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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
November 21, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Heat48%9286
19Hornets52%93101
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 24.8
39.9
39.8
29
69%
3
6
0
2
0
5
0
3
13-14
93%
8-13
8-17
62%
50%
0-2
0%
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 36.8
25.8
25.0
7
51%
12
0
0
0
2
1
2
10
1-2
50%
3-6
3-5
50%
54%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.5
24.0
37.7
8
35%
6
3
0
1
0
1
1
5
2-3
67%
3-10
5-10
30%
51%
0-0
-
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 38.3
23.7
21.6
4
22%
7
3
1
1
0
0
2
5
0-0
-
2-6
1-3
33%
48%
0-3
0%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.3
22.0
29.1
5
28%
1
0
0
1
1
3
1
0
0-2
0%
1-3
2-5
33%
47%
1-5
20%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 21.0
37.8
20.5
10
40%
12
3
0
1
0
2
2
10
0-1
0%
5-8
2-5
63%
46%
0-4
0%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 31.0
21.6
24.3
13
59%
0
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
48%
3-7
43%
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 29.4
18.9
11.3
4
67%
7
0
0
0
0
1
3
4
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
43%
0-0
-
Wayne Simien
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.7
12.0
6.4
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-4
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.8
7.7
8.4
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
42%
0-1
0%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.2
3.3
3.8
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 25.3
3.3
2.3
4
25%
3
0
0
0
0
0
3
0
2-2
100%
1-7
0-1
14%
48%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 29.9
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 34.7
Robert Hite
G · 6'2" 184 · 22.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 21.5
33.5
34.9
11
34%
5
10
1
2
0
3
2
3
5-7
71%
3-13
6-12
23%
49%
0-0
-
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 29.1
32.8
28.5
17
49%
5
3
1
1
0
2
2
3
3-5
60%
7-15
4-9
47%
44%
0-0
-
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 24.1
30.4
31.0
7
43%
18
1
3
1
1
1
5
13
3-7
43%
2-5
2-4
40%
54%
0-0
-
Marc Jackson
F · 6'10" 253 · 31.8
29.8
10.8
12
48%
3
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-1
0%
6-12
2-4
50%
45%
0-0
-
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 29.5
28.9
31.5
23
68%
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
2-2
100%
3-6
4-8
50%
48%
5-10
50%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 27.5
20.9
17.0
10
48%
7
2
0
0
0
3
1
6
1-3
33%
3-7
1-3
43%
43%
1-2
50%
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 33.7
20.0
22.9
14
74%
6
3
0
1
0
0
0
6
1-1
100%
2-5
2-5
40%
45%
3-4
75%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 27.1
15.6
13.5
3
30%
3
3
1
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-4
2-4
0%
41%
1-1
100%
Cedric Simmons
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.9
15.6
18.3
1
14%
4
0
2
0
2
0
3
1
1-6
17%
0-1
2-4
0%
49%
0-0
-
Linton Johnson
F · 6'8" 205 · 26.4
6.7
7.4
3
75%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
1-2
50%
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 22.0
3.3
9.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 21.6
2.7
15.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
46%
0-0
-
Marcus Vinicius
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.5
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.