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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
November 28, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Raptors44%9394
27Hornets56%9477
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Fred Jones
G · 6'2" 225 · 27.7
37.4
35.2
5
36%
2
1
1
1
0
2
1
1
2-2
100%
0-2
2-5
0%
45%
1-4
25%
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 31.4
34.5
26.8
19
69%
5
0
3
1
0
1
3
2
4-4
100%
6-7
3-6
86%
46%
1-5
20%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 22.7
31.2
35.0
19
56%
14
3
0
1
0
1
5
9
7-9
78%
6-12
6-13
50%
49%
0-1
0%
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 23.7
22.8
31.1
2
14%
3
3
1
1
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
1-7
5-10
14%
45%
0-0
-
Jorge Garbajosa
F · 6'9" 245 · 28.9
22.2
29.6
4
33%
3
1
0
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
48%
0-2
0%
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.5
24.1
19.5
14
64%
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
4-8
3-5
50%
47%
2-3
67%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 21.1
23.1
21.1
16
81%
4
1
1
0
2
2
2
2
2-2
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
47%
2-3
67%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.2
22.6
18.8
13
57%
3
4
2
1
0
2
0
3
2-3
67%
4-7
2-5
57%
48%
1-3
33%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 30.5
14.1
11.0
2
50%
5
1
0
0
2
2
1
4
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.8
2.7
9.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
42%
0-0
-
Darrick Martin
G · 5'11" 170 · 35.7
2.7
2.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
34%
0-1
0%
PJ Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 21.6
2.7
0.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
40%
0-0
-
Pape Sow
F · 6'10" 250 · 25.0
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 29.3
Uros Slokar
F · 6'10" 238 · 23.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 27.5
38.8
20.7
13
41%
5
1
2
0
0
3
2
3
0-0
-
5-9
2-4
56%
43%
1-7
14%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 24.2
38.4
30.9
6
61%
17
0
0
1
2
0
4
13
0-2
0%
3-4
2-4
75%
55%
0-0
-
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 21.6
37.6
33.9
16
43%
4
11
4
2
0
3
2
2
3-6
50%
5-14
6-12
36%
49%
1-2
50%
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 29.1
36.4
31.9
10
51%
3
0
0
1
0
3
0
3
2-2
100%
4-9
5-10
44%
44%
0-0
-
Marc Jackson
F · 6'10" 253 · 31.9
16.4
15.9
9
46%
3
0
1
0
0
2
2
1
1-2
50%
4-9
3-6
44%
46%
0-0
-
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 27.1
20.4
21.2
4
29%
2
1
0
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
1-5
3-6
20%
43%
0-1
0%
Cedric Simmons
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.9
18.1
15.0
6
50%
4
1
0
0
1
0
3
1
0-0
-
3-6
2-3
50%
48%
0-0
-
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 33.7
16.0
23.3
4
29%
0
2
1
1
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
1-5
3-7
20%
46%
0-1
0%
Marcus Vinicius
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.5
6.3
6.3
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
1-1
100%
Linton Johnson
F · 6'8" 205 · 26.5
5.3
7.9
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
0-0
-
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 22.0
4.4
6.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-2
0%
0-0
1-2
-
52%
0-0
-
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 21.6
2.0
5.6
4
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
47%
0-0
-
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 29.5
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.