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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 8, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Raptors32%9490
9Bulls68%10093
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jorge Garbajosa
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.0
42.7
30.1
17
61%
7
4
3
1
0
2
0
7
0-0
-
4-8
3-6
50%
47%
3-6
50%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 22.7
34.4
38.0
13
41%
12
2
0
1
0
2
2
10
3-4
75%
5-14
7-15
36%
48%
0-0
-
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 23.7
26.8
30.4
12
47%
3
6
1
1
0
2
1
2
4-4
100%
4-10
4-10
40%
44%
0-1
0%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 30.5
25.9
16.1
12
67%
7
0
1
0
2
1
2
5
0-0
-
6-9
2-4
67%
47%
0-0
-
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 31.5
24.1
32.1
7
39%
4
2
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-6
4-7
33%
47%
1-3
33%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 29.3
25.9
15.5
13
60%
2
0
1
1
0
2
1
1
3-4
75%
2-4
1-3
50%
45%
2-5
40%
Fred Jones
G · 6'2" 225 · 27.7
23.5
22.1
12
50%
1
0
1
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-6
1-3
50%
43%
2-6
33%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.2
22.5
17.2
3
80%
1
8
1
1
0
2
1
0
1-2
50%
1-1
2-4
100%
48%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.8
5.6
6.7
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
41%
0-0
-
Uros Slokar
F · 6'10" 238 · 23.6
5.3
2.6
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.5
3.3
14.0
1
57%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
2-4
-
47%
0-0
-
Darrick Martin
G · 5'11" 170 · 35.8
3.3
0
0-1
37%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 21.1
Pape Sow
F · 6'10" 250 · 25.0
PJ Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 21.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.6
41.1
32.4
25
63%
4
4
3
1
2
2
1
3
3-4
75%
11-18
6-13
61%
52%
0-0
-
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 32.2
39.8
26.4
5
40%
11
1
1
1
5
3
2
9
5-12
42%
0-1
2-4
0%
50%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 27.0
36.4
27.8
17
72%
14
0
2
1
2
3
0
14
2-2
100%
6-8
4-8
75%
50%
1-3
33%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.9
34.7
23.1
13
54%
2
6
2
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
5-10
3-6
50%
46%
1-2
50%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 24.3
30.6
29.6
8
58%
2
6
0
1
1
1
1
1
2-2
100%
0-0
2-3
-
45%
2-6
33%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.7
25.1
28.8
13
41%
2
3
1
1
1
4
0
2
4-4
100%
3-9
4-9
33%
45%
1-5
20%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 28.4
9.5
7.9
4
50%
4
0
0
0
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
48%
0-0
-
Michael Sweetney
F · 6'8" 270 · 24.1
9.0
11.0
6
47%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-3
67%
2-5
2-3
40%
48%
0-0
-
P.J. Brown
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 37.1
8.2
14.6
2
100%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
46%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 22.6
3.3
13.1
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
50%
0-1
0%
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 32.4
2.2
10.3
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-1
0%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 20.3
16.0
1
3-5
51%
Martynas Andriuskevicius
C · 7'2" 240 · 20.7
Andre Barrett
G · 5'10" 173 · 24.8
Viktor Khryapa
· 6'9" 210 · 24.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.