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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 29, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Spurs49%9775
7Jazz51%9883
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 35.5
42.4
37.8
17
71%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
43%
5-9
56%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 30.6
38.0
34.7
21
53%
10
4
1
1
3
3
3
7
7-9
78%
7-16
8-15
44%
51%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.5
35.6
33.7
14
44%
2
5
0
1
0
3
0
2
0-2
0%
7-14
8-15
50%
52%
0-1
0%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 33.7
22.4
24.8
3
18%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
1-1
100%
1-6
2-5
17%
44%
0-2
0%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 31.7
19.5
21.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
3-5
0%
52%
0-0
-
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 34.9
28.8
24.6
2
29%
3
5
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-1
0%
1-1
1-2
100%
53%
0-2
0%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 36.3
21.4
15.1
3
30%
8
1
1
1
0
0
1
7
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
41%
1-4
25%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.4
16.7
13.6
11
48%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
1-1
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
46%
2-6
33%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 30.8
15.2
11.7
4
100%
5
0
0
0
2
1
1
4
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
51%
0-0
-
Eric Williams
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 34.4
4.0
0
0-1
42%
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 31.8
3.5
0
0-1
42%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 26.7
3.4
0
0-1
49%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 29.3
James White
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.1
Jackie Butler
C · 6'10" 260 · 21.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 25.0
38.0
35.4
23
62%
16
0
2
1
2
4
5
11
3-6
50%
10-16
8-15
63%
53%
0-0
-
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.4
36.0
32.8
15
63%
2
9
0
1
0
3
0
2
1-2
50%
1-7
5-10
14%
46%
4-4
100%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.8
33.6
30.8
9
53%
9
5
1
1
3
1
3
6
7-8
88%
1-4
3-5
25%
49%
0-1
0%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 27.5
28.3
34.1
10
53%
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
3-5
4-8
60%
49%
1-4
25%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 21.7
8.9
16.7
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
48%
0-0
-
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 30.5
31.2
28.0
13
44%
12
1
0
1
1
0
3
9
3-6
50%
5-12
4-8
42%
49%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 32.3
21.6
18.6
8
44%
2
4
0
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
4-8
2-4
50%
41%
0-1
0%
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 29.4
19.0
14.2
4
29%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-5
2-4
20%
45%
0-1
0%
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 28.0
15.2
11.6
1
57%
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 21.8
8.3
14.2
0
0%
4
0
1
0
0
1
3
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
47%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 19.7
5.1
0
1-1
43%
Dee Brown
G · 6'0" 185 · 22.3
2.0
0
0-0
40%
Rafael Araujo
C · 6'11" 270 · 26.3
Roger Powell
F · 6'6" 220 · 23.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.