Final Win Prob. pScore
1919%85
75
381%96
82
ORTG#PossPace
MIN logo Timberwolves
90.48387.4
HOU logo Rockets
97.68480.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RocketsTimberwolvesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RocketsTimberwolvesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMINHOU
Q4 - 0:00.0HOU75
0%
82
100%
Q4 - 0:06.0HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 0:08.0MINMISS Garnett 27' 3PT Jump Shot75
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 0:10.0MINTimberwolves Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1)75
82
Q4 - 0:10.0HOUAlston Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)75
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 0:10.0HOUROCKETS Rebound75
81
Q4 - 0:10.0HOUMISS Alston Free Throw 1 of 275
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 0:10.0HOUSUB: Hayes FOR Yao75
81
Q4 - 0:10.0MINFoye P.FOUL (P4.PN)75
81
Q4 - 0:13.0MINGarnett 25' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Davis 5 AST)75
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 0:22.0MINDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)72
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 0:24.0HOUMISS Head 19' Jump Shot72
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 0:49.0MINDavis Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T20)72
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 0:54.0HOUMcGrady Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)72
0.2%
81
99.8%
Q4 - 1:13HOUYao REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)72
0.2%
81
99.8%
Q4 - 1:15MINMISS Hudson 18' Jump Shot72
0.3%
81
99.7%
Q4 - 1:20MINTimberwolves Timeout: Short (Reg.4 Short 1)72
81
Q4 - 1:20HOUAlston Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)72
0.5%
81
99.5%
Q4 - 1:20HOUAlston Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)72
0.6%
80
99.4%
Q4 - 1:20MINFoye S.FOUL (P3.PN)72
79
Q4 - 1:35MINGarnett Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)72
1.2%
79
98.8%
Q4 - 1:35HOUSUB: Head FOR Hayes71
79
Q4 - 1:35MINSUB: Davis FOR Smith71
79
Q4 - 1:35MINGarnett Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)71
1.1%
79
98.9%
Q4 - 1:35HOUHayes P.FOUL (P3.PN)70
79
Q4 - 1:46HOUAlston 8' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)70
0.9%
79
99.1%
Q4 - 2:04HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)70
1.4%
77
98.6%
Q4 - 2:06MINMISS Foye 7' Running Jump Shot70
1.7%
77
98.3%
Q4 - 2:14MINTimberwolves Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)70
77
Q4 - 2:16HOUAlston 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Yao 3 AST)70
2.8%
77
97.2%
Q4 - 2:39MINAlston STEAL (3 STL)70
5.9%
74
94.1%
Q4 - 2:58HOUBattier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Alston 7 AST)70
11.7%
74
88.3%
Q4 - 3:18MINSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)70
22.3%
71
77.7%
Q4 - 3:18MINSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)69
20.3%
71
79.7%
Q4 - 3:18HOUBattier S.FOUL (P1.T4)68
71
Q4 - 3:39HOUBattier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Alston 6 AST)68
17.8%
71
82.2%
Q4 - 4:04HOUSUB: Alston FOR Head68
68
Q4 - 4:04MINSmith Traveling Turnover (P1.T18)68
31.0%
68
69.0%
Q4 - 4:21MINHudson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
40.6%
68
59.4%
Q4 - 4:22HOUMISS Head 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
37.5%
68
62.5%
Q4 - 4:42MINHudson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Foye 2 AST)68
30.9%
68
69.1%
Q4 - 5:02HOUYao 9' Fadeaway Jumper (25 PTS) (Battier 3 AST)65
18.7%
68
81.3%
Q4 - 5:14MINFoye Foul Turnover (P3.T17)65
24.1%
66
75.9%
Q4 - 5:14MINFoye OFF.Foul (P2)65
66
Q4 - 5:25HOUMcGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)65
31.2%
66
68.8%
Q4 - 5:39HOUSUB: Hayes FOR Howard65
66
Q4 - 5:3965
66
Q4 - 5:39HOUROCKETS Timeout: Short (Full 4 Short 1)65
66
Q4 - 5:40MINFoye Driving Layup (11 PTS)65
24.1%
66
75.9%
Q4 - 5:55MINJaric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
18.6%
66
81.4%
Q4 - 5:57HOUMISS Howard 19' Jump Shot63
17.0%
66
83.0%
Q4 - 6:18MINGarnett 7' Jump Shot (20 PTS)63
14.5%
66
85.5%
Q4 - 6:51HOUYao Dunk (23 PTS) (McGrady 7 AST)61
11.2%
66
88.8%
Q4 - 7:10MINHudson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Garnett 3 AST)61
14.5%
64
85.5%
Q4 - 7:36HOUMcGrady 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)58
9.0%
64
91.0%
Q4 - 8:04MINGarnett 23' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Foye 1 AST)58
12.1%
62
87.9%
Q4 - 8:15HOUYao L.B.FOUL (P2.T3)56
62
Q4 - 8:15MINTimberwolves Rebound56
9.5%
62
90.5%
Q4 - 8:16HOUMISS Head 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
8.9%
62
91.1%
Q4 - 8:28HOUSUB: Battier FOR Spanoulis56
62
Q4 - 8:28HOUSUB: McGrady FOR Alston56
62
Q4 - 8:28MINFoye P.FOUL (P1.T4)56
62
Q4 - 8:38MINSmith 8' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)56
7.5%
62
92.5%
Q4 - 8:55MINHudson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)54
5.8%
62
94.2%
Q4 - 8:57HOUMISS Howard 13' Turnaround Jump Shot54
5.4%
62
94.6%
Q4 - 9:07HOUROCKETS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)54
62
Q4 - 9:18MINFoye 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)54
5.3%
62
94.7%
Q4 - 9:30HOUHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)51
3.3%
62
96.7%
Q4 - 9:30MINSUB: Garnett FOR Madsen51
61
Q4 - 9:30HOUHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)51
3.4%
61
96.6%
Q4 - 9:30MINSUB: Hudson FOR Davis51
60
Q4 - 9:30MINMadsen S.FOUL (P3.T3)51
60
Q4 - 9:50MINFoye Layup (6 PTS)51
4.2%
60
95.8%
Q4 - 10:00HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)49
3.3%
60
96.7%
Q4 - 10:00MINMadsen L.B.FOUL (P2.T2)49
59
Q4 - 10:00HOUHead 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Alston 5 AST)49
59
Q4 - 10:10HOUYao Violation:Defensive Goaltending49
56
Q4 - 10:10MINFoye Layup (4 PTS)49
7.0%
56
93.0%
Q4 - 10:13HOUHead Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)47
5.6%
56
94.4%
Q4 - 10:14HOUHead REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)47
4.6%
56
95.4%
Q4 - 10:15HOUMISS Spanoulis Layup47
5.3%
56
94.7%
Q4 - 10:18MINSpanoulis STEAL (1 STL)47
4.6%
56
95.4%
Q4 - 10:41HOUSpanoulis Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)47
5.6%
56
94.4%
Q4 - 10:41HOUSpanoulis Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)47
5.9%
55
94.1%
Q4 - 10:41MINDavis S.FOUL (P2.T1)47
54
Q4 - 10:50MINMadsen 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T15)47
7.0%
54
93.0%
Q4 - 10:58HOUHead P.FOUL (P2.T2)47
54
Q4 - 11:12MINTimberwolves Rebound47
9.0%
54
91.0%
Q4 - 11:13HOUMISS Yao 15' Turnaround Jump Shot47
8.5%
54
91.5%
Q4 - 11:34HOUYao REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)47
7.5%
54
92.5%
Q4 - 11:36MINMISS Jaric 23' Jump Shot47
7.9%
54
92.1%
Q4 - 11:44HOUHoward P.FOUL (P4.T1)47
54
Q4 - 12:0047
54
Q3 - 0:00.0HOU47
9.0%
54
91.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)47
7.4%
54
92.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MINMISS Foye 7' Jump Shot47
7.9%
54
92.1%
Q3 - 0:24.0MINDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
9.3%
54
90.7%
Q3 - 0:25.0HOUMISS McGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot47
8.9%
54
91.1%
Q3 - 0:35.0MINGarnett Finger Roll (16 PTS) (Davis 4 AST)47
7.9%
54
92.1%
Q3 - 0:56.0HOUMcGrady Driving Layup (6 PTS)45
6.4%
54
93.6%
Q3 - 1:10HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)45
8.1%
52
91.9%
Q3 - 1:12MINMISS Foye 19' Jump Shot45
8.5%
52
91.5%
Q3 - 1:26MINSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)45
9.5%
52
90.5%
Q3 - 1:28MINMISS Hassell 21' Jump Shot45
8.5%
52
91.5%
Q3 - 1:42MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)45
9.5%
52
90.5%
Q3 - 1:44HOUMISS Alston 3PT Jump Shot45
9.1%
52
90.9%
Q3 - 2:04MINDavis 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)45
8.3%
52
91.7%
Q3 - 2:06MINSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
6.9%
52
93.1%
Q3 - 2:10MINHayes BLOCK (1 BLK)43
6.1%
52
93.9%
Q3 - 2:24MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)43
6.9%
52
93.1%
Q3 - 2:26HOUMISS McGrady 22' Jump Shot43
6.6%
52
93.4%
Q3 - 2:44MINFoye Layup (2 PTS)43
5.8%
52
94.2%
Q3 - 2:48HOUAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)41
4.9%
52
95.1%
Q3 - 2:59HOUROCKETS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)41
52
Q3 - 2:59MINFoye Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T14)41
4.1%
52
95.9%
Q3 - 3:04MINSUB: Smith FOR Blount41
52
Q3 - 3:04HOUHoward P.FOUL (P3.T2)41
52
Q3 - 3:14HOUSUB: Hayes FOR Yao41
52
Q3 - 3:14MINSUB: Foye FOR James41
52
Q3 - 3:14HOUHoward P.FOUL (P2.T1)41
52
Q3 - 3:31HOUYao 10' Hook Shot (20 PTS) (Battier 2 AST)41
5.0%
52
95.0%
Q3 - 3:50HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
5.9%
50
94.1%
Q3 - 3:52MINMISS Blount 21' Jump Shot41
6.2%
50
93.8%
Q3 - 4:10HOUYao Layup (18 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)41
7.3%
50
92.7%
Q3 - 4:23HOUYao REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)41
8.3%
48
91.7%
Q3 - 4:25MINMISS Garnett 20' Jump Shot41
8.8%
48
91.2%
Q3 - 4:46MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)41
10.0%
48
90.0%
Q3 - 4:48HOUMISS Alston 3PT Jump Shot41
9.5%
48
90.5%
Q3 - 4:56HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)41
8.3%
48
91.7%
Q3 - 4:58HOUMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
9.5%
48
90.5%
Q3 - 5:13MINDavis 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (James 2 AST)41
8.5%
48
91.5%
Q3 - 5:28MINTimberwolves Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)39
48
Q3 - 5:29HOUMcGrady Layup (4 PTS) (Alston 4 AST)39
7.4%
48
92.6%
Q3 - 5:34MINAlston STEAL (2 STL)39
8.5%
46
91.5%
Q3 - 5:55HOUAlston 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (McGrady 6 AST)39
10.1%
46
89.9%
Q3 - 6:05HOUYao REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)39
13.3%
43
86.7%
Q3 - 6:07MINMISS James 19' Jump Shot39
13.9%
43
86.1%
Q3 - 6:31HOUYao 8' Hook Shot (16 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)39
15.4%
43
84.6%
Q3 - 6:38MINBlount P.FOUL (P2.T1)39
41
Q3 - 6:50HOUSUB: Howard FOR Hayes39
41
Q3 - 6:50HOUROCKETS Rebound39
17.4%
41
82.6%
Q3 - 6:51MINMISS Davis 26' 3PT Jump Shot39
18.2%
41
81.8%
Q3 - 7:16HOUYao 14' Jump Shot (14 PTS)39
19.6%
41
80.4%
Q3 - 7:36MINGarnett 13' Fadeaway Jumper (14 PTS)39
22.1%
39
77.9%
Q3 - 7:45MINJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)37
19.7%
39
80.3%
Q3 - 7:47MINMISS Davis 22' Jump Shot37
18.0%
39
82.0%
Q3 - 7:55HOUYao 3 Second Violation Turnover (P4.T7)37
19.7%
39
80.3%
Q3 - 8:08MINBattier STEAL (1 STL)37
39
Q3 - 8:08HOUJump Ball Battier vs. Garnett: Tip to Hayes37
17.1%
39
82.9%
Q3 - 8:20MINBlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)37
19.5%
39
80.5%
Q3 - 8:24HOUMISS Hayes Reverse Layup37
18.7%
39
81.3%
Q3 - 8:26HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)37
17.1%
39
82.9%
Q3 - 8:28HOUMISS McGrady 21' Jump Shot37
18.7%
39
81.3%
Q3 - 8:41MINJames Layup (4 PTS)37
17.1%
39
82.9%
Q3 - 8:44HOUMcGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)35
15.2%
39
84.8%
Q3 - 8:59HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)35
13.2%
39
86.8%
Q3 - 9:01MINMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
13.7%
39
86.3%
Q3 - 9:13MINTimberwolves Rebound35
15.0%
39
85.0%
Q3 - 9:14HOUMISS Battier Layup35
14.5%
39
85.5%
Q3 - 9:19HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)35
13.2%
39
86.8%
Q3 - 9:21HOUMISS Yao 12' Turnaround Jump Shot35
14.5%
39
85.5%
Q3 - 9:36MINBlount 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Davis 3 AST)35
13.2%
39
86.8%
Q3 - 9:51HOUAlston Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)33
11.6%
39
88.4%
Q3 - 9:55HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
10.2%
39
89.8%
Q3 - 9:57MINMISS Garnett 13' Turnaround Jump Shot33
10.6%
39
89.4%
Q3 - 10:17HOUYao Foul Turnover (P3.T4)33
11.6%
39
88.4%
Q3 - 10:17HOUYao OFF.Foul (P1)33
39
Q3 - 10:31HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
10.2%
39
89.8%
Q3 - 10:33MINMISS James 22' Jump Shot33
10.6%
39
89.4%
Q3 - 10:46MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)33
11.6%
39
88.4%
Q3 - 10:48HOUMISS Alston 26' 3PT Jump Shot33
11.2%
39
88.8%
Q3 - 11:10MINHassell 8' Fadeaway Jumper (3 PTS)33
10.2%
39
89.8%
Q3 - 11:38HOUBattier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Hayes 1 AST)31
9.1%
39
90.9%
Q3 - 12:0031
36
Q2 - 0:00.0HOU31
11.5%
36
88.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOUROCKETS Rebound31
11.5%
36
88.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Head Layup31
12.6%
36
87.4%
Q2 - 0:01.0HOUHead REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)31
11.9%
36
88.1%
Q2 - 0:04.0MINAlston BLOCK (3 BLK)31
12.2%
36
87.8%
Q2 - 0:26.0MINBlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
12.9%
36
87.1%
Q2 - 0:28.0HOUMISS Hayes Layup31
12.6%
36
87.4%
Q2 - 0:45.0HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)31
11.8%
36
88.2%
Q2 - 0:47.0MINMISS Jaric 22' Jump Shot31
12.2%
36
87.8%
Q2 - 1:06HOUYao Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)31
12.9%
36
87.1%
Q2 - 1:06MINSUB: Jaric FOR Hassell31
35
Q2 - 1:06HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)31
13.1%
35
86.9%
Q2 - 1:06MINBlount S.FOUL (P1.T3)31
34
Q2 - 1:07HOUYao REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)31
14.9%
34
85.1%
Q2 - 1:08HOUMISS Alston Driving Layup31
15.8%
34
84.2%
Q2 - 1:18MINHassell Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)31
14.9%
34
85.1%
Q2 - 1:18MINTimberwolves Rebound30
34
Q2 - 1:18MINMISS Hassell Free Throw 1 of 230
14.5%
34
85.5%
Q2 - 1:18HOUHead S.FOUL (P1.T4)30
34
Q2 - 1:29MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)30
14.5%
34
85.5%
Q2 - 1:30HOUMISS Hayes Tip Shot30
14.1%
34
85.9%
Q2 - 1:31HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)30
13.3%
34
86.7%
Q2 - 1:33HOUMISS Yao 10' Fadeaway Jumper30
14.1%
34
85.9%
Q2 - 1:51MINBlount Traveling Turnover (P2.T11)30
13.3%
34
86.7%
Q2 - 1:58MINHassell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
14.5%
34
85.5%
Q2 - 2:00HOUMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
14.1%
34
85.9%
Q2 - 2:05HOUROCKETS Rebound30
12.9%
34
87.1%
Q2 - 2:06HOUMISS Head 24' 3PT Jump Shot30
14.0%
34
86.0%
Q2 - 2:20MINGarnett 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS)30
12.9%
34
87.1%
Q2 - 2:33HOUHayes P.FOUL (P2.T3)28
34
Q2 - 2:36MINJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)28
11.6%
34
88.4%
Q2 - 2:38HOUMISS Battier 21' Jump Shot28
11.2%
34
88.8%
Q2 - 2:54MINSUB: Hassell FOR Jaric28
34
Q2 - 2:54MINTimberwolves Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)28
34
Q2 - 2:54MINJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)28
10.3%
34
89.7%
Q2 - 3:12HOUHayes Layup (4 PTS) (Yao 2 AST)28
11.6%
34
88.4%
Q2 - 3:28MINAlston STEAL (1 STL)28
12.7%
32
87.3%
Q2 - 3:41HOUSUB: Yao FOR Howard28
32
Q2 - 3:41HOUHoward P.FOUL (P1.T2)28
32
Q2 - 3:46MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)28
14.4%
32
85.6%
Q2 - 3:48HOUMISS Battier 6' Hook Shot28
13.8%
32
86.2%
Q2 - 3:59MINJaric P.FOUL (P1.T2)28
32
Q2 - 4:03HOUSUB: Alston FOR Spanoulis28
32
Q2 - 4:12MINHead STEAL (1 STL)28
12.6%
32
87.4%
Q2 - 4:25HOUSpanoulis Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)28
14.1%
32
85.9%
Q2 - 4:25MINSUB: Davis FOR Hudson28
31
Q2 - 4:25HOUSpanoulis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)28
14.5%
31
85.5%
Q2 - 4:25HOUSUB: Battier FOR McGrady28
30
Q2 - 4:25MINHudson S.FOUL (P1.T1)28
30
Q2 - 4:45MINGarnett 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jaric 2 AST)28
15.5%
30
84.5%
Q2 - 5:08HOUHead Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)26
14.0%
30
86.0%
Q2 - 5:20HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)26
12.7%
30
87.3%
Q2 - 5:22MINMISS Hudson 20' Jump Shot26
13.1%
30
86.9%
Q2 - 5:35HOUSUB: Hayes FOR Yao26
30
Q2 - 5:35MINSUB: James FOR Foye26
30
Q2 - 5:35HOUROCKETS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)26
30
Q2 - 5:39MINBlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
14.0%
30
86.0%
Q2 - 5:41HOUMISS Yao 10' Hook Shot26
13.6%
30
86.4%
Q2 - 5:57HOUHead REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
12.7%
30
87.3%
Q2 - 5:59MINMISS Blount 15' Jump Shot26
13.1%
30
86.9%
Q2 - 6:21HOUYao 11' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (McGrady 5 AST)26
14.3%
30
85.7%
Q2 - 6:44MINHudson 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jaric 1 AST)26
15.5%
28
84.5%
Q2 - 6:49MINJaric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
14.2%
28
85.8%
Q2 - 6:51HOUMISS Spanoulis 26' 3PT Jump Shot24
13.7%
28
86.3%
Q2 - 6:58HOUYao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)24
12.7%
28
87.3%
Q2 - 7:00HOUMISS McGrady 16' Jump Shot24
13.7%
28
86.3%
Q2 - 7:12MINJaric 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Garnett 2 AST)24
12.6%
28
87.4%
Q2 - 7:22MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)21
10.3%
28
89.7%
Q2 - 7:24HOUMISS McGrady 20' Jump Shot21
10.0%
28
90.0%
Q2 - 7:35MINSUB: Blount FOR Smith21
28
Q2 - 7:35MINSUB: Garnett FOR Madsen21
28
Q2 - 7:35MINMadsen Foul Turnover (P1.T7)21
9.3%
28
90.7%
Q2 - 7:35MINMadsen OFF.Foul (P1)21
28
Q2 - 7:45MINMadsen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
10.3%
28
89.7%
Q2 - 7:47MINMISS Foye 3PT Jump Shot21
9.6%
28
90.4%
Q2 - 8:11HOUMcGrady 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Yao 1 AST)21
10.4%
28
89.6%
Q2 - 8:21HOUHead REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
11.5%
26
88.5%
Q2 - 8:23MINMISS Hudson 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
11.8%
26
88.2%
Q2 - 8:40MINSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
12.6%
26
87.4%
Q2 - 8:42HOUMISS Head 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
12.3%
26
87.7%
Q2 - 8:46HOUSUB: McGrady FOR Alston21
26
Q2 - 8:4621
26
Q2 - 8:59HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)21
11.5%
26
88.5%
Q2 - 9:01MINAlston BLOCK (2 BLK)21
11.7%
26
88.3%
Q2 - 9:14HOUAlston P.FOUL (P1.T1)21
26
Q2 - 9:28HOUHead 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)21
12.5%
26
87.5%
Q2 - 9:37HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
15.1%
23
84.9%
Q2 - 9:39MINAlston BLOCK (1 BLK)21
15.5%
23
84.5%
Q2 - 9:50HOUYao Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)21
16.5%
23
83.5%
Q2 - 10:02MINSmith 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Hudson 2 AST)21
15.1%
23
84.9%
Q2 - 10:21MINFoye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
13.9%
23
86.1%
Q2 - 10:23HOUMISS Alston Layup19
13.5%
23
86.5%
Q2 - 10:27HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
12.6%
23
87.4%
Q2 - 10:29HOUMISS Head 26' 3PT Jump Shot19
13.5%
23
86.5%
Q2 - 10:54MINSmith 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Hudson 1 AST)19
12.6%
23
87.4%
Q2 - 11:12MINJaric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
11.7%
23
88.3%
Q2 - 11:14HOUMISS Howard 19' Jump Shot17
11.4%
23
88.6%
Q2 - 11:29MINJaric Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T6)17
10.7%
23
89.3%
Q2 - 11:45HOUYao 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)17
11.7%
23
88.3%
Q2 - 12:0017
21
Q1 - 0:00.0HOU17
12.8%
21
87.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOUROCKETS Rebound17
12.8%
21
87.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Head 18' Fadeaway Jumper17
13.6%
21
86.4%
Q1 - 0:22.0HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
12.9%
21
87.1%
Q1 - 0:24.0MINMISS Davis 9' Jump Shot17
13.1%
21
86.9%
Q1 - 0:37.0MINMadsen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
13.8%
21
86.2%
Q1 - 0:39.0HOUMISS Battier 7' Hook Shot17
13.5%
21
86.5%
Q1 - 0:48.0MINSUB: Jaric FOR Hassell17
21
Q1 - 0:48.0MINHassell P.FOUL (P2.T3)17
21
Q1 - 0:56.0MINDavis 22' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Hassell 1 AST)17
12.9%
21
87.1%
Q1 - 1:10HOUSUB: Howard FOR Hayes15
21
Q1 - 1:10MINDavis Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)15
11.6%
21
88.4%
Q1 - 1:10MINSUB: Madsen FOR Garnett14
21
Q1 - 1:10HOUROCKETS T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Mutombo )14
21
Q1 - 1:25HOUHead 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)14
10.7%
21
89.3%
Q1 - 1:32HOUHead REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
13.0%
18
87.0%
Q1 - 1:34MINMISS Garnett 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
13.2%
18
86.8%
Q1 - 1:56MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)14
13.7%
18
86.3%
Q1 - 1:57HOUMISS Alston 6' Jump Shot14
13.5%
18
86.5%
Q1 - 2:18MINGarnett 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)14
13.0%
18
87.0%
Q1 - 2:34HOUBattier 8' Hook Shot (8 PTS)12
11.8%
18
88.2%
Q1 - 2:48MINSUB: Smith FOR James12
16
Q1 - 2:48MINSUB: Foye FOR Blount12
16
Q1 - 2:48MINTimberwolves Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)12
16
Q1 - 2:48MINGarnett Traveling Turnover (P2.T5)12
13.0%
16
87.0%
Q1 - 2:55MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
13.9%
16
86.1%
Q1 - 2:57HOUMISS Hayes Layup12
13.6%
16
86.4%
Q1 - 2:59HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)12
13.0%
16
87.0%
Q1 - 3:01HOUMISS Head 17' Jump Shot12
13.4%
16
86.6%
Q1 - 3:12HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
12.7%
16
87.3%
Q1 - 3:14MINMISS Blount 16' Jump Shot12
13.0%
16
87.0%
Q1 - 3:30HOUAlston Driving Finger Roll (2 PTS)12
13.8%
16
86.2%
Q1 - 3:46MINHayes STEAL (2 STL)12
14.9%
14
85.1%
Q1 - 3:53HOUSUB: Head FOR McGrady12
14
Q1 - 3:53MINGarnett Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)12
16.1%
14
83.9%
Q1 - 3:53HOUSUB: Mutombo FOR Yao11
14
Q1 - 3:53HOUROCKETS T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Yao )11
14
Q1 - 4:03MINHassell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
15.0%
14
85.0%
Q1 - 4:05HOUMISS McGrady 18' Jump Shot11
14.6%
14
85.4%
Q1 - 4:22MINHayes STEAL (1 STL)11
14.0%
14
86.0%
Q1 - 4:25MINJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
15.0%
14
85.0%
Q1 - 4:27MINBattier BLOCK (1 BLK)11
14.3%
14
85.7%
Q1 - 4:31MINDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
15.0%
14
85.0%
Q1 - 4:33HOUMISS McGrady 27' 3PT Jump Shot11
14.7%
14
85.3%
Q1 - 4:43MINHassell P.FOUL (P1.T2)11
14
Q1 - 4:52HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)11
14.0%
14
86.0%
Q1 - 4:54MINMISS Hassell 24' 3PT Jump Shot11
14.3%
14
85.7%
Q1 - 5:15HOUYao Layup (6 PTS) (McGrady 4 AST)11
15.3%
14
84.7%
Q1 - 5:25HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
16.2%
12
83.8%
Q1 - 5:27MINMISS Blount 21' Jump Shot11
16.6%
12
83.4%
Q1 - 5:44HOUYao Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)11
17.4%
12
82.6%
Q1 - 5:54HOUROCKETS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)11
12
Q1 - 5:54MINDavis P.FOUL (P1.T1)11
12
Q1 - 6:05HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)11
16.0%
12
84.0%
Q1 - 6:06MINMISS Davis 15' Jump Shot11
16.3%
12
83.7%
Q1 - 6:11MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
17.0%
12
83.0%
Q1 - 6:13HOUMISS Alston Driving Layup11
16.7%
12
83.3%
Q1 - 6:20HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
16.1%
12
83.9%
Q1 - 6:22MINMISS Blount 18' Jump Shot11
16.4%
12
83.6%
Q1 - 6:33HOUYao 8' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (McGrady 3 AST)11
17.1%
12
82.9%
Q1 - 6:54MINJames 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)11
18.1%
10
81.9%
Q1 - 7:12HOUYao Dunk (2 PTS)9
17.0%
10
83.0%
Q1 - 7:13HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
17.8%
8
82.2%
Q1 - 7:14HOUMISS Hayes Layup9
18.6%
8
81.4%
Q1 - 7:15HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)9
17.8%
8
82.2%
Q1 - 7:18HOUMISS McGrady 8' Running Jump Shot9
18.6%
8
81.4%
Q1 - 7:33MINBlount 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 1 AST)9
17.8%
8
82.2%
Q1 - 7:52HOUBattier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (McGrady 2 AST)7
17.1%
8
82.9%
Q1 - 8:10HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
18.6%
5
81.4%
Q1 - 8:12HOUMISS McGrady 8' Running Jump Shot7
19.3%
5
80.7%
Q1 - 8:21HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
18.6%
5
81.4%
Q1 - 8:23MINMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
18.9%
5
81.1%
Q1 - 8:38MINBlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
19.5%
5
80.5%
Q1 - 8:40HOUMISS McGrady 20' Jump Shot7
19.2%
5
80.8%
Q1 - 8:53MINDavis Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T2)7
18.6%
5
81.4%
Q1 - 9:01MINDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
19.2%
5
80.8%
Q1 - 9:02HOUMISS Alston 27' 3PT Jump Shot7
19.0%
5
81.0%
Q1 - 9:19MINDavis Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T1)7
18.5%
5
81.5%
Q1 - 9:35HOUHayes Layup (2 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)7
19.1%
5
80.9%
Q1 - 9:48HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
19.8%
3
80.2%
Q1 - 9:50MINMISS Garnett Layup7
20.0%
3
80.0%
Q1 - 10:01HOUBattier 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST)7
20.0%
3
80.0%
Q1 - 10:20MINGarnett 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)7
20.9%
0
79.1%
Q1 - 10:28MINJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
19.8%
0
80.2%
Q1 - 10:30HOUMISS Battier 11' Jump Bank Shot4
19.6%
0
80.4%
Q1 - 10:52MINBlount 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Garnett 1 AST)4
19.1%
0
80.9%
Q1 - 11:10MINHassell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
18.5%
0
81.5%
Q1 - 11:12HOUMISS Alston 26' 3PT Jump Shot2
18.5%
0
81.5%
Q1 - 11:32MINGarnett Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
18.4%
0
81.6%
Q1 - 11:32MINGarnett Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
18.4%
0
81.6%
Q1 - 11:32HOUHayes S.FOUL (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 11:33MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
18.3%
0
81.7%
Q1 - 11:34MINMISS Garnett 12' Turnaround Jump Shot0
18.2%
0
81.8%
Q1 - 12:00HOUJump Ball Yao vs. Garnett: Tip to Blount0
18.6%
0
81.4%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMINHOU
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIN
1.09 54.3%
HOU
0.92 46.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIN
7
10
70%
HOU
9
20
45%
Midrange
MIN
17
41
41%
HOU
11
34
32%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIN
6
9.0
14
43%
64%
HOU
10
15.0
25
40%
60%
Free Throws
MIN
9
10
90%
HOU
12
13
92%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIN logo Timberwolves
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Garnett2574%12.5 / 17
R. Foye1155%5.5 / 10
C. Smith880%4.0 / 5
T. Hudson867%4.0 / 6
R. Davis744%3.5 / 8
M. Blount638%3.0 / 8
M. James429%2.0 / 7
T. Hassell338%1.5 / 4
M. Jaric350%1.5 / 3
M. Madsen0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
Yao2574%12.5 / 17
S. Battier1777%8.5 / 11
R. Alston1338%6.5 / 17
L. Head941%4.5 / 11
T. McGrady829%4.0 / 14
C. Hayes429%2.0 / 7
V. Spanoulis450%2.0 / 4
J. Howard225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIN
63
+6
-20
69
HOU
73
+15
-11
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIN
1.09 54.3%
HOU
0.92 46.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.5
105.6
MIN 90.4
HOU 97.6 +7.3
Pace
91.4
91.1
MIN 87.4 +6.7
HOU 80.7
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
15.8
MIN 16.5 −1.4
HOU 17.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.0%
49.9%
MIN 50.8% +6.5%
HOU 44.3%
TO %
16.2%
14.8%
MIN 22.4%
HOU 11.5% −10.9%
ORB %
25.2%
25.7%
MIN 17.6%
HOU 27.9% +10.3%
FTrt
29.1
29.2
MIN 15.4
HOU 16.5 +1.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.7%
58.6%
MIN 60.0%
HOU 76.7% +16.7%
STL %
7.0%
7.8%
MIN 6.0%
HOU 9.5% +3.5%
BLK %
6.2%
6.5%
MIN 13.0% +3.2%
HOU 9.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.2%
52.3%
MIN 54.3% +8.2%
HOU 46.1%
Rim FG%
58.7%
56.2%
MIN 70.0% +25.0%
HOU 45.0%
Mid FG%
42.4%
41.0%
MIN 41.5% +9.1%
HOU 32.4%
3P %
35.3%
37.2%
MIN 42.9% +2.9%
HOU 40.0%
FT %
79.2%
75.3%
MIN 90.0%
HOU 92.3% +2.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.1%
30.3%
MIN 15.4%
HOU 25.3% +9.9%
Mid Att. %
53.1%
40.7%
MIN 63.1%
HOU 43.0% −20.0%
3P Att. %
16.7%
29.0%
MIN 21.5%
HOU 31.6% +10.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMINHOU
Possessions8384
Possession Minutes22.825.0
Points7582
Rebounds3740
Assists1823
Steals58
Blocks75
Turnovers (Team)20 (0)11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (0)12 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (3)28 (1)
Field Goals30-6530-79
At-the-Rim FG7-109-20
Midrange FG17-4111-34
2-Point FG24-5120-54
3-Point FG6-1410-25
Free Throws9-1012-13
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 240 · 31
39.9
25
74%
11
3
0
2
4
0
1
10
5-5
100%
7-11
64%
2-4
50%
G · 6'7" 195 · 27
32.5
7
44%
4
5
0
1
4
2
0
4
1-1
100%
3-6
50%
0-2
0%
C · 7'0" 250 · 31
25.7
6
38%
4
0
0
1
2
2
0
4
0-0
-
3-8
38%
0-0
-
F · 6'5" 227 · 28
25.0
3
38%
3
1
0
1
0
2
0
3
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 188 · 31
23.6
4
29%
4
2
1
0
1
0
2
2
0-0
-
2-6
33%
0-1
0%
G · 6'4" 218 · 23
24.4
11
55%
1
2
2
1
4
4
0
1
0-0
-
4-8
50%
1-2
50%
G · 6'7" 224 · 28
23.0
3
50%
3
2
1
0
2
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-1
100%
F · 6'7" 265 · 23
20.7
8
80%
3
1
1
0
1
0
2
1
2-2
100%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 178 · 31
17.1
8
67%
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
2-3
67%
F · 6'9" 255 · 31
8.1
0
0%
2
0
0
1
2
3
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 240 · 25
F · 6'9" 222 · 24
#6 · G · 6'3" 201 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · G · 6'4" 215 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
75
54%
37
18
5
7
20
0
6
31
9-10
90%
24-51
47%
6-14
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.