Final Win Prob. pScore
2344%93
94
2756%95
77
ORTG#PossPace
TOR logo Raptors
109.38686.3
Hornets
89.58686.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HornetsRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HornetsRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventTORNOK
Q4 - 0:00.0NOK94
100%
77
0%
Q4 - 0:09.0TORJones 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)94
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 0:31.0NOKVinicius 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Pargo 1 AST)91
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 0:36.0NOKJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)91
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 0:37.0TORMISS Tucker 11' Turnaround Jump Shot91
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 1:02NOKBass Dunk (4 PTS)91
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 1:07NOKArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)91
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 1:08TORMISS Martin 26' 3PT Jump Shot91
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 1:32NOKBass Driving Layup (2 PTS)91
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 1:49TORJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)91
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 1:49TORJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)90
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 1:49NOKVinicius P.FOUL (P1.PN)89
70
Q4 - 2:01NOKPargo Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)89
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 2:01NOKSUB: Bass FOR Butler89
69
Q4 - 2:01NOKPargo Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)89
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 2:01TORGraham S.FOUL (P2.T4)89
68
Q4 - 2:05NOKJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)89
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 2:06TORMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 2:20NOKButler Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T16)89
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 2:41TORSUB: Martin FOR Nesterovic89
68
Q4 - 2:41TORSUB: Humphries FOR Calderon89
68
Q4 - 2:41TORSUB: Graham FOR Bargnani89
68
Q4 - 2:41TORSUB: Tucker FOR Parker89
68
Q4 - 2:41NOKSUB: Armstrong FOR Paul89
68
Q4 - 2:41NOKSUB: Pargo FOR Chandler89
68
Q4 - 2:41TORRaptors Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)89
68
Q4 - 2:41TORCalderon P.FOUL (P2.T3)89
68
Q4 - 2:42TORPaul STEAL (4 STL)89
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 3:02TORParker REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)89
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 3:04NOKMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot89
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 3:23TORBargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Calderon 4 AST)89
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 3:40TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)86
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 3:41TORMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot86
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 4:05NOKJohnson 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Paul 11 AST)86
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 4:23NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:4 Def:13)86
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 4:24TORMISS Calderon Free Throw 2 of 286
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 4:24TORCalderon Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)86
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 4:24NOKPaul P.FOUL (P4.PN)85
66
Q4 - 4:24NOKPaul Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T15)85
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 4:29NOKButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)85
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 4:30NOKMISS Butler Reverse Layup85
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 4:42TORParker Follow Up Dunk (19 PTS)85
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 4:43TORParker REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)83
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 4:44TORMISS Calderon 13' Jump Shot83
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 5:07NOKPaul 6' Jump Shot (16 PTS)83
99.7%
66
0.3%
Q4 - 5:15NOKSUB: Johnson FOR Mason83
64
Q4 - 5:15TORJones Foul Turnover (P2.T13)83
99.8%
64
0.2%
Q4 - 5:15TORJones OFF.Foul (P3)83
64
Q4 - 5:28NOKPaul P.FOUL (P3.T4)83
64
Q4 - 5:32TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)83
99.9%
64
0.1%
Q4 - 5:34NOKMISS Mason Reverse Layup83
99.8%
64
0.2%
Q4 - 5:53TORSUB: Parker FOR Graham83
64
Q4 - 5:53NOKHORNETS Rebound83
99.8%
64
0.2%
Q4 - 5:54NOKMISS Paul Driving Layup83
99.8%
64
0.2%
Q4 - 5:59NOKPaul REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)83
99.8%
64
0.2%
Q4 - 6:00TORMISS Bargnani 13' Jump Shot83
99.8%
64
0.2%
Q4 - 6:17NOKSUB: Vinicius FOR Pargo83
64
Q4 - 6:17TORRaptors Rebound83
99.7%
64
0.3%
Q4 - 6:19NOKMISS Pargo 21' Jump Shot83
99.7%
64
0.3%
Q4 - 6:23NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:4 Def:12)83
99.6%
64
0.4%
Q4 - 6:24TORMISS Nesterovic 18' Jump Shot83
99.7%
64
0.3%
Q4 - 6:44TORJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)83
99.7%
64
0.3%
Q4 - 6:46NOKMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
99.7%
64
0.3%
Q4 - 6:56TORBargnani 23' Jump Shot (13 PTS)83
99.6%
64
0.4%
Q4 - 7:14NOKButler Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)81
99.2%
64
0.8%
Q4 - 7:17TORButler STEAL (2 STL)81
99.0%
64
1.0%
Q4 - 7:31TORRaptors Rebound81
99.2%
64
0.8%
Q4 - 7:31NOKMISS Paul 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
99.2%
64
0.8%
Q4 - 7:49NOKHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 0)81
64
Q4 - 7:56TORGraham 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Calderon 3 AST)81
99.0%
64
1.0%
Q4 - 8:11NOKPargo Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)78
97.6%
64
2.4%
Q4 - 8:15TORButler STEAL (1 STL)78
97.0%
64
3.0%
Q4 - 8:25NOKSUB: Mason FOR Simmons78
64
Q4 - 8:25NOKSUB: Chandler FOR Jackson78
64
Q4 - 8:25NOKSimmons P.FOUL (P2.T3)78
64
Q4 - 8:46NOKJackson 10' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Paul 10 AST)78
97.6%
64
2.4%
Q4 - 9:06TORBargnani Dunk (11 PTS) (Nesterovic 1 AST)78
97.5%
62
2.5%
Q4 - 9:23TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)76
96.9%
62
3.1%
Q4 - 9:25NOKMISS Jackson 19' Jump Shot76
96.7%
62
3.3%
Q4 - 9:34TORCalderon Driving Layup (12 PTS)76
96.2%
62
3.8%
Q4 - 9:51NOKJackson 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Paul 9 AST)74
95.1%
62
4.9%
Q4 - 10:00NOKSimmons REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)74
96.2%
60
3.8%
Q4 - 10:01TORMISS Graham 3PT Jump Shot74
95.6%
60
4.4%
Q4 - 10:18NOKSUB: Butler FOR Mason74
60
Q4 - 10:18NOKMason 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T12)74
96.2%
60
3.8%
Q4 - 10:31TORSUB: Nesterovic FOR Bosh74
60
Q4 - 10:31NOKSUB: Paul FOR Jackson74
60
Q4 - 10:31NOKHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)74
60
Q4 - 10:31TORBargnani P.FOUL (P4.T2)74
60
Q4 - 10:46TORGraham Layup (11 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST)74
95.3%
60
4.7%
Q4 - 10:55NOKMason P.FOUL (P3.T2)72
60
Q4 - 11:04NOKJackson P.FOUL (P1.T1)72
60
Q4 - 11:14TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)72
93.1%
60
6.9%
Q4 - 11:16TORMISS Calderon 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
92.2%
60
7.8%
Q4 - 11:30NOKJackson Backcourt Turnover (P2.T11)72
93.2%
60
6.8%
Q4 - 11:30TORJackson STEAL (1 STL)72
91.8%
60
8.2%
Q4 - 11:33NOKJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)72
93.2%
60
6.8%
Q4 - 11:33TORSUB: Jones FOR Parker72
59
Q4 - 11:33NOKHORNETS Rebound72
59
Q4 - 11:33NOKMISS Jackson Free Throw 1 of 272
93.4%
59
6.6%
Q4 - 11:33TORBosh S.FOUL (P2.T1)72
59
Q4 - 11:33NOKJackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)72
93.3%
59
6.7%
Q4 - 11:35NOKMISS Pargo 14' Running Jump Shot72
94.1%
59
5.9%
Q4 - 11:47TORJackson STEAL (1 STL)72
93.3%
59
6.7%
Q4 - 12:0072
59
Q3 - 0:00.0NOK72
94.5%
59
5.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOKHORNETS Rebound72
93.3%
59
6.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0TORMISS Calderon 44' 3PT Jump Shot72
93.7%
59
6.3%
Q3 - 0:03.0NOKHORNETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)72
93.5%
59
6.5%
Q3 - 0:26.0NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)72
92.3%
59
7.7%
Q3 - 0:27.0TORMISS Calderon 21' Jump Shot72
92.7%
59
7.3%
Q3 - 0:44.0TORGraham REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)72
93.5%
59
6.5%
Q3 - 0:46.0NOKMISS Jackson 6' Running Jump Shot72
93.2%
59
6.8%
Q3 - 0:55.0NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)72
92.4%
59
7.6%
Q3 - 0:56.0TORMISS Graham 7' Jump Shot72
92.8%
59
7.2%
Q3 - 1:15TORBosh REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)72
92.8%
59
7.2%
Q3 - 1:16NOKMISS Simmons 18' Jump Shot72
92.4%
59
7.6%
Q3 - 1:35TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)72
91.5%
59
8.5%
Q3 - 1:35NOKSUB: Simmons FOR Butler71
59
Q3 - 1:35TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)71
91.2%
59
8.8%
Q3 - 1:35NOKChandler S.FOUL (P3.T4)70
59
Q3 - 1:51TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
89.7%
59
10.3%
Q3 - 1:52NOKMISS Paul 19' Jump Shot70
89.2%
59
10.8%
Q3 - 2:15TORCalderon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)70
86.6%
59
13.4%
Q3 - 2:27TORCalderon Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)67
81.6%
59
18.4%
Q3 - 2:27TORRaptors Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)66
59
Q3 - 2:27NOKHORNETS T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Jackson )66
59
Q3 - 2:37TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)66
78.7%
59
21.3%
Q3 - 2:38NOKMISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
77.7%
59
22.3%
Q3 - 3:01TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)66
74.2%
59
25.8%
Q3 - 3:01NOKMason S.FOUL (P2.T3)65
59
Q3 - 3:01TORBosh Layup (16 PTS) (Bargnani 1 AST)65
59
Q3 - 3:07TORSUB: Calderon FOR Ford63
59
Q3 - 3:19NOKPaul 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)63
67.0%
59
33.0%
Q3 - 3:45TORFord Driving Layup (2 PTS)63
74.2%
56
25.8%
Q3 - 4:00NOKPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)61
70.9%
56
29.1%
Q3 - 4:00NOKHORNETS Rebound61
55
Q3 - 4:00NOKMISS Paul Free Throw 1 of 261
71.4%
55
28.6%
Q3 - 4:00TORGraham S.FOUL (P1.T4)61
55
Q3 - 4:02TORPaul STEAL (3 STL)61
69.6%
55
30.4%
Q3 - 4:10TORFord REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
73.8%
55
26.2%
Q3 - 4:12TORMISS Bosh Layup61
70.9%
55
29.1%
Q3 - 4:15TORBosh REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)61
73.8%
55
26.2%
Q3 - 4:16TORMISS Graham 17' Jump Shot61
70.9%
55
29.1%
Q3 - 4:27TORGraham REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)61
73.8%
55
26.2%
Q3 - 4:31TORMISS Bosh Slam Dunk61
71.0%
55
29.0%
Q3 - 4:42TORSUB: Bargnani FOR Jones61
55
Q3 - 4:42TORSUB: Graham FOR Garbajosa61
55
Q3 - 4:42NOKHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)61
55
Q3 - 4:42TORRaptors Rebound61
73.8%
55
26.2%
Q3 - 4:42TORChandler BLOCK (2 BLK)61
71.0%
55
29.0%
Q3 - 4:58NOKPaul 8' Jump Shot (10 PTS)61
73.8%
55
26.2%
Q3 - 5:04NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)61
75.1%
53
24.9%
Q3 - 5:06TORMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
76.2%
53
23.8%
Q3 - 5:28NOKMason 4' Jump Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)61
78.6%
53
21.4%
Q3 - 5:46TORGarbajosa 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)61
81.0%
51
19.0%
Q3 - 6:04TORGarbajosa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
77.5%
51
22.5%
Q3 - 6:05NOKMISS Chandler Free Throw 2 of 259
77.1%
51
22.9%
Q3 - 6:05NOKSUB: Jackson FOR Jackson59
51
Q3 - 6:05NOKHORNETS Rebound59
51
Q3 - 6:05NOKMISS Chandler Free Throw 1 of 259
75.7%
51
24.3%
Q3 - 6:05TORGarbajosa S.FOUL (P2.T3)59
51
Q3 - 6:05NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)59
74.3%
51
25.7%
Q3 - 6:07NOKMISS Jackson 18' Jump Shot59
76.6%
51
23.4%
Q3 - 6:19TORFord Violation:Kicked Ball59
51
Q3 - 6:24TORParker 18' Jump Shot (17 PTS)59
74.4%
51
25.6%
Q3 - 6:38NOKJackson Traveling Turnover (P2.T9)57
71.4%
51
28.6%
Q3 - 6:45NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)57
67.8%
51
32.2%
Q3 - 6:46TORMISS Ford 12' Jump Shot57
68.9%
51
31.1%
Q3 - 7:00TORBosh REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)57
71.5%
51
28.5%
Q3 - 7:01TORMISS Parker 3PT Jump Shot57
67.6%
51
32.4%
Q3 - 7:13NOKPaul 22' Jump Shot (8 PTS)57
70.0%
51
30.0%
Q3 - 7:32NOKHORNETS Rebound57
73.1%
49
26.9%
Q3 - 7:34NOKMISS Paul Driving Layup57
75.3%
49
24.7%
Q3 - 7:44TORParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)57
73.1%
49
26.9%
Q3 - 7:44TORParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)56
72.7%
49
27.3%
Q3 - 7:44NOKButler S.FOUL (P1.T2)55
49
Q3 - 7:50TORBosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)55
70.1%
49
29.9%
Q3 - 7:51NOKMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
69.1%
49
30.9%
Q3 - 8:11TORBosh 9' Jump Bank Shot (14 PTS)55
65.9%
49
34.1%
Q3 - 8:13TORBosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)53
62.7%
49
37.3%
Q3 - 8:14TORMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot53
60.0%
49
40.0%
Q3 - 8:32NOKButler 15' Jump Shot (13 PTS)53
62.7%
49
37.3%
Q3 - 8:58TORBosh Tip Shot (12 PTS)53
65.9%
47
34.1%
Q3 - 9:00TORBosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)51
62.7%
47
37.3%
Q3 - 9:02TORMISS Ford 6' Jump Shot51
59.7%
47
40.3%
Q3 - 9:19TORJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)51
62.2%
47
37.8%
Q3 - 9:21TORMISS Parker 3PT Jump Shot51
59.7%
47
40.3%
Q3 - 9:39TORGarbajosa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
62.2%
47
37.8%
Q3 - 9:40NOKMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
61.2%
47
38.8%
Q3 - 9:52TORJones P.FOUL (P2.T2)51
47
Q3 - 10:09NOKPaul REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)51
58.0%
47
42.0%
Q3 - 10:10TORMISS Ford 16' Jump Shot51
59.1%
47
40.9%
Q3 - 10:26TORFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
61.6%
47
38.4%
Q3 - 10:28NOKMISS Jackson 17' Jump Shot51
60.5%
47
39.5%
Q3 - 10:37NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)51
58.1%
47
41.9%
Q3 - 10:40NOKMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot51
60.5%
47
39.5%
Q3 - 10:53TORFord P.FOUL (P3.T1)51
47
Q3 - 10:55NOKHORNETS Rebound51
58.1%
47
41.9%
Q3 - 10:57NOKMISS Butler 22' Jump Shot51
60.5%
47
39.5%
Q3 - 11:21TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)51
57.6%
47
42.4%
Q3 - 11:21TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)50
57.0%
47
43.0%
Q3 - 11:21NOKMason P.FOUL (P1.T1)49
47
Q3 - 11:30NOKChandler Tip Shot (6 PTS)49
54.4%
47
45.6%
Q3 - 11:37NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)49
57.6%
45
42.4%
Q3 - 11:39NOKMISS Mason 5' Jump Shot49
60.1%
45
39.9%
Q3 - 12:0049
45
Q2 - 0:00.0TOR49
57.6%
45
42.4%
Q2 - 0:01.0TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
60.2%
45
39.8%
Q2 - 0:02.0NOKMISS Chandler 4' Dunk49
59.5%
45
40.5%
Q2 - 0:11.0TORCalderon Driving Layup (6 PTS)49
57.9%
45
42.1%
Q2 - 0:31.0NOKMason Finger Roll (8 PTS) (Paul 8 AST)47
53.7%
45
46.3%
Q2 - 0:37.0NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)47
57.8%
43
42.2%
Q2 - 0:40.0TORMISS Garbajosa 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
58.6%
43
41.4%
Q2 - 0:54.0TORBosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)47
60.4%
43
39.6%
Q2 - 0:55.0TORMISS Calderon 20' Jump Shot47
58.6%
43
41.4%
Q2 - 1:16TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)47
59.9%
43
40.1%
Q2 - 1:17NOKMISS Paul Free Throw 2 of 247
59.6%
43
40.4%
Q2 - 1:17NOKHORNETS Rebound47
43
Q2 - 1:17NOKMISS Paul Free Throw 1 of 247
57.2%
43
42.8%
Q2 - 1:17TORJones S.FOUL (P1.PN)47
43
Q2 - 1:25TORParker 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Garbajosa 1 AST)47
57.6%
43
42.4%
Q2 - 1:42NOKPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)44
50.2%
43
49.8%
Q2 - 1:42TORSUB: Calderon FOR Ford44
42
Q2 - 1:42NOKPaul Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)44
50.6%
42
49.4%
Q2 - 1:42TORFord P.FOUL (P2.PN)44
41
Q2 - 1:54NOKMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
54.4%
41
45.6%
Q2 - 1:56TORMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 244
54.7%
41
45.3%
Q2 - 1:56TORRaptors Rebound44
41
Q2 - 1:56TORMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 244
57.0%
41
43.0%
Q2 - 1:56NOKChandler S.FOUL (P2.T4)44
41
Q2 - 2:16NOKButler 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Paul 7 AST)44
56.7%
41
43.3%
Q2 - 2:31TORParker Layup (10 PTS)44
59.7%
39
40.3%
Q2 - 2:32TORParker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)42
56.7%
39
43.3%
Q2 - 2:33TORMISS Bosh 11' Jump Shot42
54.5%
39
45.5%
Q2 - 2:49TORRaptors Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)42
39
Q2 - 2:49NOKMason Traveling Turnover (P2.T8)42
56.7%
39
43.3%
Q2 - 3:12TORBosh L.B.FOUL (P1.T4)42
39
Q2 - 3:12NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)42
53.0%
39
47.0%
Q2 - 3:13TORMISS Ford Layup42
54.1%
39
45.9%
Q2 - 3:19TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)42
56.6%
39
43.4%
Q2 - 3:20NOKMISS Butler 3PT Jump Shot42
55.5%
39
44.5%
Q2 - 3:31NOKMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
53.0%
39
47.0%
Q2 - 3:32TORMISS Bosh 15' Jump Shot42
54.1%
39
45.9%
Q2 - 3:36TORSUB: Parker FOR Graham42
39
Q2 - 3:36NOKPaul P.FOUL (P2.T3)42
39
Q2 - 3:50TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)42
56.6%
39
43.4%
Q2 - 3:51NOKMISS Paul 14' Jump Shot42
55.5%
39
44.5%
Q2 - 4:03NOKButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)42
52.8%
39
47.2%
Q2 - 4:04NOKMISS Pargo 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
55.0%
39
45.0%
Q2 - 4:19TORGraham Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T7)42
52.8%
39
47.2%
Q2 - 4:29NOKButler 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS)42
56.1%
39
43.9%
Q2 - 4:48NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)42
58.8%
37
41.2%
Q2 - 4:49NOKMISS Paul 19' Jump Shot42
61.0%
37
39.0%
Q2 - 5:04TORSUB: Garbajosa FOR Bargnani42
37
Q2 - 5:04TORBargnani Foul Turnover (P1.T6)42
58.7%
37
41.3%
Q2 - 5:04TORBargnani OFF.Foul (P3)42
37
Q2 - 5:21NOKButler 13' Jump Shot (7 PTS)42
61.5%
37
38.5%
Q2 - 5:43NOKPargo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
64.3%
35
35.7%
Q2 - 5:44TORMISS Bargnani 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
65.1%
35
34.9%
Q2 - 5:47NOKSUB: Paul FOR Jackson42
35
Q2 - 5:47NOKSUB: Mason FOR Simmons42
35
Q2 - 5:47TORSUB: Jones FOR Calderon42
35
Q2 - 5:47TORSUB: Ford FOR Parker42
35
Q2 - 5:4742
35
Q2 - 6:06TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
66.5%
35
33.5%
Q2 - 6:07NOKMISS Simmons 18' Jump Shot42
65.6%
35
34.4%
Q2 - 6:21TORBargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)42
63.4%
35
36.6%
Q2 - 6:28TORRaptors Rebound39
58.4%
35
41.6%
Q2 - 6:28TORSimmons BLOCK (1 BLK)39
56.1%
35
43.9%
Q2 - 6:33TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)39
58.4%
35
41.6%
Q2 - 6:34NOKMISS Pargo 19' Jump Shot39
57.4%
35
42.6%
Q2 - 6:42NOKHORNETS Rebound39
55.1%
35
44.9%
Q2 - 6:43NOKMISS Jackson Reverse Layup39
57.4%
35
42.6%
Q2 - 6:53TORCalderon 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)39
55.1%
35
44.9%
Q2 - 7:03NOKPargo 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)37
52.3%
35
47.7%
Q2 - 7:25TORGraham Layup (9 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)37
55.0%
33
45.0%
Q2 - 7:31TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
52.3%
33
47.7%
Q2 - 7:33NOKMISS Pargo 5' Jump Shot35
51.4%
33
48.6%
Q2 - 7:38TORBargnani P.FOUL (P2.T3)35
33
Q2 - 7:44TORBargnani 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)35
49.4%
33
50.6%
Q2 - 7:57NOKJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)33
46.7%
33
53.3%
Q2 - 7:57TORSUB: Bosh FOR Nesterovic33
32
Q2 - 7:57NOKJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)33
47.3%
32
52.7%
Q2 - 7:57TORNesterovic S.FOUL (P1.T2)33
31
Q2 - 8:12TORGraham 14' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Calderon 2 AST)33
49.2%
31
50.8%
Q2 - 8:27NOKPargo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)31
46.4%
31
53.6%
Q2 - 8:30NOKPargo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
43.8%
31
56.2%
Q2 - 8:31TORMISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
44.6%
31
55.4%
Q2 - 8:39NOKSUB: Chandler FOR Jackson31
31
Q2 - 8:39NOKJackson P.FOUL (P3.T2)31
31
Q2 - 8:57NOKJackson Driving Layup (2 PTS)31
46.4%
31
53.6%
Q2 - 9:06NOKJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
48.8%
29
51.2%
Q2 - 9:07TORMISS Bargnani Layup31
49.6%
29
50.4%
Q2 - 9:27NOKJackson Layup (4 PTS)31
51.5%
29
48.5%
Q2 - 9:30NOKJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
54.2%
27
45.8%
Q2 - 9:31NOKMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
56.0%
27
44.0%
Q2 - 9:47TORBargnani Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)31
54.2%
27
45.8%
Q2 - 9:47TORBargnani Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)30
53.5%
27
46.5%
Q2 - 9:47NOKJackson S.FOUL (P2.T1)29
27
Q2 - 10:01NOKSimmons 4' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS)29
51.4%
27
48.6%
Q2 - 10:15NOKSUB: Butler FOR Armstrong29
25
Q2 - 10:15NOKSUB: Jackson FOR Mason29
25
Q2 - 10:15NOKHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)29
25
Q2 - 10:21TORCalderon Driving Layup (2 PTS)29
53.9%
25
46.1%
Q2 - 10:33NOKJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)27
51.4%
25
48.6%
Q2 - 10:52TORGraham 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS)27
48.7%
25
51.3%
Q2 - 11:11TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
46.0%
25
54.0%
Q2 - 11:12NOKMISS Armstrong Free Throw 2 of 225
45.7%
25
54.3%
Q2 - 11:12TORSUB: Parker FOR Jones25
25
Q2 - 11:12NOKHORNETS Rebound25
25
Q2 - 11:12NOKMISS Armstrong Free Throw 1 of 225
44.2%
25
55.8%
Q2 - 11:12TORBargnani S.FOUL (P1.T1)25
25
Q2 - 11:27TORBargnani Driving Layup (2 PTS)25
43.4%
25
56.6%
Q2 - 11:39TORGraham REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
41.0%
25
59.0%
Q2 - 11:42NOKMISS Mason 5' Jump Hook Shot23
40.2%
25
59.8%
Q2 - 12:0023
25
Q1 - 0:00.0NOK23
38.5%
25
61.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOKHORNETS Rebound23
38.5%
25
61.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOKMISS Mason Dunk23
40.2%
25
59.8%
Q1 - 0:06.0TORGraham 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Calderon 1 AST)23
38.8%
25
61.2%
Q1 - 0:23.0TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
33.7%
25
66.3%
Q1 - 0:28.0NOKMISS Jackson 18' Jump Shot20
33.2%
25
66.8%
Q1 - 0:48.0TORNesterovic 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)20
32.0%
25
68.0%
Q1 - 0:58.0TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
29.5%
25
70.5%
Q1 - 0:59.0TORMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot18
28.4%
25
71.6%
Q1 - 1:18NOKMason Dunk (6 PTS) (Simmons 1 AST)18
29.9%
25
70.1%
Q1 - 1:21NOKSimmons REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)18
32.6%
23
67.4%
Q1 - 1:24NOKMISS Jackson Layup18
33.5%
23
66.5%
Q1 - 1:30NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)18
32.5%
23
67.5%
Q1 - 1:32TORMISS Graham Layup18
33.0%
23
67.0%
Q1 - 1:37NOKPaul Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)18
34.0%
23
66.0%
Q1 - 1:48TORJones Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)18
32.5%
23
67.5%
Q1 - 2:01NOKMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)18
34.4%
23
65.6%
Q1 - 2:01NOKMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)18
34.9%
22
65.1%
Q1 - 2:01TORCalderon S.FOUL (P1.T3)18
21
Q1 - 2:12NOKSUB: Jackson FOR Butler18
21
Q1 - 2:12TORSUB: Calderon FOR Ford18
21
Q1 - 2:12TORSUB: Graham FOR Garbajosa18
21
Q1 - 2:12TORSUB: Nesterovic FOR Bosh18
21
Q1 - 2:12TORSUB: Bargnani FOR Parker18
21
Q1 - 2:12NOKHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)18
21
Q1 - 2:12TORFord P.FOUL (P1.T2)18
21
Q1 - 2:19TORParker 11' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS) (Ford 3 AST)18
36.9%
21
63.1%
Q1 - 2:26NOKSimmons Layup (4 PTS)16
34.4%
21
65.6%
Q1 - 2:28NOKSimmons REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)16
36.9%
19
63.1%
Q1 - 2:30NOKMISS Paul Layup16
38.1%
19
61.9%
Q1 - 2:46TORBosh Driving Layup (8 PTS)16
36.9%
19
63.1%
Q1 - 3:03NOKSimmons 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Paul 6 AST)14
34.7%
19
65.3%
Q1 - 3:14NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)14
36.8%
17
63.2%
Q1 - 3:16TORMISS Garbajosa 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
37.5%
17
62.5%
Q1 - 3:32NOKPaul 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS)14
39.0%
17
61.0%
Q1 - 3:51TORBosh Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Ford 2 AST)14
41.2%
15
58.8%
Q1 - 3:55NOKButler Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)12
38.9%
15
61.1%
Q1 - 4:00NOKButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
37.3%
15
62.7%
Q1 - 4:02TORChandler BLOCK (1 BLK)12
37.9%
15
62.1%
Q1 - 4:19NOKMason Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Paul 5 AST)12
39.3%
15
60.7%
Q1 - 4:40TORParker Layup (6 PTS) (Ford 1 AST)12
41.2%
13
58.8%
Q1 - 4:45TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
39.4%
13
60.6%
Q1 - 4:47NOKMISS Simmons Layup10
38.8%
13
61.2%
Q1 - 5:02TORPaul STEAL (2 STL)10
37.5%
13
62.5%
Q1 - 5:15NOKButler 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Paul 4 AST)10
39.6%
13
60.4%
Q1 - 5:31TORGarbajosa 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
41.2%
11
58.8%
Q1 - 5:46TORGarbajosa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
39.7%
11
60.3%
Q1 - 5:47NOKMISS Paul 5' Running Jump Shot8
39.1%
11
60.9%
Q1 - 6:02NOKSimmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
37.8%
11
62.2%
Q1 - 6:03NOKMISS Paul Layup8
39.1%
11
60.9%
Q1 - 6:24TORParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)8
37.9%
11
62.1%
Q1 - 6:24TORParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)7
37.7%
11
62.3%
Q1 - 6:24NOKSimmons S.FOUL (P1.T4)6
11
Q1 - 6:44NOKSUB: Simmons FOR Jackson6
11
Q1 - 6:44TORRaptors Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)6
11
Q1 - 6:55NOKChandler Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Paul 3 AST)6
36.6%
11
63.4%
Q1 - 7:00TORParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)6
38.2%
9
61.8%
Q1 - 7:02NOKMason Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)6
39.9%
9
60.1%
Q1 - 7:27TORBosh 6' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)6
38.3%
9
61.7%
Q1 - 7:38TORParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
37.1%
9
62.9%
Q1 - 7:39NOKMISS Jackson 19' Jump Shot4
36.6%
9
63.4%
Q1 - 7:49TORFord Traveling Turnover (P2.T2)4
35.7%
9
64.3%
Q1 - 7:56NOKChandler Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)4
37.3%
9
62.7%
Q1 - 8:06NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)4
38.8%
7
61.2%
Q1 - 8:07TORMISS Ford 17' Jump Shot4
39.2%
7
60.8%
Q1 - 8:11NOKJackson P.FOUL (P1.T3)4
7
Q1 - 8:22NOKJackson 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Paul 2 AST)4
40.4%
7
59.6%
Q1 - 8:30TORGarbajosa P.FOUL (P1.T1)4
5
Q1 - 8:34NOKButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
41.9%
5
58.1%
Q1 - 8:35TORMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
42.3%
5
57.7%
Q1 - 8:47NOKPaul Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)4
43.3%
5
56.7%
Q1 - 8:57NOKPaul REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)4
42.0%
5
58.0%
Q1 - 8:58NOKMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
42.9%
5
57.1%
Q1 - 9:06NOKPaul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
42.4%
5
57.6%
Q1 - 9:07NOKMISS Paul 5' Jump Shot4
43.1%
5
56.9%
Q1 - 9:11TORPaul STEAL (1 STL)4
42.4%
5
57.6%
Q1 - 9:14TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
43.5%
5
56.5%
Q1 - 9:15NOKMISS Mason Layup4
43.2%
5
56.8%
Q1 - 9:28TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
42.5%
5
57.5%
Q1 - 9:28TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
42.3%
5
57.7%
Q1 - 9:28NOKChandler S.FOUL (P1.T2)2
5
Q1 - 9:39NOKJackson Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)2
41.5%
5
58.5%
Q1 - 9:51NOKMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
40.7%
5
59.3%
Q1 - 9:52TORMISS Bosh 5' Jump Hook Shot2
41.0%
5
59.0%
Q1 - 10:01NOKPaul P.FOUL (P1.T1)2
5
Q1 - 10:04TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
42.0%
5
58.0%
Q1 - 10:05NOKMISS Butler Layup2
41.8%
5
58.2%
Q1 - 10:25NOKButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
41.6%
5
58.4%
Q1 - 10:27TORMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot2
41.8%
5
58.2%
Q1 - 10:40NOKButler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Paul 1 AST)2
42.6%
5
57.4%
Q1 - 10:49TORParker Layup (2 PTS)2
43.8%
2
56.2%
Q1 - 10:51TORParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
43.3%
2
56.7%
Q1 - 10:52TORMISS Garbajosa 18' Jump Shot0
42.9%
2
57.1%
Q1 - 11:02NOKPaul Driving Layup (2 PTS)0
43.4%
2
56.6%
Q1 - 11:14NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
43.9%
0
56.1%
Q1 - 11:15TORMISS Ford 7' Jump Shot0
44.1%
0
55.9%
Q1 - 11:22TORFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
44.3%
0
55.7%
Q1 - 11:23NOKMISS Jackson 16' Jump Shot0
44.2%
0
55.8%
Q1 - 11:41NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
44.1%
0
55.9%
Q1 - 11:42TORMISS Bosh 14' Jump Shot0
44.2%
0
55.8%
Q1 - 12:00NOKJump Ball Chandler vs. Garbajosa: Tip to Ford0
44.3%
0
55.7%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventTORNOK
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.07 53.4%
NOK
0.86 42.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
TOR
16
24
67%
NOK
15
33
45%
Midrange
TOR
12
32
38%
NOK
14
32
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
TOR
7
10.5
22
32%
48%
NOK
3
4.5
12
25%
38%
Free Throws
TOR
17
20
85%
NOK
10
18
56%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Parker1968%9.5 / 14
C. Bosh1956%9.5 / 17
A. Bargnani1680%8.0 / 10
J. Graham1464%7.0 / 11
J. Calderon1359%6.5 / 11
F. Jones536%2.5 / 7
J. Garbajosa433%2.0 / 6
T. Ford214%1.0 / 7
R. Nesterovic250%1.0 / 2
D. Martin0-0.0 / 1
P. Tucker0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Paul1642%8.0 / 19
R. Butler1341%6.5 / 16
D. Mason1050%5.0 / 10
M. Jackson945%4.5 / 10
T. Chandler660%3.0 / 5
C. Simmons650%3.0 / 6
J. Pargo429%2.0 / 7
B. Jackson429%2.0 / 7
B. Bass4100%2.0 / 2
M. Vinicius3150%1.5 / 1
L. Johnson250%1.0 / 2
H. Armstrong0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

TOR
72
+16
-14
88
NOK
71
+18
-15
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.07 53.4%
NOK
0.86 42.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.3
104.6
TOR 109.3 +19.8
NOK 89.5
Pace
93.3
90.4
TOR 86.3
NOK 86.8 +0.5
Avg. Poss. Time
15.3
16.1
TOR 16.7
NOK 16.6 −0.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.4%
47.9%
TOR 49.4% +5.9%
NOK 43.5%
TO %
13.8%
14.9%
TOR 13.9% −2.0%
NOK 15.9%
ORB %
22.3%
29.2%
TOR 33.3% +1.6%
NOK 31.7%
FTrt
30.3
29.1
TOR 25.6 +2.2
NOK 23.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.1%
51.7%
TOR 40.0%
NOK 50.0% +10.0%
STL %
7.6%
7.0%
TOR 10.5% +1.2%
NOK 9.3%
BLK %
6.3%
6.9%
TOR 7.7% +2.3%
NOK 5.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.6%
50.7%
TOR 53.4% +10.6%
NOK 42.8%
Rim FG%
59.5%
56.2%
TOR 66.7% +21.2%
NOK 45.5%
Mid FG%
42.7%
38.2%
TOR 37.5%
NOK 43.8% +6.3%
3P %
36.3%
36.2%
TOR 31.8% +6.8%
NOK 25.0%
FT %
78.8%
74.0%
TOR 85.0% +29.4%
NOK 55.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.1%
37.2%
TOR 30.8%
NOK 42.9% +12.1%
Mid Att. %
47.6%
44.0%
TOR 41.0% −0.5%
NOK 41.6%
3P Att. %
22.4%
18.8%
TOR 28.2% +12.6%
NOK 15.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsTORNOK
Possessions8686
Possession Minutes23.923.8
Points9477
Rebounds4241
Assists1416
Steals98
Blocks53
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)15 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (2)13 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (2)28 (1)
Field Goals35-7832-77
At-the-Rim FG16-2415-33
Midrange FG12-3214-32
2-Point FG28-5629-65
3-Point FG7-223-12
Free Throws17-2010-18
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'2" 225 · 28
37.4
5
36%
2
1
1
0
2
3
1
1
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
1-4
25%
F · 6'6" 210 · 31
34.5
19
68%
5
0
3
0
1
0
3
2
4-4
100%
6-7
86%
1-5
20%
F · 6'11" 235 · 23
31.2
19
56%
14
3
0
0
1
2
5
9
7-9
78%
6-12
50%
0-1
0%
G · 6'0" 165 · 24
22.8
2
14%
3
3
1
0
3
3
1
2
0-0
-
1-7
14%
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 245 · 29
22.2
4
33%
3
1
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-2
0%
F · 6'7" 230 · 24
24.1
14
64%
3
0
1
0
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
4-8
50%
2-3
67%
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 21
23.1
16
80%
4
1
1
2
2
4
2
2
2-2
100%
4-6
67%
2-3
67%
G · 6'3" 200 · 25
22.6
13
59%
3
4
2
0
2
2
0
3
2-3
67%
4-7
57%
1-3
33%
C · 7'0" 255 · 30
14.1
2
50%
5
1
0
2
2
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 22
2.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 5'11" 170 · 36
2.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
F · 6'6" 245 · 22
2.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
#9 · F · 6'10" 250 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#24 · G · 6'7" 220 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#10 · F · 6'10" 238 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
94
53%
42
14
9
5
14
0
14
28
17-20
85%
28-56
50%
7-22
32%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.