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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
November 28, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Timberwolves18%8575
3Rockets82%9682
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 30.5
39.9
36.1
25
73%
11
3
0
1
2
4
1
10
5-5
100%
7-11
7-14
64%
50%
2-4
50%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 27.2
32.5
34.8
7
41%
4
5
0
1
1
4
0
4
1-1
100%
3-6
5-10
50%
46%
0-2
0%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 31.0
25.7
29.8
6
38%
4
0
0
1
1
2
0
4
0-0
-
3-8
5-10
38%
49%
0-0
-
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 27.7
25.0
21.1
3
39%
3
1
0
0
1
0
0
3
1-2
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 31.4
23.6
23.1
4
29%
4
2
1
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
45%
0-1
0%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 23.2
24.4
18.6
11
55%
1
2
2
1
1
4
0
1
0-0
-
4-8
2-6
50%
41%
1-2
50%
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 28.0
23.0
26.1
3
50%
3
2
1
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
42%
1-1
100%
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 23.1
20.7
22.1
8
82%
3
1
1
1
0
1
2
1
2-2
100%
3-4
3-7
75%
44%
0-0
-
Troy Hudson
G · 6'1" 178 · 30.7
17.1
17.0
8
67%
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
40%
2-3
67%
Mark Madsen
F · 6'9" 255 · 30.8
8.1
4.5
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
45%
0-0
-
Justin Reed
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.9
3.2
0
0-1
40%
Eddie Griffin
F · 6'9" 222 · 24.5
2.6
0
0-1
39%
Bracey Wright
G · 6'3" 201 · 22.4
Rashad McCants
G · 6'4" 215 · 22.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 30.3
38.9
32.3
13
39%
3
7
3
1
3
2
0
3
3-4
75%
2-6
2-5
33%
44%
2-9
22%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 26.2
38.8
35.7
25
77%
10
3
0
1
0
4
3
7
3-3
100%
11-15
9-16
73%
54%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 28.2
36.9
37.5
17
77%
2
3
1
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-6
2-4
17%
52%
5-5
100%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 27.5
32.9
37.5
8
29%
2
7
0
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
4-12
6-12
33%
47%
0-2
0%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 23.5
29.1
22.3
4
29%
11
1
2
1
1
0
6
5
0-0
-
2-7
2-5
29%
53%
0-0
-
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 24.0
25.4
23.6
9
38%
5
0
1
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
0-4
1-3
0%
45%
3-8
38%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 33.8
22.7
13.6
2
26%
7
2
0
0
0
0
2
5
2-2
100%
0-3
2-4
0%
46%
0-0
-
Vassilis Spanoulis
G · 6'4" 195 · 24.3
11.5
10.1
4
53%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
4-4
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 40.4
3.9
8.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Scott Padgett
F · 6'9" 240 · 30.6
13.1
0
1-1
42%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 23.5
2.9
0
0-1
49%
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 24.0
2.0
0
0-0
43%
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 30.2
Kirk Snyder
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 23.5
Bob Sura
G · 6'5" 200 · 33.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.