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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
November 28, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Hawks32%9695
18Wizards68%10296
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 25.4
44.8
36.0
33
65%
6
8
1
1
0
4
2
4
6-8
75%
9-15
6-12
60%
49%
3-7
43%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 21.0
44.0
35.3
9
25%
9
4
2
1
1
5
3
6
3-5
60%
3-12
4-8
25%
46%
0-4
0%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 22.8
25.7
29.1
8
37%
14
4
0
1
0
5
7
7
2-2
100%
3-10
4-9
30%
46%
0-0
-
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 28.6
17.2
13.6
2
25%
1
2
2
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
43%
0-0
-
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 23.1
16.1
29.5
9
60%
4
1
1
1
2
0
1
3
1-1
100%
4-7
3-7
57%
49%
0-0
-
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 29.6
34.3
28.3
18
77%
3
2
1
1
0
1
0
3
3-4
75%
3-7
3-7
43%
48%
3-3
100%
Salim Stoudamire
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.1
25.1
22.4
8
67%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
44%
2-2
100%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 31.1
14.3
14.2
2
50%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
48%
0-0
-
Matt Freije
F · 6'9" 249 · 25.2
10.8
7.7
6
43%
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
3-5
1-1
60%
44%
0-2
0%
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 22.4
4.5
11.4
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Cedric Bozeman
G · 6'6" 207 · 23.7
3.4
11.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 24.9
3.0
0
0-1
43%
Esteban Batista
F-C · 6'10" 268 · 23.2
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 20.4
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 23.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 26.7
43.2
39.3
21
63%
8
4
1
2
0
2
1
7
15-15
100%
3-9
6-12
33%
48%
0-1
0%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.9
41.6
38.3
21
48%
5
7
3
2
0
9
1
4
5-7
71%
5-14
6-13
36%
48%
2-5
40%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.5
34.5
36.8
18
48%
4
3
3
1
0
1
0
4
3-4
75%
3-8
5-10
38%
49%
3-9
33%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 25.7
24.2
27.3
7
105%
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
2
3-3
100%
2-2
3-7
100%
47%
0-0
-
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 28.7
20.8
22.4
6
87%
6
0
1
0
3
4
0
6
0-1
0%
3-3
3-5
100%
54%
0-0
-
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 31.7
25.5
25.7
4
34%
3
4
2
1
0
1
0
3
0-2
0%
2-4
3-5
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 27.0
25.4
20.3
8
67%
8
0
0
0
3
1
4
4
0-0
-
4-6
2-4
67%
53%
0-0
-
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.3
19.7
14.3
9
150%
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
43%
3-3
100%
Donell Taylor
G · 6'5" 193 · 24.3
4.0
3.6
2
100%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
45%
0-0
-
James Lang
C · 6'10" 305 · 23.1
0.9
7.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-0
-
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 20.3
4.0
0
1-1
49%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 26.2
2.3
0
0-0
44%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 28.8
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 30.6
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 29.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.