FinalWin Prob.pScore
954%92
98
2746%90
97
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
110.18989.7
MEM logo MEM
111.58786.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

GrizzliesHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

GrizzliesHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAMEM
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA98
100%
97
0%
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAPosey 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 14 AST)98
94.4%
97
5.6%
Q4 - 0:02.0MEMJump Ball Gay vs. Wright: Tip to Posey95
7.4%
97
92.6%
Q4 - 0:07.0MEMMISS Gay Free Throw 2 of 295
14.1%
97
85.9%
Q4 - 0:07.0MEMGay Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)95
8.0%
97
92.0%
Q4 - 0:07.0MEMGay REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)95
15.2%
96
84.8%
Q4 - 0:08.0MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot95
23.0%
96
77.0%
Q4 - 0:20.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)95
44.1%
96
55.9%
Q4 - 0:21.0MEMMISS Gay Free Throw 2 of 295
40.7%
96
59.3%
Q4 - 0:21.0MEMGay Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)95
29.3%
96
70.7%
Q4 - 0:49.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)95
44.0%
95
56.0%
Q4 - 0:49.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)94
41.1%
95
58.9%
Q4 - 1:01MEMAtkins 27' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)93
31.4%
95
68.6%
Q4 - 1:08MEMSwift REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)93
58.7%
92
41.3%
Q4 - 1:09MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot93
63.4%
92
36.6%
Q4 - 1:23MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)93
73.0%
92
27.0%
Q4 - 1:25MEMMISS Jones 4' Jump Shot93
69.0%
92
31.0%
Q4 - 1:40MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)93
59.4%
92
40.6%
Q4 - 1:40MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 292
56.9%
92
43.1%
Q4 - 1:40MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)92
60.8%
92
39.2%
Q4 - 1:41MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 292
48.9%
92
51.1%
Q4 - 1:41MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)92
57.2%
92
42.8%
Q4 - 1:47MEMAtkins 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)91
48.4%
92
51.6%
Q4 - 1:56MEMGay REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)91
70.6%
89
29.4%
Q4 - 1:58MIAMISS Wade 22' Jump Shot91
73.8%
89
26.2%
Q4 - 2:22MEMSwift REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)91
81.5%
89
18.5%
Q4 - 2:22MEMSwift Tip Shot (6 PTS)91
81.5%
89
18.5%
Q4 - 2:23MEMMISS Gay 12' Jump Shot91
90.2%
87
9.8%
Q4 - 2:40MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)91
84.9%
87
15.1%
Q4 - 2:40MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)90
83.8%
87
16.2%
Q4 - 2:40MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)89
81.7%
87
18.3%
Q4 - 2:43MIAMISS Haslem Alley Oop Layup89
73.3%
87
26.7%
Q4 - 2:55MEMGRIZZLIES Turnover: Shot Clock (T#16)89
78.6%
87
21.4%
Q4 - 2:55MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound89
67.4%
87
32.6%
Q4 - 2:55MEMMISS Miller 28' 3PT Jump Shot89
75.6%
87
24.4%
Q4 - 3:20MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P1.T16)89
67.3%
87
32.7%
Q4 - 3:31MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)89
74.7%
87
25.3%
Q4 - 3:31MEMMISS Gay 21' Jump Shot89
72.4%
87
27.6%
Q4 - 3:51MEMAtkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)89
67.1%
87
32.9%
Q4 - 3:53MIASwift BLOCK (4 BLK)89
69.7%
87
30.3%
Q4 - 4:10MEMGay 15' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Atkins 5 AST)89
75.3%
87
24.7%
Q4 - 4:28MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)89
81.4%
85
18.6%
Q4 - 4:28MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)88
80.3%
85
19.7%
Q4 - 4:48MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)87
75.4%
85
24.6%
Q4 - 4:49MEMMISS Swift 16' Jump Shot87
73.1%
85
26.9%
Q4 - 5:09MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)87
66.0%
85
34.0%
Q4 - 5:09MIAWade Tip Shot (18 PTS)87
66.0%
85
34.0%
Q4 - 5:11MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot85
52.5%
85
47.5%
Q4 - 5:29MIAKapono Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)85
58.5%
85
41.5%
Q4 - 5:29MEMWarrick Foul Turnover (P3.T15)84
50.2%
85
49.8%
Q4 - 5:42MIAGay STEAL (2 STL)84
41.5%
85
58.5%
Q4 - 5:55MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)84
50.2%
85
49.8%
Q4 - 5:57MEMMISS Swift Layup84
47.5%
85
52.5%
Q4 - 6:19MIAWade 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (16 PTS)84
42.6%
85
57.4%
Q4 - 6:28MIAHeat Rebound82
36.3%
85
63.7%
Q4 - 6:29MIASwift BLOCK (3 BLK)82
31.0%
85
69.0%
Q4 - 6:46MEMJones 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS)82
36.3%
85
63.7%
Q4 - 6:58MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P2.T14)82
42.5%
83
57.5%
Q4 - 7:01MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)82
52.1%
83
47.9%
Q4 - 7:04MIASwift BLOCK (2 BLK)82
46.7%
83
53.3%
Q4 - 7:13MEMWarrick Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)82
52.0%
83
48.0%
Q4 - 7:13MEMWarrick Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)82
53.8%
82
46.2%
Q4 - 7:22MEMSwift REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)82
58.0%
81
42.0%
Q4 - 7:23MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 282
59.0%
81
41.0%
Q4 - 7:23MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)82
63.2%
81
36.8%
Q4 - 7:25MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)81
58.9%
81
41.1%
Q4 - 7:26MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot81
53.5%
81
46.5%
Q4 - 7:46MEMJones 8' Jump Shot (10 PTS)81
58.9%
81
41.1%
Q4 - 8:03MEMGay REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)81
64.0%
79
36.0%
Q4 - 8:04MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot81
65.8%
79
34.2%
Q4 - 8:32MEMJones Driving Layup (8 PTS)81
69.8%
79
30.2%
Q4 - 8:37MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound81
74.9%
77
25.1%
Q4 - 8:37MEMMISS Gay 8' Jump Shot81
78.1%
77
21.9%
Q4 - 8:48MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)81
74.9%
77
25.1%
Q4 - 8:48MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 280
74.0%
77
26.0%
Q4 - 9:01MEMGay 5' Jump Shot (16 PTS)80
74.2%
77
25.8%
Q4 - 9:24MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS)80
78.3%
75
21.7%
Q4 - 9:31MIAHeat Rebound78
74.2%
75
25.8%
Q4 - 9:31MIASwift BLOCK (1 BLK)78
70.7%
75
29.3%
Q4 - 9:48MEMSwift Reverse Dunk (4 PTS) (Gay 3 AST)78
74.2%
75
25.8%
Q4 - 9:59MEMMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)78
78.4%
73
21.6%
Q4 - 10:00MIAMISS Posey 26' 3PT Jump Shot78
79.6%
73
20.4%
Q4 - 10:17MEMMiller 20' Jump Shot (22 PTS)78
81.1%
73
18.9%
Q4 - 10:25MEMSwift REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)78
84.1%
71
15.9%
Q4 - 10:26MIAMISS Doleac 19' Jump Shot78
85.1%
71
14.9%
Q4 - 10:44MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)78
87.2%
71
12.8%
Q4 - 10:45MEMMISS Gay 10' Fadeaway Jumper78
86.3%
71
13.7%
Q4 - 11:10MIAWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)78
83.0%
71
17.0%
Q4 - 11:10MIAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)77
82.6%
71
17.4%
Q4 - 11:22MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)76
79.9%
71
20.1%
Q4 - 11:23MEMMISS Gay 26' 3PT Jump Shot76
78.8%
71
21.2%
Q4 - 11:35MEMMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)76
76.1%
71
23.9%
Q4 - 11:36MIAMISS Wright Layup76
77.3%
71
22.7%
Q4 - 11:40MEMGay Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)76
80.0%
71
20.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MEM76
76.1%
71
23.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MEMMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)76
76.1%
71
23.9%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Kapono 18' Jump Shot76
76.6%
71
23.4%
Q3 - 0:12.0MEMMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)76
79.1%
71
20.9%
Q3 - 0:12.0MEMMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)76
79.7%
70
20.3%
Q3 - 0:29.0MEMGay REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)76
82.3%
69
17.7%
Q3 - 0:32.0MIAMISS Wright Layup76
83.2%
69
16.8%
Q3 - 0:52.0MEMMiller 20' Jump Shot (18 PTS)76
85.1%
69
14.9%
Q3 - 1:01MIARoberts STEAL (1 STL)76
86.5%
67
13.5%
Q3 - 1:09MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)76
88.7%
67
11.3%
Q3 - 1:11MEMMISS Swift 5' Jump Shot76
88.1%
67
11.9%
Q3 - 1:30MEMGay REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)76
86.6%
67
13.4%
Q3 - 1:32MIAMISS Walker 6' Running Hook Shot76
87.3%
67
12.7%
Q3 - 1:53MEMMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)76
88.8%
67
11.2%
Q3 - 1:53MEMMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)76
89.2%
66
10.8%
Q3 - 2:12MIAKapono 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wright 2 AST)76
89.4%
65
10.6%
Q3 - 2:18MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)73
85.6%
65
14.4%
Q3 - 2:20MEMMISS Roberts Layup73
84.8%
65
15.2%
Q3 - 2:28MEMGay REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)73
82.9%
65
17.1%
Q3 - 2:29MEMMISS Gay 7' Hook Shot73
84.9%
65
15.1%
Q3 - 2:46MIAWalker Traveling Turnover (P2.T12)73
83.0%
65
17.0%
Q3 - 3:06MEMGay 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)73
85.0%
65
15.0%
Q3 - 3:31MIAGay STEAL (1 STL)73
87.0%
63
13.0%
Q3 - 3:44MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)73
89.0%
63
11.0%
Q3 - 3:45MEMMISS Swift Free Throw 1 of 173
88.8%
63
11.2%
Q3 - 4:06MIAMourning 6' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Walker 3 AST)73
89.8%
61
10.2%
Q3 - 4:23MEMJones Foul Turnover (P1.T13)71
88.4%
61
11.6%
Q3 - 4:44MIAWright Reverse Layup (14 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)71
86.2%
61
13.8%
Q3 - 5:03MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)69
83.5%
61
16.5%
Q3 - 5:05MEMMISS Tsakalidis 5' Hook Shot69
82.8%
61
17.2%
Q3 - 5:26MEMJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)69
81.0%
61
19.0%
Q3 - 5:27MIAMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot69
81.8%
61
18.2%
Q3 - 5:44MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)69
83.6%
61
16.4%
Q3 - 5:45MEMMISS Atkins 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
82.8%
61
17.2%
Q3 - 6:09MEMMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)69
80.2%
61
19.8%
Q3 - 6:12MEMMISS Atkins 26' 3PT Jump Shot69
82.0%
61
18.0%
Q3 - 6:15MEMTsakalidis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)69
80.2%
61
19.8%
Q3 - 6:16MEMMISS Miller 3PT Jump Shot69
82.0%
61
18.0%
Q3 - 6:43MIAKapono 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)69
80.2%
61
19.8%
Q3 - 6:50MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)67
77.8%
61
22.2%
Q3 - 6:52MEMMISS Tsakalidis Layup67
76.9%
61
23.1%
Q3 - 7:11MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)67
73.6%
61
26.4%
Q3 - 7:11MIAWalker Tip Shot (18 PTS)67
73.6%
61
26.4%
Q3 - 7:12MIAMISS Walker Layup65
68.4%
61
31.6%
Q3 - 7:31MEMMiller 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)65
71.0%
61
29.0%
Q3 - 7:50MIAWalker 9' Jump Shot (16 PTS)65
76.6%
58
23.4%
Q3 - 8:10MEMGRIZZLIES Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)63
73.9%
58
26.1%
Q3 - 8:10MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound63
70.5%
58
29.5%
Q3 - 8:10MEMMISS Atkins 20' Jump Shot63
72.9%
58
27.1%
Q3 - 8:13MEMTsakalidis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)63
70.5%
58
29.5%
Q3 - 8:14MEMMISS Tsakalidis 6' Jump Shot63
72.9%
58
27.1%
Q3 - 8:38MIAWright Layup (12 PTS)63
70.5%
58
29.5%
Q3 - 8:39MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)61
67.7%
58
32.3%
Q3 - 8:40MIAMISS Walker Layup61
65.0%
58
35.0%
Q3 - 8:45MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)61
67.7%
58
32.3%
Q3 - 8:47MEMMISS Jones Layup61
66.5%
58
33.5%
Q3 - 8:49MEMJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)61
63.8%
58
36.2%
Q3 - 8:51MEMMISS Atkins Layup61
66.5%
58
33.5%
Q3 - 8:57MEMRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)61
63.8%
58
36.2%
Q3 - 8:57MIAMISS Kapono 9' Jump Shot61
65.0%
58
35.0%
Q3 - 9:15MEMMiller 27' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)61
67.1%
58
32.9%
Q3 - 9:21MEMRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
73.2%
55
26.8%
Q3 - 9:25MIAMISS Walker 27' 3PT Jump Shot61
74.1%
55
25.9%
Q3 - 9:46MEMJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)61
76.1%
55
23.9%
Q3 - 9:46MEMJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)61
76.7%
54
23.3%
Q3 - 9:54MEMMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
78.6%
53
21.4%
Q3 - 9:55MIAMISS Wright 20' Jump Shot61
79.3%
53
20.7%
Q3 - 10:09MEMMiller Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)61
80.6%
53
19.4%
Q3 - 10:18MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound61
84.5%
50
15.5%
Q3 - 10:18MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 261
84.8%
50
15.2%
Q3 - 10:18MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 261
85.7%
50
14.3%
Q3 - 10:36MEMTsakalidis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)61
86.5%
50
13.5%
Q3 - 10:36MEMTsakalidis Layup (2 PTS)61
86.5%
50
13.5%
Q3 - 10:37MEMMISS Warrick Layup61
89.0%
48
11.0%
Q3 - 10:58MIAWilliams 21' Jump Shot (11 PTS)61
87.9%
48
12.1%
Q3 - 11:03MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)59
86.0%
48
14.0%
Q3 - 11:05MEMMISS Warrick Layup59
85.4%
48
14.6%
Q3 - 11:16MIAWade Foul Turnover (P4.T10)59
84.2%
48
15.8%
Q3 - 11:22MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)59
86.0%
48
14.0%
Q3 - 11:23MEMMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot59
85.5%
48
14.5%
Q3 - 11:39MIAHaslem 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)59
84.2%
48
15.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA57
82.4%
48
17.6%
Q2 - 0:05.0MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)57
81.3%
48
18.7%
Q2 - 0:06.0MEMMISS Atkins Free Throw 2 of 257
81.1%
48
18.9%
Q2 - 0:06.0MEMAtkins Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)57
79.6%
48
20.4%
Q2 - 0:26.0MIAWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)57
81.9%
47
18.1%
Q2 - 0:26.0MIAMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 256
81.6%
47
18.4%
Q2 - 0:37.0MEMWarrick Layup (15 PTS) (Atkins 3 AST)56
81.4%
47
18.6%
Q2 - 0:55.0MIAWilliams Driving Layup (8 PTS)56
83.8%
45
16.2%
Q2 - 1:08MEMGay Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)54
80.6%
45
19.4%
Q2 - 1:19MEMRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
85.1%
42
14.9%
Q2 - 1:21MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 2 of 254
85.2%
42
14.8%
Q2 - 1:21MIAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)54
86.1%
42
13.9%
Q2 - 1:32MEMAtkins Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)53
84.3%
42
15.7%
Q2 - 1:32MEMAtkins Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)53
84.7%
41
15.3%
Q2 - 1:41MIAAtkins STEAL (2 STL)53
86.7%
40
13.3%
Q2 - 1:53MEMWarrick Palming Turnover (P2.T11)53
87.5%
40
12.5%
Q2 - 1:59MIAWade Driving Layup (11 PTS)53
86.7%
40
13.3%
Q2 - 2:18MEMGay Dunk (9 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)51
84.1%
40
15.9%
Q2 - 2:23MIAWarrick STEAL (2 STL)51
85.8%
38
14.2%
Q2 - 2:44MEMAtkins 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Roberts 1 AST)51
87.1%
38
12.9%
Q2 - 2:48MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound51
89.8%
35
10.2%
Q2 - 2:48MEMMISS Roberts Dunk51
90.5%
35
9.5%
Q2 - 2:54MEMAtkins Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)51
89.8%
35
10.2%
Q2 - 3:12MEMRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
90.0%
34
10.0%
Q2 - 3:13MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 251
90.2%
34
9.8%
Q2 - 3:13MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 251
90.7%
34
9.3%
Q2 - 3:13MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
91.1%
34
8.9%
Q2 - 3:14MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot51
90.4%
34
9.6%
Q2 - 3:31MEMAtkins 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)51
91.2%
34
8.8%
Q2 - 3:55MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)51
92.9%
31
7.1%
Q2 - 4:07MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
91.4%
31
8.6%
Q2 - 4:08MEMMISS Gay 21' Jump Shot49
91.2%
31
8.8%
Q2 - 4:21MIAKapono Foul Turnover (P1.T7)49
90.5%
31
9.5%
Q2 - 4:44MEMWarrick 6' Jump Hook Shot (13 PTS)49
91.5%
31
8.5%
Q2 - 5:03MEMWarrick REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
92.0%
29
8.0%
Q2 - 5:04MIAMISS Kapono 21' Jump Shot49
92.3%
29
7.7%
Q2 - 5:18MEMWarrick Dunk (11 PTS)49
92.9%
29
7.1%
Q2 - 5:21MEMWarrick REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)49
93.5%
27
6.5%
Q2 - 5:22MEMMISS Miller 21' Jump Shot49
94.0%
27
6.0%
Q2 - 5:43MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Williams 13 AST)49
93.5%
27
6.5%
Q2 - 5:50MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)46
92.1%
27
7.9%
Q2 - 5:51MEMMISS Atkins 27' 3PT Jump Shot46
91.8%
27
8.2%
Q2 - 6:13MIAWilliams 27' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)46
90.6%
27
9.4%
Q2 - 6:18MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
88.8%
27
11.2%
Q2 - 6:19MEMMISS Warrick 16' Jump Shot43
88.4%
27
11.6%
Q2 - 6:26MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound43
87.5%
27
12.5%
Q2 - 6:26MEMMISS Warrick Layup43
88.4%
27
11.6%
Q2 - 6:37MIAWalker 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Williams 12 AST)43
87.5%
27
12.5%
Q2 - 6:54MEMWarrick 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Atkins 2 AST)40
85.2%
27
14.8%
Q2 - 7:16MIAPosey 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 11 AST)40
85.6%
25
14.4%
Q2 - 7:27MEMMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)37
82.9%
25
17.1%
Q2 - 7:48MIAPosey Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T6)37
81.2%
25
18.8%
Q2 - 7:58MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)37
82.9%
25
17.1%
Q2 - 7:59MIAMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot37
81.8%
25
18.2%
Q2 - 8:08MEMSwift Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)37
82.5%
25
17.5%
Q2 - 8:31MIAWalker Layup (7 PTS)37
80.7%
25
19.3%
Q2 - 8:40MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
79.3%
25
20.7%
Q2 - 8:42MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 2 of 235
77.6%
25
22.4%
Q2 - 8:42MIAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)35
78.4%
25
21.6%
Q2 - 8:52MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
77.5%
25
22.5%
Q2 - 8:53MEMMISS Jones 12' Jump Shot34
76.9%
25
23.1%
Q2 - 9:11MIAWalker Layup (4 PTS) (Williams 10 AST)34
75.0%
25
25.0%
Q2 - 9:14MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)32
73.3%
25
26.7%
Q2 - 9:15MEMMISS Cardinal 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
72.6%
25
27.4%
Q2 - 9:29MIAKapono 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 9 AST)32
71.0%
25
29.0%
Q2 - 9:39MEMMiller Foul Turnover (P2.T8)30
69.2%
25
30.8%
Q2 - 9:53MIAKapono 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 8 AST)30
66.7%
25
33.3%
Q2 - 10:06MEMMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)28
64.4%
25
35.6%
Q2 - 10:06MEMMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)28
64.8%
24
35.2%
Q2 - 10:18MEMCardinal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
66.4%
23
33.6%
Q2 - 10:20MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
67.2%
23
32.8%
Q2 - 10:38MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
68.9%
23
31.1%
Q2 - 10:39MEMMISS Miller Free Throw 2 of 228
68.5%
23
31.5%
Q2 - 10:39MEMMISS Miller Free Throw 1 of 228
67.1%
23
32.9%
Q2 - 11:01MEMCardinal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
66.3%
23
33.7%
Q2 - 11:03MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 228
66.6%
23
33.4%
Q2 - 11:03MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)28
68.0%
23
32.0%
Q2 - 11:17MEMMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Gay 2 AST)27
66.2%
23
33.8%
Q2 - 11:37MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
70.5%
20
29.5%
Q2 - 11:37MIAWalker Tip Shot (2 PTS)27
70.5%
20
29.5%
Q2 - 11:38MIAMISS Wade Layup25
66.9%
20
33.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA25
68.4%
20
31.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound25
68.4%
20
31.6%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Doleac 30' 3PT Jump Shot25
66.7%
20
33.3%
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
67.8%
20
32.2%
Q1 - 0:04.0MEMMISS Gay 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
67.3%
20
32.7%
Q1 - 0:23.0MIAWade Foul Turnover (P2.T5)25
66.2%
20
33.8%
Q1 - 0:26.0MEMGay Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)25
67.8%
20
32.2%
Q1 - 0:41.0MEMJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
66.2%
20
33.8%
Q1 - 0:42.0MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
66.7%
20
33.3%
Q1 - 1:03MEMJones 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)25
67.8%
20
32.2%
Q1 - 1:23MIADoleac Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)25
70.3%
18
29.7%
Q1 - 1:27MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
71.8%
18
28.2%
Q1 - 1:30MEMMISS Miller Layup25
71.3%
18
28.7%
Q1 - 1:31MEMMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
70.3%
18
29.7%
Q1 - 1:32MEMMISS Miller Layup25
71.3%
18
28.7%
Q1 - 1:46MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Williams 7 AST)25
70.3%
18
29.7%
Q1 - 2:00MEMGay Layup (7 PTS)23
67.8%
18
32.2%
Q1 - 2:01MEMGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
70.2%
16
29.8%
Q1 - 2:02MEMMISS Tsakalidis Layup23
71.5%
16
28.5%
Q1 - 2:21MIAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)23
70.2%
16
29.8%
Q1 - 2:44MEMWarrick 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Gay 1 AST)20
66.0%
16
34.0%
Q1 - 3:01MEMMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
67.5%
14
32.5%
Q1 - 3:03MIAMISS Walker 3PT Jump Shot20
68.2%
14
31.8%
Q1 - 3:28MEMGay Layup (5 PTS) (Atkins 1 AST)20
69.7%
14
30.3%
Q1 - 3:31MEMWarrick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
71.4%
12
28.6%
Q1 - 3:33MIAMISS Wade Reverse Layup20
72.0%
12
28.0%
Q1 - 3:38MEMAtkins Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)20
73.4%
12
26.6%
Q1 - 4:06MIAWade Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)20
71.1%
12
28.9%
Q1 - 4:34MEMGay 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Warrick 1 AST)18
69.6%
12
30.4%
Q1 - 4:48MIAWalker 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T3)18
72.8%
9
27.2%
Q1 - 5:13MEMTsakalidis 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T5)18
74.1%
9
25.9%
Q1 - 5:34MIAWright 16' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)18
72.3%
9
27.7%
Q1 - 5:40MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
70.8%
9
29.2%
Q1 - 5:42MEMMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
70.2%
9
29.8%
Q1 - 5:49MEMMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
68.8%
9
31.2%
Q1 - 5:51MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot16
69.4%
9
30.6%
Q1 - 6:02MEMJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)16
70.0%
9
30.0%
Q1 - 6:02MEMJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)16
70.5%
8
29.5%
Q1 - 6:17MIAWade Driving Dunk (4 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)16
71.6%
7
28.4%
Q1 - 6:31MEMGRIZZLIES Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)14
70.1%
7
29.9%
Q1 - 6:57MIAWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)14
68.3%
7
31.7%
Q1 - 6:57MIAWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)13
67.9%
7
32.1%
Q1 - 7:17MEMWarrick Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)12
66.1%
7
33.9%
Q1 - 7:34MIAWright 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)12
69.3%
4
30.7%
Q1 - 7:41MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
67.8%
4
32.2%
Q1 - 7:42MEMMISS Warrick 19' Jump Shot10
67.2%
4
32.8%
Q1 - 8:02MIAWright 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)10
66.3%
4
33.7%
Q1 - 8:11MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
64.7%
4
35.3%
Q1 - 8:12MEMMISS Warrick Layup8
64.1%
4
35.9%
Q1 - 8:30MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)8
62.8%
4
37.2%
Q1 - 8:30MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
62.2%
4
37.8%
Q1 - 8:43MEMMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)6
61.2%
4
38.8%
Q1 - 8:57MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound6
59.1%
4
40.9%
Q1 - 8:58MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot6
59.8%
4
40.2%
Q1 - 9:08MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
61.2%
4
38.8%
Q1 - 9:09MEMMISS Atkins 26' 3PT Jump Shot6
60.5%
4
39.5%
Q1 - 9:28MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)6
58.9%
4
41.1%
Q1 - 9:47MEMWarrick Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)4
57.5%
4
42.5%
Q1 - 10:05MIAWright 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)4
55.3%
4
44.7%
Q1 - 10:19MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
53.6%
4
46.4%
Q1 - 10:20MEMMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
53.0%
4
47.0%
Q1 - 10:26MIAWarrick STEAL (1 STL)2
51.5%
4
48.5%
Q1 - 10:40MEMGRIZZLIES Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)2
53.6%
4
46.4%
Q1 - 10:41MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound2
51.5%
4
48.5%
Q1 - 10:42MEMMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot2
53.0%
4
47.0%
Q1 - 11:07MIAWade Layup (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)2
51.8%
4
48.2%
Q1 - 11:14MEMAtkins Layup (2 PTS)0
49.9%
4
50.1%
Q1 - 11:17MIAAtkins STEAL (1 STL)0
51.8%
2
48.2%
Q1 - 11:38MEMWarrick 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
53.5%
2
46.5%
Q1 - 12:00MEMJump Ball Swift vs. Mourning: Tip to Atkins0
55.4%
0
44.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.11 55.7%
MEM
1.05 52.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
11
22
50%
MEM
13
29
45%
Midrange
MIA
17
33
52%
MEM
13
28
46%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
7
10.5
14
50%
75%
MEM
8
12.0
19
42%
63%
Free Throws
MIA
21
33
64%
MEM
21
27
78%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2350%11.5 / 23
A. Walker1860%9.0 / 15
D. Wright1470%7.0 / 10
J. Williams1372%6.5 / 9
U. Haslem1045%5.0 / 11
J. Kapono1071%5.0 / 7
J. Posey675%3.0 / 4
A. Mourning450%2.0 / 4
M. Doleac0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MEM logo Grizzlies
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Miller2265%11.0 / 17
R. Gay2056%10.0 / 18
C. Atkins1869%9.0 / 13
H. Warrick1761%8.5 / 14
D. Jones1255%6.0 / 11
S. Swift650%3.0 / 6
J. Tsakalidis220%1.0 / 5
L. Roberts0-0.0 / 2
B. Cardinal0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
73
+14
-16
87
MEM
75
+16
-12
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.11 55.7%
MEM
1.05 52.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.2
106.5
MIA 110.1
MEM 111.5 +1.4
Pace
90.1
94.0
MIA 89.7 +3.3
MEM 86.3
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
15.1
MIA 16.1 +0.6
MEM 16.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.6%
50.4%
MIA 55.8% +5.8%
MEM 50.0%
TO %
15.3%
16.5%
MIA 16.1%
MEM 15.4% +0.7%
ORB %
24.9%
25.9%
MIA 30.6% +5.6%
MEM 25.0%
FTrt
32.1
37.4
MIA 47.8 +12.3
MEM 35.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.6%
56.0%
MIA 65.7% +27.5%
MEM 38.2%
STL %
7.6%
7.2%
MIA 5.6%
MEM 8.0% +2.4%
BLK %
8.8%
7.7%
MIA 17.5% +10.2%
MEM 7.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.4%
54.1%
MIA 55.7% +3.0%
MEM 52.7%
Rim FG%
61.8%
57.5%
MIA 50.0% +5.2%
MEM 44.8%
Mid FG%
40.5%
41.1%
MIA 51.5% +5.1%
MEM 46.4%
3P %
34.3%
36.7%
MIA 50.0% +7.9%
MEM 42.1%
FT %
69.0%
76.1%
MIA 63.6%
MEM 77.8% +14.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.9%
38.5%
MIA 31.9%
MEM 38.2% +6.3%
Mid Att. %
40.7%
40.4%
MIA 47.8%
MEM 36.8% +11.0%
3P Att. %
24.5%
21.1%
MIA 20.3%
MEM 25.0% +4.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.
Game TotalsMIAMEM
Possessions8987
Possession Minutes23.824.2
Points9897
Rebounds4135
Assists2313
Steals57
Blocks104
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)12 (4)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (3)10 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (2)25 (2)
Field Goals35-6934-76
At-the-Rim FG11-2213-29
Midrange FG17-3313-28
2-Point FG28-5526-57
3-Point FG7-148-19
Free Throws21-3321-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'1" 180 · 31
37.4
13
72%
5
14
0
0
0
1
0
5
3-4
75%
2-4
50%
2-3
67%
F · 6'9" 205 · 21
31.1
14
70%
4
2
0
1
1
3
1
3
2-2
100%
6-9
67%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 261 · 37
27.3
4
50%
7
0
0
7
2
5
1
6
2-6
33%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 26
26.3
10
45%
12
1
0
0
1
6
5
7
4-6
67%
3-8
38%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 220 · 25
26.3
23
50%
2
3
0
0
5
4
1
1
7-10
70%
8-18
44%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 217 · 30
27.3
6
75%
5
0
3
1
1
3
1
4
0-0
-
0-0
-
2-4
50%
F · 6'9" 245 · 30
26.4
18
60%
5
3
1
0
3
1
2
3
2-4
50%
5-8
63%
2-5
40%
F · 6'8" 215 · 26
24.0
10
71%
0
0
0
0
2
2
0
0
1-1
100%
3-6
50%
1-1
100%
C · 6'11" 262 · 29
14.0
0
0%
1
0
1
1
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
G · 6'4" 190 · 38
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 25
G · 6'2" 184 · 23
#11 · G · 6'2" 175 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#32 · C · 7'1" 325 · 35
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#25 · F · 6'9" 250 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
98
56%
41
23
5
10
16
0
11
30
21-33
64%
28-55
51%
7-14
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.