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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
December 3, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Pistons59%9789
25Bobcats41%9497
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 30.2
38.9
37.8
14
46%
2
7
1
1
0
2
0
2
3-3
100%
4-7
3-7
57%
44%
1-7
14%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 32.2
38.4
34.5
19
58%
8
3
3
1
2
1
2
6
7-8
88%
6-10
4-8
60%
48%
0-3
0%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 28.8
35.9
35.8
17
46%
4
2
1
1
1
4
1
3
5-6
83%
3-12
7-14
25%
47%
2-4
50%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 26.8
34.1
36.0
17
57%
5
3
0
1
1
1
2
3
2-2
100%
6-9
5-10
67%
49%
1-5
20%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 29.2
16.6
18.5
8
57%
4
0
1
0
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
4-7
2-5
57%
50%
0-0
-
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 32.2
28.0
24.4
8
44%
6
1
0
1
1
1
3
3
0-0
-
4-9
3-7
44%
49%
0-0
-
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.3
19.1
17.8
6
55%
2
2
0
1
0
1
1
1
1-1
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
44%
1-2
50%
Dale Davis
C-F · 6'11" 252 · 37.7
12.3
9.0
0
0%
3
0
0
0
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 36.0
9.1
10.0
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
39%
0-0
-
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 24.3
7.7
13.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 23.8
3.8
0
1-1
47%
Ronald Dupree
F · 6'7" 209 · 25.9
1.2
0
0-0
47%
Will Blalock
G · 6'0" 205 · 23.2
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 19.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 22.4
37.9
32.9
15
64%
1
5
2
1
0
4
1
0
3-4
75%
3-8
3-8
38%
43%
2-2
100%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 24.4
35.0
29.8
8
34%
10
0
1
2
0
1
2
8
0-4
0%
4-8
4-7
50%
52%
0-2
0%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 24.2
34.6
26.5
18
51%
8
0
1
1
2
2
4
4
4-4
100%
7-16
4-9
44%
47%
0-0
-
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 31.1
33.6
33.8
8
67%
7
14
0
2
0
3
0
7
0-0
-
4-6
4-9
67%
43%
0-0
-
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 22.4
19.3
34.8
2
20%
3
1
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
5-10
33%
47%
0-2
0%
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 22.7
22.6
22.8
17
75%
4
1
0
1
1
3
1
3
3-3
100%
7-10
4-9
70%
48%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 26.3
20.8
12.5
16
82%
3
1
2
0
1
0
0
3
4-4
100%
3-4
1-3
75%
45%
2-4
50%
Derek Anderson
G · 6'5" 195 · 32.4
18.5
11.8
11
87%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
3-3
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
42%
2-3
67%
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 32.8
7.6
5.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 27.2
5.9
15.6
2
33%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
3-5
33%
51%
0-0
-
Jake Voskuhl
C · 6'11" 255 · 29.1
4.3
10.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 28.6
3.4
0
0-1
47%
Bernard Robinson
G-F · 6'6" 210 · 25.9
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 22.1
Walter Herrmann
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.