FinalWin Prob.pScore
529%92
92
171%99
82
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo DET
108.28578.0
DAL logo DAL
93.28896.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETDAL
Q4 - 0:00.0DET92
100%
82
0%
Q4 - 0:11.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)92
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:11.0DALMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:16.0DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)92
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:16.0DETMISS Hamilton Free Throw 1 of 291
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:17.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)91
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:19.0DALMISS Buckner 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:24.0DETBillups Foul Turnover (P5.T13)91
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:30.0DETPistons Rebound91
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:30.0DALMISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:36.0DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)91
99.8%
82
0.2%
Q4 - 0:42.0DETPistons Rebound88
98.4%
82
1.6%
Q4 - 0:42.0DALMISS Nowitzki 3PT Jump Shot88
98.0%
82
2.0%
Q4 - 0:52.0DALBuckner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)88
95.4%
82
4.6%
Q4 - 0:53.0DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 288
95.7%
82
4.3%
Q4 - 0:53.0DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 288
97.0%
82
3.0%
Q4 - 1:17DALTerry Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)88
95.7%
82
4.3%
Q4 - 1:17DALMISS Terry Free Throw 1 of 288
96.1%
81
3.9%
Q4 - 1:20DETTerry STEAL (2 STL)88
95.0%
81
5.0%
Q4 - 1:38DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Buckner 1 AST)88
96.0%
81
4.0%
Q4 - 1:43DALBuckner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)88
98.3%
78
1.7%
Q4 - 1:44DETMISS Billups 14' Jump Shot88
98.5%
78
1.5%
Q4 - 2:13DALTerry Layup (16 PTS) (Harris 4 AST)88
98.8%
78
1.2%
Q4 - 2:16DALHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)88
99.0%
76
1.0%
Q4 - 2:18DETTerry BLOCK (2 BLK)88
99.2%
76
0.8%
Q4 - 2:42DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)88
99.5%
76
0.5%
Q4 - 2:42DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)88
99.5%
75
0.5%
Q4 - 2:43DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)88
99.6%
74
0.4%
Q4 - 2:44DALMISS George Finger Roll88
99.8%
74
0.2%
Q4 - 2:53DALGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)88
99.4%
74
0.6%
Q4 - 2:54DETMISS Prince 20' Jump Shot88
99.5%
74
0.5%
Q4 - 3:11DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)88
99.7%
74
0.3%
Q4 - 3:13DALMISS Croshere 5' Running Jump Shot88
99.6%
74
0.4%
Q4 - 3:27DETPrince 20' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Billups 11 AST)88
99.4%
74
0.6%
Q4 - 3:45DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)86
98.1%
74
1.9%
Q4 - 3:47DALMISS Howard 19' Jump Shot86
97.9%
74
2.1%
Q4 - 3:54DALHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)86
97.3%
74
2.7%
Q4 - 3:55DETMISS Hamilton 3PT Jump Shot86
97.6%
74
2.4%
Q4 - 4:18DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)86
98.2%
74
1.8%
Q4 - 4:18DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)86
98.3%
73
1.7%
Q4 - 4:27DALHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)86
98.8%
72
1.2%
Q4 - 4:28DETMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
98.9%
72
1.1%
Q4 - 4:48DALTerry 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS)86
99.2%
72
0.8%
Q4 - 5:03DETBillups Running Finger Roll (12 PTS)86
98.8%
70
1.2%
Q4 - 5:07DALTerry Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T14)84
98.4%
70
1.6%
Q4 - 5:20DETMcDyess 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Billups 10 AST)84
97.7%
70
2.3%
Q4 - 5:39DALTerry Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)82
97.0%
70
3.0%
Q4 - 5:58DALMAVERICKS Rebound82
95.8%
70
4.2%
Q4 - 6:00DETMISS Prince 18' Jump Shot82
96.2%
70
3.8%
Q4 - 6:17DETPrince REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)82
95.4%
70
4.6%
Q4 - 6:18DETMISS Wallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
94.2%
70
5.8%
Q4 - 6:37DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)82
95.4%
70
4.6%
Q4 - 7:01DETPrince Running Dunk (15 PTS) (Billups 9 AST)82
91.3%
70
8.7%
Q4 - 7:04DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)80
89.2%
70
10.8%
Q4 - 7:05DALMISS George 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
88.3%
70
11.7%
Q4 - 7:24DALHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)80
86.0%
70
14.0%
Q4 - 7:26DETMISS Prince 23' Jump Shot80
87.1%
70
12.9%
Q4 - 7:51DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)80
89.5%
70
10.5%
Q4 - 7:52DALMISS Dampier Free Throw 2 of 280
89.1%
70
10.9%
Q4 - 7:52DALDampier Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)80
87.6%
70
12.4%
Q4 - 8:09DETBillups Layup (10 PTS)80
86.7%
69
13.3%
Q4 - 8:13DALGeorge Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)78
83.6%
69
16.4%
Q4 - 8:18DETNowitzki STEAL (2 STL)78
79.8%
69
20.2%
Q4 - 8:31DALGeorge Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)78
83.7%
69
16.3%
Q4 - 8:36DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)78
89.5%
66
10.5%
Q4 - 8:37DETMISS McDyess 16' Jump Shot78
90.2%
66
9.8%
Q4 - 8:56DALTerry 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS)78
91.8%
66
8.2%
Q4 - 9:15DETPistons Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)78
91.8%
64
8.2%
Q4 - 9:40DALTerry 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS)78
93.6%
64
6.4%
Q4 - 10:01DALHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)78
93.5%
62
6.5%
Q4 - 10:03DETMISS Prince 16' Jump Shot78
94.0%
62
6.0%
Q4 - 10:07DETMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)78
94.9%
62
5.1%
Q4 - 10:09DALMISS Dampier 6' Jump Shot78
94.5%
62
5.5%
Q4 - 10:26DALDampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)78
93.6%
62
6.4%
Q4 - 10:27DETMISS McDyess 12' Jump Shot78
94.0%
62
6.0%
Q4 - 10:54DALDampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)78
95.0%
62
5.0%
Q4 - 10:54DALDampier Tip Shot (11 PTS)78
95.0%
62
5.0%
Q4 - 10:55DALMISS Terry Layup78
96.5%
60
3.5%
Q4 - 11:04DALHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)78
95.1%
60
4.9%
Q4 - 11:06DETMISS Hamilton 17' Jump Shot78
95.4%
60
4.6%
Q4 - 11:23DALTerry Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)78
96.1%
60
3.9%
Q4 - 11:44DETMcDyess 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)78
95.1%
60
4.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0DET76
94.1%
60
5.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)76
94.1%
60
5.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALMISS Harris 10' Jump Shot76
93.7%
60
6.3%
Q3 - 0:22.0DETBuckner STEAL (1 STL)76
91.3%
60
8.7%
Q3 - 0:25.0DETMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)76
92.8%
60
7.2%
Q3 - 0:27.0DALMISS Nowitzki 5' Jump Shot76
92.3%
60
7.7%
Q3 - 0:40.0DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)76
91.3%
60
8.7%
Q3 - 0:40.0DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)75
91.0%
60
9.0%
Q3 - 0:58.0DETDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
89.6%
60
10.4%
Q3 - 0:59.0DALMISS Nowitzki 15' Jump Shot74
89.0%
60
11.0%
Q3 - 1:04DALBuckner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
85.4%
60
14.6%
Q3 - 1:06DETMISS McDyess 6' Jump Shot74
86.1%
60
13.9%
Q3 - 1:25DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)74
87.8%
60
12.2%
Q3 - 1:27DETMISS Prince 16' Jump Shot74
86.2%
60
13.8%
Q3 - 1:48DETMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
87.9%
60
12.1%
Q3 - 1:49DALMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot74
87.2%
60
12.8%
Q3 - 2:15DETNowitzki STEAL (1 STL)74
83.3%
60
16.7%
Q3 - 2:34DETDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)74
86.0%
60
14.0%
Q3 - 2:35DALMISS Stackhouse 20' Jump Shot74
85.3%
60
14.7%
Q3 - 2:53DETPrince 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS)74
83.5%
60
16.5%
Q3 - 3:03DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)72
79.5%
60
20.5%
Q3 - 3:03DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)72
79.7%
59
20.3%
Q3 - 3:23DETPrince Driving Layup (9 PTS)72
82.1%
58
17.9%
Q3 - 3:48DALDiop Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Nowitzki 3 AST)70
79.5%
58
20.5%
Q3 - 4:10DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)70
80.1%
56
19.9%
Q3 - 4:11DETMISS Wallace 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
81.1%
56
18.9%
Q3 - 4:33DALJohnson 7' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)70
83.2%
56
16.8%
Q3 - 4:59DETWallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Billups 8 AST)70
85.2%
54
14.8%
Q3 - 5:21DETPistons Rebound67
79.1%
54
20.9%
Q3 - 5:21DALMISS Nowitzki 13' Jump Shot67
78.1%
54
21.9%
Q3 - 5:41DALHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)67
76.0%
54
24.0%
Q3 - 5:44DALMISS Howard 12' Jump Shot67
78.2%
54
21.8%
Q3 - 6:01DETWallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Billups 7 AST)67
73.9%
54
26.1%
Q3 - 6:10DALHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)64
67.6%
54
32.4%
Q3 - 6:21DETPrince Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)64
63.8%
54
36.2%
Q3 - 6:28DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)64
67.7%
54
32.3%
Q3 - 6:29DALMISS Howard 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
66.6%
54
33.4%
Q3 - 6:44DETBillups Driving Layup (8 PTS)64
63.9%
54
36.1%
Q3 - 7:06DALNowitzki 21' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)62
59.0%
54
41.0%
Q3 - 7:21DETWallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Billups 6 AST)62
62.2%
52
37.8%
Q3 - 7:42DALNowitzki 20' Jump Shot (18 PTS)59
55.3%
52
44.7%
Q3 - 7:48DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)59
58.6%
50
41.4%
Q3 - 7:49DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)59
62.8%
50
37.2%
Q3 - 7:49DETMISS Wallace Layup59
59.9%
50
40.1%
Q3 - 7:50DETMISS Wallace Layup59
59.9%
50
40.1%
Q3 - 7:52DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)59
62.8%
50
37.2%
Q3 - 7:53DETMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
59.9%
50
40.1%
Q3 - 8:19DALDampier Layup (9 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)59
61.7%
50
38.3%
Q3 - 8:33DETMohammed Dunk (8 PTS)59
64.8%
48
35.2%
Q3 - 8:34DETMohammed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)57
61.8%
48
38.2%
Q3 - 8:35DETMISS Prince Layup57
58.9%
48
41.1%
Q3 - 8:57DETPistons Rebound57
61.8%
48
38.2%
Q3 - 8:57DALMISS Terry 5' Driving Finger Roll57
60.5%
48
39.5%
Q3 - 9:12DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
56.0%
48
44.0%
Q3 - 9:13DETMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
57.1%
48
42.9%
Q3 - 9:19DETBillups Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)57
59.7%
48
40.3%
Q3 - 9:31DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)56
56.2%
48
43.8%
Q3 - 9:32DALMISS Howard 20' Jump Shot56
55.1%
48
44.9%
Q3 - 9:54DETMohammed Driving Layup (6 PTS)56
52.5%
48
47.5%
Q3 - 10:09DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)54
47.7%
48
52.3%
Q3 - 10:15DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)54
43.7%
48
56.3%
Q3 - 10:16DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)54
47.7%
48
52.3%
Q3 - 10:16DETMISS Hamilton Layup54
44.9%
48
55.1%
Q3 - 10:17DETMISS Billups 20' Jump Shot54
44.9%
48
55.1%
Q3 - 10:42DETMohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)54
47.7%
48
52.3%
Q3 - 10:43DETMISS Wallace 17' Jump Shot54
45.0%
48
55.0%
Q3 - 11:04DALNowitzki 15' Jump Shot (16 PTS)54
46.3%
48
53.7%
Q3 - 11:24DETHamilton 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS)54
49.7%
46
50.3%
Q3 - 11:41DALNowitzki Layup (14 PTS)52
46.4%
46
53.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0DAL52
49.7%
44
50.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound52
49.7%
44
50.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALMISS Howard 22' Running Jump Shot52
52.2%
44
47.8%
Q2 - 0:03.0DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)52
49.1%
44
50.9%
Q2 - 0:03.0DETMISS Billups Free Throw 1 of 251
48.8%
44
51.2%
Q2 - 0:12.0DALHoward 12' Jump Shot (12 PTS)51
48.1%
44
51.9%
Q2 - 0:32.0DETMurray Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)51
52.5%
42
47.5%
Q2 - 0:32.0DETMurray Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)50
51.6%
42
48.4%
Q2 - 0:38.0DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)49
48.2%
42
51.8%
Q2 - 0:39.0DETMISS Murray 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
46.6%
42
53.4%
Q2 - 0:59.0DALNowitzki 4' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Terry 3 AST)49
48.3%
42
51.7%
Q2 - 1:14DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
52.0%
40
48.0%
Q2 - 1:15DETMISS Hamilton Free Throw 2 of 249
52.2%
40
47.8%
Q2 - 1:15DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)49
54.7%
40
45.3%
Q2 - 1:18DALHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)48
50.4%
40
49.6%
Q2 - 1:32DALMAVERICKS Rebound48
48.8%
40
51.2%
Q2 - 1:33DALMISS Stackhouse Layup48
49.9%
40
50.1%
Q2 - 1:38DALHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)48
48.8%
40
51.2%
Q2 - 1:39DETMISS Prince 23' Jump Shot48
49.3%
40
50.7%
Q2 - 2:00DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)48
50.5%
40
49.5%
Q2 - 2:00DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)48
50.8%
39
49.2%
Q2 - 2:13DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
53.4%
38
46.6%
Q2 - 2:14DETMISS Davis 15' Jump Shot48
54.3%
38
45.7%
Q2 - 2:36DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)48
56.3%
38
43.7%
Q2 - 2:38DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
53.5%
38
46.5%
Q2 - 2:39DETMISS Hamilton 3PT Jump Shot48
54.3%
38
45.7%
Q2 - 2:59DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)48
56.3%
38
43.7%
Q2 - 3:00DALMISS Dampier Free Throw 2 of 248
55.9%
38
44.1%
Q2 - 3:00DALDampier Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)48
54.3%
38
45.7%
Q2 - 3:09DETHamilton 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)48
54.3%
37
45.7%
Q2 - 3:35DALHoward 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Harris 3 AST)45
48.8%
37
51.2%
Q2 - 3:51DETPrince Running Dunk (7 PTS)45
54.5%
34
45.5%
Q2 - 4:12DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
50.0%
34
50.0%
Q2 - 4:13DALMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 243
49.6%
34
50.4%
Q2 - 4:13DALMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 243
47.8%
34
52.2%
Q2 - 4:15DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
47.2%
34
52.8%
Q2 - 4:17DETTerry BLOCK (1 BLK)43
48.1%
34
51.9%
Q2 - 4:36DALDampier Layup (6 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)43
50.1%
34
49.9%
Q2 - 4:47DETBillups 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Murray 4 AST)43
53.0%
32
47.0%
Q2 - 4:58DALTerry Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)41
50.1%
32
49.9%
Q2 - 5:02DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
54.7%
29
45.3%
Q2 - 5:03DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
57.8%
29
42.2%
Q2 - 5:03DETMISS McDyess Layup41
55.7%
29
44.3%
Q2 - 5:05DETMISS Mohammed Layup41
55.7%
29
44.3%
Q2 - 5:25DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)41
57.8%
29
42.2%
Q2 - 5:25DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)41
58.1%
28
41.9%
Q2 - 5:31DALMAVERICKS Rebound41
60.3%
27
39.7%
Q2 - 5:31DALMISS Harris 6' Running Jump Shot41
62.3%
27
37.7%
Q2 - 5:45DETMcDyess 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Mohammed 1 AST)41
60.3%
27
39.7%
Q2 - 6:00DALNowitzki Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)39
57.8%
27
42.2%
Q2 - 6:20DETMohammed Layup (4 PTS) (McDyess 2 AST)39
53.6%
27
46.4%
Q2 - 6:31DETMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
51.4%
27
48.6%
Q2 - 6:32DALMISS Howard 15' Jump Shot37
50.4%
27
49.6%
Q2 - 6:40DALHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)37
48.1%
27
51.9%
Q2 - 6:41DETMISS McDyess 12' Fadeaway Jumper37
49.1%
27
50.9%
Q2 - 6:53DETMohammed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
51.4%
27
48.6%
Q2 - 6:55DALMISS George Finger Roll37
50.4%
27
49.6%
Q2 - 7:19DETDelfino Reverse Dunk (2 PTS) (McDyess 1 AST)37
47.1%
27
52.9%
Q2 - 7:33DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
44.7%
27
55.3%
Q2 - 7:34DALMISS Howard 3PT Jump Shot35
43.8%
27
56.2%
Q2 - 7:43DALHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)35
41.9%
27
58.1%
Q2 - 7:43DALMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
43.9%
27
56.1%
Q2 - 7:49DETHarris STEAL (1 STL)35
41.9%
27
58.1%
Q2 - 8:14DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)35
44.2%
27
55.8%
Q2 - 8:14DALHoward Layup (7 PTS)35
44.2%
27
55.8%
Q2 - 8:15DALMISS George Layup35
48.5%
25
51.5%
Q2 - 8:39DETBillups Backcourt Turnover (P2.T5)35
46.4%
25
53.6%
Q2 - 8:50DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
49.4%
25
50.6%
Q2 - 8:51DALMISS Terry 3PT Jump Shot35
48.5%
25
51.5%
Q2 - 8:55DALHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)35
46.5%
25
53.5%
Q2 - 8:56DALMISS Stackhouse 13' Jump Shot35
48.5%
25
51.5%
Q2 - 9:08DETMcDyess Foul Turnover (P1.T4)35
45.5%
25
54.5%
Q2 - 9:14DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
48.3%
25
51.7%
Q2 - 9:15DALMISS George 3PT Jump Shot35
47.4%
25
52.6%
Q2 - 9:39DETHamilton 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Delfino 1 AST)35
45.5%
25
54.5%
Q2 - 9:55DALTerry 15' Jump Shot (5 PTS)33
43.4%
25
56.6%
Q2 - 10:00DETTerry STEAL (1 STL)33
45.6%
23
54.4%
Q2 - 10:14DETDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
48.0%
23
52.0%
Q2 - 10:15DALMISS Johnson 21' Jump Shot33
47.1%
23
52.9%
Q2 - 10:28DETMcDyess 15' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)33
45.2%
23
54.8%
Q2 - 10:46DALTerry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)31
43.0%
23
57.0%
Q2 - 10:53DETJohnson STEAL (1 STL)31
47.7%
20
52.3%
Q2 - 11:14DETMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
49.0%
20
51.0%
Q2 - 11:15DALMISS Terry 20' Jump Shot31
48.3%
20
51.7%
Q2 - 11:37DETHamilton Layup (6 PTS) (Murray 3 AST)31
46.7%
20
53.3%
Q2 - 11:43DALStackhouse Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)29
44.3%
20
55.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0DET29
42.0%
20
58.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETPistons Rebound29
44.4%
20
55.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETMISS Hamilton 41' 3PT Jump Shot29
42.7%
20
57.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)29
44.4%
20
55.6%
Q1 - 0:01.0DALMISS Nowitzki 9' Jump Shot29
42.7%
20
57.3%
Q1 - 0:24.0DETPrince 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)29
41.5%
20
58.5%
Q1 - 0:30.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
36.5%
20
63.5%
Q1 - 0:32.0DALMISS Howard 12' Jump Shot26
36.0%
20
64.0%
Q1 - 0:49.0DETDavis Layup (6 PTS) (Murray 2 AST)26
34.8%
20
65.2%
Q1 - 0:54.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
32.2%
20
67.8%
Q1 - 0:56.0DALMISS Howard 6' Jump Shot24
31.7%
20
68.3%
Q1 - 1:01DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
30.6%
20
69.4%
Q1 - 1:02DETMISS Wallace 3PT Jump Shot24
31.0%
20
69.0%
Q1 - 1:24DALNowitzki 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)24
32.1%
20
67.9%
Q1 - 1:46DETPrince 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Murray 1 AST)24
34.7%
18
65.3%
Q1 - 2:02DALJohnson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)22
32.2%
18
67.8%
Q1 - 2:14DETDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)22
30.3%
18
69.7%
Q1 - 2:14DETDavis Tip Shot (4 PTS)22
30.3%
18
69.7%
Q1 - 2:14DETDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
28.3%
18
71.7%
Q1 - 2:14DETMISS Davis Tip Shot20
27.0%
18
73.0%
Q1 - 2:16DETMISS Prince 5' Hook Shot20
27.0%
18
73.0%
Q1 - 2:34DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
28.3%
18
71.7%
Q1 - 2:36DALMISS Stackhouse 12' Jump Shot20
27.7%
18
72.3%
Q1 - 2:59DETWallace Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)20
26.5%
18
73.5%
Q1 - 3:17DALJohnson 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)18
24.5%
18
75.5%
Q1 - 3:24DALJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
26.0%
16
74.0%
Q1 - 3:25DETMISS Hamilton 18' Jump Shot18
26.6%
16
73.4%
Q1 - 3:48DALJohnson 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)18
28.0%
16
72.0%
Q1 - 4:12DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
29.0%
14
71.0%
Q1 - 4:13DETMISS Hamilton 14' Jump Shot18
29.7%
14
70.3%
Q1 - 4:31DETDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
31.3%
14
68.7%
Q1 - 4:32DALMISS Howard 16' Jump Shot18
30.6%
14
69.4%
Q1 - 4:52DETWallace Running Layup (8 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)18
29.1%
14
70.9%
Q1 - 4:56DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
27.7%
14
72.3%
Q1 - 4:59DALMISS Harris Layup16
27.0%
14
73.0%
Q1 - 5:11DETBillups Foul Turnover (P1.T1)16
25.1%
14
74.9%
Q1 - 5:23DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
26.9%
14
73.1%
Q1 - 5:24DETMISS Billups 21' Jump Shot16
25.7%
14
74.3%
Q1 - 5:40DALDampier Running Layup (4 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)16
26.9%
14
73.1%
Q1 - 5:57DETDavis Running Dunk (2 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)16
28.5%
12
71.5%
Q1 - 6:20DALTerry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)14
26.5%
12
73.5%
Q1 - 6:26DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
24.9%
12
75.1%
Q1 - 6:28DETMISS Billups Reverse Layup14
25.3%
12
74.7%
Q1 - 6:33DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
26.5%
12
73.5%
Q1 - 6:34DALMISS Harris 8' Jump Shot14
26.0%
12
74.0%
Q1 - 7:04DETWallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)14
24.4%
12
75.6%
Q1 - 7:20DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Terry 2 AST)11
21.8%
12
78.2%
Q1 - 7:45DETWallace 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)11
23.0%
10
77.0%
Q1 - 8:04DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
20.4%
10
79.6%
Q1 - 8:04DALDampier Tip Shot (2 PTS)8
20.4%
10
79.6%
Q1 - 8:05DALMISS Harris Layup8
22.6%
8
77.4%
Q1 - 8:16DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
21.6%
8
78.4%
Q1 - 8:17DETMISS Billups 18' Jump Shot8
22.0%
8
78.0%
Q1 - 8:37DALHoward 22' Jump Shot (5 PTS)8
23.0%
8
77.0%
Q1 - 8:57DETMohammed 3' Hook Shot (2 PTS)8
24.2%
6
75.8%
Q1 - 9:17DALHoward 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)6
23.0%
6
77.0%
Q1 - 9:29DETHamilton Driving Layup (4 PTS)6
25.4%
3
74.6%
Q1 - 9:41DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
24.3%
3
75.7%
Q1 - 9:42DALMISS Harris Free Throw 2 of 24
24.1%
3
75.9%
Q1 - 9:42DALHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
23.2%
3
76.8%
Q1 - 10:05DETBillups 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
23.9%
2
76.1%
Q1 - 10:21DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
22.8%
2
77.2%
Q1 - 10:22DALMISS Howard 19' Jump Shot2
22.3%
2
77.7%
Q1 - 10:41DALMAVERICKS Rebound2
21.3%
2
78.7%
Q1 - 10:42DETMISS Wallace 9' Jump Shot2
21.7%
2
78.3%
Q1 - 11:04DALNowitzki 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
22.5%
2
77.5%
Q1 - 11:15DETHamilton Running Layup (2 PTS)2
23.9%
0
76.1%
Q1 - 11:20DALHarris Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
22.5%
0
77.5%
Q1 - 11:32DALMAVERICKS Rebound0
21.4%
0
78.6%
Q1 - 11:33DALMISS Nowitzki Layup0
22.2%
0
77.8%
Q1 - 11:43DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
21.4%
0
78.6%
Q1 - 11:45DETNowitzki BLOCK (1 BLK)0
21.7%
0
78.3%
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball Dampier vs. Mohammed: Tip to Wallace0
22.5%
0
77.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.02 51.1%
DAL
0.96 48.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
20
30
67%
DAL
11
22
50%
Midrange
DET
11
33
33%
DAL
16
38
42%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
7
10.5
17
41%
62%
DAL
4
6.0
14
29%
43%
Free Throws
DET
9
14
64%
DAL
16
22
73%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Prince2059%10.0 / 17
R. Wallace1963%9.5 / 15
R. Hamilton1544%7.5 / 17
C. Billups1243%6.0 / 14
N. Mohammed880%4.0 / 5
A. McDyess844%4.0 / 9
D. Davis660%3.0 / 5
R. Murray250%1.0 / 2
C. Delfino2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki2973%14.5 / 20
J. Terry1761%8.5 / 14
J. Howard1235%6.0 / 17
E. Dampier1275%6.0 / 8
A. Johnson660%3.0 / 5
D. George325%1.5 / 6
D. Diop2100%1.0 / 1
D. Harris17%0.5 / 7
J. Stackhouse0-0.0 / 4
G. Buckner0-0.0 / 1
A. Croshere0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
73
+13
-12
86
DAL
74
+11
-14
85
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.02 51.1%
DAL
0.96 48.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.1
110.8
DET 108.2
DAL 93.2 +15.1
Pace
88.0
90.0
DET 78.0
DAL 96.7 +18.6
Avg. Poss. Time
17.0
16.8
DET 18.5
DAL 14.9 +3.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.8%
50.9%
DET 51.9% +7.3%
DAL 44.6%
TO %
13.2%
14.5%
DET 13.1% +1.2%
DAL 14.3%
ORB %
28.3%
28.8%
DET 29.3% +11.4%
DAL 17.9%
FTrt
30.7
31.7
DET 17.5
DAL 29.7 +12.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.1%
54.2%
DET 60.5% +18.6%
DAL 41.9%
STL %
8.0%
7.6%
DET 14.1% +6.1%
DAL 8.0%
BLK %
9.2%
7.9%
DET 13.3% +8.5%
DAL 4.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.18 and 2.18.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.2%
54.1%
DET 51.1% +2.9%
DAL 48.2%
Rim FG%
58.3%
58.4%
DET 66.7% +16.7%
DAL 50.0%
Mid FG%
41.7%
43.3%
DET 33.3%
DAL 42.1% +8.8%
3P %
34.4%
38.1%
DET 41.2% +12.6%
DAL 28.6%
FT %
77.4%
80.5%
DET 64.3%
DAL 72.7% +8.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.1%
30.1%
DET 37.5% +7.8%
DAL 29.7%
Mid Att. %
48.8%
48.1%
DET 41.3% +10.1%
DAL 51.4%
3P Att. %
20.1%
21.8%
DET 21.3% +2.3%
DAL 18.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDETDAL
Possessions8588
Possession Minutes26.121.9
Points9282
Rebounds4436
Assists2313
Steals127
Blocks83
Turnovers (Team)12 (1)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (1)7 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (4)29 (2)
Field Goals38-8031-74
At-the-Rim FG20-3011-22
Midrange FG11-3316-38
2-Point FG31-6327-60
3-Point FG7-174-14
Free Throws9-1416-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 212 · 27
40.5
20
59%
7
1
3
1
1
2
3
4
3-3
100%
7-15
47%
1-1
100%
G · 6'7" 193 · 29
39.4
15
44%
5
3
2
0
1
3
1
4
2-4
50%
5-11
45%
1-4
25%
G · 6'3" 210 · 30
36.3
12
43%
3
11
5
0
5
5
0
3
2-3
67%
5-11
45%
0-3
0%
F · 6'11" 230 · 32
33.5
19
63%
9
0
1
2
1
3
2
7
0-2
0%
2-6
33%
5-8
63%
C · 6'10" 250 · 29
19.6
8
80%
3
1
1
1
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
4-5
80%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 32
22.3
8
44%
5
2
0
0
1
5
2
3
0-0
-
4-9
44%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 200 · 27
20.4
2
50%
5
4
0
3
3
2
0
5
2-2
100%
0-0
-
0-1
0%
C-F · 6'11" 252 · 38
13.9
6
60%
4
0
0
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 24
13.7
2
100%
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 209 · 26
0.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 205 · 23
F · 6'7" 260 · 24
#25 · C-F · 6'9" 240 · 20
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#10 · G · 6'2" 195 · 36
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
92
51%
44
23
12
8
12
0
12
32
9-14
64%
31-63
49%
7-17
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.