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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 2, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Heat54%9298
27Grizzlies46%9097
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 31.0
37.4
17.3
13
74%
5
14
0
1
0
0
0
5
3-4
75%
2-4
1-3
50%
47%
2-3
67%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 21.0
31.1
31.1
14
71%
4
2
0
1
1
1
1
3
2-2
100%
6-9
3-7
67%
47%
0-0
-
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 36.8
27.3
27.5
4
55%
7
0
0
0
7
2
1
6
2-6
33%
1-1
4-6
100%
55%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.5
26.3
34.1
10
47%
12
1
0
1
0
1
5
7
4-6
67%
3-8
5-10
38%
51%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 24.9
26.3
42.8
23
51%
2
3
0
2
0
5
1
1
7-10
70%
8-18
8-17
44%
50%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 29.9
27.3
17.4
6
75%
5
0
3
1
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
2-4
50%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.3
26.4
19.7
18
61%
5
3
1
0
0
3
2
3
2-4
50%
5-8
2-4
63%
47%
2-5
40%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.8
24.0
21.7
10
67%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
1-1
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
42%
1-1
100%
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 29.5
14.0
7.0
0
0%
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 38.4
21.5
1
1-3
48%
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 25.3
4.3
0
1-2
48%
Robert Hite
G · 6'2" 184 · 22.9
2.9
0
0-1
41%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.2
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 34.7
Wayne Simien
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 32.3
41.9
35.2
18
68%
1
5
2
1
0
1
0
1
4-5
80%
1-3
4-9
33%
46%
4-8
50%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 26.8
41.3
38.0
22
65%
8
3
0
1
0
3
2
6
7-9
78%
3-6
4-7
50%
51%
3-7
43%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 25.9
35.0
26.6
12
56%
3
0
0
1
0
1
1
2
4-4
100%
4-9
3-6
44%
47%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 24.4
26.6
35.7
17
59%
3
1
2
1
0
3
1
2
3-3
100%
7-13
6-13
54%
50%
0-0
-
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 27.0
23.6
23.4
6
47%
4
0
0
1
4
1
1
3
0-1
0%
3-6
4-9
50%
48%
0-0
-
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 20.3
31.3
27.4
20
55%
7
3
2
1
0
2
2
5
3-5
60%
7-13
4-9
54%
47%
1-3
33%
Lawrence Roberts
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.1
22.6
21.7
0
0%
4
1
1
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
50%
0-0
-
Jake Tsakalidis
C · 7'2" 290 · 27.5
14.6
5.2
2
20%
3
0
0
0
0
1
3
0
0-0
-
1-5
1-1
20%
51%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 29.6
3.2
13.2
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
42%
0-1
0%
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 33.2
10.0
0
1-2
43%
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 35.1
8.7
0
1-1
46%
Alexander Johnson
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.8
0.7
0
0-0
50%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 20.7
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.4
Tarence Kinsey
G · 6'6" 189 · 22.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.