FinalWin Prob.pScore
2733%93
79
1467%99
98
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
84.09495.3
ORL logo ORL
104.39492.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MagicHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLORL
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL79
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:16.0ORLOutlaw REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)79
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:19.0ATLMISS Stoudamire Layup79
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:21.0ATLStoudamire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)79
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:24.0ATLMISS Stoudamire 16' Jump Shot79
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:29.0ATLStoudamire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:30.0ORLMISS Ariza Layup79
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:41.0ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:43.0ATLMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot79
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:06ORLRedick Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T19)79
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:16ATLShel. Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Stoudamire 1 AST)79
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:24ATLJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)76
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:25ORLMISS Redick 26' 3PT Jump Shot76
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:34ORLMISS Ariza Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 276
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:34ORLAriza Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (7 PTS)76
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:46ATLStoudamire Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)76
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:46ATLStoudamire Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)75
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:47ATLHawks Rebound74
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:48ATLOutlaw BLOCK (1 BLK)74
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:55ORLDiener 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Redick 1 AST)74
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 2:01ORLOutlaw REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)74
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:03ATLMISS Shel. Williams 19' Jump Shot74
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:19ORLRedick 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Milicic 3 AST)74
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:34ATLShel. Williams Layup (13 PTS)74
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 2:35ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)72
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 2:36ATLMISS Shel. Williams Layup72
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 2:41ATLLue REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 2:43ORLMISS Outlaw Layup72
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 2:55ATLMilicic STEAL (1 STL)72
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 3:10ORLJump Ball Milicic vs. Smith: Tip to Lue72
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 3:10ORLMISS Ariza 19' Jump Shot72
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 3:27ORLDooling Free Throw Technical (13 PTS)72
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 3:28ATLJohnson Reverse Layup (16 PTS)72
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 3:47ORLDooling Driving Layup (12 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)70
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 3:51ORLArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 3:53ATLMISS Johnson 18' Jump Shot70
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 4:06ATLJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 4:07ORLMISS Arroyo Driving Layup70
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 4:19ATLJones 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS)70
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 4:37ORLArroyo Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)68
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 4:46ATLPachulia Traveling Turnover (P3.T19)68
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 4:57ATLJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 4:59ORLMISS Arroyo 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 5:27ORLOutlaw REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)68
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 5:29ORLMISS Dooling 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 5:36ATLOutlaw STEAL (2 STL)68
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 5:39ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:7 Def:4)68
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 5:41ATLMilicic BLOCK (2 BLK)68
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 5:56ORLArroyo Foul Turnover (P2.T18)68
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 6:01ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)68
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 6:01ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)67
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 6:18ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)66
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 6:19ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 266
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 6:19ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)66
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 6:27ORLAriza REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)66
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 6:28ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 2 of 266
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 6:28ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)66
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 6:45ORLHoward 3 Second Violation Turnover (P5.T17)65
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 7:02ATLStoudamire Foul Turnover (P2.T17)65
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 7:13ORLAriza Layup (6 PTS) (Dooling 3 AST)65
0.3%
85
99.7%
Q4 - 7:21ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)65
0.3%
83
99.7%
Q4 - 7:23ATLHoward BLOCK (3 BLK)65
0.3%
83
99.7%
Q4 - 7:40ORLAriza Traveling Turnover (P3.T16)65
0.4%
83
99.6%
Q4 - 7:58ATLStoudamire 6' Jump Shot (12 PTS)65
0.3%
83
99.7%
Q4 - 8:04ATLJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
0.4%
83
99.6%
Q4 - 8:06ORLMISS Dooling Driving Layup63
0.3%
83
99.7%
Q4 - 8:26ORLDooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
0.3%
83
99.7%
Q4 - 8:28ATLMISS Stoudamire 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
0.3%
83
99.7%
Q4 - 8:42ORLArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)63
0.4%
83
99.6%
Q4 - 8:42ORLArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)63
0.4%
82
99.6%
Q4 - 8:46ATLOutlaw STEAL (1 STL)63
0.5%
81
99.5%
Q4 - 9:03ORLHoward Layup (10 PTS) (Dooling 2 AST)63
0.8%
81
99.2%
Q4 - 9:14ORLOutlaw REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)63
1.0%
79
99.0%
Q4 - 9:16ATLMISS Jones 16' Jump Shot63
1.0%
79
99.0%
Q4 - 9:29ORLHoward 3 Second Violation Turnover (P4.T15)63
1.2%
79
98.8%
Q4 - 9:37ORLOutlaw REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)63
1.0%
79
99.0%
Q4 - 9:38ATLMISS Pachulia Layup63
1.0%
79
99.0%
Q4 - 9:56ORLAriza Traveling Turnover (P2.T14)63
1.2%
79
98.8%
Q4 - 10:10ATLSmith Slam Dunk (8 PTS)63
1.2%
79
98.8%
Q4 - 10:14ORLAriza Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)61
1.0%
79
99.0%
Q4 - 10:33ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)61
0.7%
79
99.3%
Q4 - 10:33ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)60
0.7%
79
99.3%
Q4 - 10:40ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)59
0.6%
79
99.4%
Q4 - 10:42ORLMISS Arroyo 22' Jump Shot59
0.6%
79
99.4%
Q4 - 11:05ATLLue Layup (14 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)59
0.6%
79
99.4%
Q4 - 11:16ORLDooling Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)57
0.5%
79
99.5%
Q4 - 11:37ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)57
0.4%
79
99.6%
Q4 - 11:38ORLMISS Arroyo 10' Jump Bank Shot57
0.4%
79
99.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL57
0.4%
79
99.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLHawks Rebound57
0.5%
79
99.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Lue 29' 3PT Jump Shot57
0.4%
79
99.6%
Q3 - 0:07.0ORLNelson Driving Layup (11 PTS)57
0.6%
79
99.4%
Q3 - 0:28.0ORLOutlaw REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)57
0.7%
77
99.3%
Q3 - 0:29.0ORLMISS Dooling Driving Layup57
0.8%
77
99.2%
Q3 - 0:52.0ATLShel. Williams 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS)57
0.7%
77
99.3%
Q3 - 1:08ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)55
0.7%
77
99.3%
Q3 - 1:08ORLMilicic Tip Shot (7 PTS)55
0.7%
77
99.3%
Q3 - 1:11ORLMISS Turkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
1.0%
75
99.0%
Q3 - 1:26ATLStoudamire 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Lue 3 AST)55
0.9%
75
99.1%
Q3 - 1:51ATLHawks Rebound52
0.6%
75
99.4%
Q3 - 1:51ORLMISS Milicic 6' Jump Shot52
0.6%
75
99.4%
Q3 - 2:10ATLLue Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)52
0.6%
75
99.4%
Q3 - 2:10ATLLue Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)51
0.6%
75
99.4%
Q3 - 2:20ORLMilicic 5' Hook Shot (5 PTS) (Turkoglu 5 AST)50
0.5%
75
99.5%
Q3 - 2:37ATLJones Foul Turnover (P2.T15)50
0.6%
73
99.4%
Q3 - 2:52ORLOutlaw Layup (2 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)50
0.7%
73
99.3%
Q3 - 3:06ORLOutlaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)50
1.0%
71
99.0%
Q3 - 3:08ORLMISS Nelson 3PT Jump Shot50
1.1%
71
98.9%
Q3 - 3:26ATLLue Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)50
1.0%
71
99.0%
Q3 - 3:38ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)47
0.7%
71
99.3%
Q3 - 3:40ORLMISS Turkoglu Free Throw 1 of 147
0.7%
71
99.3%
Q3 - 4:01ATLSmith Layup (4 PTS)47
0.9%
69
99.1%
Q3 - 4:12ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)45
0.8%
69
99.2%
Q3 - 4:12ORLMISS Nelson Free Throw 1 of 245
0.8%
68
99.2%
Q3 - 4:27ATLStoudamire 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Pachulia 2 AST)45
0.8%
68
99.2%
Q3 - 4:51ORLBogans Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)43
0.7%
68
99.3%
Q3 - 4:51ORLBogans Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)43
0.7%
67
99.3%
Q3 - 5:11ATLShel. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)43
0.9%
66
99.1%
Q3 - 5:11ATLShel. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)42
0.9%
66
99.1%
Q3 - 5:30ORLBogans Layup (11 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)41
0.8%
66
99.2%
Q3 - 5:34ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)41
0.9%
64
99.1%
Q3 - 5:35ATLMISS Smith 11' Hook Shot41
1.0%
64
99.0%
Q3 - 5:51ORLHoward Foul Turnover (P3.T11)41
1.1%
64
98.9%
Q3 - 6:00ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)41
0.9%
64
99.1%
Q3 - 6:02ATLMISS Johnson 21' Jump Shot41
1.1%
64
98.9%
Q3 - 6:19ORLHoward Dunk (8 PTS) (Milicic 2 AST)41
1.3%
64
98.7%
Q3 - 6:30ATLPachulia Traveling Turnover (P2.T14)41
1.4%
62
98.6%
Q3 - 6:53ORLTurkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Bogans 1 AST)41
1.7%
62
98.3%
Q3 - 7:12ATLLue Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)41
2.5%
59
97.5%
Q3 - 7:19ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:6 Def:2)38
1.9%
59
98.1%
Q3 - 7:20ORLMISS Nelson Driving Layup38
1.8%
59
98.2%
Q3 - 7:36ATLSmith 7' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Lue 2 AST)38
1.6%
59
98.4%
Q3 - 7:45ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)36
1.4%
59
98.6%
Q3 - 7:46ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)36
1.2%
59
98.8%
Q3 - 7:46ORLMISS Battie Tip Shot36
1.3%
59
98.7%
Q3 - 7:48ORLMISS Nelson Driving Layup36
1.3%
59
98.7%
Q3 - 8:00ATLJohnson 6' Jump Shot (14 PTS)36
1.2%
59
98.8%
Q3 - 8:06ATLHawks Rebound34
1.1%
59
98.9%
Q3 - 8:07ATLMISS Smith 6' Hook Shot34
1.0%
59
99.0%
Q3 - 8:26ORLBogans Traveling Turnover (P2.T10)34
1.1%
59
98.9%
Q3 - 8:35ORLMAGIC Rebound34
0.9%
59
99.1%
Q3 - 8:36ORLMISS Battie 15' Jump Shot34
1.1%
59
98.9%
Q3 - 8:53ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)34
0.9%
59
99.1%
Q3 - 8:53ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 1 of 233
0.9%
59
99.1%
Q3 - 8:53ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:6 Def:1)33
1.0%
59
99.0%
Q3 - 8:55ATLMISS Lue 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
0.8%
59
99.2%
Q3 - 9:00ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)33
1.0%
59
99.0%
Q3 - 9:01ORLMISS Howard Layup33
1.0%
59
99.0%
Q3 - 9:03ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)33
0.9%
59
99.1%
Q3 - 9:05ORLMISS Battie 15' Jump Shot33
1.0%
59
99.0%
Q3 - 9:20ATLHawks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)33
0.9%
59
99.1%
Q3 - 9:47ATLHawks Rebound33
1.0%
59
99.0%
Q3 - 9:48ORLMISS Howard 7' Jump Bank Shot33
1.0%
59
99.0%
Q3 - 10:04ATLPachulia 16' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lue 1 AST)33
1.0%
59
99.0%
Q3 - 10:19ORLBogans Traveling Turnover (P1.T9)31
0.9%
59
99.1%
Q3 - 10:39ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)31
0.7%
59
99.3%
Q3 - 10:39ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)30
0.7%
59
99.3%
Q3 - 10:45ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)29
0.7%
59
99.3%
Q3 - 10:46ORLMISS Turkoglu 7' Running Jump Shot29
0.6%
59
99.4%
Q3 - 10:57ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
0.6%
59
99.4%
Q3 - 10:58ATLMISS Shel. Williams 5' Hook Shot29
0.6%
59
99.4%
Q3 - 11:16ORLBogans Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)29
0.7%
59
99.3%
Q3 - 11:16ORLBogans Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)29
0.7%
58
99.3%
Q3 - 11:36ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)29
0.8%
57
99.2%
Q3 - 11:38ATLMISS Lue 16' Jump Shot29
0.9%
57
99.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL29
0.9%
57
99.1%
Q2 - 0:01.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)29
1.0%
57
99.0%
Q2 - 0:03.0ATLMISS Bozeman 3PT Jump Shot29
1.0%
57
99.0%
Q2 - 0:23.0ORLBogans Layup (7 PTS) (Turkoglu 4 AST)29
1.1%
57
98.9%
Q2 - 0:35.0ATLShel. Williams 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Batista 1 AST)29
1.3%
55
98.7%
Q2 - 0:49.0ORLMilicic Slam Dunk (3 PTS) (Turkoglu 3 AST)27
1.1%
55
98.9%
Q2 - 0:54.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)27
1.3%
53
98.7%
Q2 - 0:55.0ATLMISS Freije 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
1.3%
53
98.7%
Q2 - 1:19ORLBogans Driving Layup (5 PTS)27
1.5%
53
98.5%
Q2 - 1:23ATLBogans STEAL (2 STL)27
1.8%
51
98.2%
Q2 - 1:44ATLBatista REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
2.0%
51
98.0%
Q2 - 1:46ORLMISS Bogans 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
1.9%
51
98.1%
Q2 - 2:03ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
2.0%
51
98.0%
Q2 - 2:04ATLMISS Bozeman 23' Jump Shot27
2.0%
51
98.0%
Q2 - 2:12ATLBatista REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
2.2%
51
97.8%
Q2 - 2:14ORLMISS Nelson 20' Jump Shot27
2.1%
51
97.9%
Q2 - 2:20ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
2.0%
51
98.0%
Q2 - 2:22ATLMISS Freije 20' Jump Shot27
2.0%
51
98.0%
Q2 - 2:35ORLHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)27
2.2%
51
97.8%
Q2 - 2:45ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
1.9%
51
98.1%
Q2 - 2:47ATLMISS Stoudamire 19' Jump Shot27
2.0%
51
98.0%
Q2 - 3:02ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)27
2.5%
51
97.5%
Q2 - 3:02ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)27
2.6%
50
97.4%
Q2 - 3:03ORLMAGIC Rebound27
2.8%
49
97.2%
Q2 - 3:04ORLMISS Milicic Free Throw 2 of 227
3.1%
49
96.9%
Q2 - 3:04ORLMilicic Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)27
2.9%
49
97.1%
Q2 - 3:16ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)27
3.1%
48
96.9%
Q2 - 3:17ATLMISS Johnson 7' Jump Bank Shot27
3.2%
48
96.8%
Q2 - 3:27ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)27
3.5%
48
96.5%
Q2 - 3:29ORLMISS Ariza Driving Layup27
3.4%
48
96.6%
Q2 - 3:42ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
3.1%
48
96.9%
Q2 - 3:44ATLMISS Freije 18' Jump Shot27
3.2%
48
96.8%
Q2 - 3:58ORLMAGIC Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)27
3.5%
48
96.5%
Q2 - 3:58ORLAriza REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)27
3.1%
48
96.9%
Q2 - 3:59ORLMISS Milicic 5' Hook Shot27
3.3%
48
96.7%
Q2 - 4:20ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
3.3%
48
96.7%
Q2 - 4:23ATLMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
3.4%
48
96.6%
Q2 - 4:27ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)27
3.7%
48
96.3%
Q2 - 4:29ATLMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot27
3.4%
48
96.6%
Q2 - 4:40ORLNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)27
3.7%
48
96.3%
Q2 - 4:42ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
3.3%
48
96.7%
Q2 - 4:44ATLHoward BLOCK (2 BLK)27
3.4%
48
96.6%
Q2 - 5:06ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)27
3.9%
48
96.1%
Q2 - 5:08ORLMISS Bogans 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
3.7%
48
96.3%
Q2 - 5:25ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)27
3.4%
48
96.6%
Q2 - 5:26ATLMISS Smith 9' Running Jump Shot27
3.6%
48
96.4%
Q2 - 5:47ORLArroyo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)27
3.9%
48
96.1%
Q2 - 6:10ORLAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
5.0%
45
95.0%
Q2 - 6:12ATLMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot27
5.2%
45
94.8%
Q2 - 6:17ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)27
5.7%
45
94.3%
Q2 - 6:18ORLMISS Arroyo 13' Jump Shot27
5.4%
45
94.6%
Q2 - 6:39ORLDooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
5.0%
45
95.0%
Q2 - 6:41ATLAriza BLOCK (2 BLK)27
5.2%
45
94.8%
Q2 - 6:54ORLDooling Driving Layup (10 PTS)27
5.6%
45
94.4%
Q2 - 7:10ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
6.6%
43
93.4%
Q2 - 7:12ATLMISS Shel. Williams Free Throw 2 of 227
6.7%
43
93.3%
Q2 - 7:12ATLShel. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)27
7.2%
43
92.8%
Q2 - 7:13ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)26
6.7%
43
93.3%
Q2 - 7:14ATLMISS Johnson Reverse Layup26
6.2%
43
93.8%
Q2 - 7:34ORLArroyo 10' Jump Bank Shot (7 PTS)26
6.7%
43
93.3%
Q2 - 7:46ATLHoward STEAL (1 STL)26
7.3%
41
92.7%
Q2 - 7:56ORLAriza Layup (4 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)26
8.1%
41
91.9%
Q2 - 8:10ATLAriza STEAL (1 STL)26
9.0%
39
91.0%
Q2 - 8:16ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
10.0%
39
90.0%
Q2 - 8:17ORLMISS Dooling 19' Jump Shot26
9.7%
39
90.3%
Q2 - 8:28ORLMAGIC Rebound26
9.0%
39
91.0%
Q2 - 8:29ORLMISS Ariza Layup26
9.7%
39
90.3%
Q2 - 8:30ORLAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
9.0%
39
91.0%
Q2 - 8:31ORLMISS Arroyo Layup26
9.7%
39
90.3%
Q2 - 8:51ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)26
9.0%
39
91.0%
Q2 - 8:51ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)25
8.8%
39
91.2%
Q2 - 9:00ATLBozeman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
8.3%
39
91.7%
Q2 - 9:01ORLMISS Ariza 17' Jump Shot24
8.2%
39
91.8%
Q2 - 9:11ATLLue Foul Turnover (P5.T9)24
7.7%
39
92.3%
Q2 - 9:14ORLAriza Layup (2 PTS)24
8.5%
39
91.5%
Q2 - 9:19ATLDooling STEAL (1 STL)24
9.2%
37
90.8%
Q2 - 9:31ORLArroyo Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)24
10.2%
37
89.8%
Q2 - 9:37ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
12.0%
34
88.0%
Q2 - 9:39ATLAriza BLOCK (1 BLK)24
12.4%
34
87.6%
Q2 - 9:57ORLDooling 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Milicic 1 AST)24
13.3%
34
86.7%
Q2 - 10:21ORLDooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
15.8%
31
84.2%
Q2 - 10:23ATLMISS Shel. Williams Free Throw 1 of 124
16.0%
31
84.0%
Q2 - 10:37ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)22
14.7%
31
85.3%
Q2 - 10:39ORLMISS Milicic 4' Hook Shot22
14.3%
31
85.7%
Q2 - 10:56ATLJohnson Layup (8 PTS)22
13.3%
31
86.7%
Q2 - 10:58ORLMilicic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)20
12.4%
31
87.6%
Q2 - 10:58ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
11.2%
31
88.8%
Q2 - 11:01ATLMilicic BLOCK (1 BLK)20
11.7%
31
88.3%
Q2 - 11:18ATLStoudamire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
12.4%
31
87.6%
Q2 - 11:20ORLMISS Dooling 23' Jump Shot20
12.0%
31
88.0%
Q2 - 11:43ATLJones Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Shel. Williams 1 AST)20
11.3%
31
88.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL18
10.4%
31
89.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMAGIC Rebound18
9.5%
31
90.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Arroyo 17' Jump Shot18
10.1%
31
89.9%
Q1 - 0:04.0ATLJohnson 9' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)18
9.8%
31
90.2%
Q1 - 0:21.0ORLArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)16
8.8%
31
91.2%
Q1 - 0:21.0ORLArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)16
8.9%
30
91.1%
Q1 - 0:30.0ATLStoudamire Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)16
9.8%
29
90.2%
Q1 - 0:30.0ATLStoudamire Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)15
9.7%
29
90.3%
Q1 - 0:30.0ORLArroyo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)14
8.8%
29
91.2%
Q1 - 0:36.0ATLStoudamire Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)14
8.2%
29
91.8%
Q1 - 0:36.0ATLStoudamire Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)13
8.2%
29
91.8%
Q1 - 0:48.0ORLDooling Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)12
7.4%
29
92.6%
Q1 - 0:48.0ORLDooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)12
7.5%
28
92.5%
Q1 - 0:49.0ATLArroyo STEAL (2 STL)12
8.2%
27
91.8%
Q1 - 1:06ORLMAGIC Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)12
8.9%
27
91.1%
Q1 - 1:06ORLMAGIC Rebound12
8.3%
27
91.7%
Q1 - 1:07ORLMISS Milicic Layup12
8.7%
27
91.3%
Q1 - 1:30ATLStoudamire Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)12
8.3%
27
91.7%
Q1 - 1:30ATLMISS Stoudamire Free Throw 1 of 211
8.2%
27
91.8%
Q1 - 1:49ORLDooling 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)11
8.1%
27
91.9%
Q1 - 2:07ATLJohnson Layup (4 PTS)11
9.9%
24
90.1%
Q1 - 2:09ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)9
9.1%
24
90.9%
Q1 - 2:11ATLMISS Stoudamire 18' Jump Shot9
8.6%
24
91.4%
Q1 - 2:23ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)9
9.1%
24
90.9%
Q1 - 2:23ORLMISS Turkoglu Free Throw 1 of 29
9.2%
23
90.8%
Q1 - 2:26ATLArroyo STEAL (1 STL)9
9.1%
23
90.9%
Q1 - 2:41ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)9
9.9%
23
90.1%
Q1 - 2:42ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 19
9.8%
23
90.2%
Q1 - 2:47ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)9
10.8%
21
89.2%
Q1 - 2:49ATLMISS Stoudamire 26' 3PT Jump Shot9
11.0%
21
89.0%
Q1 - 3:03ORLHoward Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)9
12.1%
21
87.9%
Q1 - 3:18ATLLue 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS)9
11.0%
21
89.0%
Q1 - 3:34ORLNelson Driving Layup (8 PTS)7
10.3%
21
89.7%
Q1 - 3:37ATLNelson STEAL (1 STL)7
11.0%
19
89.0%
Q1 - 3:58ORLTurkoglu Layup (8 PTS) (Howard 3 AST)7
12.0%
19
88.0%
Q1 - 4:12ATLLue Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T4)7
12.9%
17
87.1%
Q1 - 4:29ORLNelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)7
14.2%
17
85.8%
Q1 - 4:48ATLJohnson 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
16.2%
14
83.8%
Q1 - 4:54ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
15.3%
14
84.7%
Q1 - 4:56ORLMISS Nelson Driving Layup5
14.9%
14
85.1%
Q1 - 5:13ATLShel. Williams 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)5
14.3%
14
85.7%
Q1 - 5:29ORLTurkoglu Layup (6 PTS)3
13.4%
14
86.6%
Q1 - 5:43ATLBogans STEAL (1 STL)3
14.2%
12
85.8%
Q1 - 6:06ORLBogans 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)3
15.6%
12
84.4%
Q1 - 6:19ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
17.8%
9
82.2%
Q1 - 6:21ATLMISS Pachulia 10' Jump Bank Shot3
18.2%
9
81.8%
Q1 - 6:36ORLNelson Driving Layup (3 PTS)3
19.1%
9
80.9%
Q1 - 6:45ATLLue 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)3
20.3%
7
79.7%
Q1 - 7:01ORLHoward 4' Driving Hook Shot (2 PTS)1
19.4%
7
80.6%
Q1 - 7:15ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)1
20.4%
5
79.6%
Q1 - 7:15ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 2 of 21
20.6%
5
79.4%
Q1 - 7:15ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
21.4%
5
78.6%
Q1 - 7:33ORLTurkoglu Driving Layup (4 PTS)0
20.6%
5
79.4%
Q1 - 7:53ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
21.7%
3
78.3%
Q1 - 7:54ATLMISS Bozeman Free Throw 2 of 20
21.9%
3
78.1%
Q1 - 7:54ATLMISS Bozeman Free Throw 1 of 20
22.7%
3
77.3%
Q1 - 8:01ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
23.1%
3
76.9%
Q1 - 8:03ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
22.7%
3
77.3%
Q1 - 8:09ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)0
21.7%
3
78.3%
Q1 - 8:12ATLHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)0
22.1%
3
77.9%
Q1 - 8:22ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
23.1%
3
76.9%
Q1 - 8:25ORLMISS Turkoglu 4' Driving Hook Shot0
22.7%
3
77.3%
Q1 - 8:38ATLSmith Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)0
21.7%
3
78.3%
Q1 - 8:44ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
23.1%
3
76.9%
Q1 - 8:46ORLMISS Bogans 3PT Jump Shot0
22.7%
3
77.3%
Q1 - 9:07ORLMAGIC Rebound0
21.4%
3
78.6%
Q1 - 9:07ATLMISS Pachulia Tip Shot0
21.9%
3
78.1%
Q1 - 9:07ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)0
23.1%
3
76.9%
Q1 - 9:07ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)0
23.1%
3
76.9%
Q1 - 9:07ATLMISS Pachulia Tip Shot0
21.9%
3
78.1%
Q1 - 9:10ATLBattie BLOCK (1 BLK)0
21.9%
3
78.1%
Q1 - 9:24ORLTurkoglu 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
23.1%
3
76.9%
Q1 - 9:32ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
24.1%
1
75.9%
Q1 - 9:33ATLMISS Bozeman 26' 3PT Jump Shot0
24.6%
1
75.4%
Q1 - 9:43ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)0
25.9%
1
74.1%
Q1 - 9:45ATLMISS Smith 22' Jump Shot0
24.6%
1
75.4%
Q1 - 10:01ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
25.7%
1
74.3%
Q1 - 10:02ORLMISS Nelson Free Throw 2 of 20
25.4%
1
74.6%
Q1 - 10:02ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
24.5%
1
75.5%
Q1 - 10:07ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
25.5%
0
74.5%
Q1 - 10:08ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
27.1%
0
72.9%
Q1 - 10:08ATLMISS Pachulia Tip Shot0
26.0%
0
74.0%
Q1 - 10:10ATLMISS Johnson 18' Jump Shot0
26.0%
0
74.0%
Q1 - 10:34ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
27.1%
0
72.9%
Q1 - 10:35ORLMISS Battie 17' Jump Shot0
26.6%
0
73.4%
Q1 - 10:52ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
25.5%
0
74.5%
Q1 - 10:54ATLMISS Shel. Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot0
26.0%
0
74.0%
Q1 - 11:19ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
26.9%
0
73.1%
Q1 - 11:21ORLMISS Bogans 23' Jump Shot0
26.5%
0
73.5%
Q1 - 11:34ATLPachulia 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T1)0
25.6%
0
74.4%
Q1 - 11:43ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
26.9%
0
73.1%
Q1 - 12:00ORLJump Ball Howard vs. Smith: Tip to Nelson0
25.6%
0
74.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.88 43.9%
ORL
1.05 52.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
11
25
44%
ORL
24
41
59%
Midrange
ATL
13
35
37%
ORL
4
20
20%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
2
3.0
13
15%
23%
ORL
7
10.5
16
44%
66%
Free Throws
ATL
25
33
76%
ORL
21
29
72%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Williams1662%8.0 / 13
J. Johnson1647%8.0 / 17
S. Stoudamire1450%7.0 / 14
T. Lue1470%7.0 / 10
J. Smith844%4.0 / 9
Z. Pachulia727%3.5 / 13
S. Jones450%2.0 / 4
C. Bozeman0-0.0 / 5
M. Freije0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Arroyo1558%7.5 / 13
H. Turkoglu1464%7.0 / 11
K. Bogans1365%6.5 / 10
K. Dooling1365%6.5 / 10
D. Howard1169%5.5 / 8
J. Nelson1150%5.5 / 11
D. Milicic744%3.5 / 8
T. Ariza744%3.5 / 8
T. Diener3150%1.5 / 1
B. Outlaw250%1.0 / 2
J. Redick250%1.0 / 2
T. Battie0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
75
+14
-19
89
ORL
77
+14
-17
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.88 43.9%
ORL
1.05 52.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
102.9
105.1
ATL 84.0 +20.2
ORL 104.3
Pace
90.2
89.8
ATL 95.3 +2.6
ORL 92.7
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
16.2
ATL 15.1 +0.4
ORL 15.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.1%
50.0%
ATL 37.0%
ORL 50.0% +13.0%
TO %
16.7%
18.0%
ATL 18.6%
ORL 17.5% +1.1%
ORB %
29.3%
29.3%
ATL 22.9%
ORL 23.1% +0.2%
FTrt
34.6
39.3
ATL 45.2 +7.5
ORL 37.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.6%
53.0%
ATL 38.5%
ORL 60.0% +21.5%
STL %
8.2%
7.6%
ATL 6.4%
ORL 11.7% +5.3%
BLK %
8.7%
8.5%
ATL 13.1%
ORL 15.0% +1.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.16 and 2.16.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.8%
53.0%
ATL 43.9%
ORL 52.7% +8.8%
Rim FG%
55.2%
61.6%
ATL 44.0%
ORL 58.5% +14.5%
Mid FG%
39.3%
38.3%
ATL 37.1% +17.1%
ORL 20.0%
3P %
32.9%
35.6%
ATL 15.4%
ORL 43.8% +28.4%
FT %
76.1%
70.2%
ATL 75.8% +3.4%
ORL 72.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.8%
40.1%
ATL 34.2%
ORL 53.2% +19.0%
Mid Att. %
44.9%
44.1%
ATL 47.9%
ORL 26.0% +22.0%
3P Att. %
16.3%
15.8%
ATL 17.8%
ORL 20.8% +3.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsATLORL
Possessions9494
Possession Minutes23.724.3
Points7998
Rebounds4146
Assists1021
Steals611
Blocks89
Turnovers (Team)19 (1)17 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (3)9 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (3)37 (1)
Field Goals26-7335-77
At-the-Rim FG11-2524-41
Midrange FG13-354-20
2-Point FG24-6028-61
3-Point FG2-137-16
Free Throws25-3321-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 23
36.9
16
62%
8
1
1
0
0
2
2
6
3-5
60%
5-9
56%
1-2
50%
F · 6'9" 225 · 21
36.1
8
44%
6
1
1
3
3
0
0
6
2-2
100%
3-7
43%
0-1
0%
G · 6'7" 240 · 25
32.7
16
47%
5
1
1
0
3
0
1
4
4-4
100%
6-13
46%
0-2
0%
C · 6'11" 270 · 23
27.1
7
27%
11
2
1
0
3
5
7
4
5-8
63%
1-9
11%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 207 · 24
17.2
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-2
0%
0-2
0%
0-2
0%
G · 6'1" 175 · 24
27.0
14
50%
3
1
0
0
2
5
1
2
7-8
88%
2-7
29%
1-3
33%
G · 6'0" 175 · 30
25.8
14
70%
1
3
1
0
5
5
0
1
4-4
100%
5-7
71%
0-2
0%
F · 6'10" 235 · 22
25.2
4
50%
4
0
0
5
3
5
0
4
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 249 · 25
9.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
F-C · 6'10" 268 · 23
3.0
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 5'11" 170 · 29
G · 6'4" 200 · 25
#1 · F-G · 6'8" 210 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#24 · F · 6'9" 237 · 20
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#42 · F-C · 6'11" 255 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
79
44%
41
10
6
8
19
0
11
30
25-33
76%
24-60
40%
2-13
15%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.