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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 6, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Wizards46%102113
25Knicks54%103102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.5
43.0
36.9
33
85%
7
3
0
1
2
1
1
6
3-3
100%
6-10
5-10
60%
48%
6-8
75%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.9
38.5
34.3
38
67%
3
4
3
2
0
2
0
3
6-10
60%
7-15
6-12
47%
47%
6-9
67%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 25.7
34.7
26.9
15
59%
3
4
1
1
1
2
1
2
4-4
100%
4-10
3-7
40%
47%
1-1
100%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 26.7
33.3
36.8
10
38%
4
3
2
2
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
5-13
6-12
38%
47%
0-0
-
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 28.7
22.1
20.9
4
50%
7
1
1
0
3
1
1
6
0-0
-
2-4
3-5
50%
54%
0-0
-
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 31.7
22.1
22.0
6
51%
3
3
0
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
2-5
2-5
40%
48%
0-0
-
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 27.0
19.9
21.3
2
26%
6
0
0
0
0
0
1
5
2-2
100%
0-3
2-4
0%
52%
0-0
-
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.3
15.7
16.0
5
83%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
42%
1-2
50%
Donell Taylor
G · 6'5" 193 · 24.4
5.0
9.7
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
44%
0-0
-
James Lang
C · 6'10" 305 · 23.1
1.9
6.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 20.3
1.9
4.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 26.2
1.9
3.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
42%
0-0
-
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 28.8
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 29.9
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 30.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 26.6
42.4
32.6
16
54%
5
1
0
1
0
4
2
3
2-4
50%
4-8
3-6
50%
44%
2-5
40%
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 29.8
36.7
34.4
16
45%
3
4
2
1
0
1
0
3
5-6
83%
4-12
4-8
33%
49%
1-3
33%
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 24.0
35.3
36.9
22
54%
11
2
2
1
2
5
7
4
4-8
50%
9-17
7-13
53%
56%
0-0
-
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 23.6
33.6
31.2
13
74%
8
1
0
1
0
1
4
4
3-4
75%
5-7
5-8
71%
60%
0-0
-
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 29.8
28.9
29.4
10
58%
3
3
1
1
0
1
1
2
6-6
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
46%
0-2
0%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 26.7
26.3
29.7
9
29%
3
5
0
1
0
2
1
2
1-3
33%
4-10
4-8
40%
47%
0-4
0%
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.4
26.0
13.1
2
26%
12
1
0
0
0
1
4
8
0-2
0%
1-2
2-3
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 22.5
6.9
13.6
7
72%
2
0
1
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Mardy Collins
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.3
3.9
0.5
7
93%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3-4
75%
2-2
0-0
100%
46%
0-0
-
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 32.0
7.9
0
1-2
44%
Kelvin Cato
C · 6'11" 275 · 32.3
2.5
0
0-1
51%
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 31.1
2.0
0
0-1
50%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 25.0
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 23.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.