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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
November 21, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Wizards31%9880
4Mavericks69%104107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 26.7
38.8
38.8
12
56%
11
0
0
2
0
4
3
8
4-4
100%
4-9
6-12
44%
47%
0-0
-
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.9
36.4
37.2
29
49%
6
2
2
2
0
3
1
5
9-11
82%
7-15
6-12
47%
48%
2-10
20%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.4
36.3
36.0
9
36%
9
2
0
1
1
2
0
9
1-1
100%
4-8
5-10
50%
47%
0-4
0%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 25.6
26.9
27.0
10
63%
0
3
1
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
4-7
3-6
57%
46%
0-0
-
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 28.6
17.9
19.5
5
46%
6
0
0
0
3
0
3
3
1-1
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
53%
0-0
-
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 31.7
33.7
24.9
10
58%
0
1
1
1
1
2
0
0
6-6
100%
2-6
2-5
33%
49%
0-0
-
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 20.2
10.7
4.6
0
0%
3
0
1
0
1
1
2
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 29.8
10.1
7.0
0
0%
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-2
0%
0-1
0-0
0%
44%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 26.2
8.9
3.2
2
20%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
0-1
25%
43%
0-1
0%
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.3
8.2
18.5
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 27.0
6.1
18.1
1
57%
3
0
0
0
1
1
0
3
1-2
50%
0-0
2-4
-
52%
0-0
-
Donell Taylor
G · 6'5" 193 · 24.3
5.8
3.7
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
43%
0-0
-
James Lang
C · 6'10" 305 · 23.1
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 28.8
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 30.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 29.2
39.0
35.4
18
50%
0
3
2
1
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
3-9
4-9
33%
50%
4-9
44%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 28.4
38.1
37.9
30
69%
14
5
1
1
2
3
5
9
6-6
100%
9-15
7-14
60%
50%
2-4
50%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 32.0
28.4
30.0
7
24%
5
5
0
1
0
1
4
1
2-2
100%
1-9
4-9
11%
45%
1-5
20%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.7
24.1
29.6
18
65%
5
4
0
1
0
2
1
4
1-2
50%
7-11
4-8
64%
49%
1-2
50%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 31.4
9.3
31.0
2
100%
5
0
0
0
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
1-1
3-6
100%
53%
0-0
-
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 30.2
27.8
22.5
11
69%
4
2
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
54%
3-5
60%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 24.8
25.2
15.2
4
26%
13
0
0
0
4
0
6
7
4-4
100%
0-6
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 31.6
20.4
7.7
14
61%
6
0
0
0
0
1
2
4
1-1
100%
2-5
1-1
40%
44%
3-6
50%
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 32.1
17.6
17.7
3
31%
2
3
0
1
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
0-1
0%
Maurice Ager
F-G · 6'5" 202 · 22.8
3.8
6.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-1
0%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 22.4
3.8
0.9
0
0%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Pops Mensah-Bonsu
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.2
2.6
2.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
51%
0-0
-
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 25.9
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.2
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 26.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.