Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, November 21, 2006

Final			Win Prob.	pScore
	29	Grizzlies	21%	88	94
	9	Cavaliers	79%	98	97

	ORTG	#Poss	Pace
MEM	111.9	84	83.9
CLE	112.8	86	86.1

Scoring Opportunities

MEM

+14

-14

CLE

+11

-14

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.09 54.7%

CLE

1.15 57.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / WinProb
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	CLE
Q4 - 0:00.0	CLE		94 0%	97 100%
Q4 - 0:06.0	CLE	Marshall Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)	94 3.1%	97 96.9%
Q4 - 0:06.0	CLE	Marshall Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)	94 3.9%	96 96.1%
Q4 - 0:07.0	MEM	Miller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	94 9.2%	95 90.8%
Q4 - 0:07.0	MEM	Miller 1' Tip Shot (15 PTS)	94 9.2%	95 90.8%
Q4 - 0:07.0	MEM	MISS Miller 1' Layup	92 1.4%	95 98.6%
Q4 - 0:15.0	CLE	Jones Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)	92 5.0%	95 95.0%
Q4 - 0:15.0	CLE	Jones Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)	92 6.2%	94 93.8%
Q4 - 0:18.0	MEM	Miller 1' Layup (13 PTS)	92 10.3%	93 89.7%
Q4 - 0:33.0	CLE	James Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T15)	90 6.3%	93 93.7%
Q4 - 0:53.0	MEM	Roberts Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)	90 4.9%	93 95.1%
Q4 - 0:53.0	MEM	Roberts Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)	89 4.2%	93 95.8%
Q4 - 1:14	CLE	James 4' Jump Bank Shot (15 PTS)	88 3.5%	93 96.5%
Q4 - 1:32	MEM	Roberts Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	88 6.2%	91 93.8%
Q4 - 1:32	MEM	Roberts Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	87 5.5%	91 94.5%
Q4 - 1:32	MEM	Roberts REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	86 4.1%	91 95.9%
Q4 - 1:34	MEM	MISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot	86 2.8%	91 97.2%
Q4 - 1:39	MEM	Roberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	86 4.4%	91 95.6%
Q4 - 1:41	CLE	MISS James 1' Layup	86 3.8%	91 96.2%
Q4 - 1:58	MEM	Miller Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)	86 2.8%	91 97.2%
Q4 - 1:58	MEM	Miller Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)	85 2.5%	91 97.5%
Q4 - 2:13	CLE	Jones 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (James 9 AST)	84 2.1%	91 97.9%
Q4 - 2:27	CLE	James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	84 4.2%	88 95.8%
Q4 - 2:29	MEM	MISS Stoudamire 14' Jump Shot	84 5.1%	88 94.9%
Q4 - 2:48	CLE	Gooden Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T14)	84 8.1%	88 91.9%
Q4 - 3:11	MEM	Roberts 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Miller 7 AST)	84 5.1%	88 94.9%
Q4 - 3:25	CLE	Jones 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Snow 8 AST)	82 4.0%	88 96.0%
Q4 - 3:37	CLE	Gooden REBOUND (Off:3 Def:12)	82 9.8%	85 90.2%
Q4 - 3:40	MEM	MISS Miller 9' Fadeaway Jumper	82 10.8%	85 89.2%
Q4 - 4:01	CLE	Gooden REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)	82 13.6%	85 86.4%
Q4 - 4:01	CLE	Gooden 1' Tip Shot (22 PTS)	82 13.6%	85 86.4%
Q4 - 4:04	CLE	MISS Gooden 5' Jump Hook Shot	82 22.8%	83 77.2%
Q4 - 4:28	MEM	Miller 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Stoudamire 5 AST)	82 18.3%	83 81.7%
Q4 - 4:43	MEM	Jones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	80 13.5%	83 86.5%
Q4 - 4:45	CLE	MISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot	80 12.1%	83 87.9%
Q4 - 5:04	CLE	CAVALIERS Rebound	80 10.2%	83 89.8%
Q4 - 5:04	MEM	MISS Jones 18' Jump Shot	80 11.3%	83 88.7%
Q4 - 5:25	CLE	CAVALIERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)	80 13.9%	83 86.1%
Q4 - 6:00	MEM	Stoudamire Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)	80 10.2%	83 89.8%
Q4 - 6:00	MEM	Stoudamire Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)	79 9.9%	83 90.1%
Q4 - 6:01	MEM	Stoudamire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	78 8.3%	83 91.7%
Q4 - 6:04	MEM	MISS Stoudamire 4' Running Jump Shot	78 6.6%	83 93.4%
Q4 - 6:32	CLE	Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Snow 7 AST)	78 8.3%	83 91.7%
Q4 - 6:40	CLE	MISS James Free Throw Technical	78 13.7%	80 86.3%
Q4 - 7:05	MEM	Jones 1' Layup (11 PTS) (Stoudamire 4 AST)	78 14.1%	80 85.9%
Q4 - 7:17	MEM	Cardinal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	76 11.4%	80 88.6%
Q4 - 7:18	CLE	MISS Gooden 17' Jump Shot	76 10.5%	80 89.5%
Q4 - 7:29	CLE	Gooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)	76 8.6%	80 91.4%
Q4 - 7:31	MEM	MISS Stoudamire 24' 3PT Jump Shot	76 9.4%	80 90.6%
Q4 - 7:47	MEM	Grizzlies Rebound	76 11.4%	80 88.6%
Q4 - 7:47	CLE	MISS Snow 15' Jump Shot	76 10.5%	80 89.5%
Q4 - 8:01	CLE	CAVALIERS Rebound	76 9.5%	80 90.5%
Q4 - 8:02	CLE	MISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot	76 11.2%	80 88.8%
Q4 - 8:24	MEM	Stoudamire 22' Jump Shot (8 PTS)	76 9.5%	80 90.5%
Q4 - 8:46	CLE	Ilgauskas Foul Turnover (P3.T12)	74 7.5%	80 92.5%
Q4 - 8:55	MEM	James STEAL (3 STL)	74 5.9%	80 94.1%
Q4 - 9:18	CLE	Ilgauskas Foul Turnover (P2.T11)	74 7.9%	80 92.1%
Q4 - 9:37	MEM	Cardinal 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Miller 6 AST)	74 6.3%	80 93.7%
Q4 - 9:47	MEM	Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	71 4.0%	80 96.0%
Q4 - 9:49	CLE	MISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot	71 3.7%	80 96.3%
Q4 - 10:08	MEM	Miller 2' Layup (7 PTS) (Stoudamire 3 AST)	71 3.5%	80 96.5%
Q4 - 10:14	CLE	Pavlovic Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)	69 2.9%	80 97.1%
Q4 - 10:29	CLE	Pavlovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	69 2.2%	80 97.8%
Q4 - 10:31	MEM	MISS Stoudamire 25' 3PT Jump Shot	69 2.4%	80 97.6%
Q4 - 10:53	MEM	Jones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	69 2.8%	80 97.2%
Q4 - 10:55	CLE	MISS James 5' Jump Shot	69 2.6%	80 97.4%
Q4 - 11:15	MEM	Cardinal 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Miller 5 AST)	69 2.6%	80 97.4%
Q4 - 11:34	MEM	Roberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	66 1.7%	80 98.3%
Q4 - 11:36	CLE	MISS James 3' Finger Roll	66 1.6%	80 98.4%
Q4 - 11:43	CLE	Varejao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	66 1.4%	80 98.6%
Q4 - 11:46	MEM	MISS Miller 22' Jump Shot	66 1.4%	80 98.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0	CLE		66 1.7%	80 98.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0	CLE	Marshall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	66 1.3%	80 98.7%
Q3 - 0:02.0	MEM	MISS Stoudamire 25' 3PT Jump Shot	66 1.7%	80 98.3%
Q3 - 0:18.0	CLE	Jones Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)	66 1.9%	80 98.1%
Q3 - 0:18.0	CLE	Jones Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)	66 2.0%	79 98.0%
Q3 - 0:19.0	CLE	Jones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	66 2.3%	78 97.7%
Q3 - 0:21.0	MEM	MISS Cardinal 25' 3PT Jump Shot	66 2.5%	78 97.5%
Q3 - 0:34.0	CLE	Pavlovic Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)	66 2.8%	78 97.2%
Q3 - 0:37.0	MEM	Pavlovic STEAL (1 STL)	66 4.2%	75 95.8%
Q3 - 0:40.0	MEM	Cardinal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	66 5.1%	75 94.9%
Q3 - 0:41.0	CLE	MISS Jones 16' Jump Shot	66 4.8%	75 95.2%
Q3 - 1:01	MEM	Cardinal 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Stoudamire 2 AST)	66 4.5%	75 95.5%
Q3 - 1:35	CLE	James 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Marshall 1 AST)	63 3.1%	75 96.9%
Q3 - 1:51	MEM	Swift 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Stoudamire 1 AST)	63 3.7%	73 96.3%
Q3 - 1:59	MEM	Jones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	61 3.1%	73 96.9%
Q3 - 2:01	CLE	MISS Pavlovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot	61 3.2%	73 96.8%
Q3 - 2:19	MEM	James STEAL (2 STL)	61 2.7%	73 97.3%
Q3 - 2:38	CLE	Pavlovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)	61 3.3%	73 96.7%
Q3 - 2:56	MEM	Atkins Driving Layup (17 PTS)	61 4.7%	70 95.3%
Q3 - 3:01	CLE	James Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)	59 4.3%	70 95.7%
Q3 - 3:23	MEM	Cardinal 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Swift 1 AST)	59 3.6%	70 96.4%
Q3 - 3:47	CLE	Marshall 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Gooden 2 AST)	56 2.5%	70 97.5%
Q3 - 3:49	MEM	Gooden STEAL (1 STL)	56 3.0%	68 97.0%
Q3 - 3:51	CLE	James Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)	56 3.6%	68 96.4%
Q3 - 4:02	MEM	Snow STEAL (1 STL)	56 3.1%	68 96.9%
Q3 - 4:17	MEM	Swift REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)	56 3.8%	68 96.2%
Q3 - 4:18	CLE	MISS James 13' Jump Shot	56 3.5%	68 96.5%
Q3 - 4:35	MEM	Atkins 17' Jump Shot (15 PTS)	56 3.1%	68 96.9%
Q3 - 4:41	MEM	Swift REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)	54 2.7%	68 97.3%
Q3 - 4:42	CLE	MISS James 17' Jump Shot	54 2.5%	68 97.5%
Q3 - 5:03	MEM	Jones 2' Driving Layup (9 PTS)	54 2.4%	68 97.6%
Q3 - 5:21	MEM	Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	52 2.1%	68 97.9%
Q3 - 5:23	CLE	MISS Snow 18' Jump Shot	52 2.0%	68 98.0%
Q3 - 5:40	MEM	Atkins Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)	52 1.7%	68 98.3%
Q3 - 5:40	MEM	MISS Atkins Free Throw 1 of 2	51 1.7%	68 98.3%
Q3 - 5:43	MEM	Atkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	51 1.8%	68 98.2%
Q3 - 5:44	CLE	MISS James 5' Jump Shot	51 1.7%	68 98.3%
Q3 - 6:06	MEM	Jones 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)	51 1.6%	68 98.4%
Q3 - 6:12	CLE	Wesley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)	49 1.4%	68 98.6%
Q3 - 6:22	CLE	Gooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)	49 1.2%	68 98.8%
Q3 - 6:24	MEM	MISS Cardinal 17' Jump Shot	49 1.2%	68 98.8%
Q3 - 6:25	MEM	Cardinal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	49 1.4%	68 98.6%
Q3 - 6:26	MEM	James BLOCK (1 BLK)	49 1.2%	68 98.8%
Q3 - 6:50	CLE	Gooden Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)	49 1.4%	68 98.6%
Q3 - 6:50	CLE	Gooden Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)	49 1.4%	67 98.6%
Q3 - 7:02	CLE	Gooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)	49 1.7%	66 98.3%
Q3 - 7:04	MEM	MISS Miller 19' Jump Shot	49 1.8%	66 98.2%
Q3 - 7:14	CLE	Gooden 6' Jump Hook Shot (18 PTS) (James 8 AST)	49 2.1%	66 97.9%
Q3 - 7:34	MEM	Warrick Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)	49 2.3%	64 97.7%
Q3 - 7:34	MEM	Warrick Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)	48 2.2%	64 97.8%
Q3 - 7:53	CLE	James Slam Dunk (11 PTS) (Snow 6 AST)	47 2.0%	64 98.0%
Q3 - 8:12	MEM	Miller 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Atkins 3 AST)	47 2.4%	62 97.6%
Q3 - 8:24	MEM	Grizzlies Rebound	45 2.2%	62 97.8%
Q3 - 8:24	CLE	MISS Wesley 25' 3PT Jump Shot	45 2.0%	62 98.0%
Q3 - 8:48	MEM	James STEAL (1 STL)	45 1.8%	62 98.2%
Q3 - 9:11	CLE	Gooden 1' Dunk (16 PTS) (James 7 AST)	45 2.2%	62 97.8%
Q3 - 9:32	MEM	Swift 1' Dunk (8 PTS) (Atkins 2 AST)	45 2.5%	60 97.5%
Q3 - 9:51	CLE	Gooden 1' Layup (14 PTS) (Snow 5 AST)	43 2.2%	60 97.8%
Q3 - 10:15	MEM	Swift Reverse Layup (6 PTS)	43 2.6%	58 97.4%
Q3 - 10:34	CLE	Ilgauskas REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)	41 2.3%	58 97.7%
Q3 - 10:34	CLE	Ilgauskas 1' Tip Shot (12 PTS)	41 2.3%	58 97.7%
Q3 - 10:37	CLE	MISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot	41 2.9%	56 97.1%
Q3 - 11:06	MEM	Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Atkins 1 AST)	41 2.7%	56 97.3%
Q3 - 11:12	MEM	Gay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	38 2.1%	56 97.9%
Q3 - 11:14	CLE	MISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot	38 2.0%	56 98.0%
Q3 - 11:34	MEM	Swift 2' Alley Oop Layup (4 PTS) (Warrick 1 AST)	38 1.8%	56 98.2%
Q3 - 11:48	CLE	Snow 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)	36 1.6%	56 98.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0	CLE		36 1.8%	54 98.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0	MEM	Lowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	36 1.8%	54 98.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0	MEM	Lowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	36 2.0%	54 98.0%
Q2 - 0:01.0	MEM	Lowry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	34 1.7%	54 98.3%
Q2 - 0:02.0	MEM	MISS Atkins 26' 3PT Jump Shot	34 1.6%	54 98.4%
Q2 - 0:18.0	CLE	Wesley 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Snow 4 AST)	34 1.7%	54 98.3%
Q2 - 0:32.0	MEM	Atkins Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)	34 2.0%	52 98.0%
Q2 - 0:32.0	MEM	Atkins Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)	33 2.0%	52 98.0%
Q2 - 0:43.0	CLE	Ilgauskas 14' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Snow 3 AST)	32 1.7%	52 98.3%
Q2 - 0:57.0	CLE	Gooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)	32 2.0%	50 98.0%
Q2 - 0:59.0	MEM	MISS Lowry 3' Layup	32 2.1%	50 97.9%
Q2 - 1:07	MEM	Grizzlies Rebound	32 2.3%	50 97.7%
Q2 - 1:07	CLE	MISS Gooden 1' Layup	32 2.3%	50 97.7%
Q2 - 1:08	CLE	Gooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)	32 2.2%	50 97.8%
Q2 - 1:10	CLE	MISS Ilgauskas 2' Layup	32 2.3%	50 97.7%
Q2 - 1:27	MEM	Atkins 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Lowry 2 AST)	32 2.2%	50 97.8%
Q2 - 1:41	CLE	Gooden 14' Jump Bank Shot (12 PTS) (Wesley 1 AST)	29 1.6%	50 98.4%
Q2 - 1:59	MEM	Warrick Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)	29 1.9%	48 98.1%
Q2 - 2:15	CLE	Ilgauskas Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	29 2.3%	48 97.7%
Q2 - 2:15	CLE	Ilgauskas Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)	29 2.3%	47 97.7%
Q2 - 2:15	CLE	Ilgauskas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)	29 2.6%	46 97.4%
Q2 - 2:17	CLE	MISS James 6' Finger Roll	29 2.8%	46 97.2%
Q2 - 2:41	MEM	Atkins 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS)	29 2.6%	46 97.4%
Q2 - 3:01	CLE	James 2' Slam Dunk (9 PTS) (Gooden 1 AST)	27 2.5%	46 97.5%
Q2 - 3:04	CLE	Ilgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	27 2.7%	44 97.3%
Q2 - 3:08	MEM	MISS Gay 18' Jump Shot	27 2.8%	44 97.2%
Q2 - 3:13	MEM	Gay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	27 3.1%	44 96.9%
Q2 - 3:17	CLE	MISS Ilgauskas 3' Layup	27 3.0%	44 97.0%
Q2 - 3:22	CLE	Gooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)	27 2.7%	44 97.3%
Q2 - 3:24	MEM	MISS Atkins 20' Jump Shot	27 2.8%	44 97.2%
Q2 - 3:45	CLE	Snow 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 6 AST)	27 3.1%	44 96.9%
Q2 - 4:01	CLE	Gooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)	27 3.6%	42 96.4%
Q2 - 4:03	MEM	MISS Swift 16' Jump Shot	27 3.7%	42 96.3%
Q2 - 4:31	CLE	Jones 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Snow 2 AST)	27 4.0%	42 96.0%
Q2 - 4:38	CLE	Gooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	27 5.0%	39 95.0%
Q2 - 4:39	MEM	MISS Swift 3' Turnaround Jump Shot	27 5.2%	39 94.8%
Q2 - 5:03	CLE	Pavlovic Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)	27 5.7%	39 94.3%
Q2 - 5:11	CLE	Gooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	27 5.0%	39 95.0%
Q2 - 5:13	MEM	MISS Gay 25' 3PT Jump Shot	27 5.2%	39 94.8%
Q2 - 5:31	CLE	James 1' Alley Oop Dunk (7 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)	27 5.7%	39 94.3%
Q2 - 5:40	MEM	Warrick Foul Turnover (P2.T7)	27 6.2%	37 93.8%
Q2 - 5:43	MEM	Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	27 7.0%	37 93.0%
Q2 - 5:45	CLE	MISS James 3' Jump Shot	27 6.8%	37 93.2%
Q2 - 5:53	MEM	Atkins 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)	27 6.2%	37 93.8%
Q2 - 5:58	CLE	Pavlovic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)	25 5.7%	37 94.3%
Q2 - 6:17	MEM	Swift Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	25 5.1%	37 94.9%
Q2 - 6:17	MEM	MISS Swift Free Throw 1 of 2	24 5.0%	37 95.0%
Q2 - 6:17	MEM	Swift REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)	24 5.3%	37 94.7%
Q2 - 6:18	MEM	MISS Swift 1' Layup	24 4.8%	37 95.2%
Q2 - 6:19	MEM	Swift REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)	24 5.3%	37 94.7%
Q2 - 6:20	MEM	Ilgauskas BLOCK (2 BLK)	24 4.8%	37 95.2%
Q2 - 6:32	CLE	Jones 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ilgauskas 1 AST)	24 5.2%	37 94.8%
Q2 - 6:56	MEM	Atkins 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)	24 6.3%	34 93.7%
Q2 - 7:18	MEM	Swift REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)	21 5.5%	34 94.5%
Q2 - 7:20	MEM	MISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot	21 5.1%	34 94.9%
Q2 - 7:44	CLE	Marshall 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)	21 5.5%	34 94.5%
Q2 - 8:06	MEM	Stoudamire 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS)	21 6.7%	31 93.3%
Q2 - 8:24	MEM	Atkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	19 6.1%	31 93.9%
Q2 - 8:26	CLE	MISS Ilgauskas 21' Jump Shot	19 5.9%	31 94.1%
Q2 - 8:43	CLE	Ilgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	19 5.5%	31 94.5%
Q2 - 8:44	MEM	MISS Swift 3' Turnaround Jump Shot	19 5.7%	31 94.3%
Q2 - 9:08	CLE	Ilgauskas 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)	19 6.2%	31 93.8%
Q2 - 9:20	MEM	Jones STEAL (1 STL)	19 6.8%	29 93.2%
Q2 - 9:31	CLE	Brown Foul Turnover (P1.T4)	19 7.5%	29 92.5%
Q2 - 9:33	CLE	Brown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	19 6.8%	29 93.2%
Q2 - 9:36	MEM	MISS Miller 3PT Jump Shot	19 7.0%	29 93.0%
Q2 - 9:38	MEM	Warrick REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)	19 7.5%	29 92.5%
Q2 - 9:41	MEM	MISS Miller 11' Running Jump Shot	19 7.0%	29 93.0%
Q2 - 10:09	CLE	Ilgauskas 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)	19 7.7%	29 92.3%
Q2 - 10:17	CLE	Brown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	19 8.3%	27 91.7%
Q2 - 10:19	MEM	MISS Swift Free Throw 2 of 2	19 8.4%	27 91.6%
Q2 - 10:19	MEM	Swift Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	19 8.9%	27 91.1%
Q2 - 10:26	MEM	Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	18 8.4%	27 91.6%
Q2 - 10:28	CLE	MISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot	18 8.1%	27 91.9%
Q2 - 10:49	MEM	Stoudamire 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Lowry 1 AST)	18 7.6%	27 92.4%
Q2 - 11:00	CLE	Ilgauskas 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T3)	16 7.0%	27 93.0%
Q2 - 11:16	MEM	Warrick Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)	16 6.3%	27 93.7%
Q2 - 11:17	MEM	Warrick REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)	13 5.3%	27 94.7%
Q2 - 11:18	MEM	MISS Stoudamire 17' Jump Shot	13 4.9%	27 95.1%
Q2 - 11:35	CLE	Jones 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	13 5.3%	27 94.7%
Q2 - 11:43	CLE	Ilgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	13 5.8%	25 94.2%
Q2 - 11:44	CLE	MISS Pavlovic 16' Jump Shot	13 6.1%	25 93.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0	MEM		13 5.8%	25 94.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0	CLE	James 35' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)	13 6.3%	25 93.7%
Q1 - 0:04.0	MEM	Jones Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)	13 7.7%	22 92.3%
Q1 - 0:08.0	MEM	Roberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	10 6.3%	22 93.7%
Q1 - 0:10.0	CLE	MISS Marshall Layup	10 6.2%	22 93.8%
Q1 - 0:30.0	MEM	Jones 10' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)	10 5.9%	22 94.1%
Q1 - 0:44.0	MEM	Roberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	8 5.3%	22 94.7%
Q1 - 0:46.0	CLE	MISS Marshall 25' 3PT Jump Shot	8 5.2%	22 94.8%
Q1 - 0:58.0	MEM	Warrick REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	8 4.9%	22 95.1%
Q1 - 0:58.0	MEM	Warrick 1' Tip Shot (4 PTS)	8 4.9%	22 95.1%
Q1 - 0:58.0	MEM	MISS Warrick 1' Layup	6 4.2%	22 95.8%
Q1 - 1:10	CLE	Varejao 1' Slam Dunk (3 PTS) (James 5 AST)	6 4.5%	22 95.5%
Q1 - 1:25	CLE	Jump Ball Varejao vs. Lowry: Tip to Pavlovic	6 5.0%	20 95.0%
Q1 - 1:27	MEM	MISS Warrick 1' Layup	6 5.1%	20 94.9%
Q1 - 2:00	CLE	James 1' Driving Dunk (2 PTS)	6 5.3%	20 94.7%
Q1 - 2:15	CLE	CAVALIERS Rebound	6 5.9%	18 94.1%
Q1 - 2:17	MEM	MISS Lowry 18' Jump Shot	6 6.1%	18 93.9%
Q1 - 2:27	MEM	Lowry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	6 6.5%	18 93.5%
Q1 - 2:31	CLE	MISS Pavlovic 1' Reverse Layup	6 6.3%	18 93.7%
Q1 - 2:36	CLE	CAVALIERS Rebound	6 5.9%	18 94.1%
Q1 - 2:37	CLE	MISS James 19' Jump Shot	6 6.3%	18 93.7%
Q1 - 3:00	CLE	CAVALIERS Rebound	6 5.9%	18 94.1%
Q1 - 3:01	MEM	MISS Gay 17' Jump Shot	6 6.2%	18 93.8%
Q1 - 3:19	MEM	Lowry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	6 6.7%	18 93.3%
Q1 - 3:20	MEM	MISS Lowry 19' Jump Shot	6 6.2%	18 93.8%
Q1 - 3:44	MEM	Gay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	6 6.6%	18 93.4%
Q1 - 3:45	CLE	MISS Varejao Free Throw 2 of 2	6 6.6%	18 93.4%
Q1 - 3:45	CLE	Varejao Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	6 6.3%	18 93.7%
Q1 - 3:59	MEM	Miller Foul Turnover (P3.T5)	6 6.6%	17 93.4%
Q1 - 4:18	MEM	Grizzlies Rebound	6 7.2%	17 92.8%
Q1 - 4:18	CLE	MISS James 2' Layup	6 7.0%	17 93.0%
Q1 - 4:34	MEM	Stoudamire 7' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)	6 6.5%	17 93.5%
Q1 - 4:57	CLE	Snow Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)	4 6.1%	17 93.9%
Q1 - 5:10	MEM	Lowry 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)	4 5.7%	17 94.3%
Q1 - 5:20	CLE	Gooden 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T1)	2 5.3%	17 94.7%
Q1 - 5:35	MEM	Miller Traveling Turnover (P2.T4)	2 4.9%	17 95.1%
Q1 - 5:51	CLE	Gooden Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)	2 5.3%	17 94.7%
Q1 - 6:03	CLE	Ilgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	2 6.4%	14 93.6%
Q1 - 6:05	MEM	MISS Warrick 18' Jump Shot	2 6.5%	14 93.5%
Q1 - 6:26	CLE	Gooden Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)	2 6.9%	14 93.1%
Q1 - 6:33	CLE	Ilgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	2 8.0%	11 92.0%
Q1 - 6:35	MEM	MISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot	2 8.2%	11 91.8%
Q1 - 6:51	CLE	Gooden 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 3 AST)	2 8.6%	11 91.4%
Q1 - 7:10	MEM	Gay Foul Turnover (P1.T3)	2 9.4%	9 90.6%
Q1 - 7:31	CLE	Gooden 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Snow 1 AST)	2 10.1%	9 89.9%
Q1 - 7:34	CLE	CAVALIERS Rebound	2 10.7%	7 89.3%
Q1 - 7:36	CLE	MISS Wesley 3PT Jump Shot	2 11.3%	7 88.7%
Q1 - 7:50	CLE	Ilgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	2 10.7%	7 89.3%
Q1 - 7:51	CLE	MISS Wesley 3PT Jump Shot	2 11.3%	7 88.7%
Q1 - 8:11	CLE	Gooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	2 10.6%	7 89.4%
Q1 - 8:13	CLE	MISS Wesley 20' Jump Shot	2 11.1%	7 88.9%
Q1 - 8:29	CLE	CAVALIERS Rebound	2 10.6%	7 89.4%
Q1 - 8:29	CLE	MISS Ilgauskas 6' Hook Shot	2 11.2%	7 88.8%
Q1 - 8:51	MEM	Miller Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)	2 10.6%	7 89.4%
Q1 - 8:53	MEM	Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	2 11.4%	7 88.6%
Q1 - 8:56	CLE	MISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot	2 11.2%	7 88.8%
Q1 - 9:16	MEM	Warrick Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)	2 10.4%	7 89.6%
Q1 - 9:39	CLE	Ilgauskas 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (James 2 AST)	2 11.4%	7 88.6%
Q1 - 9:43	CLE	Gooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	2 11.9%	5 88.1%
Q1 - 9:44	MEM	MISS Gay 21' Jump Shot	2 12.2%	5 87.8%
Q1 - 10:08	CLE	Snow 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)	2 12.9%	5 87.1%
Q1 - 10:27	MEM	Warrick REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	2 13.6%	3 86.4%
Q1 - 10:27	MEM	Warrick 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)	2 13.6%	3 86.4%
Q1 - 10:29	MEM	MISS Swift 14' Jump Shot	0 12.2%	3 87.8%
Q1 - 10:49	CLE	Wesley 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 1 AST)	0 12.9%	3 87.1%
Q1 - 10:55	CLE	Gooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	0 14.5%	0 85.5%
Q1 - 10:56	MEM	Ilgauskas BLOCK (1 BLK)	0 14.8%	0 85.2%
Q1 - 10:58	MEM	Swift REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	0 15.6%	0 84.4%
Q1 - 11:00	MEM	MISS Gay 15' Jump Shot	0 14.8%	0 85.2%
Q1 - 11:12	MEM	Warrick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0 15.4%	0 84.6%
Q1 - 11:15	CLE	MISS Ilgauskas 17' Fadeaway Jumper	0 15.2%	0 84.8%
Q1 - 11:35	CLE	Gooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0 14.6%	0 85.4%
Q1 - 11:37	MEM	MISS Miller 12' Jump Bank Shot	0 14.8%	0 85.2%
Q1 - 12:00	CLE	Jump Ball Ilgauskas vs. Swift: Tip to Warrick	0 15.4%	0 84.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.09 54.7%

CLE

1.15 57.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MEM

64%

CLE

59%

Midrange

MEM

31%

CLE

46%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MEM

10.5

39%

58%

CLE

13.5

43%

64%

Free Throws

MEM

86%

CLE

88%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Atkins	17	77%	8.5 / 11
M. Miller	15	44%	7.5 / 17
B. Cardinal	12	86%	6.0 / 7
D. Jones	11	92%	5.5 / 6
S. Swift	10	42%	5.0 / 12
D. Stoudamire	10	42%	5.0 / 12
H. Warrick	9	64%	4.5 / 7
L. Roberts	6	100%	3.0 / 3
K. Lowry	4	40%	2.0 / 5
R. Gay	0	-	0.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Cavaliers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Gooden	22	85%	11.0 / 13
D. Jones	21	88%	10.5 / 12
L. James	15	36%	7.5 / 21
Z. Ilgauskas	12	55%	6.0 / 11
D. Marshall	7	88%	3.5 / 4
E. Snow	6	60%	3.0 / 5
S. Pavlovic	6	60%	3.0 / 5
D. Wesley	5	42%	2.5 / 6
A. Varejao	3	150%	1.5 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MEM

+14

-14

CLE

+11

-14

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.09 54.7%

CLE

1.15 57.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	106.5 105.9	MEM 111.9 CLE 112.8 +0.9
Pace	94.0 90.5	MEM 83.9 CLE 86.1 +2.2
Avg. Poss. Time	15.1 16.3	MEM 17.2 CLE 16.7 +0.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	50.4% 48.4%	MEM 50.0% CLE 56.1% +6.1%
TO %	16.5% 15.0%	MEM 14.2% +1.4% CLE 15.6%
ORB %	25.9% 29.7%	MEM 36.8% +13.5% CLE 23.3%
FTrt	37.4 32.0	MEM 29.3 +7.7 CLE 21.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	56.0% 57.4%	MEM 55.9% CLE 73.0% +17.1%
STL %	7.2% 8.3%	MEM 9.5% +1.4% CLE 8.1%
BLK %	7.7% 6.9%	MEM 7.5% +2.2% CLE 5.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	54.1% 50.9%	MEM 54.7% CLE 57.7% +3.0%
Rim FG%	57.5% 59.1%	MEM 64.3% +5.7% CLE 58.6%
Mid FG%	41.1% 37.1%	MEM 31.0% CLE 45.8% +14.8%
3P %	36.7% 35.2%	MEM 38.9% CLE 42.9% +4.0%
FT %	76.1% 69.6%	MEM 86.4% CLE 87.5% +1.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	38.5% 36.4%	MEM 37.3% CLE 39.2% +1.9%
Mid Att. %	40.4% 42.5%	MEM 38.7% CLE 32.4% +6.2%
3P Att. %	21.1% 21.1%	MEM 24.0% CLE 28.4% +4.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MEM	CLE
Possessions	84	86
Possession Minutes	24.0	24.0
Points	94	97
Rebounds	37	31
Assists	19	27
Steals	8	7
Blocks	4	3
Turnovers (Team)	14 (0)	14 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (0)	7 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	23 (4)	24 (4)
Field Goals	34-75	37-74
At-the-Rim FG	18-28	17-29
Midrange FG	9-29	11-24
2-Point FG	27-57	28-53
3-Point FG	7-18	9-21
Free Throws	19-22	14-16
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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29 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Mike Miller F · 6'8" 218 · 27	41.0	15	44%	6	7	1	0	3	5	1	5	2-2	100%	5-11	45%	1-5	20%
Hakim Warrick F · 6'9" 219 · 24	26.1	9	64%	5	1	1	3	3	3	4	1	3-3	100%	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Stromile Swift C · 6'10" 220 · 27	24.2	10	42%	6	1	0	1	0	5	4	2	2-4	50%	4-10	40%	0-0	-
Chucky Atkins G · 5'11" 185 · 32	24.0	17	77%	2	3	0	0	0	0	0	2	3-4	75%	4-6	67%	2-3	67%
Rudy Gay G · 6'8" 230 · 20	17.7	0	0%	3	0	0	0	2	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-4	0%	0-1	0%
Damon Stoudamire G · 5'10" 171 · 33	26.4	10	42%	1	5	1	0	1	2	1	0	2-2	100%	4-8	50%	0-3	0%
Dahntay Jones G-F · 6'6" 225 · 26	26.4	11	92%	3	0	0	0	1	2	0	3	1-1	100%	5-6	83%	0-0	-
Lawrence Roberts F · 6'9" 240 · 24	19.9	6	100%	5	0	0	0	0	1	1	4	4-4	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Brian Cardinal F · 6'8" 240 · 30	18.8	12	86%	3	0	4	0	3	0	1	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	4-6	67%
Kyle Lowry G · 6'0" 196 · 21	11.5	4	40%	3	2	1	0	1	0	2	1	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Jake Tsakalidis C · 7'2" 290 · 27	4.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Alexander Johnson F · 6'9" 240 · 24
Tarence Kinsey #7 · G · 6'6" 189 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Pau Gasol #16 · C · 7'0" 250 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Eddie Jones #6 · G-F · 6'6" 200 · 35	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	94	55%	37	19	8	4	14	0	14	23	19-22	86%	27-57	47%	7-18	39%

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29 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Mike Miller F · 6'8" 218 · 27	41.0	15	44%	6	7	1	0	3	5	1	5	2-2	100%	5-11	45%	1-5	20%
Hakim Warrick F · 6'9" 219 · 24	26.1	9	64%	5	1	1	3	3	3	4	1	3-3	100%	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Stromile Swift C · 6'10" 220 · 27	24.2	10	42%	6	1	0	1	0	5	4	2	2-4	50%	4-10	40%	0-0	-
Chucky Atkins G · 5'11" 185 · 32	24.0	17	77%	2	3	0	0	0	0	0	2	3-4	75%	4-6	67%	2-3	67%
Rudy Gay G · 6'8" 230 · 20	17.7	0	0%	3	0	0	0	2	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-4	0%	0-1	0%
Damon Stoudamire G · 5'10" 171 · 33	26.4	10	42%	1	5	1	0	1	2	1	0	2-2	100%	4-8	50%	0-3	0%
Dahntay Jones G-F · 6'6" 225 · 26	26.4	11	92%	3	0	0	0	1	2	0	3	1-1	100%	5-6	83%	0-0	-
Lawrence Roberts F · 6'9" 240 · 24	19.9	6	100%	5	0	0	0	0	1	1	4	4-4	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Brian Cardinal F · 6'8" 240 · 30	18.8	12	86%	3	0	4	0	3	0	1	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	4-6	67%
Kyle Lowry G · 6'0" 196 · 21	11.5	4	40%	3	2	1	0	1	0	2	1	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Jake Tsakalidis C · 7'2" 290 · 27	4.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Alexander Johnson F · 6'9" 240 · 24
Tarence Kinsey #7 · G · 6'6" 189 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Pau Gasol #16 · C · 7'0" 250 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Eddie Jones #6 · G-F · 6'6" 200 · 35	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	94	55%	37	19	8	4	14	0	14	23	19-22	86%	27-57	47%	7-18	39%

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9 Cleveland Cavaliers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
LeBron James F · 6'9" 250 · 22	42.0	15	36%	1	9	3	1	3	1	0	1	0-1	0%	6-16	38%	1-5	20%
Eric Snow G · 6'3" 205 · 34	32.3	6	60%	1	8	1	0	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Drew Gooden F · 6'10" 250 · 25	30.3	22	85%	15	2	1	0	2	5	3	12	4-4	100%	9-12	75%	0-0	-
David Wesley G · 6'1" 203 · 36	26.6	5	42%	0	1	0	0	1	3	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas C · 7'3" 260 · 31	25.6	12	55%	8	1	0	2	3	3	4	4	2-2	100%	5-10	50%	0-0	-
Damon Jones G · 6'3" 195 · 30	31.7	21	88%	1	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	4-4	100%	1-2	50%	5-8	63%
Donyell Marshall F · 6'9" 245 · 34	18.8	7	88%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Sasha Pavlovic G-F · 6'7" 235 · 23	14.4	6	60%	1	0	1	0	3	3	0	1	1-1	100%	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Anderson Varejao F · 6'11" 260 · 24	12.5	3	150%	1	0	0	0	0	3	0	1	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Shannon Brown G · 6'3" 215 · 21	5.7	0	0%	2	1	0	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Dwayne Jones F-C · 6'11" 248 · 23
Daniel Gibson G · 6'2" 200 · 21
Ira Newble #14 · G-F · 6'7" 220 · 32	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Larry Hughes #32 · G · 6'5" 185 · 28	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Scot Pollard #31 · C-F · 6'11" 278 · 32	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	97	58%	31	27	7	3	14	0	7	24	14-16	88%	28-53	53%	9-21	43%

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Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg

BOXSCORE