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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 5, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Warriors20%9090
4Rockets80%101118
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 21.1
35.3
33.2
19
64%
2
0
2
1
0
4
0
2
2-2
100%
7-11
5-11
64%
45%
1-3
33%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 24.8
34.4
22.1
12
45%
8
2
1
1
3
1
4
4
7-12
58%
1-5
2-5
20%
47%
1-3
33%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 27.6
29.5
29.4
18
49%
2
5
2
1
0
2
0
2
3-5
60%
3-11
4-10
27%
43%
3-5
60%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 20.7
23.0
28.6
6
44%
4
0
3
1
1
2
1
3
0-4
0%
3-5
4-7
60%
58%
0-0
-
Anthony Roberson
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.8
22.8
17.8
6
33%
4
0
0
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
0-6
2-4
0%
42%
2-3
67%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 26.6
28.2
24.7
8
52%
3
0
1
1
0
2
0
3
3-4
75%
1-5
2-5
20%
44%
1-1
100%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 26.2
22.4
24.3
6
33%
7
1
1
1
0
2
1
6
0-0
-
3-8
3-6
38%
46%
0-1
0%
Keith McLeod
G · 6'2" 190 · 27.1
16.9
13.0
8
40%
0
3
2
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
3-8
1-3
38%
36%
0-1
0%
Patrick O'Bryant
C · 7'0" 250 · 20.5
15.1
7.0
7
79%
2
0
1
0
0
1
2
0
1-1
100%
3-4
1-2
75%
43%
0-0
-
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 31.7
12.5
8.6
0
0%
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 26.7
22.2
1
2-4
49%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 25.9
15.9
0
2-4
46%
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.2
Zarko Cabarkapa
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 25.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 27.5
33.7
24.7
31
58%
2
7
3
1
1
5
1
1
3-4
75%
11-17
4-8
65%
48%
2-8
25%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 23.5
31.3
24.0
8
40%
15
0
2
1
0
1
6
9
0-2
0%
4-9
3-5
44%
54%
0-0
-
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 26.2
29.4
33.0
27
72%
8
4
0
1
2
2
1
7
3-4
75%
12-17
9-16
71%
55%
0-0
-
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 30.4
25.5
36.5
2
20%
3
4
0
2
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
0-0
2-5
-
45%
0-4
0%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 28.2
24.9
37.8
7
72%
5
5
0
1
0
1
0
5
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
53%
1-2
50%
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 24.0
30.5
29.4
10
94%
2
5
2
1
0
1
1
1
3-3
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
45%
1-1
100%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 33.8
24.3
17.5
11
67%
11
1
1
0
0
3
1
10
5-5
100%
3-6
3-5
50%
47%
0-0
-
Vassilis Spanoulis
G · 6'4" 195 · 24.3
23.3
13.3
13
60%
0
2
1
0
0
5
0
0
4-4
100%
3-5
1-2
60%
47%
1-4
25%
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 24.0
6.1
4.7
7
117%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
45%
1-1
100%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 23.5
5.5
5.6
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
52%
0-1
0%
Scott Padgett
F · 6'9" 240 · 30.6
5.5
4.6
0
0%
5
0
0
0
0
1
1
4
0-2
0%
0-1
0-1
0%
42%
0-0
-
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 40.4
7.5
0
0-1
50%
Kirk Snyder
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 23.5
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 30.2
Bob Sura
G · 6'5" 200 · 33.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.