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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 29, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Magic44%9894
16SuperSonics56%10184
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 21.0
31.3
36.1
24
90%
12
0
0
1
4
4
4
8
8-12
67%
8-8
6-11
100%
54%
0-0
-
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 30.8
30.9
22.1
4
50%
7
0
0
0
0
0
1
6
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
50%
0-0
-
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 34.1
27.8
32.4
4
22%
2
4
2
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-9
5-10
22%
51%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 24.8
24.4
28.7
9
45%
3
6
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-8
5-9
38%
52%
1-2
50%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 27.7
21.9
26.2
5
36%
2
4
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
46%
1-4
25%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 21.4
26.1
17.8
8
57%
6
1
2
1
1
2
3
3
0-0
-
4-7
2-5
57%
46%
0-0
-
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 21.4
26.1
24.5
14
68%
3
1
0
1
3
4
1
2
8-12
67%
3-5
4-8
60%
49%
0-0
-
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 27.3
23.6
17.7
16
66%
2
4
2
1
0
2
1
1
6-7
86%
5-9
3-6
56%
46%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 26.6
20.2
18.2
6
51%
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 26.5
4.9
10.2
4
67%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
44%
0-0
-
Bo Outlaw
F · 6'8" 220 · 35.6
2.9
8.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 22.4
2.0
0
0-0
47%
James Augustine
F · 6'10" 235 · 22.8
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.7
Pat Garrity
F · 6'9" 238 · 30.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 31.4
42.1
37.8
21
55%
4
5
0
1
1
1
1
3
5-5
100%
5-8
6-11
63%
49%
2-9
22%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 27.3
40.0
36.2
18
48%
4
0
0
1
1
0
1
3
2-2
100%
5-13
5-9
38%
51%
2-5
40%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 20.8
31.3
22.0
13
73%
7
0
4
1
0
2
2
5
1-2
50%
6-8
3-6
75%
50%
0-0
-
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.8
25.5
33.9
7
35%
2
4
0
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
1-5
4-9
20%
47%
1-4
25%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 24.2
24.8
31.0
8
68%
6
3
2
1
0
1
1
5
2-2
100%
3-5
4-8
60%
55%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 26.1
31.2
24.8
6
27%
9
2
3
0
0
3
5
4
0-0
-
3-11
4-7
27%
50%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 27.5
25.2
20.9
7
51%
0
4
0
1
0
3
0
0
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
45%
1-4
25%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 26.9
14.7
15.5
2
20%
3
0
0
1
0
3
2
1
2-2
100%
0-4
2-4
0%
47%
0-0
-
Mouhamed Sene
C · 6'11" 230 · 20.6
3.1
2.2
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
49%
0-0
-
Andreas Glyniadakis
C · 7'1" 280 · 25.3
2.1
6.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 27.6
3.5
0
0-1
40%
Mickael Gelabale
F · 6'7" 215 · 23.5
2.4
0
0-0
48%
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 21.0
Desmon Farmer
G · 6'5" 220 · 25.1
Danny Fortson
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 30.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.