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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
November 27, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Spurs47%97102
14Warriors53%98111
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 35.5
43.3
36.0
7
51%
6
2
2
1
2
0
1
5
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
43%
1-4
25%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 30.6
39.8
32.8
22
53%
16
4
1
1
6
5
8
8
4-6
67%
9-18
8-15
50%
50%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.5
38.0
32.0
28
55%
3
7
2
1
0
4
1
2
6-6
100%
11-23
7-14
48%
51%
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 33.7
37.5
19.0
18
58%
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
4
6-6
100%
3-7
2-4
43%
43%
2-6
33%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 31.7
17.9
24.3
2
17%
4
2
1
0
1
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-6
3-5
17%
53%
0-0
-
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 34.9
28.6
23.2
10
71%
2
2
1
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
52%
2-4
50%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.4
14.6
13.1
11
51%
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
4-4
100%
2-7
2-4
29%
46%
1-2
50%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 30.7
10.5
12.5
4
41%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
1-4
1-2
25%
51%
0-0
-
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 36.3
5.1
20.6
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
41%
0-0
-
Eric Williams
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 34.4
4.7
3.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 31.8
5.1
0
0-1
43%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 26.6
4.6
0
0-1
49%
Jackie Butler
C · 6'10" 260 · 21.7
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 29.3
James White
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 26.7
45.3
20.7
13
51%
7
6
1
1
3
0
1
6
3-4
75%
2-7
2-4
29%
51%
2-4
50%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 25.9
44.5
36.0
26
65%
3
5
0
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
7-12
5-10
58%
47%
4-8
50%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 20.7
41.9
35.0
18
57%
15
4
1
1
6
1
5
10
2-2
100%
8-15
5-8
53%
61%
0-0
-
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 21.1
32.6
36.7
19
50%
2
0
1
1
1
4
0
2
7-7
100%
6-14
6-12
43%
47%
0-2
0%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 26.6
18.3
30.4
7
79%
3
3
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-1
0%
2-3
3-6
67%
45%
1-1
100%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 26.2
31.1
27.2
20
68%
4
5
2
1
1
1
0
4
2-4
50%
6-11
3-6
55%
48%
2-2
100%
Keith McLeod
G · 6'2" 190 · 27.1
25.7
12.1
8
60%
2
4
4
0
0
2
1
1
6-6
100%
1-4
1-3
25%
38%
0-0
-
Anthony Roberson
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.8
0.6
6.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 24.8
18.1
1
2-4
49%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 27.6
14.1
1
2-4
45%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 31.7
5.9
0
1-1
49%
Patrick O'Bryant
C · 7'0" 250 · 20.4
3.3
0
0-1
46%
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.2
Zarko Cabarkapa
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 25.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.