for complete access.
All Games Wednesday, November 22, 2006
FinalWin Prob.pScore
15
Heat
20%86
86
3
Spurs
80%96
106
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
91.59496.8
SAS logo SAS
112.89492.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIASAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS86
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIASimien Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)86
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAMISS Simien Free Throw 1 of 285
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 0:35.0SASElson 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Barry 2 AST)85
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 1:04MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)85
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:04MIAKapono 2' Layup (8 PTS)85
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:04MIAMISS Kapono 2' Layup83
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:13SASBonner 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS)83
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:36MIABarron REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)83
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:36MIABarron 3' Layup (15 PTS)83
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:37MIAElson BLOCK (2 BLK)81
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:48MIAHite REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)81
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:50SASMISS Bonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 2:05MIAKapono 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Simien 1 AST)81
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 2:24SASUdrih Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)79
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 2:24SASUdrih Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)79
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:50MIAQuinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Barron 1 AST)79
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:07SASElson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)76
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:07SASElson 1' Tip Shot (3 PTS)76
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:10SASMISS Udrih 13' Jump Shot76
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 3:25SASBarry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)76
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 3:27MIAMISS Quinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 3:39SASBonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Elson 3 AST)76
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 3:56MIAKapono 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)76
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 4:02MIASimien REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 4:05SASMISS Elson 6' Running Jump Shot74
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 4:25MIAQuinn 7' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)74
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 4:36MIABarron REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)72
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 4:38SASMISS Butler 9' Jump Bank Shot72
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 4:58MIASimien Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)72
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 4:58MIAMISS Simien Free Throw 1 of 271
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 5:13MIABarron REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)71
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 5:14SASMISS Butler 3' Layup71
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 5:29MIASimien Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)71
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 5:49MIAHeat Rebound68
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 5:51SASMISS Bonner 26' 3PT Jump Shot68
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 6:00SASUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)68
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 6:02MIAMISS Barron 18' Jump Shot68
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 6:18SASUdrih 3' Driving Layup (11 PTS)68
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 6:31MIABarron Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)68
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 6:31MIABarron Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)67
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 6:37MIABarron REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)66
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 6:39SASBarry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)66
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 6:39SASMISS Barry 2' Tip Shot66
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 6:42SASMISS Bonner 4' Jump Shot66
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 6:46SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)66
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 6:48SASMISS Barry 26' 3PT Jump Shot66
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 7:05MIABarron REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)66
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 7:05MIABarron 2' Layup (11 PTS)66
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 7:07MIAMISS Hite 6' Jump Shot64
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 7:13SASUdrih Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T16)64
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 7:20SASBarry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)64
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 7:24MIAMISS Hite 3' Layup64
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 7:43SASButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)64
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 7:43SASButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)64
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 7:51SASButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)64
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 7:53MIAMISS Simien 10' Jump Shot64
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 8:10SASBonner Traveling Turnover (P1.T15)64
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 8:24SASBarry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)64
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 8:27MIAMISS Quinn 16' Jump Shot64
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 8:39SASButler Traveling Turnover (P1.T14)64
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 8:56SASSPURS Rebound64
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 8:57MIAMISS Barron 17' Jump Shot64
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 9:16SASUdrih Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)64
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 9:23SASUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 9:24MIAMISS Barron 10' Jump Shot64
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 9:37MIAHeat Rebound64
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 9:38SASMISS Udrih 22' Jump Shot64
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 10:01MIAButler STEAL (1 STL)64
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 10:11MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)64
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 10:14SASMISS Butler 6' Jump Shot64
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 10:34MIAHite 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS)64
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 10:50SASBarry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Udrih 3 AST)62
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 10:59SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 11:01MIAMISS Mourning 3' Running Hook Shot62
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 11:25SASBarry Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)62
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 11:25SASMISS Barry Free Throw 1 of 262
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 11:27MIAUdrih STEAL (2 STL)62
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 11:45SASUdrih 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Horry 3 AST)62
0.2%
87
99.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS62
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASSPURS Rebound62
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASMISS Udrih 28' 3PT Jump Shot62
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q3 - 0:17.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)62
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q3 - 0:17.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 261
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q3 - 0:25.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)61
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q3 - 0:27.0SASMISS Horry 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q3 - 0:35.0SASElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q3 - 0:37.0MIAMISS Wade 1' Reverse Layup61
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q3 - 0:46.0SASBarry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)61
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q3 - 1:09MIAHite 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)61
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q3 - 1:25SASGinobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Elson 2 AST)59
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q3 - 1:40SASElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)59
0.3%
82
99.7%
Q3 - 1:42MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
0.3%
82
99.7%
Q3 - 1:53SASBowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Udrih 2 AST)59
0.4%
82
99.6%
Q3 - 2:15SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)59
0.6%
79
99.4%
Q3 - 2:16MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 259
0.6%
79
99.4%
Q3 - 2:16MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)59
0.7%
79
99.3%
Q3 - 2:29MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
0.6%
79
99.4%
Q3 - 2:32SASMISS Elson 1' Layup58
0.6%
79
99.4%
Q3 - 2:39MIAUdrih STEAL (1 STL)58
0.5%
79
99.5%
Q3 - 2:55SASUdrih 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Bowen 2 AST)58
0.6%
79
99.4%
Q3 - 3:08SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
1.0%
76
99.0%
Q3 - 3:10MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 158
1.1%
76
98.9%
Q3 - 3:29SASUdrih 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)56
0.9%
76
99.1%
Q3 - 3:42MIAHite 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Kapono 1 AST)56
1.0%
74
99.0%
Q3 - 4:03SASDuncan 10' Jump Bank Shot (19 PTS)53
0.8%
74
99.2%
Q3 - 4:20MIAHite 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)53
0.9%
72
99.1%
Q3 - 4:46SASDuncan 3' Driving Finger Roll (17 PTS)51
0.8%
72
99.2%
Q3 - 5:01MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)51
1.1%
70
98.9%
Q3 - 5:01MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)50
1.0%
70
99.0%
Q3 - 5:19SASBowen 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)49
0.9%
70
99.1%
Q3 - 5:30MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)49
1.0%
68
99.0%
Q3 - 5:54SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)49
1.2%
68
98.8%
Q3 - 5:54SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)49
1.7%
65
98.3%
Q3 - 5:57SASMISS Bowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
1.9%
65
98.1%
Q3 - 6:10SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
1.9%
65
98.1%
Q3 - 6:12MIAMISS Wright 17' Jump Shot49
2.0%
65
98.0%
Q3 - 6:28SASDuncan 10' Jump Bank Shot (15 PTS)49
2.2%
65
97.8%
Q3 - 6:47MIAWade 6' Jump Bank Shot (17 PTS)49
2.5%
63
97.5%
Q3 - 6:54MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
2.2%
63
97.8%
Q3 - 6:57SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
2.1%
63
97.9%
Q3 - 7:23MIAWade 9' Jump Shot (15 PTS)47
2.0%
63
98.0%
Q3 - 7:42SASParker Foul Turnover (P3.T11)45
1.7%
63
98.3%
Q3 - 7:44SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)45
1.5%
63
98.5%
Q3 - 7:47MIADuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)45
1.5%
63
98.5%
Q3 - 7:59SASGinobili 4' Driving Finger Roll (11 PTS)45
1.7%
63
98.3%
Q3 - 8:13MIAHaslem 3' Layup (5 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)45
2.1%
61
97.9%
Q3 - 8:24MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)43
1.8%
61
98.2%
Q3 - 8:26SASMISS Duncan 6' Jump Shot43
1.7%
61
98.3%
Q3 - 8:43SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
1.5%
61
98.5%
Q3 - 8:46MIAHorry BLOCK (3 BLK)43
1.6%
61
98.4%
Q3 - 9:02MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)43
1.9%
61
98.1%
Q3 - 9:06SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot43
1.8%
61
98.2%
Q3 - 9:23SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)43
1.6%
61
98.4%
Q3 - 9:26MIAMISS Payton 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
1.7%
61
98.3%
Q3 - 9:32MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)43
1.9%
61
98.1%
Q3 - 9:34SASMISS Duncan 11' Jump Shot43
1.8%
61
98.2%
Q3 - 9:53MIABarron Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)43
1.6%
61
98.4%
Q3 - 10:04MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)40
1.3%
61
98.7%
Q3 - 10:06SASMISS Ginobili 3' Reverse Layup40
1.2%
61
98.8%
Q3 - 10:10SASSPURS Rebound40
1.1%
61
98.9%
Q3 - 10:12SASMISS Parker 15' Jump Shot40
1.2%
61
98.8%
Q3 - 10:35MIAWright Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)40
1.1%
61
98.9%
Q3 - 10:48MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)40
1.3%
61
98.7%
Q3 - 10:48SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 140
1.3%
61
98.7%
Q3 - 10:57SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)40
1.5%
59
98.5%
Q3 - 10:58MIAMISS Haslem 11' Jump Shot40
1.5%
59
98.5%
Q3 - 11:14SASOberto 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)40
1.8%
59
98.2%
Q3 - 11:35MIABarron 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)40
2.0%
57
98.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS38
1.8%
57
98.2%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIABarron 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)38
1.8%
57
98.2%
Q2 - 0:05.0SASParker Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)36
1.5%
57
98.5%
Q2 - 0:28.0MIAPayton 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)36
2.0%
54
98.0%
Q2 - 0:33.0SASParker 2' Layup (14 PTS)34
1.7%
54
98.3%
Q2 - 0:39.0MIAHaslem 12' Jump Bank Shot (3 PTS)34
2.0%
52
98.0%
Q2 - 0:53.0SASBarry 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)32
1.7%
52
98.3%
Q2 - 1:05SASElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
2.5%
49
97.5%
Q2 - 1:06SASMISS Parker 21' Jump Shot32
2.6%
49
97.4%
Q2 - 1:30MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)32
2.4%
49
97.6%
Q2 - 1:41SASParker 1' Layup (12 PTS)29
1.8%
49
98.2%
Q2 - 1:46SASBarry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
2.2%
47
97.8%
Q2 - 1:48MIAMISS Payton 18' Jump Shot29
2.2%
47
97.8%
Q2 - 2:04SASOberto Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)29
2.5%
47
97.5%
Q2 - 2:04SASOberto Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)29
2.6%
46
97.4%
Q2 - 2:04SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)29
2.9%
45
97.1%
Q2 - 2:05SASMISS Barry 26' 3PT Jump Shot29
3.1%
45
96.9%
Q2 - 2:07SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)29
2.9%
45
97.1%
Q2 - 2:12SASMISS Oberto 1' Reverse Layup29
3.1%
45
96.9%
Q2 - 2:32MIABarron 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)29
2.9%
45
97.1%
Q2 - 2:43MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)27
2.5%
45
97.5%
Q2 - 2:45SASMISS Duncan 2' Layup27
2.4%
45
97.6%
Q2 - 2:59MIAPayton Traveling Turnover (P1.T12)27
2.2%
45
97.8%
Q2 - 3:14SASParker Foul Turnover (P2.T10)27
2.7%
45
97.3%
Q2 - 3:27MIAWade Foul Turnover (P4.T11)27
2.4%
45
97.6%
Q2 - 3:47SASParker 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Barry 1 AST)27
2.7%
45
97.3%
Q2 - 4:00MIABarron 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T10)27
3.0%
43
97.0%
Q2 - 4:14MIABarron REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
3.5%
43
96.5%
Q2 - 4:15SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 127
3.5%
43
96.5%
Q2 - 4:15SASBarry Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)27
3.2%
43
96.8%
Q2 - 4:15SASBarry Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)27
3.2%
43
96.8%
Q2 - 4:25MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)27
4.9%
39
95.1%
Q2 - 4:25MIAHeat Rebound27
5.5%
39
94.5%
Q2 - 4:25MIAMISS Payton 22' Jump Shot27
5.1%
39
94.9%
Q2 - 4:52SASOberto 3' Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)27
5.5%
39
94.5%
Q2 - 5:04MIAWright 3' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)27
6.1%
37
93.9%
Q2 - 5:20SASParker 7' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)25
5.6%
37
94.4%
Q2 - 5:39MIAWade 1' Layup (10 PTS)25
6.1%
35
93.9%
Q2 - 5:54SASDuncan 2' Driving Layup (9 PTS)23
5.6%
35
94.4%
Q2 - 6:17SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)23
6.2%
33
93.8%
Q2 - 6:18MIAMISS Wright 16' Jump Shot23
6.5%
33
93.5%
Q2 - 6:35SASOberto Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)23
7.0%
33
93.0%
Q2 - 6:56SASSPURS Rebound23
6.2%
33
93.8%
Q2 - 6:56MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot23
6.5%
33
93.5%
Q2 - 7:15SASBarry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)23
7.3%
33
92.7%
Q2 - 7:27MIAWade 11' Jump Shot (8 PTS)23
8.7%
30
91.3%
Q2 - 7:39SASDuncan 3' Layup (7 PTS)21
8.0%
30
92.0%
Q2 - 7:39SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)21
8.7%
28
91.3%
Q2 - 7:39SASMISS Duncan 3' Slam Dunk21
9.4%
28
90.6%
Q2 - 7:40SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
8.7%
28
91.3%
Q2 - 7:43SASMISS Duncan 4' Jump Shot21
9.4%
28
90.6%
Q2 - 7:58MIAMourning Traveling Turnover (P2.T8)21
8.7%
28
91.3%
Q2 - 8:11SASBarry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Udrih 1 AST)21
9.8%
28
90.2%
Q2 - 8:37MIAPayton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Mourning 1 AST)21
11.6%
25
88.4%
Q2 - 8:59SASUdrih Layup (2 PTS) (Elson 1 AST)18
9.8%
25
90.2%
Q2 - 9:02MIAElson STEAL (1 STL)18
10.6%
23
89.4%
Q2 - 9:25MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)18
11.7%
23
88.3%
Q2 - 9:25SASMISS Elson Free Throw 2 of 218
11.5%
23
88.5%
Q2 - 9:25SASElson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)18
11.0%
23
89.0%
Q2 - 9:30SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
11.6%
22
88.4%
Q2 - 9:33MIAMISS Kapono 9' Jump Bank Shot18
11.9%
22
88.1%
Q2 - 10:00SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Horry 1 AST)18
12.8%
22
87.2%
Q2 - 10:06SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
15.1%
19
84.9%
Q2 - 10:08MIAHorry BLOCK (2 BLK)18
15.6%
19
84.4%
Q2 - 10:10MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
16.6%
19
83.4%
Q2 - 10:12MIAMISS Payton 24' 3PT Jump Shot18
15.6%
19
84.4%
Q2 - 10:27MIAHeat Rebound18
16.6%
19
83.4%
Q2 - 10:28SASMISS Udrih 19' Jump Shot18
16.2%
19
83.8%
Q2 - 10:29SASBarry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
15.1%
19
84.9%
Q2 - 10:32SASMISS Barry 27' 3PT Jump Shot18
16.2%
19
83.8%
Q2 - 10:52SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
15.1%
19
84.9%
Q2 - 10:54MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
15.6%
19
84.4%
Q2 - 11:02MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
16.1%
19
83.9%
Q2 - 11:04SASMISS Udrih 17' Jump Shot18
15.7%
19
84.3%
Q2 - 11:09MIAGinobili STEAL (1 STL)18
14.9%
19
85.1%
Q2 - 11:23SASHorry Foul Turnover (P1.T8)18
16.2%
19
83.8%
Q2 - 11:33MIAHorry STEAL (1 STL)18
14.9%
19
85.1%
Q2 - 11:38SASGinobili Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)18
16.2%
19
83.8%
Q2 - 11:45SASElson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
14.9%
19
85.1%
Q2 - 11:46MIAMISS Walker 4' Jump Shot18
15.3%
19
84.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS18
16.2%
19
83.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
14.9%
19
85.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAElson BLOCK (1 BLK)18
15.3%
19
84.7%
Q1 - 0:05.0SASGinobili Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)18
15.9%
19
84.1%
Q1 - 0:23.0MIAWade Foul Turnover (P2.T4)18
15.0%
19
85.0%
Q1 - 0:30.0SASUdrih Foul Turnover (P2.T5)18
15.9%
19
84.1%
Q1 - 0:40.0SASUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
14.9%
19
85.1%
Q1 - 0:43.0MIAHorry BLOCK (1 BLK)18
15.2%
19
84.8%
Q1 - 0:57.0SASFinley 16' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)18
15.9%
19
84.1%
Q1 - 1:17MIAKapono 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)18
17.5%
17
82.5%
Q1 - 1:20SASUdrih Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)16
15.9%
17
84.1%
Q1 - 1:35MIAWade 2' Layup (6 PTS)16
15.0%
17
85.0%
Q1 - 1:49MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
13.5%
17
86.5%
Q1 - 1:51SASMISS Udrih 20' Jump Shot14
13.3%
17
86.7%
Q1 - 2:09MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)14
12.6%
17
87.4%
Q1 - 2:09MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 213
12.4%
17
87.6%
Q1 - 2:25SASParker Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)13
12.5%
17
87.5%
Q1 - 2:41SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
11.6%
17
88.4%
Q1 - 2:44MIAMISS Wade 11' Jump Bank Shot13
11.9%
17
88.1%
Q1 - 2:49MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
12.5%
17
87.5%
Q1 - 2:51SASMISS Horry 3PT Jump Shot13
12.3%
17
87.7%
Q1 - 2:53MIAParker STEAL (1 STL)13
11.6%
17
88.4%
Q1 - 2:55MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
12.5%
17
87.5%
Q1 - 2:58SASMISS Parker 8' Running Jump Shot13
12.3%
17
87.7%
Q1 - 3:03SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
11.5%
17
88.5%
Q1 - 3:05MIAMISS Doleac 17' Jump Shot13
11.8%
17
88.2%
Q1 - 3:21MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)13
12.6%
17
87.4%
Q1 - 3:23SASMISS Bowen 16' Jump Shot13
12.3%
17
87.7%
Q1 - 3:48MIAWade 1' Slam Dunk (4 PTS)13
11.5%
17
88.5%
Q1 - 3:54MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
10.7%
17
89.3%
Q1 - 3:56SASMISS Finley 18' Jump Shot11
10.4%
17
89.6%
Q1 - 4:09MIADoleac Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)11
9.7%
17
90.3%
Q1 - 4:09MIADoleac Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)10
9.5%
17
90.5%
Q1 - 4:23SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)9
9.1%
17
90.9%
Q1 - 4:36SASSPURS Rebound9
10.5%
14
89.5%
Q1 - 4:38MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot9
10.8%
14
89.2%
Q1 - 4:54SASParker 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)9
11.5%
14
88.5%
Q1 - 5:11MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)9
12.1%
12
87.9%
Q1 - 5:11MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)8
12.0%
12
88.0%
Q1 - 5:35SASParker 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)7
11.4%
12
88.6%
Q1 - 5:43SASSPURS Rebound7
12.1%
10
87.9%
Q1 - 5:43SASMISS Parker 1' Layup7
12.8%
10
87.2%
Q1 - 5:48SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
12.1%
10
87.9%
Q1 - 5:50MIAMISS Wright 18' Jump Shot7
12.4%
10
87.6%
Q1 - 5:58MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)7
13.2%
10
86.8%
Q1 - 6:00SASMISS Duncan 13' Jump Shot7
12.8%
10
87.2%
Q1 - 6:21MIAWright Foul Turnover (P1.T2)7
12.1%
10
87.9%
Q1 - 6:34MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
13.1%
10
86.9%
Q1 - 6:35SASMISS Duncan 7' Jump Shot7
12.8%
10
87.2%
Q1 - 6:57MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
12.1%
10
87.9%
Q1 - 6:57MIAMourning 3' Dunk (5 PTS)7
12.1%
10
87.9%
Q1 - 6:59MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot5
10.8%
10
89.2%
Q1 - 7:15SASDuncan 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T2)5
11.4%
10
88.6%
Q1 - 7:33MIAMourning 6' Jump Shot (3 PTS)5
10.5%
10
89.5%
Q1 - 7:50MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)3
9.9%
10
90.1%
Q1 - 7:52SASMISS Ginobili 15' Jump Shot3
9.7%
10
90.3%
Q1 - 7:58SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Wade: Tip to Ginobili3
9.2%
10
90.8%
Q1 - 7:58SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)3
9.9%
10
90.1%
Q1 - 8:01SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
9.1%
10
90.9%
Q1 - 8:03MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot3
9.3%
10
90.7%
Q1 - 8:28SASParker 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)3
9.8%
10
90.2%
Q1 - 8:42MIAWright 2' Layup (2 PTS)3
10.4%
8
89.6%
Q1 - 8:47MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)1
9.8%
8
90.2%
Q1 - 8:50SASMISS Duncan 2' Dunk1
9.6%
8
90.4%
Q1 - 8:56SASOberto REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)1
9.1%
8
90.9%
Q1 - 8:57MIAMISS Wade 2' Layup1
9.3%
8
90.7%
Q1 - 9:10SASGinobili 1' Dunk (6 PTS)1
9.8%
8
90.2%
Q1 - 9:20SASOberto REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)1
10.3%
6
89.7%
Q1 - 9:22MIAMISS Wade 8' Jump Shot1
10.5%
6
89.5%
Q1 - 9:33MIAHeat Rebound1
11.2%
6
88.8%
Q1 - 9:34SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot1
10.9%
6
89.1%
Q1 - 9:41SASOberto REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)1
10.3%
6
89.7%
Q1 - 9:43MIAMISS Haslem 2' Layup1
10.5%
6
89.5%
Q1 - 9:52MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)1
11.2%
6
88.8%
Q1 - 9:55SASMISS Oberto 10' Jump Bank Shot1
10.9%
6
89.1%
Q1 - 10:01MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)1
10.3%
6
89.7%
Q1 - 10:01MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 20
10.1%
6
89.9%
Q1 - 10:10MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
10.4%
6
89.6%
Q1 - 10:12MIAOberto BLOCK (1 BLK)0
9.8%
6
90.2%
Q1 - 10:28SASDuncan 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)0
10.4%
6
89.6%
Q1 - 10:43SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
11.0%
4
89.0%
Q1 - 10:43MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot0
11.3%
4
88.7%
Q1 - 11:07SASGinobili 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS)0
11.8%
4
88.2%
Q1 - 11:19SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
12.6%
2
87.4%
Q1 - 11:21MIAMISS Walker 3PT Jump Shot0
12.9%
2
87.1%
Q1 - 11:43SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
13.4%
2
86.6%
Q1 - 11:43SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
13.5%
1
86.5%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Mourning: Tip to Parker0
14.3%
0
85.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.00 50.0%
SAS
1.14 57.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
18
32
56%
SAS
19
30
63%
Midrange
MIA
12
33
36%
SAS
13
33
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
3
4.5
9
33%
50%
SAS
9
13.5
20
45%
68%
Free Throws
MIA
17
24
71%
SAS
15
19
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade1847%9.0 / 19
E. Barron1575%7.5 / 10
A. Mourning1071%5.0 / 7
R. Hite975%4.5 / 6
J. Kapono857%4.0 / 7
G. Payton536%2.5 / 7
U. Haslem531%2.5 / 8
W. Simien563%2.5 / 4
C. Quinn550%2.5 / 5
D. Wright440%2.0 / 5
M. Doleac250%1.0 / 2
A. Walker0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan1956%9.5 / 17
M. Ginobili1785%8.5 / 10
T. Parker1765%8.5 / 13
B. Barry1583%7.5 / 9
B. Udrih1354%6.5 / 12
F. Oberto660%3.0 / 5
B. Bowen550%2.5 / 5
F. Elson550%2.5 / 5
M. Bonner550%2.5 / 5
J. Butler225%1.0 / 4
M. Finley250%1.0 / 2
R. Horry0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
79
+7
-15
86
SAS
78
+13
-16
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.00 50.0%
SAS
1.14 57.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.2
109.2
MIA 91.5 +21.3
SAS 112.8
Pace
90.1
89.8
MIA 96.8 +4.2
SAS 92.6
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
16.5
MIA 14.9 +0.7
SAS 15.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.6%
52.1%
MIA 46.6%
SAS 54.8% +8.2%
TO %
15.3%
14.7%
MIA 16.7%
SAS 14.9% +1.8%
ORB %
24.9%
24.5%
MIA 15.4%
SAS 26.3% +10.9%
FTrt
32.1
31.3
MIA 32.4 +9.5
SAS 22.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.6%
60.5%
MIA 45.5%
SAS 53.7% +8.2%
STL %
7.6%
8.0%
MIA 6.4%
SAS 8.5% +2.1%
BLK %
8.8%
7.8%
MIA 7.9%
SAS 10.8% +2.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.4%
54.7%
MIA 50.0%
SAS 57.0% +7.0%
Rim FG%
61.8%
62.1%
MIA 56.3%
SAS 63.3% +7.0%
Mid FG%
40.5%
40.4%
MIA 36.4%
SAS 39.4% +3.0%
3P %
34.3%
38.1%
MIA 33.3%
SAS 45.0% +11.7%
FT %
69.0%
75.1%
MIA 70.8%
SAS 78.9% +8.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.9%
34.9%
MIA 43.2% +7.1%
SAS 36.1%
Mid Att. %
40.7%
40.5%
MIA 44.6%
SAS 39.8% +4.8%
3P Att. %
24.5%
24.7%
MIA 12.2%
SAS 24.1% +11.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.
Game TotalsMIASAS
Possessions9494
Possession Minutes23.324.4
Points86106
Rebounds3443
Assists1522
Steals68
Blocks57
Turnovers (Team)15 (2)16 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (1)10 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (4)33 (3)
Field Goals33-7441-83
At-the-Rim FG18-3219-30
Midrange FG12-3313-33
2-Point FG30-6532-63
3-Point FG3-99-20
Free Throws17-2415-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
15 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 25
34.4
18
47%
5
6
2
2
5
3
0
5
4-5
80%
7-16
44%
0-1
0%
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 38
27.3
5
36%
1
1
0
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
25%
1-3
33%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 26
27.3
5
31%
7
1
0
0
0
4
1
6
1-2
50%
2-7
29%
0-0
-
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 37
17.7
10
71%
2
1
0
0
3
2
1
1
4-7
57%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 30
10.0
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
4
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-2
0%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 26
26.8
8
57%
1
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
4-7
57%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 21
25.3
4
40%
7
0
0
1
2
1
0
7
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 25
20.5
15
75%
6
1
0
0
1
2
2
4
3-3
100%
6-9
67%
0-0
-
Robert Hite
G · 6'2" 184 · 23
17.0
9
75%
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
60%
1-1
100%
Wayne Simien
F · 6'9" 250 · 24
12.0
5
63%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
3-5
60%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 23
12.0
5
50%
0
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 29
9.8
2
50%
2
0
0
0
2
1
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
#55 · G · 6'1" 180 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
James Posey
#42 · F · 6'8" 217 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Shaquille O'Neal
#32 · C · 7'1" 325 · 35
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
86
50%
34
15
6
5
15
0
6
28
17-24
71%
30-65
46%
3-9
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.