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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
December 7, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Pistons28%9292
1Mavericks72%9982
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 26.8
40.5
36.7
20
58%
7
1
3
1
1
1
3
4
3-3
100%
7-15
5-10
47%
48%
1-1
100%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 28.8
39.4
37.4
15
45%
5
3
2
1
0
1
1
4
2-4
50%
5-11
7-15
45%
46%
1-4
25%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 30.2
36.3
38.4
12
39%
3
11
5
1
0
5
0
3
2-3
67%
5-11
3-6
45%
43%
0-3
0%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 32.2
33.5
36.5
19
64%
9
0
1
1
2
1
2
7
0-2
0%
2-6
4-8
33%
47%
5-8
63%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 29.3
19.6
18.5
8
80%
3
1
1
0
1
0
2
1
0-0
-
4-5
2-5
80%
49%
0-0
-
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 32.2
22.3
22.1
8
44%
5
2
0
1
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
4-9
3-6
44%
48%
0-0
-
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.4
20.4
20.7
2
53%
5
4
0
1
3
3
0
5
2-2
100%
0-0
2-5
-
43%
0-1
0%
Dale Davis
C-F · 6'11" 252 · 37.7
13.9
8.8
6
60%
4
0
0
0
1
0
2
2
0-0
-
3-5
1-1
60%
45%
0-0
-
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 24.3
13.7
10.4
2
100%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
43%
0-0
-
Ronald Dupree
F · 6'7" 209 · 25.9
0.5
1.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-0
-
Will Blalock
G · 6'0" 205 · 23.2
3.3
0
0-1
41%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 23.8
2.5
0
0-1
45%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 19.6
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 36.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 28.5
39.9
34.6
29
75%
9
3
2
1
1
4
1
8
10-10
100%
8-13
6-13
62%
50%
1-2
50%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 26.6
37.0
32.5
12
36%
12
1
0
1
0
2
3
9
0-2
0%
3-12
5-9
25%
49%
2-4
50%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 29.2
36.5
31.2
17
59%
1
3
2
1
2
4
0
1
2-3
67%
6-9
3-7
67%
50%
1-4
25%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 31.4
29.0
27.7
12
77%
6
0
0
0
0
0
2
4
2-4
50%
5-6
3-6
83%
55%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.8
27.6
27.9
1
7%
3
4
1
1
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
0-5
4-7
0%
51%
0-1
0%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 32.1
17.9
22.2
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-4
3-7
0%
45%
0-0
-
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.3
15.5
13.1
3
23%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
1-4
1-2
25%
43%
0-2
0%
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 32.2
13.0
18.0
6
60%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
47%
0-0
-
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 24.9
12.4
15.0
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
0-0
-
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 30.2
7.7
6.2
0
0%
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
53%
0-1
0%
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 31.6
3.6
6.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 25.9
4.9
0
1-1
52%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 22.4
Pops Mensah-Bonsu
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.2
Maurice Ager
F-G · 6'5" 202 · 22.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.