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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
November 27, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2076ers39%9391
15Heat61%97103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 31.5
47.5
41.5
45
53%
1
4
3
2
0
3
0
1
11-12
92%
17-34
9-19
50%
46%
0-3
0%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 22.8
40.5
40.1
15
42%
9
3
2
2
0
3
2
7
3-4
75%
3-12
4-7
25%
53%
2-4
50%
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 33.9
26.9
20.0
6
43%
4
2
1
1
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
3-7
1-3
43%
42%
0-0
-
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 26.5
25.0
28.5
0
0%
7
0
0
1
1
2
4
3
0-0
-
0-6
3-6
0%
54%
0-0
-
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 23.0
14.8
19.7
2
13%
8
1
2
1
0
0
7
1
0-0
-
1-8
2-4
13%
49%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 25.7
27.9
29.0
7
50%
1
0
1
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
44%
1-3
33%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 25.3
20.7
31.2
7
35%
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-7
5-11
29%
44%
1-3
33%
Steven Hunter
C · 7'0" 240 · 25.1
18.3
15.5
3
104%
3
0
0
0
1
2
0
3
1-1
100%
1-1
2-3
100%
60%
0-0
-
Alan Henderson
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 34.0
15.3
16.1
4
100%
4
1
1
0
0
0
3
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
50%
0-0
-
Rodney Carney
F · 6'7" 205 · 22.6
1.7
10.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-1
0%
Ivan McFarlin
F · 6'7" 229 · 24.6
0.9
2.0
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
45%
0-1
0%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 20.1
0.5
2.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Steven Smith
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.6
Bobby Jones
F · 6'7" 215 · 22.9
Chris Webber
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 24.9
45.4
40.5
33
68%
7
13
1
2
2
7
1
6
13-14
93%
10-17
9-17
59%
51%
0-1
0%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.5
32.4
32.6
18
74%
10
1
1
1
0
4
1
9
4-5
80%
7-10
5-9
70%
52%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 21.0
31.6
33.6
8
67%
7
2
3
1
1
2
1
6
0-0
-
4-5
4-7
80%
49%
0-1
0%
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 36.8
29.1
24.7
14
78%
5
0
0
0
7
5
1
4
6-9
67%
4-5
3-6
80%
56%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 31.0
8.5
25.6
0
0%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
49%
0-1
0%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.8
32.2
21.2
11
101%
5
1
0
0
0
1
1
4
1-1
100%
2-2
2-4
100%
44%
2-3
67%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.3
28.2
23.8
7
44%
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
49%
1-4
25%
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 38.3
27.2
15.2
12
100%
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-3
1-2
100%
49%
2-3
67%
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 29.5
5.5
10.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-4
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 25.3
7.7
0
2-3
51%
Wayne Simien
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.7
5.8
0
1-2
49%
Robert Hite
G · 6'2" 184 · 22.9
5.4
0
1-1
45%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 34.7
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 29.9
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.