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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 29, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Bobcats43%9590
27Hawks57%9799
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 22.4
38.8
33.3
21
68%
5
7
2
1
0
1
0
5
5-10
50%
5-7
4-9
71%
42%
2-4
50%
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 31.1
32.8
32.9
17
52%
2
3
2
2
0
1
0
2
5-5
100%
6-13
4-8
46%
42%
0-1
0%
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 22.4
27.8
38.0
6
30%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-5
5-11
0%
45%
2-5
40%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 24.2
17.4
31.5
4
29%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-2
0%
2-6
5-11
33%
47%
0-0
-
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 24.4
11.6
33.8
2
26%
1
0
0
2
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
0-3
4-9
0%
51%
0-0
-
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 22.7
38.3
18.2
21
55%
17
5
1
1
3
1
7
10
7-7
100%
7-15
3-7
47%
46%
0-1
0%
Derek Anderson
G · 6'5" 195 · 32.4
20.3
3.5
4
25%
3
2
1
0
0
0
3
0
2-2
100%
1-3
0-0
33%
40%
0-4
0%
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 26.3
17.4
15.0
7
64%
1
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1-1
100%
3-3
2-4
100%
44%
0-2
0%
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 32.8
16.1
3.3
2
25%
3
1
0
0
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
1-4
0-1
25%
48%
0-0
-
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 27.2
12.8
18.1
4
35%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
4-4
100%
0-4
3-7
0%
50%
0-0
-
Bernard Robinson
G-F · 6'6" 210 · 25.9
6.8
7.9
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
0-0
-
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 24.1
6.8
0
1-1
44%
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 28.6
4.8
0
1-1
47%
Jake Voskuhl
C · 6'11" 255 · 29.1
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 22.1
Walter Herrmann
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 25.4
42.5
39.4
36
69%
3
5
2
1
0
4
1
2
5-5
100%
8-13
6-13
62%
50%
5-11
45%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 21.0
39.0
38.7
10
51%
13
5
0
1
4
3
4
9
2-2
100%
4-7
4-9
57%
46%
0-2
0%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 22.8
30.7
27.4
12
62%
13
1
0
1
2
2
5
8
6-6
100%
3-7
4-8
43%
47%
0-0
-
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 23.1
25.5
23.1
6
38%
4
2
0
1
3
4
0
4
0-0
-
3-8
3-6
38%
49%
0-0
-
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 28.6
23.1
15.7
4
33%
2
5
0
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
44%
0-1
0%
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 29.6
34.0
30.8
25
70%
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
4-4
100%
6-11
4-7
55%
48%
3-5
60%
Salim Stoudamire
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.1
23.8
23.5
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
44%
0-2
0%
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 22.4
19.2
8.3
6
75%
5
0
1
0
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
3-3
1-2
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Cedric Bozeman
G · 6'6" 207 · 23.7
1.1
8.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Matt Freije
F · 6'9" 249 · 25.2
0.8
9.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 24.9
3.3
0
0-1
43%
Esteban Batista
F-C · 6'10" 268 · 23.2
2.5
0
0-0
46%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 31.1
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 20.4
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 23.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.