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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
November 28, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Grizzlies29%98108
9Nuggets71%10596
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 26.8
43.2
38.8
13
42%
7
14
0
1
0
3
1
6
0-1
0%
5-11
4-7
45%
50%
1-4
25%
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 32.3
42.4
27.9
22
46%
2
5
1
1
1
2
0
2
4-4
100%
3-12
3-8
25%
45%
4-10
40%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 24.4
35.0
30.6
25
58%
4
0
0
1
1
3
2
2
1-1
100%
12-20
5-11
60%
47%
0-1
0%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 20.3
26.4
26.5
6
50%
5
3
2
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
3-6
4-9
50%
44%
0-0
-
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 27.0
22.1
23.5
7
47%
11
0
0
1
0
1
5
6
1-1
100%
3-7
5-10
43%
46%
0-0
-
Lawrence Roberts
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.1
25.9
18.1
16
70%
6
1
1
1
0
1
3
3
0-1
0%
8-11
2-4
73%
47%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 25.9
25.3
22.3
10
74%
4
3
0
1
0
0
1
3
4-4
100%
3-5
2-5
60%
45%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 29.6
19.7
12.6
9
77%
5
4
0
1
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
41%
1-1
100%
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 33.2
21.2
1
2-5
41%
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 35.1
12.7
1
1-2
44%
Jake Tsakalidis
C · 7'2" 290 · 27.5
9.5
0
1-2
50%
Alexander Johnson
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.8
1.0
0
0-0
48%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.4
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 20.7
Tarence Kinsey
G · 6'6" 189 · 22.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.5
44.8
36.2
37
55%
9
7
0
1
1
3
3
6
3-8
38%
17-28
9-18
61%
50%
0-2
0%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.7
37.5
34.8
5
42%
5
13
1
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
1-5
5-9
20%
49%
1-1
100%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 32.7
36.7
29.8
14
66%
10
2
1
1
3
1
1
9
6-6
100%
4-8
4-9
50%
47%
0-0
-
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.4
30.1
21.0
13
84%
6
1
3
1
0
1
2
4
3-4
75%
5-6
2-4
83%
48%
0-0
-
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 21.2
29.9
31.1
5
28%
4
2
1
1
0
5
0
4
1-2
50%
2-4
3-7
50%
48%
0-4
0%
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 24.2
19.4
20.2
13
69%
1
0
1
1
1
1
0
1
0-1
0%
2-3
1-2
67%
47%
3-6
50%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 26.5
16.6
19.6
5
43%
4
1
1
1
1
0
2
2
1-4
25%
2-4
2-4
50%
50%
0-0
-
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 30.5
14.6
18.3
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-4
2-5
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 31.3
7.9
15.1
4
106%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
2-5
100%
48%
0-0
-
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 21.9
2.5
7.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
DerMarr Johnson
F-G · 6'9" 210 · 26.6
6.0
0
0-1
53%
Jamal Sampson
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 23.5
1.7
0
0-0
50%
Nene Hilario
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 24.2
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.9
Julius Hodge
G · 6'7" 220 · 23.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.