FinalWin Prob.pScore
2332%91
91
1468%97
96
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
94.89696.6
ORL logo ORL
101.19594.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MagicPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDORL
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL91
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 0:05.0ORLHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)91
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:05.0ORLHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)91
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:07.0INDTinsley Layup (19 PTS)91
1.2%
94
98.8%
Q4 - 0:13.0INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)89
0.9%
94
99.1%
Q4 - 0:14.0ORLMISS Milicic Free Throw 2 of 289
0.8%
94
99.2%
Q4 - 0:14.0ORLMilicic Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)89
0.5%
94
99.5%
Q4 - 0:14.0ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)89
0.8%
93
99.2%
Q4 - 0:15.0INDMISS Jackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot89
1.1%
93
98.9%
Q4 - 0:20.0INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)89
2.6%
93
97.4%
Q4 - 0:21.0ORLMISS Nelson Free Throw 2 of 289
2.7%
93
97.3%
Q4 - 0:21.0ORLMISS Nelson Free Throw 1 of 289
1.5%
93
98.5%
Q4 - 0:22.0INDJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)89
1.1%
93
98.9%
Q4 - 0:22.0INDJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)88
1.0%
93
99.0%
Q4 - 0:26.0ORLDooling Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)87
0.7%
93
99.3%
Q4 - 0:26.0ORLMISS Dooling Free Throw 1 of 287
0.8%
92
99.2%
Q4 - 0:26.0ORLDooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)87
0.6%
92
99.4%
Q4 - 0:27.0INDMISS Tinsley Layup87
0.8%
92
99.2%
Q4 - 0:32.0INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)87
1.7%
92
98.3%
Q4 - 0:34.0ORLMISS Dooling 26' 3PT Jump Shot87
1.2%
92
98.8%
Q4 - 0:58.0INDJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)87
2.0%
92
98.0%
Q4 - 0:58.0INDMISS Jackson Free Throw 1 of 286
1.8%
92
98.2%
Q4 - 1:07ORLHoward Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T16)86
2.4%
92
97.6%
Q4 - 1:25INDTinsley Layup (17 PTS)86
1.7%
92
98.3%
Q4 - 1:33ORLDooling 5' Jump Shot (6 PTS)84
1.3%
92
98.7%
Q4 - 1:51ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)84
2.5%
90
97.5%
Q4 - 1:52INDMISS Tinsley Layup84
2.9%
90
97.1%
Q4 - 1:54INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)84
4.1%
90
95.9%
Q4 - 1:57INDMilicic BLOCK (3 BLK)84
2.8%
90
97.2%
Q4 - 2:02INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)84
4.6%
90
95.4%
Q4 - 2:04ORLMISS Nelson 17' Jump Shot84
3.8%
90
96.2%
Q4 - 2:22INDTinsley Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)84
2.4%
90
97.6%
Q4 - 2:22INDTinsley Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)83
2.2%
90
97.8%
Q4 - 2:36ORLHill 14' Jump Shot (12 PTS)82
2.0%
90
98.0%
Q4 - 2:52ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)82
3.3%
88
96.7%
Q4 - 2:54INDMISS O'Neal 11' Turnaround Jump Shot82
3.9%
88
96.1%
Q4 - 3:14ORLMilicic 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Nelson 5 AST)82
5.6%
88
94.4%
Q4 - 3:30ORLMAGIC Rebound82
7.1%
86
92.9%
Q4 - 3:31ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 282
13.4%
86
86.6%
Q4 - 3:31ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 282
11.3%
86
88.7%
Q4 - 3:55INDJackson Layup (16 PTS)82
9.6%
86
90.4%
Q4 - 4:09ORLNelson Driving Layup (22 PTS)80
6.8%
86
93.2%
Q4 - 4:31INDHarrington 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Tinsley 7 AST)80
9.4%
84
90.6%
Q4 - 4:45ORLHill Driving Layup (10 PTS)78
6.7%
84
93.3%
Q4 - 5:01ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)78
10.9%
82
89.1%
Q4 - 5:04INDMISS Tinsley Free Throw 2 of 278
11.3%
82
88.7%
Q4 - 5:04INDTinsley Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)78
13.5%
82
86.5%
Q4 - 5:14INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
11.0%
82
89.0%
Q4 - 5:16ORLMISS Dooling 11' Jump Shot77
10.0%
82
90.0%
Q4 - 5:27ORLHill Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)77
8.0%
82
92.0%
Q4 - 5:41ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)77
10.8%
81
89.2%
Q4 - 5:44INDMISS Jackson 3PT Jump Shot77
11.8%
81
88.2%
Q4 - 6:02ORLMilicic Layup (8 PTS)77
15.8%
81
84.2%
Q4 - 6:18ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)77
19.4%
79
80.6%
Q4 - 6:20INDMISS O'Neal 14' Jump Shot77
21.2%
79
78.8%
Q4 - 6:39INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)77
25.5%
79
74.5%
Q4 - 6:41ORLMISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot77
23.5%
79
76.5%
Q4 - 6:57INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)77
19.4%
79
80.6%
Q4 - 6:57INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)76
18.5%
79
81.5%
Q4 - 7:05ORLNelson Driving Layup (20 PTS)75
16.8%
79
83.2%
Q4 - 7:16INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)75
20.4%
77
79.6%
Q4 - 7:16INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)74
19.4%
77
80.6%
Q4 - 7:27INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
16.7%
77
83.3%
Q4 - 7:30ORLMISS Dooling Free Throw 2 of 273
16.1%
77
83.9%
Q4 - 7:30ORLDooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)73
13.7%
77
86.3%
Q4 - 7:40ORLDooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
16.2%
76
83.8%
Q4 - 7:42INDMISS Jackson 20' Jump Shot73
17.5%
76
82.5%
Q4 - 7:54INDPacers Rebound73
20.9%
76
79.1%
Q4 - 7:54INDMilicic BLOCK (2 BLK)73
17.5%
76
82.5%
Q4 - 8:03INDJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
21.5%
76
78.5%
Q4 - 8:05ORLMISS Battie 8' Turnaround Jump Shot73
20.2%
76
79.8%
Q4 - 8:20ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)73
17.4%
76
82.6%
Q4 - 8:22INDMISS Foster 16' Jump Shot73
18.6%
76
81.4%
Q4 - 8:35ORLMilicic 6' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)73
21.4%
76
78.6%
Q4 - 9:00INDO'Neal 19' Jump Shot (21 PTS)73
25.9%
74
74.1%
Q4 - 9:02INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)71
21.8%
74
78.2%
Q4 - 9:05INDMilicic BLOCK (1 BLK)71
19.0%
74
81.0%
Q4 - 9:26INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)71
21.8%
74
78.2%
Q4 - 9:28ORLMISS Battie 19' Jump Shot71
20.5%
74
79.5%
Q4 - 9:46INDFoster Slam Dunk (5 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)71
17.8%
74
82.2%
Q4 - 10:05ORLArroyo Foul Turnover (P4.T15)69
15.4%
74
84.6%
Q4 - 10:16ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)69
12.5%
74
87.5%
Q4 - 10:19INDMISS O'Neal 7' Hook Shot69
13.3%
74
86.7%
Q4 - 10:36INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)69
15.4%
74
84.6%
Q4 - 10:38INDMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 269
12.8%
74
87.2%
Q4 - 10:38INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)69
14.5%
74
85.5%
Q4 - 11:03INDJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
13.3%
74
86.7%
Q4 - 11:04ORLMISS Milicic Free Throw 2 of 268
13.0%
74
87.0%
Q4 - 11:04ORLMISS Milicic Free Throw 1 of 268
11.8%
74
88.2%
Q4 - 11:16ORLDooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
10.9%
74
89.1%
Q4 - 11:18INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)68
13.3%
74
86.7%
Q4 - 11:18INDMISS Foster Tip Shot68
11.6%
74
88.4%
Q4 - 11:20INDMISS Marshall Layup68
11.6%
74
88.4%
Q4 - 11:47ORLMilicic 7' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)68
13.3%
74
86.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0IND68
15.8%
72
84.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDPacers Rebound68
19.1%
72
80.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDMISS Armstrong 62' 3PT Jump Shot68
16.8%
72
83.2%
Q3 - 0:01.0INDArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)68
19.5%
72
80.5%
Q3 - 0:03.0ORLMISS Arroyo Layup68
18.5%
72
81.5%
Q3 - 0:10.0INDJasikevicius Foul Turnover (P3.T19)68
16.5%
72
83.5%
Q3 - 0:27.0INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)68
19.4%
72
80.6%
Q3 - 0:28.0ORLMISS Bogans Layup68
18.5%
72
81.5%
Q3 - 0:39.0ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)68
16.4%
72
83.6%
Q3 - 0:44.0INDMISS Jackson Free Throw 2 of 268
16.8%
72
83.2%
Q3 - 0:44.0INDJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)68
18.9%
72
81.1%
Q3 - 0:51.0ORLJump Ball Arroyo vs. Foster: Tip to67
16.4%
72
83.6%
Q3 - 1:04INDMarshall Driving Layup (6 PTS)67
14.2%
72
85.8%
Q3 - 1:19ORLBogans 26' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)65
12.1%
72
87.9%
Q3 - 1:33ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
16.8%
69
83.2%
Q3 - 1:35INDMISS Jackson 11' Jump Shot65
17.7%
69
82.3%
Q3 - 1:53INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)65
19.8%
69
80.2%
Q3 - 1:54ORLMISS Bogans Free Throw 2 of 265
19.3%
69
80.7%
Q3 - 1:54ORLBogans Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)65
17.6%
69
82.4%
Q3 - 1:54ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)65
19.7%
68
80.3%
Q3 - 1:57ORLMISS Arroyo 15' Jump Shot65
22.0%
68
78.0%
Q3 - 2:13INDJasikevicius Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T18)65
19.7%
68
80.3%
Q3 - 2:28ORLArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)65
23.1%
68
76.9%
Q3 - 2:28ORLArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)65
23.7%
67
76.3%
Q3 - 2:45INDJasikevicius 19' Jump Bank Shot (3 PTS) (Marshall 1 AST)65
26.2%
66
73.8%
Q3 - 2:50ORLHoward Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T13)63
23.1%
66
76.9%
Q3 - 3:01ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
20.2%
66
79.8%
Q3 - 3:02INDMISS Marshall 17' Jump Shot63
21.1%
66
78.9%
Q3 - 3:10ORLBattie Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)63
23.4%
66
76.6%
Q3 - 3:25INDJackson Layup (13 PTS) (Foster 1 AST)63
20.1%
66
79.9%
Q3 - 3:33INDPacers Rebound61
17.5%
66
82.5%
Q3 - 3:33INDHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)61
15.7%
66
84.3%
Q3 - 3:47INDMarshall REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)61
17.5%
66
82.5%
Q3 - 3:48INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)61
17.5%
66
82.5%
Q3 - 3:48INDMISS Harrington Tip Shot61
15.7%
66
84.3%
Q3 - 3:51INDMISS Jackson 14' Jump Shot61
15.7%
66
84.3%
Q3 - 4:07ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)61
17.7%
66
82.3%
Q3 - 4:07ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)61
18.3%
65
81.7%
Q3 - 4:07INDNelson STEAL (2 STL)61
20.0%
64
80.0%
Q3 - 4:07INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)61
23.3%
64
76.7%
Q3 - 4:09ORLMISS Turkoglu 12' Jump Shot61
22.3%
64
77.7%
Q3 - 4:20ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)61
20.0%
64
80.0%
Q3 - 4:22INDMISS Foster Free Throw 2 of 261
20.4%
64
79.6%
Q3 - 4:22INDFoster Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)61
22.0%
64
78.0%
Q3 - 4:39ORLNelson 17' Fadeaway Jumper (16 PTS)60
20.4%
64
79.6%
Q3 - 4:49ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
22.9%
62
77.1%
Q3 - 4:52INDMISS Harrington 15' Jump Shot60
24.0%
62
76.0%
Q3 - 5:05INDJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)60
26.6%
62
73.4%
Q3 - 5:07ORLMISS Hill Free Throw 2 of 260
26.1%
62
73.9%
Q3 - 5:07ORLHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)60
23.9%
62
76.1%
Q3 - 5:27INDPacers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#16)60
26.3%
61
73.7%
Q3 - 5:54ORLHill Driving Layup (6 PTS)60
29.9%
61
70.1%
Q3 - 6:00ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
33.2%
59
66.8%
Q3 - 6:01INDMISS Harrington 18' Jump Shot60
33.9%
59
66.1%
Q3 - 6:16INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
36.7%
59
63.3%
Q3 - 6:18ORLMISS Nelson 12' Jump Shot60
35.5%
59
64.5%
Q3 - 6:33INDFoster Layup (2 PTS) (Jasikevicius 2 AST)60
32.9%
59
67.1%
Q3 - 6:45INDJasikevicius REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
29.7%
59
70.3%
Q3 - 6:46ORLMISS Hill 11' Jump Shot58
28.6%
59
71.4%
Q3 - 7:02INDJackson Driving Layup (11 PTS)58
25.9%
59
74.1%
Q3 - 7:09INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)56
23.5%
59
76.5%
Q3 - 7:12ORLMISS Howard 6' Hook Shot56
22.5%
59
77.5%
Q3 - 7:28INDO'Neal Foul Turnover (P2.T15)56
20.4%
59
79.6%
Q3 - 7:44ORLHoward Alley Oop Dunk (16 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)56
23.5%
59
76.5%
Q3 - 7:51INDTurkoglu STEAL (2 STL)56
25.9%
57
74.1%
Q3 - 8:04INDJasikevicius REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
29.4%
57
70.6%
Q3 - 8:06ORLMISS Turkoglu 16' Jump Shot56
28.4%
57
71.6%
Q3 - 8:15ORLMAGIC Rebound56
26.0%
57
74.0%
Q3 - 8:15ORLMISS Turkoglu 20' Jump Shot56
28.4%
57
71.6%
Q3 - 8:20INDHill STEAL (1 STL)56
26.0%
57
74.0%
Q3 - 8:43ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)56
29.4%
57
70.6%
Q3 - 8:43ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)56
30.1%
56
69.9%
Q3 - 8:47ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)56
32.2%
55
67.8%
Q3 - 8:49INDMISS Harrington 17' Jump Shot56
33.4%
55
66.6%
Q3 - 9:11ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)56
35.1%
55
64.9%
Q3 - 9:22INDHarrington Traveling Turnover (P3.T12)56
41.9%
52
58.1%
Q3 - 9:23INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)56
45.7%
52
54.3%
Q3 - 9:25INDMISS Granger 14' Jump Shot56
43.1%
52
56.9%
Q3 - 9:30ORLHoward Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)56
45.7%
52
54.3%
Q3 - 9:39ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
42.0%
52
58.0%
Q3 - 9:41INDMISS O'Neal 11' Jump Shot56
43.1%
52
56.9%
Q3 - 9:50INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)56
45.7%
52
54.3%
Q3 - 9:52INDMISS Tinsley 27' 3PT Jump Shot56
43.1%
52
56.9%
Q3 - 10:09ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 1 (4 PTS)56
44.8%
52
55.2%
Q3 - 10:23INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)56
51.5%
49
48.5%
Q3 - 10:36ORLBattie 13' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)53
44.9%
49
55.1%
Q3 - 10:46ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)53
48.0%
47
52.0%
Q3 - 10:48INDMISS O'Neal 6' Hook Shot53
49.2%
47
50.8%
Q3 - 11:12ORLHoward Layup (14 PTS)53
50.7%
47
49.3%
Q3 - 11:34INDO'Neal 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (15 PTS)53
54.0%
45
46.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0IND51
50.8%
45
49.2%
Q2 - 0:04.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)51
49.2%
45
50.8%
Q2 - 0:04.0ORLHoward Follow Up Dunk (12 PTS)51
49.2%
45
50.8%
Q2 - 0:05.0ORLMISS Dooling 3PT Jump Shot51
55.1%
43
44.9%
Q2 - 0:27.0ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
53.6%
43
46.4%
Q2 - 0:29.0INDMISS Harrington 3PT Jump Shot51
54.3%
43
45.7%
Q2 - 0:43.0ORLBogans Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)51
55.9%
43
44.1%
Q2 - 0:58.0INDDaniels Layup (2 PTS)51
53.6%
43
46.4%
Q2 - 1:01INDArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
48.3%
43
51.7%
Q2 - 1:04ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)49
46.7%
43
53.3%
Q2 - 1:04ORLMISS Battie Tip Shot49
47.8%
43
52.2%
Q2 - 1:05ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)49
46.7%
43
53.3%
Q2 - 1:05ORLMISS Howard Tip Shot49
47.8%
43
52.2%
Q2 - 1:07ORLMISS Dooling 3PT Jump Shot49
47.9%
43
52.1%
Q2 - 1:15INDBattie STEAL (1 STL)49
46.7%
43
53.3%
Q2 - 1:21INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
48.4%
43
51.6%
Q2 - 1:22ORLMISS Dooling Layup49
47.9%
43
52.1%
Q2 - 1:36INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)49
46.7%
43
53.3%
Q2 - 1:36INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)48
45.9%
43
54.1%
Q2 - 1:36INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)47
42.0%
43
58.0%
Q2 - 1:38INDMISS Harrington 10' Jump Shot47
40.9%
43
59.1%
Q2 - 1:55INDDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
42.0%
43
58.0%
Q2 - 1:56ORLMISS Dooling 15' Jump Shot47
41.5%
43
58.5%
Q2 - 2:07ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)47
39.2%
43
60.8%
Q2 - 2:10INDMISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
40.1%
43
59.9%
Q2 - 2:25ORLDooling 17' Jump Shot (3 PTS)47
42.0%
43
58.0%
Q2 - 2:44INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)47
45.4%
41
54.6%
Q2 - 3:03INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
38.5%
41
61.5%
Q2 - 3:05ORLMISS Dooling Free Throw 2 of 244
38.0%
41
62.0%
Q2 - 3:05ORLDooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)44
36.1%
41
63.9%
Q2 - 3:08ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)44
38.1%
40
61.9%
Q2 - 3:10INDMISS Harrington 20' Jump Shot44
39.1%
40
60.9%
Q2 - 3:31ORLNelson 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Hill 4 AST)44
41.4%
40
58.6%
Q2 - 3:47ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)44
44.0%
38
56.0%
Q2 - 3:49INDMISS Jackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot44
45.0%
38
55.0%
Q2 - 4:11INDArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
46.0%
38
54.0%
Q2 - 4:12ORLMISS Dooling 26' 3PT Jump Shot44
45.1%
38
54.9%
Q2 - 4:25ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)44
43.2%
38
56.8%
Q2 - 4:26INDMISS Granger 14' Jump Shot44
44.0%
38
56.0%
Q2 - 4:39ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)44
46.0%
38
54.0%
Q2 - 4:39ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)44
46.6%
37
53.4%
Q2 - 4:42ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)44
48.9%
36
51.1%
Q2 - 4:44ORLMISS Howard 8' Hook Shot44
50.9%
36
49.1%
Q2 - 5:04INDGranger 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Harrington 2 AST)44
48.1%
36
51.9%
Q2 - 5:21ORLHill Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)41
42.8%
36
57.2%
Q2 - 5:42INDTinsley Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)41
39.8%
36
60.2%
Q2 - 5:42INDTinsley Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)40
39.1%
36
60.9%
Q2 - 5:54ORLArroyo Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)39
37.3%
36
62.7%
Q2 - 5:58ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
42.6%
33
57.4%
Q2 - 6:00INDMISS Tinsley 13' Jump Shot39
43.5%
33
56.5%
Q2 - 6:11ORLHoward 9' Jump Hook Shot (10 PTS)39
45.1%
33
54.9%
Q2 - 6:35INDO'Neal Layup (8 PTS)39
47.3%
31
52.7%
Q2 - 6:55ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)37
45.1%
31
54.9%
Q2 - 6:55ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 237
46.0%
30
54.0%
Q2 - 7:08INDJackson 13' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Tinsley 5 AST)37
43.9%
30
56.1%
Q2 - 7:12INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)35
41.5%
30
58.5%
Q2 - 7:14ORLMISS Milicic Hook Shot35
40.7%
30
59.3%
Q2 - 7:15ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
38.8%
30
61.2%
Q2 - 7:18ORLMISS Howard 5' Jump Shot35
40.7%
30
59.3%
Q2 - 7:32ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
38.8%
30
61.2%
Q2 - 7:33INDMISS O'Neal Driving Layup35
39.6%
30
60.4%
Q2 - 7:57ORLMilicic 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Hill 3 AST)35
41.6%
30
58.4%
Q2 - 8:14INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)35
43.4%
28
56.6%
Q2 - 8:14INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)34
42.8%
28
57.2%
Q2 - 8:24INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
41.2%
28
58.8%
Q2 - 8:27ORLMISS Arroyo 26' 3PT Jump Shot33
40.3%
28
59.7%
Q2 - 8:49INDGranger Slam Dunk (5 PTS) (O'Neal 3 AST)33
38.4%
28
61.6%
Q2 - 9:09ORLHill Free Throw 1 of 1 (4 PTS)31
35.8%
28
64.2%
Q2 - 9:26ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
40.3%
25
59.7%
Q2 - 9:27INDMISS Jasikevicius 13' Jump Shot31
41.1%
25
58.9%
Q2 - 9:44ORLMilicic Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)31
43.0%
25
57.0%
Q2 - 9:51INDMarshall 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS)31
40.3%
25
59.7%
Q2 - 9:59INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
38.2%
25
61.8%
Q2 - 10:01ORLMISS Hill 15' Jump Shot29
37.2%
25
62.8%
Q2 - 10:16INDGranger Backcourt Turnover (P2.T10)29
35.4%
25
64.6%
Q2 - 10:25ORLHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)29
38.0%
25
62.0%
Q2 - 10:25ORLMISS Hill Free Throw 1 of 229
38.4%
24
61.6%
Q2 - 10:38INDJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)29
37.7%
24
62.3%
Q2 - 10:52INDMarshall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
40.4%
24
59.6%
Q2 - 10:53ORLMISS Milicic 7' Jump Hook Shot29
39.6%
24
60.4%
Q2 - 11:06INDJackson Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)29
37.1%
24
62.9%
Q2 - 11:23ORLArroyo 17' Jump Shot (3 PTS)29
39.5%
24
60.5%
Q2 - 11:42INDJackson 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS)29
41.9%
22
58.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0IND27
39.5%
22
60.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDPacers Rebound27
39.5%
22
60.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDMISS Marshall 14' Jump Shot27
37.9%
22
62.1%
Q1 - 0:01.0ORLArroyo Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)27
38.7%
22
61.3%
Q1 - 0:18.0INDJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)27
37.0%
22
63.0%
Q1 - 0:18.0INDJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)26
36.6%
22
63.4%
Q1 - 0:21.0ORLArroyo Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)25
34.3%
22
65.7%
Q1 - 0:34.0INDMarshall Layup (2 PTS) (Jasikevicius 1 AST)25
32.7%
22
67.3%
Q1 - 0:36.0INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
30.2%
22
69.8%
Q1 - 0:38.0ORLMISS Milicic 5' Jump Shot23
29.7%
22
70.3%
Q1 - 0:52.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)23
28.7%
22
71.3%
Q1 - 0:54.0INDMISS Harrington 14' Fadeaway Jumper23
29.1%
22
70.9%
Q1 - 1:09ORLMAGIC Rebound23
30.2%
22
69.8%
Q1 - 1:09ORLArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)23
30.2%
22
69.8%
Q1 - 1:09ORLMISS Arroyo Free Throw 1 of 223
30.6%
21
69.4%
Q1 - 1:12INDMilicic STEAL (1 STL)23
30.6%
21
69.4%
Q1 - 1:34ORLAriza 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS)23
32.2%
21
67.8%
Q1 - 1:54INDJackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)23
34.8%
19
65.2%
Q1 - 2:13INDJasikevicius Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)20
30.3%
19
69.7%
Q1 - 2:13ORLArroyo Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T5)19
28.4%
19
71.6%
Q1 - 2:21INDMarshall Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)19
26.6%
19
73.4%
Q1 - 2:39ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)19
28.4%
19
71.6%
Q1 - 2:39ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 219
29.0%
18
71.0%
Q1 - 2:39INDNelson STEAL (1 STL)19
28.5%
18
71.5%
Q1 - 2:41INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
30.3%
18
69.7%
Q1 - 2:42ORLMISS Nelson Layup19
29.8%
18
70.2%
Q1 - 2:48ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
28.5%
18
71.5%
Q1 - 2:50INDMISS Foster Layup19
29.1%
18
70.9%
Q1 - 2:51INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
30.3%
18
69.7%
Q1 - 2:53INDMISS Jackson 15' Jump Shot19
29.1%
18
70.9%
Q1 - 3:05INDPacers Rebound19
30.1%
18
69.9%
Q1 - 3:06INDMISS Harrington 11' Jump Shot19
28.7%
18
71.3%
Q1 - 3:19ORLBattie 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)19
30.2%
18
69.8%
Q1 - 3:36INDHarrington Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)19
31.9%
16
68.1%
Q1 - 3:56ORLBattie Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T4)19
34.1%
16
65.9%
Q1 - 4:11INDTinsley 9' Jump Shot (10 PTS)19
31.3%
16
68.7%
Q1 - 4:38ORLHoward Layup (6 PTS)17
29.9%
16
70.1%
Q1 - 4:50ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
31.4%
14
68.6%
Q1 - 4:52INDMISS O'Neal 10' Jump Hook Shot17
32.1%
14
67.9%
Q1 - 5:10INDPacers Rebound17
32.8%
14
67.2%
Q1 - 5:10ORLMISS Battie 11' Jump Shot17
32.2%
14
67.8%
Q1 - 5:28INDGranger 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Tinsley 4 AST)17
30.9%
14
69.1%
Q1 - 5:49ORLNelson Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)14
27.6%
14
72.4%
Q1 - 6:16INDO'Neal 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Tinsley 3 AST)14
25.6%
14
74.4%
Q1 - 6:26INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
24.2%
14
75.8%
Q1 - 6:28ORLMISS Hill 13' Jump Shot12
23.7%
14
76.3%
Q1 - 6:34ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
22.7%
14
77.3%
Q1 - 6:36INDMISS Daniels 15' Jump Shot12
23.1%
14
76.9%
Q1 - 6:52ORLHoward 9' Hook Shot (4 PTS)12
24.2%
14
75.8%
Q1 - 7:03INDGranger Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)12
25.4%
12
74.6%
Q1 - 7:15ORLBattie 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)12
27.0%
12
73.0%
Q1 - 7:29INDO'Neal 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Tinsley 2 AST)12
28.4%
10
71.6%
Q1 - 7:33ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)10
27.0%
10
73.0%
Q1 - 7:45ORLJump Ball Turkoglu vs. Daniels: Tip to Battie10
25.4%
10
74.6%
Q1 - 7:50INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
27.0%
10
73.0%
Q1 - 7:54INDMISS Harrington 15' Jump Shot10
25.9%
10
74.1%
Q1 - 8:07ORLBattie 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hill 2 AST)10
26.9%
10
73.1%
Q1 - 8:26INDTinsley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)10
28.2%
8
71.8%
Q1 - 8:39ORLHoward Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)10
30.0%
8
70.0%
Q1 - 8:51INDTinsley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)10
28.2%
8
71.8%
Q1 - 9:07INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
25.4%
8
74.6%
Q1 - 9:08ORLMISS Turkoglu Free Throw 2 of 27
25.1%
8
74.9%
Q1 - 9:08ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
24.2%
8
75.8%
Q1 - 9:14ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
25.0%
7
75.0%
Q1 - 9:16INDHill BLOCK (1 BLK)7
25.5%
7
74.5%
Q1 - 9:33INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
26.8%
7
73.2%
Q1 - 9:34ORLMISS Nelson Layup7
26.3%
7
73.7%
Q1 - 9:39ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
25.0%
7
75.0%
Q1 - 9:42INDMISS O'Neal 11' Jump Shot7
25.6%
7
74.4%
Q1 - 10:00ORLNelson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)7
26.8%
7
73.2%
Q1 - 10:19INDHarrington Layup (2 PTS) (Tinsley 1 AST)7
29.4%
4
70.6%
Q1 - 10:24ORLHoward 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS)5
28.1%
4
71.9%
Q1 - 10:27ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
29.4%
2
70.6%
Q1 - 10:29ORLMISS Turkoglu 10' Jump Shot5
30.7%
2
69.3%
Q1 - 10:47INDTinsley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)5
29.4%
2
70.6%
Q1 - 11:11ORLNelson 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
26.4%
2
73.6%
Q1 - 11:27INDTinsley 9' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)2
27.9%
0
72.1%
Q1 - 11:41INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
26.4%
0
73.6%
Q1 - 11:43ORLMISS Howard 8' Jump Hook Shot0
26.0%
0
74.0%
Q1 - 12:00ORLJump Ball Howard vs. O'Neal: Tip to Nelson0
25.1%
0
74.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
0.97 48.4%
ORL
1.08 53.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
15
24
63%
ORL
15
25
60%
Midrange
IND
11
41
27%
ORL
17
36
47%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
5
7.5
12
42%
63%
ORL
2
3.0
8
25%
38%
Free Throws
IND
24
29
83%
ORL
26
43
60%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. O'Neal2355%11.5 / 21
J. Tinsley1968%9.5 / 14
S. Jackson1953%9.5 / 18
D. Granger1083%5.0 / 6
R. Marshall643%3.0 / 7
J. Foster542%2.5 / 6
A. Harrington415%2.0 / 13
S. Jasikevicius375%1.5 / 2
M. Daniels250%1.0 / 2
D. Armstrong0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Nelson2269%11.0 / 16
D. Howard1653%8.0 / 15
G. Hill1470%7.0 / 10
D. Milicic1155%5.5 / 10
T. Battie850%4.0 / 8
C. Arroyo867%4.0 / 6
K. Dooling729%3.5 / 12
H. Turkoglu433%2.0 / 6
K. Bogans467%2.0 / 3
T. Ariza2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
77
+16
-19
93
ORL
79
+10
-16
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
0.97 48.4%
ORL
1.08 53.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.0
105.1
IND 94.8 +6.3
ORL 101.1
Pace
92.4
89.8
IND 96.6 +2.2
ORL 94.4
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
16.2
IND 14.9 +0.3
ORL 15.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.4%
50.0%
IND 43.5%
ORL 50.7% +7.2%
TO %
17.1%
18.0%
IND 18.2%
ORL 15.4% +2.8%
ORB %
28.4%
29.3%
IND 24.4% +7.3%
ORL 17.1%
FTrt
32.4
39.3
IND 37.7
ORL 62.3 +24.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.5%
53.0%
IND 54.8% +19.5%
ORL 35.3%
STL %
7.9%
7.6%
IND 7.3%
ORL 8.4% +1.1%
BLK %
8.5%
8.5%
IND 3.3%
ORL 7.7% +4.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.16 and 2.16.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.0%
53.0%
IND 48.4%
ORL 53.9% +5.5%
Rim FG%
56.1%
61.6%
IND 62.5% +2.5%
ORL 60.0%
Mid FG%
39.0%
38.3%
IND 26.8%
ORL 47.2% +20.4%
3P %
34.6%
35.6%
IND 41.7% +16.7%
ORL 25.0%
FT %
76.0%
70.2%
IND 82.8% +22.3%
ORL 60.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.3%
40.1%
IND 31.2%
ORL 36.2% +5.1%
Mid Att. %
45.5%
44.1%
IND 53.2%
ORL 52.2% +1.1%
3P Att. %
21.2%
15.8%
IND 15.6% +4.0%
ORL 11.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsINDORL
Possessions9695
Possession Minutes23.924.1
Points9196
Rebounds4541
Assists1712
Steals78
Blocks25
Turnovers (Team)19 (1)16 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (5)7 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (1)34 (0)
Field Goals31-7734-69
At-the-Rim FG15-2415-25
Midrange FG11-4117-36
2-Point FG26-6532-61
3-Point FG5-122-8
Free Throws24-2926-43
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'9" 245 · 27
37.0
4
15%
7
2
2
0
3
2
2
5
0-0
-
2-12
17%
0-1
0%
F · 6'11" 255 · 28
33.3
23
55%
11
3
3
1
2
5
4
7
9-10
90%
7-17
41%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 222 · 24
30.4
10
83%
3
0
0
0
2
5
1
2
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
2-2
100%
G · 6'3" 188 · 29
25.1
19
68%
4
7
0
0
1
6
1
3
5-6
83%
4-8
50%
2-3
67%
G · 6'6" 200 · 26
14.4
2
50%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 29
36.6
19
53%
3
1
0
0
3
1
0
3
6-8
75%
5-9
56%
1-5
20%
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 30
21.5
5
42%
9
1
2
1
2
4
2
7
1-2
50%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 190 · 25
18.7
6
43%
2
1
0
0
1
3
1
1
0-0
-
3-7
43%
0-0
-
· 6'4" 197 · 31
13.5
3
75%
2
2
0
0
3
3
0
2
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 180 · 38
9.3
0
0%
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
G · 6'4" 208 · 25
0.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 240 · 24
#9 · F · 6'10" 230 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#13 · C · 7'0" 280 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#4 · F · 6'10" 230 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
91
48%
45
17
7
2
19
0
11
34
24-29
83%
26-65
40%
5-12
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.