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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
December 7, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Heat44%9493
15Kings56%9691
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 24.9
43.9
37.2
32
52%
11
9
3
2
2
3
0
11
6-9
67%
13-27
8-17
48%
49%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.5
40.4
34.0
5
32%
14
1
1
1
0
4
2
12
1-2
50%
2-7
5-10
29%
51%
0-0
-
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 36.8
34.5
27.9
10
57%
6
0
0
0
3
3
0
6
4-4
100%
3-7
4-6
43%
55%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 31.1
30.9
21.9
11
61%
3
4
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-5
2-3
20%
47%
3-4
75%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 21.0
14.8
25.9
0
0%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
47%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 29.9
24.6
26.1
5
42%
2
1
0
1
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
44%
1-4
25%
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 38.4
24.0
19.2
11
61%
4
4
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
4-5
1-3
80%
47%
1-4
25%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.8
21.4
19.4
10
56%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
3-7
2-4
43%
42%
1-1
100%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.3
18.2
21.1
4
30%
4
1
0
1
0
1
1
3
2-4
50%
1-4
2-4
25%
47%
0-1
0%
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 29.5
12.5
6.1
5
51%
3
1
0
0
0
1
2
1
1-2
50%
2-4
1-1
50%
43%
0-0
-
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 25.3
3.4
0
1-1
47%
Robert Hite
G · 6'2" 184 · 22.9
2.3
0
0-1
42%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 34.8
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.2
Wayne Simien
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 23.8
44.3
32.4
13
37%
4
2
1
1
0
2
0
4
6-6
100%
2-8
5-9
25%
54%
1-7
14%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 30.7
44.0
26.8
15
48%
8
4
0
1
0
2
1
7
3-4
75%
6-11
3-6
55%
50%
0-3
0%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 28.6
41.8
35.7
20
53%
5
4
0
1
0
1
0
5
8-9
89%
6-14
4-10
43%
47%
0-1
0%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 27.0
37.5
29.9
9
35%
5
1
0
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
3-8
3-7
38%
47%
1-5
20%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 29.4
28.2
25.1
9
58%
12
1
1
1
1
2
4
8
3-4
75%
3-6
2-5
50%
51%
0-0
-
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 27.1
33.3
19.9
15
51%
4
3
2
1
0
2
0
4
3-4
75%
3-10
3-6
30%
46%
2-3
67%
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.0
19.9
20.8
2
27%
5
1
0
1
2
2
1
4
2-4
50%
0-2
4-7
0%
52%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.5
11.2
13.1
6
100%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
50%
2-2
100%
Corliss Williamson
F · 6'7" 245 · 33.0
4.7
18.5
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
48%
0-0
-
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 28.6
0.1
9.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.9
15.8
0
1-2
50%
Maurice Taylor
F-C · 6'9" 265 · 30.1
1.6
0
0-1
46%
Vitaly Potapenko
C-F · 6'10" 285 · 31.7
Quincy Douby
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.