Final Win Prob. pScore
548%93
87
1352%94
85
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo Pistons
107.48175.8
MIA logo Heat
106.38086.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0DET87
100%
85
0%
Q4 - 0:00.0DETPistons Rebound87
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:00.0DETMISS Hamilton Free Throw 2 of 287
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:00.0DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)87
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAPayton P.FOUL (P3.PN)86
85
Q4 - 0:01.0DETPistons Timeout: Short (Reg.5 Short 3)86
85
Q4 - 0:01.0DETPistons Timeout: Short (Reg.5 Short 2)86
85
Q4 - 0:01.0DETPistons Rebound86
99.7%
85
0.3%
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot86
95.6%
85
4.4%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)86
63.4%
85
36.6%
Q4 - 0:25.0DETWade BLOCK (1 BLK)86
70.1%
85
29.9%
Q4 - 0:37.0MIAPosey P.FOUL (P4.T4)86
85
Q4 - 0:51.0DETPistons Rebound86
75.6%
85
24.4%
Q4 - 0:51.0DETMISS Prince 5' Hook Shot86
65.4%
85
34.6%
Q4 - 0:59.0DETPistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1)86
85
Q4 - 1:05DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)86
74.5%
85
25.5%
Q4 - 1:07MIAMISS Wade 18' Fadeaway Jumper86
70.3%
85
29.7%
Q4 - 1:21MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)86
59.6%
85
40.4%
Q4 - 1:23DETMISS Hamilton 19' Turnaround Jump Shot86
64.1%
85
35.9%
Q4 - 1:48MIAPosey 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)86
70.0%
85
30.0%
Q4 - 2:15DETHamilton 15' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Billups 7 AST)86
85.4%
82
14.6%
Q4 - 2:36MIAHaslem 13' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)84
81.4%
82
18.6%
Q4 - 2:58MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)84
83.9%
80
16.1%
Q4 - 3:00DETMISS Wallace 10' Turnaround Jump Shot84
86.2%
80
13.8%
Q4 - 3:12MIAPayton P.FOUL (P2.T3)84
80
Q4 - 3:20MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)84
90.5%
80
9.5%
Q4 - 3:20DETPistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)84
79
Q4 - 3:20MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)84
91.2%
79
8.8%
Q4 - 3:20MIASUB: Payton FOR Kapono84
78
Q4 - 3:20DETWallace S.FOUL (P2.PN)84
78
Q4 - 3:30MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)84
93.0%
78
7.0%
Q4 - 3:32DETMISS Hamilton 22' Jump Shot84
90.6%
78
9.4%
Q4 - 3:56MIAHaslem 3' Jump Shot (18 PTS)84
93.2%
78
6.8%
Q4 - 3:57MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)84
95.1%
76
4.9%
Q4 - 3:59MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup84
96.3%
76
3.7%
Q4 - 4:15DETHamilton 7' Running Hook Shot (21 PTS)84
95.2%
76
4.8%
Q4 - 4:21MIAHaslem Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)82
93.4%
76
6.6%
Q4 - 4:22DETHaslem STEAL (2 STL)82
90.3%
76
9.7%
Q4 - 4:37DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)82
93.4%
76
6.6%
Q4 - 4:39MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup82
92.6%
76
7.4%
Q4 - 5:01DETBillups 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)82
87.1%
76
12.9%
Q4 - 5:16MIASUB: Wright FOR Williams79
76
Q4 - 5:16MIASUB: Haslem FOR Mourning79
76
Q4 - 5:16DETSUB: Prince FOR McDyess79
76
Q4 - 5:16MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)79
76
Q4 - 5:18DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)79
78.0%
76
22.0%
Q4 - 5:20MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot79
76.1%
76
23.9%
Q4 - 5:40DETWallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Billups 6 AST)79
71.5%
76
28.5%
Q4 - 5:57MIAWade 20' Jump Bank Shot (19 PTS)76
56.3%
76
43.7%
Q4 - 6:18DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)76
62.8%
74
37.2%
Q4 - 6:18DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)75
61.9%
74
38.1%
Q4 - 6:18MIAPosey S.FOUL (P3.T2)74
74
Q4 - 6:25MIAWilliams P.FOUL (P3.T1)74
74
Q4 - 6:44MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)74
55.9%
74
44.1%
Q4 - 6:44MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)74
57.2%
73
42.8%
Q4 - 6:44DETBillups S.FOUL (P4.T4)74
72
Q4 - 6:50MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
62.9%
72
37.1%
Q4 - 6:52DETMISS Billups 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
65.1%
72
34.9%
Q4 - 7:03DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
68.6%
72
31.4%
Q4 - 7:05MIAMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot74
66.6%
72
33.4%
Q4 - 7:16DETMcDyess Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)74
61.8%
72
38.2%
Q4 - 7:17DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)74
68.6%
72
31.4%
Q4 - 7:18MIAMISS Mourning 4' Hook Shot74
66.6%
72
33.4%
Q4 - 7:39DETBillups 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)74
61.8%
72
38.2%
Q4 - 7:50MIAMourning Layup (10 PTS)71
48.6%
72
51.4%
Q4 - 7:53MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)71
55.1%
70
44.9%
Q4 - 7:55MIAMISS Posey Running Layup71
60.2%
70
39.8%
Q4 - 8:06DETSUB: Billups FOR Hunter71
70
Q4 - 8:06DETHunter P.FOUL (P2.T3)71
70
Q4 - 8:18MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)71
55.3%
70
44.7%
Q4 - 8:20DETMISS Hamilton 21' Jump Shot71
57.2%
70
42.8%
Q4 - 8:42MIAWade 4' Running Layup (15 PTS)71
61.4%
70
38.6%
Q4 - 8:5071
68
Q4 - 9:01DETSUB: Hamilton FOR Prince71
68
Q4 - 9:01DETMcDyess L.B.FOUL (P2.T2)71
68
Q4 - 9:01MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
66.5%
68
33.5%
Q4 - 9:01DETMISS McDyess 13' Jump Shot71
68.0%
68
32.0%
Q4 - 9:28MIAPosey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)71
71.5%
68
28.5%
Q4 - 9:41DETMurray 9' Jump Shot (10 PTS)71
80.4%
65
19.6%
Q4 - 9:59DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)69
76.2%
65
23.8%
Q4 - 10:01MIAMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot69
73.5%
65
26.5%
Q4 - 10:12DETPistons Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)69
70.4%
65
29.6%
Q4 - 10:34DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)69
74.9%
65
25.1%
Q4 - 10:36MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 269
74.3%
65
25.7%
Q4 - 10:36MIASUB: Posey FOR Walker69
65
Q4 - 10:36MIASUB: Mourning FOR Haslem69
65
Q4 - 10:36MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)69
71.2%
65
28.8%
Q4 - 10:36DETSUB: Hunter FOR Billups69
64
Q4 - 10:36DETMurray P.FOUL (P1.T1)69
64
Q4 - 10:51DETWallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)69
75.0%
64
25.0%
Q4 - 11:10DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)66
64.4%
64
35.6%
Q4 - 11:12MIAMISS Walker Layup66
63.0%
64
37.0%
Q4 - 11:28MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)66
59.7%
64
40.3%
Q4 - 11:30DETMISS McDyess Layup66
61.2%
64
38.8%
Q4 - 11:41DETMurray REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)66
64.5%
64
35.5%
Q4 - 11:43DETMISS McDyess 14' Turnaround Jump Shot66
61.2%
64
38.8%
Q4 - 12:0066
64
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA66
64.5%
64
35.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound66
59.7%
64
40.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 28' 3PT Jump Shot66
63.1%
64
36.9%
Q3 - 0:01.0DETBillups Foul Turnover (P4.T9)66
59.2%
64
40.8%
Q3 - 0:01.0DETBillups OFF.Foul (P3)66
64
Q3 - 0:22.0MIAWilliams Driving Layup (2 PTS)66
63.5%
64
36.5%
Q3 - 0:44.0DETPistons Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)66
68.6%
62
31.4%
Q3 - 0:44.0DETPistons Rebound66
72.4%
62
27.6%
Q3 - 0:45.0DETMISS Mohammed Layup66
69.8%
62
30.2%
Q3 - 1:06DETMohammed REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)66
71.4%
62
28.6%
Q3 - 1:08MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 266
70.9%
62
29.1%
Q3 - 1:08MIAHEAT Rebound66
62
Q3 - 1:08MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 266
68.1%
62
31.9%
Q3 - 1:08DETMcDyess P.FOUL (P1.PN)66
62
Q3 - 1:30DETPrince Driving Layup (12 PTS)66
67.7%
62
32.3%
Q3 - 1:54MIAHaslem 4' Jump Shot (16 PTS)64
62.8%
62
37.2%
Q3 - 1:56MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)64
67.7%
60
32.3%
Q3 - 1:57MIAMISS Williams 8' Jump Bank Shot64
70.3%
60
29.7%
Q3 - 2:07MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)64
66.5%
60
33.5%
Q3 - 2:10MIAMISS Wade 12' Fadeaway Jumper64
69.4%
60
30.6%
Q3 - 2:28DETMohammed Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)64
66.6%
60
33.4%
Q3 - 2:28MIASUB: Williams FOR Wright63
60
Q3 - 2:28DETPistons Rebound63
60
Q3 - 2:28DETMISS Mohammed Free Throw 1 of 263
65.5%
60
34.5%
Q3 - 2:28MIAKapono P.FOUL (P3.PN)63
60
Q3 - 2:32MIAWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)63
66.5%
60
33.5%
Q3 - 2:34MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)63
62.3%
60
37.7%
Q3 - 2:37MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup63
65.3%
60
34.7%
Q3 - 2:54MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)63
62.3%
60
37.7%
Q3 - 2:55DETMISS Mohammed Free Throw 1 of 163
62.9%
60
37.1%
Q3 - 2:55DETPistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)63
60
Q3 - 2:55MIAWalker S.FOUL (P2.PN)63
60
Q3 - 2:55DETMohammed Layup (7 PTS) (McDyess 1 AST)63
60
Q3 - 3:02DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
57.7%
60
42.3%
Q3 - 3:05MIAMISS Walker Layup61
56.3%
60
43.7%
Q3 - 3:24DETHamilton 18' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)61
53.0%
60
47.0%
Q3 - 3:37DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)59
48.8%
60
51.2%
Q3 - 3:39MIAMISS Wright Free Throw 2 of 259
48.1%
60
51.9%
Q3 - 3:39MIASUB: Walker FOR Mourning59
60
Q3 - 3:39MIAWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)59
45.1%
60
54.9%
Q3 - 3:39MIASUB: Kapono FOR Payton59
59
Q3 - 3:39DETPrince P.FOUL (P1.PN)59
59
Q3 - 3:54DETHamilton 21' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)59
48.5%
59
51.5%
Q3 - 4:15MIAHaslem 14' Jump Shot (14 PTS)57
44.5%
59
55.5%
Q3 - 4:34DETMcDyess 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)57
48.2%
57
51.8%
Q3 - 4:48MIAPayton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)55
44.5%
57
55.5%
Q3 - 5:10DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)55
39.7%
57
60.3%
Q3 - 5:10DETPistons Rebound54
57
Q3 - 5:10DETMISS Prince Free Throw 1 of 254
39.0%
57
61.0%
Q3 - 5:10DETSUB: McDyess FOR Wallace54
57
Q3 - 5:10MIAWright S.FOUL (P2.PN)54
57
Q3 - 5:18DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)54
40.2%
57
59.8%
Q3 - 5:20MIAMISS Payton 20' Jump Shot54
38.8%
57
61.2%
Q3 - 5:36DETHamilton 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS)54
35.8%
57
64.2%
Q3 - 6:02MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS)52
33.0%
57
67.0%
Q3 - 6:21DETMohammed Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)52
36.4%
55
63.6%
Q3 - 6:21DETMohammed Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)51
35.4%
55
64.6%
Q3 - 6:21DETBillups Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)50
33.0%
55
67.0%
Q3 - 6:21MIAMourning T.FOUL (P3.T4)49
55
Q3 - 6:21MIAMourning S.FOUL (P3.T4)49
55
Q3 - 6:42MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wright 3 AST)49
29.5%
55
70.5%
Q3 - 7:00DETPayton STEAL (1 STL)49
32.7%
53
67.3%
Q3 - 7:04MIAMourning P.FOUL (P2.T3)49
53
Q3 - 7:15MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)49
36.8%
53
63.2%
Q3 - 7:15MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)49
37.5%
52
62.5%
Q3 - 7:15DETMohammed S.FOUL (P3.T4)49
51
Q3 - 7:15MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
40.3%
51
59.7%
Q3 - 7:17MIAMISS Wade 12' Jump Shot49
43.0%
51
57.0%
Q3 - 7:40DETPrince Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)49
40.3%
51
59.7%
Q3 - 7:41DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)49
44.2%
51
55.8%
Q3 - 7:43DETMISS Hamilton 10' Turnaround Jump Shot49
41.5%
51
58.5%
Q3 - 7:57MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)49
44.2%
51
55.8%
Q3 - 7:57MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)49
45.6%
50
54.4%
Q3 - 7:57DETBillups S.FOUL (P2.T3)49
49
Q3 - 7:58MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)49
47.9%
49
52.1%
Q3 - 8:00MIAMISS Wright 20' Jump Shot49
50.7%
49
49.3%
Q3 - 8:14MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)49
49
Q3 - 8:26DETHamilton Layup (11 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)49
47.7%
49
52.3%
Q3 - 8:31DETMohammed REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)47
44.2%
49
55.8%
Q3 - 8:34DETMISS Prince 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
41.5%
49
58.5%
Q3 - 8:54DETMohammed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)47
44.2%
49
55.8%
Q3 - 8:56MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot47
43.0%
49
57.0%
Q3 - 9:19DETMohammed Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)47
40.6%
49
59.4%
Q3 - 9:19DETPistons Rebound46
49
Q3 - 9:19DETMISS Mohammed Free Throw 1 of 246
39.7%
49
60.3%
Q3 - 9:19MIAHaslem P.FOUL (P1.T2)46
49
Q3 - 9:19DETMohammed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)46
40.7%
49
59.3%
Q3 - 9:20DETMISS Wallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
38.2%
49
61.8%
Q3 - 9:37DETMohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)46
40.7%
49
59.3%
Q3 - 9:39MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 146
40.2%
49
59.8%
Q3 - 9:39DETMohammed S.FOUL (P2.T2)46
49
Q3 - 9:39MIAHaslem Layup (8 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)46
49
Q3 - 9:43MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)46
44.2%
47
55.8%
Q3 - 9:45DETMISS Mohammed 15' Fadeaway Jumper46
45.3%
47
54.7%
Q3 - 9:59DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)46
48.0%
47
52.0%
Q3 - 10:01MIAMISS Wright Driving Layup46
46.8%
47
53.2%
Q3 - 10:24MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
44.3%
47
55.7%
Q3 - 10:25DETMISS Mohammed Free Throw 1 of 146
44.8%
47
55.2%
Q3 - 10:25MIAMourning S.FOUL (P1.T1)46
47
Q3 - 10:25DETMohammed Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)46
47
Q3 - 10:35DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)44
40.9%
47
59.1%
Q3 - 10:37DETMISS Hamilton 21' Jump Shot44
38.4%
47
61.6%
Q3 - 10:53DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)44
40.8%
47
59.2%
Q3 - 10:54MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 244
40.4%
47
59.6%
Q3 - 10:54MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)44
38.0%
47
62.0%
Q3 - 10:54DETHamilton S.FOUL (P1.T1)44
46
Q3 - 11:03MIAWright REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)44
41.1%
46
58.9%
Q3 - 11:05DETMISS Mohammed 15' Jump Shot44
42.2%
46
57.8%
Q3 - 11:13DETMohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
44.7%
46
55.3%
Q3 - 11:15MIAMISS Wade Reverse Layup44
43.6%
46
56.4%
Q3 - 11:36DETPrince Driving Layup (9 PTS)44
41.1%
46
58.9%
Q3 - 11:46DETMohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
38.0%
46
62.0%
Q3 - 11:48MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
36.9%
46
63.1%
Q3 - 12:00MIAWade Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)42
34.6%
46
65.4%
Q3 - 12:00DETWallace T.FOUL (P1.T0)42
45
Q3 - 12:0042
45
Q2 - 0:00.0DET42
37.8%
45
62.2%
Q2 - 0:21.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)42
41.2%
45
58.8%
Q2 - 0:23.0MIAMISS Mourning 10' Hook Shot42
40.4%
45
59.6%
Q2 - 0:43.0MIAWright REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)42
38.7%
45
61.3%
Q2 - 0:44.0DETMISS Billups Free Throw 2 of 242
39.0%
45
61.0%
Q2 - 0:44.0DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)42
41.6%
45
58.4%
Q2 - 0:44.0MIAWright P.FOUL (P1.PN)41
45
Q2 - 0:55.0DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)41
38.0%
45
62.0%
Q2 - 0:57.0DETMISS Wallace 21' Jump Shot41
36.3%
45
63.7%
Q2 - 1:19MIAWright 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)41
38.2%
45
61.8%
Q2 - 1:40MIAWright REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)41
42.2%
43
57.8%
Q2 - 1:41DETMISS Murray Free Throw 2 of 241
42.5%
43
57.5%
Q2 - 1:41DETPistons Rebound41
43
Q2 - 1:41DETMISS Murray Free Throw 1 of 241
44.6%
43
55.4%
Q2 - 1:41MIAPayton P.FOUL (P1.PN)41
43
Q2 - 1:48DETMurray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
44.6%
43
55.4%
Q2 - 1:49MIAMISS Mourning Layup41
43.8%
43
56.2%
Q2 - 2:06MIASUB: Wright FOR Posey41
43
Q2 - 2:06DETPistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 1)41
43
Q2 - 2:06DETWallace Foul Turnover (P1.T5)41
41.8%
43
58.2%
Q2 - 2:06DETWallace OFF.Foul (P1)41
43
Q2 - 2:16DETDelfino REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)41
45.1%
43
54.9%
Q2 - 2:18DETMISS McDyess 18' Jump Shot41
42.8%
43
57.2%
Q2 - 2:30DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
45.1%
43
54.9%
Q2 - 2:33MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot41
44.1%
43
55.9%
Q2 - 2:52DETDelfino 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)41
41.9%
43
58.1%
Q2 - 3:06DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)38
36.4%
43
63.6%
Q2 - 3:08DETMISS Delfino 21' Jump Shot38
34.1%
43
65.9%
Q2 - 3:23DETMurray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
36.4%
43
63.6%
Q2 - 3:25MIAMISS Wade 22' Jump Shot38
35.4%
43
64.6%
Q2 - 3:39DETMurray Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)38
33.1%
43
66.9%
Q2 - 3:39MIASUB: Payton FOR Kapono37
43
Q2 - 3:39MIAKapono S.FOUL (P2.PN)37
43
Q2 - 3:39DETMurray Driving Layup (7 PTS)37
43
Q2 - 3:40MIAHaslem Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)35
28.2%
43
71.8%
Q2 - 4:01DETMcDyess 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)35
25.9%
43
74.1%
Q2 - 4:21MIAKapono 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)33
23.8%
43
76.2%
Q2 - 4:34MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)33
25.9%
41
74.1%
Q2 - 4:36DETMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
26.6%
41
73.4%
Q2 - 5:02MIAPosey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)33
29.0%
41
71.0%
Q2 - 5:19DETMcDyess 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)33
34.2%
38
65.8%
Q2 - 5:33MIAKapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)31
31.5%
38
68.5%
Q2 - 5:44MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)31
35
Q2 - 5:44MIAHEAT Rebound31
36.9%
35
63.1%
Q2 - 5:45DETMISS Delfino 17' Jump Shot31
37.7%
35
62.3%
Q2 - 6:06MIAKapono Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)31
40.1%
35
59.9%
Q2 - 6:26DETMurray Driving Layup (5 PTS)31
36.8%
35
63.2%
Q2 - 6:37MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)29
34.6%
35
65.4%
Q2 - 6:37MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)29
35.1%
34
64.9%
Q2 - 6:37DETSUB: Billups FOR Hunter29
33
Q2 - 6:37DETSUB: Wallace FOR Davis29
33
Q2 - 6:37MIASUB: Haslem FOR Walker29
33
Q2 - 6:37DETHunter S.FOUL (P1.T1)29
33
Q2 - 6:41MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
36.8%
33
63.2%
Q2 - 6:43DETMISS Hunter 26' 3PT Jump Shot29
37.8%
33
62.2%
Q2 - 7:01MIAMourning Follow Up Dunk (6 PTS)29
40.0%
33
60.0%
Q2 - 7:03MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
42.7%
31
57.3%
Q2 - 7:05MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Shot29
44.7%
31
55.3%
Q2 - 7:26DETDelfino Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)29
42.7%
31
57.3%
Q2 - 7:26DETDelfino Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)28
42.0%
31
58.0%
Q2 - 7:26MIASUB: Mourning FOR Doleac27
31
Q2 - 7:26MIAPosey S.FOUL (P2.PN)27
31
Q2 - 7:28DETHunter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
40.0%
31
60.0%
Q2 - 7:31MIAMISS Wade 21' Turnaround Jump Shot27
39.2%
31
60.8%
Q2 - 7:55MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
37.2%
31
62.8%
Q2 - 7:56DETMISS Hunter Free Throw 2 of 227
37.6%
31
62.4%
Q2 - 7:56DETHunter Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)27
39.4%
31
60.6%
Q2 - 7:56MIASUB: Wade FOR Williams26
31
Q2 - 7:56MIAWilliams P.FOUL (P2.PN)26
31
Q2 - 8:11DETSUB: Delfino FOR Prince26
31
Q2 - 8:1126
31
Q2 - 8:11MIAWilliams P.FOUL (P1.T4)26
31
Q2 - 8:14DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)26
37.6%
31
62.4%
Q2 - 8:16MIAMISS Kapono 19' Jump Shot26
36.8%
31
63.2%
Q2 - 8:25DETHunter Driving Layup (2 PTS)26
35.1%
31
64.9%
Q2 - 8:41DETDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
32.6%
31
67.4%
Q2 - 8:43MIAMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot24
31.9%
31
68.1%
Q2 - 8:52MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)24
30.3%
31
69.7%
Q2 - 8:53DETMISS Hunter Layup24
31.0%
31
69.0%
Q2 - 8:56DETHunter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
32.6%
31
67.4%
Q2 - 8:58MIAMISS Walker 7' Jump Shot24
31.9%
31
68.1%
Q2 - 9:01MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
30.4%
31
69.6%
Q2 - 9:03MIAMISS Doleac 6' Jump Shot24
32.0%
31
68.0%
Q2 - 9:21MIAHEAT Rebound24
30.4%
31
69.6%
Q2 - 9:23DETMISS Murray 21' Jump Shot24
31.1%
31
68.9%
Q2 - 9:28DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
32.7%
31
67.3%
Q2 - 9:30MIAMISS Walker 7' Jump Shot24
32.0%
31
68.0%
Q2 - 9:47DETMurray Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)24
30.4%
31
69.6%
Q2 - 9:47MIAKapono S.FOUL (P1.T3)23
31
Q2 - 9:47DETMurray 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS)23
31
Q2 - 9:48DETMurray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
26.1%
31
73.9%
Q2 - 9:49DETMISS McDyess 16' Turnaround Jump Shot21
24.6%
31
75.4%
Q2 - 9:58MIAPosey P.FOUL (P1.T2)21
31
Q2 - 10:05DETSUB: Murray FOR Hamilton21
31
Q2 - 10:05MIASUB: Kapono FOR Wade21
31
Q2 - 10:05MIASUB: Posey FOR Wright21
31
Q2 - 10:13DETDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
26.6%
31
73.4%
Q2 - 10:15MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot21
26.0%
31
74.0%
Q2 - 10:22MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
24.5%
31
75.5%
Q2 - 10:24DETMISS Davis 19' Jump Shot21
25.1%
31
74.9%
Q2 - 10:39MIAWright Tip Shot (8 PTS)21
26.6%
31
73.4%
Q2 - 10:40MIAWright REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)21
28.6%
29
71.4%
Q2 - 10:41MIAMISS Williams Driving Layup21
30.1%
29
69.9%
Q2 - 10:47MIAWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)21
28.6%
29
71.4%
Q2 - 10:48DETMISS Hunter 21' Jump Shot21
29.3%
29
70.7%
Q2 - 11:08MIAWalker Layup (2 PTS) (Doleac 1 AST)21
31.2%
29
68.8%
Q2 - 11:27DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)21
33.4%
27
66.6%
Q2 - 11:27DETSUB: McDyess FOR Wallace20
27
Q2 - 11:27MIADoleac S.FOUL (P1.T1)20
27
Q2 - 11:27DETPrince Driving Layup (6 PTS)20
27
Q2 - 11:45MIAWade Driving Layup (6 PTS)18
29.1%
27
70.9%
Q2 - 12:0018
25
Q1 - 0:00.0DET18
31.2%
25
68.8%
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS)18
33.5%
25
66.5%
Q1 - 0:22.0DETHamilton 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS)18
38.6%
22
61.4%
Q1 - 0:27.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)16
35.7%
22
64.3%
Q1 - 0:28.0MIAMISS Williams Driving Layup16
35.2%
22
64.8%
Q1 - 0:41.0DETHamilton 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)16
34.0%
22
66.0%
Q1 - 0:56.0DETDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
29.3%
22
70.7%
Q1 - 0:58.0MIAMISS Williams 15' Jump Shot13
28.8%
22
71.2%
Q1 - 1:15DETHamilton 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)13
28.6%
22
71.4%
Q1 - 1:23DETSUB: Hunter FOR Billups11
22
Q1 - 1:23MIAWalker P.FOUL (P1.T1)11
22
Q1 - 1:43MIAHaslem Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)11
26.0%
22
74.0%
Q1 - 1:56DETDavis L.B.FOUL (P1.T3)11
20
Q1 - 1:56MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
28.5%
20
71.5%
Q1 - 1:57DETMISS Prince 17' Jump Shot11
28.9%
20
71.1%
Q1 - 2:07DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
30.5%
20
69.5%
Q1 - 2:09MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot11
30.0%
20
70.0%
Q1 - 2:27MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
28.9%
20
71.1%
Q1 - 2:28DETMISS Billups 14' Jump Shot11
29.4%
20
70.6%
Q1 - 2:42DETHamilton Free Throw Technical (2 PTS)11
30.5%
20
69.5%
Q1 - 2:42MIASUB: Wright FOR Payton10
20
Q1 - 2:42MIASUB: Williams FOR Mourning10
20
Q1 - 2:42MIASUB: Walker FOR Wright10
20
Q1 - 2:42DETPistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 1)10
20
Q1 - 2:42MIAHEAT T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Mourning )10
20
Q1 - 3:07MIAPayton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)10
29.0%
20
71.0%
Q1 - 3:27MIAHEAT Rebound10
32.9%
17
67.1%
Q1 - 3:27MIAJump Ball Mourning vs. Wallace: Tip to Payton10
17
Q1 - 3:27DETSUB: Davis FOR Mohammed10
17
Q1 - 3:27MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot10
34.3%
17
65.7%
Q1 - 3:34MIAWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)10
32.9%
17
67.1%
Q1 - 3:36MIAMISS Mourning Layup10
34.3%
17
65.7%
Q1 - 3:53DETWallace 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
32.9%
17
67.1%
Q1 - 4:19MIAMourning 7' Hook Shot (4 PTS)8
32.6%
17
67.4%
Q1 - 4:35MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
34.4%
15
65.6%
Q1 - 4:37DETMISS Prince 17' Turnaround Jump Shot8
35.0%
15
65.0%
Q1 - 5:01DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
36.7%
15
63.3%
Q1 - 5:03MIAMISS Mourning 9' Hook Shot8
36.1%
15
63.9%
Q1 - 5:18MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)8
15
Q1 - 5:18DETHamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)8
34.9%
15
65.1%
Q1 - 5:35MIAWright Alley Oop Layup (6 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)8
36.9%
15
63.1%
Q1 - 5:43DETHaslem STEAL (1 STL)8
38.5%
13
61.5%
Q1 - 5:49DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
40.6%
13
59.4%
Q1 - 5:51MIAMISS Wade 19' Fadeaway Jumper8
40.0%
13
60.0%
Q1 - 6:06DETMohammed L.B.FOUL (P1.T2)8
13
Q1 - 6:06MIAHEAT Rebound8
38.9%
13
61.1%
Q1 - 6:07DETMISS Hamilton 15' Jump Shot8
39.5%
13
60.5%
Q1 - 6:14DETHamilton Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)8
40.8%
13
59.2%
Q1 - 6:14MIAHEAT T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Payton )7
13
Q1 - 6:28MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)7
39.2%
13
60.8%
Q1 - 6:49DETBillups 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)7
41.0%
11
59.0%
Q1 - 7:05MIAMourning Dunk (2 PTS) (Wright 2 AST)4
38.0%
11
62.0%
Q1 - 7:07MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
39.4%
9
60.6%
Q1 - 7:09MIAMISS Payton 20' Jump Shot4
40.7%
9
59.3%
Q1 - 7:18MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
39.6%
9
60.4%
Q1 - 7:20DETMISS Prince 26' 3PT Jump Shot4
40.1%
9
59.9%
Q1 - 7:40MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)4
41.6%
9
58.4%
Q1 - 7:40MIAHEAT Rebound4
8
Q1 - 7:40MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 24
41.8%
8
58.2%
Q1 - 7:40DETBillups S.FOUL (P1.T1)4
8
Q1 - 7:45MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
41.5%
8
58.5%
Q1 - 7:47DETMISS Prince 8' Hook Shot4
42.0%
8
58.0%
Q1 - 8:00MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)4
43.3%
8
56.7%
Q1 - 8:00MIAHEAT Rebound4
41.7%
8
58.3%
Q1 - 8:01MIAMISS Wright 21' Jump Shot4
42.8%
8
57.2%
Q1 - 8:14DETWallace Violation:Kicked Ball4
8
Q1 - 8:35DETPrince 8' Running Hook Shot (4 PTS)4
42.2%
8
57.8%
Q1 - 8:53MIAWright Driving Layup (4 PTS)2
41.2%
8
58.8%
Q1 - 8:57DETWright STEAL (2 STL)2
42.6%
6
57.4%
Q1 - 9:02DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
44.4%
6
55.6%
Q1 - 9:04MIAMISS Payton 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
44.1%
6
55.9%
Q1 - 9:28DETPrince 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
43.7%
6
56.3%
Q1 - 9:37DETPistons Timeout: Short (Reg.0 Short 1)0
6
Q1 - 9:46MIAPayton Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)0
42.9%
6
57.1%
Q1 - 9:51MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
44.1%
4
55.9%
Q1 - 9:52DETMISS Hamilton 3PT Jump Shot0
44.4%
4
55.6%
Q1 - 10:00DETMohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
45.2%
4
54.8%
Q1 - 10:02DETMISS Wallace 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
44.9%
4
55.1%
Q1 - 10:12DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
45.7%
4
54.3%
Q1 - 10:14MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot0
45.5%
4
54.5%
Q1 - 10:27MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
45.2%
4
54.8%
Q1 - 10:28DETMISS Hamilton 20' Jump Shot0
45.4%
4
54.6%
Q1 - 10:57MIAWright Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)0
46.5%
4
53.5%
Q1 - 11:01MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
47.1%
2
52.9%
Q1 - 11:03DETMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)0
47.3%
2
52.7%
Q1 - 11:27MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)0
47.8%
2
52.2%
Q1 - 11:43DETWright STEAL (1 STL)0
48.1%
0
51.9%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Mourning vs. Mohammed: Tip to Prince0
48.1%
0
51.9%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventDETMIA
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.04 51.8%
MIA
0.94 47.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
9
14
64%
MIA
16
29
55%
Midrange
DET
15
40
38%
MIA
10
38
26%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
7
10.5
15
47%
70%
MIA
6
9.0
11
55%
82%
Free Throws
DET
18
28
64%
MIA
15
22
68%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Hamilton2463%12.0 / 19
T. Prince1250%6.0 / 12
C. Billups1161%5.5 / 9
R. Murray1083%5.0 / 6
R. Wallace857%4.0 / 7
N. Mohammed850%4.0 / 8
A. McDyess638%3.0 / 8
C. Delfino563%2.5 / 4
L. Hunter330%1.5 / 5
D. Davis0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2136%10.5 / 29
U. Haslem2071%10.0 / 14
D. Wright1161%5.5 / 9
A. Mourning1050%5.0 / 10
J. Posey9113%4.5 / 4
G. Payton550%2.5 / 5
J. Kapono583%2.5 / 3
J. Williams213%1.0 / 8
A. Walker220%1.0 / 5
M. Doleac0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
71
+13
-10
84
MIA
75
+15
-5
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.04 51.8%
MIA
0.94 47.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.1
104.2
DET 107.4 +1.2
MIA 106.3
Pace
88.0
90.1
DET 75.8
MIA 86.6 +10.8
Avg. Poss. Time
17.0
16.5
DET 19.0
MIA 16.6 −2.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.8%
50.6%
DET 50.0% +5.1%
MIA 44.9%
TO %
13.2%
15.3%
DET 12.9%
MIA 6.4% −6.5%
ORB %
28.3%
24.9%
DET 26.3% +0.8%
MIA 25.5%
FTrt
30.7
32.1
DET 40.6 +12.4
MIA 28.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.1%
57.6%
DET 41.9%
MIA 50.0% +8.1%
STL %
8.0%
7.6%
DET 4.9%
MIA 6.3% +1.4%
BLK %
9.2%
8.8%
DET 13.4% +9.7%
MIA 3.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.18 and 2.18.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.2%
52.4%
DET 51.8% +4.6%
MIA 47.2%
Rim FG%
58.3%
61.8%
DET 64.3% +9.1%
MIA 55.2%
Mid FG%
41.7%
40.5%
DET 37.5% +11.2%
MIA 26.3%
3P %
34.4%
34.3%
DET 46.7%
MIA 54.5% +7.8%
FT %
77.4%
69.0%
DET 64.3%
MIA 68.2% +3.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.1%
34.9%
DET 20.3%
MIA 37.2% +16.9%
Mid Att. %
48.8%
40.7%
DET 58.0%
MIA 48.7% −9.3%
3P Att. %
20.1%
24.5%
DET 21.7% +7.6%
MIA 14.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.
Game TotalsDETMIA
Possessions8180
Possession Minutes25.622.2
Points8785
Rebounds4540
Assists1316
Steals45
Blocks92
Turnovers (Team)10 (2)5 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (3)12 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (1)28 (3)
Field Goals31-6932-78
At-the-Rim FG9-1416-29
Midrange FG15-4010-38
2-Point FG24-5426-67
3-Point FG7-156-11
Free Throws18-2815-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 210 · 30
38.7
11
61%
1
7
1
0
5
4
0
1
2-3
67%
0-3
0%
3-5
60%
F · 6'11" 230 · 32
38.0
8
57%
9
2
0
2
1
2
1
8
0-0
-
1-3
33%
2-4
50%
F · 6'9" 212 · 27
36.3
12
50%
8
1
0
1
1
1
1
7
2-3
67%
5-9
56%
0-2
0%
G · 6'7" 193 · 29
34.8
24
63%
2
2
0
0
1
1
0
2
5-6
83%
8-15
53%
1-2
50%
C · 6'10" 250 · 29
20.6
8
50%
8
0
0
1
1
3
3
5
4-8
50%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 32
23.4
6
38%
7
1
1
3
1
2
2
5
0-0
-
3-8
38%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 200 · 27
22.1
10
83%
4
0
2
0
0
1
2
2
2-4
50%
4-5
80%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 195 · 36
9.3
3
30%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
C-F · 6'11" 252 · 38
8.8
0
0%
3
0
0
2
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 24
8.2
5
63%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
1-1
100%
F · 6'7" 260 · 24
F · 6'7" 209 · 26
#25 · C-F · 6'9" 240 · 20
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#8 · G · 6'0" 205 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
87
52%
45
13
4
9
10
0
10
35
18-28
64%
24-54
44%
7-15
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.