FinalWin Prob.pScore
944%94
93
1556%96
91
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
91.210286.1
SAC logo SAC
89.210299.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

KingsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Scoring Margin

KingsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIASAC
OT1 - 0:00.0SAC93
100%
91
0%
OT1 - 0:00.0SACWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)93
95.4%
91
4.6%
OT1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Doleac Free Throw 2 of 293
96.6%
91
3.4%
OT1 - 0:01.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)92
97.6%
91
2.4%
OT1 - 0:02.0SACMISS Bibby Layup92
92.5%
91
7.5%
OT1 - 0:08.0SACMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)92
58.5%
91
41.5%
OT1 - 0:09.0MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot92
67.2%
91
32.8%
OT1 - 0:33.0SACMiller Layup (15 PTS) (Martin 2 AST)92
76.5%
91
23.5%
OT1 - 0:42.0MIAHaslem Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P4.T19)92
83.1%
89
16.9%
OT1 - 0:42.0MIAHeat Rebound92
91.7%
89
8.3%
OT1 - 0:42.0MIAMISS Wade Layup92
86.3%
89
13.7%
OT1 - 1:07MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:11)92
87.7%
89
12.3%
OT1 - 1:09SACMISS World Peace 4' Jump Shot92
85.0%
89
15.0%
OT1 - 1:16SACWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)92
76.7%
89
23.3%
OT1 - 1:18MIAMISS Kapono 17' Jump Shot92
79.8%
89
20.2%
OT1 - 1:34SACBibby Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)92
84.1%
89
15.9%
OT1 - 1:34SACBibby Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)92
85.0%
88
15.0%
OT1 - 1:38SACBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)92
88.8%
87
11.2%
OT1 - 1:39MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)92
93.2%
87
6.8%
OT1 - 1:39MIAMISS Doleac Tip Shot92
90.3%
87
9.7%
OT1 - 1:40MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup92
90.3%
87
9.7%
OT1 - 1:49MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)92
92.4%
87
7.6%
OT1 - 1:51SACMISS Bibby 9' Jump Shot92
91.3%
87
8.7%
OT1 - 1:58SACSalmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)92
88.3%
87
11.7%
OT1 - 2:00MIAMISS Wade 14' Fadeaway Jumper92
89.9%
87
10.1%
OT1 - 2:16SACBibby Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)92
92.7%
87
7.3%
OT1 - 2:16SACBibby Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)92
93.1%
86
6.9%
OT1 - 2:26MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (32 PTS)92
94.1%
85
5.9%
OT1 - 2:39SACSalmons Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T14)90
92.7%
85
7.3%
OT1 - 3:03MIAWade 10' Jump Bank Shot (30 PTS)90
84.2%
85
15.8%
OT1 - 3:19SACWorld Peace Foul Turnover (P2.T13)88
80.6%
85
19.4%
OT1 - 3:28SACMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)88
69.2%
85
30.8%
OT1 - 3:30SACMISS World Peace 9' Jump Shot88
77.7%
85
22.3%
OT1 - 3:47SACMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)88
67.6%
85
32.4%
OT1 - 3:49MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 288
68.7%
85
31.3%
OT1 - 3:49MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)88
73.9%
85
26.1%
OT1 - 4:02MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)87
68.2%
85
31.8%
OT1 - 4:03SACMISS Miller 22' Jump Shot87
65.6%
85
34.4%
OT1 - 4:19MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)87
59.2%
85
40.8%
OT1 - 4:34MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)85
50.4%
85
49.6%
OT1 - 4:35SACMISS Martin 21' Jump Shot85
47.3%
85
52.7%
OT1 - 4:45MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P3.T18)85
40.4%
85
59.6%
OT1 - 5:00SACJump Ball Miller vs. Mourning: Tip to Haslem85
50.4%
85
49.6%
Q4 - 0:04.0SACMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)85
56.0%
85
44.0%
Q4 - 0:04.0SACMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)85
63.5%
84
36.5%
Q4 - 0:04.0SACKINGS Rebound85
92.5%
83
7.5%
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot85
94.8%
83
5.2%
Q4 - 0:29.0SACMartin 9' Running Jump Shot (13 PTS)85
87.9%
83
12.1%
Q4 - 0:41.0MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)85
91.1%
81
8.9%
Q4 - 0:41.0MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)84
88.9%
81
11.1%
Q4 - 0:41.0MIAHeat Rebound83
84.8%
81
15.2%
Q4 - 0:41.0MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot83
75.8%
81
24.2%
Q4 - 0:58.0SACBibby Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)83
81.2%
81
18.8%
Q4 - 0:58.0SACBibby Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)83
82.4%
80
17.6%
Q4 - 1:03MIAHaslem Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T17)83
87.4%
79
12.6%
Q4 - 1:23SACMiller Foul Turnover (P2.T12)83
91.1%
79
8.9%
Q4 - 1:37MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P2.T16)83
82.8%
79
17.2%
Q4 - 1:43MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)83
88.9%
79
11.1%
Q4 - 1:44SACMISS Martin Layup83
87.1%
79
12.9%
Q4 - 1:57MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)83
82.2%
79
17.8%
Q4 - 1:57MIAHeat Rebound83
88.6%
79
11.4%
Q4 - 1:57MIAMISS Payton 29' 3PT Jump Shot83
84.4%
79
15.6%
Q4 - 2:23SACWorld Peace 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Bibby 4 AST)83
88.8%
79
11.2%
Q4 - 2:36SACSalmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)83
94.1%
76
5.9%
Q4 - 2:37MIAMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot83
95.2%
76
4.8%
Q4 - 2:47MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)83
97.0%
76
3.0%
Q4 - 2:48SACMISS World Peace Layup83
96.3%
76
3.7%
Q4 - 2:58SACWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)83
92.7%
76
7.3%
Q4 - 3:00MIAMISS Payton 3PT Jump Shot83
93.8%
76
6.2%
Q4 - 3:15SACMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)83
95.8%
76
4.2%
Q4 - 3:15SACMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)83
96.0%
75
4.0%
Q4 - 3:23SACMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)83
96.8%
74
3.2%
Q4 - 3:25MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot83
97.3%
74
2.7%
Q4 - 3:43SACBibby Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)83
96.5%
74
3.5%
Q4 - 3:59MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (25 PTS)83
98.3%
71
1.7%
Q4 - 4:17MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)81
97.7%
71
2.3%
Q4 - 4:19SACMISS Salmons 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
97.5%
71
2.5%
Q4 - 4:32SACSalmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)81
96.7%
71
3.3%
Q4 - 4:34MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
97.1%
71
2.9%
Q4 - 4:54MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)81
97.8%
71
2.2%
Q4 - 4:55SACMISS Bibby 22' Jump Shot81
97.5%
71
2.5%
Q4 - 5:06SACAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)81
95.0%
71
5.0%
Q4 - 5:08MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
95.5%
71
4.5%
Q4 - 5:29SACAbdur-Rahim Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)81
96.5%
71
3.5%
Q4 - 5:29SACMISS Abdur-Rahim Free Throw 1 of 281
96.7%
70
3.3%
Q4 - 5:45MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)81
96.5%
70
3.5%
Q4 - 5:45MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)80
96.3%
70
3.7%
Q4 - 6:02MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)79
93.5%
70
6.5%
Q4 - 6:03SACMISS Martin 21' Jump Shot79
92.8%
70
7.2%
Q4 - 6:15SACAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)79
91.1%
70
8.9%
Q4 - 6:15MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 279
91.5%
70
8.5%
Q4 - 6:15MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 279
92.9%
70
7.1%
Q4 - 6:26MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)79
93.6%
70
6.4%
Q4 - 6:28SACMISS World Peace 18' Jump Shot79
93.0%
70
7.0%
Q4 - 6:55MIAPosey 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)79
91.3%
70
8.7%
Q4 - 7:18MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)76
83.2%
70
16.8%
Q4 - 7:19SACMISS Abdur-Rahim Free Throw 2 of 276
82.6%
70
17.4%
Q4 - 7:19SACAbdur-Rahim Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)76
79.7%
70
20.3%
Q4 - 7:19MIAWade Free Throw Technical (21 PTS)76
82.7%
69
17.3%
Q4 - 7:36SACBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)75
78.5%
69
21.5%
Q4 - 7:38MIAMISS Doleac 20' Jump Shot75
80.1%
69
19.9%
Q4 - 8:04SACMartin 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (World Peace 3 AST)75
80.8%
69
19.2%
Q4 - 8:21SACAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)75
87.6%
66
12.4%
Q4 - 8:22MIAHeat Rebound75
90.1%
66
9.9%
Q4 - 8:22MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 2 of 275
87.9%
66
12.1%
Q4 - 8:22MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 1 of 275
89.2%
66
10.8%
Q4 - 8:25MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)75
90.1%
66
9.9%
Q4 - 8:27MIAAbdur-Rahim BLOCK (2 BLK)75
88.4%
66
11.6%
Q4 - 8:40SACAbdur-Rahim Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)75
90.2%
66
9.8%
Q4 - 8:43SACAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)75
87.6%
66
12.4%
Q4 - 8:45SACMISS World Peace 21' Jump Shot75
89.5%
66
10.5%
Q4 - 9:00MIADoleac Layup (4 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)75
87.7%
66
12.3%
Q4 - 9:21SACWilliamson 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (World Peace 2 AST)73
83.0%
66
17.0%
Q4 - 9:38MIAKapono Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)73
86.1%
64
13.9%
Q4 - 9:38MIAMISS Kapono Free Throw 1 of 272
85.7%
64
14.3%
Q4 - 10:04MIAHeat Rebound72
84.6%
64
15.4%
Q4 - 10:06SACMISS Price 15' Jump Shot72
83.6%
64
16.4%
Q4 - 10:24MIAPayton 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS)72
81.3%
64
18.7%
Q4 - 10:33MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)70
77.9%
64
22.1%
Q4 - 10:35SACMISS Williamson 6' Jump Shot70
76.6%
64
23.4%
Q4 - 10:51MIAPayton Driving Layup (9 PTS)70
73.4%
64
26.6%
Q4 - 10:59SACWorld Peace Driving Layup (12 PTS)68
69.1%
64
30.9%
Q4 - 11:06MIAPayton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)68
72.1%
62
27.9%
Q4 - 11:14SACAbdur-Rahim Traveling Turnover (P1.T10)68
76.4%
62
23.6%
Q4 - 11:21MIAWorld Peace STEAL (2 STL)68
72.1%
62
27.9%
Q4 - 11:25MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)68
76.5%
62
23.5%
Q4 - 11:27MIAMISS Kapono 21' Jump Shot68
73.5%
62
26.5%
Q4 - 11:34MIAHeat Rebound68
76.5%
62
23.5%
Q4 - 11:34MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup68
73.5%
62
26.5%
Q4 - 11:50SACWorld Peace 5' Finger Roll (10 PTS)68
76.5%
62
23.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA68
80.0%
60
20.0%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)68
81.9%
60
18.1%
Q3 - 0:02.0SACMISS World Peace Free Throw 2 of 268
81.5%
60
18.5%
Q3 - 0:02.0SACWorld Peace Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)68
79.5%
60
20.5%
Q3 - 0:09.0MIADoleac 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)68
81.9%
59
18.1%
Q3 - 0:29.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)66
78.7%
59
21.3%
Q3 - 0:31.0SACMISS Bibby 22' Jump Shot66
77.7%
59
22.3%
Q3 - 0:38.0SACMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)66
75.1%
59
24.9%
Q3 - 0:40.0MIAMISS Wade 13' Jump Shot66
76.3%
59
23.7%
Q3 - 0:46.0MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
78.8%
59
21.2%
Q3 - 0:47.0SACMISS Salmons 12' Jump Shot66
77.7%
59
22.3%
Q3 - 0:57.0SACMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)66
75.2%
59
24.8%
Q3 - 0:59.0MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
76.3%
59
23.7%
Q3 - 1:17SACBibby Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)66
77.4%
59
22.6%
Q3 - 1:24SACWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
73.7%
59
26.3%
Q3 - 1:26MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot66
74.9%
59
25.1%
Q3 - 1:48MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)66
77.4%
59
22.6%
Q3 - 1:50SACMISS Miller 20' Jump Shot66
76.4%
59
23.6%
Q3 - 2:02MIAWilliams Palming Turnover (P2.T12)66
71.8%
59
28.2%
Q3 - 2:17SACBibby 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS)66
75.8%
59
24.2%
Q3 - 2:25MIAWade 16' Jump Bank Shot (20 PTS) (Doleac 1 AST)66
78.8%
57
21.2%
Q3 - 2:41MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)64
75.9%
57
24.1%
Q3 - 2:43SACMISS Miller 21' Jump Shot64
74.8%
57
25.2%
Q3 - 3:04MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)64
71.2%
57
28.8%
Q3 - 3:04MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 263
70.4%
57
29.6%
Q3 - 3:13MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)63
71.4%
57
28.6%
Q3 - 3:14SACMISS Thomas 6' Jump Hook Shot63
70.2%
57
29.8%
Q3 - 3:15SACThomas REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)63
67.4%
57
32.6%
Q3 - 3:17SACMISS Martin 22' Jump Shot63
70.2%
57
29.8%
Q3 - 3:29MIAMourning 7' Jump Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Wright 2 AST)63
67.4%
57
32.6%
Q3 - 3:51SACMiller 23' Jump Shot (11 PTS)61
63.6%
57
36.4%
Q3 - 4:18MIAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)61
66.1%
55
33.9%
Q3 - 4:21MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)58
58.7%
55
41.3%
Q3 - 4:23MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot58
55.3%
55
44.7%
Q3 - 4:43SACThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)58
58.7%
55
41.3%
Q3 - 4:43SACMISS Thomas Free Throw 1 of 258
59.8%
54
40.2%
Q3 - 4:59MIAMourning Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T11)58
58.1%
54
41.9%
Q3 - 5:19SACSalmons 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Bibby 3 AST)58
62.0%
54
38.0%
Q3 - 5:39MIAWade Alley Oop Layup (18 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)58
69.2%
51
30.8%
Q3 - 5:52SACThomas 8' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Salmons 1 AST)56
65.8%
51
34.2%
Q3 - 6:12MIAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)56
68.1%
49
31.9%
Q3 - 6:17MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)53
61.1%
49
38.9%
Q3 - 6:19SACMISS Bibby 24' Jump Shot53
59.8%
49
40.2%
Q3 - 6:24SACMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
56.9%
49
43.1%
Q3 - 6:26MIAMISS Williams 8' Running Jump Shot53
58.2%
49
41.8%
Q3 - 6:51SACBibby 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)53
61.1%
49
38.9%
Q3 - 7:06MIAWilliams 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)53
63.4%
47
36.6%
Q3 - 7:25SACBibby Layup (7 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)50
56.5%
47
43.5%
Q3 - 7:28MIAMartin STEAL (1 STL)50
59.7%
45
40.3%
Q3 - 7:49SACBibby 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS)50
64.0%
45
36.0%
Q3 - 7:54SACBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
67.0%
43
33.0%
Q3 - 7:56MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot50
68.2%
43
31.8%
Q3 - 8:09SACMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)50
70.2%
43
29.8%
Q3 - 8:09SACMISS Miller Free Throw 1 of 250
70.7%
42
29.3%
Q3 - 8:17SACMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
69.8%
42
30.2%
Q3 - 8:19MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot50
70.9%
42
29.1%
Q3 - 8:42SACBibby 21' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)50
73.3%
42
26.7%
Q3 - 8:58MIAWilliams Driving Layup (2 PTS)50
75.8%
40
24.2%
Q3 - 9:03MIAHeat Rebound48
72.0%
40
28.0%
Q3 - 9:05SACMISS Salmons 18' Jump Shot48
71.0%
40
29.0%
Q3 - 9:23MIAMourning 7' Hook Shot (6 PTS)48
68.9%
40
31.1%
Q3 - 9:31MIAHeat Rebound46
65.8%
40
34.2%
Q3 - 9:32SACMISS Martin 24' 3PT Jump Shot46
64.8%
40
35.2%
Q3 - 9:38SACSalmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)46
62.3%
40
37.7%
Q3 - 9:39MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup46
63.4%
40
36.6%
Q3 - 9:44SACMartin Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)46
65.8%
40
34.2%
Q3 - 10:00SACThomas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)46
62.4%
40
37.6%
Q3 - 10:02MIAMISS Mourning 7' Hook Shot46
62.6%
40
37.4%
Q3 - 10:17SACMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)46
65.2%
40
34.8%
Q3 - 10:17SACMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)46
65.5%
39
34.5%
Q3 - 10:20SACBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
68.0%
38
32.0%
Q3 - 10:22MIAMISS Williams 21' Jump Shot46
69.0%
38
31.0%
Q3 - 10:41MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)46
71.3%
38
28.7%
Q3 - 10:43SACMISS Martin 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
70.4%
38
29.6%
Q3 - 10:49SACSalmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)46
68.0%
38
32.0%
Q3 - 10:52SACMISS Bibby 20' Jump Shot46
70.4%
38
29.6%
Q3 - 11:06MIAWade 7' Running Jump Shot (16 PTS)46
67.4%
38
32.6%
Q3 - 11:14MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)44
64.4%
38
35.6%
Q3 - 11:16SACMISS Salmons 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
63.4%
38
36.6%
Q3 - 11:39MIAWade Layup (14 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)44
61.1%
38
38.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA42
57.9%
38
42.1%
Q2 - 0:05.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)42
56.8%
38
43.2%
Q2 - 0:07.0SACMISS Salmons Layup42
56.1%
38
43.9%
Q2 - 0:24.0MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)42
54.5%
38
45.5%
Q2 - 0:24.0MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)41
53.3%
38
46.7%
Q2 - 0:36.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
50.2%
38
49.8%
Q2 - 0:38.0SACMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
49.5%
38
50.5%
Q2 - 0:54.0SACThomas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)40
47.8%
38
52.2%
Q2 - 0:56.0MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot40
48.6%
38
51.4%
Q2 - 1:13SACSalmons 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)40
49.7%
38
50.3%
Q2 - 1:33MIAPosey Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)40
54.5%
36
45.5%
Q2 - 1:49SACThomas 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T7)38
49.7%
36
50.3%
Q2 - 2:01MIAMourning 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T9)38
47.1%
36
52.9%
Q2 - 2:12MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)38
50.1%
36
49.9%
Q2 - 2:13MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot38
48.0%
36
52.0%
Q2 - 2:20MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)38
50.0%
36
50.0%
Q2 - 2:22SACMISS World Peace 22' Jump Shot38
49.2%
36
50.8%
Q2 - 2:36SACThomas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)38
47.2%
36
52.8%
Q2 - 2:38MIAMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot38
48.1%
36
51.9%
Q2 - 2:54SACThomas Layup (6 PTS)38
50.0%
36
50.0%
Q2 - 2:56SACThomas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)38
53.5%
34
46.5%
Q2 - 2:58SACMISS Martin 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
55.4%
34
44.6%
Q2 - 3:07MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)38
52.5%
34
47.5%
Q2 - 3:07MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)37
52.0%
34
48.0%
Q2 - 3:23SACMiller 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Price 1 AST)36
49.9%
34
50.1%
Q2 - 3:39MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)36
52.5%
32
47.5%
Q2 - 3:56SACWorld Peace Driving Layup (7 PTS)34
49.9%
32
50.1%
Q2 - 4:10SACKINGS Rebound34
52.2%
30
47.8%
Q2 - 4:11SACMISS Martin 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
54.1%
30
45.9%
Q2 - 4:23SACKINGS Rebound34
52.2%
30
47.8%
Q2 - 4:26MIAMISS Payton 3PT Jump Shot34
53.0%
30
47.0%
Q2 - 4:48SACMartin 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS)34
55.1%
30
44.9%
Q2 - 4:54MIAWorld Peace STEAL (1 STL)34
57.9%
28
42.1%
Q2 - 4:56MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
60.7%
28
39.3%
Q2 - 4:57MIAMISS Walker 5' Jump Shot34
58.8%
28
41.2%
Q2 - 5:15MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
60.4%
28
39.6%
Q2 - 5:17SACMISS World Peace 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
59.5%
28
40.5%
Q2 - 5:43MIAWalker 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS)34
57.4%
28
42.6%
Q2 - 6:06SACKINGS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)32
54.7%
28
45.3%
Q2 - 6:32MIAWade 6' Jump Shot (8 PTS)32
51.4%
28
48.6%
Q2 - 6:38MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
49.2%
28
50.8%
Q2 - 6:40SACMISS Martin 24' 3PT Jump Shot30
48.2%
28
51.8%
Q2 - 6:55MIAMourning Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)30
45.9%
28
54.1%
Q2 - 7:19SACPrice 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)28
43.5%
28
56.5%
Q2 - 7:37SACAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
48.6%
25
51.4%
Q2 - 7:39MIAMISS Kapono 6' Jump Shot28
49.5%
25
50.5%
Q2 - 7:58MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
51.5%
25
48.5%
Q2 - 8:00SACMISS World Peace 6' Jump Shot28
50.6%
25
49.4%
Q2 - 8:15MIAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)28
48.2%
25
51.8%
Q2 - 8:15MIAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)27
47.3%
25
52.7%
Q2 - 8:30SACMiller 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Abdur-Rahim 1 AST)26
46.0%
25
54.0%
Q2 - 8:46SACMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)26
48.3%
23
51.7%
Q2 - 8:48MIAMISS Payton 12' Jump Shot26
49.1%
23
50.9%
Q2 - 9:08SACPrice 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (World Peace 1 AST)26
50.7%
23
49.3%
Q2 - 9:32MIAPosey Foul Turnover (P1.T7)26
55.5%
20
44.5%
Q2 - 9:35SACMartin Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)26
58.3%
20
41.7%
Q2 - 9:56MIAKapono 4' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Payton 4 AST)26
55.5%
20
44.5%
Q2 - 10:26SACWorld Peace 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)24
53.1%
20
46.9%
Q2 - 10:42MIAPayton Driving Layup (7 PTS)24
57.7%
17
42.3%
Q2 - 10:53MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
55.5%
17
44.5%
Q2 - 10:55SACMISS Abdur-Rahim 18' Jump Shot22
54.7%
17
45.3%
Q2 - 11:12SACThomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)22
52.4%
17
47.6%
Q2 - 11:13MIAMISS Walker 9' Jump Shot22
53.1%
17
46.9%
Q2 - 11:32MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
54.8%
17
45.2%
Q2 - 11:34SACMISS Abdur-Rahim 14' Jump Shot22
54.1%
17
45.9%
Q2 - 11:46SACThomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)22
52.4%
17
47.6%
Q2 - 11:48MIAAbdur-Rahim BLOCK (1 BLK)22
53.1%
17
46.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAC22
54.8%
17
45.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0SACKINGS Rebound22
52.4%
17
47.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0SACMISS Salmons 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
54.1%
17
45.9%
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAPayton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)22
52.2%
17
47.8%
Q1 - 0:24.0SACWorld Peace Palming Turnover (P1.T4)19
46.9%
17
53.1%
Q1 - 0:36.0MIAPayton Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)19
45.1%
17
54.9%
Q1 - 0:42.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
42.3%
17
57.7%
Q1 - 0:43.0SACMISS Salmons 19' Jump Shot17
41.7%
17
58.3%
Q1 - 0:59.0MIAKapono 22' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Payton 3 AST)17
40.5%
17
59.5%
Q1 - 1:15SACSalmons Reverse Layup (4 PTS)15
37.8%
17
62.2%
Q1 - 1:31MIAWade Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Kapono 1 AST)15
40.5%
15
59.5%
Q1 - 1:43SACWorld Peace Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)13
37.8%
15
62.2%
Q1 - 1:43SACWorld Peace Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)13
38.3%
14
61.7%
Q1 - 2:01MIAWade 9' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)13
40.5%
13
59.5%
Q1 - 2:13MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)11
38.1%
13
61.9%
Q1 - 2:15SACMISS Miller 3PT Jump Shot11
37.5%
13
62.5%
Q1 - 2:30MIAKapono 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)11
36.1%
13
63.9%
Q1 - 2:45SACMiller Layup (4 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)9
33.8%
13
66.2%
Q1 - 2:56SACThomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)9
36.1%
11
63.9%
Q1 - 2:58MIAMISS Walker 6' Running Jump Shot9
36.7%
11
63.3%
Q1 - 3:14SACKINGS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)9
38.3%
11
61.7%
Q1 - 3:14SACKINGS Rebound9
35.9%
11
64.1%
Q1 - 3:14SACMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
37.5%
11
62.5%
Q1 - 3:43MIAKapono 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)9
35.9%
11
64.1%
Q1 - 4:01MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
32.3%
11
67.7%
Q1 - 4:02SACMISS Bibby Free Throw 2 of 26
31.9%
11
68.1%
Q1 - 4:02SACBibby Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
30.6%
11
69.4%
Q1 - 4:09MIAWade Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)6
31.8%
10
68.2%
Q1 - 4:26SACSalmons 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
30.4%
10
69.6%
Q1 - 4:40SACThomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)4
31.8%
8
68.2%
Q1 - 4:41MIAThomas BLOCK (1 BLK)4
32.6%
8
67.4%
Q1 - 4:48MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
34.2%
8
65.8%
Q1 - 4:50SACMISS Miller 15' Jump Shot4
33.5%
8
66.5%
Q1 - 5:10SACKINGS Rebound4
32.2%
8
67.8%
Q1 - 5:12MIAMISS Mourning 6' Hook Shot4
32.8%
8
67.2%
Q1 - 5:19MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
34.2%
8
65.8%
Q1 - 5:21SACMISS Miller 21' Jump Shot4
33.6%
8
66.4%
Q1 - 5:33MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)4
32.2%
8
67.8%
Q1 - 5:33MIAHeat Rebound4
34.2%
8
65.8%
Q1 - 5:33MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot4
32.8%
8
67.2%
Q1 - 5:57MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)4
34.2%
8
65.8%
Q1 - 5:58SACMISS Bibby 20' Jump Shot4
33.6%
8
66.4%
Q1 - 6:21SACMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)4
32.4%
8
67.6%
Q1 - 6:22MIAMISS Williams Layup4
33.0%
8
67.0%
Q1 - 6:45SACMiller Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
34.3%
8
65.7%
Q1 - 6:56SACKINGS Rebound4
36.0%
6
64.0%
Q1 - 6:57SACMISS Thomas 2' Driving Layup4
37.4%
6
62.6%
Q1 - 7:05SACBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
36.2%
6
63.8%
Q1 - 7:07MIAMISS Williams 23' Jump Shot4
36.8%
6
63.2%
Q1 - 7:23SACThomas Layup (4 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)4
38.1%
6
61.9%
Q1 - 7:36MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)4
39.7%
4
60.3%
Q1 - 7:45MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)4
41.8%
4
58.2%
Q1 - 7:47SACMISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
41.2%
4
58.8%
Q1 - 7:50SACThomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)4
39.7%
4
60.3%
Q1 - 7:51SACMISS Martin 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
41.2%
4
58.8%
Q1 - 8:03MIAWright Foul Turnover (P1.T4)4
39.9%
4
60.1%
Q1 - 8:19SACMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
41.9%
4
58.1%
Q1 - 8:19SACMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
42.1%
3
57.9%
Q1 - 8:23MIAThomas STEAL (1 STL)4
43.6%
2
56.4%
Q1 - 8:32MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
45.6%
2
54.4%
Q1 - 8:34SACMISS Salmons 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
45.0%
2
55.0%
Q1 - 8:44SACThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
43.5%
2
56.5%
Q1 - 8:46SACMISS Bibby 20' Jump Shot4
45.0%
2
55.0%
Q1 - 8:54SACMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
43.5%
2
56.5%
Q1 - 8:55MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot4
44.2%
2
55.8%
Q1 - 8:59MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
45.6%
2
54.4%
Q1 - 9:01SACMISS Salmons Dunk4
44.8%
2
55.2%
Q1 - 9:13MIAHaslem Backcourt Turnover (P1.T2)4
43.2%
2
56.8%
Q1 - 9:25MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
45.6%
2
54.4%
Q1 - 9:27SACMISS Thomas 7' Hook Shot4
44.9%
2
55.1%
Q1 - 9:43MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)4
43.2%
2
56.8%
Q1 - 9:59SACThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
45.6%
2
54.4%
Q1 - 9:59SACThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
46.1%
1
53.9%
Q1 - 10:04SACThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
46.9%
0
53.1%
Q1 - 10:05MIAMISS Wright Layup4
47.6%
0
52.4%
Q1 - 10:11SACMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)4
49.0%
0
51.0%
Q1 - 10:34MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)4
46.9%
0
53.1%
Q1 - 10:41MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
45.3%
0
54.7%
Q1 - 10:42SACMISS Martin Driving Layup2
44.7%
0
55.3%
Q1 - 10:57MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)2
43.2%
0
56.8%
Q1 - 11:22SACThomas Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
41.4%
0
58.6%
Q1 - 11:28SACMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
39.8%
0
60.2%
Q1 - 11:30MIAMISS Mourning 6' Hook Shot0
40.3%
0
59.7%
Q1 - 11:43MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
41.4%
0
58.6%
Q1 - 11:45SACMISS Martin 16' Jump Shot0
40.9%
0
59.1%
Q1 - 12:00SACJump Ball Miller vs. Mourning: Tip to Bibby0
39.8%
0
60.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.94 47.0%
SAC
0.89 44.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
12
22
55%
SAC
11
19
58%
Midrange
MIA
18
47
38%
SAC
13
43
30%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
6
9.0
14
43%
64%
SAC
6
9.0
21
29%
43%
Free Throws
MIA
15
23
65%
SAC
25
31
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3252%16.0 / 31
J. Williams1161%5.5 / 9
G. Payton1161%5.5 / 9
A. Mourning1056%5.0 / 9
J. Kapono1056%5.0 / 9
U. Haslem531%2.5 / 8
J. Posey542%2.5 / 6
M. Doleac550%2.5 / 5
A. Walker429%2.0 / 7
D. Wright0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAC logo Kings
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Bibby2053%10.0 / 19
B. Miller1547%7.5 / 16
M. World Peace1550%7.5 / 15
K. Martin1336%6.5 / 18
J. Salmons935%4.5 / 13
K. Thomas956%4.5 / 8
R. Price6100%3.0 / 3
S. Abdur-Rahim225%1.0 / 4
C. Williamson250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
85
+13
-17
98
SAC
90
+11
-12
101
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.94 47.0%
SAC
0.89 44.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.2
106.0
MIA 91.2 +2.0
SAC 89.2
Pace
90.1
95.0
MIA 86.1
SAC 99.6 +13.6
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
14.6
MIA 16.7
SAC 14.5 +2.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.6%
49.1%
MIA 47.0% +7.2%
SAC 39.8%
TO %
15.3%
14.7%
MIA 16.9%
SAC 12.7% +4.2%
ORB %
24.9%
23.1%
MIA 14.3%
SAC 14.3%
FTrt
32.1
37.9
MIA 27.7
SAC 37.3 +9.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.6%
56.6%
MIA 66.7% +10.0%
SAC 56.7%
STL %
7.6%
8.6%
MIA 4.9% +1.0%
SAC 3.9%
BLK %
8.8%
5.1%
MIA 9.7% +5.4%
SAC 4.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.4%
53.2%
MIA 47.0% +2.4%
SAC 44.6%
Rim FG%
61.8%
57.7%
MIA 54.5%
SAC 57.9% +3.4%
Mid FG%
40.5%
40.3%
MIA 38.3% +8.1%
SAC 30.2%
3P %
34.3%
35.0%
MIA 42.9% +14.3%
SAC 28.6%
FT %
69.0%
76.5%
MIA 65.2%
SAC 80.6% +15.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.9%
34.3%
MIA 26.5% +3.6%
SAC 22.9%
Mid Att. %
40.7%
42.5%
MIA 56.6%
SAC 51.8% +4.8%
3P Att. %
24.5%
23.2%
MIA 16.9%
SAC 25.3% +8.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.
Game TotalsMIASAC
Possessions102102
Possession Minutes28.424.6
Points9391
Rebounds4843
Assists2417
Steals54
Blocks63
Turnovers (Team)17 (2)12 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (7)7 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)42 (3)36 (3)
Field Goals36-8330-83
At-the-Rim FG12-2211-19
Midrange FG18-4713-43
2-Point FG30-6924-62
3-Point FG6-146-21
Free Throws15-2325-31
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 25
43.9
32
52%
11
9
3
2
3
2
0
11
6-9
67%
13-27
48%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 26
40.4
5
31%
14
1
1
0
4
3
2
12
1-2
50%
2-7
29%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 261 · 37
34.5
10
56%
6
0
0
3
3
6
0
6
4-4
100%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 180 · 31
30.9
11
61%
3
4
0
0
2
3
0
3
0-0
-
1-5
20%
3-4
75%
F · 6'9" 205 · 21
14.8
0
0%
1
2
0
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 217 · 30
24.6
5
42%
2
1
0
1
1
5
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
G · 6'4" 190 · 38
24.0
11
61%
4
4
1
0
1
3
0
4
0-0
-
4-5
80%
1-4
25%
F · 6'8" 215 · 26
21.4
10
56%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
3-7
43%
1-1
100%
F · 6'9" 245 · 30
18.2
4
29%
4
1
0
0
1
0
1
3
2-4
50%
1-4
25%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 262 · 29
12.5
5
50%
3
1
0
0
1
0
2
1
1-2
50%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 25
G · 6'2" 184 · 23
#32 · C · 7'1" 325 · 35
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#11 · G · 6'2" 175 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#25 · F · 6'9" 250 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
265
93
47%
48
24
5
6
17
0
6
42
15-23
65%
30-69
43%
6-14
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.