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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 22, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Hawks28%9098
5Pistons72%98103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 23.1
40.4
19.2
20
68%
13
0
1
0
1
1
6
7
6-6
100%
7-12
2-4
58%
46%
0-0
-
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 21.0
35.9
40.0
8
31%
7
5
1
1
0
3
1
6
2-2
100%
3-11
4-9
27%
46%
0-1
0%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 25.4
35.0
40.1
25
76%
4
2
0
1
0
4
1
3
6-8
75%
5-7
6-13
71%
48%
3-6
50%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 22.8
32.6
26.0
12
43%
7
0
0
1
2
3
3
4
8-9
89%
2-10
3-7
20%
47%
0-0
-
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 28.5
18.8
19.7
3
26%
2
4
1
1
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
1-5
3-6
20%
43%
0-0
-
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 29.6
29.3
32.3
16
64%
4
3
1
1
0
3
1
3
6-8
75%
2-6
3-7
33%
47%
2-3
67%
Salim Stoudamire
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.1
17.1
16.0
7
70%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
43%
1-2
50%
Cedric Bozeman
G · 6'6" 207 · 23.7
10.7
10.5
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Matt Freije
F · 6'9" 249 · 25.1
8.5
2.1
7
117%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
0-0
100%
42%
1-1
100%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 31.1
6.9
20.9
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
48%
0-0
-
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 22.4
5.0
1.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-0
-
Esteban Batista
F-C · 6'10" 268 · 23.2
6.4
0
0-1
45%
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 23.4
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 20.4
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 24.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 32.2
39.7
36.2
14
50%
13
1
0
1
2
1
3
10
0-0
-
4-10
4-8
40%
49%
2-4
50%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 30.2
39.6
37.2
24
66%
1
10
3
1
0
1
0
1
10-12
83%
4-9
3-7
44%
45%
2-4
50%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 26.7
36.8
37.2
15
47%
11
0
0
1
0
1
5
6
2-2
100%
5-14
5-10
36%
49%
1-1
100%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 28.8
35.3
35.6
15
40%
3
1
2
1
0
1
1
2
5-6
83%
5-15
7-14
33%
48%
0-1
0%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 29.2
15.6
18.5
11
67%
3
0
0
0
2
1
2
1
3-5
60%
4-6
2-5
67%
51%
0-0
-
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 32.2
28.0
18.1
8
50%
8
0
1
0
0
0
3
5
0-0
-
4-8
2-5
50%
51%
0-0
-
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 24.2
14.5
10.1
6
63%
5
0
1
0
0
1
3
2
4-4
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.3
12.3
16.0
5
31%
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-7
2-4
14%
45%
1-1
100%
Dale Davis
C-F · 6'11" 252 · 37.7
9.5
7.2
2
50%
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
47%
0-0
-
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 36.0
8.7
18.1
3
50%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
40%
1-2
50%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 23.8
5.0
0
1-1
50%
Ronald Dupree
F · 6'7" 209 · 25.8
2.6
0
0-1
48%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 19.6
Will Blalock
G · 6'0" 205 · 23.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.