FinalWin Prob.pScore
2428%90
98
572%98
103
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
106.59291.9
DET logo DET
109.69494.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLDET
Q4 - 0:00.0DET98
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0ATLShel. Williams Layup (20 PTS)98
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:05.0DETHamilton Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)96
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:10.0DETPrince REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)96
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:12.0ATLMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot96
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:18.0DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)96
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:18.0DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)96
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:19.0ATLShel. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)96
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q4 - 0:19.0ATLShel. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)95
0.2%
101
99.8%
Q4 - 0:19.0ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)94
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:21.0ATLMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:29.0DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)94
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q4 - 0:29.0DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)94
0.3%
100
99.7%
Q4 - 0:31.0ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)94
0.6%
99
99.4%
Q4 - 0:31.0ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)93
0.5%
99
99.5%
Q4 - 0:31.0DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)92
0.3%
99
99.7%
Q4 - 0:31.0DETMISS Billups Free Throw 1 of 292
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q4 - 0:32.0ATLJohnson 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Lue 3 AST)92
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q4 - 0:37.0DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)89
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:37.0DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)89
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:50.0ATLJohnson 14' Jump Shot (20 PTS)89
0.4%
96
99.6%
Q4 - 1:04DETBillups 24' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS)87
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 1:22DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)87
1.5%
93
98.5%
Q4 - 1:24ATLMISS Shel. Williams 17' Jump Shot87
1.8%
93
98.2%
Q4 - 1:44DETPrince 7' Running Hook Shot (15 PTS)87
3.5%
93
96.5%
Q4 - 2:06DETPrince REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)87
5.4%
91
94.6%
Q4 - 2:08ATLMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot87
6.5%
91
93.5%
Q4 - 2:24ATLLue REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)87
10.0%
91
90.0%
Q4 - 2:26DETMISS Hamilton 13' Jump Shot87
8.3%
91
91.7%
Q4 - 2:43ATLLue Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)87
5.3%
91
94.7%
Q4 - 2:43ATLLue Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)86
5.0%
91
95.0%
Q4 - 2:51DETPrince Tip Shot (13 PTS)85
5.0%
91
95.0%
Q4 - 2:53DETPrince REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)85
6.5%
89
93.5%
Q4 - 2:55DETMISS Wallace 10' Jump Shot85
9.4%
89
90.6%
Q4 - 3:07ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)85
6.4%
89
93.6%
Q4 - 3:07ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)84
5.8%
89
94.2%
Q4 - 3:12ATLLue REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)83
5.0%
89
95.0%
Q4 - 3:13DETMISS Wallace Layup83
4.2%
89
95.8%
Q4 - 3:34ATLPachulia Traveling Turnover (P3.T18)83
4.4%
89
95.6%
Q4 - 3:56DETHamilton 15' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Billups 10 AST)83
6.1%
89
93.9%
Q4 - 4:11DETPrince REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)83
8.4%
87
91.6%
Q4 - 4:12ATLMISS Shel. Williams Layup83
9.3%
87
90.7%
Q4 - 4:15ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)83
11.9%
87
88.1%
Q4 - 4:17ATLMISS Lue 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
9.3%
87
90.7%
Q4 - 4:22ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)83
11.9%
87
88.1%
Q4 - 4:24ATLMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot83
9.3%
87
90.7%
Q4 - 4:40DETMcDyess Tip Shot (8 PTS)83
11.9%
87
88.1%
Q4 - 4:41DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)83
16.1%
85
83.9%
Q4 - 4:44DETMISS Prince 6' Hook Shot83
20.3%
85
79.7%
Q4 - 5:06ATLShel. Williams Driving Layup (16 PTS)83
17.0%
85
83.0%
Q4 - 5:30DETPrince Tip Shot (11 PTS)81
12.9%
85
87.1%
Q4 - 5:31DETPrince REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)81
17.0%
83
83.0%
Q4 - 5:36DETMISS Prince 6' Hook Shot81
20.7%
83
79.3%
Q4 - 5:50ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)81
17.0%
83
83.0%
Q4 - 5:50ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)80
15.9%
83
84.1%
Q4 - 6:11DETWallace 27' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Billups 9 AST)79
13.8%
83
86.2%
Q4 - 6:20DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
21.9%
80
78.1%
Q4 - 6:21ATLMISS Pachulia Layup79
23.8%
80
76.2%
Q4 - 6:41ATLHawks Rebound79
28.4%
80
71.6%
Q4 - 6:42DETMISS Billups 17' Jump Shot79
26.3%
80
73.7%
Q4 - 6:46DETPISTONS Rebound79
21.9%
80
78.1%
Q4 - 6:47DETMISS Murray 10' Jump Shot79
26.3%
80
73.7%
Q4 - 7:01DETMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
22.3%
80
77.7%
Q4 - 7:03ATLMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot79
24.0%
80
76.0%
Q4 - 7:21DETMcDyess Follow Up Dunk (6 PTS)79
28.2%
80
71.8%
Q4 - 7:24DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)79
33.3%
78
66.7%
Q4 - 7:26DETMISS Hunter Layup79
38.3%
78
61.7%
Q4 - 7:30DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)79
33.3%
78
66.7%
Q4 - 7:32ATLMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot79
35.4%
78
64.6%
Q4 - 7:54ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)79
40.6%
78
59.4%
Q4 - 7:56DETMISS Prince 16' Jump Shot79
38.3%
78
61.7%
Q4 - 8:14ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)79
33.3%
78
66.7%
Q4 - 8:14ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)78
32.1%
78
67.9%
Q4 - 8:33DETMohammed Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)77
27.9%
78
72.1%
Q4 - 8:33DETMohammed Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)77
29.3%
77
70.7%
Q4 - 8:54ATLJohnson 17' Jump Shot (16 PTS)77
33.3%
76
66.7%
Q4 - 9:20DETHunter 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Murray 1 AST)75
27.7%
76
72.3%
Q4 - 9:44DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)75
38.0%
73
62.0%
Q4 - 9:45ATLMISS Lue Free Throw 2 of 275
38.8%
73
61.2%
Q4 - 9:45ATLLue Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)75
43.1%
73
56.9%
Q4 - 9:48ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)74
38.3%
73
61.7%
Q4 - 9:51DETMISS McDyess 16' Turnaround Jump Shot74
36.5%
73
63.5%
Q4 - 9:58DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)74
32.5%
73
67.5%
Q4 - 10:00ATLMohammed BLOCK (2 BLK)74
34.2%
73
65.8%
Q4 - 10:05ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)74
37.6%
73
62.4%
Q4 - 10:07DETMISS Murray 13' Jump Shot74
35.8%
73
64.2%
Q4 - 10:27ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)74
32.0%
73
68.0%
Q4 - 10:27ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)73
31.0%
73
69.0%
Q4 - 10:38ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)72
27.6%
73
72.4%
Q4 - 10:40DETMISS Hamilton 17' Jump Shot72
26.2%
73
73.8%
Q4 - 10:57DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)72
23.0%
73
77.0%
Q4 - 11:00ATLMISS Wright 16' Jump Shot72
24.3%
73
75.7%
Q4 - 11:14ATLWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
27.8%
73
72.2%
Q4 - 11:16DETMISS Billups 13' Jump Shot72
26.4%
73
73.6%
Q4 - 11:25DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)72
23.5%
73
76.5%
Q4 - 11:28ATLMISS Lue 18' Jump Shot72
24.7%
73
75.3%
Q4 - 11:45ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)72
27.8%
73
72.2%
Q4 - 11:47DETMISS Hamilton 11' Jump Shot72
26.4%
73
73.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0DET72
23.5%
73
76.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETDelfino REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)72
23.5%
73
76.5%
Q3 - 0:01.0DETMISS Billups 3PT Jump Shot72
26.2%
73
73.8%
Q3 - 0:03.0ATLLue Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)72
23.6%
73
76.4%
Q3 - 0:03.0ATLLue Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)71
23.1%
73
76.9%
Q3 - 0:23.0DETHamilton Layup (9 PTS)70
20.0%
73
80.0%
Q3 - 0:26.0ATLHamilton STEAL (2 STL)70
23.6%
71
76.4%
Q3 - 0:35.0DETBillups 26' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)70
27.5%
71
72.5%
Q3 - 0:37.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)70
36.4%
68
63.6%
Q3 - 0:39.0DETMISS Hamilton 15' Jump Shot70
39.8%
68
60.2%
Q3 - 0:54.0ATLLue 13' Jump Shot (11 PTS)70
36.4%
68
63.6%
Q3 - 1:05ATLStoudamire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)68
31.2%
68
68.8%
Q3 - 1:07DETMISS Hamilton 15' Jump Shot68
29.9%
68
70.1%
Q3 - 1:25DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)68
27.1%
68
72.9%
Q3 - 1:26ATLMISS Lue 18' Jump Shot68
28.3%
68
71.7%
Q3 - 1:37ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)68
31.2%
68
68.8%
Q3 - 1:39DETMISS Delfino 17' Jump Shot68
29.9%
68
70.1%
Q3 - 1:59ATLSmith 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Lue 2 AST)68
27.1%
68
72.9%
Q3 - 2:17DETHamilton 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Billups 8 AST)66
23.2%
68
76.8%
Q3 - 2:32ATLLue Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)66
26.4%
66
73.6%
Q3 - 2:32ATLMISS Lue Free Throw 1 of 265
26.0%
66
74.0%
Q3 - 2:46DETHamilton Dunk (5 PTS) (Billups 7 AST)65
26.8%
66
73.2%
Q3 - 2:51ATLDelfino STEAL (1 STL)65
30.2%
64
69.8%
Q3 - 3:06ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)65
34.4%
64
65.6%
Q3 - 3:07DETMISS Billups Free Throw 2 of 265
33.8%
64
66.2%
Q3 - 3:07DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)65
30.8%
64
69.2%
Q3 - 3:23ATLShel. Williams Tip Shot (14 PTS)65
34.1%
63
65.9%
Q3 - 3:26ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)63
30.4%
63
69.6%
Q3 - 3:27ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 263
27.1%
63
72.9%
Q3 - 3:27ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 263
29.4%
63
70.6%
Q3 - 3:43DETDelfino Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)63
30.4%
63
69.6%
Q3 - 3:43DETDelfino Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)63
31.3%
62
68.7%
Q3 - 3:55DETDelfino REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)63
34.1%
61
65.9%
Q3 - 3:57DETMISS Wallace 16' Jump Shot63
37.1%
61
62.9%
Q3 - 4:15ATLSmith Traveling Turnover (P3.T15)63
33.1%
61
66.9%
Q3 - 4:30DETWallace 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS)63
37.7%
61
62.3%
Q3 - 4:47ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)63
41.2%
59
58.8%
Q3 - 4:47ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)62
40.3%
59
59.7%
Q3 - 4:57DETBillups Driving Layup (14 PTS)61
37.7%
59
62.3%
Q3 - 5:18ATLLue Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)61
40.6%
57
59.4%
Q3 - 5:34DETMcDyess 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Billups 6 AST)61
45.0%
57
55.0%
Q3 - 5:48ATLBillups STEAL (3 STL)61
48.9%
55
51.1%
Q3 - 5:57DETMohammed Tip Shot (9 PTS)61
53.4%
55
46.6%
Q3 - 5:58DETMohammed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)61
57.2%
53
42.8%
Q3 - 6:00DETMISS Mohammed Layup61
60.2%
53
39.8%
Q3 - 6:06ATLBillups STEAL (2 STL)61
55.4%
53
44.6%
Q3 - 6:24ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)61
59.7%
53
40.3%
Q3 - 6:24DETMISS Mohammed Free Throw 2 of 261
59.1%
53
40.9%
Q3 - 6:24DETMISS Mohammed Free Throw 1 of 261
56.8%
53
43.2%
Q3 - 6:31DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)61
55.5%
53
44.5%
Q3 - 6:33ATLMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot61
56.8%
53
43.2%
Q3 - 6:47DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)61
59.8%
53
40.2%
Q3 - 6:47DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)61
60.1%
52
39.9%
Q3 - 7:04ATLJohnson Driving Layup (12 PTS)61
61.5%
51
38.5%
Q3 - 7:07ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)59
58.3%
51
41.7%
Q3 - 7:09ATLMohammed BLOCK (1 BLK)59
55.3%
51
44.7%
Q3 - 7:11ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)59
58.3%
51
41.7%
Q3 - 7:12ATLMISS Claxton 17' Jump Shot59
55.3%
51
44.7%
Q3 - 7:19DETMohammed Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)59
58.4%
51
41.6%
Q3 - 7:21DETMohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)59
54.0%
51
46.0%
Q3 - 7:24ATLMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot59
55.3%
51
44.7%
Q3 - 7:40DETWallace 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS)59
58.4%
51
41.6%
Q3 - 7:54ATLPachulia 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T11)59
61.6%
49
38.4%
Q3 - 8:12ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)59
64.6%
49
35.4%
Q3 - 8:13ATLMISS Claxton Free Throw 2 of 259
61.1%
49
38.9%
Q3 - 8:13ATLClaxton Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)59
63.4%
49
36.6%
Q3 - 8:28DETMohammed Dunk (7 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)58
61.1%
49
38.9%
Q3 - 8:48ATLClaxton 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)58
64.2%
47
35.8%
Q3 - 9:06DETPrince 7' Hook Shot (9 PTS)56
58.9%
47
41.1%
Q3 - 9:33ATLJohnson 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS)56
62.4%
45
37.6%
Q3 - 9:54ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)54
59.1%
45
40.9%
Q3 - 9:56DETMISS Prince Layup54
58.0%
45
42.0%
Q3 - 10:24ATLShel. Williams Layup (12 PTS) (Smith 5 AST)54
53.6%
45
46.4%
Q3 - 10:30ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)52
50.5%
45
49.5%
Q3 - 10:32DETMISS Prince 6' Hook Shot52
49.3%
45
50.7%
Q3 - 10:52ATLJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)52
46.6%
45
53.4%
Q3 - 11:13ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
38.8%
45
61.2%
Q3 - 11:15DETMISS Hamilton 15' Jump Shot49
37.8%
45
62.2%
Q3 - 11:17DETPISTONS Rebound49
35.5%
45
64.5%
Q3 - 11:18DETMISS Hamilton Layup49
37.8%
45
62.2%
Q3 - 11:36DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)49
35.5%
45
64.5%
Q3 - 11:39ATLMISS Pachulia 20' Jump Shot49
36.5%
45
63.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0DET49
38.9%
45
61.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETDelfino REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
35.5%
45
64.5%
Q2 - 0:01.0ATLMISS Claxton 14' Jump Shot49
36.2%
45
63.8%
Q2 - 0:15.0DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)49
37.7%
45
62.3%
Q2 - 0:15.0DETMISS Hamilton Free Throw 1 of 249
38.1%
44
61.9%
Q2 - 0:28.0DETPrince REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)49
38.6%
44
61.4%
Q2 - 0:29.0ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 2 of 249
38.9%
44
61.1%
Q2 - 0:29.0ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)49
41.0%
44
59.0%
Q2 - 0:31.0ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)48
37.7%
44
62.3%
Q2 - 0:33.0ATLMISS Claxton 20' Jump Shot48
36.2%
44
63.8%
Q2 - 0:57.0DETWallace Dunk (7 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)48
37.7%
44
62.3%
Q2 - 1:00DETPrince REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)48
41.8%
42
58.2%
Q2 - 1:02DETMISS Wallace 3PT Jump Shot48
42.7%
42
57.3%
Q2 - 1:21ATLFreije 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Claxton 4 AST)48
41.6%
42
58.4%
Q2 - 1:27ATLClaxton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
37.1%
42
62.9%
Q2 - 1:29DETMISS Billups Layup46
36.6%
42
63.4%
Q2 - 1:40ATLShel. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)46
35.5%
42
64.5%
Q2 - 1:40ATLShel. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)45
34.8%
42
65.2%
Q2 - 1:40ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)44
31.3%
42
68.7%
Q2 - 1:41ATLMISS Shel. Williams Tip Shot44
30.3%
42
69.7%
Q2 - 1:42ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)44
31.3%
42
68.7%
Q2 - 1:44ATLMISS Pachulia Layup44
30.3%
42
69.7%
Q2 - 1:59ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)44
31.3%
42
68.7%
Q2 - 2:01DETMISS Billups 3PT Jump Shot44
30.7%
42
69.3%
Q2 - 2:22ATLShel. Williams Layup (8 PTS)44
29.0%
42
71.0%
Q2 - 2:41ATLHawks Rebound42
26.3%
42
73.7%
Q2 - 2:41ATLWallace BLOCK (2 BLK)42
24.8%
42
75.2%
Q2 - 2:55ATLHawks Rebound42
26.3%
42
73.7%
Q2 - 2:56DETMISS Delfino 3PT Jump Shot42
25.6%
42
74.4%
Q2 - 3:01DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)42
23.6%
42
76.4%
Q2 - 3:03ATLMISS Shel. Williams 16' Jump Shot42
24.4%
42
75.6%
Q2 - 3:21DETDelfino Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)42
26.1%
42
73.9%
Q2 - 3:21DETDelfino Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)42
26.7%
41
73.3%
Q2 - 3:25DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)42
28.2%
40
71.8%
Q2 - 3:27ATLMISS Stoudamire Layup42
29.1%
40
70.9%
Q2 - 3:46DETBillups Driving Layup (10 PTS)42
31.0%
40
69.0%
Q2 - 4:02DETJump Ball McDyess vs. Shel. Williams: Tip to Billups42
32.7%
38
67.3%
Q2 - 4:26DETMurray 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)42
35.3%
38
64.7%
Q2 - 4:44ATLStoudamire 9' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)42
40.7%
35
59.3%
Q2 - 5:03ATLBozeman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
37.5%
35
62.5%
Q2 - 5:05DETMISS Billups 11' Fadeaway Jumper40
36.6%
35
63.4%
Q2 - 5:18DETDelfino REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
34.7%
35
65.3%
Q2 - 5:20ATLMISS Pachulia 16' Jump Shot40
35.5%
35
64.5%
Q2 - 5:27ATLStoudamire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
37.5%
35
62.5%
Q2 - 5:30DETMISS Wallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot40
36.6%
35
63.4%
Q2 - 5:37DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)40
34.7%
35
65.3%
Q2 - 5:39ATLMISS Bozeman 13' Jump Shot40
35.6%
35
64.4%
Q2 - 5:52ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
37.5%
35
62.5%
Q2 - 5:54DETMISS Murray 15' Jump Shot40
36.7%
35
63.3%
Q2 - 6:04ATLSmith Foul Turnover (P2.T9)40
34.0%
35
66.0%
Q2 - 6:14ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
37.1%
35
62.9%
Q2 - 6:16DETMISS McDyess Tip Shot40
36.1%
35
63.9%
Q2 - 6:17DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)40
34.0%
35
66.0%
Q2 - 6:21DETMISS McDyess 10' Running Jump Shot40
36.2%
35
63.8%
Q2 - 6:42ATLClaxton Traveling Turnover (P2.T8)40
34.1%
35
65.9%
Q2 - 6:55DETDelfino Tip Shot (2 PTS)40
37.1%
35
62.9%
Q2 - 6:57DETDelfino REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)40
39.2%
33
60.8%
Q2 - 6:59DETMISS Murray 14' Turnaround Jump Shot40
41.4%
33
58.6%
Q2 - 7:15ATLShel. Williams Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)40
38.5%
33
61.5%
Q2 - 7:31DETDelfino Foul Turnover (P1.T6)40
41.3%
33
58.7%
Q2 - 7:44ATLMcDyess STEAL (1 STL)40
38.6%
33
61.4%
Q2 - 7:55DETMurray Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)40
41.3%
33
58.7%
Q2 - 8:12ATLFreije 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS)40
38.0%
33
62.0%
Q2 - 8:30ATLFreije REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
35.9%
33
64.1%
Q2 - 8:32DETMISS Murray 16' Jump Shot38
35.1%
33
64.9%
Q2 - 8:51DETDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
33.3%
33
66.7%
Q2 - 8:53ATLMISS Stoudamire 26' 3PT Jump Shot38
34.1%
33
65.9%
Q2 - 9:04ATLLue REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
35.2%
33
64.8%
Q2 - 9:06DETMISS Murray 18' Jump Shot38
34.5%
33
65.5%
Q2 - 9:17ATLShel. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)38
32.7%
33
67.3%
Q2 - 9:17ATLShel. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)37
32.2%
33
67.8%
Q2 - 9:34DETMohammed Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)36
30.8%
33
69.2%
Q2 - 9:35ATLMurray STEAL (1 STL)36
35.0%
30
65.0%
Q2 - 9:37ATLStoudamire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
37.6%
30
62.4%
Q2 - 9:38DETMISS McDyess 17' Jump Shot36
36.8%
30
63.2%
Q2 - 9:51ATLLue 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS)36
35.0%
30
65.0%
Q2 - 10:01DETMcDyess 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hunter 1 AST)34
33.0%
30
67.0%
Q2 - 10:13ATLStoudamire 22' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Lue 1 AST)34
34.9%
28
65.1%
Q2 - 10:16ATLLue REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
32.9%
28
67.1%
Q2 - 10:18ATLMISS Lue 13' Jump Shot32
31.2%
28
68.8%
Q2 - 10:36ATLHawks Rebound32
32.9%
28
67.1%
Q2 - 10:38DETMISS Hunter 26' 3PT Jump Shot32
32.2%
28
67.8%
Q2 - 11:01ATLStoudamire 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Freije 1 AST)32
29.9%
28
70.1%
Q2 - 11:21DETMurray 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)29
26.1%
28
73.9%
Q2 - 11:46ATLLue 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)29
28.0%
26
72.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0DET26
24.3%
26
75.7%
Q1 - 0:01.0ATLFreije 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)26
22.6%
26
77.4%
Q1 - 0:22.0DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)23
19.1%
26
80.9%
Q1 - 0:22.0DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)23
19.4%
25
80.6%
Q1 - 0:34.0ATLHamilton STEAL (1 STL)23
20.9%
24
79.1%
Q1 - 0:52.0DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)23
22.2%
24
77.8%
Q1 - 0:52.0DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)23
22.4%
23
77.6%
Q1 - 1:02ATLBillups STEAL (1 STL)23
24.3%
22
75.7%
Q1 - 1:13DETBillups Driving Layup (6 PTS)23
25.6%
22
74.4%
Q1 - 1:18DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)23
27.9%
20
72.1%
Q1 - 1:19ATLMISS Smith Layup23
28.4%
20
71.6%
Q1 - 1:43DETDavis 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)23
29.4%
20
70.6%
Q1 - 1:52DETDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
31.9%
18
68.1%
Q1 - 1:53ATLMISS Lue Layup23
32.4%
18
67.6%
Q1 - 2:10DETHamilton Layup (2 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)23
33.5%
18
66.5%
Q1 - 2:16ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)23
35.8%
16
64.2%
Q1 - 2:19ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
37.8%
16
62.2%
Q1 - 2:22DETMISS Hamilton Layup23
37.2%
16
62.8%
Q1 - 2:40ATLJohnson Layup (5 PTS)23
35.8%
16
64.2%
Q1 - 2:41ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
33.5%
16
66.5%
Q1 - 2:42ATLMISS Johnson Layup21
32.2%
16
67.8%
Q1 - 2:56DETPrince 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)21
33.5%
16
66.5%
Q1 - 3:02DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
36.7%
13
63.3%
Q1 - 3:04DETMISS Wallace 17' Jump Shot21
38.4%
13
61.6%
Q1 - 3:25ATLLue 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)21
36.8%
13
63.2%
Q1 - 3:40DETDavis Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)18
33.0%
13
67.0%
Q1 - 3:42DETDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
30.8%
13
69.2%
Q1 - 3:43DETMISS Davis Reverse Layup18
32.3%
13
67.7%
Q1 - 3:56DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)18
30.8%
13
69.2%
Q1 - 3:58ATLMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot18
31.5%
13
68.5%
Q1 - 4:13DETWallace Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)18
32.4%
13
67.6%
Q1 - 4:17DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)18
30.1%
13
69.9%
Q1 - 4:18ATLMISS Smith Layup18
30.8%
13
69.2%
Q1 - 4:29DETBillups Driving Layup (4 PTS)18
32.5%
13
67.5%
Q1 - 4:47ATLShel. Williams Layup (4 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)18
34.0%
11
66.0%
Q1 - 5:01DETPrince Driving Layup (2 PTS)16
31.3%
11
68.7%
Q1 - 5:18DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
33.0%
9
67.0%
Q1 - 5:20ATLMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot16
33.6%
9
66.4%
Q1 - 5:29ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
35.1%
9
64.9%
Q1 - 5:30DETMISS Prince Layup16
34.5%
9
65.5%
Q1 - 5:31DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)16
33.0%
9
67.0%
Q1 - 5:33DETMISS Prince Tip Shot16
34.5%
9
65.5%
Q1 - 5:34DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
33.0%
9
67.0%
Q1 - 5:35DETMISS Prince Layup16
34.5%
9
65.5%
Q1 - 5:52ATLPachulia Layup (7 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)16
33.1%
9
66.9%
Q1 - 5:59ATLHawks Rebound14
31.4%
9
68.6%
Q1 - 6:01ATLMISS Pachulia 6' Hook Shot14
29.4%
9
70.6%
Q1 - 6:20DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)14
30.7%
9
69.3%
Q1 - 6:20DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)14
30.8%
8
69.2%
Q1 - 6:23DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)14
32.3%
7
67.7%
Q1 - 6:25ATLMISS Pachulia 16' Jump Shot14
32.9%
7
67.1%
Q1 - 6:41DETWallace Layup (5 PTS)14
34.2%
7
65.8%
Q1 - 6:43DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)14
36.0%
5
64.0%
Q1 - 6:45DETMISS Hamilton Layup14
37.4%
5
62.6%
Q1 - 7:02DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
34.5%
5
65.5%
Q1 - 7:04DETMISS Hamilton 27' 3PT Jump Shot14
35.9%
5
64.1%
Q1 - 7:26DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
34.7%
5
65.3%
Q1 - 7:28ATLMISS Shel. Williams 18' Jump Shot14
35.3%
5
64.7%
Q1 - 7:48ATLClaxton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
36.7%
5
63.3%
Q1 - 7:50DETMISS Billups 17' Jump Shot14
36.1%
5
63.9%
Q1 - 8:05ATLShel. Williams 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Claxton 3 AST)14
34.4%
5
65.6%
Q1 - 8:15ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
32.9%
5
67.1%
Q1 - 8:17DETMISS Wallace Layup12
32.3%
5
67.7%
Q1 - 8:36ATLSmith Layup (4 PTS) (Claxton 2 AST)12
31.0%
5
69.0%
Q1 - 8:39DETPrince Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)10
29.6%
5
70.4%
Q1 - 8:46DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
27.9%
5
72.1%
Q1 - 8:48ATLMISS Claxton 17' Jump Shot10
28.4%
5
71.6%
Q1 - 8:57ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
29.6%
5
70.4%
Q1 - 8:59DETMISS Hamilton Layup10
29.1%
5
70.9%
Q1 - 9:08ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)10
27.5%
5
72.5%
Q1 - 9:23DETWallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)7
25.0%
5
75.0%
Q1 - 9:43ATLJohnson 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)7
27.6%
2
72.4%
Q1 - 9:56ATLHawks Rebound4
25.0%
2
75.0%
Q1 - 9:57ATLWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)4
23.8%
2
76.2%
Q1 - 10:07DETBillups Palming Turnover (P1.T1)4
24.8%
2
75.2%
Q1 - 10:25ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
23.2%
2
76.8%
Q1 - 10:25ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
22.9%
2
77.1%
Q1 - 10:33ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
22.1%
2
77.9%
Q1 - 10:36DETMISS Wallace 12' Turnaround Jump Shot2
21.7%
2
78.3%
Q1 - 10:58ATLSmith Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
20.7%
2
79.3%
Q1 - 11:02ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
19.5%
2
80.5%
Q1 - 11:03DETMISS Mohammed Layup0
19.2%
2
80.8%
Q1 - 11:21ATLClaxton Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)0
18.4%
2
81.6%
Q1 - 11:43DETMohammed Tip Shot (2 PTS)0
19.5%
2
80.5%
Q1 - 11:45DETMohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
20.7%
0
79.3%
Q1 - 11:46DETMISS Prince Layup0
21.5%
0
78.5%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Mohammed vs. Smith: Tip to Wallace0
20.7%
0
79.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.10 55.1%
DET
0.97 48.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
12
24
50%
DET
19
36
53%
Midrange
ATL
12
35
34%
DET
10
38
26%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
7
10.5
13
54%
81%
DET
7
10.5
14
50%
75%
Free Throws
ATL
29
35
83%
DET
24
29
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Johnson2574%12.5 / 17
S. Williams2067%10.0 / 15
T. Lue1662%8.0 / 13
Z. Pachulia1243%6.0 / 14
J. Smith831%4.0 / 13
S. Stoudamire770%3.5 / 5
M. Freije7117%3.5 / 3
S. Claxton325%1.5 / 6
C. Bozeman0-0.0 / 1
L. Wright0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Billups2463%12.0 / 19
T. Prince1547%7.5 / 16
R. Hamilton1539%7.5 / 19
R. Wallace1450%7.0 / 14
N. Mohammed1169%5.5 / 8
A. McDyess850%4.0 / 8
C. Delfino660%3.0 / 5
R. Murray531%2.5 / 8
L. Hunter350%1.5 / 3
D. Davis250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
74
+15
-18
89
DET
86
+20
-8
106
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.10 55.1%
DET
0.97 48.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
102.9
108.1
ATL 106.5
DET 109.6 +3.1
Pace
90.2
88.0
ATL 91.9
DET 94.1 +2.3
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
17.0
ATL 15.7
DET 15.3 +0.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.1%
48.8%
ATL 47.9% +3.0%
DET 44.9%
TO %
16.7%
13.2%
ATL 17.1%
DET 7.4% +9.7%
ORB %
29.3%
28.3%
ATL 28.6%
DET 36.7% +8.1%
FTrt
34.6
30.7
ATL 48.6 +15.6
DET 33.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.6%
60.1%
ATL 51.6% +7.2%
DET 44.4%
STL %
8.2%
8.0%
ATL 5.4%
DET 8.5% +3.1%
BLK %
8.7%
9.2%
ATL 4.1%
DET 6.8% +2.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.18 and 2.18.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.8%
52.2%
ATL 55.1% +6.5%
DET 48.6%
Rim FG%
55.2%
58.3%
ATL 50.0%
DET 52.8% +2.8%
Mid FG%
39.3%
41.7%
ATL 34.3% +8.0%
DET 26.3%
3P %
32.9%
34.4%
ATL 53.8% +3.8%
DET 50.0%
FT %
76.1%
77.4%
ATL 82.9% +0.1%
DET 82.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.8%
31.1%
ATL 33.3%
DET 40.9% +7.6%
Mid Att. %
44.9%
48.8%
ATL 48.6%
DET 43.2% +5.4%
3P Att. %
16.3%
20.1%
ATL 18.1% +2.1%
DET 15.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsATLDET
Possessions9294
Possession Minutes24.024.0
Points98103
Rebounds4348
Assists1616
Steals58
Blocks34
Turnovers (Team)18 (0)8 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (3)18 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (3)30 (0)
Field Goals31-7236-88
At-the-Rim FG12-2419-36
Midrange FG12-3510-38
2-Point FG24-5929-74
3-Point FG7-137-14
Free Throws29-3524-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 23
40.4
20
67%
13
0
1
1
1
3
6
7
6-6
100%
7-12
58%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 225 · 21
35.9
8
31%
7
5
1
0
3
3
1
6
2-2
100%
3-11
27%
0-1
0%
G · 6'7" 240 · 25
35.0
25
74%
4
2
0
0
4
2
1
3
6-8
75%
5-7
71%
3-6
50%
C · 6'11" 270 · 23
32.6
12
43%
7
0
0
2
3
3
3
4
8-9
89%
2-10
20%
0-0
-
G · 5'11" 170 · 29
18.8
3
25%
2
4
1
0
2
2
0
2
1-2
50%
1-5
20%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 175 · 30
29.3
16
62%
4
3
1
0
3
4
1
3
6-8
75%
2-6
33%
2-3
67%
G · 6'1" 175 · 24
17.1
7
70%
3
0
0
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-2
50%
G · 6'6" 207 · 24
10.7
0
0%
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 249 · 25
8.5
7
117%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 31
6.9
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 235 · 22
5.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 268 · 23
#1 · F-G · 6'8" 210 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#24 · F · 6'9" 237 · 20
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#36 · G · 6'4" 200 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
98
55%
43
16
5
3
18
0
12
31
29-35
83%
24-59
41%
7-13
54%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.