FinalWin Prob.pScore
1520%90
90
480%101
118
ORTG#PossPace
GSW logo GSW
88.2102105.3
HOU logo HOU
113.5104101.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RocketsWarriorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RocketsWarriorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventGSWHOU
Q4 - 0:00.0HOU90
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 0:19.0GSWMcLeod Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)90
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 0:19.0GSWMcLeod Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)89
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 0:19.0HOULucas III Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T21)88
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 0:42.0GSWPietrus 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)88
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 0:47.0HOUPadgett Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T20)85
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 0:48.0HOUPadgett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)85
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 0:50.0HOUMISS Spanoulis 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 0:59.0HOUPadgett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)85
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 1:01GSWMISS McLeod 13' Jump Shot85
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 1:09HOULucas III 8' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)85
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 1:29GSWPietrus Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)85
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 1:29GSWMISS Pietrus Free Throw 1 of 284
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 1:34HOUNovak 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Head 5 AST)84
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 1:42HOUHead REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)84
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 1:44HOUMISS Novak 26' 3PT Jump Shot84
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 1:54GSWMcLeod 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS)84
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 2:04HOULucas III 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Spanoulis 2 AST)82
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 2:26GSWO'Bryant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)82
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 2:26GSWO'Bryant Layup (7 PTS)82
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 2:28GSWMISS Dunleavy 8' Jump Bank Shot80
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 2:55HOUHead Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)80
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 3:04HOUNovak REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)80
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 3:05HOUMISS Padgett Free Throw 2 of 280
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 3:05HOUMISS Padgett Free Throw 1 of 280
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 3:18GSWO'Bryant Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)80
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 3:28HOUSpanoulis Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T19)77
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 3:32HOUPadgett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 3:34GSWMISS McLeod 16' Jump Shot77
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 3:36GSWWarriors Rebound77
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 3:39GSWMISS Pietrus Free Throw 2 of 277
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 3:39GSWPietrus Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)77
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 3:43HOUSpanoulis Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T18)76
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 3:57HOUPadgett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)76
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 3:58GSWMISS McLeod 26' 3PT Jump Shot76
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 4:07HOULucas III 9' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)76
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 4:33GSWPietrus Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)76
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 4:33GSWPietrus Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)75
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 4:45HOUSpanoulis 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Head 4 AST)74
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 5:01GSWEllis Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T16)74
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 5:08GSWPietrus REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)74
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 5:09HOUMISS Padgett Layup74
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 5:14HOUPadgett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 5:16GSWMISS McLeod 9' Fadeaway Jumper74
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 5:29HOUSpanoulis Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T17)74
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 5:34GSWHoward STEAL (1 STL)74
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 5:39GSWDunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)74
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 5:41HOUMISS Howard 21' Jump Shot74
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 6:01GSWPietrus Layup (5 PTS) (Dunleavy 1 AST)74
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 6:06HOUHoward Lane Violation Turnover (P3.T16)72
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 6:17HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:6 Def:9)72
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 6:19GSWMISS Dunleavy 20' Jump Shot72
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 6:32HOUSpanoulis Layup (10 PTS) (Head 3 AST)72
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 6:36GSWHayes STEAL (2 STL)72
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 6:43HOUSpanoulis Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)72
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 6:47GSWSpanoulis STEAL (1 STL)72
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 7:00HOUHoward Foul Turnover (P2.T14)72
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 7:18GSWO'Bryant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)72
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 7:18GSWO'Bryant Follow Up Dunk (2 PTS)72
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 7:19GSWMISS Roberson 19' Jump Shot70
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 7:25HOUHead Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)70
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 7:30HOUROCKETS Rebound70
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 7:31HOUMISS Spanoulis 19' Jump Shot70
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 7:36HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)70
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 7:38GSWMISS McLeod Reverse Layup70
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 7:48HOUSpanoulis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)70
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 8:01GSWMurphy Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)70
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 8:14GSWMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 8:14HOUMISS Hayes Free Throw 2 of 270
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 8:14HOUMISS Hayes Free Throw 1 of 270
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 8:26GSWRoberson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)70
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 8:27GSWRoberson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)70
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 8:29HOUMISS Hayes 6' Hook Shot70
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 8:43HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)70
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 8:45GSWMISS McLeod 21' Jump Shot70
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 9:05HOUSpanoulis Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)70
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 9:05HOUSpanoulis Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)70
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 9:09HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:6 Def:8)70
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 9:11GSWMISS Roberson 22' Jump Shot70
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 9:26HOUHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)70
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 9:38GSWO'Bryant Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)70
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 9:48GSWWarriors Rebound70
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 9:49HOUMISS Battier 6' Hook Shot70
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 10:11GSWMcLeod 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)70
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 10:29HOUSpanoulis Layup (6 PTS) (Head 2 AST)68
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 10:34GSWHead STEAL (2 STL)68
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 10:47HOUMcGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T10)68
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 10:59HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)68
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 11:01HOUMISS McGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot68
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 11:08HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)68
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 11:10GSWMISS O'Bryant 13' Jump Shot68
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 11:27HOUMcGrady Layup (31 PTS)68
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 11:33HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)68
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 11:35HOUMISS Hayes Reverse Layup68
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 11:47HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)68
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 11:48HOUMISS McGrady 18' Jump Shot68
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOU68
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q3 - 0:06.0GSWMcLeod 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)68
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q3 - 0:28.0HOUSpanoulis Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Yao 4 AST)66
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q3 - 0:42.0HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)66
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q3 - 0:44.0GSWMISS Murphy 21' Jump Shot66
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q3 - 0:54.0HOUMcGrady 21' Jump Shot (29 PTS)66
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q3 - 1:07GSWBiedrins 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (McLeod 2 AST)66
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q3 - 1:25HOUYao Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)64
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q3 - 1:25HOUMISS Yao Free Throw 1 of 264
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q3 - 1:39HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)64
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q3 - 1:39GSWMISS Biedrins Free Throw 2 of 264
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q3 - 1:39GSWMISS Biedrins Free Throw 1 of 264
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q3 - 1:51HOUYao Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)64
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q3 - 1:52HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)64
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q3 - 1:55GSWMISS Murphy 4' Running Hook Shot64
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q3 - 2:13HOUHoward 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (McGrady 7 AST)64
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q3 - 2:29GSWEllis Layup (19 PTS) (McLeod 1 AST)64
0.4%
86
99.6%
Q3 - 2:33HOUMcGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T8)62
0.4%
86
99.6%
Q3 - 2:51GSWEllis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS)62
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q3 - 3:14HOUMcGrady Slam Dunk (27 PTS) (Yao 3 AST)59
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q3 - 3:32GSWMurphy 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Davis 5 AST)59
0.3%
84
99.7%
Q3 - 3:44HOUMcGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)56
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q3 - 3:57GSWEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)56
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q3 - 3:57GSWEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)55
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q3 - 4:09GSWWarriors Rebound54
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q3 - 4:10HOUMISS McGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot54
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q3 - 4:24HOUROCKETS Rebound54
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q3 - 4:25GSWYao BLOCK (2 BLK)54
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q3 - 4:32GSWDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q3 - 4:33HOUMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot54
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q3 - 4:51GSWHayes STEAL (1 STL)54
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q3 - 5:03HOUMcGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS)54
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q3 - 5:10HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)54
0.3%
81
99.7%
Q3 - 5:12GSWMISS Ellis 20' Jump Shot54
0.3%
81
99.7%
Q3 - 5:33HOUMcGrady Layup (22 PTS)54
0.3%
81
99.7%
Q3 - 5:37GSWMcGrady STEAL (3 STL)54
0.4%
79
99.6%
Q3 - 5:42GSWFoyle REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
0.4%
79
99.6%
Q3 - 5:44HOUMISS McGrady 27' 3PT Jump Shot54
0.4%
79
99.6%
Q3 - 5:51HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)54
0.4%
79
99.6%
Q3 - 5:51GSWMISS Biedrins Free Throw 2 of 254
0.4%
79
99.6%
Q3 - 5:51GSWMISS Biedrins Free Throw 1 of 254
0.4%
79
99.6%
Q3 - 6:09HOUMcGrady Dunk (20 PTS) (Yao 2 AST)54
0.5%
79
99.5%
Q3 - 6:27GSWMcGrady STEAL (2 STL)54
0.6%
77
99.4%
Q3 - 6:41HOUYao 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (26 PTS)54
0.7%
77
99.3%
Q3 - 6:54HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)54
0.8%
75
99.2%
Q3 - 6:56GSWMISS Pietrus 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
0.9%
75
99.1%
Q3 - 7:02HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)54
1.1%
75
98.9%
Q3 - 7:02HOUHayes Layup (6 PTS)54
1.1%
75
98.9%
Q3 - 7:03HOUMISS McGrady Dunk54
1.4%
73
98.6%
Q3 - 7:08HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
1.2%
73
98.8%
Q3 - 7:11GSWMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
1.3%
73
98.7%
Q3 - 7:46HOUAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)54
1.4%
73
98.6%
Q3 - 8:00GSWDavis Layup (18 PTS)54
1.2%
73
98.8%
Q3 - 8:02HOUHayes Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)52
1.1%
73
98.9%
Q3 - 8:03HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)52
1.0%
73
99.0%
Q3 - 8:07GSWPietrus REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)52
1.1%
73
98.9%
Q3 - 8:07GSWMISS Pietrus Layup52
1.0%
73
99.0%
Q3 - 8:08GSWMISS Davis Layup52
1.0%
73
99.0%
Q3 - 8:12GSWFoyle REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
1.1%
73
98.9%
Q3 - 8:13HOUMISS McGrady Layup52
1.1%
73
98.9%
Q3 - 8:32GSWDavis 20' Fadeaway Jumper (16 PTS)52
1.0%
73
99.0%
Q3 - 8:53HOUHayes Layup (4 PTS) (McGrady 6 AST)50
0.8%
73
99.2%
Q3 - 9:04HOUROCKETS Rebound50
1.0%
71
99.0%
Q3 - 9:06GSWMISS Foyle 20' Jump Shot50
1.1%
71
98.9%
Q3 - 9:25HOUMcGrady Layup (18 PTS) (Battier 5 AST)50
1.2%
71
98.8%
Q3 - 9:33GSWBiedrins Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)50
1.4%
69
98.6%
Q3 - 9:49HOUBattier 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (McGrady 5 AST)50
1.6%
69
98.4%
Q3 - 10:08GSWEllis Layup (12 PTS) (Davis 4 AST)50
2.2%
66
97.8%
Q3 - 10:12HOUYao Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)48
1.9%
66
98.1%
Q3 - 10:33GSWEllis Layup (10 PTS)48
1.6%
66
98.4%
Q3 - 10:43GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)46
1.4%
66
98.6%
Q3 - 10:45HOUMISS Yao 18' Jump Shot46
1.4%
66
98.6%
Q3 - 10:56HOUYao Free Throw Technical (24 PTS)46
1.2%
66
98.8%
Q3 - 11:00HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)46
1.4%
65
98.6%
Q3 - 11:02HOUMISS Hayes Layup46
1.6%
65
98.4%
Q3 - 11:14GSWBiedrins 8' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS)46
1.5%
65
98.5%
Q3 - 11:31GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
1.3%
65
98.7%
Q3 - 11:33HOUMISS McGrady 14' Jump Shot44
1.3%
65
98.7%
Q3 - 11:44HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)44
1.1%
65
98.9%
Q3 - 11:46GSWMISS Pietrus 20' Jump Shot44
1.2%
65
98.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0GSW44
1.3%
65
98.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0GSWDunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)44
1.3%
65
98.7%
Q2 - 0:01.0HOUMISS Spanoulis 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
1.4%
65
98.6%
Q2 - 0:12.0GSWBiedrins Layup (2 PTS)44
1.3%
65
98.7%
Q2 - 0:30.0HOUMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)42
1.1%
65
98.9%
Q2 - 0:30.0HOUMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)42
1.1%
64
98.9%
Q2 - 0:41.0GSWDavis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)42
1.3%
63
98.7%
Q2 - 0:57.0GSWFoyle REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
1.0%
63
99.0%
Q2 - 1:01HOUMISS Head Reverse Layup39
1.0%
63
99.0%
Q2 - 1:11GSWDavis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)39
1.0%
63
99.0%
Q2 - 1:19GSWDunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)36
0.7%
63
99.3%
Q2 - 1:21HOUMISS Yao 12' Fadeaway Jumper36
0.7%
63
99.3%
Q2 - 1:34HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)36
0.7%
63
99.3%
Q2 - 1:36GSWMISS Dunleavy 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
0.7%
63
99.3%
Q2 - 2:01HOUYao Slam Dunk (23 PTS) (McGrady 4 AST)36
0.8%
63
99.2%
Q2 - 2:12GSWDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)36
0.9%
61
99.1%
Q2 - 2:12GSWMISS Davis Free Throw 1 of 235
0.9%
61
99.1%
Q2 - 2:23GSWMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
0.9%
61
99.1%
Q2 - 2:25HOUMISS Alston 26' 3PT Jump Shot35
0.9%
61
99.1%
Q2 - 2:44HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)35
0.8%
61
99.2%
Q2 - 2:46GSWMISS Dunleavy 20' Jump Shot35
0.8%
61
99.2%
Q2 - 3:01HOUHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)35
1.0%
61
99.0%
Q2 - 3:20GSWDunleavy Layup (6 PTS) (Davis 3 AST)35
1.3%
58
98.7%
Q2 - 3:26GSWMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
1.1%
58
98.9%
Q2 - 3:28HOUMISS McGrady 23' Jump Shot33
1.1%
58
98.9%
Q2 - 3:51GSWDunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)33
1.0%
58
99.0%
Q2 - 3:51GSWDunleavy Tip Shot (4 PTS)33
1.0%
58
99.0%
Q2 - 3:52GSWMISS Dunleavy Layup31
0.8%
58
99.2%
Q2 - 4:03HOUAlston Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)31
1.0%
58
99.0%
Q2 - 4:03HOUAlston Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)31
1.0%
57
99.0%
Q2 - 4:09HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)31
1.1%
56
98.9%
Q2 - 4:12GSWMISS Roberson 20' Fadeaway Jumper31
1.1%
56
98.9%
Q2 - 4:32HOUMcGrady Traveling Turnover (P2.T3)31
1.2%
56
98.8%
Q2 - 4:46GSWRoberson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)31
1.1%
56
98.9%
Q2 - 5:04HOUMcGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Head 1 AST)28
0.9%
56
99.1%
Q2 - 5:10HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)28
1.1%
53
98.9%
Q2 - 5:11GSWMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
1.2%
53
98.8%
Q2 - 5:28HOUHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)28
1.3%
53
98.7%
Q2 - 5:28HOUHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)28
1.3%
52
98.7%
Q2 - 5:46HOUROCKETS Rebound28
1.4%
51
98.6%
Q2 - 5:49GSWMISS Ellis Layup28
1.5%
51
98.5%
Q2 - 5:55GSWEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
1.6%
51
98.4%
Q2 - 5:57HOUMISS Alston 26' 3PT Jump Shot28
1.5%
51
98.5%
Q2 - 6:05GSWMurphy Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)28
1.5%
51
98.5%
Q2 - 6:05GSWMISS Murphy Free Throw 1 of 227
1.5%
51
98.5%
Q2 - 6:11HOUHead Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)27
1.5%
51
98.5%
Q2 - 6:11HOUHead Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)27
1.6%
50
98.4%
Q2 - 6:15HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)27
1.7%
49
98.3%
Q2 - 6:17GSWMISS Ellis 18' Jump Shot27
1.7%
49
98.3%
Q2 - 6:29HOUYao 7' Jump Shot (21 PTS)27
1.9%
49
98.1%
Q2 - 6:53GSWEllis 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS)27
2.1%
47
97.9%
Q2 - 7:07HOUHead Reverse Layup (5 PTS) (Yao 1 AST)25
2.1%
47
97.9%
Q2 - 7:16HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)25
2.3%
45
97.7%
Q2 - 7:18GSWMISS Foyle Reverse Layup25
2.4%
45
97.6%
Q2 - 7:29GSWRoberson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
2.5%
45
97.5%
Q2 - 7:31HOUMISS Howard 17' Jump Shot25
2.5%
45
97.5%
Q2 - 7:45HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
2.3%
45
97.7%
Q2 - 7:45GSWMISS Pietrus Free Throw 2 of 225
2.3%
45
97.7%
Q2 - 7:45GSWPietrus Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)25
2.4%
45
97.6%
Q2 - 7:48GSWPietrus REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)24
2.3%
45
97.7%
Q2 - 7:50HOUMISS Yao 11' Turnaround Jump Shot24
2.2%
45
97.8%
Q2 - 8:03GSWPietrus Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)24
2.1%
45
97.9%
Q2 - 8:03GSWMISS Pietrus Free Throw 1 of 223
2.0%
45
98.0%
Q2 - 8:16HOUBattier Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)23
2.1%
45
97.9%
Q2 - 8:16HOUBattier Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)23
2.2%
44
97.8%
Q2 - 8:24GSWPietrus Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)23
2.3%
43
97.7%
Q2 - 8:24GSWMISS Pietrus Free Throw 1 of 222
2.3%
43
97.7%
Q2 - 8:44HOUHoward 7' Hook Shot (4 PTS)22
2.4%
43
97.6%
Q2 - 9:05HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)22
2.7%
41
97.3%
Q2 - 9:07GSWMISS Pietrus 3PT Jump Shot22
2.8%
41
97.2%
Q2 - 9:21HOUHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)22
3.0%
41
97.0%
Q2 - 9:21HOUHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
3.0%
40
97.0%
Q2 - 9:27HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)22
3.3%
39
96.7%
Q2 - 9:28GSWMISS Davis Layup22
3.4%
39
96.6%
Q2 - 9:39HOUYao Slam Dunk (19 PTS) (Battier 4 AST)22
3.6%
39
96.4%
Q2 - 9:49HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
4.0%
37
96.0%
Q2 - 9:51GSWMISS Biedrins Layup22
4.1%
37
95.9%
Q2 - 10:02HOUSpanoulis Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)22
4.5%
37
95.5%
Q2 - 10:02HOUSpanoulis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
4.6%
36
95.4%
Q2 - 10:17GSWHead STEAL (1 STL)22
4.9%
35
95.1%
Q2 - 10:22GSWDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
5.5%
35
94.5%
Q2 - 10:24HOUMISS Spanoulis 22' Jump Shot22
5.3%
35
94.7%
Q2 - 10:48HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
4.9%
35
95.1%
Q2 - 10:50HOUMISS Spanoulis 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
5.3%
35
94.7%
Q2 - 10:57HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
4.9%
35
95.1%
Q2 - 10:58GSWMISS Roberson Layup22
5.1%
35
94.9%
Q2 - 11:04GSWRoberson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
5.4%
35
94.6%
Q2 - 11:06HOUMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
5.3%
35
94.7%
Q2 - 11:21GSWMurphy Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)22
5.0%
35
95.0%
Q2 - 11:21GSWMurphy Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)21
4.9%
35
95.1%
Q2 - 11:26GSWPietrus REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)20
4.5%
35
95.5%
Q2 - 11:28GSWMISS Roberson 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
4.2%
35
95.8%
Q2 - 11:35GSWDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
4.5%
35
95.5%
Q2 - 11:37HOUMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
4.4%
35
95.6%
Q2 - 11:43HOUHead REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
4.1%
35
95.9%
Q2 - 11:45GSWMcGrady BLOCK (1 BLK)20
4.2%
35
95.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0GSW20
4.5%
35
95.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0GSWPietrus REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)20
4.5%
35
95.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Howard 21' Jump Shot20
4.4%
35
95.6%
Q1 - 0:09.0GSWEllis 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)20
4.3%
35
95.7%
Q1 - 0:29.0HOUMcGrady 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS)18
3.8%
35
96.2%
Q1 - 0:41.0GSWDunleavy Driving Layup (2 PTS)18
4.3%
33
95.7%
Q1 - 0:47.0HOUHead 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Spanoulis 1 AST)16
3.8%
33
96.2%
Q1 - 1:02HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)16
4.7%
30
95.3%
Q1 - 1:04GSWMISS Murphy 6' Jump Bank Shot16
4.8%
30
95.2%
Q1 - 1:19HOUMcGrady Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)16
5.0%
30
95.0%
Q1 - 1:28HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
4.7%
30
95.3%
Q1 - 1:30GSWMISS Davis 10' Fadeaway Jumper16
4.8%
30
95.2%
Q1 - 1:42GSWDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
5.0%
30
95.0%
Q1 - 1:44HOUMISS Hayes 5' Hook Shot16
4.9%
30
95.1%
Q1 - 1:47HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)16
4.7%
30
95.3%
Q1 - 1:48HOUMISS Hayes Layup16
4.9%
30
95.1%
Q1 - 2:06GSWDavis Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)16
4.7%
30
95.3%
Q1 - 2:13GSWPietrus REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)13
3.9%
30
96.1%
Q1 - 2:15GSWMISS Ellis 24' 3PT Jump Shot13
3.7%
30
96.3%
Q1 - 2:32HOUBattier Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)13
3.9%
30
96.1%
Q1 - 2:49GSWDavis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Pietrus 2 AST)13
3.6%
30
96.4%
Q1 - 3:06HOUMcGrady 14' Jump Shot (9 PTS)10
3.2%
30
96.8%
Q1 - 3:23GSWDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)10
3.4%
28
96.6%
Q1 - 3:23GSWMISS Davis Free Throw 1 of 29
3.3%
28
96.7%
Q1 - 3:32HOUYao 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Alston 4 AST)9
3.4%
28
96.6%
Q1 - 3:54GSWMurphy 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)9
3.7%
26
96.3%
Q1 - 4:12HOUHayes Layup (2 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)7
3.5%
26
96.5%
Q1 - 4:17GSWMcGrady STEAL (1 STL)7
3.7%
24
96.3%
Q1 - 4:25GSWDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
4.1%
24
95.9%
Q1 - 4:26HOUMISS Alston 27' 3PT Jump Shot7
4.0%
24
96.0%
Q1 - 4:32HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
3.7%
24
96.3%
Q1 - 4:32HOUMISS McGrady Free Throw 2 of 27
4.1%
24
95.9%
Q1 - 4:32HOUMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)7
3.9%
24
96.1%
Q1 - 4:45HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)7
4.1%
23
95.9%
Q1 - 4:47GSWMISS Murphy 21' Jump Shot7
4.2%
23
95.8%
Q1 - 5:03HOUMcGrady 7' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)7
4.6%
23
95.4%
Q1 - 5:14HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)7
5.0%
21
95.0%
Q1 - 5:15GSWMISS Dunleavy Layup7
5.1%
21
94.9%
Q1 - 5:25HOUYao 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (15 PTS) (McGrady 2 AST)7
5.4%
21
94.6%
Q1 - 5:39GSWEllis Foul Turnover (P2.T2)7
5.8%
19
94.2%
Q1 - 5:52HOUBattier Layup (2 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST)7
6.4%
19
93.6%
Q1 - 6:16HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
7.0%
17
93.0%
Q1 - 6:18GSWMISS Ellis 19' Jump Shot7
7.1%
17
92.9%
Q1 - 6:29HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
7.5%
17
92.5%
Q1 - 6:29HOUYao Follow Up Dunk (13 PTS)7
7.5%
17
92.5%
Q1 - 6:30HOUMISS McGrady Reverse Layup7
8.6%
15
91.5%
Q1 - 6:45GSWEllis 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)7
8.1%
15
91.9%
Q1 - 7:03HOUMcGrady 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)5
7.7%
15
92.3%
Q1 - 7:13HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
8.2%
13
91.8%
Q1 - 7:15GSWMISS Davis 5' Fadeaway Jumper5
8.4%
13
91.6%
Q1 - 7:30HOUMcGrady Layup (2 PTS) (Battier 3 AST)5
8.9%
13
91.1%
Q1 - 7:47GSWRoberson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Pietrus 1 AST)5
9.5%
11
90.5%
Q1 - 7:52GSWPietrus REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
8.3%
11
91.7%
Q1 - 7:54GSWMISS Davis 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
7.8%
11
92.2%
Q1 - 8:13HOUYao Layup (11 PTS) (Battier 2 AST)2
8.2%
11
91.8%
Q1 - 8:29HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
8.7%
9
91.3%
Q1 - 8:32GSWMISS Davis 19' Jump Shot2
8.9%
9
91.1%
Q1 - 8:56HOUYao Layup (9 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)2
9.4%
9
90.6%
Q1 - 9:07GSWEllis 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
9.8%
7
90.2%
Q1 - 9:27HOUYao Layup (7 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)0
9.4%
7
90.6%
Q1 - 9:34HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
9.8%
5
90.2%
Q1 - 9:35GSWMISS Davis 22' Jump Shot0
10.1%
5
89.9%
Q1 - 9:43GSWRoberson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
10.7%
5
89.3%
Q1 - 9:45GSWMISS Roberson 22' Jump Shot0
10.1%
5
89.9%
Q1 - 9:57HOUYao 6' Hook Shot (5 PTS)0
10.7%
5
89.3%
Q1 - 10:14HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
11.3%
3
88.7%
Q1 - 10:16GSWYao BLOCK (1 BLK)0
11.5%
3
88.5%
Q1 - 10:20GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
12.2%
3
87.8%
Q1 - 10:22GSWMISS Davis 19' Jump Shot0
11.5%
3
88.5%
Q1 - 10:34HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)0
12.2%
3
87.8%
Q1 - 10:36HOUROCKETS Rebound0
13.7%
0
86.3%
Q1 - 10:37HOUMISS Yao 7' Jump Shot0
14.5%
0
85.5%
Q1 - 10:53HOUROCKETS Rebound0
13.7%
0
86.3%
Q1 - 10:53GSWMISS Roberson 18' Jump Shot0
14.0%
0
86.0%
Q1 - 10:55GSWPietrus REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
14.8%
0
85.2%
Q1 - 11:00HOUMISS McGrady 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
14.5%
0
85.5%
Q1 - 11:04HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
13.8%
0
86.2%
Q1 - 11:06GSWMISS Pietrus Layup0
14.0%
0
86.0%
Q1 - 11:17GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
14.6%
0
85.4%
Q1 - 11:19HOUMISS Yao 4' Hook Shot0
14.3%
0
85.7%
Q1 - 11:30GSWEllis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
13.8%
0
86.2%
Q1 - 11:35GSWEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
14.6%
0
85.4%
Q1 - 11:37HOUMISS Alston 26' 3PT Jump Shot0
14.3%
0
85.7%
Q1 - 12:00HOUJump Ball Yao vs. Biedrins: Tip to Alston0
13.8%
0
86.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

GSW
0.92 45.9%
HOU
1.22 60.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
GSW
13
29
45%
HOU
22
32
69%
Midrange
GSW
11
36
31%
HOU
17
31
55%
3PT | Effective 3PT
GSW
8
12.0
17
47%
71%
HOU
6
9.0
21
29%
43%
Free Throws
GSW
18
30
60%
HOU
22
28
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
GSW logo Warriors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Ellis1963%9.5 / 15
B. Davis1850%9.0 / 18
M. Pietrus1243%6.0 / 14
T. Murphy850%4.0 / 8
K. McLeod840%4.0 / 10
P. O'Bryant788%3.5 / 4
A. Biedrins643%3.0 / 7
A. Roberson633%3.0 / 9
M. Dunleavy633%3.0 / 9
A. Foyle0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. McGrady3157%15.5 / 27
Yao2775%13.5 / 18
V. Spanoulis1359%6.5 / 11
J. Howard1169%5.5 / 8
L. Head10100%5.0 / 5
C. Hayes844%4.0 / 9
S. Battier770%3.5 / 5
J. Lucas III7117%3.5 / 3
R. Alston220%1.0 / 5
S. Novak250%1.0 / 2
S. Padgett0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

GSW
86
+10
-16
96
HOU
83
+14
-21
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

GSW
0.92 45.9%
HOU
1.22 60.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.2
105.6
GSW 88.2 +25.2
HOU 113.5
Pace
99.1
91.1
GSW 105.3 +3.9
HOU 101.4
Avg. Poss. Time
14.0
15.8
GSW 13.7 +0.5
HOU 14.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.2%
49.9%
GSW 43.9%
HOU 57.1% +13.2%
TO %
15.8%
14.8%
GSW 14.4% +3.5%
HOU 17.9%
ORB %
25.7%
25.7%
GSW 18.4%
HOU 31.6% +13.2%
FTrt
30.0
29.2
GSW 36.6 +3.3
HOU 33.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.8%
58.6%
GSW 34.4%
HOU 62.2% +27.8%
STL %
9.2%
7.8%
GSW 12.7% +4.0%
HOU 8.7%
BLK %
9.0%
6.5%
GSW 7.9% +3.3%
HOU 4.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.82 and 2.82.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.8%
52.3%
GSW 45.9%
HOU 60.8% +14.9%
Rim FG%
59.4%
56.2%
GSW 44.8%
HOU 68.8% +24.0%
Mid FG%
38.2%
41.0%
GSW 30.6%
HOU 54.8% +24.2%
3P %
35.6%
37.2%
GSW 47.1% +18.5%
HOU 28.6%
FT %
71.7%
75.3%
GSW 60.0%
HOU 78.6% +18.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
41.5%
30.3%
GSW 35.4%
HOU 38.1% +2.7%
Mid Att. %
30.6%
40.7%
GSW 43.9%
HOU 36.9% +7.0%
3P Att. %
27.9%
29.0%
GSW 20.7%
HOU 25.0% +4.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.31 and 2.31.
Game TotalsGSWHOU
Possessions102104
Possession Minutes23.324.6
Points90118
Rebounds3552
Assists1128
Steals139
Blocks53
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)21 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (1)12 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (2)40 (4)
Field Goals32-8245-84
At-the-Rim FG13-2922-32
Midrange FG11-3617-31
2-Point FG24-6539-63
3-Point FG8-176-21
Free Throws18-3022-28
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 185 · 21
35.3
19
63%
2
0
2
0
4
3
0
2
2-2
100%
7-11
64%
1-3
33%
F · 6'6" 215 · 25
34.4
12
43%
8
2
1
3
1
1
4
4
7-12
58%
1-5
20%
1-3
33%
G · 6'3" 212 · 28
29.5
18
50%
2
5
2
0
2
1
0
2
3-5
60%
3-11
27%
3-5
60%
C · 7'0" 250 · 21
23.0
6
43%
4
0
3
1
2
3
1
3
0-4
0%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
F · 6'2" 180 · 24
22.8
6
33%
4
0
0
0
2
6
1
3
0-0
-
0-6
0%
2-3
67%
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 27
28.2
8
50%
3
0
1
0
2
3
0
3
3-4
75%
1-5
20%
1-1
100%
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 26
22.4
6
33%
7
1
1
0
2
3
1
6
0-0
-
3-8
38%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 190 · 27
16.9
8
40%
0
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
3-8
38%
0-1
0%
C · 7'0" 250 · 20
15.1
7
88%
2
0
1
0
1
4
2
0
1-1
100%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 270 · 32
12.5
0
0%
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 226 · 27
G · 6'6" 225 · 26
#9 · F · 6'9" 250 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#11 · F-C · 6'11" 230 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
90
46%
35
11
13
5
16
0
9
26
18-30
60%
24-65
37%
8-17
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.