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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 4, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Mavericks64%10197
20Wizards36%97106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 28.5
37.4
26.7
27
57%
9
3
1
1
0
2
5
4
7-8
88%
4-15
5-10
27%
50%
4-5
80%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 31.4
30.4
25.8
9
58%
9
0
0
0
0
1
3
6
3-4
75%
3-6
3-5
50%
55%
0-0
-
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 26.6
29.6
31.7
5
31%
4
2
1
1
1
2
2
2
0-0
-
1-5
5-10
20%
49%
1-3
33%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 29.2
26.9
27.9
4
23%
3
3
0
1
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
0-3
3-6
0%
50%
1-5
20%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.8
26.9
25.7
14
57%
3
2
1
1
0
2
0
3
10-12
83%
2-7
3-7
29%
51%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 32.1
23.4
25.1
14
62%
1
6
1
1
0
0
0
1
2-3
67%
6-9
4-8
67%
45%
0-1
0%
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 32.2
19.6
20.6
4
67%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
47%
0-0
-
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.3
17.6
13.4
14
78%
2
2
1
1
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
42%
4-6
67%
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 25.9
8.5
3.7
2
35%
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0
2-2
100%
0-2
0-1
0%
51%
0-0
-
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 31.6
8.3
11.5
2
33%
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
44%
0-1
0%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 24.8
5.9
20.2
0
0%
1
0
0
1
3
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 30.2
5.3
12.1
2
50%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
53%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 22.4
Pops Mensah-Bonsu
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.2
Maurice Ager
F-G · 6'5" 202 · 22.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.5
40.8
35.3
20
56%
12
2
1
1
0
1
3
9
0-0
-
7-14
4-9
50%
47%
2-4
50%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.9
39.6
31.0
38
63%
2
8
1
1
0
2
0
2
7-7
100%
14-21
5-10
67%
47%
1-6
17%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 26.7
38.7
36.3
14
43%
9
7
0
1
0
2
4
5
1-1
100%
5-15
5-11
33%
47%
1-1
100%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 25.7
28.5
26.5
12
64%
1
3
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-1
0%
6-9
3-6
67%
46%
0-0
-
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 28.7
23.8
18.8
10
87%
11
1
0
0
2
2
3
8
2-4
50%
4-4
2-4
100%
53%
0-0
-
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 27.0
23.4
19.8
3
24%
10
1
0
0
1
0
6
4
1-3
33%
1-5
2-4
20%
52%
0-0
-
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 31.7
21.2
22.7
2
14%
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-7
2-4
14%
48%
0-0
-
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.3
17.3
15.1
5
83%
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
42%
1-1
100%
Donell Taylor
G · 6'5" 193 · 24.4
6.7
11.6
2
50%
3
1
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
44%
0-0
-
James Lang
C · 6'10" 305 · 23.1
10.1
0
1-2
48%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 20.3
6.5
0
1-2
48%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 26.2
5.7
0
0-1
41%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 28.8
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 30.6
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 29.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.