Q2 - 0:33.0	SAS	Duncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)	48 55.8%	54 44.2%
Q2 - 0:33.0	SAS	Duncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)	47 54.7%	54 45.3%
Q2 - 0:35.0	POR	Dixon Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)	46 51.5%	54 48.5%
Q2 - 0:37.0	SAS	Randolph STEAL (1 STL)	46 49.1%	54 50.9%
Q2 - 0:49.0	POR	Randolph 11' Jump Shot (19 PTS)	46 51.5%	54 48.5%
Q2 - 1:02	SAS	Dixon STEAL (1 STL)	46 56.7%	52 43.3%
Q2 - 1:21	POR	Dixon Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	46 58.3%	52 41.7%
Q2 - 1:21	POR	Dixon Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)	46 58.9%	51 41.1%
Q2 - 1:30	POR	Aldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	46 62.9%	50 37.1%
Q2 - 1:32	SAS	MISS Parker 18' Jump Shot	46 63.4%	50 36.6%
Q2 - 1:55	POR	Randolph Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)	46 64.4%	50 35.6%
Q2 - 1:55	POR	Randolph Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)	46 65.1%	49 34.9%
Q2 - 2:15	SAS	Oberto 6' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)	46 68.4%	48 31.6%
Q2 - 2:25	POR	Magloire Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	44 65.5%	48 34.5%
Q2 - 2:25	POR	Magloire Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)	44 66.4%	47 33.6%
Q2 - 2:25	POR	Magloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	44 68.5%	46 31.5%
Q2 - 2:26	POR	MISS Dixon 25' 3PT Jump Shot	44 70.1%	46 29.9%
Q2 - 2:48	SAS	Oberto Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)	44 68.5%	46 31.5%
Q2 - 3:01	POR	Dixon 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS)	42 66.7%	46 33.3%
Q2 - 3:24	SAS	Duncan 5' Jump Hook Shot (10 PTS)	42 68.9%	44 31.1%
Q2 - 3:44	POR	Jack 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)	40 66.6%	44 33.4%
Q2 - 4:04	SAS	Oberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	40 69.7%	42 30.3%
Q2 - 4:04	SAS	Oberto Tip Shot (2 PTS)	40 69.7%	42 30.3%
Q2 - 4:06	SAS	MISS Ginobili Layup	38 65.4%	42 34.6%
Q2 - 4:24	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	38 67.2%	42 32.8%
Q2 - 4:26	POR	MISS Dixon 21' Jump Shot	38 66.4%	42 33.6%
Q2 - 4:35	POR	Magloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	38 64.6%	42 35.4%
Q2 - 4:39	SAS	MISS Duncan 4' Hook Shot	38 65.4%	42 34.6%
Q2 - 4:54	POR	Randolph Driving Layup (15 PTS) (Dixon 1 AST)	38 67.1%	42 32.9%
Q2 - 5:15	SAS	Parker Traveling Turnover (P2.T5)	38 70.0%	40 30.0%
Q2 - 5:29	POR	Jack Palming Turnover (P1.T6)	38 72.5%	40 27.5%
Q2 - 5:42	POR	Dixon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	38 70.0%	40 30.0%
Q2 - 5:45	SAS	MISS Duncan 18' Jump Shot	38 70.8%	40 29.2%
Q2 - 6:07	POR	Jack Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	38 73.0%	40 27.0%
Q2 - 6:07	POR	Jack Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	38 73.3%	39 26.7%
Q2 - 6:13	SAS	Barry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)	38 74.7%	38 25.3%
Q2 - 6:15	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	35 70.8%	38 29.2%
Q2 - 6:18	SAS	MISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot	35 68.9%	38 31.1%
Q2 - 6:36	POR	Outlaw 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jack 3 AST)	35 70.8%	38 29.2%
Q2 - 6:53	POR	Magloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	35 74.7%	35 25.3%
Q2 - 6:54	SAS	MISS Barry 24' 3PT Jump Shot	35 75.5%	35 24.5%
Q2 - 7:13	POR	Dixon Driving Layup (4 PTS)	35 77.2%	35 22.8%
Q2 - 7:31	SAS	Udrih 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)	35 78.8%	33 21.2%
Q2 - 7:44	SAS	Horry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	33 77.2%	33 22.8%
Q2 - 7:46	POR	MISS Dixon 5' Jump Shot	33 76.6%	33 23.4%
Q2 - 8:01	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Rebound	33 74.9%	33 25.1%
Q2 - 8:02	POR	MISS Outlaw 14' Jump Shot	33 76.4%	33 23.6%
Q2 - 8:21	SAS	Duncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	33 74.9%	33 25.1%
Q2 - 8:21	SAS	Duncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)	32 74.4%	33 25.6%
Q2 - 8:38	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	31 73.2%	33 26.8%
Q2 - 8:39	POR	MISS Magloire Free Throw 1 of 1	31 72.9%	33 27.1%
Q2 - 8:39	POR	Magloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	31 75.0%	31 25.0%
Q2 - 8:40	POR	MISS Magloire Layup	31 76.4%	31 23.6%
Q2 - 8:53	SAS	Barry Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	31 75.0%	31 25.0%
Q2 - 8:53	SAS	Barry Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	30 74.6%	31 25.4%
Q2 - 9:14	POR	Magloire Driving Layup (4 PTS)	29 73.4%	31 26.6%
Q2 - 9:33	SAS	Horry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Barry 1 AST)	29 75.1%	29 24.9%
Q2 - 9:40	SAS	Elson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	26 71.4%	29 28.6%
Q2 - 9:42	POR	MISS Rodriguez 18' Jump Shot	26 70.7%	29 29.3%
Q2 - 9:57	SAS	Elson Dunk (2 PTS) (Horry 2 AST)	26 69.0%	29 31.0%
Q2 - 10:16	POR	Dixon 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Rodriguez 2 AST)	24 67.0%	29 33.0%
Q2 - 10:24	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Rebound	24 68.9%	27 31.1%
Q2 - 10:24	POR	MISS Outlaw 4' Jump Shot	24 70.6%	27 29.4%
Q2 - 10:32	POR	Rodriguez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	24 68.9%	27 31.1%
Q2 - 10:35	SAS	MISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot	24 69.6%	27 30.4%
Q2 - 10:54	POR	Magloire Driving Layup (2 PTS)	24 71.3%	27 28.7%
Q2 - 11:10	SAS	Finley 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Horry 1 AST)	24 73.4%	25 26.6%
Q2 - 11:21	SAS	Elson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	22 71.5%	25 28.5%
Q2 - 11:23	POR	MISS Rodriguez 25' 3PT Jump Shot	22 70.8%	25 29.2%
Q2 - 11:44	POR	Outlaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	22 69.4%	25 30.6%
Q2 - 11:47	SAS	MISS Udrih 25' 3PT Jump Shot	22 70.0%	25 30.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0	POR		22 71.4%	25 28.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Rebound	22 69.4%	25 30.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0	POR	MISS Dixon 27' 3PT Jump Shot	22 70.8%	25 29.2%
Q1 - 0:03.0	SAS	Finley Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	22 69.7%	25 30.3%
Q1 - 0:03.0	SAS	Finley Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	21 69.4%	25 30.6%
Q1 - 0:03.0	POR	Rodriguez Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)	20 67.2%	25 32.8%
Q1 - 0:13.0	SAS	Finley Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T4)	20 65.6%	25 34.4%
Q1 - 0:29.0	SAS	Spurs Rebound	20 67.2%	25 32.8%
Q1 - 0:29.0	SAS	Outlaw BLOCK (1 BLK)	20 66.1%	25 33.9%
Q1 - 0:34.0	POR	Udoka Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)	20 67.2%	25 32.8%
Q1 - 0:51.0	POR	Magloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	20 65.6%	25 34.4%
Q1 - 0:52.0	SAS	MISS Horry Layup	20 66.1%	25 33.9%
Q1 - 0:54.0	SAS	Horry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	20 67.2%	25 32.8%
Q1 - 0:55.0	SAS	MISS Udrih 24' 3PT Jump Shot	20 66.1%	25 33.9%
Q1 - 1:06	POR	Dixon Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)	20 67.4%	25 32.6%
Q1 - 1:16	SAS	Outlaw STEAL (1 STL)	20 65.7%	25 34.3%
Q1 - 1:21	POR	Randolph Layup (13 PTS)	20 67.4%	25 32.6%
Q1 - 1:23	POR	Randolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	20 69.8%	23 30.2%
Q1 - 1:25	POR	MISS Outlaw 19' Jump Shot	20 70.9%	23 29.1%
Q1 - 1:40	SAS	Ginobili Layup (4 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)	20 69.8%	23 30.2%
Q1 - 1:44	SAS	Elson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	18 67.3%	23 32.7%
Q1 - 1:46	POR	MISS Randolph 19' Jump Shot	18 66.8%	23 33.2%
Q1 - 2:02	POR	Dixon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	18 66.1%	23 33.9%
Q1 - 2:04	SAS	MISS Ginobili 17' Jump Shot	18 66.7%	23 33.3%
Q1 - 2:14	SAS	Elson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	18 68.0%	23 32.0%
Q1 - 2:16	POR	MISS Dixon 21' Jump Shot	18 67.4%	23 32.6%
Q1 - 2:39	SAS	Parker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)	18 66.0%	23 34.0%
Q1 - 3:01	POR	Randolph Driving Layup (11 PTS) (Rodriguez 1 AST)	18 68.6%	23 31.4%
Q1 - 3:15	SAS	Duncan Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)	18 70.3%	21 29.7%
Q1 - 3:34	POR	Rodriguez Driving Finger Roll (2 PTS)	18 72.3%	21 27.7%
Q1 - 3:45	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Rebound	18 73.9%	19 26.1%
Q1 - 3:47	SAS	MISS Parker 16' Jump Shot	18 74.5%	19 25.5%
Q1 - 3:59	SAS	Bowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	18 75.8%	19 24.2%
Q1 - 4:01	POR	MISS Aldridge 13' Turnaround Jump Shot	18 75.6%	19 24.4%
Q1 - 4:13	POR	Randolph Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)	18 74.2%	19 25.8%
Q1 - 4:27	SAS	Parker Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)	18 75.9%	18 24.1%
Q1 - 4:27	SAS	Parker Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)	17 75.5%	18 24.5%
Q1 - 4:37	SAS	Parker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	16 74.6%	18 25.4%
Q1 - 4:39	POR	MISS Udoka 3PT Jump Shot	16 73.9%	18 26.1%
Q1 - 4:50	POR	Aldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	16 72.5%	18 27.5%
Q1 - 4:52	SAS	MISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot	16 73.1%	18 26.9%
Q1 - 5:19	POR	Randolph 9' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)	16 74.9%	18 25.1%
Q1 - 5:44	SAS	Duncan 7' Jump Shot (6 PTS)	16 76.3%	16 23.7%
Q1 - 6:01	POR	Randolph Layup (6 PTS) (Jack 2 AST)	14 74.9%	16 25.1%
Q1 - 6:18	SAS	Duncan 4' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS)	14 76.4%	14 23.6%
Q1 - 6:39	POR	Randolph 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)	12 74.9%	14 25.1%
Q1 - 6:58	SAS	Duncan Finger Roll (2 PTS)	12 76.4%	12 23.6%
Q1 - 7:15	POR	Randolph Foul Turnover (P1.T2)	10 75.4%	12 24.6%
Q1 - 7:35	SAS	Parker Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Oberto 1 AST)	10 73.8%	12 26.2%
Q1 - 7:47	POR	Udoka 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Randolph 1 AST)	8 72.4%	12 27.6%
Q1 - 8:02	POR	Randolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	8 74.5%	10 25.5%
Q1 - 8:03	SAS	MISS Parker 20' Jump Shot	8 75.0%	10 25.0%
Q1 - 8:08	POR	Aldridge Layup (6 PTS) (Udoka 3 AST)	8 76.1%	10 23.9%
Q1 - 8:12	POR	Udoka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	8 77.3%	8 22.7%
Q1 - 8:17	POR	MISS Udoka Layup	8 78.3%	8 21.7%
Q1 - 8:28	SAS	Parker Layup (6 PTS)	8 77.2%	8 22.8%
Q1 - 8:31	SAS	Bowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	6 76.0%	8 24.0%
Q1 - 8:46	POR	MISS Webster 24' 3PT Jump Shot	6 75.5%	8 24.5%
Q1 - 9:04	SAS	Parker Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	6 74.2%	8 25.8%
Q1 - 9:04	SAS	Parker Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	5 73.9%	8 26.1%
Q1 - 9:20	POR	Aldridge Driving Dunk (4 PTS) (Udoka 2 AST)	4 73.2%	8 26.8%
Q1 - 9:24	POR	Jack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	4 74.2%	6 25.8%
Q1 - 9:27	SAS	Udoka BLOCK (1 BLK)	4 74.8%	6 25.2%
Q1 - 9:31	POR	Webster Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)	4 76.0%	6 24.0%
Q1 - 9:34	POR	Webster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	4 74.3%	6 25.7%
Q1 - 9:36	POR	MISS Randolph 17' Jump Shot	4 75.5%	6 24.5%
Q1 - 9:38	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Rebound	4 74.3%	6 25.7%
Q1 - 9:39	POR	MISS Jack Driving Layup	4 75.5%	6 24.5%
Q1 - 10:03	SAS	Parker Layup (2 PTS)	4 74.4%	6 25.6%
Q1 - 10:04	SAS	Parker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	2 73.1%	6 26.9%
Q1 - 10:07	SAS	Jack BLOCK (1 BLK)	2 72.0%	6 28.0%
Q1 - 10:19	POR	Jack 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	2 73.1%	6 26.9%
Q1 - 10:28	POR	Aldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	2 74.4%	4 25.6%
Q1 - 10:31	SAS	MISS Ginobili 18' Jump Shot	2 74.9%	4 25.1%
Q1 - 10:37	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	2 76.0%	4 24.0%
Q1 - 10:39	POR	MISS Udoka 24' 3PT Jump Shot	2 75.5%	4 24.5%
Q1 - 10:56	POR	Webster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	2 74.4%	4 25.6%
Q1 - 10:58	SAS	MISS Parker 19' Jump Shot	2 74.9%	4 25.1%
Q1 - 11:14	POR	Aldridge 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Udoka 1 AST)	2 75.9%	4 24.1%
Q1 - 11:30	SAS	Ginobili 5' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)	2 77.3%	2 22.7%
Q1 - 11:46	POR	Randolph Layup (2 PTS) (Jack 1 AST)	0 75.9%	2 24.1%
Q1 - 12:00	POR	Jump Ball Aldridge vs. Bowen: Tip to	0 77.3%	0 22.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.26 62.9%

POR

1.11 55.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

69%

POR

64%

Midrange

SAS

47%

POR

45%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

10.5

35%

53%

POR

6.0

29%

43%

Free Throws

SAS

83%

POR

90%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Duncan	25	63%	12.5 / 20
M. Ginobili	25	83%	12.5 / 15
T. Parker	14	41%	7.0 / 17
B. Barry	10	71%	5.0 / 7
B. Bowen	8	133%	4.0 / 3
B. Udrih	8	44%	4.0 / 9
F. Oberto	6	100%	3.0 / 3
M. Finley	6	60%	3.0 / 5
R. Horry	3	50%	1.5 / 3
F. Elson	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Trail Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
Z. Randolph	23	64%	11.5 / 18
J. Dixon	17	53%	8.5 / 16
J. Jack	12	67%	6.0 / 9
J. Magloire	9	75%	4.5 / 6
L. Aldridge	8	50%	4.0 / 8
M. Webster	8	67%	4.0 / 6
I. Udoka	6	43%	3.0 / 7
S. Graham	6	75%	3.0 / 4
T. Outlaw	5	42%	2.5 / 6
S. Rodriguez	2	33%	1.0 / 3
D. Dickau	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS

-11

POR

+18

-18

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.26 62.9%

POR

1.11 55.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	109.2 105.2	SAS 123.0 +9.0 POR 114.0
Pace	89.8 88.3	SAS 83.6 POR 90.8 +7.2
Avg. Poss. Time	16.5 16.8	SAS 17.2 POR 15.9 +1.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	52.1% 48.3%	SAS 58.5% +5.9% POR 52.6%
TO %	14.7% 16.0%	SAS 11.6% +6.7% POR 18.3%
ORB %	24.5% 28.2%	SAS 20.0% POR 36.7% +16.7%
FTrt	31.3 31.4	SAS 40.8 +14.5 POR 26.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	60.5% 52.6%	SAS 50.0% +2.6% POR 47.4%
STL %	8.0% 7.6%	SAS 9.2% +2.2% POR 7.0%
BLK %	7.8% 7.6%	SAS 11.3% +3.5% POR 7.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	54.7% 51.5%	SAS 62.9% +7.2% POR 55.7%
Rim FG%	62.1% 56.3%	SAS 68.8% +5.2% POR 63.6%
Mid FG%	40.4% 40.2%	SAS 47.4% +2.6% POR 44.8%
3P %	38.1% 34.6%	SAS 35.0% +6.4% POR 28.6%
FT %	75.1% 76.9%	SAS 82.8% POR 90.0% +7.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	34.9% 36.3%	SAS 45.1% +1.6% POR 43.4%
Mid Att. %	40.5% 44.4%	SAS 26.8% +11.4% POR 38.2%
3P Att. %	24.7% 19.3%	SAS 28.2% +9.7% POR 18.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	SAS	POR
Possessions	87	86
Possession Minutes	25.0	22.7
Points	107	98
Rebounds	25	35
Assists	19	18
Steals	8	6
Blocks	7	4
Turnovers (Team)	11 (0)	18 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	6 (2)	11 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	19 (3)	24 (3)
Field Goals	38-71	38-76
At-the-Rim FG	22-32	21-33
Midrange FG	9-19	13-29
2-Point FG	31-51	34-62
3-Point FG	7-20	4-14
Free Throws	24-29	18-20
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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1 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tim Duncan F · 6'11" 250 · 31	35.9	25	63%	6	5	0	3	1	0	1	5	5-9	56%	10-15	67%	0-1	0%
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 25	31.7	14	41%	3	3	2	0	4	1	1	2	4-4	100%	5-14	36%	0-1	0%
Manu Ginobili G · 6'6" 205 · 29	31.5	25	83%	3	3	4	1	2	2	1	2	4-5	80%	6-10	60%	3-4	75%
Bruce Bowen F · 6'7" 200 · 35	30.4	8	133%	3	0	0	2	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-2	100%
Fabricio Oberto C · 6'10" 245 · 32	22.8	6	100%	1	1	1	0	1	4	1	0	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Brent Barry G · 6'7" 210 · 35	27.9	10	71%	1	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	5-5	100%	1-1	100%	1-4	25%
Michael Finley G-F · 6'7" 225 · 34	16.8	6	60%	1	2	1	0	1	2	0	1	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
Beno Udrih G · 6'3" 205 · 24	16.3	8	44%	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	4-4	100%	2-3	67%	0-4	0%
Robert Horry F-C · 6'10" 240 · 36	13.4	3	50%	2	4	0	1	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Francisco Elson C-F · 7'0" 240 · 31	11.3	2	100%	4	0	0	0	0	2	0	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Eric Williams G-F · 6'8" 220 · 34	1.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Matt Bonner C-F · 6'10" 235 · 27	0.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jackie Butler #45 · C · 6'10" 260 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Jacque Vaughn #11 · G · 6'1" 190 · 32	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
James White #33 · G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	63%	25	19	8	7	11	0	6	19	24-29	83%	31-51	61%	7-20	35%

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1 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tim Duncan F · 6'11" 250 · 31	35.9	25	63%	6	5	0	3	1	0	1	5	5-9	56%	10-15	67%	0-1	0%
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 25	31.7	14	41%	3	3	2	0	4	1	1	2	4-4	100%	5-14	36%	0-1	0%
Manu Ginobili G · 6'6" 205 · 29	31.5	25	83%	3	3	4	1	2	2	1	2	4-5	80%	6-10	60%	3-4	75%
Bruce Bowen F · 6'7" 200 · 35	30.4	8	133%	3	0	0	2	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-2	100%
Fabricio Oberto C · 6'10" 245 · 32	22.8	6	100%	1	1	1	0	1	4	1	0	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Brent Barry G · 6'7" 210 · 35	27.9	10	71%	1	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	5-5	100%	1-1	100%	1-4	25%
Michael Finley G-F · 6'7" 225 · 34	16.8	6	60%	1	2	1	0	1	2	0	1	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
Beno Udrih G · 6'3" 205 · 24	16.3	8	44%	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	4-4	100%	2-3	67%	0-4	0%
Robert Horry F-C · 6'10" 240 · 36	13.4	3	50%	2	4	0	1	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Francisco Elson C-F · 7'0" 240 · 31	11.3	2	100%	4	0	0	0	0	2	0	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Eric Williams G-F · 6'8" 220 · 34	1.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Matt Bonner C-F · 6'10" 235 · 27	0.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jackie Butler #45 · C · 6'10" 260 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Jacque Vaughn #11 · G · 6'1" 190 · 32	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
James White #33 · G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	63%	25	19	8	7	11	0	6	19	24-29	83%	31-51	61%	7-20	35%

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30 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Zach Randolph F · 6'9" 250 · 25	35.9	23	64%	8	2	1	0	1	2	4	4	3-3	100%	10-17	59%	0-0	-
Jarrett Jack G · 6'3" 200 · 23	33.0	12	67%	1	5	0	1	3	4	0	1	4-4	100%	4-6	67%	0-1	0%
Ime Udoka F · 6'5" 220 · 29	23.5	6	43%	2	5	2	1	3	4	1	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-3	0%
LaMarcus Aldridge C · 6'11" 260 · 21	22.9	8	50%	6	0	0	0	1	1	1	5	0-0	-	4-8	50%	0-0	-
Martell Webster G · 6'7" 230 · 20	22.1	8	67%	3	1	0	0	3	1	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-4	50%
Juan Dixon G · 6'3" 165 · 28	28.6	17	53%	2	2	1	0	3	2	0	2	6-6	100%	4-9	44%	1-4	25%
Jamaal Magloire C · 6'11" 265 · 29	21.5	9	75%	6	1	0	1	2	3	2	4	3-5	60%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Travis Outlaw F · 6'9" 207 · 22	20.4	5	42%	2	0	1	1	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-5	20%	1-1	100%
Stephen Graham G-F · 6'6" 215 · 24	17.1	6	75%	3	0	1	0	0	2	1	2	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Sergio Rodriguez G · 6'3" 176 · 20	7.6	2	33%	1	2	0	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Dan Dickau G · 6'0" 180 · 28	7.4	2	50%	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Brandon Roy G · 6'6" 211 · 22
Darius Miles #23 · F · 6'9" 235 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Raef LaFrentz #9 · C-F · 6'11" 240 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Joel Przybilla #10 · C · 7'1" 245 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	98	56%	35	18	6	4	18	0	11	24	18-20	90%	34-62	55%	4-14	29%

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Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg

BOXSCORE