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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 5, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Hawks41%9787
24SuperSonics59%100102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 25.4
41.9
41.7
34
56%
2
1
2
1
1
3
1
1
3-3
100%
11-20
7-14
55%
50%
3-9
33%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 21.0
40.5
33.5
11
45%
4
4
2
1
3
5
3
1
3-3
100%
4-9
4-8
44%
46%
0-2
0%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 22.8
30.5
31.0
10
51%
5
1
2
1
0
2
1
4
2-2
100%
4-9
4-9
44%
47%
0-0
-
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 23.1
20.5
20.9
1
17%
7
0
1
1
0
2
2
5
1-2
50%
0-2
3-5
0%
49%
0-0
-
Cedric Bozeman
G · 6'6" 207 · 23.7
6.3
2.5
2
100%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
45%
0-0
-
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 29.6
34.8
29.1
8
25%
1
5
1
1
0
1
0
1
4-4
100%
2-8
4-7
25%
49%
0-6
0%
Salim Stoudamire
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.2
24.9
22.7
9
50%
2
3
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
44%
3-6
50%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 31.1
20.9
15.5
4
50%
3
2
3
0
0
2
3
0
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
48%
0-0
-
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 22.4
14.8
9.0
6
61%
4
0
1
0
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
51%
0-0
-
Matt Freije
F · 6'9" 249 · 25.2
2.5
7.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 25.0
2.5
3.0
2
114%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 28.6
22.9
1
3-7
43%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 20.5
Esteban Batista
F-C · 6'10" 268 · 23.3
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 23.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 27.3
41.9
39.1
29
78%
8
1
2
1
4
1
1
7
6-6
100%
7-10
5-10
70%
51%
3-6
50%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 24.3
40.2
31.7
18
48%
9
2
1
1
0
4
4
5
4-6
67%
7-16
4-7
44%
56%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 26.1
35.6
26.4
11
45%
9
1
0
1
0
3
5
4
1-3
33%
5-11
4-8
45%
51%
0-0
-
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.8
29.7
31.8
14
50%
3
6
0
1
2
5
0
3
0-0
-
7-13
4-9
54%
48%
0-1
0%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 26.9
22.5
14.1
10
74%
8
4
3
1
0
0
4
4
4-4
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
48%
0-1
0%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 27.5
26.6
17.2
10
63%
1
3
1
1
1
4
0
1
0-0
-
5-8
1-3
63%
45%
0-0
-
Mickael Gelabale
F · 6'7" 215 · 23.5
20.1
11.2
0
0%
4
0
0
0
1
2
2
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 20.9
12.4
20.6
8
80%
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
4-5
3-5
80%
52%
0-0
-
Mouhamed Sene
C · 6'11" 230 · 20.6
7.2
1.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Desmon Farmer
G · 6'5" 220 · 25.2
1.6
2.1
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
47%
0-0
-
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 27.6
1.6
1.5
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
41%
0-0
-
Andreas Glyniadakis
C · 7'1" 280 · 25.3
0.7
2.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
52%
0-0
-
Danny Fortson
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 30.7
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 21.0
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 31.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.