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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
November 21, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Bulls45%100109
15Nuggets55%101113
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 27.0
39.6
31.5
15
47%
11
2
1
1
1
1
2
9
2-2
100%
5-9
4-9
56%
48%
1-6
17%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.9
38.8
32.0
28
63%
4
8
1
1
1
4
0
4
5-5
100%
7-14
4-8
50%
45%
3-6
50%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 32.2
38.1
35.3
11
48%
16
1
2
2
3
1
12
4
3-8
38%
4-8
2-5
50%
48%
0-0
-
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.6
37.4
32.8
22
55%
5
1
1
1
1
4
1
4
2-2
100%
10-18
6-12
56%
49%
0-1
0%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 24.2
20.1
21.3
10
83%
3
2
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
43%
2-3
67%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.6
30.6
30.8
19
52%
3
7
0
1
0
3
0
3
9-10
90%
2-6
5-11
33%
43%
2-8
25%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 28.4
16.1
9.1
4
34%
3
1
0
0
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
1-5
1-3
20%
46%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 22.6
13.2
13.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
46%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 20.3
6.1
8.9
0
0%
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
P.J. Brown
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 37.1
14.4
0
2-4
45%
Viktor Khryapa
· 6'9" 210 · 24.3
7.7
0
1-2
47%
Michael Sweetney
F · 6'8" 270 · 24.1
3.1
0
0-1
47%
Andre Barrett
G · 5'10" 173 · 24.7
Martynas Andriuskevicius
C · 7'2" 240 · 20.7
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 32.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.7
41.1
34.2
11
54%
7
11
1
1
0
1
1
6
3-5
60%
4-8
5-11
50%
47%
0-0
-
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.5
39.4
37.6
29
57%
4
4
1
1
0
10
1
3
10-12
83%
8-16
9-19
50%
48%
1-4
25%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 21.2
36.1
28.8
36
69%
3
2
2
1
0
3
2
1
5-5
100%
8-13
3-6
62%
45%
5-11
45%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 32.7
34.1
30.6
13
57%
15
4
0
1
5
0
2
13
1-1
100%
6-11
4-9
55%
46%
0-0
-
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.4
22.5
25.8
8
65%
5
0
0
1
0
0
2
3
4-5
80%
2-3
2-4
67%
46%
0-1
0%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 26.5
23.2
19.6
8
58%
8
1
3
1
0
2
3
5
0-2
0%
4-6
2-3
67%
48%
0-0
-
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 24.2
19.8
13.3
2
17%
2
3
2
0
0
2
2
0
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
46%
0-2
0%
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 21.9
16.8
6.2
6
30%
3
0
0
0
1
1
2
1
1-2
50%
1-4
1-2
25%
46%
1-5
20%
DerMarr Johnson
F-G · 6'9" 210 · 26.5
7.0
5.7
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
52%
0-1
0%
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 30.5
21.6
1
2-6
42%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 31.3
15.4
0
2-5
47%
Jamal Sampson
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 23.5
1.4
0
0-0
48%
Nene Hilario
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 24.2
Julius Hodge
G · 6'7" 220 · 23.0
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.