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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 5, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Heat41%9297
12Clippers59%95101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 24.9
39.9
35.4
33
53%
4
5
2
2
2
3
0
4
8-10
80%
11-24
7-15
46%
49%
1-3
33%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.5
38.3
30.6
12
68%
12
1
1
1
0
1
3
9
2-2
100%
5-8
4-9
63%
50%
0-0
-
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 36.8
29.8
27.0
16
82%
11
0
0
0
4
2
4
7
2-4
50%
7-8
3-6
88%
55%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 21.0
21.4
30.6
4
25%
3
0
2
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-7
3-7
29%
48%
0-1
0%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 31.0
18.3
26.1
4
29%
0
5
0
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
0-3
0%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 29.9
31.3
21.7
7
50%
5
2
1
1
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
43%
1-5
20%
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 38.4
24.9
13.4
7
26%
2
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-3
33%
3-7
1-2
43%
47%
0-5
0%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.3
19.8
22.5
7
32%
5
1
1
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
47%
1-6
17%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.8
16.4
22.5
7
53%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
5-6
83%
1-2
2-4
50%
42%
0-2
0%
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 29.5
10.3
0
1-2
43%
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 25.3
3.6
0
1-1
47%
Robert Hite
G · 6'2" 184 · 22.9
2.5
0
0-1
41%
Wayne Simien
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.7
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 34.7
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 27.7
41.6
36.7
33
77%
17
3
0
1
1
3
5
12
7-8
88%
13-18
7-13
72%
53%
0-0
-
Cuttino Mobley
G · 6'4" 215 · 31.3
38.8
32.1
21
60%
6
1
2
1
1
1
0
6
7-8
88%
4-8
4-8
50%
47%
2-6
33%
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 25.6
37.1
21.8
6
33%
1
1
1
1
4
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-9
2-5
33%
48%
0-0
-
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 21.2
33.2
25.7
11
46%
0
7
0
1
2
4
0
0
1-2
50%
5-10
3-7
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 24.6
18.6
28.7
4
25%
6
0
0
1
2
1
2
4
0-2
0%
2-7
4-8
29%
52%
0-0
-
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 29.8
25.4
25.6
7
51%
7
2
1
1
1
5
1
6
2-2
100%
1-3
2-5
33%
47%
1-3
33%
Sam Cassell
G · 6'3" 185 · 37.0
21.1
24.2
8
52%
2
8
0
1
0
1
0
2
4-4
100%
2-6
4-9
33%
49%
0-0
-
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 27.1
13.2
26.2
7
61%
6
0
0
1
0
2
0
6
3-4
75%
2-4
4-8
50%
49%
0-0
-
Aaron Williams
C-F · 6'9" 235 · 35.2
11.1
12.5
4
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
51%
0-0
-
James Singleton
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.4
7.3
0
1-1
50%
Paul Davis
C · 6'11" 270 · 22.4
4.1
0
0-1
51%
Daniel Ewing
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.7
3.4
0
0-1
45%
Zeljko Rebraca
C · 7'0" 265 · 34.7
Yaroslav Korolev
F · 6'9" 203 · 19.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.