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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 22, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Nuggets35%104115
11Warriors65%108112
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.7
39.9
37.2
17
53%
5
10
0
1
0
5
2
3
3-7
43%
7-11
5-11
64%
46%
0-2
0%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.5
39.6
38.1
33
74%
9
4
3
1
0
5
5
4
9-10
90%
12-17
9-19
71%
48%
0-1
0%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 32.7
35.5
32.2
14
60%
16
0
0
1
0
1
2
14
6-6
100%
4-9
5-10
44%
46%
0-0
-
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 21.2
34.5
32.0
13
51%
4
2
0
1
0
3
0
4
3-4
75%
2-4
3-7
50%
45%
2-7
29%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.4
23.9
24.1
11
60%
1
0
1
1
1
1
0
1
5-5
100%
3-7
2-4
43%
45%
0-0
-
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 24.2
21.7
16.7
9
65%
0
1
1
1
0
3
0
0
1-2
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
2-4
50%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 26.5
17.8
21.5
9
57%
14
2
1
1
0
2
7
7
1-2
50%
4-7
2-4
57%
48%
0-0
-
DerMarr Johnson
F-G · 6'9" 210 · 26.5
15.6
7.4
7
44%
3
2
0
0
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
51%
1-5
20%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 31.3
7.6
9.1
0
0%
2
0
0
0
2
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 21.9
3.9
12.2
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
45%
0-1
0%
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 30.5
12.9
0
1-4
42%
Jamal Sampson
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 23.5
1.6
0
0-0
48%
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.9
Nene Hilario
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 24.2
Julius Hodge
G · 6'7" 220 · 23.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 21.1
40.6
37.8
11
36%
1
9
3
1
0
2
1
0
3-3
100%
4-13
7-13
31%
50%
0-1
0%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 25.8
36.6
33.7
24
58%
8
6
4
1
0
2
2
6
1-4
25%
7-12
5-10
58%
49%
3-7
43%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 27.6
34.0
19.7
21
53%
1
4
3
1
0
5
0
1
7-9
78%
4-9
3-7
44%
47%
2-7
29%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 26.6
33.4
12.2
17
74%
7
3
1
0
1
1
2
5
0-1
0%
4-5
1-3
80%
47%
3-6
50%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 20.6
30.0
33.4
7
39%
8
3
0
1
7
1
4
4
1-2
50%
3-8
4-7
38%
63%
0-0
-
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 24.8
22.0
38.7
21
61%
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
6-7
86%
6-9
4-9
67%
51%
1-5
20%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 26.2
21.6
35.0
9
60%
3
2
1
1
0
2
1
2
0-1
0%
3-4
4-8
75%
49%
1-3
33%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 31.7
8.9
2.3
2
35%
5
0
0
0
1
1
2
3
0-2
0%
1-2
0-0
50%
50%
0-0
-
Keith McLeod
G · 6'2" 190 · 27.0
7.8
12.3
0
0%
0
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
39%
0-0
-
Anthony Roberson
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.8
3.5
7.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 26.7
1.6
10.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
51%
0-0
-
Patrick O'Bryant
C · 7'0" 250 · 20.4
2.7
0
0-1
51%
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.2
Zarko Cabarkapa
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 25.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.