FinalWin Prob.pScore
548%93
87
1352%94
85
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo DET
107.48175.8
MIA logo MIA
106.38086.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0DET87
100%
85
0%
Q4 - 0:00.0DETPistons Rebound87
99.5%
85
0.5%
Q4 - 0:00.0DETMISS Hamilton Free Throw 2 of 287
96.6%
85
3.4%
Q4 - 0:01.0DETPistons Rebound86
97.6%
85
2.4%
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot86
92.5%
85
7.5%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)86
57.8%
85
42.2%
Q4 - 0:25.0DETWade BLOCK (1 BLK)86
65.0%
85
35.0%
Q4 - 0:51.0DETPistons Rebound86
73.1%
85
26.9%
Q4 - 0:51.0DETMISS Prince 5' Hook Shot86
62.2%
85
37.8%
Q4 - 1:05DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)86
71.0%
85
29.0%
Q4 - 1:07MIAMISS Wade 18' Fadeaway Jumper86
66.2%
85
33.8%
Q4 - 1:21MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)86
54.6%
85
45.4%
Q4 - 1:23DETMISS Hamilton 19' Turnaround Jump Shot86
59.3%
85
40.7%
Q4 - 1:48MIAPosey 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)86
67.2%
85
32.8%
Q4 - 2:15DETHamilton 15' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Billups 7 AST)86
82.3%
82
17.7%
Q4 - 2:36MIAHaslem 13' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)84
78.4%
82
21.6%
Q4 - 2:58MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)84
80.1%
80
19.9%
Q4 - 3:00DETMISS Wallace 10' Turnaround Jump Shot84
82.8%
80
17.2%
Q4 - 3:20MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)84
88.1%
80
11.9%
Q4 - 3:20MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)84
88.8%
79
11.2%
Q4 - 3:30MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)84
90.5%
78
9.5%
Q4 - 3:32DETMISS Hamilton 22' Jump Shot84
88.8%
78
11.2%
Q4 - 3:56MIAHaslem 3' Jump Shot (18 PTS)84
91.6%
78
8.4%
Q4 - 3:57MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)84
94.0%
76
6.0%
Q4 - 3:59MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup84
95.4%
76
4.6%
Q4 - 4:15DETHamilton 7' Running Hook Shot (21 PTS)84
94.1%
76
5.9%
Q4 - 4:21MIAHaslem Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)82
91.9%
76
8.1%
Q4 - 4:22DETHaslem STEAL (2 STL)82
88.4%
76
11.6%
Q4 - 4:37DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)82
92.0%
76
8.0%
Q4 - 4:39MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup82
91.0%
76
9.0%
Q4 - 5:01DETBillups 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)82
85.5%
76
14.5%
Q4 - 5:18DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)79
75.7%
76
24.3%
Q4 - 5:20MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot79
73.7%
76
26.3%
Q4 - 5:40DETWallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Billups 6 AST)79
68.8%
76
31.2%
Q4 - 5:57MIAWade 20' Jump Bank Shot (19 PTS)76
53.3%
76
46.7%
Q4 - 6:18DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)76
59.5%
74
40.5%
Q4 - 6:18DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)75
58.6%
74
41.4%
Q4 - 6:44MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)74
53.1%
74
46.9%
Q4 - 6:44MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)74
54.5%
73
45.5%
Q4 - 6:50MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
59.6%
72
40.4%
Q4 - 6:52DETMISS Billups 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
62.1%
72
37.9%
Q4 - 7:03DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
66.2%
72
33.8%
Q4 - 7:05MIAMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot74
64.0%
72
36.0%
Q4 - 7:16DETMcDyess Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)74
59.0%
72
41.0%
Q4 - 7:17DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)74
66.2%
72
33.8%
Q4 - 7:18MIAMISS Mourning 4' Hook Shot74
64.1%
72
35.9%
Q4 - 7:39DETBillups 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)74
59.0%
72
41.0%
Q4 - 7:50MIAMourning Layup (10 PTS)71
46.1%
72
53.9%
Q4 - 7:53MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)71
52.1%
70
47.9%
Q4 - 7:55MIAMISS Posey Running Layup71
57.5%
70
42.5%
Q4 - 8:18MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)71
52.1%
70
47.9%
Q4 - 8:20DETMISS Hamilton 21' Jump Shot71
54.1%
70
45.9%
Q4 - 8:42MIAWade 4' Running Layup (15 PTS)71
58.6%
70
41.4%
Q4 - 9:01MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
63.5%
68
36.5%
Q4 - 9:01DETMISS McDyess 13' Jump Shot71
65.3%
68
34.7%
Q4 - 9:28MIAPosey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)71
69.2%
68
30.8%
Q4 - 9:41DETMurray 9' Jump Shot (10 PTS)71
78.3%
65
21.7%
Q4 - 9:59DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)69
74.1%
65
25.9%
Q4 - 10:01MIAMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot69
71.2%
65
28.8%
Q4 - 10:12DETPistons Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)69
67.7%
65
32.3%
Q4 - 10:34DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)69
72.9%
65
27.1%
Q4 - 10:36MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 269
72.2%
65
27.8%
Q4 - 10:36MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)69
69.0%
65
31.0%
Q4 - 10:51DETWallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)69
72.5%
64
27.5%
Q4 - 11:10DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)66
62.0%
64
38.0%
Q4 - 11:12MIAMISS Walker Layup66
60.4%
64
39.6%
Q4 - 11:28MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)66
56.6%
64
43.4%
Q4 - 11:30DETMISS McDyess Layup66
58.3%
64
41.7%
Q4 - 11:41DETMurray REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)66
62.1%
64
37.9%
Q4 - 11:43DETMISS McDyess 14' Turnaround Jump Shot66
58.3%
64
41.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA66
62.1%
64
37.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound66
56.6%
64
43.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 28' 3PT Jump Shot66
60.4%
64
39.6%
Q3 - 0:01.0DETBillups Foul Turnover (P4.T9)66
56.4%
64
43.6%
Q3 - 0:22.0MIAWilliams Driving Layup (2 PTS)66
61.4%
64
38.6%
Q3 - 0:44.0DETPistons Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)66
66.2%
62
33.8%
Q3 - 0:44.0DETPistons Rebound66
70.6%
62
29.4%
Q3 - 0:45.0DETMISS Mohammed Layup66
67.6%
62
32.4%
Q3 - 1:06DETMohammed REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)66
69.7%
62
30.3%
Q3 - 1:08MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 266
69.1%
62
30.9%
Q3 - 1:08MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 266
66.3%
62
33.7%
Q3 - 1:30DETPrince Driving Layup (12 PTS)66
65.3%
62
34.7%
Q3 - 1:54MIAHaslem 4' Jump Shot (16 PTS)64
60.9%
62
39.1%
Q3 - 1:56MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)64
65.4%
60
34.6%
Q3 - 1:57MIAMISS Williams 8' Jump Bank Shot64
68.5%
60
31.5%
Q3 - 2:07MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)64
64.0%
60
36.0%
Q3 - 2:10MIAMISS Wade 12' Fadeaway Jumper64
67.2%
60
32.8%
Q3 - 2:28DETMohammed Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)64
64.0%
60
36.0%
Q3 - 2:28DETMISS Mohammed Free Throw 1 of 263
62.9%
60
37.1%
Q3 - 2:32MIAWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)63
64.4%
60
35.6%
Q3 - 2:34MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)63
59.7%
60
40.3%
Q3 - 2:37MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup63
63.0%
60
37.0%
Q3 - 2:54MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)63
59.7%
60
40.3%
Q3 - 2:55DETMISS Mohammed Free Throw 1 of 163
60.3%
60
39.7%
Q3 - 3:02DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
55.3%
60
44.7%
Q3 - 3:05MIAMISS Walker Layup61
53.9%
60
46.1%
Q3 - 3:24DETHamilton 18' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)61
50.6%
60
49.4%
Q3 - 3:37DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)59
46.4%
60
53.6%
Q3 - 3:39MIAMISS Wright Free Throw 2 of 259
45.7%
60
54.3%
Q3 - 3:39MIAWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)59
42.7%
60
57.3%
Q3 - 3:54DETHamilton 21' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)59
46.1%
59
53.9%
Q3 - 4:15MIAHaslem 14' Jump Shot (14 PTS)57
42.2%
59
57.8%
Q3 - 4:34DETMcDyess 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)57
45.8%
57
54.2%
Q3 - 4:48MIAPayton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)55
42.2%
57
57.8%
Q3 - 5:10DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)55
38.0%
57
62.0%
Q3 - 5:10DETMISS Prince Free Throw 1 of 254
37.3%
57
62.7%
Q3 - 5:18DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)54
38.3%
57
61.7%
Q3 - 5:20MIAMISS Payton 20' Jump Shot54
37.0%
57
63.0%
Q3 - 5:36DETHamilton 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS)54
34.1%
57
65.9%
Q3 - 6:02MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS)52
31.3%
57
68.7%
Q3 - 6:21DETMohammed Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)52
34.6%
55
65.4%
Q3 - 6:21DETMohammed Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)51
33.6%
55
66.4%
Q3 - 6:21DETBillups Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)50
31.3%
55
68.7%
Q3 - 6:42MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wright 3 AST)49
27.9%
55
72.1%
Q3 - 7:00DETPayton STEAL (1 STL)49
31.0%
53
69.0%
Q3 - 7:15MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)49
35.0%
53
65.0%
Q3 - 7:15MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)49
35.7%
52
64.3%
Q3 - 7:15MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
38.1%
51
61.9%
Q3 - 7:17MIAMISS Wade 12' Jump Shot49
41.0%
51
59.0%
Q3 - 7:40DETPrince Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)49
38.1%
51
61.9%
Q3 - 7:41DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)49
42.4%
51
57.6%
Q3 - 7:43DETMISS Hamilton 10' Turnaround Jump Shot49
39.4%
51
60.6%
Q3 - 7:57MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)49
42.4%
51
57.6%
Q3 - 7:57MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)49
43.6%
50
56.4%
Q3 - 7:58MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)49
45.6%
49
54.4%
Q3 - 8:00MIAMISS Wright 20' Jump Shot49
48.7%
49
51.3%
Q3 - 8:26DETHamilton Layup (11 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)49
45.9%
49
54.1%
Q3 - 8:31DETMohammed REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)47
42.6%
49
57.4%
Q3 - 8:34DETMISS Prince 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
39.7%
49
60.3%
Q3 - 8:54DETMohammed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)47
42.6%
49
57.4%
Q3 - 8:56MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot47
41.3%
49
58.7%
Q3 - 9:19DETMohammed Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)47
38.8%
49
61.2%
Q3 - 9:19DETMISS Mohammed Free Throw 1 of 246
37.9%
49
62.1%
Q3 - 9:19DETMohammed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)46
38.9%
49
61.1%
Q3 - 9:20DETMISS Wallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
36.4%
49
63.6%
Q3 - 9:37DETMohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)46
38.9%
49
61.1%
Q3 - 9:39MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 146
38.4%
49
61.6%
Q3 - 9:43MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)46
42.3%
47
57.7%
Q3 - 9:45DETMISS Mohammed 15' Fadeaway Jumper46
43.5%
47
56.5%
Q3 - 9:59DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)46
46.1%
47
53.9%
Q3 - 10:01MIAMISS Wright Driving Layup46
45.1%
47
54.9%
Q3 - 10:24MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
42.4%
47
57.6%
Q3 - 10:25DETMISS Mohammed Free Throw 1 of 146
42.9%
47
57.1%
Q3 - 10:35DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)44
39.3%
47
60.7%
Q3 - 10:37DETMISS Hamilton 21' Jump Shot44
36.7%
47
63.3%
Q3 - 10:53DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)44
39.3%
47
60.7%
Q3 - 10:54MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 244
38.8%
47
61.2%
Q3 - 10:54MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)44
36.6%
47
63.4%
Q3 - 11:03MIAWright REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)44
39.5%
46
60.5%
Q3 - 11:05DETMISS Mohammed 15' Jump Shot44
40.5%
46
59.5%
Q3 - 11:13DETMohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
42.9%
46
57.1%
Q3 - 11:15MIAMISS Wade Reverse Layup44
41.9%
46
58.1%
Q3 - 11:36DETPrince Driving Layup (9 PTS)44
39.4%
46
60.6%
Q3 - 11:46DETMohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
36.3%
46
63.7%
Q3 - 11:48MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
35.3%
46
64.7%
Q3 - 12:00MIAWade Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)42
33.0%
46
67.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0DET42
36.2%
45
63.8%
Q2 - 0:21.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)42
39.5%
45
60.5%
Q2 - 0:23.0MIAMISS Mourning 10' Hook Shot42
38.8%
45
61.2%
Q2 - 0:43.0MIAWright REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)42
37.2%
45
62.8%
Q2 - 0:44.0DETMISS Billups Free Throw 2 of 242
37.5%
45
62.5%
Q2 - 0:44.0DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)42
40.0%
45
60.0%
Q2 - 0:55.0DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)41
36.3%
45
63.7%
Q2 - 0:57.0DETMISS Wallace 21' Jump Shot41
34.8%
45
65.2%
Q2 - 1:19MIAWright 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)41
36.4%
45
63.6%
Q2 - 1:40MIAWright REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)41
40.9%
43
59.1%
Q2 - 1:41DETMISS Murray Free Throw 2 of 241
41.2%
43
58.8%
Q2 - 1:41DETMISS Murray Free Throw 1 of 241
43.3%
43
56.7%
Q2 - 1:48DETMurray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
42.6%
43
57.4%
Q2 - 1:49MIAMISS Mourning Layup41
42.1%
43
57.9%
Q2 - 2:06DETWallace Foul Turnover (P1.T5)41
40.5%
43
59.5%
Q2 - 2:16DETDelfino REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)41
43.3%
43
56.7%
Q2 - 2:18DETMISS McDyess 18' Jump Shot41
41.4%
43
58.6%
Q2 - 2:30DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
43.3%
43
56.7%
Q2 - 2:33MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot41
42.4%
43
57.6%
Q2 - 2:52DETDelfino 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)41
40.6%
43
59.4%
Q2 - 3:06DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)38
35.3%
43
64.7%
Q2 - 3:08DETMISS Delfino 21' Jump Shot38
33.2%
43
66.8%
Q2 - 3:23DETMurray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
35.2%
43
64.8%
Q2 - 3:25MIAMISS Wade 22' Jump Shot38
34.3%
43
65.7%
Q2 - 3:39DETMurray Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)38
32.2%
43
67.8%
Q2 - 3:40MIAHaslem Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)35
27.5%
43
72.5%
Q2 - 4:01DETMcDyess 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)35
25.8%
43
74.2%
Q2 - 4:21MIAKapono 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)33
23.6%
43
76.4%
Q2 - 4:34MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)33
25.7%
41
74.3%
Q2 - 4:36DETMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
26.4%
41
73.6%
Q2 - 5:02MIAPosey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)33
28.5%
41
71.5%
Q2 - 5:19DETMcDyess 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)33
33.1%
38
66.9%
Q2 - 5:33MIAKapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)31
30.8%
38
69.2%
Q2 - 5:44MIAHEAT Rebound31
35.6%
35
64.4%
Q2 - 5:45DETMISS Delfino 17' Jump Shot31
36.5%
35
63.5%
Q2 - 6:06MIAKapono Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)31
39.0%
35
61.0%
Q2 - 6:26DETMurray Driving Layup (5 PTS)31
35.8%
35
64.2%
Q2 - 6:37MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)29
33.8%
35
66.2%
Q2 - 6:37MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)29
34.3%
34
65.7%
Q2 - 6:41MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
35.8%
33
64.2%
Q2 - 6:43DETMISS Hunter 26' 3PT Jump Shot29
36.8%
33
63.2%
Q2 - 7:01MIAMourning Follow Up Dunk (6 PTS)29
39.3%
33
60.7%
Q2 - 7:03MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
41.6%
31
58.4%
Q2 - 7:05MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Shot29
43.5%
31
56.5%
Q2 - 7:26DETDelfino Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)29
41.6%
31
58.4%
Q2 - 7:26DETDelfino Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)28
41.0%
31
59.0%
Q2 - 7:28DETHunter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
39.2%
31
60.8%
Q2 - 7:31MIAMISS Wade 21' Turnaround Jump Shot27
38.4%
31
61.6%
Q2 - 7:55MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
36.5%
31
63.5%
Q2 - 7:56DETMISS Hunter Free Throw 2 of 227
36.9%
31
63.1%
Q2 - 7:56DETHunter Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)27
38.5%
31
61.5%
Q2 - 8:14DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)26
36.8%
31
63.2%
Q2 - 8:16MIAMISS Kapono 19' Jump Shot26
36.0%
31
64.0%
Q2 - 8:25DETHunter Driving Layup (2 PTS)26
34.2%
31
65.8%
Q2 - 8:41DETDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
32.2%
31
67.8%
Q2 - 8:43MIAMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot24
31.4%
31
68.6%
Q2 - 8:52MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)24
29.7%
31
70.3%
Q2 - 8:53DETMISS Hunter Layup24
30.4%
31
69.6%
Q2 - 8:56DETHunter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
32.2%
31
67.8%
Q2 - 8:58MIAMISS Walker 7' Jump Shot24
31.4%
31
68.6%
Q2 - 9:01MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
30.1%
31
69.9%
Q2 - 9:03MIAMISS Doleac 6' Jump Shot24
31.7%
31
68.3%
Q2 - 9:21MIAHEAT Rebound24
30.0%
31
70.0%
Q2 - 9:23DETMISS Murray 21' Jump Shot24
30.8%
31
69.2%
Q2 - 9:28DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
32.5%
31
67.5%
Q2 - 9:30MIAMISS Walker 7' Jump Shot24
31.7%
31
68.3%
Q2 - 9:47DETMurray Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)24
30.0%
31
70.0%
Q2 - 9:48DETMurray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
26.2%
31
73.8%
Q2 - 9:49DETMISS McDyess 16' Turnaround Jump Shot21
24.7%
31
75.3%
Q2 - 10:13DETDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
26.4%
31
73.6%
Q2 - 10:15MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot21
25.8%
31
74.2%
Q2 - 10:22MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
24.3%
31
75.7%
Q2 - 10:24DETMISS Davis 19' Jump Shot21
24.9%
31
75.1%
Q2 - 10:39MIAWright Tip Shot (8 PTS)21
26.4%
31
73.6%
Q2 - 10:40MIAWright REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)21
28.1%
29
71.9%
Q2 - 10:41MIAMISS Williams Driving Layup21
29.7%
29
70.3%
Q2 - 10:47MIAWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)21
28.1%
29
71.9%
Q2 - 10:48DETMISS Hunter 21' Jump Shot21
28.8%
29
71.2%
Q2 - 11:08MIAWalker Layup (2 PTS) (Doleac 1 AST)21
30.5%
29
69.5%
Q2 - 11:27DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)21
32.6%
27
67.4%
Q2 - 11:45MIAWade Driving Layup (6 PTS)18
28.5%
27
71.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0DET18
30.5%
25
69.5%
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS)18
32.5%
25
67.5%
Q1 - 0:22.0DETHamilton 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS)18
37.4%
22
62.6%
Q1 - 0:27.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)16
34.7%
22
65.3%
Q1 - 0:28.0MIAMISS Williams Driving Layup16
34.2%
22
65.8%
Q1 - 0:41.0DETHamilton 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)16
33.0%
22
67.0%
Q1 - 0:56.0DETDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
28.5%
22
71.5%
Q1 - 0:58.0MIAMISS Williams 15' Jump Shot13
28.0%
22
72.0%
Q1 - 1:15DETHamilton 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)13
27.2%
22
72.8%
Q1 - 1:43MIAHaslem Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)11
24.9%
22
75.1%
Q1 - 1:56MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
27.2%
20
72.8%
Q1 - 1:57DETMISS Prince 17' Jump Shot11
27.6%
20
72.4%
Q1 - 2:07DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
29.1%
20
70.9%
Q1 - 2:09MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot11
28.6%
20
71.4%
Q1 - 2:27MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
27.3%
20
72.7%
Q1 - 2:28DETMISS Billups 14' Jump Shot11
27.9%
20
72.1%
Q1 - 2:42DETHamilton Free Throw Technical (2 PTS)11
29.1%
20
70.9%
Q1 - 3:07MIAPayton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)10
28.0%
20
72.0%
Q1 - 3:27MIAHEAT Rebound10
31.5%
17
68.5%
Q1 - 3:27MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot10
33.0%
17
67.0%
Q1 - 3:34MIAWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)10
31.5%
17
68.5%
Q1 - 3:36MIAMISS Mourning Layup10
33.0%
17
67.0%
Q1 - 3:53DETWallace 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
31.5%
17
68.5%
Q1 - 4:19MIAMourning 7' Hook Shot (4 PTS)8
30.2%
17
69.8%
Q1 - 4:35MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
31.7%
15
68.3%
Q1 - 4:37DETMISS Prince 17' Turnaround Jump Shot8
32.4%
15
67.6%
Q1 - 5:01DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
34.4%
15
65.6%
Q1 - 5:03MIAMISS Mourning 9' Hook Shot8
33.8%
15
66.2%
Q1 - 5:18DETHamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)8
32.4%
15
67.6%
Q1 - 5:35MIAWright Alley Oop Layup (6 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)8
34.4%
15
65.6%
Q1 - 5:43DETHaslem STEAL (1 STL)8
36.1%
13
63.9%
Q1 - 5:49DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
38.3%
13
61.7%
Q1 - 5:51MIAMISS Wade 19' Fadeaway Jumper8
37.6%
13
62.4%
Q1 - 6:06MIAHEAT Rebound8
36.5%
13
63.5%
Q1 - 6:07DETMISS Hamilton 15' Jump Shot8
37.1%
13
62.9%
Q1 - 6:14DETHamilton Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)8
38.5%
13
61.5%
Q1 - 6:28MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)7
36.6%
13
63.4%
Q1 - 6:49DETBillups 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)7
38.4%
11
61.6%
Q1 - 7:05MIAMourning Dunk (2 PTS) (Wright 2 AST)4
35.5%
11
64.5%
Q1 - 7:07MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
37.0%
9
63.0%
Q1 - 7:09MIAMISS Payton 20' Jump Shot4
38.4%
9
61.6%
Q1 - 7:18MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
37.0%
9
63.0%
Q1 - 7:20DETMISS Prince 26' 3PT Jump Shot4
37.6%
9
62.4%
Q1 - 7:40MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)4
39.0%
9
61.0%
Q1 - 7:40MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 24
39.3%
8
60.7%
Q1 - 7:45MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
38.8%
8
61.2%
Q1 - 7:47DETMISS Prince 8' Hook Shot4
39.4%
8
60.6%
Q1 - 8:00MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)4
40.8%
8
59.2%
Q1 - 8:00MIAHEAT Rebound4
38.8%
8
61.2%
Q1 - 8:01MIAMISS Wright 21' Jump Shot4
40.5%
8
59.5%
Q1 - 8:35DETPrince 8' Running Hook Shot (4 PTS)4
39.1%
8
60.9%
Q1 - 8:53MIAWright Driving Layup (4 PTS)2
37.5%
8
62.5%
Q1 - 8:57DETWright STEAL (2 STL)2
39.1%
6
60.9%
Q1 - 9:02DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
41.1%
6
58.9%
Q1 - 9:04MIAMISS Payton 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
40.4%
6
59.6%
Q1 - 9:28DETPrince 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
38.8%
6
61.2%
Q1 - 9:46MIAPayton Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)0
37.5%
6
62.5%
Q1 - 9:51MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
38.8%
4
61.2%
Q1 - 9:52DETMISS Hamilton 3PT Jump Shot0
39.5%
4
60.5%
Q1 - 10:00DETMohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
41.1%
4
58.9%
Q1 - 10:02DETMISS Wallace 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
39.5%
4
60.5%
Q1 - 10:12DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
40.9%
4
59.1%
Q1 - 10:14MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot0
40.3%
4
59.7%
Q1 - 10:27MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
38.9%
4
61.1%
Q1 - 10:28DETMISS Hamilton 20' Jump Shot0
39.5%
4
60.5%
Q1 - 10:57MIAWright Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)0
41.0%
4
59.0%
Q1 - 11:01MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
42.8%
2
57.2%
Q1 - 11:03DETMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)0
43.3%
2
56.7%
Q1 - 11:27MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)0
44.5%
2
55.5%
Q1 - 11:43DETWright STEAL (1 STL)0
46.4%
0
53.6%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Mourning vs. Mohammed: Tip to Prince0
48.1%
0
51.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.04 51.8%
MIA
0.94 47.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
9
14
64%
MIA
16
29
55%
Midrange
DET
15
40
38%
MIA
10
38
26%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
7
10.5
15
47%
70%
MIA
6
9.0
11
55%
82%
Free Throws
DET
18
28
64%
MIA
15
22
68%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Hamilton2463%12.0 / 19
T. Prince1250%6.0 / 12
C. Billups1161%5.5 / 9
R. Murray1083%5.0 / 6
R. Wallace857%4.0 / 7
N. Mohammed850%4.0 / 8
A. McDyess638%3.0 / 8
C. Delfino563%2.5 / 4
L. Hunter330%1.5 / 5
D. Davis0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2136%10.5 / 29
U. Haslem2071%10.0 / 14
D. Wright1161%5.5 / 9
A. Mourning1050%5.0 / 10
J. Posey9113%4.5 / 4
G. Payton550%2.5 / 5
J. Kapono583%2.5 / 3
J. Williams213%1.0 / 8
A. Walker220%1.0 / 5
M. Doleac0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
71
+13
-10
84
MIA
75
+15
-5
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.04 51.8%
MIA
0.94 47.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.1
104.2
DET 107.4 +1.2
MIA 106.3
Pace
88.0
90.1
DET 75.8
MIA 86.6 +10.8
Avg. Poss. Time
17.0
16.5
DET 19.0
MIA 16.6 +2.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.8%
50.6%
DET 50.0% +5.1%
MIA 44.9%
TO %
13.2%
15.3%
DET 12.9%
MIA 6.4% +6.5%
ORB %
28.3%
24.9%
DET 26.3% +0.8%
MIA 25.5%
FTrt
30.7
32.1
DET 40.6 +12.4
MIA 28.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.1%
57.6%
DET 41.9%
MIA 50.0% +8.1%
STL %
8.0%
7.6%
DET 4.9%
MIA 6.3% +1.4%
BLK %
9.2%
8.8%
DET 13.4% +9.7%
MIA 3.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.18 and 2.18.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.2%
52.4%
DET 51.8% +4.6%
MIA 47.2%
Rim FG%
58.3%
61.8%
DET 64.3% +9.1%
MIA 55.2%
Mid FG%
41.7%
40.5%
DET 37.5% +11.2%
MIA 26.3%
3P %
34.4%
34.3%
DET 46.7%
MIA 54.5% +7.8%
FT %
77.4%
69.0%
DET 64.3%
MIA 68.2% +3.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.1%
34.9%
DET 20.3%
MIA 37.2% +16.9%
Mid Att. %
48.8%
40.7%
DET 58.0%
MIA 48.7% +9.3%
3P Att. %
20.1%
24.5%
DET 21.7% +7.6%
MIA 14.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.
Game TotalsDETMIA
Possessions8180
Possession Minutes25.622.2
Points8785
Rebounds4540
Assists1316
Steals45
Blocks92
Turnovers (Team)10 (2)5 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (3)12 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (1)28 (3)
Field Goals31-6932-78
At-the-Rim FG9-1416-29
Midrange FG15-4010-38
2-Point FG24-5426-67
3-Point FG7-156-11
Free Throws18-2815-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 210 · 30
38.7
11
61%
1
7
1
0
5
4
0
1
2-3
67%
0-3
0%
3-5
60%
F · 6'11" 230 · 32
38.0
8
57%
9
2
0
2
1
2
1
8
0-0
-
1-3
33%
2-4
50%
F · 6'9" 212 · 27
36.3
12
50%
8
1
0
1
1
1
1
7
2-3
67%
5-9
56%
0-2
0%
G · 6'7" 193 · 29
34.8
24
63%
2
2
0
0
1
1
0
2
5-6
83%
8-15
53%
1-2
50%
C · 6'10" 250 · 29
20.6
8
50%
8
0
0
1
1
3
3
5
4-8
50%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 32
23.4
6
38%
7
1
1
3
1
2
2
5
0-0
-
3-8
38%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 200 · 27
22.1
10
83%
4
0
2
0
0
1
2
2
2-4
50%
4-5
80%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 195 · 36
9.3
3
30%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
C-F · 6'11" 252 · 38
8.8
0
0%
3
0
0
2
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 24
8.2
5
63%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
1-1
100%
F · 6'7" 260 · 24
F · 6'7" 209 · 26
#25 · C-F · 6'9" 240 · 20
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#8 · G · 6'0" 205 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
87
52%
45
13
4
9
10
0
10
35
18-28
64%
24-54
44%
7-15
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.