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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 25, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Jazz46%10478
15Warriors54%10591
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.4
35.9
35.3
14
50%
3
8
1
1
0
6
0
3
0-0
-
1-5
6-12
20%
47%
4-9
44%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 25.0
30.5
35.9
4
29%
10
2
1
1
0
0
3
7
0-0
-
2-7
9-16
29%
54%
0-0
-
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.8
28.6
27.3
4
18%
4
3
1
1
2
4
0
4
0-0
-
2-6
3-5
33%
49%
0-5
0%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 27.5
28.0
36.4
4
37%
8
1
1
1
1
3
2
6
0-1
0%
2-3
5-10
67%
49%
0-2
0%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 21.7
10.6
17.3
4
41%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-3
2-5
33%
49%
0-1
0%
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 30.5
26.8
30.0
15
45%
6
2
1
1
0
2
4
2
3-4
75%
6-13
5-9
46%
50%
0-2
0%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 32.3
20.6
18.8
12
60%
1
3
1
1
0
2
0
1
6-7
86%
0-4
2-5
0%
42%
2-3
67%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 21.8
20.4
16.9
9
47%
9
1
2
0
2
2
5
4
5-6
83%
2-7
2-5
29%
49%
0-0
-
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 28.0
17.2
10.2
2
33%
4
1
1
0
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
47%
0-0
-
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 29.4
16.2
17.3
4
29%
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
46%
0-2
0%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 19.7
2.8
8.8
6
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
2-3
67%
Dee Brown
G · 6'0" 185 · 22.3
2.8
2.8
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
41%
0-0
-
Rafael Araujo
C · 6'11" 270 · 26.3
Roger Powell
F · 6'6" 220 · 23.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 26.6
44.2
23.4
15
59%
12
5
5
1
3
4
5
7
4-4
100%
4-9
2-5
44%
46%
1-2
50%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 20.6
43.8
31.3
14
49%
17
2
2
1
5
2
5
12
4-5
80%
5-12
5-7
42%
63%
0-0
-
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 25.8
43.6
32.9
13
32%
6
6
2
1
3
1
4
2
1-5
20%
6-15
4-9
40%
48%
0-3
0%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 21.1
43.6
34.0
21
40%
5
6
1
1
1
6
2
3
5-8
63%
8-19
5-11
42%
48%
0-4
0%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 26.7
29.6
16.8
24
83%
7
1
2
1
0
2
2
5
1-1
100%
7-10
2-3
70%
51%
3-4
75%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 26.2
22.5
30.1
2
17%
2
4
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
3-7
33%
48%
0-3
0%
Keith McLeod
G · 6'2" 190 · 27.1
8.8
14.2
2
20%
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
39%
0-2
0%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 31.7
4.0
6.9
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 24.8
25.4
1
3-6
50%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 27.6
17.9
1
3-6
45%
Anthony Roberson
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.8
9.6
0
1-2
46%
Patrick O'Bryant
C · 7'0" 250 · 20.4
4.4
0
1-1
49%
Zarko Cabarkapa
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 25.5
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.