FinalWin Prob.pScore
2932%96
95
1868%102
96
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
100.09583.5
WAS logo WAS
101.195110.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

WizardsHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

WizardsHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLWAS
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL95
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 0:01.0ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)95
1.4%
96
98.6%
Q4 - 0:02.0ATLMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot95
4.1%
96
95.9%
Q4 - 0:12.0ATLHawks Rebound95
31.8%
96
68.2%
Q4 - 0:13.0ATLMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot95
17.7%
96
82.3%
Q4 - 0:38.0WASArenas Foul Turnover (P9.T21)95
32.4%
96
67.6%
Q4 - 0:50.0ATLLue 15' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Pachulia 4 AST)95
19.4%
96
80.6%
Q4 - 1:04WASButler Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)93
12.6%
96
87.4%
Q4 - 1:08ATLDaniels STEAL (2 STL)93
30.9%
93
69.1%
Q4 - 1:29WASArenas Foul Turnover (P8.T20)93
44.8%
93
55.2%
Q4 - 1:33ATLJamison STEAL (3 STL)93
30.5%
93
69.5%
Q4 - 1:57ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:7 Def:7)93
43.6%
93
56.4%
Q4 - 1:58WASMISS Jamison 5' Jump Shot93
39.7%
93
60.3%
Q4 - 2:09WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)93
29.6%
93
70.4%
Q4 - 2:09WASMISS Arenas 8' Jump Shot93
40.0%
93
60.0%
Q4 - 2:21ATLPachulia Traveling Turnover (P4.T15)93
29.4%
93
70.6%
Q4 - 2:40WASArenas Bad Pass Turnover (P7.T19)93
45.3%
93
54.7%
Q4 - 2:45WASButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)93
29.1%
93
70.9%
Q4 - 2:47ATLMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot93
33.6%
93
66.4%
Q4 - 3:11ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:7 Def:6)93
44.0%
93
56.0%
Q4 - 3:13WASMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot93
39.4%
93
60.6%
Q4 - 3:39ATLJohnson 8' Jump Shot (33 PTS)93
31.8%
93
68.2%
Q4 - 3:49ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)91
24.7%
93
75.3%
Q4 - 3:51ATLMISS Stoudamire 19' Jump Shot91
20.0%
93
80.0%
Q4 - 4:07WASArenas Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T18)91
24.6%
93
75.4%
Q4 - 4:11ATLJamison STEAL (2 STL)91
18.0%
93
82.0%
Q4 - 4:33ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:7 Def:5)91
24.6%
93
75.4%
Q4 - 4:35WASMISS Arenas 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
22.4%
93
77.6%
Q4 - 5:02ATLLue 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Johnson 8 AST)91
19.0%
93
81.0%
Q4 - 5:24WASDaniels 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Arenas 7 AST)88
10.8%
93
89.2%
Q4 - 5:44ATLLue 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Johnson 7 AST)88
14.3%
91
85.7%
Q4 - 6:00WASArenas Driving Layup (21 PTS)85
7.9%
91
92.1%
Q4 - 6:14WASWIZARDS Rebound85
11.5%
89
88.5%
Q4 - 6:14ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 285
12.0%
89
88.0%
Q4 - 6:14ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 285
14.1%
89
85.9%
Q4 - 6:16ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)85
15.6%
89
84.4%
Q4 - 6:19WASMISS Arenas 2' Layup85
14.2%
89
85.8%
Q4 - 6:25WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)85
11.5%
89
88.5%
Q4 - 6:27ATLMISS Pachulia 1' Layup85
12.6%
89
87.4%
Q4 - 6:41WASHaywood Dunk (8 PTS) (Butler 4 AST)85
15.5%
89
84.5%
Q4 - 6:56WASDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)85
19.2%
87
80.8%
Q4 - 6:59ATLMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot85
20.9%
87
79.1%
Q4 - 7:16WASArenas Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T17)85
25.6%
87
74.4%
Q4 - 7:28ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)85
20.1%
87
79.9%
Q4 - 7:28ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)84
19.1%
87
80.9%
Q4 - 7:31ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)83
16.5%
87
83.5%
Q4 - 7:32WASMISS Arenas 17' Jump Shot83
15.2%
87
84.8%
Q4 - 7:45ATLJohnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (31 PTS) (Stoudamire 1 AST)83
12.6%
87
87.4%
Q4 - 8:05WASHayes 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Daniels 3 AST)80
8.9%
87
91.1%
Q4 - 8:18ATLJohnson 1' Layup (28 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)80
13.9%
84
86.1%
Q4 - 8:28WASHaywood Foul Turnover (P1.T16)78
11.1%
84
88.9%
Q4 - 8:37ATLJohnson Foul Turnover (P3.T13)78
8.8%
84
91.2%
Q4 - 8:42WASHayes Foul Turnover (P2.T15)78
11.1%
84
88.9%
Q4 - 8:58ATLJohnson 3' Tip Shot (26 PTS)78
8.7%
84
91.3%
Q4 - 8:59ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)76
6.9%
84
93.1%
Q4 - 9:00ATLMISS Johnson 14' Jump Shot76
5.9%
84
94.1%
Q4 - 9:29WASHayes 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Arenas 6 AST)76
7.6%
84
92.4%
Q4 - 9:33ATLLue Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)76
11.7%
81
88.3%
Q4 - 9:50WASArenas Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)76
14.5%
81
85.5%
Q4 - 9:59WASWIZARDS Rebound76
21.4%
78
78.6%
Q4 - 9:59ATLMISS Pachulia 18' Jump Shot76
22.7%
78
77.3%
Q4 - 10:24WASHaywood 2' Tip Shot (6 PTS)76
26.2%
78
73.8%
Q4 - 10:25WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)76
30.4%
76
69.6%
Q4 - 10:27WASMISS Arenas 1' Layup76
34.2%
76
65.8%
Q4 - 10:38WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)76
30.4%
76
69.6%
Q4 - 10:40ATLMISS Freije 27' 3PT Jump Shot76
32.0%
76
68.0%
Q4 - 11:02WASButler Traveling Turnover (P2.T14)76
35.7%
76
64.3%
Q4 - 11:10WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)76
30.7%
76
69.3%
Q4 - 11:12ATLMISS Smith 2' Layup76
32.2%
76
67.8%
Q4 - 11:17ATLLue REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)76
35.7%
76
64.3%
Q4 - 11:18WASMISS Arenas 19' Jump Shot76
34.2%
76
65.8%
Q4 - 11:42WASButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)76
30.7%
76
69.3%
Q4 - 11:44ATLMISS Stoudamire 18' Jump Shot76
32.2%
76
67.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0WAS76
35.7%
76
64.3%
Q3 - 0:10.0WASButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)76
30.7%
76
69.3%
Q3 - 0:11.0ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 276
31.2%
76
68.8%
Q3 - 0:11.0ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)76
34.2%
76
65.8%
Q3 - 0:23.0WASButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)75
30.6%
76
69.4%
Q3 - 0:23.0WASButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)75
31.2%
75
68.8%
Q3 - 0:25.0WASButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)75
35.2%
74
64.8%
Q3 - 0:27.0ATLMISS Johnson 8' Jump Shot75
36.7%
74
63.3%
Q3 - 0:42.0ATLHawks Rebound75
40.1%
74
59.9%
Q3 - 0:43.0ATLMISS Johnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot75
36.7%
74
63.3%
Q3 - 1:04WASButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)75
39.3%
74
60.7%
Q3 - 1:04WASButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)75
39.9%
73
60.1%
Q3 - 1:04WASButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)75
43.8%
72
56.2%
Q3 - 1:05WASMISS Jamison 18' Jump Shot75
47.3%
72
52.7%
Q3 - 1:27ATLJohnson 17' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Lue 2 AST)75
43.9%
72
56.1%
Q3 - 1:35ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
39.3%
72
60.7%
Q3 - 1:37WASMISS Daniels 20' Jump Shot73
37.9%
72
62.1%
Q3 - 1:59ATLStoudamire 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)73
34.6%
72
65.4%
Q3 - 2:06ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)70
26.2%
72
73.8%
Q3 - 2:08WASMISS Jamison 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
25.1%
72
74.9%
Q3 - 2:27ATLLue 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Johnson 6 AST)70
22.5%
72
77.5%
Q3 - 2:43WASButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)68
19.7%
72
80.3%
Q3 - 2:43WASButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)68
20.1%
71
79.9%
Q3 - 2:57ATLLue 13' Jump Shot (8 PTS)68
22.5%
70
77.5%
Q3 - 3:16WASArenas 21' Jump Shot (16 PTS)66
20.1%
70
79.9%
Q3 - 3:25WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)66
22.9%
68
77.1%
Q3 - 3:27ATLMISS Smith 3' Jump Shot66
23.9%
68
76.1%
Q3 - 3:28ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)66
26.4%
68
73.6%
Q3 - 3:29ATLMISS Smith 5' Jump Shot66
23.9%
68
76.1%
Q3 - 3:57WASButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)66
26.4%
68
73.6%
Q3 - 3:57WASButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)66
26.9%
67
73.1%
Q3 - 3:59WASHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
29.8%
66
70.2%
Q3 - 4:01ATLHaywood BLOCK (3 BLK)66
30.5%
66
69.5%
Q3 - 4:21ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)66
33.5%
66
66.5%
Q3 - 4:23WASMISS Jamison 5' Jump Shot66
32.2%
66
67.8%
Q3 - 4:44ATLJohnson 2' Layup (21 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)66
29.3%
66
70.7%
Q3 - 4:50WASThomas Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T13)64
26.3%
66
73.7%
Q3 - 4:52ATLShel. Williams Layup (9 PTS)64
22.7%
66
77.3%
Q3 - 4:56ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)62
20.2%
66
79.8%
Q3 - 4:58ATLMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot62
18.0%
66
82.0%
Q3 - 5:18WASButler Foul Turnover (P1.T12)62
20.3%
66
79.7%
Q3 - 5:22WASButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
17.6%
66
82.4%
Q3 - 5:23ATLMISS Wright 17' Jump Shot62
18.4%
66
81.6%
Q3 - 5:47WASArenas 1' Driving Layup (14 PTS) (Jamison 3 AST)62
20.3%
66
79.7%
Q3 - 5:49WASJamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)62
22.9%
64
77.1%
Q3 - 5:51ATLMISS Shel. Williams 6' Jump Shot62
23.9%
64
76.1%
Q3 - 6:04ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
26.1%
64
73.9%
Q3 - 6:05WASMISS Butler 4' Jump Shot62
25.1%
64
74.9%
Q3 - 6:09ATLSmith Traveling Turnover (P4.T11)62
22.9%
64
77.1%
Q3 - 6:20ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
26.1%
64
73.9%
Q3 - 6:22WASMISS Jamison 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
25.1%
64
74.9%
Q3 - 6:44ATLJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)62
23.0%
64
77.0%
Q3 - 6:58ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)59
17.9%
64
82.1%
Q3 - 6:59WASMISS Arenas 26' 3PT Jump Shot59
17.2%
64
82.8%
Q3 - 7:16ATLWright 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS)59
15.7%
64
84.3%
Q3 - 7:37WASButler 1' Driving Dunk (10 PTS)57
14.0%
64
86.0%
Q3 - 7:47ATLArenas STEAL (3 STL)57
15.6%
62
84.4%
Q3 - 8:09WASArenas Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)57
18.3%
62
81.7%
Q3 - 8:09WASArenas Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)57
18.7%
61
81.3%
Q3 - 8:14WASArenas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)57
20.3%
60
79.7%
Q3 - 8:15ATLMISS Johnson 15' Jump Shot57
21.2%
60
78.8%
Q3 - 8:22WASJump Ball Thomas vs. Shel. Williams: Tip to Smith57
23.3%
60
76.7%
Q3 - 8:24WASThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)57
20.3%
60
79.7%
Q3 - 8:25ATLMISS Claxton 19' Jump Shot57
21.2%
60
78.8%
Q3 - 8:50WASArenas Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T10)57
23.3%
60
76.7%
Q3 - 8:52ATLJamison STEAL (1 STL)57
20.3%
60
79.7%
Q3 - 9:08WASArenas 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jamison 2 AST)57
22.8%
60
77.2%
Q3 - 9:24ATLPachulia Foul Turnover (P2.T8)57
28.3%
57
71.7%
Q3 - 9:30WASArenas Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)57
31.5%
57
68.5%
Q3 - 9:43ATLJohnson 1' Layup (16 PTS) (Pachulia 3 AST)57
28.4%
57
71.6%
Q3 - 9:53ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:7 Def:4)55
25.6%
57
74.4%
Q3 - 9:53WASMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot55
24.7%
57
75.3%
Q3 - 10:11ATLSmith 3' Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)55
22.5%
57
77.5%
Q3 - 10:25WASJamison 6' Running Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)53
20.4%
57
79.6%
Q3 - 10:37ATLPachulia 1' Tip Shot (8 PTS)53
22.5%
55
77.5%
Q3 - 10:38ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:7 Def:3)51
20.4%
55
79.6%
Q3 - 10:40ATLMISS Pachulia 2' Layup51
18.7%
55
81.3%
Q3 - 11:04WASWIZARDS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)51
20.2%
55
79.8%
Q3 - 11:04WASArenas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
18.0%
55
82.0%
Q3 - 11:06WASMISS Butler 4' Jump Shot51
19.5%
55
80.5%
Q3 - 11:30ATLJohnson 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Claxton 2 AST)51
18.0%
55
82.0%
Q3 - 11:41ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
16.2%
55
83.8%
Q3 - 11:43WASMISS Butler 10' Jump Shot49
15.6%
55
84.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL49
14.3%
55
85.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLHawks Rebound49
16.2%
55
83.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
14.8%
55
85.2%
Q2 - 0:03.0ATLLue REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
16.2%
55
83.8%
Q2 - 0:05.0WASMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot49
15.9%
55
84.1%
Q2 - 0:26.0ATLLue Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)49
15.0%
55
85.0%
Q2 - 0:26.0ATLLue Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)48
14.8%
55
85.2%
Q2 - 0:45.0WASArenas Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)47
12.9%
55
87.1%
Q2 - 0:45.0WASMISS Arenas Free Throw 1 of 247
13.2%
54
86.8%
Q2 - 0:47.0ATLArenas STEAL (2 STL)47
13.4%
54
86.6%
Q2 - 1:03WASDaniels Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)47
14.7%
54
85.3%
Q2 - 1:05WASDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
13.9%
54
86.1%
Q2 - 1:06ATLMISS Lue 6' Jump Shot47
14.1%
54
85.9%
Q2 - 1:23WASStevenson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)47
14.7%
54
85.3%
Q2 - 1:23WASStevenson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)47
15.1%
53
84.9%
Q2 - 1:29ATLThomas STEAL (1 STL)47
17.2%
52
82.8%
Q2 - 1:45WASStevenson 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS)47
18.2%
52
81.8%
Q2 - 2:05ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)47
20.9%
50
79.1%
Q2 - 2:05ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 246
20.5%
50
79.5%
Q2 - 2:19ATLJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
20.8%
50
79.2%
Q2 - 2:20WASMISS Arenas 20' Jump Shot46
20.2%
50
79.8%
Q2 - 2:37ATLJones Foul Turnover (P1.T5)46
19.0%
50
81.0%
Q2 - 2:52WASDaniels Running Dunk (2 PTS)46
20.7%
50
79.3%
Q2 - 2:56ATLDaniels STEAL (1 STL)46
23.1%
48
76.9%
Q2 - 3:04ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
25.3%
48
74.7%
Q2 - 3:06WASMISS Daniels 19' Jump Shot46
24.5%
48
75.5%
Q2 - 3:23ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)46
22.8%
48
77.2%
Q2 - 3:23ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)45
22.4%
48
77.6%
Q2 - 3:34WASJump Ball Arenas vs. Claxton: Tip to Johnson44
21.0%
48
79.0%
Q2 - 3:40WASJamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
18.9%
48
81.1%
Q2 - 3:42ATLThomas BLOCK (3 BLK)44
19.5%
48
80.5%
Q2 - 3:52ATLJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
21.0%
48
79.0%
Q2 - 3:53WASMISS Arenas Free Throw 2 of 244
20.7%
48
79.3%
Q2 - 3:53WASArenas Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)44
19.4%
48
80.6%
Q2 - 3:58WASThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)44
20.8%
47
79.2%
Q2 - 3:59ATLMISS Freije 16' Jump Shot44
21.5%
47
78.5%
Q2 - 4:06ATLClaxton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
22.8%
47
77.2%
Q2 - 4:09WASMISS Jamison 3PT Jump Shot44
22.2%
47
77.8%
Q2 - 4:26ATLJohnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)44
20.9%
47
79.1%
Q2 - 4:45WASJamison Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)41
17.3%
47
82.7%
Q2 - 4:45WASMISS Jamison Free Throw 1 of 241
17.7%
46
82.3%
Q2 - 4:49WASArenas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
17.3%
46
82.7%
Q2 - 4:51ATLMISS Freije 20' Jump Shot41
17.8%
46
82.2%
Q2 - 5:08ATLFreije REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)41
19.1%
46
80.9%
Q2 - 5:09WASMISS Thomas Free Throw 1 of 141
18.9%
46
81.1%
Q2 - 5:18WASThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)41
20.8%
44
79.2%
Q2 - 5:20ATLThomas BLOCK (2 BLK)41
21.4%
44
78.6%
Q2 - 5:35WASThomas 6' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Jamison 1 AST)41
22.9%
44
77.1%
Q2 - 5:47ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)41
24.8%
42
75.2%
Q2 - 5:47ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
20.9%
42
79.1%
Q2 - 5:47ATLMISS Jones 5' Jump Shot38
19.6%
42
80.4%
Q2 - 6:08WASThomas Foul Turnover (P2.T5)38
21.2%
42
78.8%
Q2 - 6:17WASThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
19.0%
42
81.0%
Q2 - 6:18ATLMISS Stoudamire 19' Jump Shot38
19.7%
42
80.3%
Q2 - 6:36ATLLue REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
21.1%
42
78.9%
Q2 - 6:38WASMISS Jamison 24' 3PT Jump Shot38
20.5%
42
79.5%
Q2 - 6:44WASDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
19.0%
42
81.0%
Q2 - 6:46ATLMISS Freije 27' 3PT Jump Shot38
19.6%
42
80.4%
Q2 - 6:57WASTaylor 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hayes 1 AST)38
21.1%
42
78.9%
Q2 - 7:16ATLFreije 3' Jump Shot (6 PTS)38
23.0%
40
77.0%
Q2 - 7:19ATLFreije REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)36
21.3%
40
78.7%
Q2 - 7:21ATLMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot36
20.0%
40
80.0%
Q2 - 7:41ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)36
21.3%
40
78.7%
Q2 - 7:43WASMISS Daniels 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
20.7%
40
79.3%
Q2 - 7:59ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)36
19.4%
40
80.6%
Q2 - 7:59ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)35
19.0%
40
81.0%
Q2 - 8:20WASJamison 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Taylor 1 AST)34
18.0%
40
82.0%
Q2 - 8:46ATLLue 24' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)34
21.1%
37
78.9%
Q2 - 8:57WASHaywood 1' Tip Shot (4 PTS)31
18.0%
37
82.0%
Q2 - 8:58WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)31
19.4%
35
80.6%
Q2 - 9:00WASMISS Jamison 15' Jump Shot31
20.7%
35
79.3%
Q2 - 9:19ATLFreije Layup (4 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)31
19.4%
35
80.6%
Q2 - 9:41WASJamison 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Daniels 1 AST)29
18.1%
35
81.9%
Q2 - 9:55WASWIZARDS Rebound29
21.0%
32
79.0%
Q2 - 9:55WASMISS Daniels Free Throw 2 of 229
22.7%
32
77.3%
Q2 - 9:55WASMISS Daniels Free Throw 1 of 229
21.5%
32
78.5%
Q2 - 10:10ATLFreije 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)29
21.2%
32
78.8%
Q2 - 10:11ATLFreije REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
19.8%
32
80.2%
Q2 - 10:13ATLMISS Lue 4' Jump Shot27
18.6%
32
81.4%
Q2 - 10:19ATLWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
19.8%
32
80.2%
Q2 - 10:22WASMISS Arenas 26' 3PT Jump Shot27
19.2%
32
80.8%
Q2 - 10:45ATLStoudamire 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Freije 1 AST)27
18.0%
32
82.0%
Q2 - 11:02WASHaywood Dunk (2 PTS)24
15.3%
32
84.7%
Q2 - 11:03WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
16.6%
30
83.4%
Q2 - 11:04WASMISS Arenas 18' Jump Shot24
17.6%
30
82.4%
Q2 - 11:17ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)24
16.6%
30
83.4%
Q2 - 11:17ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)23
16.4%
30
83.6%
Q2 - 11:33ATLStoudamire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
15.3%
30
84.7%
Q2 - 11:35WASMISS Haywood 4' Jump Shot22
15.0%
30
85.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL22
14.1%
30
85.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
15.3%
30
84.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0WASMISS Arenas 2' Layup22
15.0%
30
85.0%
Q1 - 0:04.0WASStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
14.4%
30
85.6%
Q1 - 0:06.0ATLHaywood BLOCK (2 BLK)22
14.6%
30
85.4%
Q1 - 0:24.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
15.3%
30
84.7%
Q1 - 0:25.0WASMISS Haywood 5' Jump Shot22
15.0%
30
85.0%
Q1 - 0:34.0WASStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
14.4%
30
85.6%
Q1 - 0:35.0ATLMISS Smith 5' Jump Shot22
14.6%
30
85.4%
Q1 - 0:55.0WASHayes Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)22
15.3%
30
84.7%
Q1 - 1:09ATLStoudamire 16' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Lue 1 AST)22
14.4%
30
85.6%
Q1 - 1:33WASHayes 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)20
13.0%
30
87.0%
Q1 - 1:42WASButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
15.6%
27
84.4%
Q1 - 1:44ATLMISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot20
15.9%
27
84.1%
Q1 - 1:59WASButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)20
16.6%
27
83.4%
Q1 - 1:59WASButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)20
16.8%
26
83.2%
Q1 - 2:05WASHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
18.3%
25
81.7%
Q1 - 2:06ATLMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot20
18.7%
25
81.3%
Q1 - 2:24ATLHawks Rebound20
19.6%
25
80.4%
Q1 - 2:24WASMISS Jamison 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
19.2%
25
80.8%
Q1 - 2:39ATLJohnson 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)20
18.3%
25
81.7%
Q1 - 2:59WASArenas 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)18
16.8%
25
83.2%
Q1 - 3:06WASButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
19.6%
22
80.4%
Q1 - 3:08ATLMISS Smith 15' Jump Shot18
20.1%
22
79.9%
Q1 - 3:28WASButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)18
21.3%
22
78.7%
Q1 - 3:28WASButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)18
21.5%
21
78.5%
Q1 - 3:34WASJamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
22.6%
20
77.4%
Q1 - 3:36ATLMISS Lue Free Throw 2 of 218
22.9%
20
77.1%
Q1 - 3:36ATLLue Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)18
24.0%
20
76.0%
Q1 - 3:47ATLHawks Rebound17
22.8%
20
77.2%
Q1 - 3:49WASMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot17
22.3%
20
77.7%
Q1 - 4:07ATLSmith 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)17
20.9%
20
79.1%
Q1 - 4:10ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
19.7%
20
80.3%
Q1 - 4:11WASMISS Jamison 27' 3PT Jump Shot15
19.2%
20
80.8%
Q1 - 4:20WASJamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
18.1%
20
81.9%
Q1 - 4:22ATLMISS Johnson 3' Layup15
18.6%
20
81.4%
Q1 - 4:42WASStevenson Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)15
19.8%
20
80.2%
Q1 - 4:44WASArenas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
22.4%
17
77.6%
Q1 - 4:46ATLHaywood BLOCK (1 BLK)15
23.0%
17
77.0%
Q1 - 5:09WASJamison Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)15
23.9%
17
76.1%
Q1 - 5:09WASJamison Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)15
24.3%
16
75.7%
Q1 - 5:15ATLPachulia Tip Shot (4 PTS)15
25.4%
15
74.6%
Q1 - 5:16ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:6 Def:2)13
24.0%
15
76.0%
Q1 - 5:18ATLMISS Pachulia 1' Layup13
22.8%
15
77.2%
Q1 - 5:19ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)13
24.0%
15
76.0%
Q1 - 5:21ATLMISS Pachulia 1' Layup13
22.8%
15
77.2%
Q1 - 5:22ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)13
24.0%
15
76.0%
Q1 - 5:23ATLMISS Smith 4' Jump Shot13
22.8%
15
77.2%
Q1 - 5:38WASButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)13
24.0%
15
76.0%
Q1 - 5:38WASButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)13
24.2%
14
75.8%
Q1 - 5:58ATLShel. Williams 1' Dunk (7 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)13
25.4%
13
74.6%
Q1 - 6:18WASJamison 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Arenas 4 AST)11
23.8%
13
76.2%
Q1 - 6:21WASArenas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
25.2%
11
74.8%
Q1 - 6:22ATLMISS Claxton 17' Jump Shot11
25.7%
11
74.3%
Q1 - 6:28ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)11
26.9%
11
73.1%
Q1 - 6:30ATLMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot11
25.7%
11
74.3%
Q1 - 6:50WASJamison 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Arenas 3 AST)11
26.9%
11
73.1%
Q1 - 6:54WASThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
28.4%
9
71.6%
Q1 - 6:56ATLMISS Shel. Williams 4' Jump Shot11
29.0%
9
71.0%
Q1 - 7:16WASJamison 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Stevenson 1 AST)11
29.7%
9
70.3%
Q1 - 7:38ATLShel. Williams Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)11
32.8%
6
67.2%
Q1 - 7:51WASArenas Driving Layup (2 PTS)8
29.7%
6
70.3%
Q1 - 7:56ATLArenas STEAL (1 STL)8
31.2%
4
68.8%
Q1 - 8:04ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)8
32.8%
4
67.2%
Q1 - 8:05WASMISS Jamison 11' Jump Shot8
32.3%
4
67.7%
Q1 - 8:16WASThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
31.0%
4
69.0%
Q1 - 8:17ATLMISS Shel. Williams 19' Jump Shot8
31.5%
4
68.5%
Q1 - 8:43WASThomas Layup (2 PTS) (Arenas 2 AST)8
32.8%
4
67.2%
Q1 - 9:01ATLStevenson STEAL (1 STL)8
33.9%
2
66.1%
Q1 - 9:15ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)8
36.2%
2
63.8%
Q1 - 9:17WASMISS Arenas 2' Layup8
35.5%
2
64.5%
Q1 - 9:33ATLJohnson Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Shel. Williams 1 AST)8
34.0%
2
66.0%
Q1 - 9:43WASThomas Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)6
32.8%
2
67.2%
Q1 - 9:53ATLPachulia 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)6
30.7%
2
69.3%
Q1 - 9:54ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)4
29.5%
2
70.5%
Q1 - 9:56ATLMISS Pachulia 1' Layup4
28.1%
2
71.9%
Q1 - 10:09ATLHawks Rebound4
29.2%
2
70.8%
Q1 - 10:09ATLThomas BLOCK (1 BLK)4
28.0%
2
72.0%
Q1 - 10:20WASArenas Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)4
29.2%
2
70.8%
Q1 - 10:31ATLShel. Williams 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Claxton 1 AST)4
27.5%
2
72.5%
Q1 - 10:45WASJamison Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
26.3%
2
73.7%
Q1 - 10:59ATLClaxton 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)2
24.6%
2
75.4%
Q1 - 11:03ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
23.3%
2
76.7%
Q1 - 11:04ATLMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot0
22.5%
2
77.5%
Q1 - 11:27WASButler 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Arenas 1 AST)0
23.3%
2
76.7%
Q1 - 11:42ATLButler STEAL (1 STL)0
24.7%
0
75.3%
Q1 - 12:00WASJump Ball Thomas vs. Smith: Tip to Pachulia0
26.0%
0
74.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.97 48.5%
WAS
1.17 58.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
19
37
51%
WAS
16
26
62%
Midrange
ATL
9
31
29%
WAS
7
21
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
8
12.0
18
44%
67%
WAS
8
12.0
19
42%
63%
Free Throws
ATL
15
20
75%
WAS
26
32
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Johnson3363%16.5 / 26
T. Lue1875%9.0 / 12
J. Smith925%4.5 / 18
S. Williams964%4.5 / 7
Z. Pachulia836%4.0 / 11
S. Stoudamire867%4.0 / 6
M. Freije643%3.0 / 7
S. Claxton225%1.0 / 4
L. Wright250%1.0 / 2
S. Jones0-0.0 / 1
C. Bozeman0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
WAS logo Wizards
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Butler2162%10.5 / 17
G. Arenas2148%10.5 / 22
A. Jamison1847%9.0 / 19
J. Hayes9150%4.5 / 3
B. Haywood867%4.0 / 6
D. Stevenson7117%3.5 / 3
E. Thomas6100%3.0 / 3
A. Daniels433%2.0 / 6
D. Taylor2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
78
+19
-17
97
WAS
75
+7
-20
82
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.97 48.5%
WAS
1.17 58.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
102.9
109.6
ATL 100.0
WAS 101.1 +1.1
Pace
90.2
94.6
ATL 83.5
WAS 110.2 +26.8
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
14.9
ATL 17.3
WAS 13.1 +4.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.1%
49.1%
ATL 46.5%
WAS 53.0% +6.5%
TO %
16.7%
13.9%
ATL 15.2% +5.6%
WAS 20.8%
ORB %
29.3%
28.1%
ATL 31.9% +14.8%
WAS 17.1%
FTrt
34.6
35.6
ATL 23.3
WAS 48.5 +25.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.6%
54.1%
ATL 66.7%
WAS 67.7% +1.0%
STL %
8.2%
8.1%
ATL 7.4%
WAS 11.6% +4.2%
BLK %
8.7%
7.3%
ATL 6.4%
WAS 8.8% +2.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.8%
53.1%
ATL 48.5%
WAS 58.5% +10.0%
Rim FG%
55.2%
57.8%
ATL 51.4%
WAS 61.5% +10.1%
Mid FG%
39.3%
39.9%
ATL 29.0%
WAS 33.3% +4.3%
3P %
32.9%
34.8%
ATL 44.4% +2.3%
WAS 42.1%
FT %
76.1%
76.5%
ATL 75.0%
WAS 81.3% +6.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.8%
35.3%
ATL 43.0% +3.6%
WAS 39.4%
Mid Att. %
44.9%
41.0%
ATL 36.0%
WAS 31.8% +4.2%
3P Att. %
16.3%
23.7%
ATL 20.9%
WAS 28.8% +7.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsATLWAS
Possessions9595
Possession Minutes27.320.7
Points9596
Rebounds4438
Assists2421
Steals711
Blocks36
Turnovers (Team)17 (0)20 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (4)6 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (2)32 (2)
Field Goals36-8631-66
At-the-Rim FG19-3716-26
Midrange FG9-317-21
2-Point FG28-6823-47
3-Point FG8-188-19
Free Throws15-2026-32
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'7" 240 · 25
44.8
33
63%
6
8
1
0
4
3
2
4
6-8
75%
9-15
60%
3-7
43%
F · 6'9" 225 · 21
44.0
9
25%
9
4
2
1
5
3
3
6
3-5
60%
3-12
25%
0-4
0%
C · 6'11" 270 · 23
25.7
8
36%
14
4
0
0
5
5
7
7
2-2
100%
3-10
30%
0-0
-
G · 5'11" 170 · 29
17.2
2
25%
1
2
2
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 23
16.1
9
64%
4
1
1
2
0
4
1
3
1-1
100%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 175 · 30
34.3
18
75%
3
2
1
0
1
2
0
3
3-4
75%
3-7
43%
3-3
100%
G · 6'1" 175 · 24
25.1
8
67%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
25%
2-2
100%
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 31
14.3
2
50%
1
1
0
0
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 249 · 25
10.8
6
43%
3
1
0
0
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-2
0%
F · 6'10" 235 · 22
4.5
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 207 · 24
3.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 200 · 25
#11 · F-C · 6'10" 268 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#24 · F · 6'9" 237 · 20
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · F-G · 6'8" 210 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
95
49%
44
24
7
3
17
0
15
29
15-20
75%
28-68
41%
8-18
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.