Final Win Prob. pScore
3019%90
88
581%101
85
ORTG#PossPace
POR logo Trail Blazers
110.08072.4
DET logo Pistons
103.78291.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsTrail BlazersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsTrail BlazersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventPORDET
Q4 - 0:00.0DET88
100%
85
0%
Q4 - 0:00.0DETPISTONS Rebound88
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:01.0DETMISS Hamilton 24' 3PT Jump Shot88
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:02.0PORSUB: Aldridge FOR Przybilla88
85
Q4 - 0:02.0DETPISTONS Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 3)88
85
Q4 - 0:02.0PORJack Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)88
98.6%
85
1.4%
Q4 - 0:02.0PORJack Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)87
98.3%
85
1.7%
Q4 - 0:02.0DETBillups P.FOUL (P2.PN)86
85
Q4 - 0:02.0PORJack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)86
96.8%
85
3.2%
Q4 - 0:03.0DETMISS Hamilton 26' 3PT Jump Shot86
95.6%
85
4.4%
Q4 - 0:15.0DETPISTONS Rebound86
53.8%
85
46.2%
Q4 - 0:16.0DETMISS Hamilton Layup86
74.6%
85
25.4%
Q4 - 0:21.0PORSUB: Przybilla FOR Randolph86
85
Q4 - 0:21.0DETPISTONS Timeout: Short (Full 4 Short 3)86
85
Q4 - 0:21.0PORRandolph 7' Jump Bank Shot (31 PTS)86
52.4%
85
47.6%
Q4 - 0:36.0PORTrail Blazers Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1)84
85
Q4 - 0:36.0DETBillups 22' Jump Shot (17 PTS)84
31.9%
85
68.1%
Q4 - 0:52.0DETBillups REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)84
46.7%
83
53.3%
Q4 - 0:55.0PORMISS Dixon 19' Jump Shot84
51.9%
83
48.1%
Q4 - 1:17DETWallace Layup (7 PTS)84
61.5%
83
38.5%
Q4 - 1:26DETPISTONS Timeout: Short (Full 4 Short 2)84
81
Q4 - 1:26PORJack Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)84
72.0%
81
28.0%
Q4 - 1:26PORJack Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)83
70.5%
81
29.5%
Q4 - 1:26DETHamilton S.FOUL (P4.PN)82
81
Q4 - 1:37DETBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)82
59.2%
81
40.8%
Q4 - 1:52DETBillups Free Throw Technical (15 PTS)82
43.4%
81
56.6%
Q4 - 1:52PORTrail Blazers T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Dixon )82
80
Q4 - 2:13PORDixon Driving Layup (6 PTS)82
56.4%
80
43.6%
Q4 - 2:33DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)80
49.6%
80
50.4%
Q4 - 2:33DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)80
50.7%
79
49.3%
Q4 - 2:33PORTrail Blazers Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)80
78
Q4 - 2:33POROutlaw S.FOUL (P1.T4)80
78
Q4 - 2:37DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)80
56.6%
78
43.4%
Q4 - 2:38PORMISS Randolph Layup80
61.9%
78
38.1%
Q4 - 2:55PORRandolph REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)80
66.9%
78
33.1%
Q4 - 2:57DETMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot80
63.1%
78
36.9%
Q4 - 3:13DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)80
53.8%
78
46.2%
Q4 - 3:14PORSUB: Udoka FOR Aldridge80
78
Q4 - 3:14PORMISS Jack Free Throw 2 of 280
55.8%
78
44.2%
Q4 - 3:14PORJack Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)80
63.6%
78
36.4%
Q4 - 3:14DETHamilton S.FOUL (P3.T4)79
78
Q4 - 3:39DETBillups 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)79
50.0%
78
50.0%
Q4 - 3:52PORRandolph Tip Shot (29 PTS)79
67.9%
75
32.1%
Q4 - 3:53PORRandolph REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)77
59.7%
75
40.3%
Q4 - 3:54PORMISS Jack Layup77
52.7%
75
47.3%
Q4 - 4:12DETPrince 5' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Billups 8 AST)77
60.1%
75
39.9%
Q4 - 4:28PORJack Driving Layup (13 PTS)77
68.5%
73
31.5%
Q4 - 4:45POROutlaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)75
60.3%
73
39.7%
Q4 - 4:47DETMISS Prince 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
57.2%
73
42.8%
Q4 - 5:07PORTrail Blazers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)75
46.9%
73
53.1%
Q4 - 5:07PORAldridge REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)75
55.6%
73
44.4%
Q4 - 5:08PORHamilton BLOCK (1 BLK)75
49.6%
73
50.4%
Q4 - 5:22DETWallace P.FOUL (P5.T3)75
73
Q4 - 5:36DETWallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Murray 2 AST)75
55.9%
73
44.1%
Q4 - 5:52PORRandolph 17' Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Dixon 2 AST)75
71.2%
70
28.8%
Q4 - 6:15DETMurray Driving Layup (11 PTS)73
59.2%
70
40.8%
Q4 - 6:24PORRandolph Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)73
66.0%
68
34.0%
Q4 - 6:24PORRandolph Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)72
64.7%
68
35.3%
Q4 - 6:24DETPISTONS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)71
68
Q4 - 6:24DETWallace S.FOUL (P4.T2)71
68
Q4 - 6:31PORAldridge REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)71
59.3%
68
40.7%
Q4 - 6:34DETMISS Prince 6' Hook Shot71
57.0%
68
43.0%
Q4 - 7:01PORRandolph 15' Jump Shot (23 PTS)71
47.8%
68
52.2%
Q4 - 7:20DETPrince Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)69
41.6%
68
58.4%
Q4 - 7:24DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)69
34.5%
68
65.5%
Q4 - 7:26DETMISS Wallace 15' Jump Shot69
39.4%
68
60.6%
Q4 - 7:30PORSUB: Jack FOR Dickau69
68
Q4 - 7:30PORSUB: Randolph FOR Udoka69
68
Q4 - 7:38DETBillups REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)69
34.6%
68
65.4%
Q4 - 7:41PORMISS Aldridge 7' Hook Shot69
36.7%
68
63.3%
Q4 - 7:53PORUdoka REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)69
41.7%
68
58.3%
Q4 - 7:55DETMISS Billups 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
39.5%
68
60.5%
Q4 - 8:09DETPISTONS Rebound69
33.7%
68
66.3%
Q4 - 8:10PORMISS Aldridge 18' Jump Shot69
35.4%
68
64.6%
Q4 - 8:21DETHamilton L.B.FOUL (P2.T1)69
68
Q4 - 8:21PORTrail Blazers Rebound69
39.5%
68
60.5%
Q4 - 8:23PORMISS Dickau 26' 3PT Jump Shot69
35.4%
68
64.6%
Q4 - 8:43DETPrince Layup (8 PTS) (Murray 1 AST)69
39.5%
68
60.5%
Q4 - 8:55PORUdoka P.FOUL (P3.T3)69
66
Q4 - 8:59DETSUB: Wallace FOR McDyess69
66
Q4 - 8:5969
66
Q4 - 8:59PORUdoka P.FOUL (P2.T2)69
66
Q4 - 9:06DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)69
44.3%
66
55.7%
Q4 - 9:10PORMISS Outlaw 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
46.1%
66
53.9%
Q4 - 9:23DETSUB: Prince FOR Davis69
66
Q4 - 9:27DETPISTONS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)69
50.1%
66
49.9%
Q4 - 9:28DETBillups REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)69
44.4%
66
55.6%
Q4 - 9:29DETMISS Hamilton Layup69
48.4%
66
51.6%
Q4 - 9:56PORDickau 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Udoka 1 AST)69
44.5%
66
55.5%
Q4 - 10:10DETHamilton Layup (25 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)66
31.8%
66
68.2%
Q4 - 10:30PORSUB: Udoka FOR Randolph66
64
Q4 - 10:30PORAldridge L.B.FOUL (P2.T1)66
64
Q4 - 10:30DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)66
37.1%
64
62.9%
Q4 - 10:31PORMISS Dixon 16' Jump Shot66
38.7%
64
61.3%
Q4 - 10:35PORAldridge REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)66
42.4%
64
57.6%
Q4 - 10:38PORMISS Randolph 13' Jump Shot66
38.7%
64
61.3%
Q4 - 10:51PORTrail Blazers Rebound66
42.5%
64
57.5%
Q4 - 10:51PORDavis BLOCK (2 BLK)66
38.7%
64
61.3%
Q4 - 10:52PORRandolph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)66
42.5%
64
57.5%
Q4 - 10:54PORMISS Dixon 19' Jump Shot66
38.7%
64
61.3%
Q4 - 11:00PORAldridge REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)66
42.5%
64
57.5%
Q4 - 11:03DETMISS Billups 15' Turnaround Jump Shot66
39.2%
64
60.8%
Q4 - 11:17PORRandolph 19' Jump Shot (21 PTS)66
36.0%
64
64.0%
Q4 - 11:41PORRandolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)64
31.0%
64
69.0%
Q4 - 11:42DETMISS Hamilton Layup64
29.7%
64
70.3%
Q4 - 12:0064
64
Q3 - 0:00.0DET64
26.8%
64
73.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETPISTONS Rebound64
26.8%
64
73.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETMISS Hamilton 43' 3PT Jump Shot64
29.7%
64
70.3%
Q3 - 0:02.0DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)64
26.6%
64
73.4%
Q3 - 0:03.0PORMISS Aldridge Free Throw 2 of 264
27.1%
64
72.9%
Q3 - 0:03.0PORSUB: Outlaw FOR Jack64
64
Q3 - 0:03.0PORAldridge Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)64
29.7%
64
70.3%
Q3 - 0:03.0DETMcDyess S.FOUL (P4.PN)63
64
Q3 - 0:03.0PORAldridge REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)63
26.2%
64
73.8%
Q3 - 0:03.0PORMISS Jack Layup63
23.8%
64
76.2%
Q3 - 0:16.0DETHamilton Violation:Kicked Ball63
64
Q3 - 0:35.0DETBillups 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)63
26.2%
64
73.8%
Q3 - 0:39.0PORAldridge Tip Shot (10 PTS)63
35.3%
61
64.7%
Q3 - 0:43.0PORAldridge REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)61
30.3%
61
69.7%
Q3 - 0:45.0PORMISS Udoka Layup61
27.7%
61
72.3%
Q3 - 0:45.0PORUdoka REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)61
30.3%
61
69.7%
Q3 - 0:48.0PORDavis BLOCK (1 BLK)61
27.7%
61
72.3%
Q3 - 1:12PORSUB: Aldridge FOR Przybilla61
61
Q3 - 1:12DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)61
29.7%
61
70.3%
Q3 - 1:12DETSUB: Davis FOR Wallace61
60
Q3 - 1:12DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)61
30.2%
60
69.8%
Q3 - 1:12PORJack P.FOUL (P3.PN)61
59
Q3 - 1:28PORRandolph 4' Hook Shot (19 PTS) (Jack 5 AST)61
34.4%
59
65.6%
Q3 - 1:43DETMcDyess Tip Shot (6 PTS)59
29.8%
59
70.2%
Q3 - 1:45DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)59
34.4%
57
65.6%
Q3 - 1:46DETMISS Wallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot59
37.3%
57
62.7%
Q3 - 1:59PORRandolph L.B.FOUL (P1.T3)59
57
Q3 - 1:59DETPISTONS Rebound59
34.5%
57
65.5%
Q3 - 2:00PORMISS Randolph Layup59
35.7%
57
64.3%
Q3 - 2:17PORRandolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)59
37.2%
57
62.8%
Q3 - 2:19DETMISS Hamilton 11' Jump Shot59
35.9%
57
64.1%
Q3 - 2:35PORDixon Traveling Turnover (P2.T7)59
33.0%
57
67.0%
Q3 - 2:59DETHamilton Driving Layup (21 PTS) (Billups 7 AST)59
37.3%
57
62.7%
Q3 - 3:05DETBillups REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)59
39.6%
55
60.4%
Q3 - 3:08DETMISS Prince 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
42.8%
55
57.2%
Q3 - 3:27PORDixon Driving Layup (4 PTS)59
39.7%
55
60.3%
Q3 - 3:45PORSUB: Dixon FOR Webster57
55
Q3 - 3:45DETSUB: McDyess FOR Mohammed57
55
Q3 - 3:45PORTrail Blazers Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)57
55
Q3 - 3:51DETHamilton 16' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Billups 6 AST)57
35.8%
55
64.2%
Q3 - 4:07PORWebster Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)57
38.6%
53
61.4%
Q3 - 4:13PORRandolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)57
43.5%
53
56.5%
Q3 - 4:16DETMISS Mohammed 8' Turnaround Jump Shot57
42.0%
53
58.0%
Q3 - 4:30DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
38.6%
53
61.4%
Q3 - 4:33PORMohammed BLOCK (1 BLK)57
40.1%
53
59.9%
Q3 - 4:52PORUdoka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)57
43.5%
53
56.5%
Q3 - 4:54DETMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot57
42.0%
53
58.0%
Q3 - 4:57DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)57
38.6%
53
61.4%
Q3 - 4:58DETMISS Mohammed Free Throw 2 of 257
42.9%
53
57.1%
Q3 - 4:58DETPISTONS Rebound57
53
Q3 - 4:58DETMISS Mohammed Free Throw 1 of 257
40.4%
53
59.6%
Q3 - 4:58PORPrzybilla S.FOUL (P3.T2)57
53
Q3 - 5:20PORRandolph 16' Jump Shot (17 PTS)57
37.2%
53
62.8%
Q3 - 5:41DETMohammed 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)55
33.9%
53
66.1%
Q3 - 5:49DETBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
37.3%
51
62.7%
Q3 - 5:51DETMISS Wallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot55
40.4%
51
59.6%
Q3 - 6:05PORWebster Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)55
36.0%
51
64.0%
Q3 - 6:05PORWebster Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)54
35.4%
51
64.6%
Q3 - 6:05DETWallace S.FOUL (P3.T4)53
51
Q3 - 6:24DETHamilton Driving Layup (17 PTS)53
32.7%
51
67.3%
Q3 - 6:39PORRandolph Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)53
36.1%
49
63.9%
Q3 - 6:39DETPISTONS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)52
49
Q3 - 6:39PORRandolph Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)52
35.3%
49
64.7%
Q3 - 6:39DETMohammed S.FOUL (P1.T3)51
49
Q3 - 6:40PORRandolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)51
32.7%
49
67.3%
Q3 - 6:41PORMISS Przybilla Layup51
30.1%
49
69.9%
Q3 - 6:53DETPrince Foul Turnover (P1.T4)51
32.7%
49
67.3%
Q3 - 6:53DETPrince OFF.Foul (P1)51
49
Q3 - 7:11DETMohammed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
28.1%
49
71.9%
Q3 - 7:14PORMISS Randolph 13' Running Jump Shot51
29.1%
49
70.9%
Q3 - 7:31PORRandolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)51
31.5%
49
68.5%
Q3 - 7:34DETMISS Hamilton 16' Jump Shot51
30.5%
49
69.5%
Q3 - 7:45DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)51
28.2%
49
71.8%
Q3 - 7:47PORMISS Webster 3PT Jump Shot51
29.2%
49
70.8%
Q3 - 7:54DETWallace P.FOUL (P2.T2)51
49
Q3 - 8:10DETBillups Traveling Turnover (P2.T3)51
31.0%
49
69.0%
Q3 - 8:16PORRandolph Driving Layup (13 PTS)51
27.6%
49
72.4%
Q3 - 8:26DETHamilton P.FOUL (P1.T1)49
49
Q3 - 8:53DETMohammed Layup (2 PTS) (Hamilton 4 AST)49
24.9%
49
75.1%
Q3 - 8:58DETMohammed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
27.6%
47
72.4%
Q3 - 9:01PORMISS Randolph 4' Hook Shot49
28.1%
47
71.9%
Q3 - 9:18PORUdoka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)49
30.3%
47
69.7%
Q3 - 9:20DETMISS Hamilton 13' Jump Shot49
29.4%
47
70.6%
Q3 - 9:36DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)49
27.2%
47
72.8%
Q3 - 9:38PORMISS Randolph 21' Jump Shot49
28.2%
47
71.8%
Q3 - 9:54DETBillups 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hamilton 3 AST)49
30.4%
47
69.6%
Q3 - 10:01PORJack P.FOUL (P2.T1)49
44
Q3 - 10:21PORRandolph Driving Layup (11 PTS)49
35.7%
44
64.3%
Q3 - 10:31PORRandolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)47
32.6%
44
67.4%
Q3 - 10:33DETMISS Wallace 9' Jump Shot47
31.6%
44
68.4%
Q3 - 10:51PORJack Free Throw Technical (11 PTS)47
29.5%
44
70.5%
Q3 - 10:51DETPrince T.FOUL (P0.T0)46
44
Q3 - 10:52PORUdoka 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Jack 4 AST)46
26.6%
44
73.4%
Q3 - 11:00PORUdoka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)43
21.4%
44
78.6%
Q3 - 11:02DETMISS Prince Layup43
20.3%
44
79.7%
Q3 - 11:07DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)43
18.7%
44
81.3%
Q3 - 11:09PORMISS Webster 17' Jump Shot43
19.4%
44
80.6%
Q3 - 11:18PORUdoka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
21.1%
44
78.9%
Q3 - 11:20DETMISS Mohammed 15' Jump Shot43
20.3%
44
79.7%
Q3 - 11:45PORWebster 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jack 3 AST)43
18.7%
44
81.3%
Q3 - 12:0041
44
Q2 - 0:00.0POR41
16.8%
44
83.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0PORTrail Blazers Rebound41
16.8%
44
83.2%
Q2 - 0:01.0PORMISS Jack Layup41
15.6%
44
84.4%
Q2 - 0:08.0PORJack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
16.5%
44
83.5%
Q2 - 0:11.0DETMISS Wallace 15' Turnaround Jump Shot41
16.1%
44
83.9%
Q2 - 0:31.0PORJack Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)41
15.1%
44
84.9%
Q2 - 0:31.0PORSUB: Udoka FOR Webster40
44
Q2 - 0:31.0PORJack Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)40
14.9%
44
85.1%
Q2 - 0:31.0DETBillups P.FOUL (P1.PN)39
44
Q2 - 0:39.0PORWebster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
13.1%
44
86.9%
Q2 - 0:41.0DETMISS Hamilton 7' Jump Shot39
12.8%
44
87.2%
Q2 - 0:44.0DETPISTONS Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)39
44
Q2 - 0:44.0PORSUB: Webster FOR Dixon39
44
Q2 - 1:12PORRandolph Layup (9 PTS) (Outlaw 1 AST)39
12.0%
44
88.0%
Q2 - 1:29PORJack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
10.4%
44
89.6%
Q2 - 1:31DETMISS Prince Tip Shot37
10.1%
44
89.9%
Q2 - 1:33DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)37
9.5%
44
90.5%
Q2 - 1:35DETMISS Hamilton Layup37
10.1%
44
89.9%
Q2 - 1:38DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
9.5%
44
90.5%
Q2 - 1:40PORMISS Dixon 20' Jump Shot37
9.8%
44
90.2%
Q2 - 2:07DETMurray Layup (9 PTS)37
10.5%
44
89.5%
Q2 - 2:28PORRandolph Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)37
11.7%
42
88.3%
Q2 - 2:28PORTrail Blazers Rebound36
42
Q2 - 2:28PORMISS Randolph Free Throw 1 of 236
11.4%
42
88.6%
Q2 - 2:28DETSUB: Hamilton FOR McDyess36
42
Q2 - 2:28PORSUB: LaFrentz FOR Aldridge36
42
Q2 - 2:28PORTrail Blazers Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 1)36
42
Q2 - 2:28DETMcDyess P.FOUL (P3.PN)36
42
Q2 - 2:40DETMcDyess 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)36
11.7%
42
88.3%
Q2 - 2:54PORJack Alley Oop Layup (8 PTS) (Dixon 1 AST)36
13.1%
40
86.9%
Q2 - 3:06DETMcDyess Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)34
11.7%
40
88.3%
Q2 - 3:21PORJack Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)34
12.8%
38
87.2%
Q2 - 3:21PORTrail Blazers Rebound33
38
Q2 - 3:21PORMISS Jack Free Throw 1 of 233
12.7%
38
87.3%
Q2 - 3:21DETMurray P.FOUL (P2.PN)33
38
Q2 - 3:33DETMurray 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS)33
13.1%
38
86.9%
Q2 - 3:49PORAldridge 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Randolph 3 AST)33
14.3%
36
85.7%
Q2 - 3:51PORAldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)31
13.1%
36
86.9%
Q2 - 3:54PORMISS Aldridge 12' Jump Shot31
12.0%
36
88.0%
Q2 - 4:11PORRandolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)31
12.9%
36
87.1%
Q2 - 4:13DETMISS Murray Free Throw 2 of 231
12.7%
36
87.3%
Q2 - 4:13DETMurray Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)31
11.9%
36
88.1%
Q2 - 4:13PORJack S.FOUL (P1.T2)31
35
Q2 - 4:18PORMcDyess STEAL (1 STL)31
12.8%
35
87.2%
Q2 - 4:40POROutlaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
14.3%
35
85.7%
Q2 - 4:41DETMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
13.8%
35
86.2%
Q2 - 4:44DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)31
12.8%
35
87.2%
Q2 - 4:46PORWallace BLOCK (2 BLK)31
13.2%
35
86.8%
Q2 - 5:04PORRandolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
14.2%
35
85.8%
Q2 - 5:06DETMISS Murray 17' Jump Shot31
13.8%
35
86.2%
Q2 - 5:25DETSUB: Billups FOR Delfino31
35
Q2 - 5:25DETPISTONS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)31
35
Q2 - 5:27POROutlaw Follow Up Dunk (5 PTS)31
12.9%
35
87.1%
Q2 - 5:28POROutlaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
11.6%
35
88.4%
Q2 - 5:29PORMISS Jack 3PT Jump Shot29
10.8%
35
89.2%
Q2 - 5:32PORDixon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
11.6%
35
88.4%
Q2 - 5:35PORDelfino BLOCK (1 BLK)29
10.8%
35
89.2%
Q2 - 5:46PORAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)29
11.6%
35
88.4%
Q2 - 5:48DETMISS Delfino 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
11.2%
35
88.8%
Q2 - 6:15POROutlaw 18' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Randolph 2 AST)29
10.5%
35
89.5%
Q2 - 6:22DETMurray P.FOUL (P1.T4)27
35
Q2 - 6:35PORAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
9.6%
35
90.4%
Q2 - 6:38DETMISS Delfino Layup27
9.3%
35
90.7%
Q2 - 6:47DETMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
8.5%
35
91.5%
Q2 - 6:50PORMISS Jack 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
8.8%
35
91.2%
Q2 - 7:16DETPrince Driving Layup (6 PTS)27
9.5%
35
90.5%
Q2 - 7:22DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
10.4%
33
89.6%
Q2 - 7:24PORMISS Randolph 17' Jump Shot27
10.8%
33
89.2%
Q2 - 7:47DETDelfino Layup (5 PTS) (McDyess 1 AST)27
11.6%
33
88.4%
Q2 - 8:08DETDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
12.8%
31
87.2%
Q2 - 8:10PORMISS Outlaw 21' Jump Shot27
13.2%
31
86.8%
Q2 - 8:28PORRandolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
14.1%
31
85.9%
Q2 - 8:29DETMISS Wallace 6' Jump Shot27
13.7%
31
86.3%
Q2 - 8:42PORRandolph Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)27
12.8%
31
87.2%
Q2 - 8:42PORRandolph Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)26
12.6%
31
87.4%
Q2 - 8:42DETSUB: Wallace FOR Davis25
31
Q2 - 8:4225
31
Q2 - 8:42DETDavis S.FOUL (P1.T3)25
31
Q2 - 9:02DETMurray Layup (4 PTS) (Delfino 1 AST)25
11.6%
31
88.4%
Q2 - 9:09POROutlaw Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)25
12.7%
29
87.3%
Q2 - 9:09DETSUB: Prince FOR Hamilton24
29
Q2 - 9:09PORTrail Blazers Rebound24
29
Q2 - 9:09PORMISS Outlaw Free Throw 1 of 224
12.4%
29
87.6%
Q2 - 9:09DETDelfino S.FOUL (P1.T2)24
29
Q2 - 9:24PORTrail Blazers Rebound24
12.7%
29
87.3%
Q2 - 9:25DETMISS Delfino 27' 3PT Jump Shot24
12.4%
29
87.6%
Q2 - 9:42PORAldridge 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jack 2 AST)24
11.6%
29
88.4%
Q2 - 10:04DETMurray Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)22
10.7%
29
89.3%
Q2 - 10:04DETMurray Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
10.9%
28
89.1%
Q2 - 10:04PORSUB: Jack FOR Rodriguez22
27
Q2 - 10:04PORAldridge S.FOUL (P1.T1)22
27
Q2 - 10:12PORRodriguez Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)22
11.7%
27
88.3%
Q2 - 10:21PORAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
12.9%
27
87.1%
Q2 - 10:24DETMISS Hamilton 6' Running Jump Shot22
12.5%
27
87.5%
Q2 - 10:43PORDixon Driving Layup (2 PTS)22
11.7%
27
88.3%
Q2 - 10:59DETDelfino 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)20
10.7%
27
89.3%
Q2 - 11:20PORRandolph 5' Hook Shot (4 PTS)20
13.0%
24
87.0%
Q2 - 11:33DETMcDyess P.FOUL (P2.T1)18
24
Q2 - 11:33PORDixon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
11.9%
24
88.1%
Q2 - 11:35DETMISS Murray 26' 3PT Jump Shot18
11.6%
24
88.4%
Q2 - 11:45PORRandolph 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Rodriguez 2 AST)18
10.9%
24
89.1%
Q2 - 12:0016
24
Q1 - 0:00.0DET16
9.9%
24
90.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
9.0%
24
91.0%
Q1 - 0:01.0PORMISS Rodriguez 27' 3PT Jump Shot16
9.4%
24
90.6%
Q1 - 0:08.0DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)16
9.9%
24
90.1%
Q1 - 0:08.0DETSUB: Prince FOR Mohammed16
23
Q1 - 0:08.0PORSUB: Webster FOR Magloire16
23
Q1 - 0:08.0DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)16
10.0%
23
90.0%
Q1 - 0:08.0PORDixon S.FOUL (P2.PN)16
22
Q1 - 0:29.0PORAldridge 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Rodriguez 1 AST)16
11.0%
22
89.0%
Q1 - 0:41.0PORTrail Blazers Rebound14
9.9%
22
90.1%
Q1 - 0:43.0PORMISS Dixon Layup14
9.4%
22
90.6%
Q1 - 0:49.0DETHamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)14
9.9%
22
90.1%
Q1 - 1:01DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
9.4%
22
90.6%
Q1 - 1:01PORMISS Magloire Free Throw 2 of 214
9.5%
22
90.5%
Q1 - 1:01PORMagloire Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)14
9.9%
22
90.1%
Q1 - 1:01DETSUB: Murray FOR Billups13
22
Q1 - 1:01DETMcDyess S.FOUL (P1.T2)13
22
Q1 - 1:01PORMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
9.2%
22
90.8%
Q1 - 1:02PORMISS Outlaw 14' Jump Shot13
8.8%
22
91.2%
Q1 - 1:24DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)13
9.1%
22
90.9%
Q1 - 1:24PORSUB: Rodriguez FOR Jack13
21
Q1 - 1:24DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)13
9.2%
21
90.8%
Q1 - 1:24DETSUB: McDyess FOR Wallace13
20
Q1 - 1:24PORDixon S.FOUL (P1.T4)13
20
Q1 - 1:33DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
10.2%
20
89.8%
Q1 - 1:35PORMISS Magloire 14' Jump Shot13
10.4%
20
89.6%
Q1 - 1:52DETHamilton 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)13
10.8%
20
89.2%
Q1 - 2:04DETDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
12.2%
18
87.8%
Q1 - 2:07PORMISS Aldridge 16' Turnaround Jump Shot13
12.4%
18
87.6%
Q1 - 2:24DETHamilton 15' Jump Shot (9 PTS)13
13.0%
18
87.0%
Q1 - 2:34DETHamilton Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)13
14.3%
16
85.7%
Q1 - 2:34DETSUB: Delfino FOR Prince13
15
Q1 - 2:34PORTrail Blazers Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 1)13
15
Q1 - 2:34PORTrail Blazers T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Magloire )13
15
Q1 - 2:48PORAldridge 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Magloire 1 AST)13
15.4%
15
84.6%
Q1 - 3:03PORSUB: Magloire FOR Przybilla11
15
Q1 - 3:03PORTrail Blazers Rebound11
14.0%
15
86.0%
Q1 - 3:05DETMISS Prince 6' Hook Shot11
13.6%
15
86.4%
Q1 - 3:23PORPrzybilla L.B.FOUL (P2.T3)11
15
Q1 - 3:23DETPISTONS Rebound11
12.9%
15
87.1%
Q1 - 3:24PORMISS Outlaw 19' Jump Shot11
13.2%
15
86.8%
Q1 - 3:47PORPrzybilla REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
14.0%
15
86.0%
Q1 - 3:49DETMISS Billups 24' 3PT Jump Shot11
13.7%
15
86.3%
Q1 - 3:57PORSUB: Outlaw FOR Udoka11
15
Q1 - 3:57PORUdoka P.FOUL (P1.T2)11
15
Q1 - 4:06DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
13.2%
15
86.8%
Q1 - 4:08PORMISS Jack 18' Jump Shot11
13.5%
15
86.5%
Q1 - 4:16PORAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
14.2%
15
85.8%
Q1 - 4:19DETMISS Prince 24' 3PT Jump Shot11
13.9%
15
86.1%
Q1 - 4:40PORDixon Palming Turnover (P1.T3)11
13.3%
15
86.7%
Q1 - 4:51PORSUB: Dixon FOR Webster11
15
Q1 - 4:51PORSUB: Aldridge FOR Randolph11
15
Q1 - 4:51DETPISTONS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)11
15
Q1 - 4:51DETWallace P.FOUL (P1.T1)11
15
Q1 - 5:08DETHamilton 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)11
14.6%
15
85.4%
Q1 - 5:27PORUdoka Layup (6 PTS) (Jack 1 AST)11
15.4%
13
84.6%
Q1 - 5:35PORJack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
14.6%
13
85.4%
Q1 - 5:37DETMISS Prince 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
14.3%
13
85.7%
Q1 - 5:52DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
13.7%
13
86.3%
Q1 - 5:54PORMISS Randolph 19' Jump Shot9
14.0%
13
86.0%
Q1 - 6:08PORPrzybilla REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
14.5%
13
85.5%
Q1 - 6:10PORMISS Udoka 16' Jump Shot9
13.9%
13
86.1%
Q1 - 6:28DETHamilton Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)9
14.6%
13
85.4%
Q1 - 6:54PORUdoka Layup (4 PTS)9
15.5%
11
84.5%
Q1 - 7:09DETHamilton Layup (2 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)7
14.6%
11
85.4%
Q1 - 7:13PORWallace STEAL (1 STL)7
15.4%
9
84.6%
Q1 - 7:28PORPrzybilla REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
16.4%
9
83.6%
Q1 - 7:30DETMISS Wallace Dunk7
16.1%
9
83.9%
Q1 - 7:51PORJack 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Randolph 1 AST)7
15.6%
9
84.4%
Q1 - 8:05DETBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
14.1%
9
85.9%
Q1 - 8:21PORJack Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)4
13.7%
9
86.3%
Q1 - 8:39DETWallace 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)4
14.5%
9
85.5%
Q1 - 8:48PORUdoka Layup (2 PTS)4
15.2%
7
84.8%
Q1 - 8:51PORUdoka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
14.7%
7
85.3%
Q1 - 8:53PORMISS Randolph 18' Jump Shot2
14.3%
7
85.7%
Q1 - 9:13DETBillups 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)2
15.0%
7
85.0%
Q1 - 9:15DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)2
16.2%
4
83.8%
Q1 - 9:17DETMISS Hamilton 18' Jump Shot2
16.6%
4
83.4%
Q1 - 9:32DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
16.4%
4
83.6%
Q1 - 9:35PORMISS Webster 13' Turnaround Jump Shot2
16.5%
4
83.5%
Q1 - 9:43PORTrail Blazers Rebound2
17.0%
4
83.0%
Q1 - 9:44PORWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)2
16.6%
4
83.4%
Q1 - 10:00DETPrince 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Mohammed 1 AST)2
17.1%
4
82.9%
Q1 - 10:17DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
18.2%
1
81.8%
Q1 - 10:19PORMISS Webster 19' Jump Shot2
18.3%
1
81.7%
Q1 - 10:32PORTrail Blazers Timeout: Short (Reg.0 Short 1)2
1
Q1 - 10:32PORUdoka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
18.7%
1
81.3%
Q1 - 10:34DETMISS Prince 10' Jump Bank Shot2
18.6%
1
81.4%
Q1 - 10:52DETMohammed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
18.4%
1
81.6%
Q1 - 10:54PORMISS Randolph 20' Jump Shot2
18.5%
1
81.5%
Q1 - 11:03PORRandolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
18.6%
1
81.4%
Q1 - 11:05DETMISS Billups 18' Jump Shot2
18.5%
1
81.5%
Q1 - 11:23PORJack 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Webster 1 AST)2
18.5%
1
81.5%
Q1 - 11:48DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)0
18.7%
1
81.3%
Q1 - 11:48DETPISTONS Rebound0
0
Q1 - 11:48DETMISS Prince Free Throw 1 of 20
18.7%
0
81.3%
Q1 - 11:48PORPrzybilla S.FOUL (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Mohammed vs. Przybilla: Tip to Wallace0
18.9%
0
81.1%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventPORDET
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

POR
0.95 47.3%
DET
0.98 48.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
POR
16
29
55%
DET
16
24
67%
Midrange
POR
13
39
33%
DET
9
27
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
POR
3
4.5
10
30%
45%
DET
7
10.5
24
29%
44%
Free Throws
POR
21
27
78%
DET
14
18
78%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
POR logo Trail Blazers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
Z. Randolph3153%15.5 / 29
J. Jack1860%9.0 / 15
L. Aldridge1155%5.5 / 10
I. Udoka964%4.5 / 7
J. Dixon630%3.0 / 10
T. Outlaw536%2.5 / 7
M. Webster429%2.0 / 7
D. Dickau375%1.5 / 2
J. Magloire125%0.5 / 2
J. Przybilla0-0.0 / 1
S. Rodriguez0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Hamilton2550%12.5 / 25
C. Billups1765%8.5 / 13
R. Murray1169%5.5 / 8
T. Prince1036%5.0 / 14
R. Wallace735%3.5 / 10
A. McDyess6100%3.0 / 3
C. Delfino550%2.5 / 5
N. Mohammed440%2.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

POR
73
+19
-7
92
DET
76
+11
-6
87
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

POR
0.95 47.3%
DET
0.98 48.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.2
108.1
POR 110.0 +6.3
DET 103.7
Pace
88.3
88.0
POR 72.4
DET 91.6 +19.2
Avg. Poss. Time
16.8
17.0
POR 19.9
DET 15.7 −4.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.3%
48.8%
POR 42.9%
DET 47.3% +4.4%
TO %
16.0%
13.2%
POR 8.2%
DET 7.8% −0.4%
ORB %
28.2%
28.3%
POR 34.1% +14.1%
DET 20.0%
FTrt
31.4
30.7
POR 34.6 +10.6
DET 24.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
52.6%
60.1%
POR 50.0%
DET 65.6% +15.6%
STL %
7.6%
8.0%
POR 5.0% +2.6%
DET 2.4%
BLK %
7.6%
9.2%
POR 11.8% +1.5%
DET 10.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.18 and 2.18.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.5%
52.2%
POR 47.3%
DET 48.9% +1.6%
Rim FG%
56.3%
58.3%
POR 55.2%
DET 66.7% +11.5%
Mid FG%
40.2%
41.7%
POR 33.3%
DET 33.3%
3P %
34.6%
34.4%
POR 30.0% +0.8%
DET 29.2%
FT %
76.9%
77.4%
POR 77.8%
DET 77.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.3%
31.1%
POR 37.2% +5.2%
DET 32.0%
Mid Att. %
44.4%
48.8%
POR 50.0%
DET 36.0% −14.0%
3P Att. %
19.3%
20.1%
POR 12.8%
DET 32.0% +19.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsPORDET
Possessions8082
Possession Minutes26.521.5
Points8885
Rebounds4635
Assists1621
Steals42
Blocks67
Turnovers (Team)7 (1)6 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (5)8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (2)27 (3)
Field Goals32-7832-75
At-the-Rim FG16-2916-24
Midrange FG13-399-27
2-Point FG29-6825-51
3-Point FG3-107-24
Free Throws21-2714-18
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 200 · 23
40.1
18
60%
4
5
1
0
1
3
0
4
9-11
82%
3-7
43%
1-3
33%
F · 6'9" 250 · 25
39.8
31
53%
13
3
0
0
1
1
3
10
7-8
88%
12-25
48%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 220 · 29
26.8
9
64%
8
1
0
0
0
3
2
6
0-0
-
3-6
50%
1-1
100%
C · 7'1" 245 · 27
20.1
0
0%
3
0
0
2
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 230 · 20
15.8
4
29%
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-5
20%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 165 · 28
31.9
6
30%
2
2
1
0
2
2
1
1
0-0
-
3-9
33%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 207 · 22
28.0
5
36%
3
1
1
2
1
1
1
2
1-2
50%
2-5
40%
0-1
0%
F · 6'11" 260 · 21
24.4
11
55%
11
0
0
1
0
2
5
6
1-2
50%
5-9
56%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 180 · 28
4.5
3
75%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-2
50%
G · 6'3" 176 · 20
3.3
0
0%
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 265 · 29
2.9
1
25%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 31
2.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#7 · G · 6'6" 211 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#23 · F · 6'9" 235 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#24 · G-F · 6'6" 215 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
88
47%
46
16
4
6
7
0
14
32
21-27
78%
29-68
43%
3-10
30%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.