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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 29, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Pacers30%96108
12Warriors70%103106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 28.7
39.6
30.1
13
47%
5
5
3
1
2
1
2
3
3-4
75%
2-6
3-8
33%
44%
2-6
33%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 28.1
39.0
36.9
20
46%
11
5
1
1
2
5
2
9
4-6
67%
8-19
7-15
42%
46%
0-0
-
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 26.8
38.0
30.9
28
75%
4
3
1
1
0
3
2
2
2-4
50%
4-9
5-12
44%
46%
6-8
75%
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 28.8
37.1
27.2
23
51%
8
8
4
1
0
3
2
6
1-1
100%
8-18
3-7
44%
44%
2-4
50%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 29.9
21.1
23.1
11
62%
10
0
1
1
0
1
5
5
1-2
50%
5-8
2-4
63%
52%
0-0
-
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 23.6
24.8
32.6
3
26%
5
0
1
1
1
2
2
3
1-2
50%
1-2
3-5
50%
48%
0-3
0%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 25.9
21.3
11.8
7
42%
5
1
1
1
1
0
1
4
3-3
100%
2-7
1-3
29%
46%
0-0
-
Sarunas Jasikevicius
· 6'4" 197 · 30.7
12.1
24.8
3
40%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
3-4
75%
0-2
2-5
0%
41%
0-0
-
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 38.4
6.9
13.1
0
0%
0
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Rawle Marshall
G-F · 6'7" 190 · 24.8
5.7
0
1-1
45%
Maceo Baston
F · 6'10" 230 · 30.5
4.2
0
0-1
48%
Orien Greene
G · 6'4" 208 · 24.8
1.1
0
0-0
43%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.8
David Harrison
C · 7'0" 280 · 24.3
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 20.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 21.1
37.2
34.8
27
78%
4
5
1
1
2
5
0
4
4-5
80%
7-12
6-12
58%
49%
3-3
100%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 20.7
30.4
36.9
9
51%
5
2
0
1
2
2
2
3
1-4
25%
4-7
6-9
57%
62%
0-0
-
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 26.6
25.5
25.8
2
20%
7
6
0
1
3
1
0
7
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
47%
0-1
0%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 26.7
18.8
29.1
3
50%
4
1
2
1
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
3-5
0%
53%
1-2
50%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 25.9
7.7
38.7
2
25%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
5-11
33%
49%
0-1
0%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 24.8
37.3
13.7
12
55%
4
0
0
0
3
1
0
4
0-0
-
3-4
2-3
75%
51%
2-7
29%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 27.6
35.9
11.7
24
48%
9
9
2
1
3
4
2
7
0-0
-
12-23
2-4
52%
46%
0-2
0%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 26.2
33.3
28.6
19
66%
5
2
2
1
0
2
0
5
1-1
100%
6-12
3-6
50%
50%
2-2
100%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 31.7
9.5
4.2
6
100%
5
0
0
0
1
1
2
3
0-0
-
3-3
0-1
100%
51%
0-0
-
Keith McLeod
G · 6'2" 190 · 27.1
4.4
17.1
2
53%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
1-4
0%
40%
0-0
-
Anthony Roberson
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.8
4.7
0
0-1
46%
Patrick O'Bryant
C · 7'0" 250 · 20.4
2.8
0
0-1
49%
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.2
Zarko Cabarkapa
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 25.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.