FinalWin Prob.pScore
848%92
86
1952%93
101
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
93.59286.6
NOK
107.494100.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HornetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HornetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIANOK
Q4 - 0:00.0NOK86
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:19.0NOKButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)86
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAMISS Barron 18' Jump Shot86
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:27.0MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)86
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:30.0MIAMISS Barron 18' Jump Shot86
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:45.0NOKJohnson 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Pargo 3 AST)86
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:03MIABarron Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)86
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:03MIABarron Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)85
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:14MIAWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)84
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:16NOKMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot84
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:30MIAWright Dunk (10 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)84
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:35MIASimien REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)82
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:37NOKMISS Bass 14' Jump Shot82
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:55MIABarron 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wright 3 AST)82
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 2:07NOKButler 5' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)80
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 2:21NOKHORNETS Rebound80
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:22MIAMISS Barron Layup80
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:24MIABarron REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)80
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:25MIAMISS Barron Tip Shot80
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:26MIABarron REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)80
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:27MIAMISS Barron Layup80
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:28MIABarron REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)80
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:30MIAMISS Wright 6' Jump Shot80
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:44NOKButler Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T11)80
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:57NOKButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)80
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:58MIAMISS Barron 21' Jump Shot80
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:15MIAWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)80
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:17NOKMISS Paul Free Throw 2 of 280
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:17NOKMISS Paul Free Throw 1 of 280
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:17MIAWade Free Throw Technical (29 PTS)80
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:23NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:5 Def:13)79
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:24MIAMISS Wright 3PT Jump Shot79
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:40NOKMason 7' Hook Shot (17 PTS)79
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 4:01NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:5 Def:12)79
0.3%
94
99.7%
Q4 - 4:02MIAMISS Kapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
0.3%
94
99.7%
Q4 - 4:19NOKStojakovic 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Mason 3 AST)79
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 4:39NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:5 Def:11)79
0.9%
91
99.1%
Q4 - 4:40MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot79
1.0%
91
99.0%
Q4 - 4:50NOKMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)79
1.2%
91
98.8%
Q4 - 4:50NOKMISS Mason Free Throw 1 of 279
1.4%
90
98.6%
Q4 - 5:16MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)79
2.0%
90
98.0%
Q4 - 5:24NOKMason Traveling Turnover (P2.T10)76
1.1%
90
98.9%
Q4 - 5:37NOKButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)76
0.7%
90
99.3%
Q4 - 5:38MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
0.8%
90
99.2%
Q4 - 5:44MIAHeat Rebound76
1.0%
90
99.0%
Q4 - 5:45MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 276
0.8%
90
99.2%
Q4 - 5:45MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)76
1.0%
90
99.0%
Q4 - 5:53MIAWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)75
0.7%
90
99.3%
Q4 - 5:56NOKMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 175
0.7%
90
99.3%
Q4 - 6:10NOKHORNETS Rebound75
1.6%
88
98.4%
Q4 - 6:10MIAMISS Wright 3PT Jump Shot75
1.7%
88
98.3%
Q4 - 6:22MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)75
2.2%
88
97.8%
Q4 - 6:25NOKMISS Pargo Layup75
1.9%
88
98.0%
Q4 - 6:50MIAKapono 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Payton 3 AST)75
1.5%
88
98.5%
Q4 - 7:19NOKStojakovic 26' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)73
1.8%
88
98.2%
Q4 - 7:33NOKJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)73
2.9%
85
97.1%
Q4 - 7:39MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 173
3.0%
85
97.0%
Q4 - 7:45MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)71
2.3%
85
97.7%
Q4 - 7:47NOKMISS Butler 3PT Jump Shot71
2.1%
85
97.9%
Q4 - 7:51NOKJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)71
1.7%
85
98.3%
Q4 - 7:52MIAMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot71
1.8%
85
98.2%
Q4 - 7:55MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)71
2.3%
85
97.7%
Q4 - 7:57MIAStojakovic BLOCK (1 BLK)71
1.8%
85
98.2%
Q4 - 7:59MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)71
2.3%
85
97.7%
Q4 - 8:00MIAMISS Wright 3PT Jump Shot71
1.8%
85
98.2%
Q4 - 8:26NOKJackson Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)71
3.0%
85
97.0%
Q4 - 8:47NOKPargo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
4.8%
82
95.2%
Q4 - 8:48MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot71
5.2%
82
94.8%
Q4 - 9:01NOKJackson 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)71
7.2%
82
92.8%
Q4 - 9:12NOKButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)71
8.9%
80
91.1%
Q4 - 9:14MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
9.5%
80
90.5%
Q4 - 9:26MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)71
11.1%
80
88.9%
Q4 - 9:28NOKMISS Pargo 16' Jump Shot71
10.4%
80
89.6%
Q4 - 9:43MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)71
8.8%
80
91.2%
Q4 - 9:43MIAHeat Rebound71
11.1%
80
88.9%
Q4 - 9:43MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot71
9.5%
80
90.5%
Q4 - 10:11NOKJackson 21' Jump Shot (11 PTS)71
12.2%
80
87.8%
Q4 - 10:28NOKJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)71
14.6%
78
85.4%
Q4 - 10:30MIAMISS Simien 13' Jump Shot71
15.6%
78
84.4%
Q4 - 10:44NOKPargo Traveling Turnover (P2.T9)71
17.9%
78
82.1%
Q4 - 10:48MIASimmons STEAL (2 STL)71
14.6%
78
85.4%
Q4 - 11:07NOKButler Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T8)71
18.8%
78
81.2%
Q4 - 11:07NOKButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
15.6%
78
84.4%
Q4 - 11:08NOKMISS Simmons Free Throw 2 of 271
18.3%
78
81.7%
Q4 - 11:08NOKMISS Simmons Free Throw 1 of 271
16.5%
78
83.5%
Q4 - 11:08MIASimmons STEAL (1 STL)71
15.6%
78
84.4%
Q4 - 11:13MIAWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)71
18.8%
78
81.2%
Q4 - 11:17NOKMISS Pargo 18' Jump Shot71
17.7%
78
82.3%
Q4 - 11:21NOKPargo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
15.6%
78
84.4%
Q4 - 11:23MIAMISS Simien 5' Jump Shot71
16.5%
78
83.5%
Q4 - 11:24MIASimien REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)71
18.8%
78
81.2%
Q4 - 11:26MIASimmons BLOCK (2 BLK)71
16.5%
78
83.5%
Q4 - 11:47NOKButler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)71
18.7%
78
81.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOK71
26.0%
75
74.0%
Q3 - 0:01.0NOKJump Ball Chandler vs. Wade: Tip to Paul71
27.4%
75
72.6%
Q3 - 0:09.0MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)71
31.6%
75
68.4%
Q3 - 0:10.0NOKMISS Mason 4' Running Hook Shot71
30.3%
75
69.7%
Q3 - 0:32.0MIAWilliams Layup (13 PTS)71
27.3%
75
72.7%
Q3 - 0:35.0NOKPaul Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)69
23.4%
75
76.6%
Q3 - 0:50.0MIAWade Layup (27 PTS)69
19.9%
75
80.1%
Q3 - 1:12NOKMason 4' Hook Bank Shot (14 PTS)67
18.0%
75
82.0%
Q3 - 1:32MIAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)67
21.0%
73
79.0%
Q3 - 1:39MIAWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)64
15.3%
73
84.7%
Q3 - 1:41MIAMISS Wright 5' Jump Shot64
13.5%
73
86.5%
Q3 - 1:43MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)64
15.3%
73
84.7%
Q3 - 1:46MIAMISS Wright 3PT Jump Shot64
13.5%
73
86.5%
Q3 - 2:06NOKJackson 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Mason 2 AST)64
16.2%
73
83.8%
Q3 - 2:25MIAWilliams 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)64
21.6%
70
78.4%
Q3 - 2:40MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
16.1%
70
83.9%
Q3 - 2:41NOKMISS Simmons Free Throw 2 of 261
15.8%
70
84.2%
Q3 - 2:41NOKSimmons Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)61
14.4%
70
85.6%
Q3 - 2:41NOKSimmons REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)61
15.9%
69
84.1%
Q3 - 2:42NOKMISS Chandler Free Throw 1 of 161
18.4%
69
81.6%
Q3 - 2:45MIAChandler STEAL (2 STL)61
21.6%
67
78.4%
Q3 - 2:55NOKChandler Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)61
25.2%
67
74.8%
Q3 - 2:55NOKMISS Chandler Free Throw 1 of 261
26.5%
66
73.5%
Q3 - 2:55NOKHORNETS Rebound61
24.9%
66
75.1%
Q3 - 2:55NOKMISS Stojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
27.6%
66
72.4%
Q3 - 3:02NOKStojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
25.9%
66
74.1%
Q3 - 3:04MIAMISS Simien 15' Jump Shot61
27.0%
66
73.0%
Q3 - 3:26NOKStojakovic Layup (17 PTS) (Paul 9 AST)61
29.6%
66
70.4%
Q3 - 3:29MIAMason STEAL (1 STL)61
33.2%
64
66.8%
Q3 - 3:32MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)61
37.6%
64
62.4%
Q3 - 3:34MIAMISS Williams 22' Jump Shot61
34.5%
64
65.5%
Q3 - 3:51MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)61
37.5%
64
62.5%
Q3 - 3:52NOKMISS Stojakovic 17' Jump Shot61
36.2%
64
63.8%
Q3 - 4:16MIAWade Layup (25 PTS)61
33.4%
64
66.6%
Q3 - 4:34NOKStojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Paul 8 AST)59
30.2%
64
69.8%
Q3 - 4:43NOKPaul REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)59
37.4%
61
62.6%
Q3 - 4:44MIAMISS Payton 3PT Jump Shot59
38.8%
61
61.2%
Q3 - 4:53MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)59
42.1%
61
57.9%
Q3 - 4:55MIAMISS Payton 8' Running Hook Shot59
38.8%
61
61.2%
Q3 - 5:04MIASimien REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
42.2%
61
57.8%
Q3 - 5:05NOKMISS Jackson 19' Jump Shot59
40.9%
61
59.1%
Q3 - 5:32MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (23 PTS)59
37.9%
61
62.1%
Q3 - 5:57NOKJackson 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Paul 7 AST)57
34.3%
61
65.7%
Q3 - 6:07MIADoleac 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)57
38.2%
59
61.8%
Q3 - 6:22NOKStojakovic 13' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Chandler 1 AST)55
34.8%
59
65.2%
Q3 - 6:32NOKPaul REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)55
38.2%
57
61.8%
Q3 - 6:34NOKMISS Stojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
41.1%
57
58.9%
Q3 - 6:46NOKHORNETS Rebound55
38.2%
57
61.8%
Q3 - 6:46NOKMISS Paul Layup55
41.1%
57
58.9%
Q3 - 6:52NOKPaul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
38.2%
57
61.8%
Q3 - 6:55MIAMISS Wright 16' Jump Shot55
39.5%
57
60.5%
Q3 - 7:14NOKMason Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)55
42.3%
57
57.7%
Q3 - 7:32MIAWade Driving Layup (21 PTS)55
49.4%
54
50.6%
Q3 - 7:38MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
46.1%
54
53.9%
Q3 - 7:41NOKMISS Jackson 21' Jump Shot53
44.8%
54
55.2%
Q3 - 8:05NOKHORNETS Rebound53
42.1%
54
57.9%
Q3 - 8:05MIAMISS Payton 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
43.4%
54
56.6%
Q3 - 8:15MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)53
46.3%
54
53.7%
Q3 - 8:17MIAMISS Mourning Layup53
43.4%
54
56.6%
Q3 - 8:18MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)53
46.3%
54
53.7%
Q3 - 8:21MIAChandler BLOCK (1 BLK)53
43.4%
54
56.6%
Q3 - 8:28MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)53
46.3%
54
53.7%
Q3 - 8:29NOKMISS Mason 4' Hook Shot53
45.0%
54
55.0%
Q3 - 8:51NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:5 Def:10)53
42.0%
54
58.0%
Q3 - 8:53MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 253
42.6%
54
57.4%
Q3 - 8:53MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)53
44.5%
54
55.5%
Q3 - 9:08NOKMason Driving Hook Shot (9 PTS)52
42.3%
54
57.7%
Q3 - 9:17NOKJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)52
45.9%
52
54.1%
Q3 - 9:17NOKMISS Paul Layup52
48.5%
52
51.5%
Q3 - 9:25NOKPaul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)52
45.9%
52
54.1%
Q3 - 9:26MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot52
47.0%
52
53.0%
Q3 - 9:47NOKJackson 23' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Paul 6 AST)52
49.7%
52
50.3%
Q3 - 10:02NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)52
52.9%
50
47.1%
Q3 - 10:05MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
54.1%
50
45.9%
Q3 - 10:21MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)52
56.9%
50
43.1%
Q3 - 10:24NOKMISS Stojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
55.7%
50
44.3%
Q3 - 10:36MIAPayton 10' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)52
52.9%
50
47.1%
Q3 - 10:54NOKStojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)50
49.8%
50
50.2%
Q3 - 10:58NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)50
56.5%
47
43.5%
Q3 - 10:59NOKMISS Jackson 17' Jump Shot50
59.1%
47
40.9%
Q3 - 11:12MIAHaslem Layup (6 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)50
56.5%
47
43.5%
Q3 - 11:18MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)48
53.2%
47
46.8%
Q3 - 11:19NOKMISS Mason 9' Jump Shot48
52.1%
47
47.9%
Q3 - 11:42MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)48
49.6%
47
50.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA46
46.3%
47
53.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound46
46.3%
47
53.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0NOKMISS Paul 7' Jump Shot46
45.2%
47
54.8%
Q2 - 0:01.0NOKHORNETS Rebound46
43.6%
47
56.4%
Q2 - 0:01.0NOKMISS Paul Layup46
45.2%
47
54.8%
Q2 - 0:06.0MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P3.T9)46
43.6%
47
56.4%
Q2 - 0:26.0NOKPaul Driving Layup (11 PTS)46
45.9%
47
54.1%
Q2 - 0:37.0MIAWade Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P2.T8)46
50.2%
45
49.8%
Q2 - 0:43.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)46
52.5%
45
47.5%
Q2 - 0:44.0NOKMISS Paul 6' Running Jump Shot46
51.8%
45
48.2%
Q2 - 1:01MIAWright Layup (8 PTS)46
50.4%
45
49.6%
Q2 - 1:07MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)44
45.7%
45
54.3%
Q2 - 1:09NOKMISS Jackson Layup44
45.2%
45
54.8%
Q2 - 1:27MIAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)44
44.0%
45
56.0%
Q2 - 1:34MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)41
36.3%
45
63.7%
Q2 - 1:35NOKMISS Stojakovic 3PT Jump Shot41
35.9%
45
64.1%
Q2 - 1:42NOKSimmons REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)41
34.8%
45
65.2%
Q2 - 1:43NOKMISS Stojakovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
35.9%
45
64.1%
Q2 - 1:57MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)41
34.8%
45
65.2%
Q2 - 1:57MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)40
34.2%
45
65.8%
Q2 - 2:05NOKChandler Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)39
31.7%
45
68.3%
Q2 - 2:05NOKChandler Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)39
32.7%
44
67.3%
Q2 - 2:05NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)39
34.6%
43
65.4%
Q2 - 2:06MIAMISS Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot39
35.4%
43
64.6%
Q2 - 2:26NOKStojakovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Mason 1 AST)39
37.2%
43
62.8%
Q2 - 2:47MIAHaslem Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)39
43.5%
40
56.5%
Q2 - 2:59NOKChandler Foul Turnover (P1.T6)39
46.3%
40
53.7%
Q2 - 3:06MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)39
43.4%
40
56.6%
Q2 - 3:06MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)38
42.8%
40
57.2%
Q2 - 3:17MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)37
40.8%
40
59.2%
Q2 - 3:18NOKMISS Stojakovic 21' Jump Shot37
39.8%
40
60.2%
Q2 - 3:32MIAMourning Layup (6 PTS) (Haslem 3 AST)37
37.6%
40
62.4%
Q2 - 3:46MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)35
35.1%
40
64.9%
Q2 - 3:48NOKMISS Mason Free Throw 2 of 235
34.7%
40
65.3%
Q2 - 3:48NOKMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)35
33.0%
40
67.0%
Q2 - 3:50NOKPaul Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)35
34.8%
39
65.2%
Q2 - 4:01MIAWright 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)35
38.1%
38
61.9%
Q2 - 4:17NOKMason Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)33
35.4%
38
64.6%
Q2 - 4:20NOKMason REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)33
32.8%
38
67.2%
Q2 - 4:22MIAMISS Mourning 5' Jump Shot33
33.6%
38
66.4%
Q2 - 4:41NOKChandler Layup (2 PTS)33
35.4%
38
64.6%
Q2 - 4:42NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)33
38.1%
36
61.9%
Q2 - 4:43NOKMISS Paul Layup33
40.0%
36
60.0%
Q2 - 4:58MIAPayton Layup (2 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)33
38.0%
36
62.0%
Q2 - 5:12NOKButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)31
35.8%
36
64.2%
Q2 - 5:12NOKMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 231
36.5%
35
63.5%
Q2 - 5:15MIAChandler STEAL (1 STL)31
35.5%
35
64.5%
Q2 - 5:26NOKPargo Foul Turnover (P1.T4)31
38.4%
35
61.6%
Q2 - 5:35MIAWade 18' Jump Bank Shot (17 PTS) (Wright 2 AST)31
35.5%
35
64.5%
Q2 - 5:47MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)29
33.2%
35
66.8%
Q2 - 5:52NOKMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot29
32.3%
35
67.7%
Q2 - 5:57NOKJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
30.5%
35
69.5%
Q2 - 5:58MIAMISS Haslem Tip Shot29
31.3%
35
68.7%
Q2 - 5:59MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
33.2%
35
66.8%
Q2 - 6:00MIAMISS Haslem Layup29
31.3%
35
68.7%
Q2 - 6:18NOKButler 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Paul 5 AST)29
33.8%
35
66.2%
Q2 - 6:30MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)29
35.8%
33
64.2%
Q2 - 6:30MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)28
35.3%
33
64.7%
Q2 - 6:44NOKJackson 6' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS) (Pargo 2 AST)27
33.8%
33
66.2%
Q2 - 6:56MIAWade Dunk (13 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)27
35.8%
31
64.3%
Q2 - 7:19NOKJackson Layup (4 PTS) (Pargo 1 AST)25
34.3%
31
65.7%
Q2 - 7:33MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)25
36.5%
29
63.5%
Q2 - 7:33MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)24
36.0%
29
64.0%
Q2 - 7:40NOKButler Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)23
34.3%
29
65.7%
Q2 - 7:41NOKButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
31.7%
29
68.3%
Q2 - 7:42MIAMISS Payton 3PT Jump Shot23
32.5%
29
67.5%
Q2 - 7:52MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)23
34.2%
29
65.8%
Q2 - 7:53NOKMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot23
33.5%
29
66.5%
Q2 - 8:04MIAPargo STEAL (1 STL)23
31.8%
29
68.2%
Q2 - 8:26NOKPargo 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)23
34.4%
29
65.6%
Q2 - 8:38NOKHORNETS Rebound23
38.9%
26
61.1%
Q2 - 8:38NOKMISS Butler 5' Jump Shot23
40.8%
26
59.2%
Q2 - 8:54NOKJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
38.9%
26
61.1%
Q2 - 8:56MIAMISS Walker Layup23
39.8%
26
60.2%
Q2 - 9:04MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)23
41.8%
26
58.2%
Q2 - 9:06MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 2 of 223
39.4%
26
60.6%
Q2 - 9:06MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 1 of 223
40.6%
26
59.4%
Q2 - 9:17MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)23
41.8%
26
58.2%
Q2 - 9:20NOKMISS Jackson Free Throw 1 of 123
41.4%
26
58.6%
Q2 - 9:32MIAWright 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)23
44.0%
24
56.0%
Q2 - 9:48MIAHeat Rebound21
41.8%
24
58.2%
Q2 - 9:50NOKMISS Jackson 9' Running Jump Shot21
40.9%
24
59.1%
Q2 - 10:05NOKButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
39.1%
24
60.9%
Q2 - 10:06MIAMISS Doleac 19' Jump Shot21
39.9%
24
60.1%
Q2 - 10:18MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
41.8%
24
58.2%
Q2 - 10:20NOKMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot21
40.9%
24
59.1%
Q2 - 10:36NOKPargo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
39.1%
24
60.9%
Q2 - 10:39MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot21
39.9%
24
60.1%
Q2 - 10:59NOKJackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)21
41.8%
24
58.2%
Q2 - 11:09MIAWright Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)21
46.4%
21
53.6%
Q2 - 11:20MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
48.8%
21
51.2%
Q2 - 11:21NOKMISS Pargo 20' Jump Shot21
48.0%
21
52.0%
Q2 - 11:40MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)21
46.4%
21
53.6%
Q2 - 11:40MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)20
45.9%
21
54.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA19
44.0%
21
56.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound19
44.0%
21
56.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOKMISS Jackson 44' 3PT Jump Shot19
43.2%
21
56.8%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAWilliams 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)19
41.8%
21
58.2%
Q1 - 0:20.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
39.0%
21
61.0%
Q1 - 0:23.0NOKMISS Paul 18' Jump Shot17
38.5%
21
61.5%
Q1 - 0:43.0NOKJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
37.3%
21
62.7%
Q1 - 0:44.0MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot17
37.8%
21
62.2%
Q1 - 1:00MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
39.0%
21
61.0%
Q1 - 1:01NOKMISS Simmons Free Throw 2 of 217
38.9%
21
61.1%
Q1 - 1:01NOKMISS Simmons Free Throw 1 of 217
37.5%
21
62.5%
Q1 - 1:10MIADoleac Layup (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)17
37.4%
21
62.6%
Q1 - 1:24NOKPaul 8' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)15
34.7%
21
65.3%
Q1 - 1:44NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)15
37.4%
19
62.6%
Q1 - 1:46MIAMISS Wright Free Throw 1 of 115
37.6%
19
62.4%
Q1 - 2:03NOKJackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Paul 4 AST)13
35.2%
19
64.8%
Q1 - 2:21NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)13
39.7%
16
60.3%
Q1 - 2:22MIAMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot13
40.3%
16
59.7%
Q1 - 2:43MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
41.8%
16
58.2%
Q1 - 2:44NOKMISS Mason 16' Jump Shot13
41.1%
16
58.9%
Q1 - 2:59MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)13
39.7%
16
60.3%
Q1 - 3:06MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
35.7%
16
64.3%
Q1 - 3:07NOKMISS Mason Layup10
35.0%
16
65.0%
Q1 - 3:22NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)10
33.4%
16
66.6%
Q1 - 3:23MIAMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot10
34.1%
16
65.9%
Q1 - 3:37MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
35.7%
16
64.3%
Q1 - 3:38NOKMISS Chandler Free Throw 2 of 210
35.4%
16
64.6%
Q1 - 3:38NOKMISS Chandler Free Throw 1 of 210
34.3%
16
65.7%
Q1 - 3:38NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)10
33.4%
16
66.6%
Q1 - 3:38NOKMISS Paul 9' Jump Shot10
35.0%
16
65.0%
Q1 - 3:40NOKPaul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
33.4%
16
66.6%
Q1 - 3:43NOKMISS Chandler Dunk10
35.0%
16
65.0%
Q1 - 3:48NOKSimmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
33.4%
16
66.6%
Q1 - 3:50MIASimmons BLOCK (1 BLK)10
34.1%
16
65.9%
Q1 - 3:55MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)10
35.7%
16
64.3%
Q1 - 3:56NOKMISS Jackson 18' Jump Shot10
35.0%
16
65.0%
Q1 - 4:18NOKJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
33.5%
16
66.5%
Q1 - 4:19MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot10
34.3%
16
65.7%
Q1 - 4:33NOKPaul Foul Turnover (P2.T2)10
36.0%
16
64.0%
Q1 - 4:35NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)10
33.5%
16
66.5%
Q1 - 4:37MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
34.3%
16
65.7%
Q1 - 4:43MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
35.9%
16
64.1%
Q1 - 4:44NOKMISS Jackson Layup10
35.2%
16
64.8%
Q1 - 4:50NOKMason REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)10
33.5%
16
66.5%
Q1 - 4:52MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
34.3%
16
65.7%
Q1 - 5:04MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)10
36.3%
16
63.7%
Q1 - 5:06NOKMISS Simmons Layup10
35.6%
16
64.4%
Q1 - 5:07NOKSimmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
34.2%
16
65.8%
Q1 - 5:10NOKMISS Paul 18' Jump Shot10
35.6%
16
64.4%
Q1 - 5:18NOKPaul Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)10
34.2%
16
65.8%
Q1 - 5:29MIAWalker 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
36.1%
15
63.9%
Q1 - 5:39MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
34.3%
15
65.7%
Q1 - 5:42NOKMISS Jackson 5' Jump Shot8
33.7%
15
66.3%
Q1 - 5:59MIAMourning Dunk (4 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)8
32.2%
15
67.8%
Q1 - 6:15NOKPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)6
31.1%
15
68.9%
Q1 - 6:15NOKPaul Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)6
31.3%
14
68.7%
Q1 - 6:19NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)6
32.7%
13
67.3%
Q1 - 6:23MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
33.3%
13
66.7%
Q1 - 6:40NOKMason 8' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Paul 3 AST)6
34.6%
13
65.4%
Q1 - 6:58MIAMourning 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T3)6
36.4%
11
63.6%
Q1 - 7:16NOKPaul 16' Jump Shot (3 PTS)6
38.9%
11
61.1%
Q1 - 7:22MIAWalker Traveling Turnover (P2.T2)6
40.5%
9
59.5%
Q1 - 7:39NOKStojakovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)6
42.6%
9
57.4%
Q1 - 7:39NOKStojakovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)6
42.7%
8
57.3%
Q1 - 7:49NOKMason REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)6
44.2%
7
55.8%
Q1 - 7:50MIAMISS Payton 21' Jump Shot6
44.9%
7
55.1%
Q1 - 8:02MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
46.6%
7
53.4%
Q1 - 8:03NOKMISS Stojakovic 14' Jump Shot6
46.0%
7
54.0%
Q1 - 8:12NOKPaul Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)6
44.5%
7
55.5%
Q1 - 8:22MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)6
46.4%
6
53.6%
Q1 - 8:22MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)5
46.1%
6
53.9%
Q1 - 8:41NOKMason Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Paul 2 AST)4
44.7%
6
55.3%
Q1 - 8:45MIAMourning Dunk (2 PTS)4
46.4%
4
53.6%
Q1 - 8:47MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)2
44.7%
4
55.3%
Q1 - 8:49MIAMISS Mourning 4' Jump Shot2
43.3%
4
56.7%
Q1 - 8:51NOKPaul Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
44.7%
4
55.3%
Q1 - 8:56MIAPaul STEAL (1 STL)2
42.6%
4
57.4%
Q1 - 9:10MIAHeat Rebound2
44.7%
4
55.3%
Q1 - 9:11MIAMISS Payton 3' Finger Roll2
43.0%
4
57.0%
Q1 - 9:14MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
44.7%
4
55.3%
Q1 - 9:16NOKMISS Mason 4' Jump Shot2
44.0%
4
56.0%
Q1 - 9:38MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
42.3%
4
57.7%
Q1 - 9:53NOKMason 10' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Paul 1 AST)0
41.0%
4
59.0%
Q1 - 10:10NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)0
42.4%
2
57.6%
Q1 - 10:11MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot0
43.1%
2
56.9%
Q1 - 10:24MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
44.5%
2
55.5%
Q1 - 10:25NOKMISS Chandler Tip Shot0
43.9%
2
56.1%
Q1 - 10:26NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)0
42.4%
2
57.6%
Q1 - 10:27NOKMISS Chandler Tip Shot0
43.9%
2
56.1%
Q1 - 10:29NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
42.4%
2
57.6%
Q1 - 10:30NOKMISS Mason 5' Jump Shot0
43.9%
2
56.1%
Q1 - 10:33NOKMason REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)0
42.4%
2
57.6%
Q1 - 10:34NOKMISS Jackson 15' Jump Shot0
43.9%
2
56.1%
Q1 - 10:44NOKMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
42.4%
2
57.6%
Q1 - 10:45NOKMISS Paul 19' Jump Shot0
43.9%
2
56.1%
Q1 - 10:54NOKJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
42.4%
2
57.6%
Q1 - 10:55MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
43.1%
2
56.9%
Q1 - 11:07NOKStojakovic 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)0
44.4%
2
55.6%
Q1 - 11:24NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
46.3%
0
53.7%
Q1 - 11:25MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot0
46.8%
0
53.2%
Q1 - 11:40MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
48.0%
0
52.0%
Q1 - 11:41NOKMISS Mason 10' Turnaround Hook Shot0
47.5%
0
52.5%
Q1 - 12:00NOKJump Ball Chandler vs. Mourning: Tip to Paul0
46.3%
0
53.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.86 43.0%
NOK
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
17
32
53%
NOK
11
29
38%
Midrange
MIA
11
33
33%
NOK
15
40
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
4
6.0
22
18%
27%
NOK
11
16.5
19
58%
87%
Free Throws
MIA
18
24
75%
NOK
16
32
50%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2976%14.5 / 19
J. Williams1359%6.5 / 11
D. Wright1042%5.0 / 12
U. Haslem836%4.0 / 11
A. Mourning750%3.5 / 7
A. Walker528%2.5 / 9
G. Payton422%2.0 / 9
M. Doleac467%2.0 / 3
E. Barron425%2.0 / 8
J. Kapono250%1.0 / 2
W. Simien0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. Stojakovic2368%11.5 / 17
D. Mason1750%8.5 / 17
B. Jackson1478%7.0 / 9
M. Jackson1250%6.0 / 12
C. Paul1137%5.5 / 15
R. Butler1050%5.0 / 10
T. Chandler744%3.5 / 8
J. Pargo330%1.5 / 5
L. Johnson375%1.5 / 2
C. Simmons113%0.5 / 4
B. Bass0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
78
+19
-14
97
NOK
83
+18
-11
101
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.86 43.0%
NOK
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.2
104.6
MIA 93.5 +14.0
NOK 107.4
Pace
90.1
90.4
MIA 86.6
NOK 100.2 +13.5
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
16.1
MIA 16.6
NOK 14.4 +2.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.6%
47.9%
MIA 39.1%
NOK 48.3% +9.2%
TO %
15.3%
14.9%
MIA 13.3%
NOK 9.7% +3.6%
ORB %
24.9%
29.2%
MIA 29.6% +3.2%
NOK 26.4%
FTrt
32.1
29.1
MIA 27.6
NOK 36.4 +8.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.6%
51.7%
MIA 56.3%
NOK 67.6% +11.3%
STL %
7.6%
7.0%
MIA 2.2%
NOK 8.5% +6.3%
BLK %
8.8%
6.9%
MIA 4.3%
NOK 6.2% +1.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.4%
50.7%
MIA 43.0%
NOK 49.5% +6.5%
Rim FG%
61.8%
56.2%
MIA 53.1% +15.2%
NOK 37.9%
Mid FG%
40.5%
38.2%
MIA 33.3%
NOK 37.5% +4.2%
3P %
34.3%
36.2%
MIA 18.2%
NOK 57.9% +39.7%
FT %
69.0%
74.0%
MIA 75.0% +25.0%
NOK 50.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.9%
37.2%
MIA 36.8% +3.8%
NOK 33.0%
Mid Att. %
40.7%
44.0%
MIA 37.9% +7.5%
NOK 45.5%
3P Att. %
24.5%
18.8%
MIA 25.3% +3.7%
NOK 21.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.
Game TotalsMIANOK
Possessions9294
Possession Minutes25.522.5
Points86101
Rebounds5552
Assists1825
Steals28
Blocks34
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)16 (3)14 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)39 (3)38 (3)
Field Goals32-8737-88
At-the-Rim FG17-3211-29
Midrange FG11-3315-40
2-Point FG28-6526-69
3-Point FG4-2211-19
Free Throws18-2416-32
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 25
39.9
29
76%
3
6
0
0
5
1
0
3
13-14
93%
8-13
62%
0-2
0%
C · 6'10" 261 · 37
25.8
7
50%
12
0
0
2
1
2
2
10
1-2
50%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 26
24.0
8
36%
6
3
0
0
1
4
1
5
2-3
67%
3-10
30%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 190 · 38
23.7
4
22%
7
3
1
0
0
3
2
5
0-0
-
2-6
33%
0-3
0%
F · 6'9" 245 · 30
22.0
5
28%
1
0
0
1
3
6
1
0
0-2
0%
1-3
33%
1-5
20%
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 21
37.8
10
42%
12
3
0
0
2
2
2
10
0-1
0%
5-8
63%
0-4
0%
G · 6'1" 180 · 31
21.6
13
59%
0
2
1
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
50%
3-7
43%
C · 6'11" 262 · 29
18.9
4
67%
7
0
0
0
1
3
3
4
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 24
12.0
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-4
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 215 · 26
7.7
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 175 · 23
3.3
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 25
3.3
4
25%
3
0
0
0
0
0
3
0
2-2
100%
1-7
14%
0-0
-
#42 · F · 6'8" 217 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#32 · C · 7'1" 325 · 35
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#22 · G · 6'2" 184 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
86
43%
55
18
2
3
14
0
16
39
18-24
75%
28-65
43%
4-22
18%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.