FinalWin Prob.pScore
2616%87
73
284%100
85
ORTG#PossPace
NOK
79.39288.0
DAL logo DAL
92.49296.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventNOKDAL
Q4 - 0:00.0DAL73
0%
85
100%
Q4 - 0:05.0NOKPargo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS)73
0%
85
100%
Q4 - 0:12.0NOKHornets Rebound70
0%
85
100%
Q4 - 0:13.0DALMISS Barea 19' Jump Shot70
0%
85
100%
Q4 - 0:35.0NOKArmstrong 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS)70
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 0:51.0DALAger Foul Turnover (P1.T17)68
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 0:55.0DALAger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 0:56.0NOKMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot68
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 1:01NOKPargo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)68
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 1:03DALMISS Ager Driving Layup68
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 1:07DALAger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 1:09NOKMISS Bass Running Layup68
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 1:12NOKHornets Rebound68
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 1:13NOKMISS Armstrong Free Throw 2 of 268
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 1:13NOKArmstrong Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)68
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 1:30NOKBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 1:31DALMISS Ager Free Throw 2 of 267
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 1:31DALAger Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)67
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 1:51NOKVinicius Foul Turnover (P1.T19)67
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 2:02NOKArmstrong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)67
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 2:03DALMISS Buckner 26' 3PT Jump Shot67
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 2:23NOKBass Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)67
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 2:23NOKBass Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)66
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 2:29NOKPargo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)65
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 2:30DALMISS Ager 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 2:34DALDiop REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)65
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 2:35DALMISS Barea Layup65
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 2:51DALBarea REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 2:53NOKMISS Butler 18' Fadeaway Jumper65
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 3:05NOKHornets Rebound65
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 3:05DALMISS Buckner 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 3:24NOKButler 18' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Pargo 2 AST)65
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 3:35DALJohnson Foul Turnover (P3.T16)63
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 3:50NOKJohnson STEAL (2 STL)63
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 3:56NOKArmstrong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)63
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 3:57DALMISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot63
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 4:13NOKArmstrong Foul Turnover (P2.T17)63
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 4:25DALDiop 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)63
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 4:46NOKButler 19' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Pargo 1 AST)63
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 4:58NOKArmstrong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)61
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 4:59DALMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 161
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 5:02DALDiop REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)61
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 5:05NOKMISS Bass 15' Fadeaway Jumper61
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 5:28NOKBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 5:30DALMISS Buckner 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 5:50NOKBass Running Layup (2 PTS) (Armstrong 1 AST)61
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 6:04DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)59
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 6:04DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)59
0.1%
79
99.9%
Q4 - 6:09NOKHarris STEAL (3 STL)59
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 6:20NOKArmstrong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)59
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 6:20DALMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 259
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 6:20DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)59
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 6:33NOKBuckner STEAL (1 STL)59
0.1%
77
99.9%
Q4 - 6:35NOKArmstrong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)59
0.2%
77
99.8%
Q4 - 6:37NOKMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
0.1%
77
99.9%
Q4 - 6:52DALDiop 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T15)59
0.1%
77
99.9%
Q4 - 7:06NOKPargo Palming Turnover (P2.T14)59
0.2%
77
99.8%
Q4 - 7:24DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)59
0.2%
77
99.8%
Q4 - 7:24DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)59
0.2%
76
99.8%
Q4 - 7:44NOKArmstrong 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)59
0.3%
75
99.7%
Q4 - 7:54DALDiop Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T14)57
0.2%
75
99.8%
Q4 - 7:55DALDiop REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)57
0.2%
75
99.8%
Q4 - 7:56NOKMISS Pargo 16' Jump Shot57
0.2%
75
99.8%
Q4 - 8:10NOKVinicius REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)57
0.3%
75
99.7%
Q4 - 8:11DALMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
0.3%
75
99.7%
Q4 - 8:34NOKPargo 14' Jump Shot (16 PTS)57
0.2%
75
99.8%
Q4 - 8:49DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)55
0.2%
75
99.8%
Q4 - 8:49DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)55
0.2%
74
99.8%
Q4 - 8:49DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)55
0.2%
73
99.8%
Q4 - 8:50NOKMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot55
0.3%
73
99.7%
Q4 - 8:58NOKArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
0.3%
73
99.7%
Q4 - 8:59DALMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
0.3%
73
99.7%
Q4 - 9:05DALMAVERICKS Rebound55
0.3%
73
99.7%
Q4 - 9:06DALMISS Howard 8' Running Hook Shot55
0.4%
73
99.6%
Q4 - 9:22DALNowitzki Free Throw Technical (24 PTS)55
0.3%
73
99.7%
Q4 - 9:22DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)55
0.4%
72
99.6%
Q4 - 9:23NOKMISS Butler 3PT Jump Shot55
0.4%
72
99.6%
Q4 - 9:33NOKArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
0.5%
72
99.5%
Q4 - 9:34DALMISS Harris 19' Jump Shot55
0.5%
72
99.5%
Q4 - 9:51DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)55
0.4%
72
99.6%
Q4 - 9:52NOKMISS Pargo 15' Jump Shot55
0.4%
72
99.6%
Q4 - 10:00DALStackhouse Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)55
0.5%
72
99.5%
Q4 - 10:03DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
0.5%
72
99.5%
Q4 - 10:04NOKMISS Johnson 21' Jump Shot55
0.5%
72
99.5%
Q4 - 10:10NOKJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)55
0.6%
72
99.4%
Q4 - 10:13DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Fadeaway Jumper55
0.6%
72
99.4%
Q4 - 10:36NOKArmstrong 10' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)55
0.5%
72
99.5%
Q4 - 10:47DALStackhouse Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)53
0.4%
72
99.6%
Q4 - 11:07NOKButler Traveling Turnover (P1.T13)53
0.4%
72
99.6%
Q4 - 11:19DALStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)53
0.5%
72
99.5%
Q4 - 11:19DALStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)53
0.5%
71
99.5%
Q4 - 11:31DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)53
0.6%
70
99.4%
Q4 - 11:32NOKMISS Paul Layup53
0.6%
70
99.4%
Q4 - 11:38NOKArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
0.8%
70
99.2%
Q4 - 11:40DALMISS Terry 13' Running Jump Shot53
0.7%
70
99.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0DAL53
0.6%
70
99.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound53
0.6%
70
99.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
0.7%
70
99.3%
Q3 - 0:06.0DALDiop REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)53
0.7%
70
99.3%
Q3 - 0:07.0NOKMISS Simmons 18' Jump Shot53
0.8%
70
99.2%
Q3 - 0:28.0NOKMason REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)53
0.9%
70
99.1%
Q3 - 0:30.0DALMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
0.8%
70
99.2%
Q3 - 0:37.0DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)53
0.7%
70
99.3%
Q3 - 0:39.0NOKDiop BLOCK (1 BLK)53
0.8%
70
99.2%
Q3 - 0:40.0NOKSimmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)53
0.9%
70
99.1%
Q3 - 0:41.0NOKMISS Paul 11' Jump Shot53
0.8%
70
99.2%
Q3 - 0:56.0DALDiop Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)53
0.9%
70
99.1%
Q3 - 0:56.0DALDiop Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)53
0.9%
69
99.1%
Q3 - 1:10DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
1.2%
68
98.8%
Q3 - 1:11NOKMISS Simmons 15' Jump Shot53
1.3%
68
98.7%
Q3 - 1:30NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)53
1.5%
68
98.5%
Q3 - 1:33DALMISS Diop Driving Layup53
1.4%
68
98.6%
Q3 - 1:55DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)53
1.2%
68
98.8%
Q3 - 1:55NOKMISS Chandler Free Throw 2 of 253
1.2%
68
98.8%
Q3 - 1:55NOKMISS Chandler Free Throw 1 of 253
1.4%
68
98.6%
Q3 - 1:55NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)53
1.5%
68
98.5%
Q3 - 1:55NOKMISS Mason Layup53
1.3%
68
98.7%
Q3 - 1:58NOKMason REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)53
1.5%
68
98.5%
Q3 - 2:00NOKMISS Mason Running Layup53
1.3%
68
98.7%
Q3 - 2:17NOKSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
1.6%
68
98.4%
Q3 - 2:18DALMISS Stackhouse Free Throw 2 of 253
1.6%
68
98.4%
Q3 - 2:18DALStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)53
1.4%
68
98.6%
Q3 - 2:18DALStackhouse Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)53
1.6%
67
98.4%
Q3 - 2:18DALStackhouse Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)53
1.9%
66
98.1%
Q3 - 2:38NOKPaul Running Layup (12 PTS)53
2.3%
65
97.7%
Q3 - 2:49DALTerry 12' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)51
1.9%
65
98.1%
Q3 - 3:16NOKMason Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Paul 4 AST)51
2.5%
63
97.5%
Q3 - 3:22NOKSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
2.1%
63
97.9%
Q3 - 3:23DALMISS Stackhouse 15' Turnaround Jump Shot49
2.0%
63
98.0%
Q3 - 3:46NOKMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)49
1.7%
63
98.3%
Q3 - 3:46NOKMISS Mason Free Throw 1 of 248
1.7%
63
98.3%
Q3 - 3:48NOKMason REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)48
1.8%
63
98.2%
Q3 - 3:50NOKMISS Paul Driving Layup48
1.6%
63
98.4%
Q3 - 3:54DALHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)48
1.8%
63
98.2%
Q3 - 4:20NOKMason 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (3 PTS)48
1.6%
63
98.4%
Q3 - 4:35DALHarris Foul Turnover (P3.T10)46
1.3%
63
98.7%
Q3 - 4:52DALDampier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)46
1.1%
63
98.9%
Q3 - 4:53NOKMISS Jackson Free Throw 1 of 146
1.1%
63
98.9%
Q3 - 5:00NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)44
1.0%
63
99.0%
Q3 - 5:01DALMISS Stackhouse 20' Jump Shot44
1.0%
63
99.0%
Q3 - 5:09DALHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)44
0.9%
63
99.1%
Q3 - 5:10DALMISS Croshere 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
1.0%
63
99.0%
Q3 - 5:21DALHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)44
0.9%
63
99.1%
Q3 - 5:22NOKMISS Jackson 20' Fadeaway Jumper44
0.9%
63
99.1%
Q3 - 5:46NOKHornets Rebound44
1.0%
63
99.0%
Q3 - 5:47NOKMISS Paul Driving Layup44
0.9%
63
99.1%
Q3 - 6:01DALDampier Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)44
1.2%
63
98.8%
Q3 - 6:24NOKPaul 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS)44
1.6%
60
98.4%
Q3 - 6:37DALDampier Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Harris 4 AST)42
1.3%
60
98.7%
Q3 - 6:46DALDampier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)42
1.6%
58
98.4%
Q3 - 6:46DALMISS Harris 21' Jump Shot42
1.8%
58
98.2%
Q3 - 7:12DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)42
1.7%
58
98.3%
Q3 - 7:12NOKMISS Jackson Free Throw 1 of 142
1.7%
58
98.3%
Q3 - 7:19NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)40
1.5%
58
98.5%
Q3 - 7:20DALMISS Dampier Free Throw 2 of 240
1.4%
58
98.6%
Q3 - 7:20DALMISS Dampier Free Throw 1 of 240
1.3%
58
98.7%
Q3 - 7:23DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)40
1.2%
58
98.8%
Q3 - 7:25NOKMISS Mason 8' Turnaround Hook Shot40
1.3%
58
98.7%
Q3 - 7:51DALNowitzki 11' Fadeaway Jumper (23 PTS)40
1.5%
58
98.5%
Q3 - 8:02DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)40
1.7%
56
98.3%
Q3 - 8:03NOKMISS Jackson 18' Jump Shot40
1.8%
56
98.2%
Q3 - 8:17NOKMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)40
2.1%
56
97.9%
Q3 - 8:18DALMISS Harris 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
2.0%
56
98.0%
Q3 - 8:40NOKJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)40
1.7%
56
98.3%
Q3 - 8:40NOKJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)39
1.7%
56
98.3%
Q3 - 8:43NOKJackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)38
1.5%
56
98.5%
Q3 - 8:44NOKMISS Jackson Free Throw 2 of 238
1.3%
56
98.7%
Q3 - 8:44NOKMISS Jackson Free Throw 1 of 238
1.5%
56
98.5%
Q3 - 8:57DALHarris Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Terry 6 AST)38
1.5%
56
98.5%
Q3 - 9:01DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
1.8%
54
98.2%
Q3 - 9:04NOKMISS Jackson 8' Turnaround Jump Shot38
1.9%
54
98.1%
Q3 - 9:10NOKJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
2.1%
54
97.9%
Q3 - 9:13DALMISS Howard 12' Turnaround Jump Shot38
2.0%
54
98.0%
Q3 - 9:30NOKPaul Foul Turnover (P3.T12)38
1.8%
54
98.2%
Q3 - 9:46NOKMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)38
2.1%
54
97.9%
Q3 - 9:48DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Fadeaway Jumper38
2.0%
54
98.0%
Q3 - 10:01DALDampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)38
1.9%
54
98.1%
Q3 - 10:03NOKMISS Jackson 14' Fadeaway Jumper38
2.0%
54
98.0%
Q3 - 10:12NOKHornets Rebound38
2.2%
54
97.8%
Q3 - 10:14NOKMISS Paul 6' Jump Shot38
2.0%
54
98.0%
Q3 - 10:25DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)38
2.2%
54
97.8%
Q3 - 10:25DALMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 238
2.2%
53
97.8%
Q3 - 10:51NOKJackson 13' Fadeaway Jumper (3 PTS)38
2.1%
53
97.9%
Q3 - 11:18DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Harris 3 AST)36
1.9%
53
98.1%
Q3 - 11:36DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)36
2.2%
51
97.8%
Q3 - 11:37NOKMISS Jackson 22' Jump Shot36
2.3%
51
97.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0DAL36
2.5%
51
97.5%
Q2 - 0:02.0NOKJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)36
2.4%
51
97.6%
Q2 - 0:02.0NOKMISS Jackson Free Throw 1 of 235
2.4%
51
97.6%
Q2 - 0:25.0DALJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)35
2.3%
51
97.7%
Q2 - 0:30.0NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)35
2.1%
51
97.9%
Q2 - 0:30.0NOKChandler Tip Shot (6 PTS)35
2.1%
51
97.9%
Q2 - 0:31.0NOKMISS Paul Reverse Layup33
1.7%
51
98.3%
Q2 - 0:43.0DALJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)33
1.8%
51
98.2%
Q2 - 0:56.0NOKPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)33
1.6%
51
98.4%
Q2 - 0:56.0NOKPaul Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)32
1.6%
51
98.4%
Q2 - 1:10DALTerry Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)31
1.5%
51
98.5%
Q2 - 1:10DALTerry Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)31
1.5%
50
98.5%
Q2 - 1:14DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
1.8%
49
98.2%
Q2 - 1:15NOKMISS Jackson 13' Jump Shot31
1.8%
49
98.2%
Q2 - 1:43DALNowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Terry 5 AST)31
1.9%
49
98.1%
Q2 - 1:51NOKJohnson STEAL (1 STL)31
2.6%
46
97.4%
Q2 - 2:14DALNowitzki 17' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Terry 4 AST)31
3.0%
46
97.0%
Q2 - 2:21DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)31
3.4%
44
96.6%
Q2 - 2:22DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot31
3.7%
44
96.3%
Q2 - 2:30DALDiop REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)31
3.4%
44
96.6%
Q2 - 2:31NOKMISS Pargo 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
3.5%
44
96.5%
Q2 - 2:36NOKPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
3.8%
44
96.2%
Q2 - 2:39DALMISS Johnson 12' Jump Shot31
3.7%
44
96.3%
Q2 - 2:50DALDiop REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)31
3.4%
44
96.6%
Q2 - 2:51NOKMISS Jackson 18' Jump Shot31
3.5%
44
96.5%
Q2 - 3:04NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
4.0%
44
96.0%
Q2 - 3:06DALMISS Howard 20' Jump Shot31
3.8%
44
96.2%
Q2 - 3:25NOKPargo Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)31
3.5%
44
96.5%
Q2 - 3:25NOKMISS Pargo Free Throw 1 of 230
3.4%
44
96.6%
Q2 - 3:32NOKMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
3.5%
44
96.5%
Q2 - 3:34DALMISS Howard 21' Jump Shot30
3.4%
44
96.6%
Q2 - 3:57NOKPaul Driving Layup (6 PTS)30
3.1%
44
96.9%
Q2 - 4:01DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)28
2.9%
44
97.1%
Q2 - 4:11NOKNowitzki STEAL (1 STL)28
2.6%
44
97.4%
Q2 - 4:39DALDampier Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)28
2.9%
44
97.1%
Q2 - 4:39DALMISS Dampier Free Throw 1 of 228
3.0%
43
97.0%
Q2 - 4:39DALDampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)28
2.9%
43
97.1%
Q2 - 4:40DALMISS Harris Running Layup28
3.1%
43
96.9%
Q2 - 5:04NOKPaul Running Layup (4 PTS)28
2.9%
43
97.1%
Q2 - 5:09DALHarris Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)26
2.7%
43
97.3%
Q2 - 5:33NOKJackson 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Paul 3 AST)26
2.3%
43
97.7%
Q2 - 5:55DALNowitzki 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)24
2.1%
43
97.9%
Q2 - 6:02DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
2.4%
41
97.6%
Q2 - 6:05NOKMISS Mason 11' Running Hook Shot24
2.5%
41
97.5%
Q2 - 6:30DALStackhouse Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)24
2.8%
41
97.2%
Q2 - 6:33DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
3.0%
39
97.0%
Q2 - 6:35NOKMISS Paul 17' Jump Shot24
3.1%
39
96.9%
Q2 - 6:42DALHarris Palming Turnover (P1.T5)24
3.4%
39
96.6%
Q2 - 6:57NOKPaul 13' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)24
3.0%
39
97.0%
Q2 - 7:10NOKMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
2.9%
39
97.1%
Q2 - 7:11NOKMISS Jackson Free Throw 2 of 222
2.7%
39
97.3%
Q2 - 7:11NOKJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)22
2.9%
39
97.1%
Q2 - 7:30DALHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)21
2.6%
39
97.4%
Q2 - 7:30DALHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)21
2.7%
38
97.3%
Q2 - 7:36DALHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
2.9%
37
97.1%
Q2 - 7:38NOKMISS Butler 26' 3PT Jump Shot21
3.0%
37
97.0%
Q2 - 8:02NOKJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
3.3%
37
96.7%
Q2 - 8:04DALMISS Stackhouse 14' Jump Shot21
3.2%
37
96.8%
Q2 - 8:23NOKMason Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T9)21
3.0%
37
97.0%
Q2 - 8:41NOKPargo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)21
3.3%
37
96.7%
Q2 - 8:42DALMISS Harris 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
3.2%
37
96.8%
Q2 - 9:07DALMAVERICKS Rebound21
3.1%
37
96.9%
Q2 - 9:09NOKMISS Pargo 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
3.2%
37
96.8%
Q2 - 9:24DALHarris 11' Jump Shot (6 PTS)21
3.4%
37
96.6%
Q2 - 9:31DALHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
3.7%
35
96.3%
Q2 - 9:32DALMISS Croshere 19' Jump Shot21
4.0%
35
96.0%
Q2 - 9:53DALDiop REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
3.7%
35
96.3%
Q2 - 9:55NOKMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot21
3.8%
35
96.2%
Q2 - 10:03NOKButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
4.2%
35
95.8%
Q2 - 10:04DALMISS Stackhouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
4.1%
35
95.9%
Q2 - 10:10DALHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
3.8%
35
96.2%
Q2 - 10:11NOKMISS Pargo Driving Layup21
3.9%
35
96.1%
Q2 - 10:16DALCroshere Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)21
4.2%
35
95.8%
Q2 - 10:41NOKPargo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Paul 2 AST)21
3.8%
35
96.2%
Q2 - 10:45NOKJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)18
3.2%
35
96.8%
Q2 - 10:46NOKMISS Paul 16' Jump Shot18
2.9%
35
97.1%
Q2 - 11:01NOKJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
3.2%
35
96.8%
Q2 - 11:02DALMISS Stackhouse 18' Jump Shot18
3.1%
35
96.9%
Q2 - 11:21NOKPargo 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS)18
2.9%
35
97.1%
Q2 - 11:25NOKJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
2.6%
35
97.4%
Q2 - 11:27DALMISS Johnson Reverse Layup16
2.6%
35
97.4%
Q2 - 11:41DALDiop REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
2.4%
35
97.6%
Q2 - 11:42NOKMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
2.5%
35
97.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOK16
2.6%
35
97.4%
Q1 - 0:01.0DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)16
2.7%
35
97.3%
Q1 - 0:02.0NOKPargo 18' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS)16
2.5%
35
97.5%
Q1 - 0:05.0NOKPargo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)14
2.2%
35
97.8%
Q1 - 0:06.0NOKMISS Simmons 19' Jump Shot14
2.1%
35
97.9%
Q1 - 0:28.0DALNowitzki Driving Layup (12 PTS) (Terry 3 AST)14
2.2%
35
97.8%
Q1 - 0:32.0DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
2.5%
33
97.5%
Q1 - 0:33.0NOKMISS Simmons 19' Jump Shot14
2.5%
33
97.5%
Q1 - 0:48.0DALNowitzki Running Layup (10 PTS)14
2.7%
33
97.3%
Q1 - 1:09DALDiop REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
3.0%
31
97.0%
Q1 - 1:10NOKMISS Pargo 20' Jump Shot14
3.1%
31
96.9%
Q1 - 1:30NOKSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
3.2%
31
96.8%
Q1 - 1:31DALMISS Terry Free Throw 1 of 114
3.2%
31
96.8%
Q1 - 1:35NOKDiop STEAL (1 STL)14
3.6%
29
96.4%
Q1 - 1:47DALNowitzki Running Layup (8 PTS)14
3.9%
29
96.1%
Q1 - 2:11NOKPargo 9' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)14
4.3%
27
95.7%
Q1 - 2:17NOKJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
4.0%
27
96.0%
Q1 - 2:19DALMISS Terry Driving Layup12
3.9%
27
96.1%
Q1 - 2:23DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
3.6%
27
96.4%
Q1 - 2:25NOKMISS Pargo 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
3.7%
27
96.3%
Q1 - 2:50DALDiop Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)12
3.9%
27
96.1%
Q1 - 3:12NOKPargo Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)12
3.7%
27
96.3%
Q1 - 3:12NOKPargo Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)11
3.7%
27
96.3%
Q1 - 3:24NOKJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
3.5%
27
96.5%
Q1 - 3:26DALMISS Howard Layup10
3.4%
27
96.6%
Q1 - 3:31DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
3.1%
27
96.9%
Q1 - 3:32NOKMISS Pargo 21' Jump Shot10
3.2%
27
96.8%
Q1 - 3:37NOKPargo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
3.5%
27
96.5%
Q1 - 3:39NOKNowitzki BLOCK (2 BLK)10
3.2%
27
96.8%
Q1 - 3:43DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)10
3.5%
27
96.5%
Q1 - 3:47DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
3.1%
27
96.9%
Q1 - 3:48DALMISS Howard 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
3.4%
27
96.6%
Q1 - 4:06NOKChandler Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)10
3.1%
27
96.9%
Q1 - 4:14DALNowitzki 14' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS) (Terry 2 AST)8
2.9%
27
97.1%
Q1 - 4:20DALNowitzki Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)8
3.1%
25
96.9%
Q1 - 4:31NOKHornets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)8
3.4%
24
96.6%
Q1 - 4:31NOKHornets Rebound8
3.8%
24
96.2%
Q1 - 4:31NOKMISS Johnson 9' Jump Shot8
3.5%
24
96.5%
Q1 - 4:59DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)8
3.8%
24
96.2%
Q1 - 4:59DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw 1 of 28
3.8%
23
96.2%
Q1 - 5:25NOKPargo Driving Layup (2 PTS)8
3.9%
23
96.1%
Q1 - 5:37DALNowitzki 15' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)6
3.6%
23
96.4%
Q1 - 6:02NOKJackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)6
4.0%
21
96.0%
Q1 - 6:32DALHoward 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)3
3.4%
21
96.6%
Q1 - 6:39DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)3
4.0%
18
96.0%
Q1 - 6:42NOKNowitzki BLOCK (1 BLK)3
4.1%
18
95.9%
Q1 - 6:50DALHarris Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)3
4.3%
18
95.7%
Q1 - 7:04NOKHoward STEAL (1 STL)3
4.9%
16
95.1%
Q1 - 7:31NOKJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)3
5.2%
16
94.8%
Q1 - 7:32NOKMISS Paul 20' Jump Shot3
5.0%
16
95.0%
Q1 - 7:53DALHoward Free Throw 3 of 3 (8 PTS)3
5.2%
16
94.8%
Q1 - 7:53DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 3 (7 PTS)3
5.3%
15
94.7%
Q1 - 7:53DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 3 (6 PTS)3
5.4%
14
94.6%
Q1 - 8:13NOKChandler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)3
5.9%
13
94.1%
Q1 - 8:36DALDampier Slam Dunk (5 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)3
6.4%
13
93.6%
Q1 - 8:51NOKPaul Foul Turnover (P1.T4)3
6.8%
11
93.2%
Q1 - 8:59DALTerry Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)3
7.4%
11
92.6%
Q1 - 8:59DALMISS Terry Free Throw 1 of 23
7.5%
10
92.5%
Q1 - 9:12NOKChandler Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Paul 1 AST)3
7.2%
10
92.8%
Q1 - 9:30DALHarris Slam Dunk (2 PTS)1
6.8%
10
93.2%
Q1 - 9:33NOKHarris STEAL (2 STL)1
7.2%
8
92.8%
Q1 - 9:46DALDampier Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)1
7.9%
8
92.1%
Q1 - 9:49NOKHarris STEAL (1 STL)1
8.9%
5
91.1%
Q1 - 9:51NOKMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)1
9.7%
5
90.3%
Q1 - 9:53DALMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot1
9.4%
5
90.6%
Q1 - 10:02DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)1
8.9%
5
91.1%
Q1 - 10:03NOKMISS Jackson 16' Jump Shot1
9.1%
5
90.9%
Q1 - 10:08NOKJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)1
9.6%
5
90.4%
Q1 - 10:10NOKMISS Jackson 20' Jump Shot1
9.1%
5
90.9%
Q1 - 10:21DALHoward 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS)1
9.6%
5
90.4%
Q1 - 10:27DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)1
10.2%
3
89.8%
Q1 - 10:28NOKMISS Jackson 22' Jump Shot1
10.4%
3
89.6%
Q1 - 10:41NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)1
11.0%
3
89.0%
Q1 - 10:42DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)1
10.2%
3
89.8%
Q1 - 10:42DALMISS Dampier Running Layup1
10.7%
3
89.3%
Q1 - 10:44DALMISS Harris Layup1
10.7%
3
89.3%
Q1 - 10:58NOKMason Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)1
10.2%
3
89.8%
Q1 - 11:16NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)1
10.9%
3
89.1%
Q1 - 11:16NOKMISS Mason Free Throw 2 of 21
10.3%
3
89.7%
Q1 - 11:16NOKMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
10.8%
3
89.2%
Q1 - 11:38DALHoward 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)0
10.2%
3
89.8%
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball Dampier vs. Chandler: Tip to Harris0
11.7%
0
88.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NOK
0.79 39.7%
DAL
0.99 49.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
NOK
11
22
50%
DAL
12
21
57%
Midrange
NOK
14
46
30%
DAL
11
29
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
NOK
3
4.5
10
30%
45%
DAL
3
4.5
17
18%
26%
Free Throws
NOK
14
26
54%
DAL
30
41
73%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Pargo1956%9.5 / 17
C. Paul1240%6.0 / 15
B. Jackson1042%5.0 / 12
H. Armstrong788%3.5 / 4
D. Mason638%3.0 / 8
T. Chandler675%3.0 / 4
M. Jackson528%2.5 / 9
R. Butler425%2.0 / 8
B. Bass450%2.0 / 4
L. Johnson0-0.0 / 4
C. Simmons0-0.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki2888%14.0 / 16
J. Howard1558%7.5 / 13
E. Dampier1179%5.5 / 7
D. Harris1045%5.0 / 11
J. Terry735%3.5 / 10
J. Stackhouse744%3.5 / 8
D. Diop467%2.0 / 3
A. Johnson220%1.0 / 5
M. Ager117%0.5 / 3
A. Croshere0-0.0 / 2
G. Buckner0-0.0 / 3
J. Barea0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

NOK
74
+18
-18
92
DAL
75
+10
-17
85
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOK
0.79 39.7%
DAL
0.99 49.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.6
110.8
NOK 79.3
DAL 92.4 +13.0
Pace
90.4
90.0
NOK 88.0
DAL 96.3 +8.3
Avg. Poss. Time
16.1
16.8
NOK 16.4
DAL 14.9 +1.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.9%
50.9%
NOK 37.8%
DAL 41.0% +3.2%
TO %
14.9%
14.5%
NOK 17.5%
DAL 16.7% +0.8%
ORB %
29.2%
28.8%
NOK 26.9% +8.3%
DAL 18.6%
FTrt
29.1
31.7
NOK 33.3
DAL 61.2 +27.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
51.7%
54.2%
NOK 28.6%
DAL 53.8% +25.2%
STL %
7.0%
7.6%
NOK 10.9% +1.1%
DAL 9.8%
BLK %
6.9%
7.9%
NOK 10.0% +5.6%
DAL 4.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.7%
54.1%
NOK 39.7%
DAL 49.4% +9.7%
Rim FG%
56.2%
58.4%
NOK 50.0%
DAL 57.1% +7.1%
Mid FG%
38.2%
43.3%
NOK 30.4%
DAL 37.9% +7.5%
3P %
36.2%
38.1%
NOK 30.0% +12.4%
DAL 17.6%
FT %
74.0%
80.5%
NOK 53.8%
DAL 73.2% +19.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.2%
30.1%
NOK 28.2%
DAL 31.3% +3.1%
Mid Att. %
44.0%
48.1%
NOK 59.0%
DAL 43.3% +15.7%
3P Att. %
18.8%
21.8%
NOK 12.8%
DAL 25.4% +12.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsNOKDAL
Possessions9292
Possession Minutes25.122.9
Points7385
Rebounds4946
Assists814
Steals109
Blocks53
Turnovers (Team)18 (1)17 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (4)8 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (2)38 (1)
Field Goals28-7826-67
At-the-Rim FG11-2212-21
Midrange FG14-4611-29
2-Point FG25-6823-50
3-Point FG3-103-17
Free Throws14-2630-41
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'0" 175 · 22
32.5
12
40%
1
4
5
0
3
3
0
1
2-2
100%
5-14
36%
0-0
-
F · 6'5" 222 · 29
30.3
6
38%
8
0
0
0
5
2
3
5
2-4
50%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 240 · 24
30.3
6
75%
8
0
0
2
1
3
3
5
0-2
0%
3-3
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 185 · 34
23.5
10
42%
3
1
2
0
0
3
1
2
1-6
17%
3-9
33%
1-1
100%
F · 6'10" 253 · 32
14.3
5
28%
3
0
0
0
1
4
2
1
3-4
75%
1-7
14%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 185 · 27
28.9
19
56%
5
2
0
0
4
2
2
3
3-4
75%
5-10
50%
2-5
40%
F · 6'7" 215 · 28
23.5
4
25%
1
0
1
0
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-3
0%
F · 6'8" 205 · 26
15.2
0
0%
5
0
1
0
0
3
1
4
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 235 · 21
14.4
0
0%
4
0
1
2
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-5
0%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 22
12.0
7
88%
8
1
0
1
2
3
1
7
1-2
50%
3-3
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 225 · 22
9.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 250 · 22
6.1
4
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
73
40%
49
8
10
5
18
0
14
35
14-26
54%
25-68
37%
3-10
30%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.