FinalWin Prob.pScore
2039%93
91
1561%96
103
ORTG#PossPace
PHI logo PHI
96.89494.8
MIA logo MIA
108.49594.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Heat76ersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

Heat76ersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventPHIMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA91
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)91
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:20.0PHIMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:27.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (33 PTS)91
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:27.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (32 PTS)91
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:30.0PHIIverson Reverse Layup (45 PTS)91
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:34.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)89
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:34.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)89
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:42.0PHIIguodala Layup (15 PTS)89
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:49.0PHI76ers Rebound87
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:50.0PHIMISS Iverson Layup87
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:51.0PHIIguodala REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)87
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:52.0PHIMISS Korver 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:56.0MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)87
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:56.0MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 287
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:56.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)87
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:56.0MIAMISS Payton 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:25PHIHenderson Tip Shot (4 PTS)87
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:26PHIHenderson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)85
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:27PHIMISS Green 17' Jump Shot85
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:39PHIHenderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)85
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:41MIAMISS Wade 13' Jump Bank Shot85
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 2:03MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)85
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 2:05PHIMISS Iverson Driving Layup85
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 2:12PHIIverson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)85
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 2:14MIAMISS Kapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 2:31PHIIverson Traveling Turnover (P3.T15)85
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 2:44MIAWade 21' Fadeaway Jumper (31 PTS)85
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 3:03MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)85
0.5%
96
99.5%
Q4 - 3:04PHIMISS Iguodala Layup85
0.6%
96
99.4%
Q4 - 3:14MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P7.T23)85
0.9%
96
99.1%
Q4 - 3:32MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)85
1.1%
96
98.9%
Q4 - 3:34PHIMISS Iverson 7' Running Hook Shot85
1.2%
96
98.8%
Q4 - 3:41PHIGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)85
1.5%
96
98.5%
Q4 - 3:43MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot85
1.3%
96
98.7%
Q4 - 3:57PHIHenderson Tip Shot (2 PTS)85
1.0%
96
99.0%
Q4 - 3:58PHIHenderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)83
0.7%
96
99.3%
Q4 - 3:59PHIMISS Iguodala Layup83
0.5%
96
99.5%
Q4 - 4:22MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Wade 13 AST)83
0.7%
96
99.3%
Q4 - 4:41MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)83
0.9%
94
99.1%
Q4 - 4:42PHIMISS Green Driving Layup83
1.0%
94
99.0%
Q4 - 5:02PHIIguodala REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)83
2.1%
94
97.9%
Q4 - 5:03MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 283
2.0%
94
98.0%
Q4 - 5:03MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)83
1.7%
94
98.3%
Q4 - 5:14PHIIverson Driving Layup (43 PTS)83
2.0%
93
98.0%
Q4 - 5:19MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T22)81
1.5%
93
98.5%
Q4 - 5:32MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)81
1.0%
93
99.0%
Q4 - 5:33PHIMISS Iguodala 26' 3PT Jump Shot81
1.2%
93
98.8%
Q4 - 5:59MIAMourning Dunk (12 PTS) (Wade 12 AST)81
1.5%
93
98.5%
Q4 - 6:07PHIIguodala Dunk (13 PTS) (Ollie 2 AST)81
2.7%
91
97.3%
Q4 - 6:09PHIOllie REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)79
2.1%
91
97.9%
Q4 - 6:12PHIMISS Green Reverse Layup79
1.7%
91
98.3%
Q4 - 6:22MIAKapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 11 AST)79
2.1%
91
97.9%
Q4 - 6:39PHIGreen 14' Jump Shot (7 PTS)79
3.6%
88
96.4%
Q4 - 6:55MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)77
2.8%
88
97.2%
Q4 - 6:55MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)77
2.9%
87
97.1%
Q4 - 7:05PHIOllie Foul Turnover (P2.T14)77
4.6%
86
95.4%
Q4 - 7:26MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P5.T21)77
6.1%
86
93.9%
Q4 - 7:33PHIWade STEAL (1 STL)77
4.6%
86
95.4%
Q4 - 7:38PHIIguodala REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)77
6.1%
86
93.9%
Q4 - 7:39MIAMISS Walker 27' 3PT Jump Shot77
5.6%
86
94.4%
Q4 - 7:54MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
4.5%
86
95.5%
Q4 - 7:56PHIMISS Iverson 19' Jump Shot77
5.0%
86
95.0%
Q4 - 8:10MIAJump Ball Mourning vs. Dalembert: Tip to Ollie77
7.1%
86
92.9%
Q4 - 8:26PHIIverson Driving Finger Roll (41 PTS)77
5.6%
86
94.4%
Q4 - 8:32PHI76ers Rebound75
4.4%
86
95.6%
Q4 - 8:33PHIMourning BLOCK (7 BLK)75
3.7%
86
96.3%
Q4 - 8:45MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)75
4.4%
86
95.6%
Q4 - 8:53MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)75
7.0%
83
93.0%
Q4 - 8:55PHIMISS Iverson 20' Jump Shot75
7.6%
83
92.4%
Q4 - 9:14MIAWalker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)75
9.9%
83
90.1%
Q4 - 9:35PHIIverson Free Throw 2 of 2 (39 PTS)75
14.9%
80
85.1%
Q4 - 9:35PHIIverson Free Throw 1 of 2 (38 PTS)74
14.4%
80
85.6%
Q4 - 9:43PHIHunter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
12.2%
80
87.8%
Q4 - 9:45MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot73
11.4%
80
88.6%
Q4 - 10:01PHIGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Iverson 4 AST)73
10.6%
80
89.4%
Q4 - 10:13MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P4.T19)70
7.1%
80
92.9%
Q4 - 10:25PHIIverson Driving Layup (37 PTS)70
5.6%
80
94.4%
Q4 - 10:42MIAWright Dunk (8 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)68
4.6%
80
95.4%
Q4 - 10:46PHIWright STEAL (3 STL)68
5.6%
78
94.4%
Q4 - 10:55MIAHaslem Dunk (14 PTS) (Wright 2 AST)68
7.1%
78
92.9%
Q4 - 11:09PHIIverson Foul Turnover (P2.T11)68
9.4%
76
90.6%
Q4 - 11:11MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T18)68
11.5%
76
88.5%
Q4 - 11:18MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)68
9.3%
76
90.7%
Q4 - 11:19PHIMISS Korver 13' Turnaround Jump Shot68
9.9%
76
90.1%
Q4 - 11:41MIAHaslem 6' Hook Shot (12 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)68
11.4%
76
88.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA68
13.7%
74
86.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound68
13.7%
74
86.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 42' 3PT Jump Shot68
15.7%
74
84.3%
Q3 - 0:03.0PHIIverson Free Throw 1 of 1 (35 PTS)68
14.7%
74
85.3%
Q3 - 0:16.0PHIHunter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
10.2%
74
89.8%
Q3 - 0:18.0MIAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot65
9.6%
74
90.4%
Q3 - 0:37.0MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)65
8.4%
74
91.6%
Q3 - 0:38.0PHIMISS Iverson Driving Layup65
8.9%
74
91.1%
Q3 - 0:52.0MIAHaslem Reverse Layup (10 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)65
10.1%
74
89.9%
Q3 - 1:04MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
12.9%
72
87.1%
Q3 - 1:06PHIMISS Iverson 20' Jump Shot65
13.7%
72
86.3%
Q3 - 1:29MIAWright 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)65
15.4%
72
84.6%
Q3 - 1:53PHIHunter Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)65
18.0%
70
82.0%
Q3 - 2:16MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)62
13.6%
70
86.4%
Q3 - 2:16MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)62
14.0%
69
86.0%
Q3 - 2:16MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)62
15.7%
68
84.3%
Q3 - 2:17PHIMISS Iverson 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
16.5%
68
83.5%
Q3 - 2:42MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)62
18.5%
68
81.5%
Q3 - 2:42MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)62
19.0%
67
81.0%
Q3 - 2:49MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)62
21.2%
66
78.8%
Q3 - 2:51PHIMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
22.3%
66
77.7%
Q3 - 3:09MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P3.T17)62
25.3%
66
74.7%
Q3 - 3:20MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)62
21.9%
66
78.1%
Q3 - 3:21PHIWright BLOCK (1 BLK)62
22.9%
66
77.1%
Q3 - 3:44PHIRandolph REBOUND (Off:7 Def:1)62
25.3%
66
74.7%
Q3 - 3:45MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 162
24.8%
66
75.2%
Q3 - 3:57MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)62
28.6%
64
71.4%
Q3 - 3:59PHIMISS Iverson Free Throw 2 of 262
29.1%
64
70.9%
Q3 - 3:59PHIIverson Free Throw 1 of 2 (32 PTS)62
31.8%
64
68.2%
Q3 - 4:14MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P4.T16)61
29.0%
64
71.0%
Q3 - 4:21MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)61
25.1%
64
74.9%
Q3 - 4:23PHIMISS Korver 13' Fadeaway Jumper61
26.2%
64
73.8%
Q3 - 4:33PHIDalembert REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)61
29.0%
64
71.0%
Q3 - 4:35MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot61
27.8%
64
72.2%
Q3 - 4:46MIAHEAT Rebound61
25.1%
64
74.9%
Q3 - 4:47PHIMISS Iguodala Layup61
26.3%
64
73.7%
Q3 - 5:03MIAPayton 7' Hook Shot (12 PTS)61
29.2%
64
70.8%
Q3 - 5:10MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)61
32.4%
62
67.6%
Q3 - 5:12PHIMISS Randolph Tip Shot61
33.6%
62
66.4%
Q3 - 5:13PHIRandolph REBOUND (Off:7 Def:0)61
36.5%
62
63.5%
Q3 - 5:15PHIMISS Iverson 16' Jump Shot61
33.6%
62
66.4%
Q3 - 5:29PHIDalembert REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)61
36.5%
62
63.5%
Q3 - 5:31PHIMISS Randolph 11' Jump Shot61
33.6%
62
66.4%
Q3 - 5:35PHIKorver REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)61
36.5%
62
63.5%
Q3 - 5:37PHIMISS Dalembert 15' Jump Shot61
33.6%
62
66.4%
Q3 - 5:43PHI76ers Rebound61
36.5%
62
63.5%
Q3 - 5:43PHIMourning BLOCK (6 BLK)61
33.6%
62
66.4%
Q3 - 6:01MIAWade Dunk (23 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)61
36.2%
62
63.8%
Q3 - 6:23PHIKorver 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Iguodala 3 AST)61
39.8%
60
60.2%
Q3 - 6:27PHIRandolph REBOUND (Off:6 Def:0)58
32.7%
60
67.3%
Q3 - 6:29PHIMISS Iverson 16' Jump Shot58
30.1%
60
69.9%
Q3 - 6:44MIAPayton Foul Turnover (P1.T15)58
32.7%
60
67.3%
Q3 - 6:59PHIKorver 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Randolph 1 AST)58
29.0%
60
71.0%
Q3 - 7:01PHIRandolph REBOUND (Off:5 Def:0)56
26.2%
60
73.8%
Q3 - 7:04PHIMourning BLOCK (5 BLK)56
23.9%
60
76.1%
Q3 - 7:24MIAWade Reverse Layup (21 PTS)56
26.2%
60
73.8%
Q3 - 7:35MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)56
28.8%
58
71.2%
Q3 - 7:37PHIMourning BLOCK (4 BLK)56
30.0%
58
70.0%
Q3 - 7:52PHIRandolph REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)56
32.6%
58
67.4%
Q3 - 7:54PHIMISS Iguodala Free Throw 2 of 256
29.3%
58
70.7%
Q3 - 7:54PHIIguodala Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)56
31.4%
58
68.6%
Q3 - 8:04MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)55
29.5%
58
70.5%
Q3 - 8:04MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)55
30.1%
57
69.9%
Q3 - 8:15MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
32.3%
56
67.7%
Q3 - 8:20PHIMISS Randolph 7' Hook Shot55
33.4%
56
66.6%
Q3 - 8:37MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)55
36.1%
56
63.9%
Q3 - 9:05PHIIverson 21' Jump Shot (31 PTS) (Iguodala 2 AST)55
32.2%
56
67.8%
Q3 - 9:11MIAWright Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)53
29.1%
56
70.9%
Q3 - 9:18PHIWright STEAL (2 STL)53
26.1%
56
73.9%
Q3 - 9:22MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)53
29.2%
56
70.8%
Q3 - 9:40MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)53
26.1%
56
73.9%
Q3 - 9:42PHIMISS Ollie 15' Jump Shot53
27.0%
56
73.0%
Q3 - 10:01MIAPayton 6' Running Hook Shot (10 PTS)53
29.3%
56
70.7%
Q3 - 10:15PHIIguodala Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)53
32.0%
54
68.0%
Q3 - 10:25MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)53
35.5%
54
64.5%
Q3 - 10:25MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 253
36.6%
53
63.4%
Q3 - 10:45MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)53
35.2%
53
64.8%
Q3 - 10:47PHIMourning BLOCK (3 BLK)53
36.3%
53
63.7%
Q3 - 11:06MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)53
38.5%
53
61.5%
Q3 - 11:17PHIIverson 17' Fadeaway Jumper (29 PTS)53
41.7%
51
58.3%
Q3 - 11:35MIAMourning 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T11)51
38.5%
51
61.5%
Q3 - 11:50PHIDalembert 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T8)51
35.1%
51
64.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0PHI51
38.5%
51
61.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0PHI76ers Rebound51
38.5%
51
61.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0PHIMISS McFarlin 31' 3PT Jump Shot51
36.1%
51
63.9%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAWade 18' Turnaround Jump Shot (19 PTS)51
37.9%
51
62.1%
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)51
42.1%
49
57.9%
Q2 - 0:04.0MIAMISS Wright 26' 3PT Jump Shot51
43.6%
49
56.4%
Q2 - 0:25.0PHIMcFarlin Layup (2 PTS) (Iguodala 1 AST)51
42.0%
49
58.0%
Q2 - 0:31.0MIAWright Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)49
37.9%
49
62.1%
Q2 - 0:37.0MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
35.7%
49
64.3%
Q2 - 0:38.0PHIMISS Korver 26' 3PT Jump Shot49
36.4%
49
63.6%
Q2 - 0:55.0PHI76ers Rebound49
37.9%
49
62.1%
Q2 - 0:58.0PHIMISS Dalembert 14' Jump Shot49
36.4%
49
63.6%
Q2 - 1:24MIAWade Driving Dunk (17 PTS)49
37.6%
49
62.4%
Q2 - 1:31MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
42.2%
47
57.8%
Q2 - 1:34PHIMISS Ollie 7' Running Jump Shot49
42.7%
47
57.3%
Q2 - 1:59MIAHaslem Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)49
43.9%
47
56.1%
Q2 - 2:20PHIRandolph Dunk (2 PTS) (Iverson 3 AST)49
47.5%
45
52.5%
Q2 - 2:25PHIOllie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)47
44.1%
45
55.9%
Q2 - 2:27PHIMISS Iguodala Layup47
42.2%
45
57.8%
Q2 - 2:33MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)47
44.1%
45
55.9%
Q2 - 2:43MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)47
41.4%
45
58.6%
Q2 - 2:45PHIMISS Ollie 20' Jump Shot47
42.2%
45
57.8%
Q2 - 3:02MIAWalker Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)47
43.8%
45
56.2%
Q2 - 3:18PHIIverson Free Throw 1 of 1 (27 PTS)47
40.6%
45
59.4%
Q2 - 3:20PHIDalembert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)44
35.3%
45
64.7%
Q2 - 3:22PHIMISS Carney 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
33.2%
45
66.8%
Q2 - 3:29PHIRandolph REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)44
35.3%
45
64.7%
Q2 - 3:31PHIMISS Iguodala Layup44
33.2%
45
66.8%
Q2 - 3:43PHIDalembert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)44
35.3%
45
64.7%
Q2 - 3:45MIAMISS Walker Driving Layup44
34.4%
45
65.6%
Q2 - 4:00MIAHEAT Rebound44
32.3%
45
67.7%
Q2 - 4:01PHIMourning BLOCK (2 BLK)44
33.2%
45
66.8%
Q2 - 4:02PHIRandolph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)44
34.9%
45
65.1%
Q2 - 4:04PHIMISS Iverson 14' Jump Shot44
33.2%
45
66.8%
Q2 - 4:20MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)44
35.0%
45
65.0%
Q2 - 4:20MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)44
35.9%
44
64.1%
Q2 - 4:32PHIKorver Foul Turnover (P1.T7)44
37.6%
43
62.4%
Q2 - 4:47MIAKapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)44
40.4%
43
59.6%
Q2 - 5:02MIAKapono Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)44
45.6%
40
54.4%
Q2 - 5:18PHIIguodala 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Iverson 2 AST)44
48.4%
39
51.6%
Q2 - 5:41MIAPayton 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)41
43.0%
39
57.0%
Q2 - 5:54PHIHunter Foul Turnover (P2.T6)41
45.6%
37
54.4%
Q2 - 5:58MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)41
48.7%
37
51.3%
Q2 - 6:09MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
45.1%
37
54.9%
Q2 - 6:11PHIMISS Iguodala Layup41
46.1%
37
53.9%
Q2 - 6:33MIAPayton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)41
48.4%
37
51.6%
Q2 - 7:02PHIIverson Driving Layup (24 PTS)41
52.8%
34
47.2%
Q2 - 7:08MIAKapono Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)39
50.3%
34
49.7%
Q2 - 7:21MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
47.6%
34
52.4%
Q2 - 7:23PHIMISS Iverson 20' Jump Shot39
48.4%
34
51.6%
Q2 - 7:41MIAWade 18' Fadeaway Jumper (15 PTS)39
50.4%
34
49.6%
Q2 - 7:56PHIKorver 19' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Ollie 1 AST)39
52.8%
32
47.2%
Q2 - 8:18MIAWade 9' Jump Shot (13 PTS)37
50.0%
32
50.0%
Q2 - 8:30PHIGreen Foul Turnover (P1.T5)37
52.3%
30
47.7%
Q2 - 8:43MIAMourning Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)37
55.2%
30
44.8%
Q2 - 9:06PHIIverson 11' Jump Shot (22 PTS)37
51.6%
30
48.4%
Q2 - 9:11PHIOllie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
49.4%
30
50.6%
Q2 - 9:13MIAMISS Doleac 15' Jump Shot35
48.6%
30
51.4%
Q2 - 9:34PHIIverson 11' Fadeaway Jumper (20 PTS)35
46.6%
30
53.4%
Q2 - 9:47MIAWade Palming Turnover (P1.T4)33
44.4%
30
55.6%
Q2 - 9:51MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
41.7%
30
58.3%
Q2 - 9:53PHIWade BLOCK (2 BLK)33
42.5%
30
57.5%
Q2 - 10:09PHIHunter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
44.3%
30
55.7%
Q2 - 10:11MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 233
43.9%
30
56.1%
Q2 - 10:11MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)33
42.3%
30
57.7%
Q2 - 10:13MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)33
44.0%
29
56.0%
Q2 - 10:15MIAMISS Doleac Hook Shot33
45.9%
29
54.1%
Q2 - 10:26MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
44.0%
29
56.0%
Q2 - 10:28PHIMISS Iverson Driving Layup33
44.8%
29
55.2%
Q2 - 10:48MIAKapono 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)33
46.7%
29
53.3%
Q2 - 11:07PHIHunter Foul Turnover (P1.T4)33
48.4%
27
51.6%
Q2 - 11:29MIAWalker Layup (4 PTS) (Kapono 1 AST)33
50.8%
27
49.2%
Q2 - 11:43PHIIverson Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)33
53.3%
25
46.7%
Q2 - 11:43PHIIverson Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)32
52.9%
25
47.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA31
50.9%
25
49.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound31
48.4%
25
51.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Walker 42' 3PT Jump Shot31
50.1%
25
49.9%
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)31
48.2%
25
51.8%
Q1 - 0:03.0PHIMISS Iverson 26' 3PT Jump Shot31
48.7%
25
51.3%
Q1 - 0:25.0MIAKapono 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)31
50.0%
25
50.0%
Q1 - 0:32.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
52.9%
23
47.1%
Q1 - 0:33.0PHIMISS Iguodala 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
53.5%
23
46.5%
Q1 - 0:46.0MIAPayton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)31
54.8%
23
45.2%
Q1 - 1:01PHIGreen Driving Layup (2 PTS)31
59.8%
20
40.2%
Q1 - 1:26MIAWade Driving Layup (10 PTS)29
57.0%
20
43.0%
Q1 - 1:40PHIIguodala Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)29
59.8%
18
40.2%
Q1 - 1:40PHIIguodala Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)28
59.3%
18
40.7%
Q1 - 1:40PHI76ers Rebound27
57.0%
18
43.0%
Q1 - 1:41MIAMISS Doleac 19' Jump Shot27
56.5%
18
43.5%
Q1 - 2:00PHIIverson 17' Jump Shot (16 PTS)27
55.2%
18
44.8%
Q1 - 2:12PHIIguodala REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)25
52.4%
18
47.6%
Q1 - 2:14MIAMISS Doleac 16' Jump Shot25
51.8%
18
48.2%
Q1 - 2:25PHIIverson Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)25
50.3%
18
49.7%
Q1 - 2:25PHIIverson Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)24
49.9%
18
50.1%
Q1 - 2:27MIAHaslem Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)23
47.8%
18
52.2%
Q1 - 2:29MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
45.6%
18
54.4%
Q1 - 2:32MIAMISS Haslem Layup23
47.1%
18
52.9%
Q1 - 2:51PHIIverson Layup (12 PTS)23
45.6%
18
54.4%
Q1 - 3:16MIAWalker 5' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)21
42.8%
18
57.2%
Q1 - 3:36PHIIverson Layup (10 PTS)21
44.8%
16
55.2%
Q1 - 3:41PHIIguodala REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)19
42.8%
16
57.2%
Q1 - 3:43MIAMISS Wade Reverse Layup19
42.1%
16
57.9%
Q1 - 3:47MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
40.4%
16
59.6%
Q1 - 3:48PHIMISS Iverson 26' 3PT Jump Shot19
41.1%
16
58.9%
Q1 - 4:04MIAWade Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)19
42.5%
16
57.5%
Q1 - 4:16PHIOllie Driving Layup (6 PTS)19
44.2%
14
55.8%
Q1 - 4:34MIAWright Follow Up Dunk (4 PTS)17
42.5%
14
57.5%
Q1 - 4:35MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
44.2%
12
55.8%
Q1 - 4:37MIAMISS Walker Driving Layup17
46.1%
12
53.9%
Q1 - 4:49MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
44.2%
12
55.8%
Q1 - 4:51PHIMISS Iguodala 21' Jump Shot17
45.1%
12
54.9%
Q1 - 5:05MIAWright Driving Layup (2 PTS)17
45.8%
12
54.2%
Q1 - 5:10MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
47.7%
10
52.3%
Q1 - 5:12PHIMISS Dalembert Layup17
48.5%
10
51.5%
Q1 - 5:15PHIDalembert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)17
50.1%
10
49.9%
Q1 - 5:17PHIMISS Dalembert 5' Hook Shot17
48.5%
10
51.5%
Q1 - 5:36MIAMourning Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)17
50.1%
10
49.9%
Q1 - 5:46PHIOllie 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS)17
52.0%
8
48.0%
Q1 - 5:59PHIIguodala REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)15
50.2%
8
49.8%
Q1 - 6:00MIAMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot15
49.5%
8
50.5%
Q1 - 6:13PHIIverson 8' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)15
47.1%
8
52.9%
Q1 - 6:27PHI76ers Rebound13
45.2%
8
54.8%
Q1 - 6:29MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot13
44.5%
8
55.5%
Q1 - 6:41PHIOllie Foul Turnover (P1.T3)13
43.1%
8
56.9%
Q1 - 6:44PHIIguodala REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
45.2%
8
54.8%
Q1 - 6:46MIAMISS Wade Layup13
44.5%
8
55.5%
Q1 - 6:50PHIWright STEAL (1 STL)13
43.1%
8
56.9%
Q1 - 6:54PHIDalembert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
45.2%
8
54.8%
Q1 - 6:56MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot13
44.5%
8
55.5%
Q1 - 7:07PHIIverson 10' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)13
42.3%
8
57.7%
Q1 - 7:15PHI76ers Rebound11
40.7%
8
59.3%
Q1 - 7:16PHIMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)11
39.2%
8
60.8%
Q1 - 7:17PHIIguodala REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
40.7%
8
59.3%
Q1 - 7:18PHIMISS Iverson 14' Jump Shot11
39.2%
8
60.8%
Q1 - 7:23PHIIguodala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
40.7%
8
59.3%
Q1 - 7:25MIAMISS Wade 11' Running Jump Shot11
40.0%
8
60.0%
Q1 - 7:38MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
38.7%
8
61.3%
Q1 - 7:40PHIMISS Dalembert 17' Jump Shot11
39.3%
8
60.7%
Q1 - 8:02MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)11
40.7%
8
59.3%
Q1 - 8:02MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)11
41.0%
7
59.0%
Q1 - 8:17PHIOllie Driving Layup (2 PTS)11
42.3%
6
57.7%
Q1 - 8:20PHIOllie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
40.7%
6
59.3%
Q1 - 8:23MIAMISS Mourning Layup9
40.0%
6
60.0%
Q1 - 8:37PHIIguodala Driving Dunk (5 PTS)9
38.6%
6
61.4%
Q1 - 8:59MIAWade Dunk (4 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)7
37.1%
6
62.9%
Q1 - 9:03PHIHaslem STEAL (1 STL)7
38.3%
4
61.7%
Q1 - 9:16PHI76ers Rebound7
40.6%
4
59.4%
Q1 - 9:19PHIMISS Ollie 16' Jump Shot7
39.0%
4
61.0%
Q1 - 9:26PHIHenderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
40.6%
4
59.4%
Q1 - 9:29PHIMISS Iverson 13' Jump Shot7
39.0%
4
61.0%
Q1 - 9:48PHI76ers Rebound7
40.6%
4
59.4%
Q1 - 9:49MIAMISS Wright 7' Running Jump Shot7
39.9%
4
60.1%
Q1 - 10:02PHIIguodala 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Iverson 1 AST)7
38.3%
4
61.7%
Q1 - 10:23MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
35.0%
4
65.0%
Q1 - 10:23MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
35.3%
3
64.7%
Q1 - 10:34MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
36.5%
2
63.5%
Q1 - 10:36PHIMISS Iguodala 8' Jump Shot4
37.1%
2
62.9%
Q1 - 10:44PHIDalembert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
38.5%
2
61.5%
Q1 - 10:46PHIMISS Iverson 16' Jump Shot4
37.1%
2
62.9%
Q1 - 11:01MIAMourning 6' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS)4
38.2%
2
61.8%
Q1 - 11:13PHIIverson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)4
40.1%
0
59.9%
Q1 - 11:13PHIIverson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)3
39.8%
0
60.2%
Q1 - 11:13PHIRandolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
38.2%
0
61.8%
Q1 - 11:15PHIWade BLOCK (1 BLK)2
37.1%
0
62.9%
Q1 - 11:20MIAMourning Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)2
38.2%
0
61.8%
Q1 - 11:29PHIIverson 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
36.6%
0
63.4%
Q1 - 11:43MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
34.8%
0
65.2%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Mourning vs. Dalembert: Tip to Wade0
33.3%
0
66.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

PHI
0.87 43.3%
MIA
1.27 63.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
PHI
19
42
45%
MIA
16
23
70%
Midrange
PHI
13
40
33%
MIA
16
27
59%
3PT | Effective 3PT
PHI
4
6.0
15
27%
40%
MIA
5
7.5
13
38%
58%
Free Throws
PHI
15
17
88%
MIA
24
29
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
PHI logo 76ers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Iverson4554%22.5 / 42
A. Iguodala1542%7.5 / 18
K. Korver750%3.5 / 7
W. Green735%3.5 / 10
K. Ollie643%3.0 / 7
A. Henderson4100%2.0 / 2
S. Hunter3150%1.5 / 1
S. Randolph213%1.0 / 8
I. McFarlin250%1.0 / 2
S. Dalembert0-0.0 / 6
R. Carney0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3366%16.5 / 25
U. Haslem1875%9.0 / 12
A. Mourning1478%7.0 / 9
G. Payton12100%6.0 / 6
J. Kapono11110%5.5 / 5
D. Wright867%4.0 / 6
A. Walker744%3.5 / 8
J. Williams0-0.0 / 1
M. Doleac0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

PHI
79
+26
-15
105
MIA
74
+7
-21
81
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

PHI
0.87 43.3%
MIA
1.27 63.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.5
104.2
PHI 96.8 +11.6
MIA 108.4
Pace
90.9
90.1
PHI 94.8 +0.6
MIA 94.2
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
16.5
PHI 15.2 +0.1
MIA 15.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.0%
50.6%
PHI 39.2%
MIA 62.7% +23.5%
TO %
16.0%
15.3%
PHI 12.6% +10.7%
MIA 23.3%
ORB %
27.3%
24.9%
PHI 35.2% +14.4%
MIA 20.8%
FTrt
33.3
32.1
PHI 17.5
MIA 46.0 +28.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.9%
57.6%
PHI 30.6%
MIA 59.5% +28.9%
STL %
7.8%
7.6%
PHI 11.7% +6.4%
MIA 5.3%
BLK %
7.6%
8.8%
PHI 4.0%
MIA 12.2% +8.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.5%
52.4%
PHI 43.3%
MIA 63.6% +20.3%
Rim FG%
59.0%
61.8%
PHI 45.2%
MIA 69.6% +24.4%
Mid FG%
39.5%
40.5%
PHI 32.5%
MIA 59.3% +26.8%
3P %
34.5%
34.3%
PHI 26.7%
MIA 38.5% +11.8%
FT %
76.7%
69.0%
PHI 88.2% +5.4%
MIA 82.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.5%
34.9%
PHI 43.3% +6.8%
MIA 36.5%
Mid Att. %
51.7%
40.7%
PHI 41.2% +1.6%
MIA 42.9%
3P Att. %
12.8%
24.5%
PHI 15.5%
MIA 20.6% +5.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.
Game TotalsPHIMIA
Possessions9495
Possession Minutes23.824.2
Points91103
Rebounds3840
Assists1122
Steals115
Blocks210
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)21 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)19 (7)5 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)19 (3)35 (2)
Field Goals36-9737-63
At-the-Rim FG19-4216-23
Midrange FG13-4016-27
2-Point FG32-8232-50
3-Point FG4-155-13
Free Throws15-1724-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'0" 165 · 31
47.5
45
54%
1
4
3
0
3
2
0
1
11-12
92%
17-34
50%
0-3
0%
F · 6'6" 215 · 23
40.5
15
42%
9
3
2
0
3
3
2
7
3-4
75%
3-12
25%
2-4
50%
G · 6'2" 195 · 34
26.9
6
43%
4
2
1
0
2
2
2
2
0-0
-
3-7
43%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 255 · 27
25.0
0
0%
7
0
0
1
2
5
4
3
0-0
-
0-6
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 236 · 23
14.8
2
13%
8
1
2
0
0
3
7
1
0-0
-
1-8
13%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 212 · 26
27.9
7
50%
1
0
1
0
2
2
1
0
0-0
-
2-4
50%
1-3
33%
G · 6'3" 205 · 25
20.7
7
35%
1
0
1
0
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
2-7
29%
1-3
33%
C · 7'0" 240 · 25
18.3
3
150%
3
0
0
1
2
4
0
3
1-1
100%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 34
15.3
4
100%
4
1
1
0
0
3
3
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 205 · 23
1.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
F · 6'7" 229 · 25
0.9
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
G · 6'1" 175 · 20
0.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#30 · F · 6'9" 250 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#11 · F · 6'7" 215 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#4 · F-C · 6'10" 245 · 34
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
91
43%
38
11
11
2
15
0
19
19
15-17
88%
32-82
39%
4-15
27%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.