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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 2, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Wizards32%9694
11Bulls68%102112
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.5
34.0
36.9
9
38%
3
2
1
1
1
2
0
3
3-4
75%
3-8
5-10
38%
46%
0-2
0%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 26.7
30.2
41.0
21
60%
10
1
0
2
0
6
2
8
5-6
83%
8-14
6-13
57%
46%
0-1
0%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 25.7
24.8
28.3
12
70%
3
3
1
1
0
2
2
1
6-8
75%
3-5
3-7
60%
45%
0-0
-
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.9
21.7
37.2
10
39%
0
3
0
2
0
2
0
0
2-4
50%
1-6
6-13
17%
46%
2-5
40%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 28.7
14.7
21.4
0
0%
6
0
0
0
1
0
1
5
0-0
-
0-2
3-5
0%
52%
0-0
-
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 31.7
24.2
22.1
11
73%
1
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
6-8
75%
1-3
2-5
33%
47%
1-1
100%
James Lang
C · 6'10" 305 · 23.1
19.7
1.8
7
61%
4
2
0
0
3
1
1
3
3-4
75%
2-4
0-0
50%
46%
0-0
-
Donell Taylor
G · 6'5" 193 · 24.4
17.2
8.5
8
50%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
4-8
1-2
50%
41%
0-0
-
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.3
15.2
15.2
3
52%
3
1
0
0
1
0
1
2
1-2
50%
1-1
1-4
100%
41%
0-1
0%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 27.0
13.6
23.8
6
68%
4
0
1
0
1
0
2
2
0-1
0%
3-4
3-5
75%
51%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 26.2
12.6
1.5
2
33%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
38%
0-1
0%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 20.3
12.2
2.6
5
37%
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
3-4
75%
1-4
0-1
25%
44%
0-1
0%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 28.8
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 30.6
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 29.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.6
33.1
35.7
18
68%
9
1
0
1
1
1
2
7
4-5
80%
7-11
7-14
64%
51%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.9
31.7
33.1
10
42%
2
9
3
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
4-6
4-9
67%
46%
0-5
0%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 27.0
30.2
32.8
24
76%
1
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
5-8
5-10
63%
50%
4-7
57%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 32.2
29.0
32.2
10
58%
9
0
2
2
2
1
2
7
2-6
33%
4-6
2-4
67%
49%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 24.3
19.4
25.6
0
0%
2
8
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
45%
0-1
0%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.7
29.0
29.1
28
62%
3
2
0
1
0
2
1
2
3-4
75%
5-12
4-9
42%
45%
5-9
56%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 20.3
26.9
9.3
9
65%
10
2
0
0
1
2
5
5
1-2
50%
4-6
2-3
67%
50%
0-0
-
Michael Sweetney
F · 6'8" 270 · 24.1
19.0
9.0
7
49%
4
2
0
0
0
1
3
1
3-5
60%
2-5
1-3
40%
48%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 22.6
18.2
9.7
4
38%
8
1
0
0
1
0
1
7
2-3
67%
1-4
1-2
25%
49%
0-0
-
Viktor Khryapa
· 6'9" 210 · 24.3
3.5
2.4
2
53%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-1
0%
P.J. Brown
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 37.1
14.8
0
2-4
46%
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 32.4
4.2
0
0-1
49%
Martynas Andriuskevicius
C · 7'2" 240 · 20.7
Andre Barrett
G · 5'10" 173 · 24.8
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 28.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.