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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 22, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Heat21%8686
3Spurs79%96106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 24.8
34.4
39.4
18
47%
5
6
2
2
2
5
0
5
4-5
80%
7-16
8-16
44%
48%
0-1
0%
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 38.3
27.3
22.5
5
36%
1
1
0
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
46%
1-3
33%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.5
27.3
31.3
5
32%
7
1
0
1
0
0
1
6
1-2
50%
2-7
4-9
29%
48%
0-0
-
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 36.8
17.7
25.0
10
71%
2
1
0
0
0
3
1
1
4-7
57%
3-4
3-5
75%
52%
0-0
-
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.3
10.0
25.8
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
46%
0-2
0%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.8
26.8
8.4
8
57%
1
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
4-7
1-2
57%
40%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 21.0
25.3
28.4
4
40%
7
0
0
1
1
2
0
7
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
43%
0-0
-
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 25.3
20.5
2.7
15
73%
6
1
0
0
0
1
2
4
3-3
100%
6-9
0-1
67%
44%
0-0
-
Robert Hite
G · 6'2" 184 · 22.9
17.0
2.7
9
75%
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
0-1
60%
39%
1-1
100%
Wayne Simien
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.7
12.0
9.6
5
60%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
3-5
60%
1-2
1-3
50%
44%
0-0
-
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.2
12.0
3.9
5
50%
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
39%
1-2
50%
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 29.4
9.8
15.1
2
53%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
42%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 31.0
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 29.9
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 34.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 35.4
29.6
30.1
5
50%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
45%
1-3
33%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 29.3
22.9
28.3
17
82%
4
2
1
1
0
2
0
4
3-3
100%
4-6
3-7
67%
51%
2-3
67%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.5
22.8
31.1
17
63%
5
4
1
1
0
3
1
4
1-1
100%
8-13
7-13
62%
53%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 30.6
22.4
33.4
19
52%
6
3
1
1
1
2
2
4
1-3
33%
9-17
8-15
53%
52%
0-0
-
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 31.7
16.2
20.4
6
61%
5
0
0
0
1
1
1
4
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
53%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.4
25.2
17.2
13
55%
4
3
2
1
0
4
0
4
2-2
100%
4-9
2-4
44%
49%
1-2
50%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 34.9
24.9
20.7
15
77%
6
2
0
1
0
1
2
4
3-4
75%
0-1
1-2
0%
53%
4-7
57%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 36.2
20.2
17.2
0
0%
5
3
1
1
3
1
1
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-2
0%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 30.7
19.9
14.8
5
51%
5
3
1
0
2
0
2
3
1-2
50%
2-4
1-3
50%
53%
0-0
-
Jackie Butler
C · 6'10" 260 · 21.7
12.3
12.8
2
26%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-3
2-4
0%
53%
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 33.7
12.1
19.3
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
45%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 26.6
11.5
4.8
5
50%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
50%
1-3
33%
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 31.8
James White
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.1
Eric Williams
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 34.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.