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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
November 26, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Spurs49%10098
11SuperSonics51%10178
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 35.5
41.8
32.7
5
43%
4
1
1
1
0
0
0
4
1-2
50%
2-5
1-3
40%
44%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.5
33.3
31.1
20
56%
2
5
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
10-18
7-13
56%
53%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 30.6
32.8
32.7
18
71%
16
6
0
1
0
6
7
9
4-4
100%
7-11
8-15
64%
52%
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 33.7
26.0
14.1
10
51%
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
3-7
1-3
43%
45%
1-2
50%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 31.7
23.9
24.8
16
90%
5
0
1
0
0
1
0
5
2-2
100%
7-8
3-5
88%
54%
0-0
-
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 36.3
25.3
17.2
8
67%
5
2
0
1
1
2
1
4
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
42%
2-4
50%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 34.9
24.1
22.6
12
64%
2
3
1
1
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
53%
3-8
38%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.4
12.0
13.0
2
25%
3
2
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
2-3
25%
48%
0-0
-
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 30.7
11.7
12.7
2
25%
7
1
2
0
0
3
4
3
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
52%
0-0
-
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 31.8
4.9
5.0
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 26.6
2.1
5.3
5
63%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
49%
1-1
100%
Eric Williams
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 34.4
2.1
3.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-0
-
James White
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.1
Jackie Butler
C · 6'10" 260 · 21.7
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 29.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 31.4
39.5
37.5
21
49%
3
1
1
1
1
2
2
1
3-3
100%
9-16
5-11
56%
48%
0-4
0%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 27.3
33.3
38.6
8
51%
2
3
2
1
1
3
1
1
2-2
100%
3-6
5-10
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.8
32.6
35.4
11
39%
4
4
4
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
4-12
4-9
33%
46%
1-2
50%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 24.2
31.0
31.8
7
48%
4
5
1
1
1
0
1
3
3-3
100%
2-6
4-8
33%
54%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 20.8
29.1
17.4
6
25%
9
0
2
0
1
2
6
3
0-2
0%
3-11
2-4
27%
49%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 26.1
27.3
23.4
15
51%
7
0
0
0
0
0
5
2
3-6
50%
6-12
3-6
50%
49%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 27.5
19.6
22.1
2
13%
3
4
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
44%
0-3
0%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 26.9
14.8
15.9
6
60%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
46%
0-0
-
Andreas Glyniadakis
C · 7'1" 280 · 25.3
6.4
6.4
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
49%
0-0
-
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 27.6
2.1
4.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
39%
0-0
-
Mickael Gelabale
F · 6'7" 215 · 23.5
2.1
2.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Mouhamed Sene
C · 6'11" 230 · 20.5
2.1
1.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-0
-
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 21.0
Desmon Farmer
G · 6'5" 220 · 25.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.