FinalWin Prob.pScore
2243%97
83
2357%99
92
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
91.29187.1
TOR logo TOR
101.19195.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RaptorsPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RaptorsPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDTOR
Q4 - 0:00.0TOR83
0%
92
100%
Q4 - 0:23.0INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)83
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:23.0INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)82
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:34.0TORGarbajosa Driving Layup (13 PTS) (Calderon 5 AST)81
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:39.0INDGarbajosa STEAL (2 STL)81
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 0:47.0TORCalderon Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)81
0.3%
90
99.7%
Q4 - 0:47.0TORMISS Calderon Free Throw 1 of 281
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 1:04TORJones REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)81
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q4 - 1:05TORMISS Calderon 21' Jump Shot81
0.8%
89
99.2%
Q4 - 1:28INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)81
0.9%
89
99.1%
Q4 - 1:28INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)80
0.8%
89
99.2%
Q4 - 1:29INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)79
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q4 - 1:30INDMISS O'Neal Layup79
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q4 - 1:32INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)79
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q4 - 1:34INDMISS O'Neal Driving Layup79
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q4 - 1:42TORBosh Layup (17 PTS) (Ford 6 AST)79
0.8%
89
99.2%
Q4 - 2:01TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)79
1.4%
87
98.6%
Q4 - 2:02INDMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
1.7%
87
98.3%
Q4 - 2:13INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)79
2.8%
87
97.2%
Q4 - 2:15TORMISS Jones 16' Jump Shot79
2.3%
87
97.7%
Q4 - 2:35TORJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)79
1.4%
87
98.6%
Q4 - 2:36INDMISS Jasikevicius 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
1.7%
87
98.3%
Q4 - 2:44TORRAPTORS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)79
2.9%
87
97.1%
Q4 - 2:46TORBosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)79
1.4%
87
98.6%
Q4 - 2:48TORMISS Jones 9' Jump Shot79
2.3%
87
97.7%
Q4 - 3:11INDJackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Armstrong 1 AST)79
2.0%
87
98.0%
Q4 - 3:32INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)76
1.8%
87
98.2%
Q4 - 3:34TORMISS Ford 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
1.6%
87
98.4%
Q4 - 3:58INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)76
1.1%
87
98.9%
Q4 - 3:58INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)75
1.1%
87
98.9%
Q4 - 3:58INDPacers Rebound74
0.8%
87
99.2%
Q4 - 3:59TORMISS Nesterovic 9' Jump Hook Shot74
0.7%
87
99.3%
Q4 - 4:23INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)74
0.5%
87
99.5%
Q4 - 4:23INDMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 273
0.5%
87
99.5%
Q4 - 4:39TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)73
0.5%
87
99.5%
Q4 - 4:39TORBosh Driving Layup (14 PTS)73
0.7%
86
99.3%
Q4 - 4:58INDGranger 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Jasikevicius 3 AST)73
1.0%
84
99.0%
Q4 - 5:18INDPacers Rebound70
0.9%
84
99.1%
Q4 - 5:19TORMISS Graham 17' Jump Shot70
0.8%
84
99.2%
Q4 - 5:35INDJasikevicius Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)70
0.6%
84
99.4%
Q4 - 5:42INDHarrington Layup (11 PTS) (Tinsley 4 AST)69
0.5%
84
99.5%
Q4 - 5:51TORFord Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)67
0.3%
84
99.7%
Q4 - 6:05TORRAPTORS Rebound67
0.4%
84
99.6%
Q4 - 6:05TORMISS Bargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
0.5%
84
99.5%
Q4 - 6:29INDO'Neal Driving Finger Roll (12 PTS)67
0.4%
84
99.6%
Q4 - 6:49TORBargnani Driving Layup (14 PTS)65
0.3%
84
99.7%
Q4 - 7:05INDO'Neal Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T17)65
0.6%
82
99.4%
Q4 - 7:05TORCalderon Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)65
0.9%
82
99.1%
Q4 - 7:09INDArmstrong Layup (2 PTS) (O'Neal 3 AST)65
0.6%
82
99.4%
Q4 - 7:26TORGraham Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)63
0.5%
82
99.5%
Q4 - 7:26TORGraham Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)63
0.5%
81
99.5%
Q4 - 7:26TORGraham REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)63
0.6%
80
99.4%
Q4 - 7:28TORMISS Bargnani 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
0.8%
80
99.2%
Q4 - 7:51INDJones STEAL (3 STL)63
0.6%
80
99.4%
Q4 - 8:04TORGraham Driving Dunk (10 PTS) (Calderon 4 AST)63
1.2%
80
98.8%
Q4 - 8:07INDCalderon STEAL (2 STL)63
1.5%
78
98.5%
Q4 - 8:13INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)63
1.9%
78
98.1%
Q4 - 8:15TORMISS Graham 6' Running Hook Shot63
1.8%
78
98.2%
Q4 - 8:34INDHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)63
1.5%
78
98.5%
Q4 - 8:34INDHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)62
1.4%
78
98.6%
Q4 - 8:47TORBargnani Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)61
1.2%
78
98.8%
Q4 - 8:47TORBargnani Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)61
1.2%
77
98.8%
Q4 - 9:02TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)61
1.9%
76
98.1%
Q4 - 9:03INDMISS Jasikevicius 16' Jump Shot61
2.0%
76
98.0%
Q4 - 9:22TORCalderon 14' Jump Shot (12 PTS)61
2.4%
76
97.6%
Q4 - 9:43TORJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)61
3.0%
74
97.0%
Q4 - 9:45TORMISS Bargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
3.5%
74
96.5%
Q4 - 10:07TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)61
3.5%
74
96.5%
Q4 - 10:08INDMISS Jasikevicius 21' Jump Shot61
3.8%
74
96.2%
Q4 - 10:19TORGraham Tip Shot (8 PTS)61
4.4%
74
95.6%
Q4 - 10:21TORGraham REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)61
5.4%
72
94.6%
Q4 - 10:22TORMISS Jones Tip Shot61
6.4%
72
93.6%
Q4 - 10:24TORJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)61
5.4%
72
94.6%
Q4 - 10:25TORMISS Calderon Layup61
6.4%
72
93.6%
Q4 - 10:30INDBargnani STEAL (1 STL)61
5.4%
72
94.6%
Q4 - 10:40INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)61
6.8%
72
93.2%
Q4 - 10:42TORMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
6.3%
72
93.7%
Q4 - 11:05TORGraham REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)61
6.1%
72
93.9%
Q4 - 11:07INDMISS Harrington 19' Jump Shot61
6.5%
72
93.5%
Q4 - 11:24TORGraham Tip Shot (6 PTS)61
7.5%
72
92.5%
Q4 - 11:25TORGraham REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)61
9.0%
70
91.0%
Q4 - 11:27TORMISS Bargnani 20' Jump Shot61
10.4%
70
89.6%
Q4 - 11:43TORJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
9.0%
70
91.0%
Q4 - 11:45INDMISS Daniels 7' Jump Shot61
9.6%
70
90.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0TOR61
11.0%
70
89.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
9.0%
70
91.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDMISS Foster Reverse Layup61
9.6%
70
90.4%
Q3 - 0:24.0INDJasikevicius REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)61
12.0%
70
88.0%
Q3 - 0:26.0INDMISS Jasikevicius 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
10.6%
70
89.4%
Q3 - 0:47.0TORGraham Driving Dunk (4 PTS) (Bargnani 2 AST)61
12.0%
70
88.0%
Q3 - 1:05TORGraham REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)61
15.3%
68
84.7%
Q3 - 1:06INDMISS Daniels Free Throw 2 of 261
15.6%
68
84.4%
Q3 - 1:06INDDaniels Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)61
17.4%
68
82.6%
Q3 - 1:21INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)60
15.3%
68
84.7%
Q3 - 1:21TORMISS Garbajosa Free Throw 2 of 260
15.0%
68
85.0%
Q3 - 1:21TORMISS Garbajosa Free Throw 1 of 260
13.6%
68
86.4%
Q3 - 1:21TORRAPTORS Rebound60
12.9%
68
87.1%
Q3 - 1:21INDMISS Jackson 18' Jump Shot60
13.6%
68
86.4%
Q3 - 1:31INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)60
15.3%
68
84.7%
Q3 - 1:34TORMISS Bargnani 14' Turnaround Jump Shot60
14.5%
68
85.5%
Q3 - 1:50TORGarbajosa REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)60
12.8%
68
87.2%
Q3 - 1:52INDMISS Foster 10' Jump Shot60
13.5%
68
86.5%
Q3 - 2:16TORCalderon Driving Finger Roll (10 PTS)60
16.0%
68
84.0%
Q3 - 2:20INDCalderon STEAL (1 STL)60
18.4%
66
81.6%
Q3 - 2:40TORCalderon Driving Layup (8 PTS)60
21.7%
66
78.3%
Q3 - 2:51INDJackson Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)60
24.7%
64
75.3%
Q3 - 3:04TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)57
19.4%
64
80.6%
Q3 - 3:20TORGarbajosa REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)57
25.4%
61
74.6%
Q3 - 3:21INDMISS Granger 8' Running Jump Shot57
26.5%
61
73.5%
Q3 - 3:38INDJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
29.2%
61
70.8%
Q3 - 3:40TORMISS Bosh Driving Dunk57
28.0%
61
72.0%
Q3 - 3:59INDTinsley Driving Layup (15 PTS)57
25.4%
61
74.6%
Q3 - 4:06INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)55
22.9%
61
77.1%
Q3 - 4:08TORMISS Garbajosa 20' Jump Shot55
21.9%
61
78.1%
Q3 - 4:20INDJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)55
19.6%
61
80.4%
Q3 - 4:20INDMISS Jackson Free Throw 1 of 254
19.1%
61
80.9%
Q3 - 4:37TORJones Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)54
20.0%
61
80.0%
Q3 - 4:51TORGarbajosa REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)54
17.0%
61
83.0%
Q3 - 4:53TORMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 254
19.6%
61
80.4%
Q3 - 4:53TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)54
17.8%
61
82.2%
Q3 - 5:08TORBosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)54
20.4%
60
79.6%
Q3 - 5:10INDMISS Jackson 14' Jump Shot54
21.3%
60
78.7%
Q3 - 5:27TORJones Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T8)54
23.4%
60
76.6%
Q3 - 5:41INDGranger Traveling Turnover (P2.T12)54
20.3%
60
79.7%
Q3 - 5:44INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)54
23.4%
60
76.6%
Q3 - 5:46TORMISS Ford Driving Layup54
22.4%
60
77.6%
Q3 - 5:51INDTinsley Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T11)54
20.3%
60
79.7%
Q3 - 6:01INDPacers Rebound54
23.9%
60
76.1%
Q3 - 6:02TORMISS Bosh 13' Jump Shot54
23.0%
60
77.0%
Q3 - 6:19INDGranger 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)54
20.9%
60
79.1%
Q3 - 6:34INDPacers Rebound51
16.2%
60
83.8%
Q3 - 6:35TORMISS Parker 16' Jump Shot51
15.5%
60
84.5%
Q3 - 6:48INDHarrington Tip Shot (7 PTS)51
14.0%
60
86.0%
Q3 - 6:50INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)49
12.3%
60
87.7%
Q3 - 6:52INDMISS O'Neal 17' Jump Shot49
11.1%
60
88.9%
Q3 - 7:02TORBosh Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T7)49
12.9%
60
87.1%
Q3 - 7:03INDBosh STEAL (1 STL)49
11.0%
60
89.0%
Q3 - 7:07INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)49
12.9%
60
87.1%
Q3 - 7:09TORMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot49
12.3%
60
87.7%
Q3 - 7:25INDTinsley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)49
11.0%
60
89.0%
Q3 - 7:42TORGarbajosa Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)46
8.5%
60
91.5%
Q3 - 7:42TORGarbajosa Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)46
8.8%
59
91.2%
Q3 - 7:47TORGarbajosa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
9.5%
58
90.5%
Q3 - 7:48INDMISS Harrington Tip Shot46
10.0%
58
90.0%
Q3 - 7:49INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)46
11.2%
58
88.8%
Q3 - 7:51INDMISS Harrington Running Layup46
10.0%
58
90.0%
Q3 - 8:04TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)46
11.7%
58
88.3%
Q3 - 8:04TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)46
12.0%
57
88.0%
Q3 - 8:22INDJackson Driving Layup (11 PTS) (Tinsley 3 AST)46
13.1%
56
86.9%
Q3 - 8:26INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
11.7%
56
88.3%
Q3 - 8:27TORMISS Jones Layup44
11.1%
56
88.9%
Q3 - 8:39INDGranger Tip Shot (8 PTS)44
10.0%
56
90.0%
Q3 - 8:42INDGranger REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)42
8.9%
56
91.1%
Q3 - 8:43INDMISS Tinsley Layup42
7.9%
56
92.1%
Q3 - 8:48INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)42
8.9%
56
91.1%
Q3 - 8:50TORMISS Ford Driving Layup42
8.4%
56
91.6%
Q3 - 9:12INDTinsley 8' Jump Shot (10 PTS)42
8.1%
56
91.9%
Q3 - 9:14INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
7.1%
56
92.9%
Q3 - 9:15INDMISS Tinsley 9' Jump Shot40
6.4%
56
93.6%
Q3 - 9:32TORBosh 8' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)40
7.0%
56
93.0%
Q3 - 9:47INDO'Neal 5' Turnaround Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Tinsley 2 AST)40
8.0%
54
92.0%
Q3 - 9:55INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)38
7.0%
54
93.0%
Q3 - 9:57TORMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot38
6.7%
54
93.3%
Q3 - 10:14INDHarrington 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T9)38
6.5%
54
93.5%
Q3 - 10:38TORFord 7' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS)38
7.5%
54
92.5%
Q3 - 10:45TORParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)38
8.4%
52
91.6%
Q3 - 10:46INDMISS Tinsley 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
8.8%
52
91.2%
Q3 - 11:08TORGarbajosa Foul Turnover (P3.T6)38
10.2%
52
89.8%
Q3 - 11:20INDO'Neal 8' Hook Shot (8 PTS)38
8.9%
52
91.1%
Q3 - 11:36INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)36
7.9%
52
92.1%
Q3 - 11:38TORMISS Parker 3PT Jump Shot36
7.6%
52
92.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0TOR36
6.9%
52
93.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0INDTinsley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)36
6.9%
52
93.1%
Q2 - 0:16.0INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)33
5.8%
52
94.2%
Q2 - 0:18.0TORMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot33
5.7%
52
94.3%
Q2 - 0:36.0INDJackson 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Tinsley 1 AST)33
5.3%
52
94.7%
Q2 - 0:56.0TORFord 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)30
4.0%
52
96.0%
Q2 - 1:12TORBosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)30
5.1%
50
94.9%
Q2 - 1:13INDMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
5.2%
50
94.8%
Q2 - 1:35INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)30
5.4%
50
94.6%
Q2 - 1:36TORMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot30
5.3%
50
94.7%
Q2 - 1:53INDFord STEAL (1 STL)30
5.1%
50
94.9%
Q2 - 2:01INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)30
6.0%
50
94.0%
Q2 - 2:03INDMISS Granger 17' Jump Shot30
5.6%
50
94.4%
Q2 - 2:25TORParker 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ford 5 AST)30
6.0%
50
94.0%
Q2 - 2:37TORFord REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)30
6.8%
48
93.2%
Q2 - 2:38INDMISS Tinsley 8' Turnaround Jump Shot30
7.0%
48
93.0%
Q2 - 2:52INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)30
7.5%
48
92.5%
Q2 - 2:53TORMISS Ford 10' Jump Shot30
7.3%
48
92.7%
Q2 - 3:16TORRAPTORS Rebound30
7.3%
48
92.7%
Q2 - 3:18INDMISS Jackson 21' Jump Shot30
7.6%
48
92.4%
Q2 - 3:23TORBosh Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)30
8.3%
48
91.7%
Q2 - 3:47INDGranger 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)30
7.3%
48
92.7%
Q2 - 4:08INDJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
6.4%
48
93.6%
Q2 - 4:09TORMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot27
6.2%
48
93.8%
Q2 - 4:26TORFord REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)27
5.7%
48
94.3%
Q2 - 4:28INDMISS Harrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
5.9%
48
94.1%
Q2 - 4:36INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)27
6.4%
48
93.6%
Q2 - 4:38TORMISS Graham 16' Jump Shot27
6.1%
48
93.9%
Q2 - 4:47TORBosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)27
5.7%
48
94.3%
Q2 - 4:48INDMISS O'Neal 17' Jump Shot27
5.9%
48
94.1%
Q2 - 5:05INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)27
6.7%
48
93.3%
Q2 - 5:06INDMISS Granger Free Throw 2 of 227
6.0%
48
94.0%
Q2 - 5:06INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)27
6.5%
48
93.5%
Q2 - 5:10INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)26
6.0%
48
94.0%
Q2 - 5:12TORMISS Graham 18' Jump Shot26
5.8%
48
94.2%
Q2 - 5:17TORBosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)26
5.3%
48
94.7%
Q2 - 5:18INDMISS Granger 19' Jump Shot26
5.5%
48
94.5%
Q2 - 5:40INDPacers Rebound26
6.0%
48
94.0%
Q2 - 5:40TORMISS Bosh 6' Jump Shot26
5.8%
48
94.2%
Q2 - 5:41TORBosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)26
5.3%
48
94.7%
Q2 - 5:42TORMISS Bosh 5' Jump Shot26
5.8%
48
94.2%
Q2 - 6:05INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)26
5.7%
48
94.3%
Q2 - 6:05INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)25
5.6%
48
94.4%
Q2 - 6:12INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
5.2%
48
94.8%
Q2 - 6:13TORMISS Calderon Driving Layup24
5.0%
48
95.0%
Q2 - 6:27INDDaniels 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)24
4.6%
48
95.4%
Q2 - 6:42INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
4.2%
48
95.8%
Q2 - 6:43TORMISS Calderon Driving Layup22
4.1%
48
95.9%
Q2 - 6:48TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
3.7%
48
96.3%
Q2 - 6:49INDNesterovic BLOCK (1 BLK)22
3.9%
48
96.1%
Q2 - 7:09INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)22
4.7%
48
95.3%
Q2 - 7:11TORMISS Bargnani Reverse Layup22
4.6%
48
95.4%
Q2 - 7:18TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
4.2%
48
95.8%
Q2 - 7:20INDMISS Daniels 18' Jump Shot22
4.4%
48
95.6%
Q2 - 7:35TORNesterovic Tip Shot (4 PTS)22
4.7%
48
95.3%
Q2 - 7:37TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
5.2%
46
94.8%
Q2 - 7:39TORMISS Graham Driving Layup22
5.5%
46
94.5%
Q2 - 8:05INDHarrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jasikevicius 2 AST)22
5.3%
46
94.7%
Q2 - 8:22TORCalderon 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS)19
4.4%
46
95.6%
Q2 - 8:30TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
4.8%
44
95.2%
Q2 - 8:32INDMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
5.0%
44
95.0%
Q2 - 8:48TORBargnani Driving Finger Roll (10 PTS)19
5.4%
44
94.6%
Q2 - 9:05TORParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)19
6.2%
42
93.8%
Q2 - 9:06INDMISS Harrington 11' Turnaround Jump Shot19
6.4%
42
93.6%
Q2 - 9:24TORBargnani 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Calderon 3 AST)19
6.9%
42
93.1%
Q2 - 9:42TORParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)19
8.2%
39
91.8%
Q2 - 9:43INDMISS Jasikevicius 19' Jump Shot19
8.5%
39
91.5%
Q2 - 10:00TORGraham 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Calderon 2 AST)19
9.1%
39
90.9%
Q2 - 10:18INDJackson 7' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)19
10.1%
37
89.9%
Q2 - 10:27INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)17
9.4%
37
90.6%
Q2 - 10:28TORMISS Nesterovic 10' Jump Hook Shot17
9.1%
37
90.9%
Q2 - 10:44TORParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
8.4%
37
91.6%
Q2 - 10:45INDMISS Foster Tip Shot17
8.7%
37
91.3%
Q2 - 10:47INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
9.4%
37
90.6%
Q2 - 10:48INDMISS Armstrong 21' Jump Shot17
8.7%
37
91.3%
Q2 - 11:06TORBargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)17
9.6%
37
90.4%
Q2 - 11:09TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
11.4%
34
88.6%
Q2 - 11:10TORMISS Graham 18' Jump Shot17
12.1%
34
87.9%
Q2 - 11:25TORGraham REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
11.4%
34
88.6%
Q2 - 11:27INDMISS Harrington 17' Jump Shot17
11.7%
34
88.3%
Q2 - 11:45TORNesterovic Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Calderon 1 AST)17
12.4%
34
87.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0IND17
13.5%
32
86.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDPacers Rebound17
14.7%
32
85.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDMISS Armstrong 49' 3PT Running Jump Shot17
13.9%
32
86.1%
Q1 - 0:01.0TORCalderon 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)17
14.9%
32
85.1%
Q1 - 0:16.0TORGraham REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
16.4%
30
83.6%
Q1 - 0:17.0INDMISS Armstrong 3PT Jump Shot17
16.7%
30
83.3%
Q1 - 0:35.0TORCalderon Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)17
17.4%
30
82.6%
Q1 - 0:35.0TORCalderon Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)17
17.6%
29
82.4%
Q1 - 0:42.0TORGraham REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
19.2%
28
80.8%
Q1 - 0:44.0INDMISS Jasikevicius 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
19.5%
28
80.5%
Q1 - 1:04TORGarbajosa 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Bargnani 1 AST)17
20.5%
28
79.5%
Q1 - 1:27INDJackson Driving Layup (4 PTS)17
24.1%
25
75.9%
Q1 - 1:47TORBargnani 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)15
22.0%
25
78.0%
Q1 - 2:03INDO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)15
24.2%
23
75.8%
Q1 - 2:11TORGarbajosa Foul Turnover (P2.T4)15
25.9%
23
74.1%
Q1 - 2:24INDJackson 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jasikevicius 1 AST)15
24.2%
23
75.8%
Q1 - 2:47TORBargnani Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)13
22.4%
23
77.6%
Q1 - 2:54INDO'Neal 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)13
20.9%
23
79.1%
Q1 - 3:13TORGarbajosa Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)11
20.0%
23
80.0%
Q1 - 3:25TORGarbajosa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
18.4%
23
81.6%
Q1 - 3:27INDMISS Jackson 14' Jump Shot11
18.9%
23
81.1%
Q1 - 3:47TORJones 6' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Ford 4 AST)11
20.0%
23
80.0%
Q1 - 3:53INDJones STEAL (2 STL)11
21.3%
21
78.7%
Q1 - 4:01TORFord 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS)11
23.3%
21
76.7%
Q1 - 4:03TORFord REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)11
24.6%
19
75.4%
Q1 - 4:04TORMISS Ford 3' Jump Shot11
26.0%
19
74.0%
Q1 - 4:12INDHarrington Tip Shot (2 PTS)11
24.6%
19
75.4%
Q1 - 4:14INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)9
23.3%
19
76.7%
Q1 - 4:16INDMISS Harrington Tip Shot9
22.0%
19
78.0%
Q1 - 4:18INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)9
23.3%
19
76.7%
Q1 - 4:19INDMISS O'Neal Layup9
22.0%
19
78.0%
Q1 - 4:38TORGarbajosa 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)9
23.3%
19
76.7%
Q1 - 4:45TORParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
24.6%
17
75.4%
Q1 - 4:46INDMISS Harrington 22' Jump Shot9
25.2%
17
74.8%
Q1 - 5:01TORParker Layup (4 PTS)9
27.0%
17
73.0%
Q1 - 5:03TORParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
28.5%
15
71.5%
Q1 - 5:05TORMISS Bosh 11' Jump Hook Shot9
29.8%
15
70.2%
Q1 - 5:21INDJones STEAL (1 STL)9
28.5%
15
71.5%
Q1 - 5:37INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
30.4%
15
69.6%
Q1 - 5:39TORMISS Garbajosa 17' Jump Shot9
29.8%
15
70.2%
Q1 - 5:50INDHarrington Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)9
28.4%
15
71.6%
Q1 - 6:06TORJones Driving Finger Roll (5 PTS)9
30.6%
15
69.4%
Q1 - 6:19INDMarshall Palming Turnover (P1.T3)9
32.2%
13
67.8%
Q1 - 6:37TORGarbajosa Running Layup (4 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)9
34.1%
13
65.9%
Q1 - 6:41TORBosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)9
35.9%
11
64.1%
Q1 - 6:43INDMISS Tinsley Layup9
36.5%
11
63.5%
Q1 - 6:55TORBosh Layup (4 PTS) (Garbajosa 1 AST)9
37.8%
11
62.2%
Q1 - 7:11INDTinsley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Marshall 1 AST)9
39.5%
9
60.5%
Q1 - 7:24INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
36.2%
9
63.8%
Q1 - 7:25TORMISS Bosh 9' Turnaround Jump Shot6
35.6%
9
64.4%
Q1 - 7:32TORBosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)6
34.2%
9
65.8%
Q1 - 7:34TORMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
35.6%
9
64.4%
Q1 - 7:53INDTinsley Layup (2 PTS)6
34.2%
9
65.8%
Q1 - 8:15TORJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)4
32.9%
9
67.1%
Q1 - 8:25INDGarbajosa STEAL (1 STL)4
36.1%
6
63.9%
Q1 - 8:28INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
38.1%
6
61.9%
Q1 - 8:30TORMISS Bosh 7' Driving Hook Shot4
37.5%
6
62.5%
Q1 - 8:38TORFord REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
36.1%
6
63.9%
Q1 - 8:40TORMISS Parker 21' Jump Shot4
37.5%
6
62.5%
Q1 - 8:53INDTinsley Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)4
36.1%
6
63.9%
Q1 - 9:01INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
38.0%
6
62.0%
Q1 - 9:03TORMISS Bosh 12' Jump Bank Shot4
37.3%
6
62.7%
Q1 - 9:18TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)4
35.8%
6
64.2%
Q1 - 9:20INDMISS O'Neal Reverse Layup4
36.5%
6
63.5%
Q1 - 9:34TORBosh Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)4
38.1%
6
61.9%
Q1 - 9:46INDGranger Layup (2 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)4
35.8%
6
64.2%
Q1 - 10:04INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
34.4%
6
65.6%
Q1 - 10:06TORMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot2
33.8%
6
66.2%
Q1 - 10:24INDO'Neal 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS)2
32.5%
6
67.5%
Q1 - 10:40TORGarbajosa 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ford 3 AST)0
31.1%
6
68.9%
Q1 - 10:47TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
32.5%
4
67.5%
Q1 - 10:49INDMISS Harrington 18' Jump Shot0
33.1%
4
66.9%
Q1 - 11:01TORBosh 9' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Ford 2 AST)0
34.3%
4
65.7%
Q1 - 11:10TORGarbajosa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
36.1%
2
63.9%
Q1 - 11:12INDMISS Granger Tip Shot0
36.6%
2
63.4%
Q1 - 11:14INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
37.7%
2
62.3%
Q1 - 11:15INDMISS O'Neal 17' Jump Shot0
36.6%
2
63.4%
Q1 - 11:28TORParker Driving Finger Roll (2 PTS) (Ford 1 AST)0
37.7%
2
62.3%
Q1 - 11:32TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
39.6%
0
60.4%
Q1 - 11:34INDMISS Marshall 6' Hook Shot0
40.1%
0
59.9%
Q1 - 11:38INDMarshall REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
41.2%
0
58.8%
Q1 - 11:41INDMISS Harrington Layup0
40.1%
0
59.9%
Q1 - 12:00TORJump Ball Bosh vs. O'Neal: Tip to Tinsley0
41.2%
0
58.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
0.94 47.2%
TOR
0.94 46.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
13
27
48%
TOR
19
31
61%
Midrange
IND
7
32
22%
TOR
14
42
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
9
13.5
19
47%
71%
TOR
4
6.0
12
33%
50%
Free Throws
IND
16
20
80%
TOR
14
18
78%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Granger1864%9.0 / 14
S. Jackson1869%9.0 / 13
J. O'Neal1550%7.5 / 15
J. Tinsley1568%7.5 / 11
A. Harrington1134%5.5 / 16
M. Daniels338%1.5 / 4
D. Armstrong225%1.0 / 4
S. Jasikevicius18%0.5 / 6
R. Marshall0-0.0 / 1
J. Foster0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Bosh1740%8.5 / 21
A. Bargnani1458%7.0 / 12
J. Garbajosa1372%6.5 / 9
J. Calderon1359%6.5 / 11
J. Graham1250%6.0 / 12
F. Jones732%3.5 / 11
T. Ford638%3.0 / 8
A. Parker650%3.0 / 6
R. Nesterovic450%2.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
73
+15
-18
88
TOR
80
+16
-11
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
0.94 47.2%
TOR
0.94 46.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.0
106.3
IND 91.2 +9.9
TOR 101.1
Pace
92.4
93.3
IND 87.1
TOR 95.3 +8.2
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
15.3
IND 16.5
TOR 15.1 +1.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.4%
50.4%
IND 42.9%
TOR 45.9% +3.0%
TO %
17.1%
13.8%
IND 17.2%
TOR 11.4% +5.8%
ORB %
28.4%
22.3%
IND 29.2%
TOR 34.1% +4.9%
FTrt
32.4
30.3
IND 25.6 +4.4
TOR 21.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.5%
60.1%
IND 55.2% +9.3%
TOR 45.9%
STL %
7.9%
7.6%
IND 2.2%
TOR 11.0% +8.8%
BLK %
8.5%
6.3%
IND 8.2% +6.5%
TOR 1.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.0%
53.6%
IND 47.2% +0.3%
TOR 46.9%
Rim FG%
56.1%
59.5%
IND 48.1%
TOR 61.3% +13.2%
Mid FG%
39.0%
42.7%
IND 21.9%
TOR 33.3% +11.4%
3P %
34.6%
36.3%
IND 47.4% +14.1%
TOR 33.3%
FT %
76.0%
78.8%
IND 80.0% +2.2%
TOR 77.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.3%
30.1%
IND 34.6%
TOR 36.5% +1.9%
Mid Att. %
45.5%
47.6%
IND 41.0% +8.4%
TOR 49.4%
3P Att. %
21.2%
22.4%
IND 24.4% +10.2%
TOR 14.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsINDTOR
Possessions9191
Possession Minutes25.122.9
Points8392
Rebounds4349
Assists1617
Steals210
Blocks61
Turnovers (Team)18 (0)11 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (1)15 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (5)34 (2)
Field Goals29-7837-85
At-the-Rim FG13-2719-31
Midrange FG7-3214-42
2-Point FG20-5933-73
3-Point FG9-194-12
Free Throws16-2014-18
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 255 · 28
37.8
15
50%
11
3
1
3
3
4
2
9
5-6
83%
5-12
42%
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 245 · 27
33.9
11
34%
14
1
0
0
2
4
5
9
2-2
100%
3-13
23%
1-2
50%
F · 6'9" 222 · 24
31.6
18
64%
3
0
0
0
2
2
2
1
5-6
83%
2-6
33%
3-5
60%
G · 6'3" 188 · 29
29.6
15
68%
5
4
0
1
7
1
1
4
0-0
-
3-7
43%
3-4
75%
G · 6'7" 190 · 25
6.2
0
0%
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 29
36.0
18
69%
2
3
1
1
0
1
0
2
2-3
67%
5-9
56%
2-3
67%
· 6'4" 197 · 31
24.1
1
8%
1
3
0
0
2
0
1
0
1-1
100%
0-3
0%
0-3
0%
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 30
19.6
0
0%
6
0
0
0
0
2
2
4
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 180 · 38
11.1
2
25%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
F · 6'6" 200 · 26
10.2
3
38%
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 230 · 30
G · 6'4" 208 · 25
#22 · F · 6'9" 240 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#4 · F · 6'10" 230 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#13 · C · 7'0" 280 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
83
47%
43
16
2
6
18
0
14
29
16-20
80%
20-59
34%
9-19
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.