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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 25, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Grizzlies14%8376
3Rockets86%9785
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 26.8
41.9
37.8
10
51%
7
5
1
1
0
1
0
7
2-2
100%
4-8
3-7
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 20.3
32.5
23.7
11
44%
8
1
3
1
2
4
3
5
3-6
50%
4-9
3-8
44%
41%
0-1
0%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 24.4
32.3
30.2
12
61%
6
1
1
1
0
2
1
5
2-2
100%
5-9
4-10
56%
45%
0-0
-
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 32.3
30.2
27.2
11
37%
1
6
1
1
0
1
0
1
2-4
50%
3-7
3-7
43%
44%
1-6
17%
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 27.0
20.8
25.2
6
26%
4
0
0
1
1
3
3
1
2-4
50%
2-10
4-10
20%
45%
0-0
-
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 33.2
19.2
22.6
6
42%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
4-5
80%
1-4
2-5
25%
40%
0-1
0%
Lawrence Roberts
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.1
17.5
18.5
3
39%
7
0
1
1
0
1
2
5
1-2
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
44%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 25.9
17.0
25.3
5
56%
5
0
0
1
0
2
2
3
1-1
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
43%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 29.6
14.4
11.5
10
105%
2
0
2
1
0
0
0
2
4-4
100%
0-0
1-2
-
39%
2-3
67%
Jake Tsakalidis
C · 7'2" 290 · 27.5
12.9
6.9
2
23%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-3
0%
1-3
1-2
33%
49%
0-0
-
Alexander Johnson
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.8
1.2
0.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
41%
0-0
-
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 35.1
16.9
1
1-2
43%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 20.7
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.4
Tarence Kinsey
G · 6'6" 189 · 22.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 28.2
41.2
35.7
5
36%
5
2
2
1
2
1
4
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
52%
1-4
25%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 27.5
40.4
36.3
19
54%
5
13
0
1
0
5
0
5
4-6
67%
6-11
5-11
55%
47%
1-4
25%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 26.2
36.1
36.3
28
70%
8
0
0
1
3
3
1
7
6-9
67%
11-16
9-17
69%
54%
0-0
-
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 30.3
32.7
33.0
9
43%
6
8
1
1
0
1
2
4
0-1
0%
3-5
2-5
60%
44%
1-5
20%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 23.5
26.0
19.4
6
51%
8
0
2
1
0
1
1
7
0-2
0%
3-5
2-4
60%
53%
0-0
-
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 24.0
23.4
24.3
9
75%
3
0
1
1
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
45%
3-4
75%
Scott Padgett
F · 6'9" 240 · 30.6
14.8
10.8
3
21%
5
0
0
0
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
42%
1-6
17%
Vassilis Spanoulis
G · 6'4" 195 · 24.3
9.3
11.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-2
0%
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 40.4
7.3
9.0
3
80%
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
3
1-2
50%
1-1
1-1
100%
50%
0-0
-
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 33.8
5.9
21.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-4
3-6
0%
46%
0-0
-
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 23.5
2.9
2.0
3
75%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
49%
1-2
50%
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 24.0
2.1
0
0-1
42%
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 30.2
Kirk Snyder
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 23.5
Bob Sura
G · 6'5" 200 · 33.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.