FinalWin Prob.pScore
1844%91
102
2556%93
93
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
107.49589.0
CHA logo CHA
102.29197.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BobcatsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BobcatsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACHA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA102
100%
93
0%
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:13)102
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 0:16.0CHAMISS Morrison 28' 3PT Jump Shot102
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 0:20.0MIAWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)102
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 0:20.0MIAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)101
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 0:30.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)100
99.8%
93
0.2%
Q4 - 0:32.0CHAMISS Felton 26' 3PT Jump Shot100
99.7%
93
0.3%
Q4 - 0:35.0MIAKapono Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T18)100
99.4%
93
0.6%
Q4 - 0:41.0CHAWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)100
99.5%
93
0.5%
Q4 - 0:41.0CHAWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)100
99.6%
92
0.4%
Q4 - 0:41.0CHABOBCATS Rebound100
99.7%
91
0.3%
Q4 - 0:41.0MIAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot100
99.8%
91
0.2%
Q4 - 1:02MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)100
99.7%
91
0.3%
Q4 - 1:04CHAMISS Carroll 21' Jump Shot100
99.6%
91
0.4%
Q4 - 1:07MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (35 PTS)100
99.2%
91
0.8%
Q4 - 1:07MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 299
99.1%
91
0.9%
Q4 - 1:21CHAMorrison 20' Turnaround Jump Shot (27 PTS)99
98.9%
91
1.1%
Q4 - 1:35CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)99
99.0%
89
1.0%
Q4 - 1:37MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot99
99.2%
89
0.8%
Q4 - 1:56CHAFelton Running Layup (13 PTS)99
99.3%
89
0.7%
Q4 - 2:09MIAWalker 18' Fadeaway Jumper (16 PTS)99
99.4%
87
0.6%
Q4 - 2:37CHAMorrison 24' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Felton 7 AST)97
99.3%
87
0.7%
Q4 - 2:48MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (34 PTS)97
99.6%
84
0.4%
Q4 - 2:48MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (33 PTS)96
99.6%
84
0.4%
Q4 - 3:08CHAKnight Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T15)95
99.2%
84
0.8%
Q4 - 3:17MIAHaslem Traveling Turnover (P3.T17)95
98.6%
84
1.4%
Q4 - 3:33CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)95
98.2%
84
1.8%
Q4 - 3:33CHAWallace Layup (12 PTS)95
98.2%
84
1.8%
Q4 - 3:35CHAMISS Felton Driving Layup95
99.0%
82
1.0%
Q4 - 3:49MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (32 PTS)95
98.8%
82
1.2%
Q4 - 4:10CHAMorrison 18' Jump Shot (22 PTS)93
98.4%
82
1.6%
Q4 - 4:19CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)93
98.9%
80
1.1%
Q4 - 4:21MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot93
99.0%
80
1.0%
Q4 - 4:44MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)93
99.3%
80
0.7%
Q4 - 4:46CHAMISS Morrison Free Throw 2 of 293
99.2%
80
0.8%
Q4 - 4:46CHAMorrison Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)93
99.0%
80
1.0%
Q4 - 4:56MIAWalker 10' Fadeaway Jumper (14 PTS)93
99.3%
79
0.7%
Q4 - 5:18CHAWallace Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T14)91
98.2%
79
1.8%
Q4 - 5:30MIAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 12 AST)91
97.4%
79
2.6%
Q4 - 5:44CHAFelton Foul Turnover (P4.T13)88
95.2%
79
4.8%
Q4 - 5:49MIAWade Foul Turnover (P4.T16)88
93.4%
79
6.6%
Q4 - 5:58CHAMorrison Foul Turnover (P3.T12)88
95.3%
79
4.7%
Q4 - 6:10MIAWalker Layup (12 PTS) (Wade 11 AST)88
91.2%
79
8.8%
Q4 - 6:27CHAMorrison Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)86
89.0%
79
11.0%
Q4 - 6:27CHAMorrison Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)86
89.7%
78
10.3%
Q4 - 6:33MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)86
91.3%
77
8.7%
Q4 - 6:33MIAWade Layup (30 PTS)86
91.3%
77
8.7%
Q4 - 6:35MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup84
86.4%
77
13.6%
Q4 - 6:45MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)84
89.0%
77
11.0%
Q4 - 6:47CHAMISS Felton 6' Jump Shot84
88.0%
77
12.0%
Q4 - 7:07MIAWalker 4' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS)84
82.8%
77
17.2%
Q4 - 7:30CHAEly Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)82
79.2%
77
20.8%
Q4 - 7:30CHAEly Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)82
80.5%
76
19.5%
Q4 - 7:49MIAWilliams Driving Layup (4 PTS)82
83.0%
75
17.0%
Q4 - 8:06CHAFelton Driving Layup (11 PTS)80
76.7%
75
23.3%
Q4 - 8:14CHAMorrison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)80
81.0%
73
19.0%
Q4 - 8:15MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
82.2%
73
17.8%
Q4 - 8:32CHAFelton Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)80
84.7%
73
15.3%
Q4 - 8:44CHAVoskuhl Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (6 PTS)80
81.1%
73
18.9%
Q4 - 8:44CHAVoskuhl Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (5 PTS)80
82.1%
72
17.9%
Q4 - 8:53MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)80
87.7%
71
12.3%
Q4 - 8:53MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)79
87.2%
71
12.8%
Q4 - 9:07MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)78
83.1%
71
16.9%
Q4 - 9:09CHAMISS Ely Layup78
82.0%
71
18.0%
Q4 - 9:26MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)78
79.3%
71
20.7%
Q4 - 9:26MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)77
78.6%
71
21.4%
Q4 - 9:44CHAFelton Driving Layup (9 PTS)76
75.4%
71
24.6%
Q4 - 9:49CHAFelton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)76
79.4%
69
20.6%
Q4 - 9:50MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 276
80.0%
69
20.0%
Q4 - 9:50MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 276
82.5%
69
17.5%
Q4 - 10:07CHACarroll 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Felton 6 AST)76
81.6%
69
18.4%
Q4 - 10:19CHABOBCATS Rebound76
87.3%
66
12.7%
Q4 - 10:20CHAMISS Felton 9' Jump Shot76
89.1%
66
10.9%
Q4 - 10:26CHAEly REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)76
87.3%
66
12.7%
Q4 - 10:27MIAMISS Kapono 3PT Jump Shot76
88.1%
66
11.9%
Q4 - 10:33CHAMorrison Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)76
89.8%
66
10.2%
Q4 - 10:46CHABOBCATS Rebound76
87.4%
66
12.6%
Q4 - 10:46CHAMISS Carroll 10' Jump Shot76
89.2%
66
10.8%
Q4 - 11:06MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (24 PTS)76
86.1%
66
13.9%
Q4 - 11:22MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
83.5%
66
16.5%
Q4 - 11:23CHAMISS Morrison 6' Jump Shot74
82.5%
66
17.5%
Q4 - 11:40MIAWalker Driving Layup (8 PTS)74
80.2%
66
19.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHA72
76.7%
66
23.3%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)72
71.2%
66
28.8%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 271
70.4%
66
29.6%
Q3 - 0:07.0CHACarroll 21' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Knight 8 AST)71
71.2%
66
28.8%
Q3 - 0:18.0MIAWade 22' Jump Shot (21 PTS)71
75.2%
64
24.8%
Q3 - 0:30.0CHAEly Foul Turnover (P1.T9)69
71.2%
64
28.8%
Q3 - 0:38.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)69
66.9%
64
33.1%
Q3 - 0:52.0MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
57.2%
64
42.8%
Q3 - 0:53.0CHAMISS Ely Free Throw 2 of 266
56.5%
64
43.5%
Q3 - 0:53.0CHAEly Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)66
53.6%
64
46.4%
Q3 - 1:06CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)66
56.3%
63
43.7%
Q3 - 1:08MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
57.8%
63
42.2%
Q3 - 1:28CHAEly 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Carroll 1 AST)66
61.3%
63
38.7%
Q3 - 1:41MIACarroll STEAL (2 STL)66
65.7%
61
34.3%
Q3 - 1:44MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)66
70.1%
61
29.9%
Q3 - 1:46CHAVoskuhl REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)66
65.7%
61
34.3%
Q3 - 1:46CHAMISS Voskuhl Tip Shot66
68.8%
61
31.2%
Q3 - 1:47CHAMISS Carroll 14' Jump Shot66
68.8%
61
31.2%
Q3 - 1:51CHACarroll REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)66
65.7%
61
34.3%
Q3 - 1:52CHAMISS Carroll 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
68.8%
61
31.2%
Q3 - 2:03MIAKapono Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)66
64.0%
61
36.0%
Q3 - 2:03MIAKapono Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)65
63.4%
61
36.6%
Q3 - 2:03MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
60.0%
61
40.0%
Q3 - 2:04CHAMISS Carroll Free Throw 2 of 264
59.4%
61
40.6%
Q3 - 2:04CHACarroll Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)64
56.1%
61
43.9%
Q3 - 2:17MIADoleac 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)64
59.7%
60
40.3%
Q3 - 2:35CHAMorrison Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)62
55.6%
60
44.4%
Q3 - 2:35CHAMISS Morrison Free Throw 1 of 262
56.7%
59
43.3%
Q3 - 2:49CHAMorrison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
55.2%
59
44.8%
Q3 - 2:51MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot62
56.7%
59
43.3%
Q3 - 3:08MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:12)62
59.6%
59
40.4%
Q3 - 3:09CHAMISS Knight 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
58.2%
59
41.8%
Q3 - 3:34CHAVoskuhl REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)62
54.9%
59
45.1%
Q3 - 3:36MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 262
55.5%
59
44.5%
Q3 - 3:36MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 262
58.5%
59
41.5%
Q3 - 3:40MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)62
59.6%
59
40.4%
Q3 - 3:42CHAMISS Morrison 21' Jump Shot62
58.2%
59
41.8%
Q3 - 3:59CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)62
54.9%
59
45.1%
Q3 - 4:01CHAMISS Felton 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
57.4%
59
42.6%
Q3 - 4:08MIAFelton STEAL (2 STL)62
54.0%
59
46.0%
Q3 - 4:10MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)62
58.9%
59
41.1%
Q3 - 4:11MIAMISS Walker Layup62
55.5%
59
44.5%
Q3 - 4:26CHAWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)62
58.9%
59
41.1%
Q3 - 4:26CHAMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 262
60.2%
58
39.8%
Q3 - 4:34MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)62
58.3%
58
41.7%
Q3 - 4:34MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)61
57.6%
58
42.4%
Q3 - 4:45MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)60
54.7%
58
45.3%
Q3 - 4:46CHAMISS Morrison Free Throw 2 of 260
54.0%
58
46.0%
Q3 - 4:46CHAMISS Morrison Free Throw 1 of 260
51.4%
58
48.6%
Q3 - 5:02MIAVoskuhl STEAL (1 STL)60
49.6%
58
50.4%
Q3 - 5:15MIAHeat Rebound60
54.1%
58
45.9%
Q3 - 5:15CHAMISS Morrison 11' Jump Shot60
52.7%
58
47.3%
Q3 - 5:16CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)60
49.6%
58
50.4%
Q3 - 5:18CHAMISS Morrison 3PT Jump Shot60
52.7%
58
47.3%
Q3 - 5:40MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
49.6%
58
50.4%
Q3 - 5:40MIAMourning Layup (16 PTS)60
49.6%
58
50.4%
Q3 - 5:41MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot58
42.7%
58
57.3%
Q3 - 6:13CHAWallace Alley Oop Dunk (9 PTS) (Felton 5 AST)58
45.5%
58
54.5%
Q3 - 6:16MIAOkafor STEAL (1 STL)58
49.2%
56
50.8%
Q3 - 6:39CHAOkafor Layup (9 PTS) (Morrison 5 AST)58
53.5%
56
46.5%
Q3 - 6:54MIAKnight STEAL (1 STL)58
57.2%
54
42.8%
Q3 - 7:10CHAMorrison 13' Fadeaway Jumper (16 PTS)58
60.5%
54
39.5%
Q3 - 7:25CHAFelton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)58
63.6%
52
36.4%
Q3 - 7:28CHAMISS Felton 27' 3PT Jump Shot58
66.5%
52
33.5%
Q3 - 7:50MIAMourning Lane Violation Turnover (P3.T10)58
63.7%
52
36.3%
Q3 - 7:50MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 258
66.0%
52
34.0%
Q3 - 8:10CHAMorrison 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Knight 7 AST)58
67.2%
52
32.8%
Q3 - 8:21MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Wade 10 AST)58
73.1%
49
26.9%
Q3 - 8:39CHAMorrison 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Knight 6 AST)56
70.5%
49
29.5%
Q3 - 8:48MIAMourning 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T9)56
73.1%
47
26.9%
Q3 - 8:59MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)56
76.4%
47
23.6%
Q3 - 9:02CHAMISS Wallace Dunk56
74.1%
47
25.9%
Q3 - 9:14CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)56
72.2%
47
27.8%
Q3 - 9:16MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 256
72.6%
47
27.4%
Q3 - 9:16MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)56
74.5%
47
25.5%
Q3 - 9:30MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
72.3%
47
27.7%
Q3 - 9:32CHAMISS Okafor Free Throw 2 of 255
71.9%
47
28.1%
Q3 - 9:32CHAOkafor Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)55
70.3%
47
29.7%
Q3 - 9:41MIAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)55
72.2%
46
27.8%
Q3 - 9:46MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)55
75.2%
46
24.8%
Q3 - 9:48CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)55
72.2%
46
27.8%
Q3 - 9:48CHAMISS Okafor Tip Shot55
74.3%
46
25.7%
Q3 - 9:50CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)55
72.2%
46
27.8%
Q3 - 9:50CHAMISS Okafor Layup55
74.3%
46
25.7%
Q3 - 9:51CHAMISS Knight 15' Jump Shot55
74.3%
46
25.7%
Q3 - 9:57CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)55
72.2%
46
27.8%
Q3 - 9:59MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
73.2%
46
26.8%
Q3 - 10:14CHAWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)55
74.4%
46
25.6%
Q3 - 10:14CHAMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 255
75.2%
45
24.8%
Q3 - 10:38MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)55
74.1%
45
25.9%
Q3 - 10:58CHAFelton Driving Layup (7 PTS)53
71.6%
45
28.4%
Q3 - 11:03CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)53
73.4%
43
26.6%
Q3 - 11:04CHAMISS Wallace 18' Jump Shot53
75.3%
43
24.7%
Q3 - 11:25MIAWade 12' Jump Bank Shot (13 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)53
73.4%
43
26.6%
Q3 - 11:47MIAHeat Rebound51
70.8%
43
29.2%
Q3 - 11:48CHAMISS Okafor 15' Jump Shot51
69.9%
43
30.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA51
67.7%
43
32.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound51
70.8%
43
29.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wright 41' 3PT Jump Shot51
68.7%
43
31.3%
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)51
69.3%
43
30.7%
Q2 - 0:05.0CHAMISS Felton 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
68.7%
43
31.3%
Q2 - 0:21.0MIAWilliams Free Throw Technical (2 PTS)51
67.3%
43
32.7%
Q2 - 0:25.0CHAKnight REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
64.3%
43
35.7%
Q2 - 0:27.0MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
65.0%
43
35.0%
Q2 - 0:42.0MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)50
66.5%
43
33.5%
Q2 - 0:45.0CHAMISS Morrison 22' Jump Shot50
65.9%
43
34.1%
Q2 - 0:57.0MIAHaslem Layup (9 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)50
64.4%
43
35.6%
Q2 - 1:01CHAMorrison Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)48
59.5%
43
40.5%
Q2 - 1:23MIAMourning Dunk (14 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)48
57.9%
43
42.1%
Q2 - 1:43CHAVoskuhl Layup (4 PTS) (Felton 4 AST)46
53.2%
43
46.8%
Q2 - 1:59MIAWright Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)46
57.9%
41
42.1%
Q2 - 2:03CHAFelton Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)44
53.5%
41
46.5%
Q2 - 2:24MIAWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)44
50.6%
41
49.4%
Q2 - 2:24MIAWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)43
50.0%
41
50.0%
Q2 - 2:33MIAHeat Rebound42
47.2%
41
52.8%
Q2 - 2:33MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
45.2%
41
54.8%
Q2 - 2:50MIAWilliams Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)42
47.2%
41
52.8%
Q2 - 2:50CHAKnight Traveling Turnover (P3.T6)41
44.1%
41
55.9%
Q2 - 2:50CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)41
41.3%
41
58.7%
Q2 - 2:51MIAMISS Williams Driving Layup41
42.2%
41
57.8%
Q2 - 3:09CHAFelton 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS)41
44.2%
41
55.8%
Q2 - 3:25MIAWalker 4' Running Layup (6 PTS)41
46.8%
39
53.2%
Q2 - 3:42CHAKnight Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)39
44.2%
39
55.8%
Q2 - 3:56MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)39
40.9%
39
59.1%
Q2 - 4:05MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)37
38.2%
39
61.8%
Q2 - 4:07CHAMISS Morrison 19' Jump Shot37
37.4%
39
62.6%
Q2 - 4:18CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)37
35.6%
39
64.4%
Q2 - 4:19MIAMISS Walker Layup37
36.4%
39
63.6%
Q2 - 4:35CHAFelton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)37
38.3%
39
61.7%
Q2 - 4:59MIAKapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)37
35.6%
39
64.4%
Q2 - 5:19CHAKnight 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Felton 3 AST)34
30.8%
39
69.2%
Q2 - 5:34CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)34
33.0%
37
67.0%
Q2 - 5:35MIAMISS Walker Layup34
33.8%
37
66.2%
Q2 - 5:53CHAOkafor Layup (6 PTS) (Morrison 4 AST)34
35.8%
37
64.2%
Q2 - 6:03CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)34
38.2%
35
61.8%
Q2 - 6:05MIAMISS Kapono 18' Jump Shot34
39.1%
35
60.9%
Q2 - 6:19CHAMorrison 14' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Felton 2 AST)34
41.3%
35
58.7%
Q2 - 6:27CHAKnight Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)34
43.5%
33
56.5%
Q2 - 6:44MIAMourning 4' Hook Shot (12 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)34
46.2%
32
53.8%
Q2 - 6:59MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)32
44.0%
32
56.0%
Q2 - 7:02CHAMISS Okafor 10' Hook Shot32
43.0%
32
57.0%
Q2 - 7:29MIAMourning 4' Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)32
41.1%
32
58.9%
Q2 - 7:49CHAOkafor Layup (4 PTS) (Morrison 3 AST)30
38.7%
32
61.3%
Q2 - 8:10MIAWalker 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS)30
40.8%
30
59.2%
Q2 - 8:31MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)28
38.7%
30
61.3%
Q2 - 8:32CHAMISS Knight 20' Jump Shot28
37.9%
30
62.1%
Q2 - 8:51MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)28
36.0%
30
64.0%
Q2 - 8:57MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
31.6%
30
68.4%
Q2 - 8:58CHAMISS May 19' Jump Shot25
30.9%
30
69.1%
Q2 - 9:23MIAPayton Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)25
29.4%
30
70.6%
Q2 - 9:27MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
31.8%
30
68.2%
Q2 - 9:29CHAMISS May Layup25
31.0%
30
69.0%
Q2 - 9:34CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
29.4%
30
70.6%
Q2 - 9:37MIAMISS Kapono 13' Jump Shot25
30.1%
30
69.9%
Q2 - 9:45MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
31.7%
30
68.3%
Q2 - 9:46CHAMay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
29.3%
30
70.7%
Q2 - 9:46CHAMISS May Layup25
31.0%
30
69.0%
Q2 - 9:47CHAMISS Morrison 18' Jump Shot25
31.0%
30
69.0%
Q2 - 10:06CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
29.5%
30
70.5%
Q2 - 10:08MIAMISS Kapono 16' Jump Shot25
30.2%
30
69.8%
Q2 - 10:19CHAMorrison Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)25
31.9%
30
68.1%
Q2 - 10:34CHAVoskuhl REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
36.0%
27
64.0%
Q2 - 10:35CHAMISS May 3' Hook Shot25
37.8%
27
62.2%
Q2 - 10:57MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)25
36.0%
27
64.0%
Q2 - 10:57MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)24
35.6%
27
64.4%
Q2 - 11:11CHAMorrison 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Knight 4 AST)23
33.8%
27
66.2%
Q2 - 11:26MIAWalker Traveling Turnover (P2.T6)23
36.1%
25
63.9%
Q2 - 11:44CHACarroll Foul Turnover (P1.T3)23
38.3%
25
61.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA23
36.1%
25
63.9%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
38.0%
25
62.0%
Q1 - 0:03.0CHAMISS Carroll 26' 3PT Jump Shot23
37.4%
25
62.6%
Q1 - 0:16.0MIAWade Reverse Layup (6 PTS)23
36.3%
25
63.7%
Q1 - 0:33.0CHAVoskuhl Dunk (2 PTS) (Morrison 2 AST)21
33.6%
25
66.4%
Q1 - 0:49.0CHABOBCATS Rebound21
36.3%
23
63.7%
Q1 - 0:50.0MIAMISS Payton 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
36.8%
23
63.2%
Q1 - 1:09CHAMorrison Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)21
38.1%
23
61.9%
Q1 - 1:09CHAMorrison Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)21
38.6%
22
61.4%
Q1 - 1:17MIACarroll STEAL (1 STL)21
40.8%
21
59.2%
Q1 - 1:34CHACarroll 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Felton 1 AST)21
42.6%
21
57.4%
Q1 - 1:45CHAVoskuhl REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
45.4%
19
54.6%
Q1 - 1:47MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
46.0%
19
54.0%
Q1 - 1:56MIAHeat Rebound21
47.3%
19
52.7%
Q1 - 1:56MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot21
46.0%
19
54.0%
Q1 - 2:25CHACarroll 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)21
47.5%
19
52.5%
Q1 - 2:29CHACarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
50.0%
17
50.0%
Q1 - 2:31MIAMISS Wright 16' Jump Shot21
50.7%
17
49.3%
Q1 - 2:37MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)21
52.2%
17
47.8%
Q1 - 2:39CHAMISS Wallace Layup21
51.6%
17
48.4%
Q1 - 2:58MIAWalker Layup (2 PTS) (Wright 2 AST)21
50.0%
17
50.0%
Q1 - 3:04MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)19
47.3%
17
52.7%
Q1 - 3:06CHAMISS Felton Running Layup19
46.6%
17
53.4%
Q1 - 3:10CHAFelton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
44.8%
17
55.2%
Q1 - 3:13MIAMISS Wade 7' Running Jump Shot19
45.6%
17
54.4%
Q1 - 3:22CHAKnight Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)19
47.4%
17
52.6%
Q1 - 3:30CHACarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
44.9%
17
55.1%
Q1 - 3:31MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot19
45.6%
17
54.4%
Q1 - 3:46CHACarroll Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)19
47.4%
17
52.6%
Q1 - 3:46CHACarroll Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)19
47.7%
16
52.3%
Q1 - 4:01MIAWalker Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T4)19
48.9%
15
51.1%
Q1 - 4:26CHACarroll 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Knight 3 AST)19
51.6%
15
48.4%
Q1 - 4:46MIAWade Alley Oop Layup (4 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)19
53.4%
13
46.6%
Q1 - 5:00CHAKnight 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)17
51.6%
13
48.4%
Q1 - 5:04CHACarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
52.7%
11
47.3%
Q1 - 5:06MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot17
53.4%
11
46.6%
Q1 - 5:20MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
55.0%
11
45.0%
Q1 - 5:23CHAMISS Okafor 8' Hook Shot17
54.3%
11
45.7%
Q1 - 5:43MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)17
52.8%
11
47.2%
Q1 - 5:59CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)14
48.8%
11
51.2%
Q1 - 5:59CHAOkafor 5' Tip Shot (2 PTS)14
48.8%
11
51.2%
Q1 - 6:01CHAMISS Wallace 18' Jump Shot14
51.6%
9
48.4%
Q1 - 6:13CHAMorrison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
50.1%
9
49.9%
Q1 - 6:15MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
50.8%
9
49.2%
Q1 - 6:29MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)14
52.2%
9
47.8%
Q1 - 6:32CHAMISS Okafor 6' Hook Shot14
51.6%
9
48.4%
Q1 - 6:50MIAMourning Dunk (8 PTS)14
50.1%
9
49.9%
Q1 - 7:05MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
47.7%
9
52.3%
Q1 - 7:06CHAMISS Morrison 17' Jump Shot12
47.1%
9
52.9%
Q1 - 7:17CHAWallace Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (6 PTS)12
45.6%
9
54.4%
Q1 - 7:17CHAMISS Wallace Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 212
46.3%
8
53.7%
Q1 - 7:19MIAWallace STEAL (1 STL)12
47.5%
8
52.5%
Q1 - 7:25MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)12
49.6%
8
50.4%
Q1 - 7:28CHAMISS Okafor 14' Jump Shot12
49.0%
8
51.0%
Q1 - 7:44MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P1.T2)12
47.6%
8
52.4%
Q1 - 7:57CHAOkafor Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)12
49.7%
8
50.3%
Q1 - 8:02CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
47.7%
8
52.3%
Q1 - 8:04CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
47.7%
8
52.3%
Q1 - 8:04CHAMISS Wallace Tip Shot12
49.1%
8
50.9%
Q1 - 8:05CHAMISS Felton Layup12
49.1%
8
50.9%
Q1 - 8:14MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
47.7%
8
52.3%
Q1 - 8:14MIAWright Follow Up Dunk (2 PTS)12
47.7%
8
52.3%
Q1 - 8:16MIAMISS Mourning 3' Layup10
44.5%
8
55.5%
Q1 - 8:30MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
46.0%
8
54.0%
Q1 - 8:32CHAMISS Felton 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
45.3%
8
54.7%
Q1 - 8:46MIAHaslem Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)10
43.9%
8
56.1%
Q1 - 9:06CHAFelton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Morrison 1 AST)8
42.2%
8
57.8%
Q1 - 9:24CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
45.4%
5
54.6%
Q1 - 9:26MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 18
45.7%
5
54.3%
Q1 - 9:30MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
44.1%
5
55.9%
Q1 - 9:32CHAMISS Morrison 17' Jump Shot6
43.3%
5
56.7%
Q1 - 9:56MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
41.7%
5
58.3%
Q1 - 9:56MIAWade Tip Shot (2 PTS)6
41.7%
5
58.3%
Q1 - 9:57MIAMISS Williams Layup4
38.8%
5
61.2%
Q1 - 10:01MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
40.1%
5
59.9%
Q1 - 10:03CHAMISS Knight 19' Jump Shot4
39.5%
5
60.5%
Q1 - 10:24MIAMourning Dunk (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)4
38.1%
5
61.9%
Q1 - 10:33MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
36.6%
5
63.4%
Q1 - 10:35CHAMISS Morrison 10' Running Jump Shot2
36.0%
5
64.0%
Q1 - 10:45CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
34.7%
5
65.3%
Q1 - 10:46MIAMISS Williams 13' Jump Shot2
35.2%
5
64.8%
Q1 - 11:04CHAWallace Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Knight 2 AST)2
36.5%
5
63.5%
Q1 - 11:24MIAMourning Layup (2 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)2
38.3%
3
61.7%
Q1 - 11:40CHAWallace Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)0
36.5%
3
63.5%
Q1 - 11:43MIAFelton STEAL (1 STL)0
40.1%
0
59.9%
Q1 - 12:00CHAJump Ball Okafor vs. Mourning: Tip to Wade0
41.7%
0
58.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.20 60.0%
CHA
0.98 48.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
23
30
77%
CHA
15
28
54%
Midrange
MIA
13
24
54%
CHA
14
39
36%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
2
3.0
15
13%
20%
CHA
4
6.0
14
29%
43%
Free Throws
MIA
24
33
73%
CHA
23
33
70%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3573%17.5 / 24
A. Mourning1689%8.0 / 9
A. Walker1653%8.0 / 15
U. Haslem1372%6.5 / 9
J. Williams938%4.5 / 12
D. Wright660%3.0 / 5
J. Kapono542%2.5 / 6
M. Doleac2100%1.0 / 1
G. Payton0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CHA logo Bobcats
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Morrison2754%13.5 / 25
G. Wallace1458%7.0 / 12
M. Carroll1464%7.0 / 11
R. Felton1341%6.5 / 16
E. Okafor938%4.5 / 12
J. Voskuhl6100%3.0 / 3
B. Knight542%2.5 / 6
M. Ely563%2.5 / 4
S. May0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
77
+8
-18
85
CHA
76
+16
-15
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.20 60.0%
CHA
0.98 48.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.2
104.1
MIA 107.4 +5.2
CHA 102.2
Pace
90.1
91.7
MIA 89.0
CHA 97.9 +8.9
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
15.8
MIA 16.2
CHA 14.7 +1.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.6%
48.0%
MIA 56.5% +13.3%
CHA 43.2%
TO %
15.3%
15.4%
MIA 17.7%
CHA 13.6% +4.1%
ORB %
24.9%
26.4%
MIA 16.7%
CHA 28.6% +11.9%
FTrt
32.1
32.2
MIA 47.8 +7.1
CHA 40.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.6%
62.0%
MIA 52.6%
CHA 63.6% +11.0%
STL %
7.6%
8.3%
MIA 5.3%
CHA 8.8% +3.5%
BLK %
8.8%
7.1%
MIA 4.5% +4.5%
CHA 0.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.4%
51.0%
MIA 60.0% +11.1%
CHA 48.9%
Rim FG%
61.8%
55.6%
MIA 76.7% +23.1%
CHA 53.6%
Mid FG%
40.5%
39.3%
MIA 54.2% +18.3%
CHA 35.9%
3P %
34.3%
35.7%
MIA 13.3%
CHA 28.6% +15.3%
FT %
69.0%
73.4%
MIA 72.7% +3.0%
CHA 69.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.9%
36.7%
MIA 43.5% +8.9%
CHA 34.6%
Mid Att. %
40.7%
44.0%
MIA 34.8% +13.4%
CHA 48.1%
3P Att. %
24.5%
19.3%
MIA 21.7% +4.5%
CHA 17.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.
Game TotalsMIACHA
Possessions9591
Possession Minutes25.622.3
Points10293
Rebounds4039
Assists2021
Steals58
Blocks30
Turnovers (Team)18 (0)15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (3)14 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (2)25 (2)
Field Goals38-6933-81
At-the-Rim FG23-3015-28
Midrange FG13-2414-39
2-Point FG36-5429-67
3-Point FG2-154-14
Free Throws24-3323-33
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 25
45.3
35
73%
6
12
0
0
4
1
2
4
15-22
68%
10-14
71%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 205 · 21
41.0
6
60%
14
2
1
0
1
5
1
13
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 235 · 26
35.0
13
72%
9
2
2
0
3
5
1
8
1-1
100%
6-9
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 180 · 31
30.7
9
38%
0
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
4-4
100%
1-4
25%
1-7
14%
C · 6'10" 261 · 37
24.6
16
89%
4
0
0
3
3
5
1
3
0-2
0%
8-9
89%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 245 · 30
30.5
16
53%
3
1
2
0
3
2
0
3
0-0
-
8-11
73%
0-4
0%
F · 6'8" 215 · 26
20.8
5
42%
2
0
0
0
2
4
0
2
2-2
100%
0-3
0%
1-2
50%
G · 6'4" 190 · 38
6.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 262 · 29
5.2
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 25
G · 6'2" 184 · 23
F · 6'9" 250 · 24
#11 · G · 6'2" 175 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#42 · F · 6'8" 217 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#32 · C · 7'1" 325 · 35
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
102
60%
40
20
5
3
18
0
5
35
24-33
73%
36-54
67%
2-15
13%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.