FinalWin Prob.pScore
1441%92
97
1259%95
101
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
98.09994.7
LAC logo LAC
104.197101.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

ClippersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

ClippersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIALAC
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA97
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:04.0MIAHeat Rebound97
0.4%
101
99.6%
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot97
0.2%
101
99.8%
Q4 - 0:10.0LACMaggette Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)97
2.3%
101
97.7%
Q4 - 0:10.0LACMaggette Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)97
2.7%
100
97.3%
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAWade Driving Dunk (33 PTS)97
5.8%
99
94.2%
Q4 - 0:16.0LACCassell Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)95
3.1%
99
96.9%
Q4 - 0:16.0LACCassell Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)95
3.5%
98
96.5%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAWade Driving Layup (31 PTS)95
6.6%
97
93.4%
Q4 - 0:22.0LACLivingston Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)93
3.9%
97
96.1%
Q4 - 0:22.0LACMISS Livingston Free Throw 1 of 293
4.7%
96
95.3%
Q4 - 0:28.0MIAHaslem Layup (12 PTS) (Kapono 2 AST)93
3.8%
96
96.2%
Q4 - 0:40.0LACBrand Free Throw 2 of 2 (33 PTS)91
3.3%
96
96.7%
Q4 - 0:40.0LACBrand Free Throw 1 of 2 (32 PTS)91
3.8%
95
96.2%
Q4 - 0:40.0LACBrand REBOUND (Off:5 Def:12)91
5.8%
94
94.2%
Q4 - 0:41.0MIALivingston BLOCK (2 BLK)91
7.5%
94
92.5%
Q4 - 0:52.0LACBrand 11' Jump Shot (31 PTS) (Cassell 8 AST)91
14.5%
94
85.5%
Q4 - 1:06LACBrand REBOUND (Off:5 Def:11)91
23.6%
92
76.4%
Q4 - 1:08LACMISS Mobley 24' 3PT Jump Shot91
33.1%
92
66.9%
Q4 - 1:21MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)91
24.6%
92
75.4%
Q4 - 1:21MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)90
22.8%
92
77.2%
Q4 - 1:33MIAWade Free Throw Clear Path 2 of 2 (27 PTS)89
18.3%
92
81.7%
Q4 - 1:33MIAWade Free Throw Clear Path 1 of 2 (26 PTS)88
16.7%
92
83.3%
Q4 - 1:33LACThomas Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T18)87
7.4%
92
92.6%
Q4 - 1:53MIAMourning Layup (16 PTS)87
5.1%
92
94.9%
Q4 - 1:56MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)85
3.3%
92
96.7%
Q4 - 1:57MIAMISS Posey 26' 3PT Jump Shot85
2.3%
92
97.7%
Q4 - 2:08MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)85
4.0%
92
96.0%
Q4 - 2:10LACMISS Brand 14' Jump Shot85
3.3%
92
96.7%
Q4 - 2:33MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)85
2.0%
92
98.0%
Q4 - 2:33MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 284
1.9%
92
98.1%
Q4 - 2:38LACThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)84
2.6%
92
97.4%
Q4 - 2:38LACThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)84
2.9%
91
97.1%
Q4 - 2:38LACThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)84
3.2%
90
96.8%
Q4 - 2:40MIAMISS Payton 28' 3PT Jump Shot84
4.0%
90
96.0%
Q4 - 2:57LACMobley Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)84
7.3%
90
92.7%
Q4 - 2:57LACMobley Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)84
7.7%
89
92.3%
Q4 - 3:10LACThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)84
9.3%
88
90.7%
Q4 - 3:13MIAMISS Payton 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
10.9%
88
89.1%
Q4 - 3:32MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)84
17.8%
88
82.2%
Q4 - 3:34LACMISS Ross 15' Jump Shot84
16.1%
88
83.9%
Q4 - 3:55MIAWade 26' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Posey 2 AST)84
12.4%
88
87.6%
Q4 - 4:09MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)81
6.3%
88
93.7%
Q4 - 4:11LACMISS Thomas 27' 3PT Jump Shot81
5.6%
88
94.4%
Q4 - 4:18LACCLIPPERS Rebound81
4.3%
88
95.7%
Q4 - 4:20MIARoss BLOCK (4 BLK)81
4.8%
88
95.2%
Q4 - 4:39MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)81
6.2%
88
93.8%
Q4 - 4:40LACMISS Brand Free Throw 1 of 181
5.9%
88
94.1%
Q4 - 4:44LACMaggette REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)81
8.5%
86
91.5%
Q4 - 4:46MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot81
9.5%
86
90.5%
Q4 - 5:01LACThomas Foul Turnover (P4.T17)81
14.4%
86
85.6%
Q4 - 5:13MIAPayton Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)81
10.5%
86
89.5%
Q4 - 5:13MIAMISS Payton Free Throw 1 of 280
9.9%
86
90.1%
Q4 - 5:36LACBrand 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Ross 1 AST)80
10.6%
86
89.4%
Q4 - 5:59MIAPosey 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Payton 4 AST)80
14.0%
84
86.0%
Q4 - 6:20MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)77
9.4%
84
90.6%
Q4 - 6:22LACMISS Thomas 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
8.5%
84
91.5%
Q4 - 6:35LACBrand REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)77
6.8%
84
93.2%
Q4 - 6:37MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot77
7.5%
84
92.5%
Q4 - 6:44MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)77
9.4%
84
90.6%
Q4 - 6:47LACMISS Maggette 12' Jump Shot77
8.5%
84
91.5%
Q4 - 7:07MIAWade 13' Jump Shot (21 PTS)77
8.3%
84
91.7%
Q4 - 7:17MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)75
6.6%
84
93.4%
Q4 - 7:19LACMISS Cassell 16' Jump Shot75
6.1%
84
93.9%
Q4 - 7:29LACCassell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
4.9%
84
95.1%
Q4 - 7:32MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot75
5.4%
84
94.6%
Q4 - 7:48MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)75
6.6%
84
93.4%
Q4 - 7:49LACMISS Maggette Free Throw 1 of 175
6.3%
84
93.7%
Q4 - 7:56MIAPosey Driving Layup (4 PTS)75
8.2%
82
91.8%
Q4 - 8:15LACMaggette 18' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Cassell 5 AST)73
7.7%
82
92.3%
Q4 - 8:22LACCassell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
9.6%
80
90.4%
Q4 - 8:24MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
10.3%
80
89.7%
Q4 - 8:41MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)73
12.1%
80
87.9%
Q4 - 8:43LACMISS Thomas 15' Jump Shot73
11.3%
80
88.7%
Q4 - 8:54LACThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)73
9.6%
80
90.4%
Q4 - 8:55MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup73
10.3%
80
89.7%
Q4 - 9:09LACBrand 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Cassell 4 AST)73
13.2%
80
86.8%
Q4 - 9:27MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)73
16.0%
78
84.0%
Q4 - 9:37MIAKapono Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)71
13.1%
78
86.9%
Q4 - 9:50LACCassell 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)70
10.6%
78
89.4%
Q4 - 10:04MIAWade 6' Running Jump Shot (19 PTS)70
13.9%
76
86.1%
Q4 - 10:18LACThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)68
11.6%
76
88.4%
Q4 - 10:18LACThomas Tip Shot (5 PTS)68
11.6%
76
88.4%
Q4 - 10:19LACMISS Cassell Layup68
16.1%
74
83.9%
Q4 - 10:32MIARoss STEAL (1 STL)68
13.9%
74
86.1%
Q4 - 10:46LACCassell Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)68
17.0%
74
83.0%
Q4 - 10:46LACCassell Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)68
17.5%
73
82.5%
Q4 - 10:51LACKaman REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)68
20.2%
72
79.8%
Q4 - 10:53MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot68
21.5%
72
78.5%
Q4 - 11:03LACCLIPPERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#16)68
25.1%
72
74.9%
Q4 - 11:28MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)68
21.0%
72
79.0%
Q4 - 11:28MIAPosey Layup (2 PTS)68
21.0%
72
79.0%
Q4 - 11:32MIAThomas BLOCK (1 BLK)66
15.6%
72
84.4%
Q4 - 11:37LACKaman Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T15)66
17.8%
72
82.2%
Q4 - 11:45LACThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)66
14.7%
72
85.3%
Q4 - 11:47MIAKaman BLOCK (2 BLK)66
15.6%
72
84.4%
Q4 - 12:00MIAKapono Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)66
17.8%
72
82.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA65
14.8%
72
85.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound65
14.8%
72
85.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade Layup65
12.9%
72
87.1%
Q3 - 0:19.0MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)65
15.7%
72
84.3%
Q3 - 0:20.0LACMISS Kaman Free Throw 2 of 265
15.3%
72
84.7%
Q3 - 0:20.0LACMISS Kaman Free Throw 1 of 265
13.7%
72
86.3%
Q3 - 0:31.0MIAKapono Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)65
13.1%
72
86.9%
Q3 - 0:31.0MIAKapono Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)64
12.8%
72
87.2%
Q3 - 0:42.0LACBrand Foul Turnover (P3.T14)63
10.9%
72
89.1%
Q3 - 0:45.0LACKaman REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)63
9.1%
72
90.9%
Q3 - 0:48.0MIABrand BLOCK (1 BLK)63
9.6%
72
90.4%
Q3 - 0:53.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)63
10.9%
72
89.1%
Q3 - 0:55.0LACMISS Livingston 28' 3PT Jump Shot63
10.3%
72
89.7%
Q3 - 1:14LACKaman REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)63
9.9%
72
90.1%
Q3 - 1:16MIAMISS Walker 3PT Jump Shot63
10.4%
72
89.6%
Q3 - 1:26MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
11.8%
72
88.2%
Q3 - 1:28LACMISS Kaman 5' Jump Shot63
11.2%
72
88.8%
Q3 - 1:46MIAPayton Layup (6 PTS)63
9.8%
72
90.2%
Q3 - 1:51LACLivingston 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS)61
8.3%
72
91.7%
Q3 - 2:09LACBrand REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)61
10.4%
70
89.6%
Q3 - 2:11MIAMISS Payton Free Throw 1 of 161
10.7%
70
89.3%
Q3 - 2:11MIAKapono Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)61
12.5%
70
87.5%
Q3 - 2:14LACLivingston Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T13)58
7.5%
70
92.5%
Q3 - 2:28MIAWade Layup (17 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)58
6.2%
70
93.8%
Q3 - 2:33MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)56
5.3%
70
94.7%
Q3 - 2:35LACMISS Mobley Driving Layup56
5.0%
70
95.0%
Q3 - 3:02MIAHaslem Layup (8 PTS)56
4.9%
70
95.1%
Q3 - 3:03MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)54
4.1%
70
95.9%
Q3 - 3:04MIAMISS Wade Layup54
3.6%
70
96.4%
Q3 - 3:21LACKaman 6' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Brand 3 AST)54
4.1%
70
95.9%
Q3 - 3:31LACRoss REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)54
4.8%
68
95.2%
Q3 - 3:32MIAMISS Posey 27' 3PT Jump Shot54
5.1%
68
94.9%
Q3 - 4:02LACBrand Driving Dunk (23 PTS) (Livingston 7 AST)54
6.3%
68
93.7%
Q3 - 4:20MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Payton 3 AST)54
7.2%
66
92.8%
Q3 - 4:33LACBrand 18' Turnaround Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Livingston 6 AST)52
6.2%
66
93.8%
Q3 - 4:55MIAWalker Layup (7 PTS)52
7.2%
64
92.8%
Q3 - 4:56MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
6.2%
64
93.8%
Q3 - 4:57MIAMISS Walker Layup50
5.5%
64
94.5%
Q3 - 5:20MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)50
6.7%
64
93.3%
Q3 - 5:22LACMISS Mobley 26' 3PT Jump Shot50
6.4%
64
93.6%
Q3 - 5:30LACBrand REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)50
5.7%
64
94.3%
Q3 - 5:32MIARoss BLOCK (3 BLK)50
6.0%
64
94.0%
Q3 - 5:48LACBrand 15' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Livingston 5 AST)50
6.7%
64
93.3%
Q3 - 5:56LACMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)50
7.7%
62
92.3%
Q3 - 5:57MIAMISS Payton Layup50
8.1%
62
91.9%
Q3 - 6:03MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)50
9.7%
62
90.3%
Q3 - 6:04LACMISS Livingston 20' Jump Shot50
9.3%
62
90.7%
Q3 - 6:12LACBrand REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)50
8.3%
62
91.7%
Q3 - 6:14MIARoss BLOCK (2 BLK)50
8.7%
62
91.3%
Q3 - 6:34LACBrand 4' Hook Shot (17 PTS)50
9.7%
62
90.3%
Q3 - 6:35LACBrand REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)50
11.0%
60
89.0%
Q3 - 6:37LACMISS Ross Layup50
12.3%
60
87.7%
Q3 - 6:48LACMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)50
11.0%
60
89.0%
Q3 - 6:50MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot50
11.6%
60
88.4%
Q3 - 7:14LACBrand Dunk (15 PTS) (Livingston 4 AST)50
13.3%
60
86.7%
Q3 - 7:33MIAMourning Layup (14 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)50
14.9%
58
85.1%
Q3 - 7:48LACMobley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Livingston 3 AST)48
13.3%
58
86.7%
Q3 - 8:02MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P2.T8)48
17.5%
55
82.5%
Q3 - 8:23LACWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)48
20.1%
55
79.9%
Q3 - 8:23LACWilliams Tip Shot (4 PTS)48
20.1%
55
79.9%
Q3 - 8:25LACMISS Ross 15' Jump Shot48
24.4%
53
75.6%
Q3 - 8:36LACCLIPPERS Rebound48
22.2%
53
77.8%
Q3 - 8:36LACMISS Ross Layup48
24.4%
53
75.6%
Q3 - 8:42LACWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
22.2%
53
77.8%
Q3 - 8:43MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
23.1%
53
76.9%
Q3 - 8:59LACLivingston 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS)48
25.3%
53
74.7%
Q3 - 9:09LACBrand REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)48
28.1%
51
71.9%
Q3 - 9:10MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 248
28.5%
51
71.5%
Q3 - 9:10MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 248
30.0%
51
70.0%
Q3 - 9:35LACMobley 17' Jump Shot (16 PTS)48
31.2%
51
68.8%
Q3 - 9:48MIAMourning 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T7)48
34.3%
49
65.7%
Q3 - 10:03LACMobley Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)48
37.9%
49
62.1%
Q3 - 10:03LACMobley Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)48
38.4%
48
61.6%
Q3 - 10:05MIAMobley STEAL (2 STL)48
40.8%
47
59.2%
Q3 - 10:14LACMobley Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)48
44.7%
47
55.3%
Q3 - 10:14LACMobley Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)48
45.3%
46
54.7%
Q3 - 10:34MIAMourning Dunk (12 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)48
47.9%
45
52.1%
Q3 - 10:42MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
44.7%
45
55.3%
Q3 - 10:45LACMISS Kaman Tip Shot46
43.5%
45
56.5%
Q3 - 10:47LACKaman REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)46
40.9%
45
59.1%
Q3 - 10:49LACMISS Brand 11' Jump Shot46
43.5%
45
56.5%
Q3 - 11:05LACCLIPPERS Rebound46
40.8%
45
59.2%
Q3 - 11:06LACMISS Livingston 7' Jump Shot46
43.2%
45
56.8%
Q3 - 11:26MIAMourning 5' Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)46
40.8%
45
59.2%
Q3 - 11:38MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
37.7%
45
62.3%
Q3 - 11:41LACMISS Livingston 12' Jump Shot44
36.6%
45
63.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA44
34.3%
45
65.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound44
37.7%
45
62.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wright 57' 3PT Jump Shot44
35.3%
45
64.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)44
37.7%
45
62.3%
Q2 - 0:02.0LACMISS Brand 14' Jump Shot44
36.6%
45
63.4%
Q2 - 0:21.0MIAWade 15' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)44
35.1%
45
64.9%
Q2 - 0:34.0LACBrand Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)42
31.3%
45
68.7%
Q2 - 0:34.0LACBrand Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)42
31.9%
44
68.1%
Q2 - 0:44.0LACMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)42
35.0%
43
65.0%
Q2 - 0:46.0MIAMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot42
35.7%
43
64.3%
Q2 - 1:08LACRoss Layup (6 PTS) (Mobley 1 AST)42
37.0%
43
63.0%
Q2 - 1:17LACMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
41.6%
41
58.4%
Q2 - 1:19MIARoss BLOCK (1 BLK)42
42.1%
41
57.9%
Q2 - 1:24LACLivingston Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)42
43.2%
41
56.8%
Q2 - 1:42MIAWade Driving Layup (13 PTS)42
41.6%
41
58.4%
Q2 - 2:01LACMobley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Thomas 2 AST)40
37.7%
41
62.3%
Q2 - 2:14LACCLIPPERS Rebound40
43.8%
38
56.2%
Q2 - 2:15MIAMISS Haslem Layup40
44.7%
38
55.3%
Q2 - 2:16MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)40
46.7%
38
53.3%
Q2 - 2:17MIAMISS Wright Driving Layup40
44.7%
38
55.3%
Q2 - 2:35LACBrand Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)40
46.7%
38
53.3%
Q2 - 2:35LACBrand Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)40
47.4%
37
52.6%
Q2 - 2:44LACMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
50.1%
36
49.9%
Q2 - 2:46MIAMISS Kapono 26' 3PT Jump Shot40
51.0%
36
49.0%
Q2 - 2:56MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
52.9%
36
47.1%
Q2 - 2:57LACMISS Mobley Free Throw 2 of 240
52.6%
36
47.4%
Q2 - 2:57LACMobley Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)40
50.3%
36
49.7%
Q2 - 3:20MIAWright 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)40
52.1%
35
47.9%
Q2 - 3:37MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
49.5%
35
50.5%
Q2 - 3:39LACMISS Livingston Driving Layup38
48.5%
35
51.5%
Q2 - 3:47LACMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
46.2%
35
53.8%
Q2 - 3:49MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot38
47.2%
35
52.8%
Q2 - 4:11LACBrand 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS)38
48.7%
35
51.3%
Q2 - 4:28MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)38
51.6%
33
48.4%
Q2 - 4:28MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 237
51.1%
33
48.9%
Q2 - 4:39LACBrand Layup (7 PTS)37
51.6%
33
48.4%
Q2 - 4:40LACBrand REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)37
54.5%
31
45.5%
Q2 - 4:42LACMISS Ross 19' Jump Shot37
56.5%
31
43.5%
Q2 - 4:59MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)37
54.5%
31
45.5%
Q2 - 4:59MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)36
53.9%
31
46.1%
Q2 - 5:10MIAHeat Rebound35
51.4%
31
48.6%
Q2 - 5:10MIAMobley BLOCK (1 BLK)35
49.2%
31
50.8%
Q2 - 5:16LACCassell Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)35
51.4%
31
48.6%
Q2 - 5:23LACBrand REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)35
48.3%
31
51.7%
Q2 - 5:25MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
49.3%
31
50.7%
Q2 - 5:37LACWilliams 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Cassell 3 AST)35
51.4%
31
48.6%
Q2 - 5:56LACThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
54.0%
29
46.0%
Q2 - 5:58MIAMISS Payton 26' 3PT Jump Shot35
54.9%
29
45.1%
Q2 - 6:19LACBrand 8' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)35
56.6%
29
43.4%
Q2 - 6:32MIAKapono 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)35
58.8%
27
41.2%
Q2 - 6:54LACMobley Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Cassell 2 AST)33
56.7%
27
43.3%
Q2 - 6:57MIAThomas STEAL (1 STL)33
58.8%
25
41.2%
Q2 - 7:05LACBrand Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)33
60.8%
25
39.2%
Q2 - 7:15LACBrand REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)33
58.2%
25
41.8%
Q2 - 7:17LACMISS Mobley 26' 3PT Jump Shot33
60.0%
25
40.0%
Q2 - 7:38LACBrand REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)33
58.2%
25
41.8%
Q2 - 7:40MIAMISS Kapono 26' 3PT Jump Shot33
59.0%
25
41.0%
Q2 - 7:49LACMaggette Foul Turnover (P2.T9)33
60.9%
25
39.1%
Q2 - 8:01LACMaggette REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)33
57.6%
25
42.4%
Q2 - 8:03MIAMISS Kapono 14' Jump Shot33
58.4%
25
41.6%
Q2 - 8:29LACThomas Foul Turnover (P3.T8)33
60.4%
25
39.6%
Q2 - 8:42MIAMourning 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)33
57.6%
25
42.4%
Q2 - 8:56LACCassell 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)31
55.4%
25
44.6%
Q2 - 9:14LACMaggette REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)31
56.9%
23
43.1%
Q2 - 9:16MIAMISS Payton 20' Jump Shot31
57.8%
23
42.2%
Q2 - 9:28LACThomas Foul Turnover (P2.T7)31
59.7%
23
40.3%
Q2 - 9:38MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)31
57.0%
23
43.0%
Q2 - 9:38MIAMISS Kapono Free Throw Technical30
57.3%
23
42.7%
Q2 - 9:38MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)30
56.1%
23
43.9%
Q2 - 9:39MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)29
54.8%
23
45.2%
Q2 - 9:41MIAMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
52.8%
23
47.2%
Q2 - 9:47MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
54.8%
23
45.2%
Q2 - 9:49LACMISS Mobley Driving Layup29
53.9%
23
46.1%
Q2 - 10:11MIAWalker Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)29
51.7%
23
48.3%
Q2 - 10:26MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
49.5%
23
50.5%
Q2 - 10:28LACMISS Maggette 21' Jump Shot27
48.7%
23
51.3%
Q2 - 10:34LACMaggette REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
46.7%
23
53.3%
Q2 - 10:36MIAMISS Walker 27' 3PT Jump Shot27
47.6%
23
52.4%
Q2 - 10:46MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)27
49.5%
23
50.5%
Q2 - 10:48LACMISS Thomas 20' Jump Shot27
48.7%
23
51.3%
Q2 - 10:54LACMaggette Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)27
46.7%
23
53.3%
Q2 - 11:10MIAPayton 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Kapono 1 AST)27
48.8%
22
51.2%
Q2 - 11:27LACMaggette Foul Turnover (P1.T6)25
46.4%
22
53.6%
Q2 - 11:41LACThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
44.0%
22
56.0%
Q2 - 11:43MIAMISS Posey 27' 3PT Jump Shot25
44.7%
22
55.3%
Q2 - 11:52LACThomas Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)25
46.4%
22
53.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA25
44.0%
22
56.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound25
46.4%
22
53.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot25
44.7%
22
55.3%
Q1 - 0:20.0LACThomas 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Cassell 1 AST)25
45.7%
22
54.3%
Q1 - 0:40.0MIAWalker 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)25
51.0%
19
49.0%
Q1 - 0:48.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)22
45.7%
19
54.3%
Q1 - 0:50.0LACMISS Cassell 19' Jump Shot22
45.2%
19
54.8%
Q1 - 1:00LACMaggette REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
43.9%
19
56.1%
Q1 - 1:03MIAMISS Wade 13' Jump Shot22
44.5%
19
55.5%
Q1 - 1:14MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)22
45.7%
19
54.3%
Q1 - 1:16MIAMISS Payton 3PT Jump Shot22
44.5%
19
55.5%
Q1 - 1:31MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
45.7%
19
54.3%
Q1 - 1:34LACMISS Cassell 21' Jump Shot22
45.2%
19
54.8%
Q1 - 1:47MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)22
43.9%
19
56.1%
Q1 - 1:47MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)21
43.5%
19
56.5%
Q1 - 2:02LACBrand Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)20
41.4%
19
58.6%
Q1 - 2:19LACMaggette REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
46.1%
16
53.9%
Q1 - 2:21MIAMISS Payton 26' 3PT Jump Shot20
46.8%
16
53.2%
Q1 - 2:35LACMobley Foul Turnover (P1.T4)20
48.3%
16
51.7%
Q1 - 2:47MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS)20
46.1%
16
53.9%
Q1 - 2:54MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
43.6%
16
56.4%
Q1 - 2:55LACMISS Livingston 19' Jump Shot18
43.0%
16
57.0%
Q1 - 3:13MIAMourning Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)18
40.9%
16
59.1%
Q1 - 3:32LACLivingston Driving Layup (6 PTS)18
43.4%
16
56.6%
Q1 - 3:42MIAWade Driving Layup (6 PTS)18
45.4%
14
54.6%
Q1 - 4:01LACMobley Reverse Layup (4 PTS)16
43.2%
14
56.8%
Q1 - 4:06LACKaman REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
44.9%
12
55.1%
Q1 - 4:08MIAMISS Wright Driving Layup16
45.7%
12
54.3%
Q1 - 4:30LACMobley 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Brand 2 AST)16
47.6%
12
52.4%
Q1 - 4:36LACBrand REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)16
49.3%
10
50.7%
Q1 - 4:38LACMISS Mobley 18' Jump Shot16
51.2%
10
48.8%
Q1 - 4:54MIAMourning 5' Hook Shot (4 PTS)16
49.3%
10
50.7%
Q1 - 4:56MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)14
47.6%
10
52.4%
Q1 - 4:58MIAMISS Wright 14' Jump Shot14
45.8%
10
54.2%
Q1 - 5:27LACLivingston Running Dunk (4 PTS) (Brand 1 AST)14
46.8%
10
53.2%
Q1 - 5:28LACBrand REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)14
48.6%
8
51.4%
Q1 - 5:30MIALivingston BLOCK (1 BLK)14
49.4%
8
50.6%
Q1 - 5:39MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
51.0%
8
49.0%
Q1 - 5:42LACMISS Kaman 9' Jump Shot14
50.3%
8
49.7%
Q1 - 5:53MIAMourning 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)14
48.7%
8
51.3%
Q1 - 5:55MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
46.8%
8
53.2%
Q1 - 5:56MIAKaman BLOCK (1 BLK)12
45.2%
8
54.8%
Q1 - 6:14LACRoss 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS)12
46.1%
8
53.9%
Q1 - 6:26MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)12
48.0%
6
52.0%
Q1 - 6:44LACKaman Layup (2 PTS)10
46.1%
6
53.9%
Q1 - 6:45LACKaman REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
48.0%
4
52.0%
Q1 - 6:47LACMISS Mobley 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
49.5%
4
50.5%
Q1 - 7:00MIAWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)10
48.0%
4
52.0%
Q1 - 7:00MIAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)9
47.8%
4
52.2%
Q1 - 7:02MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
45.4%
4
54.6%
Q1 - 7:03LACMISS Kaman 12' Jump Shot8
44.8%
4
55.2%
Q1 - 7:22MIAWade Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)8
43.4%
4
56.6%
Q1 - 7:33MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
41.7%
4
58.3%
Q1 - 7:34LACMISS Brand 11' Jump Shot6
41.1%
4
58.9%
Q1 - 7:43LACBrand REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
39.7%
4
60.3%
Q1 - 7:44MIAMISS Haslem 8' Jump Shot6
40.3%
4
59.7%
Q1 - 8:01LACBrand Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)6
41.8%
4
58.2%
Q1 - 8:22MIAMobley STEAL (1 STL)6
39.8%
4
60.2%
Q1 - 8:25MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
41.8%
4
58.2%
Q1 - 8:30LACMISS Mobley Layup6
41.2%
4
58.8%
Q1 - 8:49MIAWright 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)6
39.7%
4
60.3%
Q1 - 8:55MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
38.2%
4
61.8%
Q1 - 8:57LACMISS Ross Driving Layup4
37.5%
4
62.5%
Q1 - 9:07MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)4
35.8%
4
64.2%
Q1 - 9:21LACRoss 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Livingston 1 AST)4
38.1%
4
61.9%
Q1 - 9:32LACBrand REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
39.4%
2
60.6%
Q1 - 9:34MIAMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot4
40.1%
2
59.9%
Q1 - 9:52LACLivingston 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
41.8%
2
58.2%
Q1 - 10:00MIAHaslem Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)4
43.1%
0
56.9%
Q1 - 10:01MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
45.1%
0
54.9%
Q1 - 10:04LACMISS Kaman 9' Hook Shot4
44.5%
0
55.5%
Q1 - 10:15MIAWilliams Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
43.0%
0
57.0%
Q1 - 10:29LACLivingston Traveling Turnover (P2.T2)2
41.5%
0
58.5%
Q1 - 10:46MIAWade Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
39.4%
0
60.6%
Q1 - 10:49LACLivingston Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
37.9%
0
62.1%
Q1 - 11:05LACCLIPPERS Rebound0
36.1%
0
63.9%
Q1 - 11:06MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot0
36.5%
0
63.5%
Q1 - 11:15MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
37.6%
0
62.4%
Q1 - 11:17LACMISS Brand 14' Jump Shot0
37.2%
0
62.8%
Q1 - 11:40LACBrand REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
36.1%
0
63.9%
Q1 - 11:42MIAMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot0
36.5%
0
63.5%
Q1 - 12:00LACJump Ball Brand vs. Mourning: Tip to Haslem0
37.7%
0
62.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.92 46.2%
LAC
1.11 55.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
21
38
55%
LAC
15
25
60%
Midrange
MIA
13
28
46%
LAC
19
42
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
3
4.5
25
12%
18%
LAC
3
4.5
10
30%
45%
Free Throws
MIA
20
27
74%
LAC
24
30
80%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3353%16.5 / 31
A. Mourning1680%8.0 / 10
U. Haslem1275%6.0 / 8
J. Posey750%3.5 / 7
G. Payton727%3.5 / 13
A. Walker732%3.5 / 11
J. Kapono770%3.5 / 5
D. Wright425%2.0 / 8
J. Williams429%2.0 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
LAC logo Clippers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Brand3379%16.5 / 21
C. Mobley2158%10.5 / 18
S. Livingston1146%5.5 / 12
S. Cassell857%4.0 / 7
T. Thomas750%3.5 / 7
C. Maggette788%3.5 / 4
Q. Ross633%3.0 / 9
C. Kaman425%2.0 / 8
A. Williams4100%2.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
90
+15
-9
105
LAC
80
+11
-17
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.92 46.2%
LAC
1.11 55.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.2
104.8
MIA 98.0 +6.1
LAC 104.1
Pace
90.1
91.1
MIA 94.7
LAC 101.6 +6.9
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
16.0
MIA 15.2
LAC 14.2 +1.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.6%
48.1%
MIA 42.3%
LAC 50.0% +7.7%
TO %
15.3%
15.8%
MIA 8.0% +8.6%
LAC 16.6%
ORB %
24.9%
27.2%
MIA 20.8%
LAC 21.4% +0.6%
FTrt
32.1
35.5
MIA 29.7
LAC 39.0 +9.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.6%
61.2%
MIA 54.1%
LAC 59.5% +5.4%
STL %
7.6%
8.0%
MIA 7.1% +3.0%
LAC 4.1%
BLK %
8.8%
9.3%
MIA 9.0%
LAC 16.7% +7.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.4%
52.2%
MIA 46.2%
LAC 55.5% +9.3%
Rim FG%
61.8%
59.4%
MIA 55.3%
LAC 60.0% +4.7%
Mid FG%
40.5%
41.2%
MIA 46.4% +1.2%
LAC 45.2%
3P %
34.3%
34.8%
MIA 12.0%
LAC 30.0% +18.0%
FT %
69.0%
78.8%
MIA 74.1%
LAC 80.0% +5.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.9%
29.1%
MIA 41.8% +9.3%
LAC 32.5%
Mid Att. %
40.7%
56.6%
MIA 30.8% +23.8%
LAC 54.5%
3P Att. %
24.5%
14.3%
MIA 27.5% +14.5%
LAC 13.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.44 and 2.44.
Game TotalsMIALAC
Possessions9997
Possession Minutes25.122.9
Points97101
Rebounds4347
Assists2022
Steals74
Blocks611
Turnovers (Team)9 (0)17 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (5)9 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (0)38 (3)
Field Goals37-9137-77
At-the-Rim FG21-3815-25
Midrange FG13-2819-42
2-Point FG34-6634-67
3-Point FG3-253-10
Free Throws20-2724-30
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 25
39.9
33
53%
4
5
2
2
3
3
0
4
8-10
80%
11-24
46%
1-3
33%
F · 6'8" 235 · 26
38.3
12
75%
12
1
1
0
1
4
3
9
2-2
100%
5-8
63%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 261 · 37
29.8
16
80%
11
0
0
4
2
3
4
7
2-4
50%
7-8
88%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 205 · 21
21.4
4
25%
3
0
2
0
1
4
0
3
0-0
-
2-7
29%
0-1
0%
G · 6'1" 180 · 31
18.3
4
29%
0
5
0
0
1
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
0-3
0%
F · 6'8" 217 · 30
31.3
7
50%
5
2
1
0
0
4
2
3
0-0
-
2-2
100%
1-5
20%
G · 6'4" 190 · 38
24.9
7
27%
2
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-3
33%
3-7
43%
0-5
0%
F · 6'9" 245 · 30
19.8
7
32%
5
1
1
0
1
2
1
4
0-0
-
2-5
40%
1-6
17%
F · 6'8" 215 · 26
16.4
7
70%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
5-6
83%
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
C · 6'11" 262 · 29
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 25
G · 6'2" 184 · 23
#25 · F · 6'9" 250 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#32 · C · 7'1" 325 · 35
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#11 · G · 6'2" 175 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
97
46%
43
20
7
6
9
0
10
33
20-27
74%
34-66
52%
3-25
12%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.