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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 4, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Magic39%9492
17Kings61%9789
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 21.0
39.6
35.7
18
72%
16
0
1
1
1
4
2
14
4-8
50%
7-9
5-10
78%
53%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 27.7
35.4
27.1
14
47%
4
5
1
1
0
2
1
3
0-2
0%
7-12
3-6
58%
44%
0-2
0%
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 30.8
29.9
24.5
9
67%
9
0
1
0
2
0
1
8
3-4
75%
3-5
3-5
60%
48%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 24.8
27.8
25.9
14
78%
0
7
0
1
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
4-5
4-8
80%
50%
2-4
50%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 34.2
20.8
27.7
10
49%
3
0
2
1
1
1
0
3
2-5
40%
4-7
4-9
57%
48%
0-1
0%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 21.5
21.7
25.4
4
40%
3
0
1
1
3
3
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
4-8
40%
46%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 26.6
20.6
19.8
5
39%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-1
0%
1-3
2-5
33%
44%
1-3
33%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 27.3
20.2
21.3
12
51%
1
5
1
1
0
1
1
0
4-4
100%
4-10
3-7
40%
44%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 21.4
12.6
15.5
3
61%
6
1
0
1
0
0
1
5
1-1
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
44%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 26.6
6.7
8.9
3
75%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
43%
1-1
100%
Pat Garrity
F · 6'9" 238 · 30.3
4.8
8.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 22.4
1.6
0
0-0
41%
Bo Outlaw
F · 6'8" 220 · 35.6
James Augustine
F · 6'10" 235 · 22.8
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 28.6
43.5
34.2
19
47%
3
7
1
1
1
1
0
3
7-7
100%
6-14
4-9
43%
47%
0-3
0%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 23.8
41.9
31.8
16
45%
3
1
0
1
0
3
1
2
1-2
50%
6-12
4-8
50%
54%
1-5
20%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 27.0
37.9
29.2
16
69%
6
3
0
1
0
1
1
5
4-6
67%
3-6
3-6
50%
47%
2-3
67%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 29.4
35.8
24.0
5
32%
14
2
5
1
0
3
8
6
1-2
50%
2-7
2-4
29%
51%
0-0
-
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.0
17.5
22.9
4
35%
3
1
0
1
0
1
1
2
4-4
100%
0-3
4-8
0%
52%
0-1
0%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 30.6
30.5
23.5
14
50%
7
2
0
1
2
2
1
6
6-7
86%
4-9
3-6
44%
51%
0-2
0%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.5
15.9
11.0
7
61%
2
2
1
0
0
1
1
1
3-4
75%
2-3
1-2
67%
48%
0-1
0%
Corliss Williamson
F · 6'7" 245 · 33.0
12.1
21.9
6
75%
3
0
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
3-6
75%
48%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.9
4.9
18.5
2
29%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-1
0%
1-2
1-2
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 28.6
4.4
0
0-1
44%
Quincy Douby
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.6
3.2
0
0-1
45%
Maurice Taylor
F-C · 6'9" 265 · 30.1
1.9
0
0-1
46%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 27.1
Vitaly Potapenko
C-F · 6'10" 285 · 31.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.